NORTH KOREAN FOREIGN TRADE 1954-57

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CIA-RDP79-01093A001000060001-1
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RIPPUB
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S
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32
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November 9, 2016
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December 1, 1998
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1
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Publication Date: 
December 21, 1955
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IR
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roved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 PROVISIONAL INTELLIGENCE REPORT NORTH KOREAN FOREIGN TRADE 1954-57 CIA/RR PR-128 21 December 1955 l CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND REPORTS Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A001000060001-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 This material contains information affecting the National Defense of the United States within the meaning of the espionage laws, Title 18, USC, Sees. 793 and 794, the trans- mission or revelation of which in any manner to an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A001000060001-1 S-E- PROVISIONAL INTELLIGENCE REPORT NORTH KOREAN FOREIGN TRADE 1954-57 CIA/RR PR-128 (ORR Project 42.536) The data and conclusions contained in this report do not necessarily represent the final position of ORR and should be regarded as provisional only and subject to revision. Comments and data which may be available to the user are solicited. Office of Research and Reports Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A001000060001-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A001000060001-1 S -E -C -R -E -T CONTENTS I. Foreign Economic Aid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . A. From the USSR . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B. From Communist China . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C. From the European Satellites . . . . . . . . . . . . . . D. Developments, First Half of 1955 . . . . . . . . . . . . II. Foreign Trade . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . A. With Sino-Soviet Bloc Countries . . . . . . . . . . . . B. With Non-Bloc Countries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Appendix A. North Korean Projects Receiving Technical and Material Aid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Appendix B. Material Aid Received by North Korea during 1954 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Appendix C. Methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Appendix D. Gaps in Intelligence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Appendix E. Source References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Page 8 10 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A001000060001-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 S-E-C-R-E-T Tables 1. Reported Value of Sino-Soviet Bloc Aid to North Korea, 1954-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 2. Material Aid Received by North Korea from Communist China, 1954 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 3. Material Aid Received by North Korea from the USSR, 1954 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 4. Material Aid Received by North Korea from Specified Countries of the Sino-Soviet Bloc, 1954 . . . . . 19 Following Page Composition of Material Aid Delivered to North Korea Crom Communist China and the USSR7 during 1954 (Chart) . . . . . 4 Projects in North Korea Receiving Aid from Inside the Sino-Soviet Bloc (Map) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Back Cover - iv - S -E -C -R -E -T Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 CIA/RR PR-128 S -E -C -R -E -T (ORR Project 42.536) NORTH KOREAN FOREIGN TRADE* 1954-517 Foreign trade, always a significant aspect of the Korean economy, has assumed greater significance in the period since the Korean war, with unrequited aid (as distinguished from barter trade) comprising the bulk of North Korean imports. The gains which have been made in the reconstruction of North Korea since 1953 have been attributed in large measure to the material aid and technical assistance provided by the countries of the Sino-Soviet Bloc. It is estimated that in 1954, North Korea received more than a quarter of a billion dollars in aid from the USSR, Communist China, and the European Satellites. By contrast, barter trade with the Sino-Soviet Bloc during 1954 was perhaps a third of this amount, and trade with non-Bloc countries was insignificant. I. Foreign Economic Aid. North Korea's Three Year Plan for reconstruction, which began in 1954, depends on grants of economic assistance from countries of the Sino-Soviet Bloc. Table 1** summarizes North Korean announce- ments of total planned aid as well as reports of actual deliveries to date. * The estimates and conclusions contained in this report represent the best judgment of ORR as of 1 October 1955. ** Table 1 follows on p. 2. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Reported Value of Sino-Soviet Bloc Aid to North Korea 1954-64 Million US 4 Country Total 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958-64 USSR a/ 250 105 b/ 75 c/ 70 c/ Communist China d/ 325 118 120 c/ 40 c/ 37 c/ East Germany e/ 136 20.6 19.7 16.$ 18 8.75 each year Czechoslovakia f/ 28 1954 through 1960 Rumania h/ 16 1954 through 1956 Bulgaria 7i/ 5 15.4 g/ Poland j/- Amount unknown; 1954 through 1957 Hungary k/ Amount unknown; 1954 through 1957 760 259 a. 1 (For serially numbered source references, see Appendix E.) Stated in rubles; conversion rate 4:1. b. Appears to include technical aid as well as material deliveries. It is not known whether figures for other countries include technical aid, but in the case of Communist China it appears that only material deliveries are included. c. The allocations after 1954 have been made somewhat arbitrarily, based on reported deliveries for the first half of 1955. d. 2/ Stated in yuan; conversion rate 2.45:1. e. 3/ / Stated in rubles; conversion rate 4:1. f. 7/ Stated in rubles; conversion rate 4:1. g. Total deliveries from the European Satellites were reported as $36 million, but country breakdown was given only between East Germany and the remaining Satellites. h. 5/ Stated in rubles; I. c Stated in rubles; j. 7/ Stated in rubles; k. 8/ Stated in rubles; conversion rate 4:1. conversion rate 4:1. conversion rate 4:1. conversion rate 4:1. - 2 - S -E -C -R -E -T Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 There is little evidence to suggest that the nations of the Sino- Soviet Bloc have coordinated their aid programs, although it appears likely that some measure of cooperation is being observed by at least the two primary contributors, the USSR and Communist China, with the USSR holding the major advisory role to North Korea. Expressions of gratitude by the North Koreans for material and technical aid, which reached a peak in the observance of the Tenth Anniversary of the People's Republic (August 1955), have ranked the USSR, Communist China, and the European Satellites, in that order, by both the volume and the tenor of their praise. The North Koreans claimed by August 1955 the rehabilitation of 230 old and the construction of 60 new industrial establishments of various sizes. 9/ The nature of the projects, as well as statements by North Koreans, suggest an effort to attain and surpass the industrial capacity in Korea before World War II, when 70 percent of industry was located in what is now North Korea. 10/ The accompanying chart* indicates the compo- sition of known aid received by North Korea during 1954 from the USSR and Communist China. In 1953 the USSR offered a 3-year grant of 1 billion rubles ($250 million) to North Korea, to be split evenly between military and economic aid. ll/ In separate announcements the North Koreans stated that during 1954 the USSR delivered "material aid" worth 390 million rubles ($97.5 million) and "material aid and technical services" worth 420 million rubles ($105 million). 12/ These statements imply that the value of technical services alone may have been 30 million rubles ($7.5 million). Soviet material and technical aid which has been identified at 35 specific projects is listed in Appendix A. The projects range from ferrous metallurgy to machine construction plants, and from consumer goods plants to broadcasting stations. It is possible that other projects not listed have also benefited from Soviet aid. The North Koreans have released a detailed report of deliveries of Soviet aid to North Korea during 1954. From this report it has been estimated that the value of these deliveries was * Following p. 4. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 $51 million, of which approximately 75 percent consisted of capital goods (machinery, transport equipment, and construction materials) and the remainder of consumer goods (food, clothing, and drugs).* The 70,000 metric tons of steel that the USSR sent to North Korea in 1954 was one-third of the estimated Soviet exports of steel to Communist China in that year. 13/ The other important commodity categories of Soviet aid were machinery and transport equipment. The North Koreans have frequently lauded the contribution of Soviet aid to their economic progress and have acknowledged it to be "one of the positive contributing factors to the attainment of our victories." 14/ On the other hand, they have not reported the deliv- ery of military equipment, which was to constitute half of the 1-billion-ruble aid program. The identified deliveries of non- military aid and of technical services ($58.5 million) represent about half of the total aid reported for 1954 ($105 million). It is probable that military deliveries accounted for at least part of the remainder. Aid from the USSR before the Korean War was preponderantly military and consisted of an agreement to equip and train 6 infantry divisions, 3 mechanized divisions, and 7 security battalions. 15/ A 10-year economic and cultural pact between the 2 countries was also signed. Under the supplemental provisions of the latter, a Soviet loan of $40 million provided for the purchase of industrial equip- ment and raw materials as well as technical assistance for industry and agriculture. 16/ This loan, however, appears small compared with the extensive grant the USSR has given to help rehabilitate North Korean industry during the current Three Year Plan. Although it is believed that Soviet technical aid to North Korea is extensive, the number of engineers and advisers serving the Koreans is unknown. Soviet engineers and technicians have been reported in such industries as chemicals, textiles, metallurgy, cement, glass, plywood, electric power, ceramics, and building construction. 17/ Observers have reported many Soviet civilians in Pyongyang, including women and children. One such report noted two 3-story buildings, each of which housed 200 nonmilitary Caucasians, and another stated that 1 in 10 vehicles in Pyongyang carried Soviet personnel. 18/ With the estimated aid in technical services to * For a listing of these materials and an estimate of their value, see Appendix B. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 SECRET COMPOSITION OF MATERIAL AID DELIVERED TO NORTH KOREA DURING 1954* (MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS) CONSUMER CONSUMER GOODS GOODS FLOW CAPITAL GOODS FIXED CAPITAL GOODS FLOW CAPITAL GOODS FIXED CAPITAL GOODS COMMUNIST CHINA USSR * For explanation and sources, see Appendix B. SECRET 509286 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 North Korea during 1954, the USSR could have supported possibly 750 to 1,000 technicians in the field.* This figure represents an average of 3 technicians for each of the 290 projects comprising the bulk of the Three Year Plan. B. From Communist China. In 1953 the Chinese Communists offered an 8-trillion-yuan ($325 million) grant to North Korea extending over a 4-year period to assist in the rehabilitation of the North Korean economy. 20/ Deliveries of aid during 1954 were stated to have been 3 trillion yuan ($118 million). 21/ Few specific projects receiving Chinese Communist aid have been mentioned, although Chinese assistance has been acknowledged in the construction of buildings, railroad facilities, and light industries. 22/ North Korean reports of specific materials delivered by the Chinese Communists during 1954 are estimated to have consisted of about 45 percent industrial materials (coal, steel, construction materials, and transport equipment) and 55 percent consumer goods (food, clothing, and newsprint).** The largest items of aid have been transport equipment, grain, and textiles. The North Koreans provided a detailed report of material aid received from Communist China during 1954. From this report the value of aid deliveries is estimated to have been $60 million, or about one-half of the announced aid of $118 million. This discrepancy has several possible explanations. It is conceivable that the list of delivered materials was not complete or that the value of materials was greatly inflated to maximize the size of the Chinese gift. It is also possible that when troops of the Chinese People's Volunteers (CPV) were withdrawn from North Korea in 1954, 23/ military equip- ment was given to the Koreans and its value included in the aid program. Chinese Communist personnel in North Korea have included construction laborers as well as technical advisers. One report * Estimated on the basis of an average wage for Soviet technical personnel (20,000 rubles annually), with an allowance for travel and maintenance of from 10,000 rubles to 20,000 rubles. 19/ ** For a listing of these materials and an estimate of their value, see Appendix B. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 indicated that over 400 Chinese technical personnel have been engaged in rehabilitation work in North Korea. 24/ A more specific report stated that Chinese engineers contributed 21,900 man-days (about 70 engineers for 1 year) to North Korean shipbuilding during 1954. 25/ Troops of the CPV have been utilized in the construction of railroad bridges and facilities and in the construction and repair of major buildings in Pyongyang. 26/ It does not appear that Chinese services are included in the value of aid, since most North Korean reports which refer to the total value of Chinese aid state that "in addition" China furnished technical advice -- a phraseology not employed when referring to Soviet aid. Although the total value of Communist China's aid to North Korea exceeds that of the USSR, its long-run impact on the North Korean economy probably is not so great. It appears that a large proportion of the Soviet contribution is designed for the recon- struction of basic industries, whereas the greater share of Communist China's aid is in the form of consumer goods and the rehabilitation of buildings and transport facilities. Furthermore, it is probable that the character of technical service rendered by the USSR is superior to that of the Chinese. C. From the European Satellites. The known amount of economic aid which the European Satel- lites have promised to extend to North Korea over a period of years is $185 million, of which East Germany will provide three-fourths. Deliveries during 1954 amounted to $36 million, consisting for the most part of machinery and equipment but including some consumer goods.* East German aid to North Korea amounted to $20 million in 1954. A complete accounting of the East German program has been reported which indicates that four major projects will be undertaken.** These projects will account for about 80 percent of the value of East German aid. The remaining 20 percent will consist of deliveries of miscellaneous materials and consumer goods. 27/ German techni- cians evidently will play a vital role in the planning and super- vision of these projects. It was reported that, by June 1955, See Appendix B. See Appendix A. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 80 German engineers were working in North Korea, with 190 more expected, 28/ and that 10 German architects were in Hamhung City in April 1955. 29/ Aid from the other European Satellites is not extensive but is of the type which will assist in industrial rehabilitation. Czech- oslovakia's contribution (valued at $28 million) will include an auto- mobile plant, a machine tool plant, a cement plant, and several hydro- electric power stations. The value of Poland's program is unknown but will include the construction of a locomotive and car repair plant, the reconstruction of three coal mines, and the furnishing of technical aid. Rumania's contribution of $16 million will build a cement plant and a plant for producing aspirin and will include deliv- ery of 10 fishing vessels as well as miscellaneous machinery and equip- ment. Bulgaria has promised to deliver aid amounting to $5 million, consisting of consumer goods and equipment for a brick plant. Hungary's program, of unknown value, will assist in the construction of a chemical dye plant and a machine tool plant and will include delivery of instruments and equipment. 30/ D. Developments, First Half of 1955. Aid deliveries to North Korea during the first half of 1955 continued at approximately the same annual rate as in 1954. The North Koreans have reported the receipt of nearly $130 million in material aid from the following countries 31/: Million US $ USSR x+2.5 Communist China 70,8 European Satellites 16.5 Total 129.8 The commodity breakdown of aid imports in 1955 is not com- plete, but the types of items reported indicate that the USSR is continuing to supply primarily industrial equipment, machinery, and instruments. Communist China is providing raw materials, construc- tion equipment, and consumer goods. The European Satellites are sending machinery, instruments, and consumer goods. 32/ It was reported in July 1955 that, in addition to the material aid from Communist China, "several hundred" Chinese experts and Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 technicians were being sent to North Korea. The European Satellites were reported to be rendering technical assistance in various economic activities by sending "several hundred" technicians. 33/ II. Foreign Trade. The magnitude of North Korea's foreign trade during 1953 and 1954 cannot be calculated accurately. It is believed, however, that during both of these years the tasks of reconstruction have required most of the indigenous resources available as well as foreign aid contributions. It is unlikely that North Korean exports have achieved the levels that existed prior to the Korean War. A. With Sino-Soviet Bloc Countries. During the period following 1945 the USSR became North Korea's major trading partner. The value of trade turnover between the 2 countries increased from $13.9 million in 1946 34/ to $84 million in 1949 and was planned to reach $171 million in 1950. 35/ The pattern of imports from the USSR during this period breaks down by value as follows: 50 percent armaments and machinery, 10 percent coal, 10 per- cent POL, about 15 percent technical services, and 15 percent all other. More than half the value of North Korean exports to the USSR before 1950 consisted of cereal grains, fertilizer and other chem- icals, pig iron, and ingot steel. 36/ North Korea's trade with Communist China (Manchuria) before 1950 was approximately $10 million annually. Imports consisted of textiles, foodstuffs, and bituminous coal, whereas exports were ferti- lizer, minerals, agricultural products, and lumber. 37/ Only fragmentary information concerning the size and distri- bution of North Korea's trade since 1950 is available. These data are phrased in terms of plan fulfillment and annual percentage changes. Trade relations with the USSR apparently were formally resumed with the signing of a trade agreement in March 1954. 38/ The export pro- gram in 1954 was said to have been overfulfilled by 10 percent. 39/ In the first half of 1955, exports reportedly increased 74.5 percent and imports increased 11 percent over the like period of 1954. 40/ Although it is difficult to assess the scope of these announcements, they suggest that trade may have been small during Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 1953 and 1954 and that the increase during 1955 may reflect renewed export capabilities due to progress in economic rehabilitation. North Korea's capabilities for export in 1953 and 1954 prob- ably were limited. Some of the commodities which were exported in the period before 1950 were being imported in volume by North Korea in 1954.* One report indicated that North Korea planned to export about $20 million worth of agricultural products and mineral ores to Communist China during 1954. 41/ The trade agreement with the USSR also included these commodities, and some reports indicated the actual movement of Korean ores to the USSR. 42/ The export plan for 1954 was reported overfulfilled by 10 percent, and it is possible that the export of mineral ores and agricultural products to Communist China and the USSR may have amounted to from $35 million to $45 million. It is probable that the North Korean economy could have provided this volume of exports, inasmuch as it was announced that the level of production in state-operated and cooperative industries during 1954 surpassed the 1949 level by 3 percent. 43/ The only other signif- icant export was North Korean electrical power to Communist China, estimated at $10 million. 44/ North Korean trade with the European Satellites is believed to be small. Although trade agreements were signed with East Germany and Poland in 1952, they appeared to be economic aid agreements de- signed to support North Korea during the war. 45/ The only known postwar trade agreement with the Satellites (as distinct from aid agreements) is one with East Germany, signed 6 March 1955. 46/ It is believed, therefore, that trade involving North Korean exports to the European Satellites was insignificant during 1953 and 1954. If it is assumed that North Korean exports to the Sino-Soviet Bloc in 1954 were exchanged for imports of a corresponding value, total barter trade turnover with Communist countries may be tenta- tively estimated at $100 million. No information is available on nontrade receipts and payments of North Korea. Adding grant aid to the estimated barter trade, however, gives an approximate import sur- plus for 1954 of $250 million. The value of the trade (in million US dollars) of North Korea with the Sino-Soviet Bloc in 1954 may be summarized as follows: See the listing of aid deliveries in Appendix B. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Exports Imports Total Barter trade 50 50 100 Aid 0 250 250 Total trade 50 300 350 25X6A The North Koreans announced in June 1955 that the Soviet shares of the Korean-Soviet Marine Company and the Korean-Soviet Synthetic Liquid Fuel Company had been transferred to North Korea. Payment will be made by the export of North Korean commodities to the USSR over a period of several years. On 31 August 1955 an agreement was signed transferring to North Korea the Soviet share of the Korean-Soviet Sokao Air Transport Joint Stock Company, which was described as the last joint Soviet-Korean company in North Korea. Payment for this company will also be made by the export of Korean products to the USSR. 47/ specifically banned all commercial exchanges with North Koreans. B. With Non-Bloc Countries. There is no indication that non-Communist countries con- duct organized legal trade with North Korea and some of them have 25X6A Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 S -E -C -R -E -T APPENDIX A NORTH KOREAN PROJECTS RECEIVING TECHNICAL AND MATERIAL AID The following projects have been specifically mentioned by the North Koreans as among those which are being constructed or reha- bilitated with material and technical aid from Sino-Soviet Bloc countries. This list is not intended to be exhaustive and prob- ably does not include all projects receiving such aid. A. Projects Receiving Aid from the USSR. 50/ Map* Key Number Location Project 1 Songjin Steel foundry 2 Kimchaek Iron foundry 3 Sungho-ri Cement plant 4 Sup'ung Hydroelectric power plant 5 Chinnamp'o Refinery 6 Hungnam Chemical fertilizer plant 7 Pyongyang Spinning mill 8 Pyongyang University 9 Pyongyang Radio station 10 Pyongyang Beef packing and canning plant 11 Pyongyang Bleaching powder manufacturing plant 12 Pyongyang Underground theater Moranbong 13 Huich'on Vehicle parts factory 14 Musan Sugar refinery 15 Madong Cement plant 16 Kilchu Plywood mill 17 Pon'gung Chemical factory 18 Suiho Power plant 19 Namp' o Glass factory See the map, inside back cover. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Map Key Number Location Project 20 Hwang-hae Metallurgical plant 21 Kangnam Pottery plant 22 "Central Broadcasting Station" (possibly identical to Pyongyang Radio Station) 23 Pyongyang International Hotel and "other government buildings" 24 Pukchin Machine building plant 25 Nakwon Machine building plant 26 Namp'o Shipyards 27 Wonsan Shipyards 28 Ch'ongjin Shipyards 29 Kimchaek Shipyards 30 Taeyu-dong Mines 31 Koksan Mines 32 Komdok Mines 33 Musan Mines 34 Sinpo Fish cannery B. Projects Receiving Aid from East Germany. 51/ Map Key Number Location Project 35 Hwang-hae Iron works 36 Hamhung Restoration "A diesel engine factory" "A printing combine" C. Projects Receiving Aid from Hungary. 52/ Map Key Number Location Project 37 Pyongyang Weights and measures factory 38 Pyongyang Railway station building 39 Pyongyang "Assistance with two public buildings" 1+0 Pyongyang Designs for the following: Art school - 12 - $-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Map Key Number Location Project 41 Medical college 42 State Art Theater 43 Musical institute 44 Kusung Machine tool mill "Assistance with a chemical plant" D. Projects Receiving Aid from Czechoslovakia. 53/ Map Key Number Location Project 45 Huich'on Auto accessories plant, 46 Huich'on Machine building factory 47 Changjin Power plant 48 Pujun -Power plant 49 Huich'on Power plant E. Projects Receiving Aid from Poland. 54/ Map Key Number Location Project 50 West Pyong- Railway factory yang 51 Anju Mines 52 Sinchang Mines 53 Aoji-dong Mines 54 Wonsan Railway factory F. Projects Receiving Aid from Rumania. 55/ Map Key Number Location Project "Plans and survey for cement factory" Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 G. Projects Receiving Aid from Bulgaria. 56/ Map Key Number Location Project "Technical aid in construction of a wood- working factory" "Improvement of equipment in the lumbering field" H. Projects Receiving Aid from Communist China. 57/ Map Key Number Location Project 55 Nampo Glass factory 56 Pyongyang Repair of major buildings 57 Mangyongdae School "Construction of 16 railway bridges" "Construction of railway facilities and laying of track" Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 S -E -C -R -E - T APPENDIX B MATERIAL AID RECEIVED BY NORTH KOREA DURING 1954 A. Communist China to North Korea. 58/ The items shown in Table 2 have been reported by North Korea as re- ceived from Communist China under the aid program during 1954. In order to obtain values, prices per unit have been applied on the basis of world prices, which were then adjusted by knowledge of Sino-Soviet Bloc prices and the characteristics of the commodities. Flow capital goods are those nonconsumer goods which must be transformed physically before they can yield any service. Fixed capital goods are those nonconsumer goods whose physical form does not change significantly in the course of their service. Material Aid Received by North Korea from Communist China 1954 Commodity Amount Price per Unit (us $) Total Value (Thousand US $) Grain (metric tons) 130,000 100 13,000 Soybeans (metric tons) 30,000 125 3,750 Meat (metric tons) 3,000 1,000 3,000 Cotton (metric tons) 3,900 250 979 Canvas shoes (pairs) 610,000 3 1,830 Blankets (units) 50,000 5 250 Newsprint (metric tons) 4,000 100 400 Cotton fabric (million meters) 42 0.25 10,500 33,709 - 15 - S -E -C -R -E -T Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Material Aid Received by North Korea from Communist China 1954 (Continued) Commodity Amount Price per Unit (us $) Total Value (Thousand US $) Flow Capital Goods Coal (metric tons) 650,000 10 6,500 Coke (metric tons) 36,000 10 360 Pig iron (metric tons) 22,000 70 1,540 Finished steel (metric tons) 30,000 120 3,600 Cement (metric tons) 131,000 20 2,620 Sheet iron (metric tons) 2,000 100 200 Lumber (metric tons) 42,000 10 427 Total Flow Capital Goods 15,247 Fixed Capital Goods Locomotives (units) 70 30,000 2,100 Freight cars (units) 1,382 6,000 8,292 Passenger cars (units) 109 10,000 1,090 Motors (units) 265 500 132 Turbine pumps (units) 420 280 118 Total Fixed Capital Goods 11,732 Total Nonconsumer Goods 26,979 Grand Total 6o,688 B. USSR to North Korea. 59/ The items shown in Table 3* have been reported by North Korea as received from the USSR under the aid program during 1954. The value of these North Korean imports was obtained in the same manner as the value of imports from Communist China, as shown in Table 2. * Table 3 follows on p. 17. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 S -E -C -R-E -T Table 3 Material Aid Received by North Korea from the USSR 1954 Commodity Consumer Goods Food (metric tons) Grain (metric tons) Flour (metric tons) Shoes (pairs) Drugs (metric tons) Cloth (metric tons) Wool (metric tons) Price per Unit Total Value Amount (us $) (Thousand US $) 550 200 110 6,000 100 600 50,000 135 6,750 20,000 5 100 350 5,000 1,750 60 1,000 60 1,500 1,600 2,400 Total Consumer Goods 11,770 Flow Capital Goods Cement (metric tons) 1,000 20 20 Pipe (metric tons) 36 150 5 Iron (metric tons) 5,525 70 387 Zinc (metric tons) 50 600 30 Sulfur (metric tons) 500 150 75 Aluminum plate (metric tons) 54 600 32 Chemicals (metric tons) 2,300 200 460 Fertilizer (metric tons) 126,860 50 6,343 Steel (metric tons) 69,46o 140 9,724 Oil (metric tons) 3,809 50 190 Aluminum wire (kilometers) 171 20 3 Electric wire (kilometers) 73 20 2 Wire cable (metric tons) 16,500 200 3,300 Sheet tin (metric tons) 62 200 12 Lumber (carloads) 370 320 118 Brick (carloads) 5 400 2 Glass (carloads) 1 10 Ammonium nitrate (metric tons) 1,200 92 110 Total Flow Capital Goods 20,823 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Material Aid Received by North Korea from the USSR 1954 (Continued) Price per Unit Total Value Commodity Amount (us $) (Thousand US $) Fixed Capital Goods Horse carts (units) 1,000 200 200 Shapers (units) 15 3,000 45 Drill presses (units) 3 10,000 30 Winches (units) 15 1,000 15 Compressors (units) 4 10,000 40 Turbine pumps (units) 7 300 2 Railroad equipment (metric tons) 24,000 250 6,000 Belt conveyors (kilometers) 56 20 Scrapers (units) 4 500 2 Busses (units) 150 10,000 1,500 Tractor parts (units) 17,000 2 34 Boxcars (units) 336 6,000 2,016 Passenger coaches (units) 141 10,000 1,410 Horses (units) 18,000 75 1)35 Vehicle cranes (units) 19 8,500 Motors (units) 113 750 85 Rails (metric tons) 25,000 100 2,500 Trucks (units) 762 2,500 1,905 Farm tools (metric tons) 300 500 150 Machines (units) 309 1,000 Total Fixed Capital Goods 18,466 39,289 Grand total 51,059 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 S -E -C -R -E -T C. European Satellites (and Mongolia) to North Korea. 60/ The items shown in Table 4 have been reported by North Korea as received from various countries of the Sino-Soviet Bloc other than the USSR and Communist China during the year 1954. Because of the vagueness of the original reports, it is impossible to assign any values to these imports. Table 4 Material Aid Received by North Korea from Specified Countries of the Sino-Soviet Bloc 1954 Country Commodity Albania 9,000 tons of pitch Railway equipment Building materials Steel rods and pipes Czechoslovakia 50 Skoda busses 12 winches 10 motors 5 compressors 3 excavators 9 diesel and gas generators Iron wire Sheet iron Machine tools Tractors Sowers Plows Cotton cloth Medicine - 19 - Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Table 4 Material Aid Received by North Korea from Specified Countries of the Sino-Soviet Bloc 195+ (Continued) Country Commodity Railway equipment Railway rolling stock Machine tools Medicine Electrical equipment Motor cars Newsprint Gasoline Tractors and bulldozers Textile goods 1,000 tons of meat 10,000 leather coats 6,056 horses 9,106 goats 7,156 fleece sheep 427 milk cows - 20 - S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 S -E -C -R -E -T APPENDIX C METHODOLOGY The methodology employed in this report has been one of compilation of statements both from overt Sino-Soviet Bloc sources and from US intelligence reports. The statements varied in scope from announce- ments of over-all value of aid to reports of the movement of individ- ual items, and from them it was possible to derive a reasonably accu- rate estimate of the total aid program to North Korea, as well as its general composition, and to make a rough approximation of the probable level of barter trade. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A001000060001-1 S -E -C R -E -T APPENDIX D GAPS IN INTELLIGENCE The most significant gaps in intelligence on North Korean foreign trade are those relating to the total value of barter trade, its specific composition, and its distribution among Sino-Soviet Bloc countries. Other gaps exist with respect to the identity and amounts of non- trade payments (needed in estimating North Korea's balance of pay- ments); the specific identity of all materials and services provided under the aid program, including the amount of military deliveries; the method of valuation of aid deliveries; and positive evidence of a coordinated effort on the part of Bloc nations to rehabilitate the North Korean economy. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A001000060001-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 S -E -C -R -E -T APPENDIX E SOURCE REFERENCES Evaluations, following the classification entry and designated "Eval.," have the following significance: Source of Information Information Doc. - Documentary 1 - Confirmed by other sources A - Completely reliable 2 - Probably true B - Usually reliable 3 - Possibly true C - Fairly reliable 4 - Doubtful D - Not usually reliable 5 - Probably false E F - Not reliable - Cannot be judged 6 - Cannot be judged "Documentary" refers to original documents of foreign governments and organizations; copies or translations of such documents by a staff officer; or information extracted from such documents by a staff offi- cer, all of which may carry the field evaluation "Documentary." Evaluations not otherwise designated are those appearing on the cited document; those designated "RR" are by the author of this report. No "RR" evaluation is given when the author agrees with the evaluation on the cited document. FOIAb3bl - 25 - Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 OIAb3bl Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A001000060001-1 Next 3 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A001000060001-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 PROJECTS IN NORTH KOREA RECEIVING AID FROM THE SINO-SOVIET. BLOC 1-34 Projects from USSR 35-36 Projects from East Germany 37-44 Projects from Hungary 45-49 Projects from Czechoslovakia 50-54 Projects from Poland 55-56 Projects from Communist China O 25 50 75 MILES O 25 50 75 KILOMETERS 4. Sup'ung-dong Hydroeletric Power Plant 19. Suiho Power Plant 52. Sinch'ang Mines P79-01-',06,3-AG O41OOG?68 ?1 O 13. Huich'bn Vehicle Parts Factory 45. H6ich'Sn Auto Acessories Factory 46. Hulch'6n Machine Building Factory Sinch'ang1 1 Taeyu-dong If 1Makwon 7. Pyongyang Spinning Mill e. Pyongyang University 9. Pyongyang Radio Station Pukchinl HUich'6n! 24. Pukchin Machine Building Plant Kus6ng 1 44. Kustng Machine Tool Mill 10. P yongyang Reef Packing & Canning Plant 11, P yongyang Bleaching Power Manufacturing Plant 12. Morarbong Underground Theater 22. Central Broadcasting Station 23. International Hotel & other Government Buildings 37. Pyongyang Weights &-Measures Factory : 38. Pyongyang Railway Station Building 39. Assistance with 2 public buildings ' 40. Design for Art School 41. Design for Medical School 42. Design for State Art Theater 43. Design for Musical-Institute 50. West Pyongyang Railway Factory 56, Repair of major buildings 51.Anju Mines Anju _ -- Madong 15. Madong Cement Plant 5. Chinndmp'o Refinery 19. Nampo Glass Factory 26Nampo Shipyards 55. Nam-p'o Glass Factory SDngho-ri 31. Koksan Mines 121. Kangnam,dong Pottery Plant 20. Hwang-hoe Metallurgical Plant 35. Hwang has Iron Works 27. WSnsan Shipyards 54. W6nsan Railway Factory K O:' R E A t~rv~ 49. Hdch'Sn Power Plant I H6ch'6n 148. Pukl6n Power Plant Changjin 147. Changlin Power Plant 34. Sinp'o Fish Cannery Sinp'o 1 I (-USSR USSSR Aoli-dong' ` ^ 53. Aoli -dangMines ~u san Sugar Refinery ~ ^^ "'^^^ san us KdmdAk 132. KSmd6k Mines Hamhung }Pon'gung 17. Pon'gung Chemical Factory j { HTngnaro 6. Hungnam Chemical Fertiliser Plant S6ngjinI 2. Kim Cheek Iron Formicary 28. Ch'binginn Shipyards 29. Kim Cheek Shipyards SEA OF JAPAN Koksan 14912 1155 Approved For Release I 999/09 -01093AO0100006000.1-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1 SECRET SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093AO01 000060001 -1