THE FIXED NITROGEN INDUSTRY IN COMMUNIST CHINA

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CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9
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RIPPUB
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S
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67
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November 9, 2016
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July 6, 1999
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1
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Publication Date: 
September 1, 1954
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REPORT
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pproved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 PROVISIONAL INTELLIGENCE REPORT THE FIXED NITROGEN INDUSTRY IN COMMUNIST CHINA fdf_XI R VIEW DATE: ._. CIA RR PR-71 u~ 4 1 September 1954 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND REPORTS SE Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A0006000300 Approved For Release 1999109/26_ CIA~RbP79-0,1b93AOOO60003OQ01-9 WARNING This material contains information affecting the National Defense, of the United States within the meaning of the espionage laws, Title 18, USC, Secs. 793 and 794, the trans- mission or revelation of which in any manner to an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. Approved For Release 1999/09/26 CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 C0iMFJpKW TkAL US OFFICIALS ONLY PROVISIONAL INTELLIGENCE REPORT THE FIXED NITROGEN INDUSTRY IN COMMUNIST CHINA CIA/RR PR-71 (ORR Project 22.159) Office of Research and Reports Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T CONTENTS Page Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 I. Introduction . . . . . . . 2 A. Significance 2 B. Resources . . . . . . . 3 C. Natural Sources of Nitrogen . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 II. Production . . ? . . ? . . . ? . 4 A. History . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 T3. Recent Production . . 6 C. Determining a Nitrogen Balance 7 III. Consumption . . . . . . . . . 10 IV. Transportation Problems . . . . . . . . . . 14 A. Statement of the Problems . 14 B. Chemical Fertilizer . . . . . . 14 C. Other Fixed Nitrogen Products . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 V. Expansion Plans and Probabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 A. Synthetic Am, onia . . . . 15 B. Byproduct Nitrogen . . . . 18 C. Comparison of Nitrogen Capacity and Production . . . . 18 VI. Capabilities, Vulnerabilities, and Intentions . . . . . . . 19 A. Capabilities 19 B. Vulnerabilities . . ? . . . . . ? . . ? . . . . . . . 19 C. Intentions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ? ? ? . . ? 20 S-E-C-R-E- T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T Page Appendixes Appendix A. Imports of Ammonium Sulfate . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Appendix B. Fixed Nitrogen Plants in Communist China . . . . 23 Appendix C. -lethodolor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41 Appendix D. Gaps in Intelligence . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 Appendix E. Sources . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49 1. Estimated Production of Ammonium Sulfate in China, 1928-53 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 2. (N) Content of Ammonium Sulfate Produced in China, 1928-53 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3. Estimated Fixed Nitrogen (N) Capacity in China, 1928-53 . 9 4. Indexes of Production in Communist China, 1951-53 . . . . 11 5. Estimated Allocation of Production of Synthetic Ammonia in Communist China, 1951-53 . . ? . ? ? ? ? ? ? . . . . . 11 6. Estimated Consumption of Ammonium Sulfate Fertilizer in China, 1928-53 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 7. Estimated Material Requirements in Production of Ammonium Sulfate at Selected Plants in Communist China . . . . . . 16 8. Predicted Allocation of Production of Synthetic Ammonia in Communist China, 1954-55 . . . . ? . . . . . . . . . . 17 9. Imports of Ammonium Sulfate into China, 1924-S3 . . . . . 21 10. Indexes of Chinese and Japanese Production of Ammonium Sulfate, 1934-45 . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . 112 S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T Page 11. Indexes of Japanese Production of Dyestuffs, Nitric Acid, and Explosives, 1934-45 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 Figures Following Page 1. Communist China: Fixed Nitrogen (N) Capacity, 1928-53 . . 6 2. Communist China: Byproduct Nitrogen Capacity Compared with Ammonium Sulfate Production . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 3. Communist Chiina: Synthetic Nitrogen Capacity Compared with Ammonium Sulfate .Production . . . . . . . . . . . 8 4. Communist China: Synthetic Ammonia Production Allocation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 5. Communist China: Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Compared with Ammonium Sulfate Consumption . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 6. Communist China: Synthetic Ammonia, Estimated Allocation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 7. Communist China: Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates Com- pared with Production Estimates I8 8. Communist China: Ammonium Sulfate, Production Indexes . . 12 9. Communist China: Japanese Production Indexes . . . . . . 42 S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 CIA/RR PR-71 (ORR Project 22.159) S-E-C-R-E-T THE FIXED NITROGEN INDUSTRY IN CHINA* Summary In 1953, Communist China's consumption of chemical fixed nitrogen is estimated to.have been 107,280 metric tons.** This is approximately the same amount as is used in Poland. China imported 50,900 tons, or 47 percent of total 1953 consumption, from other countries. Agriculture consumed 91 percent of this fixed nitrogen, 100,780 tons, in the form of 475,000 tons of arrlimonium sulfate fertilizer. Of the remaining 6 percent, approximately 1 percent was used in military explosives and 5 percent for the production of industrial chemicals. Domestic production of ammonium sulfate is expected to rise from 235,000 tons in 1953 to 274,000 tons in 195L, and to 313,000 tons in 1955. The amounts of chemical fertilizers used in China are so small as to have little effect on total agricultural out- put. The primary crop upon which chemical fertilizers have been used, however, is cotton; this development has helped to make the Chinese Communists virtually self-sufficient in that commodity. The government is using chemical fertilizers to aid collectivization of agriculture by channeling available supplies to collectives rather than to privately operated farms. History has demonstrated a necaldity for fixed nitrogen capacity in time of war. During military emergency, nitrogen is diverted from the production of nonstrategic chemical fertilizers and dye- stuffs to increased production of nitric acid, for use in making explosives. Because the fixed nitrogen capacity of Communist China is inadequate for even peacetime requirements, it is believed that Chinese intentions are to expand capacity as rapidly as possible. * he estimates and conclusions contained in this report represent the best judgment of the responsible analyst as of 1 June 1954. Throughout this report tonnages are given in metric tons. S-E-C -R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T Under present conditions, however, the inadequacy of the Chinese chemical industry would force the government to depend almost entirely on foreign supply in the event of war. I. Introduction. A. Significance. The fixed nitrogen industry is important to the economy of Communist China for three reasons: (1) it contributes to increas- ing yields of agricultural crops as a fertilizer; (2) it is essen- tial for the production of explosives; and (3) some of its products enter into a variety of industrial uses, primarily into the chemical industry. In bulk-tonnage use of fixed nitrogen products, the agri- cultural sector consumes by far the largest proportion of Chinese production. The use of chemical nitrogen fertilizer in China is so small, however, that in terms of total agricultural production its effect is not pronounced. Furthermore, in 1953 approximately two-fifths of the chemical fertilizers used were imported. In terms of specific agricultural crops, the Chinese are emphasizing the use of chemical nitrogen fertilizer. This is particularly true in the case of cotton production, where fertilizers have materially assisted the Chinese in becoming self-sufficient. The Chinese Communist state is actively engaged in producing military and mining explosives. While large-scale warfare by the Chinese undoubtedly would require explosives from the USSR, as were supplied during the active fighting and military buildup of North "?;orea, the increasing domestic production of fixed nitrogen im- proves the Chinese war potential. Production of dyestuffs is probably restrained in favor of explosives manufacture -- it is possible to import dyes and utilize the domestic production of the required raw materials, including S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T concentrated nitric acid, an important fixed nitrogen product, for manufacturing explosives. Moreover; much of the specialized equip- ment used in making dyestuffs can be used in producing explosives. B. Resources. The fixed nitrogen industry of China depends upon three principal sources of nitrogen: nitrogen in the atmosphere and byproduct nitrogen of bituminous coal and oil shale processing. Modern technology has provided an economical method for fixing the nitrogen of the atmosphere, a system linking the production of fixed nitrogen products to an inexhaustible supply of raw. material. The fixed nitrogen products derived from bituminous coal are secondary products resulting from gasification of coal, a process used to produce fuel gas and coke. Also of a secondary nature are the fixed nitrogen products resulting during retorting of oil shale for its mineral oil content. However the fixing of nitrogen is accomplished, once it is "fixed" it enters a processing cycle which makes it available to Chinese industry and agriculture. By using techniques and equip- ment suitably adapted for the processing of ammonia, the initial product, nitrogen is transformed into an ammonia-water solution, liquid ammonia, nitric acid, ammonium sulfate, and/or other ammonium and nitrate salts. In addition to the three principal sources of fixed nitrogen, there are several other sources which are not developed to a signifi:- cant scale in China at the present time. The one which will require future consideration is the source of fixed nitrogen found in the production of calcium cyanamide which is obtained from calcium carbide. C. Natural Sources of Nitrogen. A traditional source of fixed nitrogen in China has been the production of potash salts from the processing of urine-contain- ing soils. Such processing has never advanced beyond the cottage industry level. Other natural sources of fixed nitrogen include organic and nonorganic materials. Nitrogen fixation is accomplished by certain soil organisms, called nitrogen fixers, as those living symbiotically on roots of various leguminous plants. Most important S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 of the organic sources include animal manures, bean cakes, and night soil, all of which are widely used in China as fertilizer and provide significant amounts of nitrogen for Chinese agriculture. Additional organic sources include dried blood, tankage (from garbage), sewage disposal sludge, bone meal, dried albumin, dried fish scraps, oil meal resulting from the expressing of oil from soy beans, cottonseed, and groundnuts. Small deposits of sodium nitrate similar to the large natural deposits of inorganic "Chile saltpeter" are also found in China. The working of these natural deposits is not, however, a significant factor in the supply of fixed nitrogen. A. History. Production of synthetic ammonia was undertaken in China during the thirties. In 1935 the Manchurian Chemicals Company, a Japanese firm, began operating a large plant at Kanching-tzu. 1/* Following the occupation of the mainland by the Japanese, production of ammonia expanded considerably in the occupied portions of China and Manchuria. The drive for industrialization of this portion of their empire came to fruition, in one sense, in the production of ammonia, both synthetic and byproduct. At first the bulk of production was converted into ammonium sulfate fertilizer, reaching a peak production of 259,000 tons in 1938. (See Table 1.)** Then as the Japanese became more deeply involved in war, larger quantities were diverted to the manufacture of explosives and other related chemicals. Following the capitulation of Japan in 19115, Soviet dis- mantling in Manchuria and Communist and Nationalist civil strife resulted in destruction of processing facilities and of large portions of the industries supporting the production of fixed nitrogen products. 2/ By 1950 the efforts of the Communists to restore and replace production facilities damaged or stolen during the immediate postwar period resulted in a total production of 65, 000 tons of anur.onium sulfate, about 25 percent of the 1938 level. * Footnote references in arabic numerals are to sources listed in Appendix E. -'~ Table 1 follows on p. 5. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T Estimated Production of Ammonium Sulfate in China 1928-53 3/ Year Byproduct Sources Synthetic Sources Total Production Percent Synthetic to Total 1928 11,300 o 11.300 0 1929 11,900 0 11,900 1930-32 No Data Available 1933 28,900 0 2 8, 900 0 1934 27,200 0 27,200 0 1935 39,000 118, 000 1574000 75 1936 39,000 142,000 181,000 79 1937 42,000 180,000 a/ 222,000 81 1938 60,000 199,000 13/ 259,000 77 1939 46,000 144, 000 F/ 1901000 76 1940 36,000 175,000 5/ 211,000 83 1941 57,000 163,000 '/ 220,000 74 1942 1~8, 000 103,000 151,000 68 1943 45,QOO 54,000 .99,000 55 1944 29,000 78,000 107,000 55 1945-49 No Data Available 1950 30,000 c/ 35, 000 c/ 65, 000 54 1951 d/ 69,000 82,000 _ 151, 000 54 1952 e/ 90,000 106,000 196,000 54 1953 1/ 108,000 127,000 235,000 54 a. To the known production from synthetic sources is added 35,000 metric tons, the estimated production of the Liu-ho Yungli Chemical Works during 1937. This estimate is based on the fact that the plant started up in February 1937, and was reported operating at capacity up until seizure by the Japanese in November 1937. b. To known production from synthetic sources is added 30,000 metric tons, the estimated annual production of the Liu-ho Works, under Japanese operation for the years 1938-41. The plant is believed to have ceased operations in 1941 for lack of coal sup- plies, and no subsequent production for the pre-V-J Day period is estimated. Operation by the Japanese was reported to have been at about 60 percent of capacity during 1938. -5- S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T Estimated Production of Ammonium Sulfate in China 1928-53 (Continued) c. By-product and synthetic production or 1950 estimated on the basis of available data on operative plant capacity, partially supported by the ratio of synthetic production to the total estimated for 1950. d. Production for 1951 is based on an estimated rate of increase of sulfuric acid production, a direct input item, 1951 over 1950. The percentage ratio of synthetic production to the total is. estimated to be the same as 1950, supported by direct interpola- tion between 1953 and 1950 estimates of production. e. Production for 1952 is based on the reported Chinese Communist plan figure of 130, with the 1951 production index being 100. The percentage ratio of synthetic production to the total is estimated the same as 1950, supported by direct interpolation between 1953 and 1950 estimates of production. f. Production-for 1953 is estimated on the basis of available data which indicate maximum utilization of plant capacity. This estimate is supported by Chinese Communist announcements of expansion programs undertaken during 1953, which are to increase the amounts of domes- tic fertilizer available for consumption. The percentage ratio of synthetic production to the total is based on the individual plant production estimates. B. Recent Production. Recent efforts in the fixed nitrogen field have been inten- sive, since the production of fixed nitrogen at once feeds the demands of war, industrialization, and agriculture. As indicated in Table 1 and Figure 1,* these efforts resulted in a total pro- duction of 235,000 tons of ammonium sulfate in 1953, approximately 90 percent of the 1938 peak. Table 1 shows estimated production of ammonium sulfate in China, 1928-53. Figure 1 follows p. 6. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 H Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-G-R-E-T C. Determining a Nitrogen Balance. The common denominator for fixed nitrogen products, both synthetic and byproduct, is nitrogen. Amounts of fixed nitrogen products can be compared on the basis of their common denominator. This is what is generally referred to as a "nitrogen balance." In considering the data available for obtaining a nitrogen balance of Chinese fixed nitrogen products, the first step is to reduce the established production figures for ammonium sulfate to (N).* The data presented in Table l * have been converted to (N) and are presented in the converted form in Table 2.*** The record of Chinese plant capacity for production of fixed nitrogen is then introduced, along with estimates of maximum operable capacity for production for the years 1950 and 1953. These data are presented in Table 3',-:i* and are shown in Figure 1.***** Outstanding trends indicated in these data are: (1) a significant increase in capacity for fixed nitrogen production in 1935, when the first plants for production of synthetic ammonia were installed; and (2) a rapid buildup of capacity for byproduct fixed nitrogen production during the period 1911.0-44, when intensive efforts were made by the Japanese to build war potential by con- structing metallurgical coke and shale oil plants. In Figure the data on byproduct ammonium sulfate production ;riven in Table 2 have been compared with byproduct capacity indicated in Table 3. Trends indicated in this compari- son are: (1) ammonium sulfate production fell off during the war years of .191.11-L against a rapid increase in capacity for byproduct pro du.ction,'and (2) production estimates for 1950-53 follow closely capacity interpolations between the same years. is his symbol designates the nitrogen content. ,, P. 5, above. Table 2 follows on p. 8. x ; f Table 3 follows on p. 9. Following p. 6, above. ',-~i'88,P- Figure 2 follows p. 8. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T (N) Content of Ammonium Sulfate Produced in China 1928-53 Year Byproduct Sources Synthetic Sources Total 1928 2,400 0 2,400 1929 2,520 0 2,520 1930-32 No Data Available 1933 6,130 0 6,130 1934 5,770 0 5,770 1935 8,300 25,000 33,300 1936 8,300 30,100 38,400 1937 8,900 38,200 47,100 1938 12,800 42,200 55,000 1939 9,700 30,600 40,300 1940 7,600 37,200 44,800 1941 12,000 34,600 46,600 1942 10,200 21,800 32,000 1943 9,500 11,500 21,000 1944 6,200 16,500 22,700 1945-49 No Data Available 1950 6,400 7,400 13,800 1951 14,600 17,400 32,000 1952 19,100 22,500 41,600 1953 22,900 27,000 49,900 Comparison of synthetic ammonium sulfate production figures in terms of (N) with synthetic nitrogen capacity (see Figure 3)* indicates that: (1) since ammonium sulfate production drops rapidly during the war years 1940-43 against an increase in capacity, a buildup of synthetic ammonia capacity increases war potential; and (2) production estimates for the years 1950-53 parallel the estimated buildup of operable capacity to 1953. %~ Figure 3 f lows p. 8. - 8 - S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 d W ? W U --- a \ ` / I i I I I Ile i Us 00< Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 SECRET Figure 3 COMMUNIST CHINA SYNTHETIC NITROGEN CAPACITY COMPARED WITH AMMONIUM SULFATE PRODUCTION SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T Table 3 Estimated Fixed Nitrogen (N) Capacity in China 4/ 1928-53 Year Byproduct Sources Synthetic Sources Total 1928 3,100 0 3,100 1929 3,100 0 3,100 1930 6,300 0 6,300 1931 . 7,200 0 7,200 1932 7,200 0 7,200 1933 7,200 0 7,200 1934 10,400 0 10,400 1935 11,000 38,400 49,400 1936 11,000 38,400 49,400 1937 12,400 51,400 63,800 1938 14,000 51,400 65,400 1939 14,000 51,400 65,400 1940 14,000 51,400 65,400 1941 15,900 56,400 72,300 1942 2.5, 400 56,400 81,800 1943 29,400 56,400 85,800 1944 36,700 56,400 93,100 1945-49 No Data Available 1950 7,300 11,400 21,700 '1951 No Data Available 1952 No Data Available 1953 25,500 32,40 57,900 There are not enough data on the production of the important fixed nitrogen products other than ammonium sulfate to allow direct examination. However, this production contributes directly to Chinese military strength in the form of such products as ammonium nitrate and nitric acid. Fortunately, there is a historical refer- ence to productive capacity for these products in Chinese synthetic ammonia installations, and some recent Communist government produc- tion indexes are available to permit a partial analysis and inclusion S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T in a nitrogen balance. The Chinese Communist State Statistical Bureau in Peiping has announced nitric acid and ammonium nitrate planning and accomplishment in terms of production indexes, with 1951 as the base year. 5/ Table 4 presents these indexes of pro- duction in Communist China.* Maximum capacity for production of these products at syn- thetic ammonia plants believed to have been operable in 1953 is estimated as follows: (1) nitric acid, 20,100 tons per year, or 4:500 tons (N) per year; and (2) ammonium nitrate, 11;400 tons per year, or 2,000 tons (r?)a, per year. Operation of these facilities for the production of nitric acid and ammonium nitrate is estimated at 100 percent of capacity during 1953, on the basis of Chinese announcements on planned or actual expansion of facilities during 1953. 6/ It is believed that announcement of expansion assumes maximum operation of existing facilities. Applying the Chinese Communist production factors to the estimated production capacity for nitric acid and ammonium nitrate, production is indicated in comparison with estimated production of ammonium sulfate in Table 5.'H-F; In Figure 4.,**** allocation of synthetic ammonia production (as nitrogen) for the products listed above is shown graphically for the years 1951-1953. It will be noted that production estimates, as total nitrogen are 3.4 percent above the capacity estimate for 1953. It is believed that this variance is within a reasonable limit of error. III. Consumption. Because agricultural production has always been the foundation of China's economy, it is apparent that the bulk of fixed nitrogen consumption has been chiefly in the agricultural sector. Chinese * Tamefollows on p. 11. '** The fixed nitrogen portion indicated represents only the ammonium part of ammonium nitrate. The fixed nitrogen portion of the nitrate is included in the nitric acid estimate. -H ? Table 5 follows on p. 11. ?'** Figure 4 follows p. 10. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-PECRET Figure 4 COMMUNIST CHINA SYNTHETIC AMMONIA - PRODUCTION ALLOCATION 1952 SECR1Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Table 4 Indexes of Production in Communist China 1951-53 Fixed Nitrogen 1951 1952 1953 Production Plan Acco Plan Accomp. Plan Accomp. Nitric Acid N.A. 100 164 176 236 N.A. Ammonium Nitrate N.A. 100 108 169 223 N.A. Table 5 Estimated Allocation of Production of Synthetic Ammonia in Communist China 1951-53 1951 1952 1953 Equivalent Product Equivalent Product Equivalent Product (N) (N) - _ . (N) Nitric Acid 8, 500 1"900 15, 000 3,360 20,100 4 500 Ammonium Nitrate 5,100 900 8,650 1,520 11,400 , 000 2 Ammonium Sulfate 82,000 17,400 106,000 22,500 127,000 , 27,000 Totals 95,600 20,200 129,650 27,380 158,500 33,500 S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 consumption of nitrogen during 1953 amounted to an estimated 107,280 tons. A breakdown of these requirements follows: (N) Content Agriculture (As ammonium sulfate fertilizer) 100,780 tons* Military explosives (As propellants and high explosives) 1,790 Industrial chemicals Nitric acid 2,710 Ammonium nitrate 2,000 Total 107,280 Using the data presented in Table 2.,** in combination with the net imports into China of ammonium sulfate as nitrogen, consump- tion of ammonium sulfate fertilizer as- nitrogen may be estimated. This combination of data is presented in Table 6.**** The estimated consumption of ammonium sulfate as nitrogen is compared with total Chinese capacity for production of fixed nitrogen in Figure 5.** It is clear from an analysis of the Chinese Communist press that requirements of-nitrogen as chemical fertilizers greatly exceed the current supply, including imports. Crop yields per acre could be significantly increased if adequate supplies of chemical fertili- zers were available. Long-range plans are to increase the supply of chemical nitrogen fertilizer. Since an increase of agricultural production remains the principal source of investment funds for Chinese Communist industrialization goals, a high priority may be assigned to such a program. Moreover, Communist China is not This quantity includes 50,880 tons of nitrogen imported as ammonium sulfate fertilizer. ** P. 8, aboie. 3** Net imports adjusted during the years 1928-lth for Manchurian and pre-World War II Chinese trade. Table 6 follows on p. 13. Figure 5 follows p. 12. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 z 0 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 N Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C -R-E-T Table 6 Estimated Consumption of Ammonium Sulfate Fertilizer in China 1928-53 7/ Nitrogen Equivalent in Metric Tons Ammonium Sulfate (N) Total (N) Year Ammonium Sulfate Production (N) Net International Trade (+) Imports (-) Exports Estimated Consumption 1928 2,400 (?) 20,940 23,340 1929 2,520 ( 21,990 24,510 1930 3,500 a/ e 39,870 43,370 1931 4,400 a/ (4) 27,250 31,650 1932 5,300 a/ (4) 17., 910 23, 210 1933 6,130 (+) 14,330 20,460 1934 5,770 (+) 4,630 10,400 1935 33,300 (-) 6,430 26,870 1936 38,400 (-) 11,110 27,290 1937 47,100 (+) 1,880 48,980 1938 55,000 (.-) 22,430 32, 570 1939 40,300 (4) 470 40)770 1940 44,800 (-) 11, 634 33,170 1941 46,600 (-) 23,050 23,550 1942 32,000 ( j 8,500 23,550 1943 21,000 + 3,240 24,240 1944 22,700 0 223700 1945-1949 No Data Available 1950 13, 800 (+) 21,200 35, 000 1951 32,000 (+) 21,200 53, 200 1952 41,600 (4) 47,700 89,300 1953 49,900 (+) 50,880 100, 7 80 a. Obtained by interpolation from Figure 2. - 13 - S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T self-sufficient with respect to the production of military explosives, which require nitrogen, particularly smokeless powder and bursting charges. The agricultural, ammunition, and industrial requirements for nitrogen are such that they will be unable to fulfill them through the period of the First Five Year Plan, ending in 1957. IV. Transportation Problems. A. Statement of the Problems. Transportation is an essential element in the study of fixed nitrogen in China because of the physical bulk of the raw materials and of the manufactured products. In obtaining byproduct nitrogen from coal, a very small percentage of the total coal bulk is yielded in fixed nitrogen. This same condition holds in the recovery of fixed nitrogen in the retorting of oil shale. Fixed nitrogen obtained from synthetic ammonia processes also requires bulky amounts of coal and coke. And finally, the chief product in terms of bulk is ammonium sulfate fertilizer. Distribution to individual agricultural systems, ranging from the peasant to the collective farm, creates a particularly difficult transportation problem. Aside from a consideration of the transportation problem in terms of bulk, other problems arise from the special nature of certain fixed nitrogen products. Precautions must be taken in handling of nitric acid, a highly corrosive liquid, and also in transporting ammonium nitrate, a highly explosive material. Special shipping containers are required to transport such products as liquid ammonia, which is gaseous at atmospheric pressures and must be compressed and confined to be handled as a liquid. B. Chemical Fertilizer. Tonnages of chemical fertilizer handled by the Chinese Communist transportation system amount to some one-half million tons per year. Tradition, climate, and usage have determined that the bulk of fixed nitrogen fertilizer is ammonium sulfate. Approxi- mately 50 percent of the ammonium sulfate consumed in China is imported from other countries, which involves at least 25 ocean- going ships capable of handling 10,000 tons each when fully loaded. Distribution within China involves about 25,000 Chinese railway - 14 - S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T freight cars, each containing 20 tons. Because railway transporta- tion is not sufficiently available to agricultural areas, a large part of the ammonium sulfate is distributed by river junk, motor truck, cart, hand truck, and by manual labor. The domestic manufacture of ammonium sulfate involves the metallurgical coke, fuel gas, shale oil, sulfuric acid, and synthetic ammonia manufacturing plants of China. These plants require coal, oil shale, coke, pyrites, and sulfuric acid. In this industry, supply of the large tonnages of basic raw materials is provided by modern transportation nets. These nets include the present-day Chinese railways, canals, river and coastal shipping systems, and motor truck transport. An estimate of the quantities of materials involved in the manufacture of ammonium sulfate by various methods is shown in Table 7.* C. Other Fixed Nitrogen Products. Little is known of the specific transportation problems arising in the actual transfer of other fixed nitrogen products such as nitric acid, ammonium nitrate explosives, or liquid ammonia. However, these materials, while of strategic importance, do not bulk as large as the movement of fertilizer nitrogen. In addition, many of the transportation problems involved in movement of materials mentioned above consist of inter-plant transfers, using primarily the modern transportation nets of the industrial sector. (Example: the Chiang-ch-un rail net in the industrial Northeast.) V. Expansion Plans and Probabilities. P. Synthetic Ammonia. Chinese intentions are to expand existing synthetic ammonia plants. It is believed that they will also construct new plants. At least one site for the construction of a new plant has been located. Production estimates for 1953 have been based on maximum utilization of plant capacity. These estimates have been supported Table o ws on p. 16. - 15 - S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C R-E-T Table 7 Estimated Material Requirements in Production of Ammonium Sulfate at Selected Plants in Communist China 1. Coal byproduct (example: An-shan Iron and Steel Combine) a. Production-ammonium sulfate 21,800 b. Coal required 1,900,000 c. Iron pyrites required 15,100 d. Sulfuric acid required 16,200 2. Oil Shale byproduct (example: Fu-shun No. 1 Plant) a. Production-ammonium sulfate 75,000 b. Oil shale required 7,500,000 c. Iron pyrites required 51,900 d. Sulfuric acid required 55,600 3. Synthetic ammonia plant (example: Liu-ho Yungli Works) a. Production-ammonium sulfate 61,300 b. Coal required 50,800 c. Coke required 314,800 d. Sulfuric acid required 13,500 e. Iron pyrites required 146,000 by information which indicates expansion activities under way at both the Dairen Chemical Works and at the Liu-ho Yungli Chemical Works. At the Dairen Works expansion plans, apparently begun in April 1953, were reported in progress in late 1953 and are expected to require a minimum of 3 years. 8/ Expansion of the Liu ho Yungli Chemical Works was announced as completed in November 1953. 9/ Prior to the collapse of the Nationalist Government on the Chinese mainland, the Liu-ho Yungli Chemical Company had started con- struction of a synthetic ammonia plant at Wu-t'ung-chriao, in Szechwan Province, near the wartime provisional capital of Chung-ch'ing. 10/ This plant contained enough equipment to warrant completion of the S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T project, and it is believed that Chinese efforts will be directed toward completion. In view of this construction activity, capacity for producing synthetic ammonia as nitrogen for 1954 is estimated at 37,000 tons (N), and for 1955 at 46,000 tons (N). These are compared with production estimates for nitric acid, ammonium nitrate, and ammonium sulfate -- all as nitrogen -- and the predicted allocation of production of synthetic ammonia in Communist China is given in Table 8. Table 8 Predicted Allocation of Production of Synthetic Ammonia in Communist China 1954-55 1954 1955 Product Equivalent (N) Product Equivalent (N) Nitric Acid 24,800 5,500 29,300 6,500 Ammonium Nitrate 13,100 2,300 15,400 2,700 Ammonium Sulfate 749,000 31,500 169,000 35,900 Total 186,900 39,300 213,700 45,100 The above estimates are compared graphically in Figure 6.* It will be noted that capacity and production estimates vary as follows: (1) production estimates, total nitrogen, are 6.2 per- cent higher than the capacity estimate for 1954; and (2) the capacity estimate is 5.1 percent higher than production estimates for 1955. It is believed that this variance is within a reasonable limit of error. Figure 6 follows p. 18. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T B. Byproduct Nitrogen. Capacity for production of byproduct nitrogen is expanding -- additional byproduct coking and oil shale plants are undergoing con- struction at existing plant sites, and at least one major byproduct coking plant is reported under construction at a new site. Capacity estimates for 1953 have been based on a considera- tion of this expansion of Chinese byproduct plants. Expansion activities have been reported at the Fu-shun Shale Oil Plant 11/ and at the An-shan Iron and Steel Plant during 1953. 12/ Comple- tion of the An-shan expansion is indicated to be in 1554, 13 but it is believed that the Fu-shun plant will not be fully expanded until 1955. Further expansion of the T'ai-yuan byproduct coking plant was announced as completed in 1953. 14/ Plans for expansion of byproduct coking plants have been reportd since 1950 at Kung- yUan 15/ and Peiping. 16/ Construction of a plant at Choi-lin, a new site for byproduct coking, began in 1951. Completion of this plant is to be in 1954. 17/ On the basis of reported expansion in byproduct nitrogen capacity, predicted capacities for production of byproduct nitrogen are: 1954, 29,700 metric tons (N); and 1955, 38,000 metric tons (N). C. Comparison of Nitrogen Capacity and Production. In Figure 7* these capacity estimates have beencombined with synthetic nitrogen estimates, and with earlier capacity data from Table 3,-,Ht to show a comparison with total nitrogen production. as obtained from data in Table 23*** and Table 5**** and projection of byproduct nitrogen production data shown in Chart 2.***** Total capacity and production data show relatively close agreement except for 1955, when the predicted rapid increase in byproduct nitrogen plant capacity results in capacity rising above projected production. Figured follows p. 18. P. 9, above. P. 8, above. P. 11, above. Following p. 8, above. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Figure 6 COMMUNIST CHINA SYNTHETIC AMMONIA ESTIMATED ALLOCATION 1955 SECREApproved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 SECRET Figure 7 COMMUNIST CHINA FIXED NITROGEN CAPACITY ESTIMATES COMPARED WITH PRODUCTION ESTIMATES Estimated Capacity / Estimated Production / SECRETApproved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T VI. Capabilities, Vulnerabilities, and Intentions. A. Capabilities. The fixed nitrogen industry of China is incapable of meeting domestic demands. To meet the demand for chemical nitrogen fertili- zer, about one-half of the supply is imported from abroad. The Chinese Communist government is instrumental in controlling the allocation of chemical nitrogen fertilizer to various segments,of agriculture. Since importation is directly controlled by the state, it is probable that the government is encouraging use of chemical nitrogen fertilizer above the capacity of the domestic industry to produce it. While the amounts of ammonium nitrate and nitric acid are considered inadequate for domestic requirements, it is believed that they are being used in increasing amounts in the production of explosives. This trend is predicted as continuing, with fairly constant allocation of some 6 percent of the synthetic ammonia production into ammonium nitrate. Nitric acid allocation is pre- dicted as rising from 9.4 percent in 1951 to 14.4 percent in 1955, indicating an apparently increasing demand by industry for nitric acid. The most obvious vulnerability of the Chinese fixed nitrogen industry is its dependence upon an external supply of approximately one-half of the fixed nitrogen consumed. This dependence upon foreign sources of supply indicates inadequacy of technical equip- ment and/or raw materials and personnel for production of sufficient domestic fixed nitrogen. External supply of fixed nitrogen has taken a number of forms: (1) supply of "nonstrategic"* ammonium sulfate fertilizer from Western countries, carried by Western shipping 18/; (2) supply of "strategictt** ammonium nitrate from USSR and European Satellites * "Nons rt ategic" means types of products which are destined for civilian consumption. 3* "Strategic" means types of products having an actual or potential use as war material. - 19 - S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T using Communist transportation 19/; (3) supply of nonstrategic dyestuffs from both Western and Communist countries 20/; (4) supply of strategic chemical processing equipment from USSR and European Satellites 21/; and (5) supply of technical manpower from USSR and European Satellites. 22/ Within the Chinese fixed nitrogen industry, the byproduct division has been receiving substantial amounts of production equip- ment, apparently because of the importance of metallurgical coke and shale oil production to the industrial economy of the country. The synthetic ammonia division. of the domestic fixed nitrogen industry, on the other hand, apparently has not received any new equipment beyond requirements for restoring existing plant capacity to top efficiency. This is believed to indicate that all objectives of Chinese Communist industrialization cannot be met simultaneously. C. Intentions. The fixed nitrogen industry of Communist China is an indicator of intentions only to the extent that a marked shift in the use pattern from agricultural and normal industrial applications to the expanded manufacture of explosives might indicate preparation for military activity. At the present time, there is no apparent shift of that nature. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T APPENDIX A IMPORTS OF AMMONIUM SULFATE Growth of imports into China, as indicated in Table 9, demon- strate the increasing demand for ammonium sulfate fertilizer. Imports of Ammonium Sulfate into China 23/ (Prewar boundaries except as noted) 1924-53 Metric Tons Year Amount Year 1924 17,000 1939 122,200 1925 23,800 1940 26,400 1926 49,800 1941 10,500 1927 55,300 1942 9,900 1928 105,100 1943 15,400 1929 112,300 1944 N.A. 1930 189,500 1945 N.A. 1931 139,700 1946 50,500 1932 112,800 1947 87,600 1933 101,200 1948 20,000 a/ 1934 49,900 1949 N.A. 1935 68,600 1950 100,000 a/ b/ 1936 124,000 1951 100,000 a/ b/ 1937 163,)400 1952 225,000 a/ b/ 1938 106,400 1953 240,000 9/ b/ a. Estimate b. Present area of Communist China. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T APPENDIX B FIXED NITROGEN PLANTS IN CO12AUNIST CHINA I. Plants on Which There Is Reliable Information. A. Dairen Chemical Plant. 24/ 1. Location: Kan-ching-tzu 2. Coordinates: Kwantung, 490)21 N - 119?L1' E 3. 1.. Started operations: 1935 Raw Material Sources: Synthetic Ammonia: 5. Processes: Synthetic Byproduct 6. 8. 60 metric tons per Ammonium sulfate 200 Nitric acid (50 percent) 5 Nitric acid (98 percent) 40 Ammonium nitrate 20 Sodium nitrate 0.1 S-E-C-R-E-T Equipment : Nitrogen: Air liquefaction Hydrogen: Coke oven-water gas Byproduct Ammonia: Coal Ammonia: Uhde Method Ammonia: Otto Byproduct Coking Synthetic Ammonia: Byproduct Ammonia: Method 2 Uhde Synthesis Units 20 Otto Byproduct Ovens Nitric acid (50 percent) Nitric acid (98 percent) Ammonium nitrate Sodium nitrate Ammonia Ammonium sulfate Capacities: Ammonia day (rated capacity) Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T 9. Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: Period Metric Tons (N) 1928-1934 0 1935-1940 37, 000 synthetic 550 byproduct 1941-1944 55,000 synthetic 700 byproduct 1945-1949 N.A. 1950 0 1951-1952 N.A. 1953 18,000 synthetic 310 byproduct 10. Comments: Three Uhde synthetic units were looted by the Soviets. A construction pro grain, reportedly undertaken in April 1953, is estimated to take three years to complete. The plant was riot producing byproduct or synthetic ammonia in 1949. It has operated.in partlas a chemical plant in support of explosives production since 1949. Yung Li Chemical Works. 1. Location: Liu-ho 25/ 2. Coordinates: Kiangsu, 32020' N - 1180 51' E 3. Started operating: 1937 4. Raw Material Sources: Synthetic Ammonia Nitrogen: Air-producer gas Hydrogen: Coke-water gas 5. Processes: Synthetic Ammonia: A merican (Nitrogen Engi- nearing Corporation) Method 6. 7. 1 N.E.C. Synthesis Unit Ammonium sulfate Nitric acid (63 percent) Nitric acid (98 percent) Ammonium nitrate Equipment: Synthetic Products: Ammonia - 24 - S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T 8. Capacities: Ammonia 45 metric tons per Ammonium sulfate 135 Nitric acid (63 percent) 10 Nitric acid (98 percent) 10 Ammonium nitrate 10 9. Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: day (rated capacity) Period Metric Tons (N) 1928-1934 0 1935-1944 13,000 synthetic 1945-1949 N.A. 1950-1953 13,000 synthetic 10. Comments: Expansion of the synthetic ammonia plant was announced as completed in November 1953. Its pre-expansion capacity is estimated at 4,167 tons per month in June 1953. Its post-expansion capacity is estimated-as 5,250 tons per month in August 1953 and 6,100 tons per month in December 1953. C. Tien-Li Nitrogen Plant. 1. Location: Shanghai 26/ 2. Coordinates: Kiangsu, 310i41 N - 1210281 E 3. Started Operating: 1935 4. Raw Material Sources: Synthetic Ammonia: Nitrogen: Air-hydrogen combus- t ion Hydrogen: Electrolysis of water 5. Processes: Synthetic Ammonia: American (Nitrogen Engi- neering Corporation) Method 6. Equipment: Synthetic Ammonia: 1 N.E.C. Synthesis Unit 7. Products: Ammonia Nitric acid (63 percent) Nitric acid (98 percent) Ammonium nitrate - 25 - S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T 8. Capacities: Ammonia Nitric acid (63 percent) Nitric acid (98 percent) 4 metric tons per day (rated capacity) 12 7.5 9. Ammonium nitrate Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: 2.5 Period Metric Tons (N) 1928-1934 0 1935-1944 1,400 synthetic 1945-1949 N.A. 1950-1953 1,400 synthetic D. Fu-shun -lining Bureau, West Shale Oil Refinery. 1. location: Fu-shun 27/ 2. Coordinates: Liaotung, 41?52' N - 1230531 3. Started Operating: 1930 Li.. Law Material Source: Byproduct Ammonia: Oil Shale 5. Processes: Retorting of oil shale 6. Equipment: 100 metric ton retorts: 80 (capacity 150,000 tons crude oil per year) 200 metric ton retorts: 60 (capacity 225,000 tons crude oil per year) 7. Products: Ammonium sulfate 8. Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: Tmtric Tons (;) 1928-1929 0 1930-1933 3,200 byproduct 1934-1941 6,400 byproduct 1942-1944 15,900 byproduct 1945-1949 N.A. 1940 4,250 byproduct 1951-1952 N.A. 1953 15,900 byproduct S-E-C-R-h-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T 9. Comments: The plant was reported in two-thirds operation in 1950. From July to December 1952 a production of 185,000 metric tons crude shale oil was reported. E. Fu-shun Mining Bureau, East Shale Oil Refinery. 1. Location: Fu-shun 28/ 2. Coordinates: Liaotung, 41052' N - 135?35' E 3. Started Operating: 19411. 4. Raw Material Source: Byproduct Ammonia: Oil Shale 5. Process: Retorting of oil shale 6. Equipment: 150 metric ton retorts: 60 (capacity 170,000 tons crude oil per year) 7. Product: Ammonium sulfate 8. Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: Period Metric Tons (N) 1928-1943 0 1944 7,200 byproduct 1945-1949 1.A . 1950-1953 0 9. Comments: This plant ceased operations in 1945, but was reported under reconstruction in 1953. F. Fu-shun Coke Plant. 1. Location: Fu-shun 29/ 2. Coordinates: Liaotung, 41?52' N - 123?53' F 3. Started Operating: 1915 4. Raw Material Source: Byproduct Ammonia: Coal 5. Process: Koppers Byproduct Coking Method 6. Equipment: 30 Koppers Byproduct Ovens (capacity 136 metric tons coke per day) 7. Products: Ammonium sulfate S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T 8. Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: Period Metric Tons (N) 1928-1944 160 byproduct 1945-1949 N.A. 1950 0 1951-1952 N.A. 1953 160 9. Comments: The coke ovens were reported as inoperative in 1947-1948. The gas plant was reported in operation in 1953- G. An-shan Iron and Steel Works. 1. Location: An-shan 30/ 2. Coordinates: Liaotung, 410071 N - 122?571 E 3. Started Operating: 1920 4. Raw Material Source: Byproduct Ammonia 5. Process: Koppers and Otto Byproduct Coking Methods 6. Equipment: 432 Otto and 240 Koppers Byproduct Ovens 7. Products: Ammonium sulfate 8. Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: Period Metric Tons (N) 1928-1930 0 1930 1,300 byproduct 1931-1936 2,200 byproduct 1937 3,140 byproduct 1938-1942 4,750 byproduct 1943-1944 9,760 byproduct 1945-1949 N.A. 1950 1,090 byproduct 1951-1952 N.A. 1953 4,520 byproduct 9. Comment: First production under Communist government was reported in June 1949. The rebuilding of inoperative batteries has been reported in progress since June 1952. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T H. Pen-ch'i Coal and Iron Works. 31/ 1. Location: Pen-ch'i 2. Coordinates: Liaotung, 41?20' N - 123?45' E 3. Started Operating: 1927 4. Raw Material Source: Byproduct Ammonia: Coal 5. Process: Kuroda (?) Byproduct Coking Method 6. Equipment: 98 Kuroda (?) Byproduct Ovens (capacity 700 tons coke per day) 7. Products : Ammonium sulfate 8. Capacity: Ammonium sulfate - 2,600 tons per year 9. Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: Period Metric Tons (N) 1928-1944 860 byproduct 1945-1949 N.A. 1950-1953 860 byproduct 10. Continents: The plant was reported to be operating in the fall of 1951 at 700 tons coke per day. I. Pen-ch'i Coal and Iron Works. 32/ 1. Location: Kung-ygan 2. Coordinates: Liaotung, 41018' N - 123?45' E 3. Started Operations: 1941 4. Raw Material Source: Byproduct Ammonia: Coal 5. Process: Otto Byproduct Coking Method 6. Equipment: 120 Otto Byproduct Ovens (capacity 1,LGOO tons per day) 7. Products: Ammonium sulfate 8. Capacity: Ammonium sulfate - 10,000 tons per year 9. Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: Period Metric Tons (N) 1928-1936 0 1937-1944 1,720 byproduct 1945-1949 N.A. 1950 0 1951-1952 N.A. 1953 1,720 byproduct S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T 10. Comments: Operation of 40 coke ovens was reported in the fall of 1951, as well as the ammonium sulfate plant. Extensive removals by Soviets were reported after V-J Day. J. Kirin Chemical Works. 33/ 1. Location: Chi-lin 2. Coordinates: Kirin, 43?511 N - 126?33' E 3. Started Operating: 1942 4. Raw Material Source: Byproduct Ammonia: Coal 5. Process: Otto Byproduct Coking Method 6. Equipment: 38 Otto Byproduct Ovens (estimated capacity 960 tons coke per day) 7. Products: Ammonia liquor 8. Capacity: Ammonia liquor - 10 tons per day of 25 ercent NH li uor p q 3 9. Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: Period Metric Tons (N) 1928-1953 0 10. Comments: One battery of byproduct coke ovens was reported to be operating in 1953. Reconstruction, begun in 1951, is to be completed in 1954. Y. Shih-ching-shan Iron and Steel Works. 34/ 1. Location: Peiping 2. Coordinates: Hopeh, 39?561 N - 116?241 E 3. Started Operating: 1938 4. Raw Material Source: Byproduct Ammonia: Coal 5. Process: Semet-Solvay, Mitsui (?), and Kuroda Byproduct Coking Methods 6. Equipment: 100 Semet-Solvay Byproduct Ovens (capacity 400 metric tons coke per day) 35 Mitsui (? ) 65 Kuroda S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: Period Metric Tons (N) 1928-1937 0 1938-1944 120 byproduct 7945-1949 N.A. 1950 240 byproduct 1951-1952 N.A. 1953 480 byproduct 8. Continents: In 1949, 50 Semet-Solvay coke ovens were reported in operation. The 1950 plans called for rebuilding batteries Nos. 2 and 3. The production goal was announced as 1,30,000 metric tons of coke per year. "itsui and Kuroda ovens were still under construction at end of World War II. L. Taiyuan Iron and Steel Works. 35/ 1. Location: T'ai-yUan 2. Coordinates: Shansi, 37?52' N - 112?33' E 3. Started Operations: 1937 4? Raw Material Source: Byproduct Ammonia: Coal 5. Process: Byproduct coking method (unknown) 6. Equipment: 36 Byproduct ovens (original equipment) (capacity 240 tons coke per day) 30 Byproduct ovens (reported completed September 1952) 7. Products: Ammonia Ammonium sulfate 8. Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: Period Metric Tons (N) 1928-1936 0 1937-1944 290 byproduct 1945-1949 N.A. 1950-1952 290 byproduct 1953 580 byproduct S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T M. Shanghai Gas Company. 36/ 1. Location: Shanghai 2. Coordinates: Kiangsu, 31?14' N - 121?28' E 3. Started Operating: 1876 4. Raw Material Source: Byproduct Ammonia: Coal 5. Process: Gasification of coal in retorts with recovery of byproducts 6. Equipment: 30 vertical retorts (capacity 113,500 cubic. meters per (Jay) 7. Products: Ammonia liquor 8. Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: Period Metric Tons (N) 1928-1941 260 byproduct 1945-1949 N.A. 1950 130 byproduct 1951-1952 N.A. 1953 260 byproduct 9. Comments: The plant was taken over by the Communist government in November 1952. N. Wu-sung Gas Works. 37/ 1. :Location: Wu-sung 2. Coordinates: Kiangsu, 31023' N - 121?29' E 3. Started Operating: 1937 4. Raw Material Source: Byproduct Ammonia: Coal 5. Process: Gasification of coal in retorts with recovery of byproducts 6. Equipment: N.A. (capacity 28,400 cubic meters per day) 7. Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: Period Metric Tons (N) 1928-1936 0 1937-1944 66 byproduct 1945-1949 N.A. 1950 33 byproduct 1951-1952 N.r. 1953 66 S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C R-E-T 0. Shen-yang Gas Works. 38/ 1. Location: Shen yang 2. Coordinates: Liaotung, 41048t N - 123?27' E 3. Started Operating: 1913 4. Raw Material Source: Byproduct Ammonia: Coal 5. Process: Gasification of coal in retorts with recovery of byproducts 6. Equipment: 32 horizontal bench retorts (70,000 cubic meters per day capacity) 7. Products: Ammonium sulfate 8. Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: Period Metric Tons (N) 1928-1944 160 byproduct 1945-1949 N.A. 1950 80 byproduct 1951-1952 N.A. 1953 160 byproduct 9. Comments: The plant was reported in operation in 1947 at 20 percent of capacity. It was also reported in operation in 1953. P. Shih-chia-chuang Smelter. 39/ 1. Location: Shih-men 2. Coordinates: Hopeh, 38?03' N - 111?29' E 3. Started Operating: 1925 4. Raw Material Source: Byproduct Ammonia: Coal 5. Process: Otto and H inselmann Byproduct Coking Methods 6. Equipment: 20 Otto Byproduct Ovens (original installa- tion) (3 metric tons coal per 24 hours) 10 Hinselmann Byproduct Ovens (installed in 1930) (9 metric tons coal per 30 hours) 7. Products: Ammonia liquor - 33 - S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T 8. Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: Period Metric Tons (N) 1938-1930 51 byproduct 1931-1944 113 byproduct 1945-7949 N.A. 1950-1953 113 byproduct Q. Dairen Coke and Gas Company. 40/ 1. Location: Ta-lien 2. Coordinates: Kwantung, 38?55' N - 121?39' E 3. Started Operating: 1913 4. Raw Material Source: Byproduct Axrmonia: Coal 5. Process: Gasification of coal in retorts with recovery of byproducts (planned capacity 23,000 tons coke) 6. Products: Ammonium sulfate 7. Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: Period Metric Tons (N) 1928-1944 80 byproduct 1945-1949 N.A. 1950-1953 80 byproduct 8. Comments: Plans called for operation of the plant in 1949. R. It was reported in operation in 1953. Chang-ch'un Gas Works. 41/ 1. Location: Chang-ch'un 2. Coordinates: Kirin, 43?52' N - 125?21' E 3. Started Operating: 1925 4. Raw Material Source: Byproduct Ammonia: Coal 5. Process: Gasification of coal in retorts with recovery of byproducts 6. Equipment: 306 retorts (capacity 16.5 million cubic meters per year) 7. Products: Ammonia Ammonium sulfate - 34 - S-E-C R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T 8. Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: Period Metric Tons (N) 1928-1944 102 byproduct 1945-1949 N.A. 1950 0 9. Comments: 1951-1952 N.A. 1953 102 byproduct The plant reported in operation in 1953. S. An-tung Gas Works. 42/ 1. Location: An-tung 2. Coordinates: Liaotung, 40?081 N - 124?24' E 3. Raw Material Source: Byproduct Ammonia: Coal 4. Process: Gasification of coal in retorts with recovery of byproducts 5. Equipment: 10 horizontal bench retorts (20,000 cubic meters per day) 6. Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: Period Metric Tons (N) 1928-1944 46 byproduct 1945-1949 N.A. 1950 0 1951-1952 N.A. 1953 46 byproduct T. Plant Name: N.A. 1. Location: Wu-tlung-chliao 43/ 2. Coordinates: Szechwan, 29?21' N - 103?511 E 3. Started Operating: 1943 4. Raw Material Source: Byproduct Ammonia: Coal 5. Process: Byproduct coking method (unknown) (capacity 50 tons coal per day) 6. Products: Ammonium sulfate - 35 - S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C R-E-T 7. Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: Period Metric Tons (N) 1928-1942 0 1943-1944 11 byproduct 1945-1949 N.A. 1950-1953 43 byproduct 1. Location: Ch rung-ch ring 14/ 2. Coordinates: Szechwan, 276341 N - 106?351 E 3. Started Operating: 1944 4. Raw Material Source: Byproduct Ammonia: Coal 5. Process: Byproduct coking method (unknown) 6. Equipment: 5 Byproduct Ovens (capacity 60 tons coal per day) 7. Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: Period 1928-1943 1944 1945-1949 1950-1953 V. Chin-hsien Gas Works. 45/ Metric Tons (N) 0 13 byproduct N.A. 52 byproduct 1. Location: Chin-hsien 2. Coordinates: Liaosi, 39?061 N - 121?431 E 3. Raw Material Source: Byproduct Ammonia: Coal 4. Process: Gasification of coal in retorts with recovery of byproducts 5. Equipment: 10 bench retorts (capacity 10,000 cubic meters per day) - 36 - S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E Q R-E-T 6. Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: Period Metric Tons (N) 1928-1944 23 byproduct 199455-1949 N* A* 0 1951-1952 N.A. 1953 23 byproduct 7. Comments: The plant was reported as being imperative in 1947 but operating in 1953. W. Harbin Gas Works. 46/ 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Location: Harbin Coordinates: Sungkiang, 45045' N - 126039' E Raw Material Source: Byproduct Ammonia: Coal Process: Gasification of coal in retorts with recovery of byproducts Equipment: 5 bench retorts (capacity 5,000 cubic meters per day) Fixed Nitrogen Capacity Estimates: Period Metric Tons (N) 1928-1944 13 byproduct 1945-1949 N.A. 1950-1953 13 byproduct 7. Comments: The plant reportedly resumed operations in July 1948. II. Plants on Yhich There Is Insufficient Information. A. Liao-yang Explosives Factory. L7/ 1. Location: Liao-yang 2. Coordinates: Liaotung, 41017' N - 123?111 E 3. Raw Material Source: Liquid Ammonia: Dairen Chemical Plant 49 Process: Catalytic oxidation of ammonia to produce nitric acid S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T 5. Products: Nitric acid (50 percent) Nitric acid (98 percent) 6. Coments: Three catalytic converters for oxidizing ammonia to produce nitric acid were dismantled during Soviet occupation. No further information is available. B. T'ai-yUan Number 1 Powder Plant. 48/ 1. Location: T'ai-yitan 2. Coordinates: Shansi, 37?52' N - 112?33' E 3. Started Operating: 1934 4. flaw Material Source: Saltpeter (Potassium nitrate: t l) ura Na 5. Process: Acidification of saltpeter with sulfuric acid to produce nitric acid 6. Products: Nitric acid (50 percent) Nitric acid (98 percent) Ammonium nitrate 7. Comments: Reported undergoing expansion in June 1953. C. Po-shan Chemical Works. 49/ 1. Location: Po-shan 2. Coordinates: Shantung, 36029' N - 117?50' E 3. Products: Nitric acid D. Plant Name: N.A. 50/ 1. Location: Chu-chou 2. Coordinates: Hunan, 27050' N - 113?09' E 3. Started Operations: 1953 (?) 4. Products: Ammonium sulfate 5. Comments: An ammonium sulfate plant was reported as included in a construction project under way in 1953. E. Central and South Plant No. 884. 51/ 1. Location: Liu-chou 2. Coordinates: Kwangsi, 24?l9' N - 109?24' E 3. Products: Nitric acid - 38 - S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T F. Nan-ping Sulfuric Acid Plant. 52/ 1. Location: Nan-ning 2. Coordinates: Kwangsi, 22?49' N - 108?19' E 3. Started Operating: 1952 1i.. Products: Nitric acid G. Yungsheng Chemical Works. 53/ 1. Location: Heng-yang 2. Coordinates: Hunan, 26054' N - 112?36' E 3. Products: Nitric acid S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T APPENDIX C ME' IODOIOGY 1. General. Inasmuch as no Chinese statistical data other than the figures for ammonium sulfate can be fully tabulated for the World War II and immediately preceding periods, Japanese production statistics for the 10 years prior to 1945 have been introduced. The comparative relationship of the production of ammonium sulfate in China and Japan is expressed in Table 10.* It is believed that this relationship offers a clue as to the effect of war on the total production of fixed nitrogen in China. This comparison is considered valid because the bulk of fixed nitrogen produced in China during the 10-year period originated in the Japanese-con- trolled segment of the Chinese mainland, and reacted to the same influences as the homeland production. The relationship of the indexes of the production of ammonium sulfate in China and Japan, shown in Table 10, below, are more sharply brought out in Figure 8.,1P* In the attempt to supplement home production of ammonium sulfate with that of China, the rate of increased production in China exceeded that of Japan until 1940. By 1941, probably because of better control of the home industries than on the Chinese mainland, the rate of production in Japan ex- ceeded that of China and then fell off until the close of the war, but with a less rapid decline. Based on the reliability of a direct relationship of Chinese ammonium sulfate production indexes to Japanese figures for'the 10-year period under consideration, as shown above, additional Japanese indexes may be employed to indicate by analogy to Japanese performance a possible qualitative trend of the production of fixed nitrogen from byproduct and synthetic sources in China. These data are given in Table 11. ** Table 10 ollows on p. 42. Figure 8 follows p. 42. Table 11 follows on p. 43. - 41 - S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-_C;ft-E-T Table 10 Indexes of Chinese and Japanese Production of Ammonium Sulfate 1934-45 1934-36 = 100 Year Chinese Japanese 1934 22.3 74.9 1935 129.0 92.8 1936 148.7 132.3 1937 182.4 140.8 1938 212.8 167.6 1939 156.1 152.5 1940 173.3 167.7 1941 180.7 187.7 1942 124.0 173.3 1943 81.3 146.1 1944 87.9 107.9 1945 N.A. 36.5 The Japanese relationship of ammonium sulfate to dyestuffs, nitric acid, and explosives, as graphically expressed in Figure 9,* shows the following trends: a. Production of all four of these basic products, which re- quire significant amounts of fixed nitrogen, trends upward from the base period, as the Japanese ammonia industry was expanded, until 1938. be Explosives and ammonium sulfate production decreased in 1939, as increasing production of dyestuffs required increasing amounts of nitric acid. c. At the beginning of World War II period, ammonium sulfate and explosives production began expanding, but as increasing amounts of nitric acid were required for wartime explosives produc- tion, ammonium sulfate and dyestuffs production began falling off. * Figure Tfollows P. 42. - 42 - S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : cc.A-RDP79-01093A000600030001-SECRET COMMUNIST CHINA AMMONIUM SULFATE PRODUCTION INDEXES Chinese Japanese (1934-36 = 100) SECRETApproved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9SECRET JAPANESE PRODUCTION INDEXES Explosives Nitric Acid Ammonium Sulfate lo~ Dyestuffs (1934-36 = 100) 'I I 1 sECRi pproved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T Table 11 Indexes of Japanese Production of Dyestuffs, Nitric Acid, and Explosives 1934-45 w 100 1934-36 Year Dyestuffs Nitric Acid _ Explosives 1934 92.3 79.1 95.9 1935 104.5 100.3 95.9 1936 103.1 120.6 108.3 1937 115.5 168.2 230.3 1938 123.8 299.9 405.6 1939 155.4 351.6 388.8 1940 134.0 335.2 396.0 1941 117.8 358.2 520.5 1942 47.7 397.0 624.7 1943 42.3 438.9 647.4 1944 16.8 445.3 715.4 1945 3.5 128.3 195.9 4.. Finally, when the Japanese collapse came in 1945, all production fell rapidly. The above relationships are believed to be directly analogous to the Chinese situation during the 10 years preceding 1945. 2. Method Used in Calculating Chinese Indexes of Ammonium Sulfate Production. Ammonium sulfate production figures appearing in Table 1* for the years 1934-36 total 365,200 tons. The annual average for these three years is 121,733 tons. Using this 3-year average as the denominator, indexes of ammonium sulfate production are calculated by dividing ammonium sulfate production for the years 1934-44 by 121,733, and appear in Table 10.-* above. P. 42, above. - 43 - S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T 3. Method Used in Calculating Fixed Nitrogen (N) Content of Nitrogen Products, or Vice Versa. Conversions appearing in Tables 2,* 4.,* on the basis of the following stoichiometric and 8*- ,P,* are calculated relationships: Product i~ ,olecular Weight (N) Content Percent (N) Ammonium sulfate 132 28 21.2 Nitric acid 63 ih 22.2 Ammonium nitrate 80 28 (total) 35.0 14 (ammonium portion) 17.5 4. Methods Used in Obtaining Chinese Fixed Nitrogen Capacity. Capacity figures appearing in Table are summations based on capacity estimates for the years indicated as they appear for individual plants in Appendix B. These capacity estimates are based on the analyst's technical interpretations of information re- garding capacity variations for individual plants. 5. Method Used in Estimating Maximum Operable Capacity for Produc- tion of Nitric Acid and Ammonium Nitrate at Synthetic Ammonia Plants. Total capacity for nitric acid production at synthetic ammonia plants (Plants 1 to 3 in Appendix B) amounts to 57 tons per day. The annual production estimate is 20,100 tons, based on 350 days operation. Using a similar calculation, ammonium nitrate production appears as 11,400 tons, based on a daily capacity of 32.5 tons in the three synthetic ammonia plants. 6. Methods Used in Calculating Net International Trade in Ammonium Sulfate. Because of the political division existing up until unification of the present geographical area of Communist China, net international P. 5, above. P. 11, above. ? * P. 17, above. i'Lip** P. 9, above. -44- S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T trade calculations had to be based on Chinese and Manchurian imports and exports of ammonium sulfate for the years 1928-44. The net trade was then converted to nitrogen, in order to facilitate a nitrogen balance. Complete data were not available for the years covered. Esti- mates made by the analyst to supplement available data include: (1) no Manchurian exports during 1928-1931, (2) no Chinese exports during 1933-1939, (3) 101,500 tons exported from Manchuria in 1941 and 1942, and (4) no international trade during 1944? 7. Methods Used in Calculating Material Requirements in Production of Ammonium Sulfate at Selected Chinese Plants. The amounts of ammonium sulfate production shown for the selected plants in Table 7* are calculated from the estimated 1953 fixed nitrogen capacities given in Appendix B. Iron pyrites required in the production of sulfuric acid at the An-shan and Fu-shun plants are estimated at 35 percent sulfur content, and are calculated to furnish theoretical amounts of sulfur for pro- duction of sulfuric acid sufficient for the estimated ammonium sulfate production. Coal required for byproduct nitrogen production at An-shan is calculated on the basis of 0.244 percent nitrogen yield per ton. Oil shale required for byproduct nitrogen production at Fu-shun is calculated on the basis of 1.0 percent ammonium sulfate yield per ton. Input items required for production of ammonium sulfate at the Liu ho synthetic ammonia plant are calculated on the basis of factors given in a 1948 Yungli Pre-Project Report. 8. Methods Used in Estimating Synthetic Ammonia Capacity for 1954 and 1955. In V. above, 1954 synthetic ammonia production is estimated as 37,000 tons. This estimate is based on an increase of 20 tons per day of ammonia over 1953 estimated daily capacity at the Dairen P. 13, above. - 45 - S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T Works. Capacities at the Yungli and Shanghai plants are unchanged. The calculation is: 129 tons of ammonia times 350 operating days; converting this product to a nitrogen basis yields 37,000 tons (N). In calculating the 1955 estimated synthetic ammonia capacity, a method similar to the above is used. To an estimated 129 tons of ammonia capacity per day for 1954 is added 30 tons in consideration of estimated production at Wu-Clung-chniao for 1955. This gives a capacity of 46,000 tons (N) for 1955. 9. Methods Used in Estimating Byproduct Nitrogen Capacities for 1954 and-1- 1 . The predicted increase of 1G,200 tons of byproduct nitrogen capacity in 1954 over' estimated 1953 capacity is based on estimates of new construction at An-shan, Chi-lin, and Kan-ching-tzu. The increase predicted for 1955 is 8,300 tons of byproduct nitrogen over 1954 capacity, based on estimated completion of additional facilities at Fu-shun and An-shan. - 46 - S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T APPENDIX D GAPS IN INTELLIGENCE A study of the information available has allowed the formation of some broad conclusions regarding the strategic importance and vulnerability of the Chinese fixed nitrogen industry. If more information were available on the state of the industry since the Communist seizure, a more precise account of fixed nitrogen capabili- ties could be drawn. Apart from data presented on ammonium sulfate fertilizer produc- tion and consuumption, more complete information on the other products of the fixed nitrogen industry would provide a greater insight into Chinese intentions and capabilities. Such information would show the industrial and.~ilitary requirements and consumption of fixed nitrogen, and demonstrate more clearly the strategic implications of the fixed nitrogen industry. - 47 - S-F-C -R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T APPENDIX E Evaluations, following the classification entry and designated "bal.," have the following significance: Source of Information Information Doc. - Documentary 1 - Confirmed by other sources A - Completely reliable 2 - Probably true B - Usually reliable 3 - Possibly true C - Fairly reliable 4 - Doubtful D - Not usually reliable 5 - Probably false E - Not reliable F - Cannot be judged 6 - Cannot be judged "Documentary" refers to original documents of foreign govern- ments and organizations; copies or translations of such documents by a staff officer; or information extracted from such documents by a staff officer, all. of which may carry the field evaluation "Docu- mentary." Evaluations not otherwise designated are those appearing on the cited document; those designated "RR" are by the author of this report. No "RFZ" evaluation is given when the author agrees with the evaluation on the cited document.. - 49 - S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T 25X1A2g 1. 2. Report on Japanese Assets in Manchuria, Jul 1946. U. Evan. RR 1. 3. The Economic Vulnerability of Japan: Ammonium Sulfate, Prepared for the Office of the Administrator of Export Control, 7 Apr 1941. C. Eval. RR F-2. 25X1X7 e P?Zanchukuo Yearbook., 1931. U. Eval. RR B-2. Far East Yearbook, 1941, U. Eval. RR B-2. The Orient Economist, Tokyo, 1940. U. Eval. RR F-2. Report on Japanese Assets in Manchuria, op. cit. JANIS, No. , C ap er IX, Feb1946. C. Eva RR A-2. Yungli Pre-Project Report, 1948. U. Eval. RR B-2. CIA, FDD U-3789, Report No. 257779, Research Section, South Manchurian Railroad Company, 20 Jan 1943. C. Eval. RR B-3. State, American Consulate General, Hong Kong, Press Translation, No. 262, 1 Oct 1953. U. Eval. RR F-2. 4. Repor on-Japanese Assets in Manchuria, op. cit. 25X1A2g CIA, FDD, Report No. U-3027, 12 Mar 19 3. C. Eval. RR B-3. China Mission Data Report, 330.951, A 58108C, Sep 1944. C. Eva l. RR B-3. 25X1A2g 25X1X7 STATSPEC 25X1A2g The T;anchukuo Yearbook, 1942. U. Eval. RR B-2. The New York Times, 27 Jul 1953. U. Eval. RR B-3. - 50 - S-E-C-R-E-T 25X1A Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T 25X1X7 6. 25X1A2g Yungli Pre-Project Report, op. cit. 7. Mina Trade Monthly, "Ammonium Sulfate Trade in China," Shanghai, Jun , p. 38. U. Eval. RR C-2. China Trade Monthly, op. cit., "Consumption of Chemical Fertilizers in China U. Eval. RR C-2. China Trade Monthly, op. cit., "Net Value and Quantities of China's PrincipalTrnporUs, 1926-1947." U. Eval. RR C-2. 25X1A China Trade Monthly, op. cit., Sep 1948, "Prewar Imports of Chemical- Fe i izer." U. Eval. RR C-2. 25X1A2g 25X1X7 8. STATSPEC9- 25X1 A2g 10. 11. STATSPEg2. Survey of Industrial Development in Manchukuo Since 1931, prepared for the Projects Section Economic Defence Board, Bureau of Foreign and Domestic Commerce, 1 Dec 1941. U. Eval. RR B-2. CIA, FDD 233499, Annual Returns of Foreign Trade of Man- churia, 1951. C. Eval. RR B-2. Foreign Minerals Survey, "Mineral Resources of China," Jan 1948., Vol. 2, No. 7, p. 161. U. Eval. RR B-i. Hong Kong Trade Returns, Department of Commerce and Industry, Hong Kong, Dec 1952. U. Eval. R?. A-1. Hong Kong Trade Returns, op. cit., Exports, Oct 1953. U. -51- S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-G-R-E-T 13. Ibid. 25X1 X7 14. 25X1A2g i5- 16. 17. 25X1 X7 18. 25X1A2g 25X1A 19. The Washington Star, 25 Jan 1953. U. Eval. RR B-2. 20. The New York Times, 20 Dec 1953. U. Eval. RR B-1. 21. 22. The Washington Star, 26 Mar 1953. U. Eval. RR B-2. The New.YorTimes, 27 Jul 1953. U. Eval. RR B-1. The New York Times 28 Jul 1953 U. Eval. RR B-1. , . 25X1A TE-e-TTa'-sHington S r, 13 Jul 1953. U. Eval. RR B-2. 23. China Trade Monthly, "Ammonium Sulfate Trade in China," Shanghai, Jun 1947, p. 38. U. Eval. RR C-2. China Trade Monthly, op. cit., "Consumption of Chemical Fertilizers in C ina.rl ! Eval. RR C-2. China Trade Monthly, op. cit., "Net Value and Quantities of China's Principal Imports 191 6-19L 7.'I U. Eval. RR C-2. China Trade Monthly, op. cit., Sep 1948, "Prewar Imports of Chemical Fertilizer. U. Eval. RR C-2. Survey of Industrial Development in Manchukuo-Since 1931, prepared for the Projects Section Economic Defence Board, Bureau of Foreign and Domestic Commerce, 1 Dec 1941. U. Eval. RR B-2. CIA, FDD 2334993 Annual Returns of Foreign Trade of Man- churia, 1951. C. Eva l- RR B- . Foreei~n- Minerals Survey, "Mineral Resources of China," Jan 190. Vol. 2 N677. P. 161. U. Eval. RR B-1. 25X1A2g Hong. Kong Trade Returns, Department of Commerce and Industry, Hong Kong, Dec 1-97.-U. Eval. RR A-1, Hong Kong Trade Returns, op. cit., Exports, Oct 1953. U. Eva. RRA- . - 52- S-E-C R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 S-E-C R-E-T 25X1A2g 24. 25X1X7 25X1A2g 25. STATSPEC 26. 27. 25X1A2g Report on Japanese Assets in Manchuria, op. STATSPEC 29. 25X1A2g STATSPEC 30. 25X1A2g 25X1A2g 31. 32. 25X1A2g 33. 34. Yungli Pre-Project Report, oT. cit. CIA, FDD Report No. U-3032., op. Me Hsin Weh Jih Pao, Shanghai, 4 Nov 1952. U. Repo on Japanese Assets in Manchuria, op. cit., Chapter V. I id. Report on Japanese Assets in Manchuria, op. - 53 - S-E-C-R-E-T cit., Chapter 25X1A Eval.RR C-2. cit., Chapter V. Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 Approved For Release 1999/09/26: CIA-RitJIA000600030001-9 CONIF 25X1 A2g 35. 25X1X7 STATSPEC 25X1 A29 36. Third World Power Conference, Vol. 3, Washington, 15130. U. Eva l. RR B-2. 37. 25X1A2g 38. 39. Third World Power Conference, op. cit. 40. CIA, FDB 328781, 1937. S. Eval. RR C-2. 25X1A2g 41. 25X1A2g 42. 43. 44. 25X1A2g 45. 46. Report on Japanese Assets in Manchuria, op. Cit., Appen- lx Plant Inspection Report, -C-2. China Mission Data Report, 330-951, AS BlObC, Sep 1944? C. Evan RR B-3. Ibid. 47. Report on Japanese Assets in Manchuria, 48. 25X1 A29 49. 50. 51. 52. Ibid. STATSPEC 53. -54- 0'. 25X1A Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000600030001-9 ec Fob R en a 999#a .. ' ' ...:.m,' 9 'to 3 3QQ 003:o0a1-9. S T US OFF IALS ONLY ICONFIDIN O US OFFI ONLY ~~ Approved for Release 199 :"CTTIA-RDP79-01093A00060003000 1-9