INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS DIVISION WEEKLY SUMMARY NO. 2

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79-01090A000100030026-0
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RIFPUB
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S
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5
Document Creation Date: 
November 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
January 21, 1999
Sequence Number: 
26
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Publication Date: 
January 17, 1950
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PERRPT
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Approved For Rase 1999L0.9504?CIA-RDP7941490A000100030026-0 ENT NO. IN CLASS. 0 mAs LA.CHANGED S S c INTERNATICNAL ORGANIZATIONS DIVISION NEXT REVIEW AU1Fj 72 WEEKLY SDIMARY NO. 2 ? DAT REVIEWER; 00 For week ending 17 January 1950 Volume III The Internat tonal Week Problems incident to the collapse of Nationalist China domi- nated not only the entire international scene, but also the UNQ The USSR and its satellites boycotted all UN meetings after the SC had refused to oust the resent Chinese delegation. In the Kaehmir case, the informal nikt4Mitions which General McNaughton (Canada) had been conducting were broken off by IndiaQ The first hints of a possible Italo-Ethiopian rapprochement appeared on the horizon. - Soviet tipshaal_pl_the UN. The Soviet withdrawal from the Security Council is in effect an attempt legally to blockade the principal UN enforcement organ until it complies with the USSR's bidding by ousting the present Chinese delegation. It remains to be seen whether a legal airlift to overcome this blockade can be devised. Abstention has come to be a recognized form of vote in the UN, separate and distinct from a nay. Furthermore Article 28 of the Charter requires all SC members to be represented at all times so that the council may function continuously; These arguments may well be invoked to sustain the right of the SC to take even substantive decisions in the absence of the USSR on the theory that such absence amounts only to an abstention. . Meanwhile it becomes more apparent that the Soviet bloc has adopted a concerted strategy in dealing with the Chinese recogni- tion problem. Not only are the satellites participating in this UN boycott, but it is being extended to other UN organs. 4ean- while in China itself, the seizure of the US Consulate property in Peking may be deliberately calculated to delay rather than accel- erate US recognition of the PBC. A number of objectives may under- lie these actions. The USSR probably seeks to capitelize the propaganda opportunity for bringing home to the Chinese Communists its outstanding and boundless championship of their regime. At the same time by inducing abstentions'from such members as the DK and Norway which recently recognired the PRC, Moscow may hope to highlight the lukewarm attitude of the "Johnny Come Lateliesu for the benefit of the Chinese. Possibly the Kremlin is trying to bring about a situation whereby the US will be confronted with an unfriendly and hostile Chinese government in the SC which for Approved For Release 19 CIA-RDP79-01090A000100030026-0 Approved For Release 1999 CIA-RDP794f090A000100030026-0 prestige considerations, it cannot afford to recognize. Thus it may result that USSR can pay back the US in kind for the election of Yugoslavia to Uge SC last October, for which this country is held resDonsible in Moscow. Finally the USSR may wish emphatically to signalize its deep and basic dissatisfaction with the UN which during the recent GA session affronted the Muscovites not only by Its choice of Yugoslavia for the SC, but by its adoption of the sharply anti-Soviet "Essentials of Peace Resolution." By arrang- ing for a boycott of the whole UN by the entire Soviet bloc, the Kremlin may seek to serve a warning on the UN that there may be limits to what it is willing to accept from the organization. tal Eth o an r..1 rochamt? Prospects for the estilbg h- ment o be ter re at ons between Italy and Ethiopia have increased as a result of their recent informal conversations in Geneva. The key factors tending to promote a rapprochement are Italy's fear of the Ethiopian reaction to Italian trusteeship over Somaliland, and Ethiopia's distrust of Italian aims in Eritrea, which is the true motive for Ethiopian pressure on Somaliland issues. Thus, basic to any real settlement is the future disposition of Eritrea, which the UN has failed to award to Ethiopia in two successive General Assembly sessions and which a CoMmission of inquiry is to visit in preparation for a third. The first concrete step toward a settlement is the Ethiopian suggestion, agreeable to the Italian delegation at the Trustee- ship Councils Somaliland committee, for a provisional administra- tive boundary line, pending the final demarcation of a Ea lam line. Moreover, Italy has indicated to the UK its desire to consider ways and means by which it might attain general agreement with Ethiopia on all questions, including Eritrea. Since this is the only possi- ble basis for establishing normal relations, it has been interpret- ed in some quarters as indicating Italy's willingness to renounce its claims to Eritrea, if a general settlement could be achieved thereby. Informal Italo-Ethiopian discussions continuing at Geneva offer some prospect for amelioration of tension between the two countries, provided that adequate concessions are rade on both sides. o CatholicA1-13-129.ne dtglaimm_ankti_Elth_RIE internation4. The Christian Tradi-Dilion Confederation (CISC), representing a to 3 million workers, has postponed for at least three months any final decision regarding affiliation with the newly formed Free Trade Union International (ICFTU). Simultaneous- ly, leaders of the Christian Confederation stressed that all national Christian trade unfons would decide as a group. Although 2- Approved For Release 1991:CIA-RDP79-0:1090A000100030026-0 Approved For Release 1999/ A-RDP79-tK090A000100030026-0 attributed to CISC's desire for time to recoup dues and to resent- ment over an AFL threat of public attack if the CISC refuses to affiliate, the postponement probably also reflects a division bet, tween two groups of Catholic unions. One, led by Tessier, the CISC president, is apparently seeking a plausible excuse to avoid disbanding the Catholic labor organization. The other, represented by the Italian Pastore and supported by a minority within the French Christian federation maintains that organic unity with the ICFTU is needed for effective countermeasures against Communist labor. The Tessier group, currently in the saddle, favors some form of cooperation between the two labor internationals but is unwilling to be pressured by the two-year separation proviso, which it re- gards as an "ultimatum." Although continued efforts will probably be made to develop working cooperation between the two inter- nationals, their success is uncertain. Should these efforts break down, the pro-ICFTU elements may withdraw from the Christian con- federation and adhere independently to the new international. Ing_AllinAmtamAsYsl h ? thee The Peiping Asian Liaison Bureau, recently ormed y the orld Federa- tion of Trade Unions, is currently seeking closer liaison between Chinese Communist labor and the labor force of Southeast Asia, This development is reflected in the visit of a large Indonesian labor delegation to Peiping and in the Burmese Trade Union Con- gress'es reported affiliation with the WFTU. The visit of the Indonesian workers organization (SOBSI), folic:ming its failure to obtain transport to the WFTU Peiping Conference, indicates the de- termination of its Communist lehiers to establish contact with Ins WFTU Asian Bureau. Other signs of the Bureau's expanding capa- bilities were: (1) a reported OBSI reouest for a WFTU "observer" in Indonesia; (2) indications that the WFTU will distribute its publications in native languages throughout Asia, particularly in Indonesia and India; and (3) a reported plan for a WFTU office in Hong Kong for liaison with the Chinese seamens and dockers organi- zations. WFTU determination to pursue its drive for the "libera- tion" of Southeast Asia was further evidenced in the adoption by its Executive Bureau last week of a "plan of work" for carrying out the Peiping Conference's decisions. At this meeting the Bureau directed the WFTU Secretariat to accelerate aid to the trade union organizations in colonial areas. Igglaimliaxicajimung1L3oviet Agmination of the WFTU. Yugo- slav labor, until now ideologically loyal to the World Federation of Trade Unions, has denounced what It terms "Cominformist" efforts to evict the Yugoslav trade unions from that organization. The Approved For Release 1999/ A-RDP79-01090A000100030026-0 "Approved For Releasari999/09/02 : COO16179-01090A100100030026-0 denunciation, rade by the officially-inspired Yugoslav trade union paper RAD, follows he soviet ban on Yugoslav participation in recent conferences hela to organize WFTU departrents for the Food and Agricultural Workers, Postal and -Radio Workerst and Farm Workers, RAD condemns such "Oisruptive activities" against WFTU unity and stresses that the correct response of the international workers is to fight for lthe free and independent activities of the national trade union.?movements." This blast by the same Yugoslav trade union organization which only u month ago reasserte ed allegiance to the WFTU indicates its strong resentment at Soviet dominetion of that body and suggests that it may be seeking to associate itself with other Communist elements within the WFTU in a splinter movement.. , 0 - IndopeplapegiaemeTberehip In what would be a shretedly timed move, Indonesia is reportedly considering applying for UN member- ship during the current Soviet boycott of the SC. Sine* Indonesia has not previctsly appliet for UN membership and been vetoed by the USSR, the Indonesians could contend that they were not trying to sneak in while the Sovaets were absent, cureent status of the Kashmir case. Despite a sharp prod to India by the US. India still =obdurately refuses to modify its stand on Keshrir. Nehru hen flatly stated that he does rot consider thst further negotiations on the Kashmir case at Lake Success "are likely to lead to any fruitful result." It is expected that Nehru will remain uncompromising and will continue to avoid any real prorress towards the over-all plebiscite in Kashmir to which both Pakistan Ad India are committed, Pakistan holds firm for the agreed over- all plebiscite but India in eonversaticns with the US, :as boldly suggested partition of rbet of the disputed area, with tee agreed eease-fire lire as the bounderyt and a plebiscite limited to the Vale of Kashmir. GOI's protestations that it favors a continuation of mediation can be irterareted as a maneuver to hold open a way un- til such a partition-plebiscite deal is suggested or arranFed. Meanwhile in order to keep some rachinery for settlement open NeNaughton (Canada) has agreed to keep himself available as mediator Stroe there is no evideree that India will soften its attitude. Naughton will be compelled to report his failure to the Sc whose next move will then be to irvite the contenders to make etatements before the Council. At this stage only a major change lu policy on the part of either GO1 or GO.Pwill bring the SC any neater to a settlement of the dispUtel. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01090A000100030026-0 Approved For Ot1ease1999/WRCIA-RDP792e090A000100030026-0 OPPOSITION TO 1950 ECA PLAN As OELC experts begin a detailed examination of ECAs new intra-European trade end payments liberalization plan, it is clear that ECA will face substantial opposition in getting many of its features adopted this year. Initially, the ERP countries have the plan as a whole favorably, but many of them will prob- ably be unwilling to proceed as far or as fast in all respects as the US desires. Althcugh ECA hopes for complete elimination of bilateral ouantitetive restrictions by mid-1950, some OEEC members are balking at even the 50% reduction already called for. The. French, while barely meeting the 50% goal, have adopted a strong- ly protectionist attitude in their reluctance to remove QR's where domestic producers might be hurt. It will be much more difficult to secure elimination of QR's on the remaining 50% of intra- European trade, where strong vested interests will object, than it was on the first try. ECA's parallel objective of intra-European currency transfer- atillity through the operations of a proposed European Clearing Union also faces numerous obstacles.- Perhaps most important is the conflict between debtor and creditor nations as to the terms ni settling trade defItits, The UK and probably others will be, In the past, extrerely hesitant about any clearing system tklrough which they risk losing gold or dollars in case Of persistent rge deficits. On the other hand creditor countries like Belgium eell be reluctant to extend further large credits to debtor nations. apecial eroblem will arise from the large sterling holdirgs of ERP countries. lt will be difficult to include the sterling atoa in the currency trensferability arrangenents if these coun- tles seek to unload too large te volure of their sterling holdings, Oes making the UK a persistent debtor forced to settle eartly'in .cid or dollars Another problem will be the reluctance of most o A.0 countries to see any substantial amount of ECA dollars sub- oeted from their own individual aid allocations for use in the oaring Union's stabilieation fund. In addition, Denmark and 'way fear that too drastic a trade and payments liberalization 11 jeopardize their full em loytent policies. -Finally, ECA_ will meet greet difficulties in securing a sys- which vill endure after the artificial stimulus of US aid ie ? -drawn in 1952. ECA believes that this requires not only a --ftem of eutomatic ircentives and deterrents through gold and lar payments or credits but some adecuate mechanism for coopera- adjustment of national economic 'policies. But it will be J to sell the BHP rations on such an organization to consult oe rational policies and recommend modificat;:on. While marked 4-ress toward continued freeing of trtele and payments will un- -:o.obtedly be rade during 1950, the Europeans ray well balk at oietine sufficiently drastic teasurea to ensure survival cf the clearing system after the end of the ERP. Approved For Release 1999.CIA-RDP79-01090A000100030026-0