INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS GROUP WEEKLY SUMMARY NO. 9

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79-01090A000100020043-2
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 13, 2000
• Sequence Number: 43
• Publication Date: March 1, 1949
• Content Type: PERRPT

Approved For Release 2001/03/04: CIA-RDP79-01,090A000100020043-2 *fte
ST
?r 1S" sU EA NO. 9
For week ending I March 1949
The Intern ionna..L Week
D'spite the new Dutch plan for prompt establishment of a sovereign
Indonesian government, Republican opposition indicates the dispute will
be tossed back to the Security Council. Secretary General Lie has hailed
the Egyptian-Israeli armistice as a triumph for the UN. Nepal?s appli-
cation for UN membership face a probable Soviet veto on grounds of British
domination. The Western European press has accorded an increasingly favor-
able reception to the proposed Atlantic Pact, counteracting earlier fears
of a US desire to water down its cor-r;itments. In a counterattack in FCOSOC,
the USSR proposed creation of an intFrnational commission of trade union
members to investigate forced labor conditions throughout the world.
Tritaolitanian issue again critical.. With the second part of the 194.8
General Assembly only a month away, the US, UK and France are again seeking
tripartite agreement on the Italian colonies, particularly Tripolitania.
France still favors restoration of Tripolitania to Italy, with the French
receiving the Fezzan. The British, although apparently coming, reluctantly
around to this position, question Italian ability to control the colony in
the face of a hostile Arab population. Consequently they have again pro--
posed US trusteeship as an alternative, preferring US forces next door to
their Cyrenaican bases. France in turn might object to US or UK trustee,-
ship as representing the very type of colonial policy which the French
fear to see adjacent to restive French North Africa. Italy probably would
eventually acquiesce in a US trusteeship as preferable to that of any other
non Italian power, but is still pressing strongly for return of the colony.
As the GA session approaches, the US will be under increasing pressure
from Italy and its supporters. The Tripolitanians themselves reportedly
prefer a US or UK trusteeship if independence is impossible. Local Arab
chieftains, however, seeing the handwriting on the wall, have recently
hinted at making a "deal" with Italy should Italian return appear likely.
From this welter of conflicting interests it appears that, barring US
agreement to a trusteeship, return of Tripolitania to Italy is the solution
most likely to obtain three-power support. The question of Italian adherence
to the Atlantic Pact, which will probably arise at this time, will underline
the desirability of at least partially satisfying Italyss colonial demands.
Approved For Release 2001/03/04: CIA-R
DOCUMENT NO. 9
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A tripartite agreement will not, however, solve the remaining problem
of securing GA approval. Numerous proposals ranging from multiple trustee-
hir to immediate independence will be advanced by the USSR, the Arab states
cnd other anti-colonial powers. The Soviet Union will revive its proposal
for direct UN trusteeships with a seven-nation advisory council (including
the USSR) for all three colonies or may, if strong sentiment appears, back
independence. Nevertheless, 'tn view of hardening GA sentiment behind the
Western Powers, the. US and UK could, with the support of most Western
Ruropean and Latin American states and the British dominions, probably
o: Kist enough additional votes to secure the required two-thirds majority
for returning Tripolitania to Italy. Inclusion of appropriate safeguards
for the native population and a proviso for eventual independence would
help to placate the local population and the anti-colonial powers. Should
UN agreement to any solution prove unlikely, however, the present US proposal
for postponing decision on Tripolita.nia until the next regular GA woulc have
Feu: 3tantial appeal.
FUrtherYSC I,c ion on S_neionea a im Pndin a With the liberated Republicans
determinedly opposed to negotiating with the Dutch until restored to author
ited in Jogjakarta and with the Dutch stubbornly opposed to such restoration,
the resultant impasse is likely to bring the Indonesian dispute again before
the Security Council:, The Netherlands firmly maintains that restoration
would mark the return to chaos, the end of law and order gained by the
recent "policy action." Republican leaders hold, however, that only by
returning to Jog.a can they convince guerrilla fighting units that they
speak with authority and not as p'uppots acting under duress.
Sines the Republican position is based on the 28 January Sc resolution,
the Dutch will find themselves in conflict with the SC terms. This conflict
will be made particularly clear when, in its 1 March report, the. UN Com-
mission for Indonesia reveals that no progress has been made toward the
establishment of an interim federal government on 15 March. Pressure from
the Asiatic states will compel the SC to take a firm stand backing the
substance of its January resolution - a pose tion already strongly advocat