A (ER) 75-60, 'PEOPLES REPUBLIC OF CHINA: FOREIGN TRADE IN MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT SINCE 1952, ' JAN 75

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CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0
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December 9, 2016
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October 6, 2000
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June 5, 1975
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A (ER) 75 in lApilffie 60, "P.e6p1e's Re ed Foil Releasw2 ? f China: Fareign Trade 5 June 1975 3CIATRIDP79-00928A00010011oop3-0 eh-i-ne- y STATI NTL Appro ed For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 STATINTL Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Next 4 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 25X1C SECRET d For Release 2001/03/03(rGIAi-ROK9-00928A000100110003-0 RECORD OF REVIEW OF OER PUBLICATIONS FOR SECURITY/SANITIZATION APPROVAL SUBJECT BRANC a 6 41. SECURITY00 REVIEW ITEM DATE INITIALS UNEDITED DRAFT EDITED DRAFT 25X1C A IT I Z ING I N RUCT IONS REMOVE 25X1A 25X1C RELEASABLE TO DELETE 0 dOlia,:jdlio4etoeiPU?Onwid SUBST TIEI 25X1C 4-70 ? ? EDI TI OIlS 25X1C Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Research Aid People's Republic of China: Foreign Trade in Machinery and Equipment Since 1952 A (ER) 75-60 January 1975 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 This publication is prepared for the use of U.S. Government officials. The format, coverage, and contents of the publi- cation are designed to meet the specific requirements of governmental users. All inquiries concerning this document from non-U.S. Government users are to be addressed to: Document Expediting ( DOCEX) Project Exchange and Gift Division Library of Congress Washington, D.C. 20540 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 ESEA 1 \ CH AID People's Republic of China: Foreign Trade in Machinery and Equipment Since 1952 January 1975 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 People's Republic of China: Foreign Trade in Machinery and Transportation Equipment Since 1952 General Trends 1. Imports of machinery and transportation equipment1 have played a vital role in expanding and modernizing China's industrial base. The pattern of machinery imports (see Figure 1) has followed the overall trends in the Chinese economy. Imports of ma- chinery and equipment grew rapidly during the 1950s with the implementation of the First Five-Year Plan (1953-57) and the launching of the Great Leap Forward (1958 - 60). Total imports of machinery and equipment reached a peak of $933 million in 1959 (see Table 1) and then plummeted during the early 1960s to a low of $100 million in 1963. Table 1 China: Trade in Machinery and Transportation Equipment ' Year Total Imports 2 Communist Non- Communist Total Exports 2 Communist Million US $ Non- Communist 1952 193 181 12 2 2 Negl. 1953 276 255 21 2 2 Negl. 1954 381 368 13 47 47 Negl. 1955 411 396 15 58 57 1 1956 545 503 42 52 50 2 1957 566 500 66 33 30 3 1958 715 645 70 40 33 7 1959 933 873 60 59 50 9 1960 840 790 50 30 33 6 1961 272 246 26 71 67 4 1962 102 86 16 70 65 5 1963 100 76 24 70 59 11 1964 162 101 61 62 52 10 1965 302 147 155 62 45 17 1966 433 205 238 71 49 22 1967 335 133 202 92 72 20 1968 235 129 106 97 74 23 1969 214 115 99 88 63 25 1970 398 149 249 91 48 43 1971 4S1 222 259 119 55 64 1972 524 278 246 124 03 61 1973 797 296 501 172 97 753 1 Data are in current US dollars. 2 Data are f.o.b. country of origin. 3 Estimate. ' The terms machinery and transportation equipment, machinery and equipment, and machinery are used interchangeably throughout this handbook to refer to those commodities included in Section 7 (Machinery and Transport Equipment) of the Standard International Trade Classification (SITC). Section 7 of the SITC differs slightly from the Soviet classification Machinery, Equipment, and Transportation Facilities; hence the data on non-Communist trade are not precisely comparable with the data on trade with the USSR and other Communist countries. For sources and methods for estimating China's trade in machinery a,nd transportation equipment with Communist countries and non-Communist countries, see Appendixes A and B, respectively. Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIAJRDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 CHINA: Imports1 of Machinery and Transportation Equipment ,fr?_;urolviins,,UL-v 2 1970 1955 1952 Data are f.o.b. country of origin 2Throughout this handbook, the term non-Communist countries includes Yugoslavia. With economic recovery, imports of machinery and equipment rose sharply until 1967. The recovery was cut short by the disruptions of the Cultural Revolution, and ma- chinery imports again fell in 1967-69. Chinese economic growth in the 1970s has been accompanied by a new surge in machinery imports. Total imports in 1973 were $797 million?still below the peak level of 1959. 2. Exports of machinery and equipment (see Figure 2) have been less influenced by the trends in the domestic economy. They have constituted only 2% to 5% of China's total exports. Much of China's machinery has been exported under aid agreements. Except for the first half of the 1960s, China's machinery exports have grown steadily Approved For Release 2001/03/03 CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 CHINA: Exportsl of Machinery and Transportation Equipment Figure 2 Million $ ? 200 otAmtiNgs 100 NIST NON-c?'".4mU Jo 1g73 1952 564948 1-75 1.955 1960 1 Data are f.o.b. China. 2 Throughout this handbook, the term non-Communist countries includes Yugoslavia. as a result of increased PRC aid and expansion of trade relations with the less developed non-Communist countries Trade with Communist Countries 3. During the 1950s, more than three-fourths of China's trade was conducted with other Communist countries, with imports of machinery and equipment rising steadily from $181 million in 1952 to $873 million in 1959. During 1952-59 the USSR and East- ern Europe accounted for 93% of China's total machinery imports. The machinery component of China's imports from the Communist countries jumped quickly from about one-fifth of the total in 1952 to more than three-fifths by the end of the period (see Table 2). 4. The withdrawal of Soviet technicians in mid-1960 was a serious shock to the Chinese economy, already overstrained by the Great Leap Forward. Imports of ma- chinery from the Communist countries dropped sharply after 1960 and hit a low of $76 million in 1963. Machinery purchases rebounded with the economic recovery in the mid-1960s. After a decline during the Cultural Revolution machinery imports from the Communist countries have been growing since 1969, but they are still well below the peak levels of the late 1950s. 5. Despite the shift in PRC trade away from the Communist countries, the USSR and Eastern Europe continue to be important sources of machinery and equip- ment. For 1961-73 one-half of China's machinery imports were from the Communist world. From 1952 to 1960 the USSR was the principal supplier, accounting for 60% of Communist machinery exports to the PRC. For most years since 1960, Eastern Europe has surpassed the USSR as a source of machinery and equipment, supplying more than 70% of these imports from the Communist world in 1965-73. East Germany has been China's leading source of machinery in Eastern Europe, with machinery con- stituting perhaps 90% of China's total imports from that country. Closer ties with Ro- mania since 1970 have boosted China's machinery imports from that country. 6. The composition of China's machinery imports from the Communist countries has shifted somewhat over the years. For the USSR (see Table A-3) the most significant change has been in complete plant imports. Equipment for whole plants dominated Chinese machinery imports from the USSR from 1952 to 1960, then fell sharply, and Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Approved For Release 2001/r03/93 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 able China: Share of Machinery and Transportation Equipment in Trade with the Communist Countries Year Total Communist Imports USSR Eastern Europe Total Communist Exports USSR Percent Other' Communist 1952 22 28 15 N egl. N egl. 0 1953 29 21 50 Negl. N egl. 0 1954 20 26 70 6 2 44 1955 30 31 70 6 2 45 1956 56 12 75 1 41 1957 57 50 80 3 1 27 1958 59 50 80 2 N egl. 26 1959 64 63 85 3 1 23 1960 61 62 85 2 N egl. 18 1961 34 29 85 7 N egl. 25 1962 18 12 90 6 2 19 1963 18 22 70 7 2 16 1964 26 43 70 7 2 14 1965 28 40 65 7 Negl. 14 1966 40 .19 85 8 N egl. 16 1967 39 50 80 IS N egl. 22 1968 38 95 80 15 N egl. 23 1%9 39 79 75 13 N egl. 20 1970 39 64 70 10 N egl. 16 1971 44 A 70 9 N egl. 17 1972 52 76 70 8 Negl. 17 1973 42 it 65 10 N egl. 17 Including Eastern Europe for 1963 and 1964. has disappeared in recent years. Imports of oil drilling equipment from the USSR have also been phased out since 1960. Soviet transport equipment has remained important. China continues to purchase Soviet trucks and has imported many Soviet aircraft since 1970. 7. Commodity detail on China's machinery imports from Eastern Europe is much less complete. Available information for various years (see Table A-4, A-5, and A-6) and from trade agreements show that China imports a wide range of machinery from Eastern Europe. Whole plants were an important category during the 1950s. Other major items imported from Eastern Europe include transport equipment, mainly trucks and ships; machine tools; electric generating equipment; and construction equipment. S. Until recently the bulk of China's machinery exports have gone to the Commu- nist countries (see Tables 1 and A-1). They have never accounted for more than 15% of China's total exports to Communist countries (see Table 2) and most have been pro- vided under aid programs (see Table A-1). Chinese assistance to North Korea and N orth Vietnam began late in the 1950s. Aid to Albania began in the early 1960s, after that country allied itself with China in the Sino-Soviet dispute. China exported machinery to Cuba during 1962 to 1965, a period when Peking competed with Moscow as an aid donor. A good part of the Chinese exports of machinery and equipment has probably been equipment for complete plants. Other machinery exports have included trucks, other transportation equipment, textile machinery, simple machine tools, and agricultural machinery. Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 A p p roxis Frrltedse3991Epa: C IA-RD P79-00928A000100110003-0 ewt mmittrs 9. The low levels of imports from 1952 to 1955 reflect the embargo on trade with the PRC and China's close economic ties with the Communist countries (see Table 1). Imports in the latter half of the 1950s picked up as Western restrictions on trade with China were relaxed. Until the early 1960s machinery imports from the West re- mained a small fraction of the total and consisted primarily of items that China could not obtain from the Communist countries. 10. With its economy on the upswing China turned to the West in 1964 as a source of modern machinery and technology. Purchases of whole plants boosted China's ma- chinery imports from the West during this period. Following a decline due to the Cultural Revolution, imports of machinery from the West exceeded those from the Communist countries in every year but one after 1969. 11. Virtually all of China's imports of machinery and transportation equipment from the West have come from the developed countries. Japan has been the largest supplier since 1963 (see Table B-2). France and West Germany are the major sup- pliers among the West European countries, with the United Kingdom, Italy, Switzerland and Sweden also being important sources. Of the less developed countries, Morocco has sold many trucks to China in some years and Pakistan made a large one-time sale of used aircraft in 1970. 12. China imports a wide range of machinery and transportation equipment from the West (see Table B-1). The principal categories since 1963 have been metalworking machinery, pumps, bearings, and transport equipment. Imports of transport equip- ment shot up rapidly after 1969 as part of China's program to upgrade its transport sector. 13. China's exports of machinery and equipment to the non-Communist countries were fairly small until 1963. Since then machinery exports have been on an upward trend reflecting China's growing relations with the less developed countries (see Table 1). Most of China's machinery exports to non-Communist countries go to the Third World under aid programs. Major types of machinery exported by China (see Table B-3) have included machine tools, textile machinery, bicycles, and some whole plants. Deliveries for the Tanzam Railroad, China's largest single aid project, have increased exports of railroad equipment, trucks, and construction machinery since 1970. Trade in Constant Prices 14. Calculating the value of China's imports of machinery and equipment in terms of 1957 US dollars (see Appendixes A and B) does not appreciably alter the overall monetary pattern of China's machinery trade. The largest changes occurred in imports from the non-Communist countries in the 1970s when inflation and devalua- tion of the US dollar had a strong effect on the dollar value of imports (see Table 3). The constant dollar series shows that the real value of machinery imports from the West actually declined in both 1971 and 1972 and that imports from the Communist countries in 1971-72 exceeded those from the non-Communist countries. Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Table 3 China: Trade in Machinery and Transportation Equipment in Constant 1957 US Dollars Imports Ex ports ' Million US $ Non- Non- Year Total Communist 2 Communist3 Total Communist Communist 1952 195 181 14 2 2 N egl. 1953 280 255 25 2 2 Negl. 1954 383 368 15 47 47 N egl. 1955 413 396 17 58 57 1 1956 547 503 44 52 50 2 1957 566 500 66 33 30 3 1958 713 645 68 40 33 7 1959 931 873 58 59 50 9 1960 836 790 46 39 33 6 1961 270 246 24 71 67 4 1.962 101 86 15 70 65 5 1963 98 76 22 70 59 11 1964 159 101 58 62 52 10 1965 293 147 146 62 45 17 1966 415 205 210 71 49 22 1907 306 133 173 92 72 20 1968 219 129 90 97 74 23 1969 199 115 84 88 63 25 1970 356 149 207 91 48 43 1971 418 222 196 119 55 64 1972 431 254 177 124 63 61 1973 574 233 341 172 97 754 ' The series for Chinese exports are the same as the current US dollar series. For methodologies, see Appendixes A and B. , The series for imports from the Communist countries is the same as the current value series except for 1972-73, see Appendix A. Imports from the non-Communist countries have been deflated into 1957 US dollars by the method described in Appendix B. Estimate. Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Appendix A Sources and Methods for Estimating China's Trade in Machinery and Transportation Equipment with the Communist Countries USSR Data on Chinese imports and exports of machinery and equipment are from the official Soviet trade handbooks and are converted into US dollars at the official commercial rate for each year. Totals for imports and exports are the values given for the Soviet trade classification category Machinery, Equipment, and Transport Facilities. Commodity detail is presented according to the Soviet trade nomenclature system. Because the commodity detail in the Soviet handbooks is not sufficiently dis- aggregated, it is not possible to convert these data to the Standard International Trade Classification (SITC). The Soviet trade classification includes some items such as instruments and abrasives in the machinery and equipment category which are excluded in the SITC. Although the level of commodity detail does not permit subtracting these items from USSR imports, their values have probably been small and do not affect the comparability of Soviet and SITC data significantly. Eastern Europe Data on China's machinery and equipment trade with Eastern Europe is much less detailed than with the USSR. Detailed commodity information on machinery exports to China are available for three countries and only for some years?Czechoslovakia, 1967-73; Hungary, 1952-59; and Poland, 1953 and 1958-68. For the other East European countries and for other years, the official trade handbooks provide totals for Chinese imports and exports and limited information on selected items of ma- chinery often given in volume but not value terms. As with the USSR, values from the East European handbooks are converted into US dollars at the official commercial exchange rate for each year. For 1952-53, the value of China's imports of machinery from Eastern Europe is based on the statement in an official Chinese source 2 that in 1953 machinery accounted for about 51% of Chinese imports from Eastern Europe and that this was nearly four times the level of 1952. For 1954 on, China's imports of machinery and equipment from Eastern Europe have been estimated as a percent- age of total exports from Eastern Europe to China. For Czechoslovakia, Hungary, and Poland, the data noted above were used to estimate the share of machinery in exports to China by these countries. For the other three countries, information from trade agree- ments and other sources indicates that machinery also makes up a large percent- age of their exports to China. For example, a 1958 Soviet article on Sino-East European trade estimated that 90% of East German exports to China in the 1950s were ma- chinery and equipment.3 The estimates of the share of machinery in China's total imports from Eastern Europe are shown in Table A-2. Other Communist Countries Data on China's exports of machinery and equipment to Albania, Cuba, and the Far Eastern Communist countries are lacking and even information on total Chinese exports and imports with these countries is incomplete. Estimates for China's ma- 2 Hsin-hua pan yueh-kan (New China Semimonthly) No. 9, 1953, p. 167. 3 From "Economic Cooperation of the People's Republic of China With the European People's Democ- racies," Vneshnaya Torgovlya, Vol. XXVIII, No. 10, Moscow, October 1958, pp. 2 9. Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CFA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CJA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 chihery exports to the other Communist countries are only rough approximations. Estimates of China's machinery exports to the Far Eastern Communist countries and Cuba are based on the assumption that one-half of Chinese aid to these countries each year has consisted of deliveries of machinery and equipment. During the 1950s only the Far Eastern Communist countries were receiving Chinese aid. Chinese machinery exports in 1952-53 were probably negligible because economic re- construction was just getting under way in China. For 1954-73, China's trade surplus with these countries is assumed to represent deliveries under aid agreements. In 1960, China extended a $60 million credit to Cuba for the construction of complete plants and other technical aid. This credit was drawn between 1961 and 1965. Since then Chinese exports of machinery to Cuba have probably been negligible. China's economic relations with Albania only became significant after 1960. China exports a wide range of goods to Albania including foodstuffs, metals, industrial raw ma- terials, and machinery. Machinery and transportation equipment are estimated to constitute 20% of China's total exports to Albania since 1962. Trade in Constant Prices As a first approximation and until further research can be done, it has been assumed that prices of machinery and equipment in trade between China and other Communist countries have been constant. The only adjustment has been for the devalu- ation of the US dollar since 1971; this adjustment in China's imports from Commu- nist countries is noted in the following tabulation: Million US $ 1972 Total USSR Eastern Europe Current value 278 92 186 Constant value 254 84 170 1973 Current value 296 101 195 Constant value 233 83 150 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Table A-1 China: Trade in Machinery and Transportation Equipment with the Communist Countries Million US $ Year USSR Imports I Eastern Europe 2 Total USSR Exports ' Eastern Europe 2 Other Communist 3 Total 1952 157 24 181 2 2 1953 161 94 255 2 .... 2 1954 199 169 368 10 37 47 1955 230 166 396 10 47 57 1956 305 198 503 9 41 50 .1957 272 228 500 6 24 30 1958 318 327 645 4 29 33 1959 597 276 873 12 38 50 1960 504 286 790 1 32 33 1961 108 138 246 Negl. 67 67 1962 27 59 86 9 56 65 1963 42 34 76 7 4 48 59 1964 58 43 101 6 3 43 52 1965 77 70 147 .... 45 45 1966 86 119 205 Negl. 49 49 1967 25 108 133 .... 72 72 1968 15 114 129 74 74 1969 22 93 115 63 63 1970 16 133 149 48 48 1971 55 167 222 55 55 1972 92 186 278 63 63 1973 101 195 296 97 97 ' Data are f.o.b, country of origin. 2 Includes Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, East Germany, Hungary, Poland, and Romania. 3 Includes Albania, Cuba, North Vietnam, North Korea, and Mongolia. Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Approved For Release 2001/0311,03 :ACIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 able China: Imports of Machinery and Transportation Equipment from Eastern Europe, as a Share of Total Impoes1 Value in Million US $ Eastern Europe 2 Bulgaria Czecho- slovakia East Germany Hungary Poland Romania 1952 Total imports 155 1 55 55 21 24 Negl. Imports of machinery and transportation equipment 24 Negl. 8 8 6 2 Negl. Percent 15 Negl. 15 15 29 10 Negl. 1953 Total imports 189 5 61 60 30 31 2 Imports of machinery and transportation equipment 94 1 30 42 18 6 1 Percent 50 20 50 70 60 19 50 1954 Total imports 241 4 64 100 31 37 5 Imports of machinery and transportation equipment 169 1 38 90 22 16 3 Percent 70 25 60 90 71 43 50 1955 Total imports 237 5 58 97 36 35 6 Imports of machinery and transportation equipment 166 N egl. 35 87 26 14 3 Percent 70 10 60 90 72 40 50 1956 Total imports 264 5 65 95 31 50 18 Imports of machinery and transportation equipment 198 1 52 86 19 27 15 Percent 75 20 80 90 61 54 85 1957 Total imports 285 4 81 106 29 45 20 Imports of machinery and -,ransportation equipment 228 Negl. 73 95 20 27 19 Percent 80 10 90 90 69 60 95 1 958 Total imports 409 11 109 133 58 72 26 Imports of machinery and transportation equipment 327 4 104 126 21 47 25 Percent 80 36 95 95 36 65 95 1959 Total imports 325 6 100 107 40 43 29 Imports of machinery and transportation equipment 276 3 95 102 14 26 27 Percent 85 50 95 95 35 60 95 1960 Total imports 337 8 109 97 40 50 33 Imports of machinery and transportation equipment 286 4 104 92 16 35 31 Percent 85 50 95 95 40 70 95 1961 Total imports 162 8 34 55 29 27 9 Imports of machinery and transportation equipment 138 4 32 52 17 25 8 Percent 85 50 95 95 60 93 90 1962 Total imports 66 3 12 22 12 15 2 Imports of machinery and transportation equipment 59 2 11 20 6 15 1 Percent 90 50 90 90 50 100 50 1963 Total imports 48 1 9 10 3 11 14 Imports of machinery and transportation equipment 34 Negl. 8 9 2 8 7 Percent 70 Negl. 90 90 50 73 50 Pootnmses at end of table. Approved For Release 2001/03/0314 CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Approved For Release 2001/03/0&be C*5079-00928A000100110003-0 China: Imports of Machinery and Transportation Equipment from Eastern Europe, as a Share of Total Imports1 Value in Million US $ Poland Romania Eastern Europe 2 Bulgaria Czecho- slovakia East Germany Hungary 1964 Total imports 62 2 9 16 4 15 16 Imports of machinery and transportation equipment 43 1 8 14 2 7 11 Percent 70 50 90 90 60 47 70 1965 Total imports 107 1 19 26 15 19 27 Imports of machinery and transportation equipment 70 1 17 23 9 10 10 Percent 65 50 90 90 60 53 37 1966 Total imports 140 2 22 36 16 30 34 Imports of machinery and transportation equipment 119 1 20 32 11 22 27 Percent 85 50 90 90 70 73 80 1967 Total imports 135 2 19 34 12 29 39 Imports of machinery and transportation equipment 108 1 14 31 9 24 31 Percent 80 50 74 90 75 83 80 1968 Total imports 143 2 24 37 14 25 41 Imports of machinery and transportation equipment 114 1 19 33 9 19 31 Percent 80 50 79 90 65 76 75 1969 Total imports 124 2 26 30 10 18 38 Imports of machinery and transportation equipment 93 1 19 27 6 10 30 Percent 75 50 73 90 60 56 SO 1970 Total imports 190 1 31 42 18 26 72 Imports of machinery and transportation equipment 133 1 26 38 11 21 30 Percent 70 50 84 90 60 81 42 1971 Total imports 239 8 34 44 17 37 99 Imports of machinery and transportation equipment 167 5 28 40 10 33 55 Percent 70 60 82 90 60 89 56 1972 Total imports 265 5 29 48 33 28 122 Imports of machinery and transportation equipment 186 3 23 43 20 23 65 Percent 70 60 79 90 60 82 53 1973 Total imports 300 8 40 50 40 33 129 Imports of machinery and transportation equipment 195 5 29 45 24 24 71 Percent 65 60 72 90 60 73 55 1 Data for total Chinese imports are from the official trade handbooks of the individual countries for most years. Percent data in boldface type has been calculated from data on China's machinery and transportation equipment imports for that year as reported by the trading partner. All other percents are estimates which were used to derive the value of machinery and transportation equip- ment imports. 2 Because total Eastern Europe percentages have been rounded to the nearest 5 percent, machinery and transportation equipment imports for the individual countries may not add to the totals shown. Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Table A-3 China: Imports of Machinery and Transportation Equipmen nm the USSR' Thousand US $ > -0 USSR Nomenclature Machinery, equipment, and transportation facilities 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 (1) 156,535 161,191 198,650 229,549 304,718 271,530 317,929 597,460 503,868 108,079 27,324 42,184 57,710 76,988 86,209 24,614 14,898 21,580 16,380 54,638 91,754 101,139 Metal processing equipment (10) 3,010 4,923 3,454 7,025 6,606 4,488 1 ,631 68 258 459 5,356 7,720 771 247 1,140 1,396 3,839 5,254 1,872 Of which: Metal cutting machine tools (100) .... .... .... 2,098 4,327 2,873 7,025 6,606 3,358 967 68 258 424 3,322 7,720 771 247 1,140 1,396 3,839 5,254 1,872 Power and electrical engineering equipment (11) 6 ,651 9 ,602 14 ,398 13 ,582 10 ,346 7 ,852 12 ,381 24 ,424 21 ,448 8 ,629 1 ,353 772 699 2 ,100 2 ,771 820 378 627 1 ,997 1 ,654 12 ,763 17 ,272 Of which: Power engineering equipment (110) 1,633 2,125 7,640 8,138 7,248 3,941 9,654 18,641 5,645 2,077 523 487 333 1,508 1,109 449 177 1 657 9,273 16,975 Electrical engineering equipment (111) 5,018 7,45..1.. 6,75..8.. 5,443 3,097 3,912 2,727 5,783 .... .... Mining, metallurgical, and petroleum equipment (12) .... 16 ,258 20 ,107 14 ,762 11 ,619 8 ,843 7 ,625 1 ,861 73 702 840 960 2,463 530 330 171 166 99 Of which: Equipment for geological survey, engineering, and petroleum and gas extraction (128) 13,159 19,506 12,790 10,890 7,601 6,221 689 2 113 754 863 1,697 530 330 171 166 99 Material handling equipment (13) 1 ,891 1 ,506 2,222 3,463 1 ,847 4 ,956 1 ,457 176 63 79 21 956 542 3,000 970 386 535 3 Food and light industry equipment (14) 307 127 253 207 571 147 251 .... 6 22 .3 4 .... .... .... .... .... Equipment for chemical, paper, and construction industries (15) .... .... .... 8,309 8,646 8,157 6,834 9,866 11,828 2,386 377 430 896 8,884 8,159 399 281 898 82 34 928 125 Equipment for complete industrial installations(16) 40 ,654 49 ,271 93 ,067 141 ,486 216 ,928 209 ,004 166 ,144 399 ,721 373 ,806 78 ,901 8 ,844 14 ,568 12 ,428 3 ,903 256 1 ,667 308 ???? .... .... Instruments, laboratory and medical equipment, bearings, and abrasives (17)2 3 ,368 5,795 6 ,723 7,948 8,055 10 ,928 12 ,858 14 ,191 12 ,909 3,337 2,077 3 ,132 5 ,183 9 ,090 6 ,452 1 ,829 1 ,861 651 353 2 ,456 2 ,459 1 ,074 Of which: Bearings (173) 1,014 2,611 3,757 2,373 1,332 1,933 1,738 5,069 3,591 1,963 728 690 1,158 210 397 347 250 208 47 1,926 2,104 824 Tractors and agricultural machinery and equipment (18) 10,461 9,235 2,455 19,824 8,505 9,102 1,811 1,560 7,542 7,108 12,845 14,631 2,481 2,907 3,678 2,220 3,578 3,012 3,094 Of which: Tractors and spare parts (180) 8,725 7,042 1,802 12,468 4,333 5,682 1,061 1,087 6,787 6,875 10,344 14,275 2,072 2,786 3,193 1,960 3,216 2,491 2,639 Agricultural machinery (181) 1,514 2,022 532 7,086 3,961 3,048 330 14 290 172 2,462 356 409 121 484 260 362 520 455 Transportation facilities and auxiliary equipment (19) 23 ,353 20,872 7,142 68,684 113,278 53,526 7,334 12,299 14 ,173 29,539 32,716 41 ,483 14 ,549 7,849 10 ,725 8 ,588 41 ,378 64 ,498 73,092 Of which: Railroad rolling stock and equipment (190) 411 1,563 316 5,032 74,647 5,432 352 .... 47 46 .... .... .... Motor vehicles (191) 22,628 16,324 5,200 61,589 33,595 44,906 6,558 10,099 11,525 9,861 18,923 27,076 3,818 5,794 5,533 3,780 7,623 10,995 16,874 Vessels and port equipment (192) 314 2,932 1,625 2,065 4,718 3,188 424 226 194 28 .... .... .... .... .... .... Air transportation facilities (193) .... - ???? --- 1,974 2,407 19,604 13,780 14,398 10,728 20,054 5,192 4,808 33,754 53,502 52,219 Other machinery and transportation equipment 3 105 ,862 96 ,523 84 ,462 2 ,944 3 ,973 5 ,301 8 ,890 9 ,608 4 ,033 481 497 538 457 1 ,110 1 ,314 1 ,026 737 690 608 1 ,214 2 ,305 4 ,607 1 Data are from the official Soviet trade handbooks, Vneshnyaya torgovlya, SSR and are presented according to the Soviet trade nomenclature with category numbers in parentheses. Ruble values have been converted to US dollars at the official exchange rate for each year. Data are f.o.b. the Soviet border. 2 Some items in this category are not included in machinery and equipment in the Standard International Trade Classification (SITC). However, their value is probably not large. 3 The total of machinery and transportation equipment as given in the handbook less the individual commodities reported. 13 0-?0001.1.001.000V9Z600-6/dC1N-V10 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Table A-4 China: Imports of Machinery and Transportation Equipment from Czechoslovakia ' SITU Nomenclature 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 Thousand US $ 1972 1973 Machinery and transport equipment (7) 13 ,761 18 ,789 18 ,787 26,320 27 ,782 22 ,748 28 ,990 Non-electric machinery (71) 3 ,631 6 ,761 7 ,513 8 ,796 15 ,120 9 ,961 9 ,399 Of which: Metalworking machinery (715) 3,631 5,856 4,669 6,212 11,898 5,697 6?571 Electric machinery (72) 1,356 2 ,671 2,099 6,665 4,531 4,272 8,950 Of which: Electric power machinery and switch- gear (722) 1,356 2,671 2,099 6,665 1,531 4,272 8,950 Transport equipment (73) 6 ,169 7 ,835 9 ,099 10 ,308 8 ,083 8 ,400 10 ,565 Of which: Road motor vehicles (732) 6,169 7,835 9,099 10,308 8,083 8,400 10,565 Other machinery and transport equipment 2 2 ,605 1 ,522 76 551 48 115 76 1 Data are from Facts on Czechoslovak Foreign Trade, various years, published by the Chamber of Commerce of Czechoslovakia. The source lists commodities according to SITC. SITC codes are in parentheses. Values are converted from Czechoslovak crowns to US dollars at the official commercial exchange rate for each year. Data are f.o.b. the Czechoslovak border. 2 The total of machinery and transportation equipment as given in the source less the individual commodities reported. Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Approved For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Table A-5 China: Imports of Machinery and Transportation Equipment from Poland' Thousand US $72.1 USSR Nomenclature Machinery, equipment, and transportation facilities (1)2 Metal processing machinery (10) Of which: Metal cutting machine tools (100 Power and electrical engineering equipment (11) Of which: Power engineering equipment (110) Mining, metallurgical, and petroleum equipment (12) Material handling equipment (13) Food and light industry equipment (14) Equipment for chemical, paper, and construction in- dustries (15) Equipment for complete industrial installations (16) Instruments, laboratory and medical equipment, bearings, and abrasives (17)3 Of which: Electrical measuring instruments 1170) Tractors and agricultural machinery and equipment (18) Of which: Tractors and spare parts (180) Agricultural machinery (1811 Transportation facilities and auxiliary equipment (19) Of which: Railroad rolling stock and equipment (190) Motor vehicles (191) Vessels and port equipment (192) 1958 47,223 2,905 2,648 4,900 4,697 6,086 82 4 2,014 5,090 1,900 1,313 9,213 3,685 5,528 15,029 1,059 5,616 8,325 1959 25 ,558 2,926 2.737 2,383 2.106 6,360 71 .... 1 ,146 7 ,404 550 208 1 ,197 1,193 3,521 2,852 512 157 1960 34,880 1,601 1.506 1,763 1,707 67 348 .... 1 ,988 19,670 407 168 1 ,814 1,814 7,222 5,163 1,924 131 1961 24 ,986 774 756 4,472 4,469 23 25 ???? 569 15 ,667 270 38 1 ,534 1,434 100 1,652 1,080 208 364 1962 14 ,686 .... 1,021 965 58 118 50 261 8,522 186 148 30 30 4 ,440 18 60 4,362 1963 8 ,064 70 70 16 .... 2 ,762 70 70 242 242 4,904 .... 619 4,285 1964 6 ,946 61 61 190 1,199 930 269 5 ,496 1,318 4,178 1965 10 ,140 353 353 1 ,132 1.132 178 389 85 70 489 489 7,514 3,266 4,248 1966 21 ,722 2,728 2,728 1,441 1,441 4 ,814 309 134 10 325 56 269 11,971 .... 3,930 8,041 1967 23 ,743 587 552 4,305 4,305 5 ,609 3 ,993 313 8 ,936 877 8,059 1968 19 ,405 2,126 1,987 1,882 I , 882 3,960 9 ,774 245 245 .... 1,418 ???? 434 984 0 CD a. TI 0 -1 X CD c7 su 0 cco IV 0 0 -% -......., -......., 04 0 0 ....4 CID 1_ CD CD Co > 0 0 C) 1 Data are from official Polish trade handbooks. Statystyka handlu zagranicznego for 1958-63 and Rocznick statystyczny handlu zagranicznego for 1964-68 and are presented according to the Soviet trade nomenclature with category numbers in parentheses. Values have been converted from Polish zlotys to US dollars at the official commercial" exchange rate for each year. Data are f.o.b. the Polish border. a 2 Tc,-tals for machinery and equipment and for the two-digit categories are the sums of the individual co MM o d i ties reported in the handbooks. a 3 Some items in this category are not included in machinery and transport equipment in the Standard International Trade Classification. However, their value is probably not large.8 6 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Table A-6 China: Imports of Machinery and Transportation Equipment from Hungary USSR Machinery, equipment, and transportation 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 Thousand US $ 1958 1959 facilities (1)2 6,378 18 ,407 22 ,164 25 ,973 18 ,652 19,992 21,342 14,299 Metal processing machinery (10) 2,204 3,128 802 255 901 2 ,090 2 ,993 713 Of which: Metal cutting machine tools (100) 2,204 3,128 802 255 901 2,090 2,993 713 Power and electrical engineering equipment (11) 1 ,235 579 2 ,375 6 ,428 3 ,874 Mining, metallurgical, and petroleum equip- ment (12) 551 637 3,096 2,880 590 Of which: Equipment for geological survey, engi- neering, and petroleum and gas ex- traction (128) 83 539 1,940 243 590 Material handling equipment (13) 595 503 26 573 Food and light industry equipment (14) Equipment for chemical, paper, and con- struction industries (15) 185 764 1,571 3,301 3,662 2,828 2,422 3,692 Equipment for complete industrial installa- tions (16) Instruments, laboratory, and medical equip- ment, bearings, and abrasives (17)3 1 ,051 1 ,387 710 547 62 Tractors and agricultural machinery and equipment (18) 577 2,479 1,110 2,007 4 ,101 6,093 4,663 5,030 Transportation facilities and auxiliary equip- ment (19) 1,215 9,509 14 ,849 15,175 8 ,755' 6,606 4,836 990 Of which: Railroad rolling stock and equipment (190) 1,460 Motor vehicles (191) 1,174 6,378 8,961 7,585 4,408 4,546 4,548 990 Vessels and port equipment (192) 1,423 714 765 ' Data are from official Hungarian statistical handbooks, Statisztikai evkonyv, and are presented according to the Soviet trade nomen- clature with category numbers in parentheses. Values have been converted from Hungarian forints to US dollars at the official commercial exchange rate for each year. Data are f.o.b. the Hungarian border. 2 Totals for machinery and transportation equipment and for the two-digit categories are the sums of the individual commodities reported in the handbooks. 3 Some items in this category are not included in machinery and transport equipment in the Standard International Trade Classifica- tion. However, their value is probably not large. Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : ClIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Appendix B Sources and Methods for Estimating China's Trade in Machinery and Transportation Equipment with the Non-Communist Countries This Appendix contains data on China's trade in machinery and transportation equipment with the non-Communist countries and a methodology for deflating cur- rent values of this trade into constant 1957 dollar values. The data are compiled from publications of the US government, the United Nations, and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, and from official statistics of China's trade partners. Tables B-1 and B-2 present current value data on China's imports of machin- ery, by commodity and by country of origin, respectively. Table B-3 provides a com- modity breakdown on the current values of China's machinery exports. Tables B-4 and B-5 present two methods of constructing price indexes of China's machinery imports. Table B-6 provides information on converting China's exports from c.i.f., country of destination to f.o.b., China. In Table B-7 current values of China's imports of machinery are deflated into constant 1957 dollar values. A Paasche index of the prices China pays for machinery is used to deflate the current values of China's imports into constant 1957 dollar values. The formula for a Paasche price index normally is presented as a weighted average of price relatives or as a weighted aggregative: 4 ?P101) (1310%1) Pi E PlicIti where: lower case letters "p" and "q" refer to prices and quantities of the items in the sample, denoted by subscript "i," and superscripts "0" and "1" are the base (1957)- and current-years, respectively. The Paasche rather than the Laspeyres index of prices is used to deflate imports because dividing current values of imports by the Paasche index yields the value of current quantities imported at 1957 prices: E Pilqii E - E pi"go- The weighted average of price relatives and the weighted aggregative are un- suitable in the above forms for construction of a Paasche price index for China. Since neither price nor quantity data?only current values?are available on China's trade in machinery and transportation equipment, it is convenient to use the following algebraically identical form of the Paasche index, which reduces to the weighted aggregative: _ z piOqil E (PI:1) Ptplqiiglii plOgil E 1 For further details, see Bruce D. Mudgett, Index Numbers (New York: John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 1951, and Irving Fisher, The Making of Index Numbers (Boston: Iloughton Mifflin Company, 1922). Approved For Release 2001/03/03s: CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 ApproodiFfgReleasqh2R9tigaM 4,PIATRP 1?)71P?-oomin pp? Qs.' istogato share of each item in the total value of the sample (pilqiI/ ?%) ?. Current value data can be derived directly from trade data, but price relatives must be estimated. Ideally, a price index for China's imports of machinery should be estimated from trading partner export price indexes and the value of China's imports on a country- by-commodity basis. If these data were available for each country from which China imports machinery, an index of the export prices of each category of machinery could be weighted by the value of China's imports in that category. Such an estimate would take account of exchange rate fluctuations and price changes for individual types of machinery in the various countries. Only one assumption would be required: that China is a price-taker. While China is not a monopsonist vis-a-vis the world, MACHIMPEX, the foreign trade corporation that handles all of China's trade in ma- chinery, is a monopolist vis-a-vis internal consumers and probably derives some monopsonist powers from the ability to offer potentially large markets to individual firms. Unfortunately, data are not available on a country-by-commodity basis. For that reason, two separate methods of estimating price relatives each taking account of different factors that determine prices?are given in Tables B-4 and B-5. The first method (Index I) uses US wholesale prices for various types of machinery and transport equipment as estimates of price relatives, and it takes account of price variations between machinery commodities. The second method (Index II) uses ma- chinery export unit value indexes of countries that are major suppliers of machinery to China (as estimates of price relatives) and takes account of variations in the rates of inflation and in the exchange rates between countries, but not of variations in prices between commodities. For the indexes to reflect accurately the changes in the prices of machinery that China imports, the assumptions underlying each must be valid. Index I assumes that exporting nations compete perfectly in all lines of machinery production, and thus that US wholesale price indexes are representative of changes in world export prices for ma- chinery. In addition, because of the high elasticity of substitution between competing types of machinery, price trends for similar types of machinery are correlated. Hence, even if China's imports of machinery are not of the same quality as those types of machinery produced in the United States, the price trends will be similar. Index II assumes that each exporting country is completely specialized in the production of different lines of machinery and that export price levels in different countries move independently of one another because of variations in economic cycles and in the exchange rates. Hence, China's import price index will rise or fall, depending on whether the share of imports from higher priced suppliers increases or decreases, respectively. Neither set of assumptions is completely true, yet each has some measure of validity. Because the United States is the world's largest producer of machinery and, until recently, the largest exporter, US wholesale price indexes reflect trends in world prices. On the other hand, if exporting nations were perfectly competitive in all lines of machinery production, export price indexes would be the same for all countries (assuming other factors such as transportation costs were equal). The fact that unit value indexes for machinery exports differ substantially between countries (see Table B-5) suggests that countries specialize to some degree in producing differ- ent types of machinery. China has allowed politics to "take command" in the choice of trade partners. For instance, as a result of the "Nagasaki flag incident" in May 1958, China cut off virtually all trade with Japan. In so doing, China eliminated for a time one of the lowest 19 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 rs2irf&tMnsy! N93:1/Raiis??aidc*PetTIR-219a2usi-Ma?9110991n1,9903-0 economic considerations to influence the direction of trade. As indicators of price trends, unit value indexes generally are less reliable than true price indexes: much depends on the units used and the comparability of the commodities from which an average (unit) value is derived. Unit value indexes may be biased to the high side during periods of great technological change, since such changes may result in improved quality (and higher prices) not reflected in the units compared. This is a particular problem in the case of machinery unit value indexes, where a great variety of machines may be subsumed under a general classifi- cation, even at the most detailed level of specifications. For these reasons the true index of China's import prices for machinery and trans- portation equipment probably lies somewhere between Indexes I and II. The final price index used to deflate China's imports is the result of arbitrarily assigning twice as much significance to the commodity weighted price index as to country weighted unit value index (see Figure B-1). This methodology, although somewhat subjective, is probably more reliable than obtaining sketchy price data on a small sample of machines which may or may not be comparable over time. Unfortunately the methodology used to deflate China's imports of machinery would not be valid if extended to China's exports. US wholesale prices probably have little relationship to the prices at which China sells machinery. Machinery import unit value indexes for countries that import China's machinery reflect prices of im- ports from industrialized countries, not from China. In the absence of specific informa- tion on export prices for China's machinery, China's machinery export prices are assumed to have remained stable over much of the period. Approved For Release 2001/03/0)3 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 CHINA: Comparison of Paasche Price Indexes for Imports of Machinery and Transportation Equipment' PRICE INDEX (1957=100) Deflating Index 2 Price Index I (weighted by commodity) Price Index II (weighted by country of origin) 564964 1-.7 1960 1965 1 Data are from Table 6-7. The Paasche price index used to deflate China's imports of machinery is a weighted average of Indexes I and II, giving twice the weight to Index I. Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Table B-1 China: Imports of Machinery and Transportation Equipment from Non-Communist Countries, by Commodity Groups of the SITC Thousand US $ > 73 72, 0 CD0- -11 0 CD CD C,) CD (h) (h) 0 CD6 CoCD SITC Nomenclature 2 Machinery and transport equipment 3 (7) Nonelectric machinery (71) Power generating (711) Internal-combustion engines (711.3; .4) Agricultural (712) Office (714) Metalworking (715) Textile and leather (717) Special purpose (718) Printing and bookbinding (718.2) Food-processing (718.3) Construction and mining (718.4) Appliances and parts, nes. (719) Pumps and centrifuges (719.2) Mechanical handling equipment (719.3) Power tools (719.52; .53) Bearings (719.7) Taps, cocks, and valves (719.92) Transmission equipment (719.93) Electric machinery (72) Power and switchgear (722) Electricity distributing (723) Telecommunications (724) Household (725) Medical and radiological (726) General purpose (729) Transport equipment (73) Railway vehicles (731) Road motor vehicles (732) Motorless road vehicles (733) Aircraft (734) Ships and boats (735) 1952 11,965 8,314 167 0 1,491 29 ? .?? 444 5 3,352 177 17 86 56 1 0 1953 20,893 12,747 1,026 1 2,337 1,303 605 6 7,358 446 0 282 164 0 1954 13,309 5,232 198 0 206 34 1,508 782 736 100 44 3,124 353 25 4,270 0 324 342 0 3,600 1955 15,035 6,222 178 0 199 62 1,316 3,106 223 745 83 2,695 238 214 253 4,815 61 343 357 4,024 1956 41,555 22,920 3,068 4,898 661 952 4,848 2,287 1,939 1,195 . ? ? 166 6,565 814 134 895 12,016 60 7,625 2,948 1,294 1957 65,757 48,669 1,769 1,858 128 4,327 3,453 27,686 26,247 3,677 2,589 9,905 4,526 408 1,281 7,183 130 4,302 1,387 0 1,294 1958 69,698 51,009 3,239 3,806 77 5,924 4,715 5,828 4,594 14,599 12,472 11,871 3,586 1,163 1,170 6,818 150 5,440 767 451 1959 60,500 46,779 1,205 223 1,149 __ 9,724 4,445 21,855 28 4,069 3,031 32 1,802 9,359 3,140 308 1,441 4,362 1,952 1,781 498 1960 49,600 25,690 3,172 440 480 391 12,748 1,267 3,152 104 54 2,535 2,885 851 - 54 1,426 9,000 767 436 2,247 14,910 10,928 1,918 1,916 1961 25,577 13,101 1,207 82 965 536 1,959 3,029 822 41 3,289 373 944 20 672 5,781 1,373 462 978 283 6,695 3,545 1,358 1,778 1962 15,588 8,021 489 334 117 25 1,109 852 1,034 0 58 3,408 743 165 626 444 4,807 993 39 1,238 1,096 2,760 14 2,670 ? ? ? ? 73 1963 23,747 8,498 2,231 2,214 1,109 76 1,441 882 645 21 87 429 2,114 477 66 414 172 107 5,474 189 56 933 2,396 9,775 6 1,094 8,460 78 1964 61,359 32,247 1,096 965 1,474 386 7,899 6,931 3,764 234 32 3,270 10,774 2,085 534 824 745 273 13,538 512 172 2,127 7,047 15,574 24 5,342 3,931 6,135 1965 155,047 104,130 3,952 3,668 11,971 1,079 17,991 9,658 15,681 894 70 13,708 44,498 9,730 3,488 2,220 968 1,077 33,728 5,562 786 4,705 14,627 17,189 793 10,977 704 4,397 1966 237,635 149,418 14,913 14,368 2,362 2,472 31,847 13,209 17,807 2,106 118 12,691 66,808 10,604 3,106 16,728 1,986 787 36,886 3,006 589 6,035 15,593 51,331 3,467 31,373 356 ???? 15,368 1967 201,887 130,431 9,209 5,185 262 2,538 51,790 4,745 8,276 832 146 2,024 53,611 8,054 8,468 4,385 8,460 459 28,430 6,580 796 3,501 10,697 43,026 997 20,579 233 20,741 1968 105,951 69,715 2,875 2,134 46 2,278 30,265 2,139 2,817 1,121 7 1,078 29,295 5,113 2,486 3,732 10,210 678 15,566 2,775 874 967 5,623 20,670 1,959 12,434 13 3,232 2,923 1969 98,642 67,012 4,752 4,246 1,413 265 23,523 1,862 4,475 1,042 0 2,658 30,722 8,040 1,513 3,759 11,234 510 1,836 12,089 1,858 1,427 1,480 587 4,450 19,541 4,928 13,079 240 387 851 1970 248,972 122,922 5,018 4,856 2,514 280 46,555 564 16,245 1,102 11 12,990 51,746 16,260 4,431 5,634 17,080 717 419 15,599 2,644 1,564 1,556 369 4,715 110,451 9,588 65,964 610 18,618 14,720 1971 259,247 146,186 9,467 9,120 1,117 90 62,598 583 16,909 209 10 16,527 55,422 9,136 6,986 2,964 30,654 709 2,091 12,258 4,553 292 1,337 461 2,429 100,803 2,715 88,308 1,181 2,379 4,869 1972 245,769 111,929 25,310 16,267 5,246 342 22,699 1,583 16,163 320 35 15,586 40,586 7,328 756 3,349 17,872 3,653 1,315 22,566 5,518 492 5,805 1,243 6,139 111,274 44,022 31,703 1,429 5,469 21,281 19734 501,200 185,400 31,600 900 700 19,700 10,600 17,000 104,900 45,400 12,500 600 13,500 Negl. 1,700 17,200 270,400 30,900 60,400 Negl. 63,000 79,900 ' Data are derived from annual Summary Tables, Exports to and Imports from Communist Areas in Eastern Europe and Asia, and Cuba by Free World Countries, prepared by US Department of Commerce, International Trade Analysis Staff (ITAS). Data reflect China's imports, f.o.b., country of shipment. With minor exceptions, trade partner data refer to mainland China and exclude Outer Mongolia, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Macao. Yugoslavia is included in the Free World in all years. Re-exports from Hong Kong to China are excluded and those from the United King- dom and other countries included. Because commodity detail is not reported by all countries, values are necessarily understated. For additional specific information concerning trade partners and coverage see the source. 2 Data are arranged according to Section 7 of the Standard International Trade Classification (SITC), revised edition, with all two- and three-digit (division and group) categories delineated. Some four- and five-digit categories relevant to the construction of a price index are also shown. SITC nomenclature has been paraphrased, and SITC index numbers are provided in parentheses as a reference to more precise descriptions. The table is not exhaustive: data are the sums of values for specified machinery-data for "other and unspecified" categories of the summary tables are included at the lowest identifiable levels of the SITC and are not broken out as additional sub- categories. As a result, data represent minimum values and may not add to totals shown at the next higher divisions. Ellipsis marks (....) indicate that machinery imports, if any, were recorded under "other and unspecified" categories. Reporting on specific machinery under SITC 718, 719. and 729 varied, and may not be comparable from year to year. 23 3 In addition to the types of machinery and transportation equipment presented, the Soviet trade classification system includes trade in professional and scientific instruments, roughly equivalent to SITC 861. For purposes of comparison, data on China's imports of professional and scientific instruments from non-Communist countries are as follows (in thousand US 8) 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 2,734 9,427 3,228 2,469 7,953 8,985 6,489 3,774 5,224 1,883 736 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 2,318 7,802 18,741 24,947 20,308 15,978 11,589 11,190 5,262 6,883 4 Data for 1973 are estimates based on official data of leading suppliers of machinery and equipment to China. Ch) 6 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Table B-2 China: Imports of Machinery and Transportation Equipmen rom Non-Communist Countries, by Country of Origin I Thousand US $ 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 Total 2 15,035 41,555 65,757 69,698 60,500 49,600 25,577 15,588 23,747 61,359 Of which: Japan 2,082 12,113 7,636 4,304 46 89 336 1,519 4,376 19,167 France 97 5,401 7,333 4,146 1,408 8,999 6,328 398 563 3,072 West Germany 902 5,826 6,881 17,818 12,821 11,605 2,285 2,174 2,006 8,957 United Kingdom 568 5,0343 3,782 11,247 8,610 15,228 5,960 3,723 13,762 17,759 Italy 33 90 327 2,926 759 766 1,205 569 249 1,192 Switzerland 2,427 4,424 5,252 6,077 8,728 1,655 1,142 443 462 2,284 Sweden 472 1,420 23,5234 7,505 5,173 3,984 1,968 1,125 446 958 Finland 7,060 1,754 2,745 1,340 14,330 302 203 33 52 14 Norway o 12 o 401 19 1,830 1,686 016 2,396 Denmark 30 569 315 2,949 343 542 2,637 3,256 288 9163 Austria 122 963 1,563 3,978 4,372 187 71 120 109 184 Netherlands 45 51 1,134 749 438 708 556 126 640 839 Belgium-Luxembourg 466 1,517 3,759 2,228 1,321 1,337 622 373 74 225 Yugoslavia 0 942 145 60 o 0 o o 0 0 Malaysia/ Singapore 0 o 196 379 o 0 0 o 0 o Morocco o 0 o 0 230 161 422 1,662 633 3,451 Canada o o o 0 17 o 4 186 o 0 Pakistan o 0 o o 0 o 0 0 o o United States o 0 o o 0 o o 0 o o I Data for individual countries are derived principally from tables in the Country-by-Commodity Series, Exports to and Imports from Communist Areas in Eastern Europe and Asia, and Cuba by Free World Countries, prepared by US Department of Com- merce, International Trade Analysis Staff (ITAS). Data reflect China's imports, f.o.b., country of origin. With minor exceptions, trade partner data refer to mainland China and exclude Outer Mongolia, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Macao. Yugoslavia is included in the Free World for all years. For additional specific information concerning trade partners and coverage see the source. 2 Totals are from US Department of Commerce, Summary Tables as presented in Table B-1. Data for exporting countries may not sum to totals shown because: (1) only those countries which exported US S 1 million or more of machinery in at least one year are presented in Table B-2; (2) the ITAS does not publish its tables for countries whose total trade with Communist countries is less than a standard minimum; (3) the ITAS occasionally revises data after publication of the Country-by-Commodity Series and prior to compilation of the Summary Tables. For the latter two reasons, data from the Country-by-Commodity Series were compared with United Nations' and OECD statistics and amended by reference to primary sources as noted below. Totals for 1973 are from Country-by-Commodity Tables available at time of printing. Although re-exports from the United Kingdom and other countries are included in the totals, the re-exports from Hong Kong are excluded because inclusion might result in double-counting. Hong Kong's re-exports of machinery and transportation equipment to China are as follows (in thousand US $): 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 573 1,437 1,347 3,490 1,624 1,784 1,463 1,251 603 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 811 696 377 467 275 211 579 913 1,062 25 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 155,047 237,635 201,887 105,951 98,642 248,972 259,247 245,769 501,192 Total 2 Of which: 61,819 46,922 38,789 29,278 44,378 114,273 89,725 75,421 179,099 Japan 16,198 49,111 34,998 15,711 12,191 45,040 82,981 27,760 46,699 France 20,302 50,136 44,769 27,336 12,547 19,538 25,994 44,697 45,265 West Germany 27,032 41,652 28,032 6,977 5,926 9,485 17,221 27,369 66,550 United Kingdom 8,431 14,748 15,324 7,214 10,346 13,421 14,176 20,136 28,456 Italy 7,207 11,580 10,965 7,830 4,922 9,681 8,813 6,502 10,048 Switzerland 2,735 9,230 14,258 5,773 5,118 3,990 3,235 4,086 2,634 Sweden 452 1,812 1,754 499 769 3,693 1,903 3,987 1,974 Finland 0 3,051 1,826 o 665 6,099 2,888 9,5015 3,157 Norway 1,591 2,298 3,528 7456 681 2,947 738 5,640 2,047 Denmark 395 924 6,477 2,530 494 1,088 465 1,157 1,445 Austria 8,202 5,364 753 488 273 8256 253 380 2,724 Netherlands 586 548 217 506 233 124 157 24 772 Belgium-Luxembourg 0 0 o o 0 348 1,613 13,490 30,100 Yugoslavia o 0 0 250 93 40 341 444 3,025 Malaysia/Singapore 95 o 139 680 o o 8,193 4,331 6,896 Morocco 1 213 58 108 6 0 1096 481 260 1,088 Canada o o o 0 o 18,249 68 0 N.A. Pakistan 0 0 o o o 0 0 2,0157 68,7567 United States 3 Great Britian, Customs and Excise Department, Statistical Office, Annual Statement of the Overseas Trade of the United Kingdom, Vol. IV, (London, 1956). 4 Sweden, Statistiska centralby-ran, Utrikeshandel 1957, manadsstatistik (Foreign Trade 1957, Monthly Bulletin), (Stockholm, December, 1957). Data in CoAntry-by-Commodity Series revised downward from US $26,140,000. 5 Norway, Statistisk Sentralbyra, Manedsstatistikk Over Utenrikshandelen (Monthly Bulletin of External Trade), (Oslo, Decem- ber, 1972). Country-by-Commodity Series' figure of US $7,819,000 based on incorrect Kroner/Dollar conversion factor. 6 United Nations, Statistical Office, Commodity Trade Statistics According to the Standard International Trade Classification, Series D, (New York). Data not published in Country-by-Commodity Series. 7 US, Bureau of the Census, US Exports-World Areas, Country, Schedule B Commodity Groupings, and Method of Transportation, Report FT 455. Annual, (Washington, D.C.I. Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Table B-3 China: Exports of Machinery and Transportation Equipment to Non-Communist Countries, by Commodity Group of the SITC 1 Thousand US $ SITC Nomenclature 2 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 3 Machinery and transport equipment 4 (7) 89 44 155 1,506 2,476 2,843 7,081 9,546 6,610 4,170 5 ,444 11 ,073 10 ,051 17 ,839 22,231 20 ,117 23 ,702 26 ,197 44,534 65,432 62,601 75 ,000 Nonelectric machinery (71) 31 27 113 1,154 1,449 1,959 3,998 5,152 3,311 1,727 2 ,013 2,947 3,359 6,929 9,591 8,975 9,981 10 ,621 21,449 33,094 31,475 ???? Power generating (711) 0 0 0 10 4 2 52 179 127 6 1 111 0 195 828 1,357 452 477 760 2,213 2,825 Agricultural (712) 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 4 36 7 0 0 6 0 0 11 7 177 367 155 Office (714) 2 5 10 13 56 22 75 35 38 48 15 19 72 76 98 123 157 234 190 265 337 Metalworking (715) 0 0 0 58 12 130 423 815 1,007 436 327 699 1,187 1,063 1,371 1,372 1,767 1,998 2,342 2,860 4,032 Textile and leather (717) 924 1,298 1,454 2,897 2,875 1,480 540 800 982 1,447 4,101 4,186 3,218 5,219 5,704 6,267 6,622 7,422 Special purpose (718) 97 72 135 173 80 91 40 87 68 44 170 162 144 141 5,426 6,717 5,465 Appliances and parts, n.e.s.(719) 7 2 42 59 200 101 666 255 509 795 1,049 585 1,444 2,938 2,743 2,231 2,060 6,287 14,050 11,239 Electric machinery (72) 28 12 22 224 845 666 2 ,093 2,577 2 ,013 1,666 1,545 2,434 3,452 6,407 8 ,029 8,494 7,417 9 ,106 12,867 15,814 16,749 Power and switchgear (722) 74 142 33 16 14 35 116 528 891 787 974 1,458 2,621 3,876 4,418 Electricity distributing (723) ???? ???? 318 158 146 76 50 808 752 851 Telecommunications (724) 286 392 287 65 8 101 190 373 436 510 559 643 652 1,090 1,422 Household (725) ? ??? 663 929 1,100 735 1,115 988 1,461 1,480 Medical and radiological (726) General purpose (729) ??? ?? ??? ..? ? ? . .... .... 1 1 274 18 24 147 178 1,200 1,282 2,240 3,121 Transport equipment (73) 6 4 0 126 173 218 989 1 ,817 1 ,269 777 1 ,886 5 ,678 1,688 3 ,598 4 ,611 2,648 4,221 4 ,778 10 ,217 16,524 14,377 Railway vehicles (731) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 1,256 4,632 0 953 1,318 0 32 22 2,294 6,881 4,977 Road motor vehicles (732) 2 0 0 0 12 4 28 79 232 106 24 4 79 214 335 33 53 78 3,664 4,358 2,641 Motorless road vehicles (733) 0 0 0 125 161 205 919 1,486 960 510 532 614 670 1,996 1,896 2,255 3,227 3,554 4,048 5,162 6,583 Aircraft (734) 0 0 0 .... .... .... 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 Ships and boats (735) 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 263 330 0 0 0 0 1 Data are derived from annual Summary Tables, Exports to and Imports From Communist Areas in Eastern Europe and Asia, and Cuba by Free World Countries, prepared by US Department of Commerce, International Trade Analysis Staff (ITAS). Data reflect China's exports, c.i.f., country of destination. With minor exceptions, trade partner data refer to mainland China and exclude Outer Mongolia, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Macao. Yugoslavia is included in the Free World in all years. Because commodity detail is not reported by all countries, values are necessarily understated. For additional specific information concerning trade partners and coverage see the source. 2 Data are arranged according to Section 7 of the Standard International Trade Classification (SITC), revised edition, with all two- and three-digit (division and group) categories delineated. SITC nomenclature has been paraphrased, and SITC index numbers are provided in parentheses as a reference to more precise descriptions. The table is not exhaustive: data are the sums of values for specified machinery-data for "other and unspecified" categories of the summary tables are included at the lowest identifiable levels of the SITC and are not broken out as additional subcategories. As a result, data represent minimum values and may not add to totals shown at the next higher divisions. Ellipsis marks (....) indicate that machinery exports, if any, were recorded under "other and unspecified" categories. Reporting on specific machinery under SITC 718, 719, and 729 varied, and may not be comparable from year to year. 27 3 Datum for 1973 is an estimate based on official data of major importers of machinery and equipment from China. I In addition to the types of machinery and transportation equipment presented, the Soviet trade classification system includes trade in professional and scientific instruments, roughly equivalent to SITC 861. For purposes of comparison, data on China's exports of professional and scientific instruments to non-Communist countries are as follows (in thousand US 8): 1952 54 1963 137 1953 1954 1955 1956 69 16 17 56 1964 1965 1966 1967 264 883 797 1,121 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 120 216 296 230 1,67.5 160 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1,051 1,254 1,793 1,916 2,267 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Table B-4 Index I: A Paasche Index of Prices for China's Imports of Machinery and Transportation Equipment:I US Wholesale Price Indexes 2 for Machinery and Transportation Equipment Weighted by Current Values of China's Imports 1957=100 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1057 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 Machinery and transport equipment 81.9 83.1 84.8 87.7 94.5 100.0 102.6 105.4 105.8 105.5 105.2 104.4 107.1 109.8 111.9 115.6 119.4 123.3 125.7 132.7 136.3 Nonelectric machinery (SITC 71) 82.2 82.9 82.5 86.2 94.3 100.0 102.6 105.8 107.9 108.2 108.9 109.8 113.2 115.1 118.3 122.6 127.1 130.9 139.6 144.5 147.0 Agricultural (BLS 111) 91.1 91.6 91.5 92.2 95.6 100.0 104.1 107.4 109.4 111.4 113.7 115.4 117,2 119.4 123.0 197.1 132.0 137.9 143.6 148.9 155.4 Construction (BLS 112) 78.5 80.8 82.4 85.7 92.8 100.0 103.8 107.5 109.8 111.6 111.9 113.8 116.6 119.7 123.4 127.9 135.2 140.7 147.7 155.2 160.7 Metalworking (BLS 113) 79.4 80.6 81.9 86.2 94.3 100.0 102.5 104.9 108.0 109.0 110.8 111.2 113.3 116.5 121.8 126.9 132.0 136.8 144.7 148.9 152.5 General purpose (BLS 114) 77.7 79.4 81.3 84.9 93.6 100.0 101.5 104.9 105.8 105.0 105.5 106.0 106.6 107.3 112.1 116.0 119.8 124.0 131.9 138.2 142.0 Special industry (BLS 116) 79.0 80.8 82.0 85.9 93.6 100.0 103.2 106.2 108.9 109.6 111.2 113.5 115.5 117.8 122.0 127.4 134.0 140.1 147.5 154.0 157.6 Miscellaneous (BLS 119) 82.3 84.3 86.6 89.0 94.3 100.0 102.1 102.9 103.4 104.6 104.9 105.2 106.2 106.9 108.2 111.1 115.9 120.1 125.4 130.2 133.6 Electric machinery (SITC 72) 80.7 83.0 84.6 86.0 92.8 100.0 102.1 103.6 103.2 101.9 100.3 99.3 98.7 98.7 100.8 103.7 105.1 106.7 110.4 113.6 114.5 Electrical (BLS 117) 80.7 83.0 84.6 86.0 92.8 100.0 102.1 103.6 103.2 101.9 100.3 99.3 98.7 98.7 100.8 103.7 105.1 106.7 110.4 113.6 114.5 Transport equipment (SITC 73) 88.4 87.9 88.1 90.7 95.9 100.0 103.2 105.5 103.9 103.6 103.7 102.8 103.4 103.7 103.8 105.3 108.4 111.8 115.2 120.9 131.8 Motor vehicles (BLS 141) 88.3 87.9 88.1 90.7 95.9 100.0 103.2 105.5 103.9 103.7 103.7 102.8 103.4 103.6 103.7 105.2 108.1 110.1 114.1 120.6 124.1 Railroad equipment (BLS 144) 88.9 87.9 88.1 90.7 95.8 100.0 103.1 105.5 103.9 103.6 104.0 104.0 104.0 104.5 104.7 107.2 110.5 116.6 123.4 129.8 137.9 The price indexes for China's imports of machinery and transportation equipment (in boldface type) are calculated by the Paasche weighting formula: 1 psi - Epi? pilqil pil E pilgil where Pui is the Paasche index number, subscript "i" is the commodity sample, lower case letters "p" and "q" refer to prices and quantities, and superscripts "0" and "1" refer to base- and current-years, respectively. An inverse price relative (pi? pd) is multiplied by the current value (p,1q11) of China's imports for each commodity in the sample divided by the SUM of current values (E p1lq111 for all commodities in the sample. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) wholesale price indexes are used as estimates of price relatives (pi' p10). To construct the subaggregate price indexes for nonelectric machinery, electric machinery, and transport equipment (SITC divisions 71, 72, and 73), appropriate BLS indexes are weighted by current values obtained from Table B-1 for the SITC equivalent as follows: Nonelectric machinery: BLS 111: SITC 712 BLS 112: SITC 718.4 BLS 113: SITC 715 BLS 114: SITC 719.2,719.3,719.7,719.92,719.93 BLS 116: SITC 717,718.2,718.3,719.52,719.53 BLS 119: SITC 711.3,711.4,714 Electric machinery: BLS 117: SITC 72 Transport equipment: BLS 141: SITC 732,733 BLS 144: SITC 731 29 The subaggregate indexes are then reweighted by the current value of imports for each SITC division to form the aggregate price index for China's imports of machinery and equipment. The aggregate price index .1s constructed from the subaggregate indexes for SITC divisions, rather than directly from the BLS indexes, because value data are most complete at the division level. Value data for some BLS categories are only partially available for early years. Where data are unavailable, a zero value weight is assigned. As a result, the sample size for BLS categories ranges between 33% and 95% of the total imports of machinery and transportation equipment, and it averages 71% of the total. At the division level, however, the value weights average more than 99% of the total imports of machinery and transportation equipment. Since price trends for BLS categories within each division are highly correlated, reweighting the indexes for nonelectric machinery, electric machinery, and transport equipment gives the proper emphasis to each of these in the aggregate price index. 2 US wholesale price indexes are from US Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Handbook of Labor Statistics 1973, (Washington, D.C. 1973), p. 317, 319. Index numbers for "Special industry machinery and equipment" (BLS 116) and "Railroad equipment" (BLS 144) from 1952 to 1960 are estimated, using 1967-based data. Index numbers for BLS 116 are annual averages of BLS 112 and 113. For BLS 144, a factor of 0.9807 is applied to the original index for motor vehicles (BLS 141). The base year of 1967 in the source is converted to 1957 by simple division. Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Table B-5 Index II: A Paasche Index of Prices for China's Imports of Machinery and Transportation Equipment:1 Unit Value Indexes for Machinery Exports of China's Trading Partners 2 Weighted by Current Values of China's Imports 1957=100 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 China 92.7 96.0 100.0 103.2 102.9 108.7 112.9 110.0 108.4 101.2 98.7 115.0 119.1 113.0 106.6 109.7 131.3 143.5 154.8 Japan US 8 86.5 89.3 100.0 108.6 111.3 108.9 99.4 96.1 89.3 80.3 77.8 77.7 82.1 81.4 85.6 88.2 94.3 106.8 124.0 Yen 86.8 89.6 100.0 108.6 111.2 108.5 100.0 95.7 89.8 80.0 -78.0- 77.7 82.1 81.4 -85.6- 88.2 92.0 91.4 93.9 France US 111.5 114.3 100.0 104.1 104.0 119.4 124.1 126.8 130.1 136.9 148.9 157.5 164.6 164.0 166.4 170.2 189.2 207.7 237.4 Franc 93.0 -95.3- 100.0 121.6 129.2 139.5 -144.8-- 147.9 152.0 159.8 174.0 -185.3- 193.7 192.9 203.2 225.1 250.2 249.6 274.4 West Germany US 94.0 97.3 100.0 105.3 105.5 107.4 114.8 119.3 123.2 123.3 125.3 130.8 133.0 132.0 138.0 152.1 168.8 194.7 258.8 Deutsche mark 94.3 97.2 100.0 104.8 104.8 -106.7- 109.1 -113.5- 116.6 116.8 119.4 124.6 126.7 125.7 128.4 132.5 140.3 147.7 150.9 United Kingdom US 90.6 93.2 100.0 101.2 101.1 105.6 106.7 109.8 112.8 113.5 117.2 121.3 124.2 116.7 119.5 128.6 143.5 158.3 167.8 Pound 92.4 95.7 100.0 103.3 105.4 107.6 108.7 112.0 115.2 116.3 119.6 123.9 128.3 139.1 142.4 -153.3- 168.6 180.9 192.2 Italy USS 102.8 96.1 100.0 96.1 96.6 102.4 106.3 104.8 108.7 110.4 105.7 104.7 109.0 109.0 110.5 120.4 130.5 143.6 152.5 Lira 102.8 96.1 -100.0- 95.9 90.7 101.7 105.6 104.1 108.3 110.3 105.6 -104.7- 109.0 109.0 110.5 120.4 129.5 134.1 142.3 Switzerland US 8 97.9 97.9 100.0 100.5 100.2 100.4 102.3 108.2 113.5 120.6 122.6 128.3 133.4 136.5 139.6 149.8 166.3 195.9 263.9 Swiss Franc 97.9 97.9 100.0 101.1 98.9 11100.9 103.0 109.1 114.3 121.5 123.6 128.7 133.8 136.9 140.0 150.3 159.4 174.6 186.6 Sweden US S 92.5 96.7 100.0 103.2 105.1 108.2 111.4 114.4 118.5 123.6 129.0 132.5 141.1 145.3 150.5 158.9 174.5 202.3 235.3 Krona 92.6 96.8 100.0 103.2 105.3 108.4 111.6 114.7 118.9 124.2 128.4 132.6 141.1 145.3 150.5 158.9 172.6 186.3 197.9 1 The price index for China's imports of machinery and transportation equipment is calculated by the Paasche weighting formula: 1 poi = pio pilqil pil where: p111 is the Paasche index number, subscript "i" indicates the country sample, lower case letters "p" and "q" refer to prices and quantities, and superscripts "0" and "1" refer to base- and current- years, respectively. An inverse price relative (p10 p')is multiplied by the current value (p11qi1) of China's imports of machinery and transportation equipment from each country in the sample divided by the sum of current values (1 pAil) of imports from all countries in the sample. Unit value indexes (in US dollar equivalents) for exports of machinery and transportation equipment by China's trading partners are used as estimates of price relatives (pil 'pio). Current value weights for China's imports from each country in the sample are obtained directly from Table B-2. The country sample consists of the seven largest suppliers of machinery and transportation equipment to China, accounting for more than 85% of China's imports from non-Communist countries. Other suppliers are not included in the sample because China's imports are too small for a unit value index of machinery exports from those countries to be very representative of the prices China pays. 2 Unit value indexes for exports of machinery and transportation equipment are shown both in national currency units and in US dollar equivalents. Official source indexes are linked and converted to a 1957 base by simple division. (Dashes on both sides of an index number indicate the year in which two indexes are linked). The indexes in national currency units are then multiplied by indexes of the exchange rate of US dollars to national currencies to convert to US dollar equivalents. The exchange rate indexes, not shown, are constructed from International Monetary Fund trade conversion rates for 1966 to 1973 and from spot exchange rates prior to 1966, as found in International Financial Statistics. Indexes in national currencies are derived from the following official statistics: Japan: 1955-69: Office of the Prime Minister, Bureau of Statistics, Japan Statistical Yearbook; 1969-73: Ministry of International Trade and Industry, International Trade Policy Bureau, Monthly Foreign Trade Statistics. The Japanese index is a price, rather than a unit value, index. France: Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, Annuaire Statistique de la France (Annual Statistics of France), and Bulletin Mensuel de Statistique (Monthly Bulletin of Statistics). France only publishes a volume index for machinery exports, not a unit value index. The unit value index in the table is derived by dividing an index of the total value of French exports of machinery and transport equipment by the volume index. West Germany: Statistisches Bundesamt, Aussenhandel: Foreign Trade, Series 5: Special Trade according to the Classification for Statistics and Tariffs (CST). United Kingdom: 1970-73: Department of Trade and Industry, Trade and Industry; 1955-70: Board of Trade Journal. Instituto Centrale di Statistica, Statistics Annuale del Commercio con l'Estero (Annual Foreign Trade Statistics), Vol. 1. Switzerland: 1955-71: Eidgenossischen Statistischen Amt, Statistisches Jahrbuch der Schweiz-Annuaire Statistique de la Suisse (Statistical Yearbook of Switzerland); 1971-73: Eidgenossischen Volkswirtschaftsdepartement, Die Volkswirtschaft: Wirtschaftliche und sozialstatistische Mitteilungen (The Economy: Economic and Social Statistical Report), (Bern, June 1974), p. 385. The index for years prior to 1960 is only approximately comparable to the index for later years be- cause of the lack of an official link between 1959 and 1960. The UN, Yearbook of International Trade Statistics, Table D (New York, 1966), p. 35 shows an increase of approximately 2% in the price of Switzerland's exports of manufac- tured goods between 1959 and 1960; the 2% figure is used to link the index for machinery exports in this table. Sweden: National Institute of Economic Research, The Swedish Economy (Stockholm). The Swedish unit value index is for SITU 71 and 72 and does not include SITC 73. Index number for 1973 is an estimate based on the average of the index numbers for the 2d and 3d quarters. 31 0-?0001.1.001.000V9Z600-6/dC1N-V10 : ?0/?0/1.00Z aseeieN .10d peA0.1ddV Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Table B-6 China: Exports of Machinery and Transportation Equipment to Non-Communist Countries, C.I.F. Country of Destination and F.O.B. China Exports, C.I.F.' Thousand US $ Exports, F.O.B.2 1952 89 86 1953 44 43 1954 155 150 1955 1,506 1,462 1956 2,476 2,403 1957 2,843 2,760 1958 7,081 6,875 1959 9,546 9,268 1960 6,610 6,417 1961 4,170 4,049 1962 5,444 5,285 1963 11,073 10,750 1964 10,051 9,758 1965 17,839 17,319 1966 22,231 21,583 1967 20,117 19,531 1968 23,702 23,012 1969 26,197 25,434 1970 44,534 43,273 1971 65,432 63,526 1972 62,601 60,778 19733 75,000 75,000 Current value data, c.i.f., are from Table B-3. 2 Insurance and freight charges are estimated to be 3% of the value of machinery exported based on freight charges of $65 to $75 per short ton of machinery (see National Council for US-China Trade, Special Report No. 9: Sino-US Air and Sea Freight Rates, Washington, D.C., 1974, pp. 22, 90) and an average value of $2,500 per ton of machinery (estimated from unit values for US machinery and transportation equipment in US Bureau of Census, Report FT 455, 1972 Annual, US Exports-World Areas, Country, Schedule B Commodity Groupings and Method of Transportation, Washington, D.C., 1973. Insurance rate is nominal. Charges are assumed to be constant. 3 Estimated. Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : Clk-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Approved For Release 2001/03/03 : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0 Table B-7 China: Imports of Machinery and Transportation Equipment from Non-Communist Countries in Current and Constant US Dollars ' Year (1) Imports, f.o.b. (Thousand current US$) (2) Price Index I (1957=100) (3) Price Index II (1957=100) (9) Deflating Index (1957 = 100) (5) Imports, f.o.b. (Thousand 1957 US $) 1952 11,965 81.9 84.8 82.9 14,433 1953 20,893 83.1 87.4 84.5 24,725 1954 13,309 84.8 90.0 86.5 15,386 1955 15,035 87.7 92.7 89.4 16,818 1956 41,555 94.5 96.0 95.0 43,742 1957 65,757 100.0 100.0 100.0 65,757 1958 69,698 102.6 103.2 102.8 67,800 1959 60,500 105.4 102.9 104.6 57,839 1960 49,600 105.8 108.7 106.8 46,442 1961 25,577 105.5 112.9 108.0 23,682 1962 15,588 105.2 110.0 106.8 14,596 1963 23,747 104.4 108.4 105.7 22,466 1964 61,359 107.1 101.2 105.1 58,382 1965 155,047 109.8 98.7 106.1 146,133 1966 237,635 111.9 115.0 112.9 210,483 1967 201,887 115.6 119.1 116.8 172,848 1968 105,951 119.4 113.0 117.3 90,325 1969 98,642 123.3 106.6 117.7 83,808 1970 248,972 125.7 109.7 120.4 206,787 1971 259,247 132.7 131.3 132.2 196,102 1972 245,769 136.3 143.5 138.7 177,195 1973 501,192 143.1 154.8 147.0 340,947 ' Data for each column are derived as follows: (1) Current value data are from Table B-1. (2) Price Index I is from Table B-4. Index number for 1973 is estimated. (3) Price Index II is from Table B-5. Index numbers for 1952 to 1954 are estimated. (4) The actual Paasche price index used to deflate China's imports of machinery is a weighted average of Indexes I and II, giving twice the weight to Index I (see preface to Appendix B). (5) Import values in constant 1957 dollars are equal to column (1) divided by column (4) times 100. Approved For Release 2001/03/0t : CIA-RDP79-00928A000100110003-0