WEEKLY SUMMARY

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79-00927A009700080001-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 36
• Document Creation Date: December 21, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 14, 2008
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: September 1, 1972
• Content Type: SUMMARY

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Secret
DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
WEEKLY SUMMARY
State Dept. review completed
Secret
1 September 1972
No. 0385/72
Copy N2 47
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The WEE- LY SUMM RY, issued every Friday morning by
the Office of Current Intelligence, reports and analyzes signif-
icant developments of the week through noon on Thursday.
It frequently incfu 3es material co srdinated withor prepared
by the Office of Economic Research, the Office of Strategic
Research, and the t hector ~-:-lce and Technology-
To- UNCODED pics requiring more corn,,,?-reatmertt And there-
fore published separately as Special Reports are listed in the
contents.
CONTENTS (1 September 1972)
SPECIAL
REPORT
1 USSR: Worrying About the Harvest
2 USSR: Easing up on the EC
3 Egypt-Israel: On the Diplomatic Fron
4 Indochina
8 Korea: Talks Begin at Last
9 USSR-China: Slinging Mud Again
9 International Monetary Developments
10 France-EC: Doubts about the Summit
18 Chile: Violence as a Tool
19 Bolivia: Shifts at the Top
20 Colombia: The Political Pot
Bahrain: Politicking Begins
Uganda: Slipping into Chaos
Zaire-Belgium: Economic Strains
India-Pakistan: More Talks
Iran: Dealing with Japan
18 Argentina: Lanusse Cracks Down
MIDDLE EAST
AFRICA
WESTERN'
HEMISPHERE
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SI:UI- t I
USSR: WORRYING ABOUT THE HARVEST
In a highly visible display of concern over
harvest prospects, General Secretary Brezhnev last
week flew out to the Virgin Lands grain-growing
area for a round of conferences with local
farm officials. He was undoubtedly seeking to put
the full weight of his personal authority behind
the current campaign for a maximum effort to
bring in the crops.
/ Brezhnev arrived in Kokchetav in the north-
ern Kazakh Republic: on 26 August to address a
meeting of local agricultural authorities. He then
flew to Barnaul, Krasnoyarsk, and Novosibirsk for
similar meetings. His speeches have not been pub-
lished, but Kazakh party boss Kunayev states that
while in Kokchetav Brezhnev emphasized the
need to take all measures to deliver as much grain
as possible"-
Much is riding on the Virgin Lands this year.
Adverse weather conditions have severely dam-
aged the crops in the other major grain-growing
areas of the country, but the Virgin Lands have
produced an above-average stand of wheat. The
situation is precarious, however, because the crop
is over a week late in ripening and is in serious
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JtUl1t I
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J danger of being hit by early frosts, which could
come any time now. In addition, harvesting ef-
forts are being hampered by prolonged cool and
rainy weather, and losses are expected to be
higher than average.
/ /in another sign of concern over the harvest,
Soviet leaders have launched a nationwide cam
paign to save bread. This drive, reminiscent of
1963 when the country suffered from a dismal
grain crop, began in early August in the
Ukraine-one of the most severely affected areas.
Since then, some Moscow papers and the regional
press have begun to urge consumers to economize
on the use of bread.)
2J
will serve to divert attention from Egypt's basic
dilemma for long'

l There was little fighting in the central prov-
inces during the week. The South Vietnamese
J,. 22nd Division, whose goal it is to retake the
northern three districts of Binh Ding Province,
/)Jnade scant progress. The North Vietnamese 3rd
Division has moved south in the province, pos-
sibly in an effort to counter the 22nd. Commu-
nist forces in the central highlands seer content
with low-cost attacks against minor targets in
Pleiku and Kontum provinces.
In the Saigon area, the Communists de-
li stroyed a major bridge and cut Highway 1 at
several points northeast and northwest of the
capital. The actions, which were conducted
filargely by sapper and local force units, prompted
the South Vietnamese to form a special task force
to strengthen security around Saigon. Most of
Hanoi's big units are still well to the north and
appear to have their eye on government positions
north of Lai Khe1>
13 Cfhe three top politburo members have ap-
peared together in public for the first time in four
months. According to Radio Hanoi, party first
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.7L_ %_f nL_ I
namese hierarchy, but they are a key to the kind
of image the North Vietnamese are trying to
project to the world. The sudden reappearance of
Hanoi's durable trio suggests that the politburo at
this point is trying to convey an appearance of
top-level solidarity and collective responsibility.`
Another election is to be held in Cambodia
n 3 September, the third time this year that the
country's voters have been sent to the polls.
Having approved a new constitution in April and
chosen Lon Nol as president in June, the Cam-
bodians will now elect a new National Assembly.
Voting for the smaller upper house of the legisla-
ture, the Senate, is scheduled for 17 September.
With the re-establishment of the two houses, Lon
Nol will have completed his ostensible return to
constitutional rule.
The impending elections have created little
public interest because there is no real opposition.
Opposition leaders Sirik Matak and In Tam,
whose Republican and Democratic parties with-
drew in protest from the elections early in the
month j~have since tried in vain to persuade Lon
Nol to postpone the voting and revise the elec-
toral law. Once the elections are over, the Presi-
dent may engage in some political fence-mend-
ing-perhaps through the formation of a coalition
government that would include key opposi-
tionists
i.
`!Even if the referendum were to succeed,
Marcos' wilting appeal could still blight the
chances of his Nacionalista Party's winning a
majority in the new assembly. The party lost six
out of eight contested senate seats to the opposi-
tion Liberal Party last November. Marcos blames
the defeat on party complacency, but it is just as
likely that the results reflected widespread popu-
lar disillusionment with him personally,
Special Report
.The anti-Marcos convention forces do not
have enough delegate votes to prevent Marcos
from getting the kind of document he wants, but
they have not given up. They have decided that
Macapagal should use his office as convention
president to delay proceedings with procedural
moves and endless debates. If completion of the
new constitution is delayed until about March of
next year, there probably would not be enough
time to hold a referendum and reorganize the
government before the national elections sched-
uled for November 1973. The elections would
then take place under the present constitution
and Marcos would have to step down. Marcos
would probably seek to counter such a move,
however, by adding a provision in the new consti-
tution that would postpone the 1973 elections
until the parliamentary system could take effect.
An attempt by the anti-Marcos faction to delay
the convention finale past the 1973 elections
would probably backfire. The public is already
irritated at the convention's shilly-shallying,;
,;Changing the constitution is Marcos' most
ae Bible option for retaining power. Most of his
public and private machinations over the next
1 September 1972
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year will be directed at maintaining his control of
convention delegates and building public favor for
both-himself and parliamentary government.)