WEEKLY SUMMARY

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Approved For Release 2008/04/09 :CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 DIRECTORATE C)F INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SU~I~ f1RY R~~~~~ Tfl ~~~~"JzS F~ ~~~i~~~S C~i~'TEf Secret ~~~ NAVY review 12 September X969 Noy 0387/69 completed. State Dept. review completed ~~~s~ Approved For Release 2008/04/09 :CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 25X1 Approved For Release 2008/04/09 :CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 Approved For Release 2008/04/09 :CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 SECRE'T' (Information as of noon EDT, 11 September 1969) Far East THE WEEK IN PERSPECTIVE VIETNAM The new distribution of power in Hanoi remains obscured by the facade of collective leadership, although Hanoi's politburo has appeared in public in almost the same order as that estr~blished by the last party congress in 1960. Authoritative Hanoi pronouncements have stressed the need for continua- tion of the struggle in the South anti the need for national unity. In Saigon, some conc=ern is develop- ing that the new cabinet will permit a resurgence of influence by the widely hated Can Lao group of the Diem era. On the military front, Communist forces last weekend conducted the second hi~~hpoint of their fall campaign, and indications persi;~t that the enemy plans to extend its campaign through September and beyond. LAOTIAN FORCES MOVE DEEP INTO ENEMY TERRITORY Government forces have pushed deep into Communist territory in both the north and south, capturing positions that have been in enemy hands for several years. MALAYSIAN LEADERS ARE RIDING AN UNEASY CALM Over the next few months the government will probably be able to keep the lid on the deep-seated political and communal rivalries that erupted in riots last May, although new outbreaks of violence could occur with little warning. SECRET Page i WEEKT,Y SUMMARY 12 Sep 6 9 Page 1 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 SECRET Europe UN GENERAL ASSEMBLY CONVENES NEXT WEEK In addition to such perennial issues as Chinese representation, the Korean goes o on, and colonialism and racism, the assembly almost certainly will be faced with a number of arms control proposals and polemical speeches on current hot spots around the world. GROMYKO VISIT RESTORES BALANCE IN YUGOSLAVIA'S EAST-WEST 13 RELATIONS Gromyko`s first visit to Belgrade in seven years has tended to offset the flood of high-level Yugoslav contacts with Western and neutral nations in recent months. 50VIETS CONDUCT MAJOR EXERCISES IN MEDITERRANEAN The recent maneuvers constituted the most extensive Soviet naval exercise ever conducted in those waters. CZECHOSLOVAKIA PUSHING ARMS EXPORTS Prague has emerged as a major exporter of modern weapons to the less developed countries of the free world. YUGOSLAV CHURCH-STATE RELATIONS MAY IMPROVE FURTHER 16 Increased cooperation between the Orthodox and Raman Catholic churches in Yugoslavia has led to an im- proved church-state relationship that may receive further impetus from the resignation of Cardinal Seper as archbishop of Zagreb. POLES CLAIM TO SPEAK FOR BLOC ON EUROPE AND GERMANY 17 In-recent weeks Polish leaders have sought to stress the multilateral, bloc -context of their bilateral approaches to the West, especially those to West Germany. ALBANIA MOVING OUT OF ISOLATION Albania has adopted a mare open and aggressive foreign policy in the last 12 months,. Retaining Tirana's strong ties to Peking, Hoxha and company -are never- theless interested in developing Albania's contacts in the Middle East, the "third world;' and with select nations in the West. (Published separately as Spe- cial Report No. 0387/69A~ Ijage i i WEEKLY SUMMARY 12 Sep 69 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 s~cx~;~i~ Middle East - AfY?ica THE WEEK IN PERSPECTIVE 19 MIDDLE EAST PEACE EFFORTS TO BE DIFFIC;ULT The accelerating tempo of militar~r and terrorist raids reflects stiffening attitudF~s on both sides, as the Arabs grow increasingly bitter over their failure to regain the occupied te~'ritories, and Israel--seeing no prospect for pe~ice on acceptable terms--digs in for a long siege. SOUTH AFRICA ACTIVE IN GOLD MARKETS Balance-of-payments difficulties Have forced South Africa to sell gold on the free m~~rket. Such sales are likely to continue because PrE~toria's fears that the price in that market would fa:Ll below the offi- cial price have been dispelled. SOUTH AFRICA'S NATIONAL PARTY FACES D:CVISIONS The ruling National Party is faci~zg growing criticism from its ultraconservative wing i~z the round of pro- vincial party congresses now in p~^ogress. LIBYAN JUNTA NAMES CIVILIAN CABINET The military regime has named a civilian cabinet in its moves to restore Libya t.o normal. This action, however, is not expected to affect the army's control of power. THE WEEK IN PERSPECTIVE 25 AMBASSADOR'S KIDNAPING WEAKENS BRAZILIAN TRIUMVIRATE 26 Military resentment of the triumvirate, particularly its decision to ransom Ambassador Elbrick, combined with the increasing certainty that Costa e Silva will not return to office makes it unlikely that the pres- ent government will be able to hold power for long. PANAMA'S MILITARY REGIME FOCUSING ON CANAL TREATY ISSUE 27 A new team of canal treaty "advisers" was named last week and a formal request for a resumption of talks could come any time. SECRET Page iii WEEKLY SUMMARY 12 Sep 69 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 ~E(~R E'~ VENEZUELAN GOVERNMENT MOVES AGAINST MILITARY UNREST President Caldera has apparently weathered a serious disciplinary problem in the armed forces. OAS EASING CENTRAL AMERICAN TENSIONS The Organization of American States is making some progress in its -effort to relieve tension anal pro- mote a reconciliation between Honduras and E1 Salva- dor, but much remains to be done, UNEASINESS PERSISTS IN NETHERLANDS ANTILLES The elections on 5 September have failed to resolve a confused political situation and, until a stable government is formed, the possibility of violence will persist. ~I?C;R~;~I~ Page iv WEEK[,Y 5U1,tA7AftY 12 Sep 69 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 Approved For Release 2008/04/09 :CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 -7L' 1.~1~.G 1 The locus of power in North Vietnam remains obscured behind the facade of a "stable and collective leadership," ;~s Hanoi termed it last week. The new regime has emphasized the need to continue present policies and maintain national unity, but there are no firm indications thus far about its priorities. Party First Secretary Le Duan has taken the leading position at important functions thus far, but other top leaders have also been promi- nent. On the military front in South Vietnam, the self-declared Communist cease-fire ended with a number of Cornmunisl-initiated shellings and small- scale ground actions. There were also continuing signs that the enemy is planning another surge of attacks of the kind that have characterized Communist activity much of this year. Several progovernment and opposition figures in Saigon are concerned over the appearance in Thieu's new cabinet of people formerly connected with the once-powerful Can Lao clique of the Diem regime. Thieu presum- ably decided that the need for experienced administrators outweighed the danger of arousing lingering anti -Can Lao feeling. In a major expansion of the ground war in Laos, government troops spearheaded by Vang Pao's guerrillas have swept across the Plaine des Jarres. Government forces captured an administrati~re and military headquarters, which had heretofore been considered off limits to both air and ground assault. In south Laos, guerrilla units seized along-held Communist town near the infiltration corridor. Both actions are almost certain to generate sharp enemy responses, especially after the wet: season ends in October. The Malaysian Government has managed to keep the lid on the deep- seated political and communal rivalries since the riots of last May. For the next few months, the situation seems likely 'to remain relatively quiet, but most government leaders are distrusted both try Malay extremists and by the non-Malay community, and prospects for long~?term stability are poor. In South Korea, proponents of a third term for President Pak will almost certainly see their constitutional arne:ndment approved by the Na- tional Assembly this Saturday. Opposition legislators and students have been unable to generate widespread public opposition to passage of the amend- ment. SECRET Page 1 WEEKLY SUMMAR'i~ 12 Sep 69 Approved For Release 2008/04/09 :CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 ~1'1C;ltL'i' VIETNAM Political Develo ments in Nort Vietnam The new distribution of power in Hanoi remains obscured by the facade of collective leadership. Statements by high government anal party leaders following the death of Ho Chi Minh have stressed the need for continuity of policy and national unity,. The new regime has described itself as a "stable and collective leadership." Its three top men have all figured prominently in the most important activities since Ho'_s death, including meet- ings with Soviet and Chinese dele- gations and the funeral ceremonies. Party First Secretary Le Duan pre- sided at these functions, but Truong Chinh and Premier Pham Van Dong have also had active roles. In general, North Viet- nam's politburo has appeared in public in the same order as the official ranking conferred by the last party congress in 1960 with one exception. The leading mili- tary figure, General Giap, seems to have slipped one place behind Paris negotiator Le Duc Tho. Ho's will and the party cen- tral committee's eulogy, which were read by Le Duan, stressed the need for victory in the South. The eulogy gave top priority to the continuation of the struggle in the South, but Ho's will was less clear on priorities, although it did include an exhortation that the fight must be carried on un- Pale 2 til final victory. This and the need for national unity, presum- ably to smooth. North Vietnam's transition into the post-Ho era, have been repeatedly emphasized in authoritative editorials and., messages since Hots death, His. will termed the need for unity a "must," while Le Duan's pledge that the central committee would do its best to preserve party ''' cohesion may reflect his concern that policy differences or per- sonal ambitions might hinder his orderly succession to power. Most of the regime's first week in power was taken up with the ceremonies and protocol sur- rounding Ho's funeral. The North Vietnamese leaders appear to have handled the separate visits of Chou En-lai and Kosygin in ac- cordance with the dictates of Ho's will, which termed the Sino-Soviet dispute harmful to the Vietnamese war effort and urged the continu- ation of his policy of neutrality. The differing Soviet and Ch~- nese reactions to Ho's death, how- ever, point up Hanoi's problems in trying to maintain a balance with its mutually antagonistic supporters, The Chinese were first off the mark as Chou En- lai left for Hanoi only hours after the announcement of Ho's death in an effort to demonstrate Peking's support and take a sound- ing on .Hots successors before the: Soviets arrived. The Chinese probably registered their un- happiness with Hanoi's prosecution SEAR E`1' ^~'VEEiiLY Sl.~hihiARY 12 Sep 69 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 SECRET of the war and the talks; in a message of condolence they reit- erated their contention that the Communists should "vigorously step up" the fighting. Chow s abrupt departure 24 hours after arrival probably served both to avoid sharing top billing with Kosygin and to remind Hanoi that Peking remains unhappy over close North Vietnamese ties with Mos- cow. Moscow, on the other hand, did not try to put pressure on Hanoi, but issued profuse praises for Ho as an outstanding person- ality of the international Com- munist movement. Premier Kosygin led the Soviet delegation and was its only member of politburo rank. Political Developments in Sout~Vietnam Concern is developing among some prominent Saigon figures that the new cabinet may provide a vehicle for a resurgence of in- fluence by former members of the Can Lao, tYie semiclandestine, elite group of the Diem regime. The Can Lao served as a powerful instrument of political control, and widespread fear of it as re- pressive, corrupt, and anti-Bud- dhist caused Diem's successors to conduct a broad purge of its membership. Some critics of President Thieu's new cabinet selection have pointed out that Prime Minister Khiem and Foreign Minister Lam, as well as the ministers of in- formation, economy, finance, and legislative liaison have been Can Lao members or sympathizers. renewed Can ]~ao influence could lead to a tr~~gic clash between Catholics and l3uddhists. u Can Lao leaders are trying to rE~vive their old youth organi~ zatican, possibl with Thieu's _blessina. t e new :in~ation minister has ap- poin~ted some 20 cadre from the Nhan Xa Party, a neo - Can Lao grou~~, to key subordinate posi- tion;~ . President Thieu presumably considered this risk when he made his ~~abinet selections. He ap- pare~ztly concluded that the need for ]getter administrative per- form,ance, particularly in the in- form~ation and economic fields, and thus for men of experience and tale:zt, outweighed the dangers of lingering anti - Can Lao feel- ing and the desirability of bring- ing in more popular faces. Meanwhile, there are indica- tion,~ that some of the leaders in the ~~overnment-sponsored National Social Democratic Front (NSDF) who did :not receive positions in the cabinet are considerin withdraw- in .from the fro SECRET Page 3 WEEKLY SUMMARY 12 Sep 69 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 5~;~~tE"r Military Developments in South Vietnam Communist forces conducted the second highpoint of their 1969 fall campaign from 4 to ? September, but generally observed the subsequent three-day stand- down that they unilaterally de- clared in commemoration of the passing of Ho Chi Minh. The second highpoint, which was in line with the economy--of- force tactics characteristic of enemy offensive activity over the past year, included more than 25Q rocket and mortar attacks against allied bases and towns, largely in the southern half of South Vietnam. It also featured a se- ries of heavy shellings and ground attacks in the immediate Da Nang area--actions which cost the al- lies 18 dead and 229 wounded--as well as intensified ground opera- tions in the northern provinces of III Corps. In Phuoc Long Prov- ince, at least two battalions of the Viet Cong 5th Division struck a Special Forces camp and base complex near the district town of Duc Phang. The enemy's latest upsurge, which on the whole involved sig- nificantly fewer shellings and ground attacks than in earlier highpoints this year, may have been timed partly to celebrate the 24th anniversary of North Viet- namese independence. Enemy propa- ganda, however, also called for an increased effort on the south- ern battlefields to honor Ho Chi Minh. During the 5-10 September cease-fire? there were only a fe~,v enemy-initiated incidents, but indications persist that the Com- munists plan to extend their fall campaign through September or be- yond. At least one more push this month is likely, consisting of ~I~"C'.~Z.E'1' Page 4 ~,~EEKI,Y SU~v1A9AIIY 12 Sep 6 9 25X1 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 SECRET shellings and ground assaults possibly coordinated with attacks on targets such as Bu Prang Special Forces camp in the southern high- lands. Key bases and isolated urban centers in northern III Corps and allied strongpoints along the DMZ in southern I Corps, are other likely targets. Additionally, in the southern delta South Vietnamese forces may soon face a crucial test. Some of th~~ North Vietnamese units sent into the delta for the first time late this spring and summer are being deployed to the southernmost province of An Xuyen. These units initially gathered in Chau Doc Province near the Cambodian border presumably in an attempt to secure cross-border supply lines and base areas, but some elements now ap- pear to be moving southward toward the Communist stronghold in the U Minh Forest. SECRET Page 5 WEEKLY SUMMARY 12 Sep 69 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 Approved For Release 2008/04/09 :CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 ;~ECI~.ET ?1aS: GOY@~tllllenf Fortes al'8 ~llfifltiQ It1t0 COI11R1tlttl5f Q~eaS ~ .~~~ti Arne claimed under `~'~- `~ l ~'~ ' st Communist ?nd 1Yeutra i..~ . ~ control. June 1482 _ -- ti.,.~ 'E! ~. r-ti -Xia ng ~~d1 , "~~-^^KhQU3n$vitle rats;. s; tea. ~~. Approved For Release 2008/04/09 :CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 SECRET LAOTIAN FORCES PROVE DEEP INTO ENEMY TERRITORY Government forces, in a ma- jor expansion of their holdings, have moved deeper into Communist territory in north Laos, capturing positions that have been in enemy hands since 1962, when the Geneva accords were signed. In the south, an important town protecting the enemy's infiltration corridor to South Vietnam has fallen to gov- ernment guerrillas. Spearheaded by Vang Pao's guerrilla forces, government troops swept the Communists off the Plaine des Jarres and cap- tured Khang Khay, administrative and military headquarters for Pathet Lao and dissident neutral- ist forces in Xieng Khouang Prov- ince. Phong Savan Airfield has been taken by a guerrilla company. Here- tofore Khang Khay and Phong Savan have been treated as off limits to both air and ground assault on the basis that they are con- sidered politically sensitive. Vang Pao has also dispatched three battalions south of the Plaine to retake Xieng Khouangville. Although government farces have been encountering some in- creased enemy resistance in the area, particularly on the north- ern ec;ges of the Plaine, the Communists have as yet given no clear sign of their intentions. ]:n south Laos, meanwhile, guerrilla elements have seized Muong Phine, a long-held Com- munist: town near the infiltration corridor. They apparently hope to pu~~h farther eastward into the Tchepone area, a vital North Viet- namesc~ logistic base and command center. The capture of Muong Phine constitutes the government's deepe:~t penetration into the sup- ply corridor in several years. ~~lthough bad weather may pre- vent ,~n immediate move by the Commu~zists , they are almost cer- tain to react sharply to these latest government offensives. The e:zemy's response is not likely to be confined to the Muong Phine area, and diversionary attacks may be tried against sensitive and vulnerable positions in the Mekong Valley. SECRET Page 7 WEEKLY SUMMAF~Y 12 Sep 69 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 25X6 Approved For Release 2008/04/09 :CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 Approved For Release 2008/04/09 :CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 SECRET MALAYSIAN LEADERS ARE RIDING ~aN UNEASY CALM Over the next few months the government will probably be able to keep the lid on the deep-seated political and communal rivalries that erupted in riots last May, atrough new outbreaks of violence could occur with little warning. The moderate leadership is dis- trusted by both non-Malays and . Malay extremists, however, and its ability to bridge the gap be- tween the two communities and restore the country to normality appears to be circumscribed. The ruling National Opera- tions Council, which was formed to establish order and ensure Malay rule after the postelection communal rioting last spring, now seems likely to maintain the state of emergency for at least a year. The Malay-controlled council, headed by Deputy Prime Minister Ratak, has thus far managed to put down opposition to its poli- cies from Malay extremist groups, but both the council and Prime Minister Rahman are marking time at the moment rather than taking any steps to restore the country to parliamentary democracy. Elec- tions in East Malaysia, which were canceled after the May riots in Kuala Lumpur, have still not been rescheduled and seem likely to remain in abeyance indefinitely. Prime Minister Rahman, who was rumored several months ago to be preparing for retirement, Page 9 resumed active leadership in gov- ernment affairs in the late sum- mer. He has also been attempting to regain popular support and build .better communal relations through a series of goodwill tours. These have been gener- ally unsuccessful, however, as the prime minister's concilia- tory efforts are looked on with suspicion by both Malays and Chinese. Rahman's re-emergence-- whether temporary or permanent-- has for the moment lessened the government's strength by down- grading Ratak, who has in effect run the country since May. The already limited prestige of the council is thus further dimin- ished. Even if the council were in a very strong position, the mod- erate Malay leadership would still face formidable obstacles in its attem~~ts to ease communal differ- ences and to weld the country into a workable multiracial nation. Withir.~ the Malay community itself the e~:tremist politicians have gained. in popularity and have launcY:.ed a grassroots campaign to build strength for an attempt to take aver control of the leading Malay political party. Although they can not attempt this in the immediate future--under present regul~~tions the next party con- gress cannot be held until the emergency is formally ended--the extremists remain a threat for the lung term. SECRET WEEKLY SUMMARY 12 Sep 69 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 SEC~.~'I' Outside the Malay community there exists almost complete dis- trust of Malay politicians, whether moderate or radical. l+Ion- Malays, both Chinese a.nd Indian, fear government steps to enhance the status of Malays, particu- larly in economic matters. Feel- ing has remained high, and any small incident could spark a new series of riots. Although the capable security forces are alert to the dangers, heavy-handed security measures would only tempo- rarily damp down racial con- flicts. Furthermore, the gov- ernment's tendency to absolve Malays charged with instigating disturbances adds to intercom- munal tensions. S~:CH.E`I` I'~iKc 10 VYEEKI.Y 5UIv[h1.aRY 12 yep 69 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 Approved For Release 2008/04/09 :CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 SECRET An atmosphere of terror is slowly taking hold in Czechoslovakia as the party's conservatives make their strongest laid to date for control of the apparatus. Two magazines on 10 September in effect charged Dubcek and his liberal followers with treason. Hundreds of Slovaks have been arrested under the emergency laws passed in anticipation of trouble during the August anniversary. There is as yet no report of such arrests in Bohemia and Moravia. Calls for political trials are intensifyin?; in the conservative-controlled press. At least one liberal member of the cer-tral committee plans to be out of the country when that body convenes-roost likely next week-to mete out final disgrace to the liberals. Party chief Husak can prevent this if he is determined to control the conservatives. If he fails to do so, his future power as first secretary will be limited. The East Germans have indicated their indifference to West German overtures for more neighborly relations, as ~~vell as their firm opposition to any dialogue between Bonn and Moscow, or Bonn and another Eastern European state. The brief, arbitrary detenl:ion in East Germany of West Berlin Mayor Scheutz-one of West German~~'s most outspoken proponents of better relations with the East-and renew~;d autobahn delays were clearly designed by Pankow to dash Bonn's hopes. President Tito is preparing to meet with Romania's Ceausescu on 18 September, presumably to emphasize solid,rrity and to give a report on Soviet Foreign Minister Gromyko's visit to Belgrade. The Yugoslavs are pleased with the results of those talks but still harbor suspicion about Soviet intentions in Eastern F,urope. In the wake of Gromyko's trip the Soviet press has expressed the bland hope that bilater;il relations with Belgrade will improve. Moscow has also recognized the new government in Libya, al- though it remains uncertain of the regime's orientation. Soviet Foreign Minister Gromyko will arrive in New York early next week to address the 24th United Nations General Assembly. Ambassador Dobrynin -may also return at this time aftf:r an extended absence due to illness. Gromyko will probably discuss the recent Allied note on Berlin with Secretary Rogers. He may also choose to introduce a resolution on the control of chemical and biological weapons. SECRET Page 11 WEEKLY SUMMARS' 12 Sep 69 Approved For Release 2008/04/09 :CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 SEC~REZ' L!C! GENERAL ASSEMBLY CONVENES idEXt I~IEEK The 24th UN General Assembly (UNGA) convenes on 16 September. In addition to considering such perennial issues as Chinese representation, the Korean ques- tion, and colonialism and racism, the UNGA almost certainly will be faced with a number of arms con- trol proposals and polemical speeches on current hat spots around the world. Criticism of the lack of progress in the Geneva disarma- ment talks has been muted recently by the disclosure of a new Soviet bid to reach agreement with the US on a treaty limiting the use Gromyko may present a proposal in this area to the General Assembly. Some of the smaller nations are unenthusiastic about the nonproliferation treaty and wild. probably criticize the failure of the nuclear powers to make greater progress toward meeting their commitment under the treaty to negotiate additional disarmament measures. These nations are es- pecially critical of the delay .n initiating the strategic arms limitations talks and are dis- tressed over the continued lack, of agreement in two vital arms ', control areas--a comprehensive of the seabeds for military pur- ( nuclear test ban. and a cutoff o~ poses. Moscow would like the US production of fissionable mater~.- to agree on a complete text for ~ als for weapons gurposes. submission to the UNGA prior to its consideration of the subject, probably in mid-October. Several other Geneva conferees are also hoping for a seabeds agreement and fear that negotiations in the free-far-all atmosphere of New York could adversely affect the entire arms limitation picture. A number of proposals for resolutions on the use of chemical and biological warfare (CBw) agents to be considered by the 24th UNGA have been tabled at the Geneva talks. The Soviets have attacked these initiatives and have stated that the Geneva Proto- col of 192 is comprehensive re- garding the nonuse of CBW. They are seeking greater concentration on controlling CBW weapons produc- tion. Soviet Foreign Minister The Arab-Israeli conflict i.s certain to come up during the UNGA debates on the reports of a number of UN agencies. Israel's position among the assembly dele- gations has probably deteriorated in recent months, and emotions aroused by the recent fire at the Al-Agra Mosque in Jerusalem: have contributed to an increase in anti-.Israeli sentiment among the Islamic nations outside the Arab world.. On the perennial issues, established voting patterns will probably remain firm. Peking's ~r:~,x r,?1~ t~.~~~~ 1Z ~ti~~:~,~.~~ s~U~s~t~1t~~ 12 Sep 69 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 SECRET prospects f.or admission do not appear to have substantially improved, although Moscow seems more concerned than usual that the US may alter its position regarding Chinese representation. The USSR would prefer to soft- pedal this issue again, Assembly members almost certainly will reaffirm the UN role in Korea by the usual wide margin. The political weight of a sizable black African bloc will be felt in a number of resolutions on Rhodesia and the Portuguese territories. The black Africans will probably renew their fight to oust South Africa from the UN ConfE^rence on Trade and Develop- ment? The session will probably give evidence of the UN's impor- tance~ in the limited role it has come to play. The UN's continu- ing ~~roblem is to maximize its infl~xence and avoid unenforceable comm:~tments that have the effect, in the long run, of reducin its impa~~t on world affairs. 25X1 GROMYKO VISIT RESTORES BALANCE IN YUGOSLAVIANS EAST-~~EST RELATIONS Soviet Foreign Minister Gromyko's first visit to Yugo- slavia in seven years has served to restore the careful balance Belgrade has sought to maintain in its relations with East and West, Bilateral differences were not resolved but probably will be less pronounced as a result of Gromyko's visit of 2-6 September. Gromyko reaffirmed the Bel- grade declaration of 1955--issued at the time Khrushchev and Bul- ganin made amends with Tito-- which recognized Yugoslavia's right to develop its own path to socialism, The Yugoslavs appre- ciate Gromyko's current gesture, which appears to remove them from the purview of Brezhnev's "limited sovereignty" thesis. Nevertheless, Belgrade probably interprets the ideological truce as a paper victory and will remain skeptical of Soviet intentions in Eastern Europe. Neither side re- treated on fundamental issues but simply noted and passed over their differences while cl.ramatiz- ing issues on which their views are similar. The communique stressed agreement on Vietnam, the Middle East, and support for a European security conference, Gromyko's visit will com- fort some of the older Yugoslav leaders who favor closer ties with the Communist world in con- trast with younger elements who believe Yugoslavia's interests are best served by a pro-Western posture, The spate of recent and forthcoming high-level con- tacts with the West, including Yugoslav Foreign Minister Tepa- vac's visit to Bonn in July and Italian President Saragat's scheduled visit to Belgrade in October, have far outnumbered similar associations with Commu- nist Europe. SECRET Page 13 WEEKLY SUMMAHI' 12 Sep 69 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 SECRET SOVIETS 1,~ONDU~CT ~1AJOR ExERCISES IN MEDITERRANEAN Many of the nearly 6Q Soviet ships in the Mediterranean during the past few weeks participated in the most extensive Soviet-naval ex- ercises ever conducted in those waters. Highlights of the recent ac- tivity included two amphibious land- ings on the Egyptian coast. Soviet amphibious ships joined other So- viet and Egyptian units in these landings west of Alexandria, Joint Soviet-Syrian amphibious operations .may have been conducted south of Latakia in August. The commander of the Black lea Fleet and the chief of the Main Staff of the Navy probably observed the exercises from ships of the squadron.. The officers are review- ing newly developed Soviet naval tactics such as the movement of surface ships in tactical forma- tions similar to those used in the West and the employment of coord- nated ASW tactics. The guided-missile helicopter cruiser Moskva anal a half dozen Soviet antisubmarine escorts con- ducted ASW training in the waters south of Crete and off the Egyp- tian coast. Patrol bombers based in Egypt and some eleven Soviet submarines in the Mediterranean participated in this training. Soviet Naval Exercises ie tiae Medilerraneah Warsnlps en. route to Mediterranean - 9bai5 9-69 tiA o aso N~uric~~ r~i ~a a force of two cruisers, three destroyers, seven diesel submarines, and two supgart ships from the Northern Fleet is approaching Gi- braltar. Most of this force prob, ably will replace units leaving the Mediterranean, 25X1 A9exendria 0 SECRE?I' .Page 14 WEEKLY SUMR3hRY AmpftibiousQ tanditty area LL A. R. 1EaT-T) 12 Sep 69 Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 TURKEY Probable amphibious training aria Antiwbmarine training operations Approved For Release 2008/04/09: CIA-RDP79-00927A007300040001-9 SECRET CZECHOSLOVAKIA PUSHING ARMS EXPORTS Czechoslovakia has emerged as a major exporter of modern weapons to the less developed countries of the free world, and is second only to the USSR as a source of Communist military as- sistance. Czech exports consist mainly of an assortment of ground forces weapons ranging from armored ve- hicles to small arms and aircraft. Czech-designed amphibious armored personnel carriers (APCs), twin 30-mm. antiaircraft guns, Soviet designed but obsolescent T-54 medium tanks, and the SU-100 self- propelled guns are the most sal- able ground force equipment. Prague has agreed to supply In- dia with 100 APCs by early 1970 under a recently signed contract that gives New Delhi the option to purchase an additional 100. Czechoslovakia also has built a substantial export trade around the domestically designed L-29 jet trainer, which was adopted by the Warsaw Pact in 1962 as its standard jet trainer. Prague's military sales pro- gram includes the exchange of training personnel as well as production technicians. In mid- 1969, approximately 300 Czech military technicians were on as- signment in a number of the less developed countries, most of whom were involved in the delivery, assembly, and maintenance of mil- itary equipment. The Czechs also have helped a number of countries establish or expand domestic arms production :Facilities. Czechoslovakia began selling military equipment in the early 1950s when, acting as an inter- mediary for the USSR, it sold re- conditioned Soviet-manufactured equipment and in some instances equipment directly off its own production lines. After a lapse of seZ~eral years--during which time t:he USSR began exporting arms f`or its own account--Czech- oslov