WEEKLY SUMMARY

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CIA-RDP79-00927A004800100001-0
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S
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30
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December 21, 2016
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November 4, 2008
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1
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Publication Date: 
April 16, 1965
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SUMMARY
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16 April. 1965 OCX No 0285/65 copy NO. CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE RETURN TO RECORDS CENTAI IMMEDIATELY AFTER USE 'oB ? -i '!BOZ wngroding and declassificaltion Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927AO048001 00001 -0 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927AO048001 00001 -0 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927AO048001 00001 -0 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927A004800100001-0 *me SECRET C O N T E N T S (Information as of 1200 LEST, 15 April 1965) VIETNAM Page Hanoi, Peiping, and Moscow all responded negatively to President Johnson's 7 April speech, although Soviet of- ficials acknowledged privately that the speech was "at least an advance." While China has rebuffed all over- tures for negotiations, the North Vietnamese i pn ex in a speech last week seemed to be suggesting ges ting someer,flon Hanoi's part. The DRV meanwhile is exhorting its people to mobilize themselves to meet the "new sit- uation and tasks." In South Vietnam, Viet Cong activity picked up slightly last week, particularly in the northern provinces. THE COMMUNIST WORLD THE BERLIN SITUATION Since last week's harassment of traffic to Berlin, the 6 East Germans have avoided any new threat to Allied ac- cess but continue to issue propaganda designed to impress on West Berliners that their freedom and commerce with the outside world depend heavily on Communist good will. EAST-WEST EUROPEAN ECONOMIC COOPERATION Both East and West European countries, taking advantage 8 of the trend toward greater political independence in Eastern Europe, are seeking ways to expand trade through new cooperative economic arrangements. BULGARIA IMPROVING RELATIONS WITH BALKAN NEIGHBORS 9 Since last July, when a general settlement of Bulgarian- Greek problems was negotiated, Sofia has been promoting both political and cultural contacts with its neighbors. THE DWINDLING CHINESE COMMUNIST LEADERSHIP The death last week of 10 reduced party central committee omemmember Ko bership to 181, down from 194 in 1958. No members have been added, some 50 of the survivors are ill or out of favor, and the rest are increasingly susceptible to diseases of age. 16 Apr 65 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927A004800100001-0 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927A004800100001-0 SECRET R00 ASIA-AFRICA Page SUKARNO'S POLICY EDGING CLOSER TO COMMUNIST OBJECTIVES 11 He Chas fur- ther discouraged domestic anti-Communist activities. THE SITUATION IN LAOS The Communists are making a major effort to keep open supply arteries, while a new series of low-level polit- ical talks is scheduled to start next week. SENANAYAKE GOVERNMENT TAKES OVER IN CEYLON The coalition apparently faces no early threat, but its composition reflects conflicting communal and economic interests and will be a source of continuing difficulty. KENYA'S PRESIDENT HEADING FOR SHOWDOWN WITH PRO-COMMUNISTS 14 The breach between Kenyatta and pro-Communist Vice Pres- ident Oginga Odinga has been widening for several months, and the President now seems convinced he must act. NOTES ON CONGO AND SUDAN The Congolese Government's military position continues to improve throughout the country, and elections are proceeding without violence. Sudan's transitional re- gime has set 21 April as the date for elections to in- stall a permanent government. EUROPE SECRET 16 Apr 65 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page ii Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927A004800100001-0 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927A004800100001-0 1W SECRET EUROPE (continued) Page FRANCE AND THE EUROPEAN SPACE PROGRAM 16 The French have withdrawn a proposal that the European Launcher Development Organization scrap its original program in favor of a more advanced effort, but they may still deal ELDO a mortal blow by deciding henceforth to concentrate on developing their own launcher. REORGANIZATION OF SPAIN'S STUDENT ORGANIZATION 16 A 7 April decree reorganizing the Spanish University Syndicate has brought a lull in student agitation by removing the immediate irritant stemming from regime appointment of syndicate officials, but is qualified enough to preserve the status quo effectively. WESTERN HEMISPHERE SPLIT IN BRITISH GUIANA'S GOVERNMEN'.C NARROWLY AVERTED A quarrel between Premier Burnham and Finance Minister 17 D'Aguiar, who head the two parties in the government coalition, threatened to bring down the government until a compromise was reached. The long-run outlook is for more such confrontations. ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS OF FORTHCOMING OAS CONFERENCE Included on the agenda is an examination of the opera- tions 18 and the future of inter-American economic and social organisms, including the Alliance for Progress. Set for Rio de Janerio on 20 May, the conference will be the first meeting since 1954 of the Organization of American States' highest organ, the general conference. VENEZUELAN AUTHORITIES ARREST SUBVERSIVES OF RIGIiT AND LEFT 19 The Venezuelan Government is exploiting, both domesti- cally and abroad, the interception of clandestine funds destined for the Communist Party as well as the arrest of a newspaper publisher accused of plotting, with ac- complices of both right and left., to overthrow President Leoni. EXTREMIST EFFORTS AGAINST PANAMANIAN GOVERNMENT The escalation of a minor strike b 20 workers into demonstrations and a g y eneralnstrikeuinrthe capital seems to have been the work of a combination of extremists incident seems also to be furthering the athbitions ofhlawyer-politician Carlos Zuniga to organize a leftist-labor coalition. 16 Apr 65 CURRENT INTE LIGE~ WEEKLY SUMMARY Page iii Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927A004800100001-0 25X1: Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927AO048001 00001 -0 "11111110i" ~4111111114 KOohl;Meng tzu u. anH ` j ?1 ?, f?r '1,.?Z,,,..s Nan ning s7~--.,-''r ?.x.,,,c~:onu _~ cn'nn H ?-T?../ \ ~?/~ii rL o ca cao Bans' Y. I, WLOON ron n r ( 1 mmg . ~ti_?~ VICTORIA A N O f T -ell ~. 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BAC AN u E i V Divisio / -- South Vietnamese military boundaries + Airfield Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927A004800100001-0 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927AO048001 00001 -0 NWrs - 4%w SECRET Hanoi, Peiping, and Moscow all responded negatively to Presi- dent Johnson's 7 April speech. Mos- cow's characterization of the speech as a "maneuver" was the mildest propaganda reaction; Hanoi and Peiping called it "hypocrisy" and a "swindle." In private con- versations Soviet officials took a slightly less negative line, acknowledging that the speech was "at least an advance." Navy F4B Phantom jet fighters, en- gaged in an offshore high-altitude patrol prior to the strike on 9 April, were attacked by four Chi- nese Communist MIG fighters some 35 miles southwest of Hainan Is- land. One MIG was shot down, prob- ably by an air-to-air missile. One Navy fighter failed to return. DRV Political Developments Within South Vietnam, evi- dence indicating the presence of elements of a regular North Viet- namese division has mounted. Viet Cong activity picked up slightly last week, particularly in the northernmost portion of the coun- try. In the North, the Hanoi re- gime exhorted its people to mobilize themselves to meet the "new situa- tion and tasks" which have arisen. Both US and South Vietnamese aircraft continued their bombing and armed reconnaissance over North Vietnam during the past week. Strikes were conducted on five days. Five bridges were virtually destroyed, and several radar sites which had been struck on 31 March were further damaged. Results of the armed route reconnaissance were generally limited, possibly as a result of Hanoi's directive that all vehicles travel at night or with an aircraft lookout .if day- time travel is essential. The week was also marked by the first engagement of US air- craft by Chinese Communist fighters. Hanoi continued its efforts to mobilize its political, economic, and military apparatus to meet the "new situation and tasks" which re- gime leaders say have arisen as a result of the continuation of US military pressure. This was the main trend evident at the semian- nual session of the National Assem- bly held from 8 to 10 April. Deputies at the session were ordered to spread the word that the government is determined to rally the populace to the defense of the DRV, to the exertion of greater economic effort, and to the "active support" of the insurgency in South Vietnam. The assembly delegated to its standing committee-- the normal hub'of its operations-- a number of "new powers necessary to make state operations suit" the new situation. This move was prob- ably intended to further party con- trol over government operations. The assembly also put the stamp of legality on recent regime moves to strengthen the armed forces, voting to amend military laws to increase the "fighting power" of the military. SECRET 16 Apr 65 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927AO048001 00001 -0 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927AO048001 00001 -0 25X1 SECRET Continued regime concern with sustaining popular morale under the strain of the air strikes was evident at the assembly session. Considerable stress was put on the unity of the government with the party and its policies. Repeated attention was given to phrases manifesting determination to con- tinue to fight US "imperialism" to tae end and to support the war effort in the South despite US military pressure on the DRV. Ho Chi Minh claimed in his speech that although the session met in a tense atmosphere, it was filled with "high spirits and the utmost confidence." Aside from the trend in Hanoi propaganda, evidence of the effect of the air strikes during March and April on public morale is still sparse. Hanoi's propaganda on the President's 7 April speech la- belled ita"deception," and said that the President's proposal for unconditional talks was "hypoc- risy.'.' Although,. DRV leaders have made it clear that military attacks on the DRV must cease before negotiations can be even considered, they have not di- :rectly addressed themselves to the subject of starting talks, and still continue to speak mainly in terms of an over-all settlement of the "Vietnam ques- 1: ion." In this vein, party chief 1[o Chi Minh last week put the routine Hanoi demands for US withdrawal from South Vietnam and the settlement of the Viet- nam question by the Vietnamese people themselves in the context of preconditions which must be "carried out" before any inter- national conference can be called. Premier Pham Van Dong spelled out essentially the same conditions in a speech to the National As- sembly. However, he put them in terms of a "basis" which must be "recognized" before a Geneva-type conference could be held. Dong's use of the word "recognized" may have been designed to imply greater flexibility on the part of the DRV. In either case, the basic demands on the US do not appear to have changed. Hanoi seems to be saying that any in- ternational talks on Vietnam will be merely for the purpose of put- ting the stamp of approval on a Communist victory in South Vietnam. SECRET 16 Apr 65 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page 2 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927AO048001 00001 -0 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927AO048001 00001 -0 SECRET Peiping is continuing its hard line on Vietnam and has rebuffed all overtures for ne- gotiations. President Johnson's 7 April proposal for uncondi- tional talks was dismissed in the 11 April People's Daily as a "big swindlee' d a "hoax" requiring the unconditional sur- render of the South Vietnamese "people" to the "US imperial- ists." China. has not formally replied to the nonaligned na- tions'' appeal but has made clear its lack of enthusiasm. In the meantime Peiping has rebuffed efforts by the British and UN Secretary General Thant to explore the possibility of a negotiated settlement. The Chinese formally rejected Lon- don's proposal for a visit by Patrick Gordon-Walker as "incon- venient and unwelcome." Peiping has charged that the 9 April engagement between US and Chinese planes near Hainan Island was a "deliberate mili- tary provocation against China." on the part of the US. Chinese newspapers have subsequently published photographs portraying what is claimed to be the wreck- age of a US air-to-air guided missile and an auxiliary fuel tank allegedly dropped by US aircraft while overflying Hainan Island on 9 April. Except for the almost pro forma warning that the US must bear responsi- bility for the "serious conse- 16 Apr 65 quences" of this action, how- ever, the Chinese have made no threats of retaliation. Although there has been no official Soviet reaction to either the nonaligned nations' appeal or President Johnson's 7 April address, Soviet propa- ganda has stressed that there has been no change in US policy and that the US is actually ad- vancing preconditions for ne- gotiations. Pravda characterized the President speech as a "maneuver" to placate public opinion and US allies and reit- erated that negotiations are impossible as long as the US air strikes continue. The Soviet press also ridiculed the proposal for an economic develop- ment plan in Southeast Asia. Soviet Foreign Minis- try officials acknowledged that the President's speech "was at least an advance." In a talk with Ambassador Kohler on 8 April, Deputy Premier Polyansky denied that the USSR had re- jiected negotiations out of-hand and asserted that Moscow favors peaceful negotiation of all in- ternational disputes, including Vietnam. The Soviet leaders' desire to hold the door open to some form of eventual talks without breaking openly with Hanoi was also reflected in their proposal on 8 April for an immediate international con- ference on Cambodia. Hanoi and Peiping had already publicly SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page 3 I 25X1 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927AO048001 00001 -0 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927AO048001 00001 -0 SECRET 25X1 endorsed the Cambodian appeal of 15 March. Polish Foreign Ministry officials informed the British that a conference on Cam- bodia would provide an oppor- tunity to discuss Vietnam and possibly Laos. information provided by a recent Viet Cong defector that the 101st Regiment of the 325th Division infiltrated Into Kontum Province in February of this year, Meanwhile, the Soviets con- tinue to assert that military equipment now is on the way to A Soviet diplo- mat in Belgrade told a US Em- bassy official on 9 April that if the US continues its present actions in Vietnam, Soviet "so- called volunteers" would almost certainly be dispatched to North Vietnam. He claimed that the Chinese had acknowledged the need for Soviet assistance to Hanoi and were no longer imped- ing shipments of arms and rock- ets. The Soviet diplomat warned several times that although the USSR understands the problems facing the US, Moscow can "no longer stand by and watch your aggression against a socialist state." Military Developments In the South Viet Cong activity picked up slightly last week, even though combat results generally favored the government forces. Communists appear to be inten- sifying their operations in the northernmost part of South Viet- nam, while possibly positioning to step up activity in the cen- tral highland and southern prov- inces. During the past week, the Viet Cong launched coordinated mortar attacks on three targets, including an American advisory compound, near the capital of Quang Tri Province, which bor- ders North Vietnam. At the southern border of Quang Tri Province, a government armored column sustained heavy casual- ties when it was attacked by an estimated two Viet Cong bat- ta].ions.on 13 April. Evidence that elements of a regular North Vietnamese di- vision are in northern South Vietnam is increasing. I (sizable Viet Cong units are concentrating in a guerrilla "war zone" about 50 miles north of Saigon, where they would be in a position to SECRET 16 Apr 65 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page 4 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927AO048001 00001 -0 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927AO048001 00001 -0 SECRET launch actions against Bien Hoa, Tan Son Nhut, or Ben Cat air- fields. A new Viet Cong regi- ment, forming in Tay Ninh Prov- ince to the west, is believed by US military authorities to be approaching operational readi- ness. New fighting, largely at government initiative, was re- ported during the week around Ban Me Thuot, the capital of Darlac Province in the central highlands, while along the cen- tral coast, South Vietnamese marines in Binh Dinh Province continued to fight off probes by a probable Viet Cong battalion in the area. There have been some indica- tions that several recent govern- ment military successes, coupled with intensified air strikes, may have disrupted some Viet Cong military timetables. The Viet Cong nevertheless retain the capability of accelerating the pace of their attacks well beyond the reduced levels of re- cent weeks. Political Developments In South Vietnam Last week's naval mutiny in Saigon, which led to the replace- ment pending military inquiry of naval commander Admiral Cang, has raised military con- cern over a possible precedent for junior officers to take matters into their own hands. Premier Quat, who regards General Dong as a troublemaker, now hopes to carry out a major command reorganization to bring the military under tighter civilian control. His plans, which would leave only one Catholic officer in a top com- mand post, risk a serious Catholic reaction if not even- tual opposition of the military in general. Although it is possible that the views of the Buddhist heirarchy have influ- enced Quat's thinking, the Buddhist clergy continues to refrain from open political ac- tivity except for the further promotion of anti-Communist themes among their followers SECRET 16 Apr 65 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page 5 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927AO048001 00001 -0 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927A004800100001-0 .err SECRET The Communist World THE BERLIN SITUATION Since last week's harass- ment of traffic to Berlin, the East Germans have avoided any new threat to Allied access. For the moment, the regime seems intent only on impressing on West Berliners that their freedom and commerce with the outside world depend to a large extent on Communist good will and that the GDR will not toler- ate so tangible a demonstration of West German interest in the city as the Bundestag meeting of 7 April. At a press confer- ence in East Berlin on 12 April, officials of the regime-domi- nated National Front warned that there would be an immediate re- sponse if the West German Bund- esrat were now to meet in West Berlin or if the city were the setting for any political ac- tivity of a "provocative" na- ture. Although regime spokesmen were careful at first not to link last week's Soviet-German military exercises or the harass- ment of access to the Bundestag meeting, since 9 April they have boasted that events "have made it clear who makes the de- cisions on our autobahns and roads." In this vein, the of- ficial East German news agency rejected out of hand Mayor Brandt's proposal for interna- tional control of the access routes, describing it as "out- dated and unrealistic" and "an attempt to interfere in the GDR's internal affairs." In an editorial published on the first day of the Easter- tide pass visits, Neues Deutsch- land disclosed that stBeer- - liners who cross over to see relatives during the current pass agreement will encounter heavy propaganda directed against West Berlin - West German po- litical ties. The party paper echoed earlier warnings by the regime that the Bundestag ses- sion will have "serious conse- quences" for renegotiation of the pass agreement, which it suggested may be postponed from June until after the West Ger- man elections in September. This suggests that the East Germans ;hope to exact from the West Ber- lin Senat as the price for re- negotiating the agreement a pledge not to play host to West German political meetings or permit any expansion of the Federal Republic's presence in West Berlin. Pankow probably jiudges that its chances of get- ting such a commitment this fall will be far greater than they would be during an election cam- paign in which Mayor Brandt and other West Berlin leaders of the Social Democratic Party (SPD) are to play so prominent a role. SECRET 16 Apr 65 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page 6 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927A004800100001-0 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927AO048001 00001 -0 SECRET West Berliners and West Ger- mans seem to feel that having the Bundestag meet in West Ber- lin was worth the inconvenience and harassment and that it rein- forced the city's ties with the Federal Republic and underlined the hope for eventual reunifica- tion. Bundestag President Ger- stenmaier has taken the position that the Communists will resign themselves to such parliamentary sessions if they are held often enough, perhaps twice a year. There has been some public criticism of the failure of the Erhard government and the Allies to react more vigorously to Com- munist encroachments on access. The chairman of the Berlin branch of the SPD complained that the United States should have put a stop to the Commu- nist "antics," and West German Vice Chancellor Mende, leader of the Free Democratic Party, found the Allied response inade- quate. Mayor Brandt, who has ex- pressed satisfaction with reac- tion of the Allies, has voiced some concern over the psycholog- ical effects which the harassment may have on Berlin's economic life. He fears that West Ger- man investors will re-examine the advisability of committing funds to the city's expansion in view of the renewed demon- stration of the vulnerability of its land routes to the West. SECRET 16 Apr 65 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page 7 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927AO048001 00001 -0 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927AO048001 00001 -0 SECRET Both East and West Euro- pean countries are seeking ways to expand trade through new cooperative economic arrange- ments. The most sweeping of these--the recently publicized proposal by the West German Krupp combine to couple its capital and technical and managerial skills with Polish labor and raw materials--will probably be modified in the course of current negotiations. The proposal, however, suggests the growing complexity and range of the many current ef- forts at cooperation. Programs already in opera- tion, however, include not only licensing and subcontracting arrangements (see inset) but also joint construction proj- ects.. Current proposals add joint management of enterprises to be built in East Europe. SOME EXAMPLES OF EAST-WEST EUROPEAN ECONOMIC COOPERATION Poland-Belgium-Sweden: Economic cooperation pacts calling for joint production of equipment for third countries, exchange of technical know-how, joint industrial training, and consulta- tion among industrial experts. Poland-Rumania-Hungary-West Germane Proposed West Ger- man investment of capital and managerial skill in bloc indus- trial enterprises, Programs Already in Operation Czechoslovakia-UK: Semifinished British textiles finished in Czechoslovakia and re-exported. Hungary-Finland: Jointly owned agency to market Hungarian electrical goods in Finland. Yus~oslavia-Italy : Production under Italian license of Fiat auto- mobiles in Yugoslavia for sale in Eastern Europe. Hungary-UK: Jointly produced tractors, using British engines These moves toward in- creased economic cooperation are taking advantage of the trend toward greater political inde- pendence in Eastern Europe. Furthermore, East European countries are dismayed at the lack of progress in intrabloc cooperation, and are thus look- ing to the West for ways to further their technological ad- vance. Nearly all the recent in- novations stimulate East Euro- pean hard-currency earnings through new exports. Moreover, the market for goods produced under Western license is en- hanced by the established rep- utations and marketing know-how of the Western firms involved. In addition, production-sharing pacts, under which the Western supplier of a factory takes a portion of its production as repayment on his investment, en- able Eastern European countries to acquire technology and ad- vanced equipment without adding substantially to their already considerable medium and long- term indebtedness to the West. A group of Belgian business- men has just visited Poland to discuss new joint efforts. West Europeans looking for new export markets see in Eastern Europe a significantly rising demand for their output of heavy industrial machinery, and many believe that East Europe's limited ability to generate new exports for West- ern markets can be improved. SECRET Page 8 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927AO048001 00001 -0 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927A004800100001-0 SECRET The Communist World BULGARIA IMPROVING RELATIONS WITH BALKAN NEIGHBORS Bulgaria last July nego- tiated a general settlement of its problems with Greece, and since then has been promoting political contacts with its other Balkan neighbors. This campaign to break out of its heretofore isolated position is making some progress. In the long run, these new contacts are more likely to work changes in Bulgaria than in the states with which it is dealing. Con- tinuing contact with the inde- pendent Communist states of Ru- mania and Yugoslavia and the in- flux of ideas from Greece and Turkey may eventually encourage Sofia. to loosen its ties with Moscow. In late January Yugoslav Foreign Minister Popovic visited Sofia, for three days. While not enthusiastic about his visit, he was "satisfied," according to Yugoslav officials in Sofia. The visit was symbolically im- portant and was closely followed by a number of agreements, such as the abolition of visa require- ments between the two countries. In a recent demarche to Turkey, the Bulgarians proposed an early meeting to seek agree- ment on specified major outstand- ing problems. On a lower political level, Sofia's "mayor" visited Athens in mid-January and extended an invitation to the mayor of Athens to visit Sofia this May. The mayors of the port cities of Varna. and Piraeus will exchange visits in the near future. Bulgarian efforts to pro- mote Balkan rapprochement have been particularly active in the cultural sphere. Sofia is trying to establish a league of Balkan writers. Plans have been made to hold an annual noncompetitive Balkan Film Festival. Artists from other Balkan countries are being invited to the opening of Bul- garia's Jubilee National Art Exhibition. Recently a. con- ference of Balkan, Adriatic, and Cypriot students was held in Sofia.. Proceedings of the Balkan Committees for Peace and Under- standing, which are scheduled to meet in Athens in early Ma,y, may well provide an indication of the success of the Bulgarian campaign. Past meetings have foundered when Bulgaria and Rumania. have called for a Bal- kan summit conference which Greece and Yugoslavia have in- sisted must be preceded by bilateral resolutions of out- standing problems. This con- dition appears now to be largely accomplished or on the way to accomplishment except in the case of Albania.--whose attend- ance of past meetings has been blocked by Greece and Yugosla- 16 Apr 65 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page 9 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927A004800100001-0 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927AO048001 00001 -0 Aftw SECRET The dwindling ranks of Communist China's top leader- ship suffered another loss with the death on 9 April of politburo member Ko Ching- shih. Full and alternate mem- bers of the party central com- mittee now number only 181, down from the full strength of 194 reached in 1958 when ad- ditions were last made. Of the 181 surviving, 16 are known to be out of favor and 33 oth- ers have not made public ap- pearances in six months or more, probably in most cases because of poor health. The leaders of Communist China are men in their sixties and seventies. They are in- creasingly susceptible to diseases of age and increas- ingly dominated by narrow, in- flexible views. These charac- teristics make them more prone to unreasonable behavior, while tending to sap their effective- ness in managing the party and government apparatus. Suspicious of almost every- one outside their own shrinking circles, Chinese leaders have been insisting on an ever tighter hold over the levers o Leadership distrust ex- tends down into the lower ranks of the party. Last winter the central committee ordered a mas- siLve campaign to eradicate cor- ruption at this level. Although the regime often speaks of the need to pro- mote younger men, Mao's profound distrust of them has been a bar to any delegation of real power. Moreover, the prospect for change in the near future is slim. Replacements for Mao and his in- ner circle of immediate lieuten- ants would presumably be drawn from the present shrinking central committee, which is exclusively composed of old-guard revolution- aries--men who seem to be just as dogmatic and hostile to the US as the present team. SECRET 16 Apr 65 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page 10 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927AO048001 00001 -0 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927A004800100001-0 SECRET 25X1 SUKARNO'S POLICY EDGING CLOSER TO In two recent speeches to army and government leaders President Sukarno has defined Indonesian policy in a. way that comes close to meeting Communist Part objectives. Two da.ys later Sukarno an- nounced a. purge of the leader- ship of a pressure group called the "Generation of 45" led by Third Deputy Prime Minister Chairul Saleh, who has been under st:rong attack by Indonesian Com- munists. Sukarno accused the organization, among other things, of competing with political pa.r- " ties and of opposing "Nasakom. In a, speech on 11 April to the Consultative Assembly, made up of top politicians, Sukarno announced that the "national democratic" stage of the Indo- COMMUNIST OBJECTIVES nesian revolution was almost complete and that the country hadl already entered the stage of "Indonesian socialism." In effect he told the non-Commu- nist parties to halt their anti- Communist activities and com- plained of hypocrites lacking in the spirit of true "Nasakom" --a word Sukarno coined to de- scribe his goal of harmony among nationalist, Moslem, and Commu- nist elements. Communists have abided with Suka.rno's ban on all demonstra- tions until after the 18-26 April celebration of the Bandung Afro-Asian conference. SECRET 16 Apr 65 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page 11 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927A004800100001-0 Approved For Release 2008/11/04: CIA-RDP79-00927AO048001 00001 -0 Nwe WSW 100 I I C H I N A 2 10 4 16 ,.~`- is A C H I N ~ r Ssumao I N Lao Cal ? am a -~..1 eoum 1.. \ zs ??,r : / - \ Lai Chai n -22 P ng Saly 1 Dien Bien Phu i te r ~~ ~ ~,E xl .r /Muong Luon NORTH H not Nam Tha \ 9 ` ` _ \ Muong Sal ~.L f Samneua , VIETNAM ouei Sai `' ia `t * " r , ' Muong o - M un Muong Hiem. , ong Ham t gK wss \ I l ( \VlBnflane Lak Sao - ,g _ `. , .J ?v ,?~