WEEKLY SUMMARY

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79-00927A004800090001-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 33
• Document Creation Date: December 21, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 15, 2008
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: April 9, 1965
• Content Type: SUMMARY

Approved For
State Dept. review
completed
ARMY
. review(s)
completed.
INTELLIGENCE
RETURN TO RECORD I C X R
~ Tx AFTER USE
SECRET
GROUP I ExclwdeA tram ~utdrnati!
downgrading and dOalassifieatro'n
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1410V SECRET Nwo~
(Information as of 1200 EST, 8 April 1965)
Page
VIETNAM
In last week's US air strikes against North Vietnam,
two important bridges were put out of operation and the
first clash with Communist aircraft took place. The ef-
fect of the latest strikes on DRV morale and willingness
to persist in support of the Viet Cong is not yet known,
but Hanoi has put more effort into encouraging and inform-
ing the public. The status of bloc military aid remains
unclear
sur ace-to-air missile site, without missile equipment
yet in place, has been noted under construction near
Hanoi. In South Vietnam, military activity initiated
by the Viet Cong last week remained at a relatively low
level, as government-initiated operations continued to
produce the most significant battle contact with the enemy.
THE COMMUNIST WORLD
SOVIETS AND EAST GERMANS HARASS TRAFFIC TO BERLIN
The pattern of their tactics, however, suggests Moscow
does not intend to provoke a major crisis with the West.
The Communists' moves are in reaction to this week's
meeting in Berlin of the West German Bundestag, which
they view as a provocative attempt to undercut their
long-standing contention that West Berlin is still sub-
ject to four-power occupation arrangements.
COMMUNIST GRAIN TRADE
Soviet grain purchases in the West this year total only
about a third of last year's extraordinary imports, but
China's imports may well match last year's record total
of about 6.5 million tons.
9 Apr 65
SECRET
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY
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TIIE COMMUNIST WORLD (continued) Page
TACTICAL SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILES IN THE SATELLITES 10
Hungary, which has been the weakest of the Warsaw Pact
powers, displayed SSMM2s and other modern military equip-
ment in its 4 April Liberation Day parade. Poland, East
Germany, and Rumania have also displayed such missiles.
CHINA'S TRADE FAIR PROGRAM CONTINUES AT LIVELY PACE
Peiping apparently sees this as a way of further expand-
ing its trade with the free world, which last year jumped
an estimated 25 percent to about $1.9 billion.
CHINESE DIPLOMATIC OFFENSIVE IN SOUTH ASIA AND NORTH AFRICA 12
The recent trips of Premier Chou. En-lai and Foreign Min-
ister Chen Yi were aimed at strengthening the Chinese
position at the forthcoming Afro-Asian conference in
Algiers and at stirring up opposition to US policies in
Vietnam.
ASIA -AFRICA
INDONESIAN COMMUNISTS CONTINUE TO EXPAND THEIR INFLUENCE 13
Agitation and propaganda activity has abated temporari-
ly, as Sukarno prepares to celebrate the tenth anniver-
sary of the Bandun Co fe
SOUTH KOREAN OPPOSITION SEEKS TO BLOCK TREATY WITH JAPAN 14
The Korean opposition has embarked on a nationwide cam-
paign of agitation to block ratification of the Japanese-
South Korean settlement for which draft agreements were
initialed on 3 April.
RHODESIAN PRIME MINISTER CALLS GENERAL ELECTION 14
This is another move in Smith's campaign to obtain Rho-
desia's independence from Britain while ensuring con-
tinued control by the white minority.
SECRET
9 Apr 35 CU11RENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page ii
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ASIA-AFRICA (continued) Page
CONGO GOVERNMENT'S MILITARY POSITION FURTHER IMPROVED
Only a few rebel groups remain in the northeastern
Congo, although new rebel activity seems to be develop-
ing in the Lake Tanganyika area.
BELGIUM'S ROLE IN THE CONGO
The late March talks between Governor Harriman and
Foreign Minister Spaak have resulted in some increase
in the Belgian commitment in the Congo.
FRANCE STALLS ON TALKS ON EUROPEAN POLITICAL UNION
This has aroused new suspicions of De Gaulle's sincer-
ity in advocating even his own version of a European
union, but his stand seems more likely a bargaining
maneuver.
PANAMANIAN DOUBTS OVER COURSE OF RELATIONS WITH US
Panamanian officials are beginning to react to signs
of growing public impatience over the absence of demon-
strable progress on canal negotiations. President
Robles, who has largely staked his political survival
on US-Panamanian cooperation, is particularly concerned.
SECRET
9 Apr 65 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page iii
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UNITED NATIONS Page
SOVIETS SEEK MEETING OF UN DISARMAMENT COMMISSION
Some delegates speculate that Moscow might be hoping
to use this forum as a "little General Assembly" in
.which all sorts of problems could be raised under the
guise of disarmament.
SE CRE T
9 Apr 65 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page iv
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SECRET
The air war against North
Vietnamese military-associated
targets continued at a steady
pace this week. Two important
bridges were put out of opera-
tion by the raiding aircraft,
and the first clash with Commu-
nist planes over North Vietnam
took place. The effect of the
latest strikes on DRV morale
and willingness to persist in
support of the Viet Cong is not
yet known; however, Hanoi has
put more effort into encourag-
ing and informing the public
during the past week. The status
of bloc military aid remains un-
clear
Both US and South Vietnam-
ese aircraft were involved in
bombing and armed reconnaissance
missions against North Vietnam
during the week. Strikes were
conducted on four days. The
principal targets were hit on
3 and 4 April when US aircraft
bombed two important bridges at
DongPhong Thuong and Thanh Hoa.
On 4 April South Vietnamese air-
craft bombed a bridge at Dong
Hoi.
The bridge at Thanh Hoa
appears to be intact, but the
other two were knocked out.
Several armed reconnaissance mis-
sions along Route 1 attacked
targets of opportunity and de-
stroyed a number of vehicles.
A radar site at Vinh Linh was
also attacked. Eight US and two
South Vietnamese aircraft were
lost.
Communist MIG fighters re-
acted to US strike aircraft on
both 3 and 4 April. On 3 April
three MIGs made one firing pass
on the navy aircraft bombing
the Dong Phong Thuong bridge.
On 4 April, two MIGs shot down
two F-105s which were attacking
the Thanh Hoa bridge. One of
the two MIGs may have crashed
while returning to Phuc Yen.
DRV Political Developments
A new stress on the neces-
sity for "self-reliance" in "a
new and more arduous period" has
begun to figure in Hanoi's re-
cent propaganda output. This
note was struck first at a
special session of the Council
of Ministers held on 4 April in
Hanoi. The meeting was addressed
by Ho Chi Minh, who spoke of the
"new situation and tasks" and
the meeting itself concluded
that the DRV, while making full
use of the "approval and support
of socialist allies," should
conduct its defense against US
air attacks in a spirit of "self-
reliance."
This theme was echoed at
a central committee meeting of
the principal mass organization,
the Fatherland Front. In recent
months the front has been the
organization through which Hanoi
has expressed its support of
and cooperation with the Lib-
eration Front in South Vietnam.
Both meetings, and the propaganda
that has developed out of them,
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9 Apr 65
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page 1
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l
SECRET
were apparently designed to set
forth the regime's current pol-
icy guidelines in an effort to
rally popular support behind
the leaders and these policies.
Although no new policy
departures were evident in the
publicity on the ministerial
and front meetings, there were
hints in subsequent propaganda
that high-level party meetings
may have preceded them. If
such party councils did take
place, they could foreshadow
some new policy trends in the
near future.
Hanoi also upgraded the
status of its Foreign Ministry
last week by announcing on 7
April the appointment of a full
politburo member and former
South Vietnamese resistance
leader to the post of foreign
minister. This was the first
major government change in
about two years. A central
committee member, Hoang Anh,was
also appointed to both of the
top agricultural organizations
--the Ministry of Agriculture
and the premier's Agricultural
Board. This change brings both
top agriculture posts under one
man who has considerable ex-
perience in financial adminis-
tration.
Military Developments in
Sou ie nam
Military activity initi-
ated by the Viet Cong during
the past week remained at a
relatively low level, as govern-
ment-initiated operations con-
tinued to produce the most
significant battle contacts
with the enemy.
Heavy fighting was re-
ported in two widely separated
areas of South Vietnam as a
result of government clearing
operations. In Chuong Thien
Province, about 115 miles south-
west of Saigon, South Vietnam-
ese Army (ARVN) forces in-
flicted heavy casualties and
weapons losses between 4 and
7 April on a Viet Cong concen-
tration estimated at battalion
size. The action marked the
first major encounter with
Communist guerrillas in the
Mekong Delta in several months.
Northward, in Binh Dinh
Province, heavy losses were
sustained by both government
and Viet Cong forces in a high-
way clearing operation launched
by a South Vietnamese Ranger
battalion and an armored cav-
alry squadron on 1 April.
There are increasing, al-
though still unconfirmed, in-
dications that regular North
Vietnamese Army (PAVN) units
have moved into several prov-
inces in northern South Viet-
nam.
SECRET
9 Apr 65 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY
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SECRET %oo
over
the present uneasy power relation-
shi.p among them. The internal
divisions within the military
continue, moreover, to have some
overtones of Buddhist-Catholic
hostility. For the present, how-
ever, earlier Catholic expres-
sions of distaste for the Quat
government appear muted, while
the Buddhists continue to refrain
from overt political involvement
and to show some signs of a
stronger anti-Communist stand.
dications of discontent
Soviet Military Aid
Political Developments
The Quat government con-
tinues to take modest steps to-
ward building a record of ac-
complishments which will
strengthen its political image.
Essentially, the government's
attention has been directed to-
ward bolstering its administra-
tive machinery and popular base,
mobilizing additional manpower
for the armed forces, tighten-
ing security and expanding psy-
chological warfare efforts, and
improving its diplomatic pos-
ture, particularly in Africa.
Despite the indications of
an improved political climate
in recent weeks and the absence
of reports of serious coup plot-
ting, there continue to be in-
9 Apr 65
Western press sources in
Moscow are quoting high-ranking
Soviet officials as asserting
that negotiations with the Chi-
nese on the subject of transit
of Soviet arms through China have
been concluded satisfactorily.
It seems unlikely that the Soviets
would be circulating such rumors
unless there was some substance
to -them.
SAM Site in the DRV
Analysis of photography
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to-air missile (SAM) site is in
the late stages of construction
about 15 miles southeast of
Hanoi. No missile equipment has
been noted at the site. The
installation presently consists
of four confirmed and two pos-
sible revetted launch positions
and a revetted general-guidance-
system area. Construction is
continuing on a perimeter road
and a possible missile-hold area.
Next to the SAM site is a six-
gun medium antiaircraft artil-
lery position.
gressors." An official of the
Ministry of Foreign Affairs Press
Section recently remarked that
the US should realize that Soviet
prestige is suffering as a result
of the crisis and that Moscow is
Losing face in the Communist
world. He several times asserted
that "the US must do something,"
and lamented the alleged lack of
sufficient substantive contact
between Washington and Moscow.
Soviet military officials in Mos-
cow have emphasized that local
wars "can become big ones over-
night" when two great powers are
confronting each other.
Reactions From Peiping
The Soviet Union continues
to declare its firm support for
North Vietnam against "US aggres-
sion." Soviet Premier Kosygin,
in a tough 7 April speech in Po-
land, strongly denounced the
"state of war" created by the US
in Vietnam. He claimed that the
Soviet Union is using "the avail-
able possibilities for rendering
practical assistance" to the DRV
and urged all "peace-loving"
states to display "unity and de-
termination" against the US "ag-
9 Apr 65
Peiping's response to the
;;3-4 April US air strikes against
North Vietnam restated previous
warnings that the Chinese peo-
ple "pledge themselves to stand
by the 30 million Vietnamese
people and to fight together
until final victory over the
US aggressors." Peiping has
not, however, extended any pub-
lic commitment beyond Chen Yi's
conditional offer on 28 March
to send men to fight with the
South Vietnamese whenever the
latter request it.
Peiping is maintaining
its public position of strong
opposition to Vietnam negotia-
tions. On 1 April, the People's
Daily commentator asserted is
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the US was "extending its ag-
gression against the DRV" in a
"vain effort" to bring about ne-
gotiations by "coercive means,"
echoing the 1 April Chinese-Al-
gerian communiqud which declared
that the Vietnamese problem "can
only be solved by the Vietnamese
people themselves on the basis
of the noninterference of im-
perialism and the withdrawal of
its ,troops."
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SOVIETS AND EAST GERMANS HARASS TRAFFIC TO BERLIN
In a carefully staged and
controlled series of moves, the
Soviets and East Germans have
harried ground and air traffic
to Berlin for the past week.
The pattern of their tactics
suggests that Moscow does not
intend to provoke a major crisis
with the West.
lied access to West Berlin. The
apparent Soviet intention to
avoid creating a crisis atmos-
phere was also evident in the
absence of any attempt by either
B:rezhnev or Kosygin to exploit
the situation in their recent
speeches in Poland.
The Communists' moves are
in reaction to this week's meet-
ing in Berlin of the West German
Bundestag, which they view as
a provocative attempt to under-
cut their long-standing conten-
tion that West Berlin is still
subject to four-power occupation
arrangements. This was the first
meeting of the full Bundestag in
West Berlin since 1958, and of-
ficial Soviet reaction--although
it has been sparse--has taken
the line that in permitting the
session the Allies were acting
in violation of the special
status of West Berlin.
A 7 April Pravda report
emphasized the 11mi-EFe-d nature
of the access restrictions. In
focusing attention on the Bun-
destag session--noting at the
same time that "all peaceful
citizens of West Germany and
West Berlin" can move about
freely--Pravda clearly intended
to avoid representing the harass-
ment as a major challenge to Al-
On 1 April, East German
border guards began to scruti-
nize closely all non-Allied Ber-
lin traffic to identify and
turn back at the interzonal
checkpoints Bundestag members
and their families and staffs,
and to impound legislative rec-
o:rds and other materials en
route to the parliamentary ses-
sion. Except for delays caused
by congestion on the autobahn
Allied traffic was not impeded
at this time.
However, on 4 April Soviet
representatives in the Berlin
Air Safety Center (BASC) noti-
fied their Western counterparts
that air operations in support
of a combined Soviet - East Ger-
man military exercise to be held
west of Berlin from 5 to 11 April
required that Western corridor
flights be restricted to the
6,500- to 10,000-foot range and
that flight safety would not be
guaranteed for flights below
6,500 feet. The same night,
Soviet military authorities on
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9 Apr 65 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY
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MILES
assnIt B A, L T 1 C
m Ren
0
Neubrandenburg
Chemnitz
OZwkknl (KarI-Merx-Stadt)
T.olfc h,-h G-I
does ore ta. West Ndm.
Probstzeda I
(udw_igssttaa
A~fit(Sr(d ~Il
Rai2rpa I
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-
VJarnemdn e
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pUCRT
EAST GERMANY
Area Closed to Allied Travel
5 - 11 April 1965
Area of temporary restriction
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30 minutes' notice informed all
three Allied military liaison
missions that they were pro-
hibited from traveling west of
Berlin except on the Helmstedt
autobahn. For the first time
East Berlin, an area never en-
tered by the liaison missions,
was included in the restricted
area.
The Helmstedt autobahn
was closed to all traffic for
several hours on the morning
of 5 April and has been shut
down for 3 or 4 hours each
succeeding day. Soviet check-
point commanders have refused
to process Allied traffic dur-
ing closure periods or to en-
tertain official protests. On
8 April a westbound US convoy
of three trucks on the auto-
bahn at the time of the closure
was blocked by Soviet trucks.
At approximately the same time
a Soviet colonel forced a US
officer stalled farther along
the road to re-enter his vehicle
at gunpoint until the closure
expired.
Soviet MIG fighters have
repeatedly broken the sound
barrier over West Berlin since
5 April, zooming low over all
three airfields in the Western
sectors. On 7 April, MIGs
dived low over US and British
headquarters and staged a mock
duel over the French Sector.
Marshal
Grechko, the Warsaw Pact com-
mander, now is in East Germany,
perhaps in his capacity as the
USSR's first deputy minister of
defense and commander of the
ground forces.
Moscow commentators have
echoed East German charges of
the "illegal" and "provocative"
character of the Bundestag meet-
ing, but have ignored the mili-
tary exercises.
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9 Apr 65 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY
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Nevertheless, shortly after
the Bundestag had adjourned and
Chancellor Erhard flew to Bonn,
Soviet controllers in BASC ad-
vised that they were lifting the
restrictions on north corridor
flights because the maneuvers do
not require them "at the moment."
The phrasing of the Soviet state-
ment at least raises the possi-
bility that the restrictions--
which remain in effect for the
center and south corridor--will
be reimposed.
9 Apr 65
All of the restrictions
presumably will be lifted af-
ter the maneuvers have ended.
However, in the future the So-
viets could seek to exploit
their successful, though tem-
porary, closures of the auto-
bahn as a precedent for further
limiting Allied ground access--
perhaps in the form of closing
the autobahn regularly for ma-
neuvers or requiring that West-
ern vehicles use the road a
specified hours of the day.
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The USSR probably is wind-
ing up its 1965 wheat purchases
from Western suppliers, but Com-
munist China and East European
countries are still negotiating
for this year's imports under
long-term agreements.
Soviet purchases this season
total 3.3 million tons, worth
about $200 million. They in-
clude 550,000 tons of wheat to
be delivered to Cuba and 250,-
000 to Eastern Europe. Soviet
imports for consumption at home
will reach 2.5 million tons--
about 25 percent of the extra-
ordinary 1964 imports. The most
recent deal, a one-million-ton
purchase from Argentina, is
likely to be signed shortly.
Negotiations on barter arrange-
ments to cover part of the cost
continue.
as de-Livery o
grain already purchased is sched-
uled through November this year,
only minor additional purchases
--such as the 100,000 tons now
under negotiation with France--
are likely.
SECRET
9 Apr 65 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY
Peiping, however, is ex-
pected to remain active in the
grain market throughout the
year. It has already purchased
almost 4 million tons of wheat
worth about $250 million. A
1,2-million deal with Canberra.
has just been signed, and fur-
ther talks covering
Australian
wheat are expected later this
year. Other negotiations are
under way with Argentina and
with Canada., which has already
sold China 800,000 tons. Chi-
nese imports in 1965 may well
match last year's record total
of about 6.5 million tons.
Grain imports by East
European countries for this
crop year approach 5 million
tons. Purchases from Canada
are exceeding the provisions
of long-term agreements nego-
tiated after the Soviet crop
failures in 1963. Some Soviet
grain still goes to Eastern
Europe, but additional purchases
are arranged from time to time
through West European brokers
to supplement imports from the
USSR and Canada..
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The Hungarian Army made
the first public display of its
surface-to-surface tactical mis-
siles on 4 April when four Scud
and six FROG (Free Rocket Over
Ground) missiles appeared in the
Liberation Day parade in Budapest.
The appearance of both these mis-
siles in Hungarian hands, along
with other modern equipment such
as T-55 medium tanks specially
equipped for night operations,
indicates that the Soviets are
upgrading Hungary's contribution
to Warsaw Pact military capabili-
ties. Hungary has been the weak-
est of the Warsaw Pact powers,
with none of its six line divi-
sions in a combat-ready status.
Scud and FROG tactical mis-
siles are used to provide modern
fire support for field-army op-
erations. The Scud-A missile
has a range of up to 80 nautical
miles with a nuclear warhead,
and up to 150 miles with a chemi-
cal or conventional high-explo-
sive warhead. It normally is
held at the field-army level
in the Soviet Army. The FROG,
w'iich appears in several models,
is used to support a division
and has a maximum range of 29
miles. So far only the FROG-
5, which is not considered capa-
ble'of carrying a nuclear war-
head, is held by the satellites.
The actual deployment of
these missiles so far has not
been uniform. The Poles, East
Germans, and Hungarians have
both Scuds and FROGs. Rumania
was the first satellite to dis-
play its Scuds (in August 1963)
but is not known to have FROGs.
FROGS which were brought into
Cuba in mid-1962 for Soviet
forces were turned over to Cuban
forces the following year. The
Cubans paraded these FROGs in
January 1964, earlier than they
appeared in any Eastern European
a:rmy, but have no Scuds. Czech-
oslovakia and Bulgaria have
not yet displayed either missile.
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SECRET
CHINA'S TRADE FAIR PROGRAM CONTINUES AT LIVELY PACE
Peiping is pushing commer-
cial contacts with the free
world by participating in trade
fairs and exhibitions abroad and
encouraging such shows in China.
It apparently hopes for a fur-
ther expansion in its trade with
the non-Communist world, which
last year jumped an estimated
25 percent to about $1.9 bil-
lion.
A special clothing and tex-
tile fair recently held in Shang-
hai was aimed at free world buy-
ers, and China has promised a
bigger and better spring fair at
Canton.
China was the largest for-
eign exhibitor at France's re-
cently opened Lyons Trade Fair,
and reportedly plans a large
exhibit at the Paris Interna-
tional Fair next month. Peiping
also continues presenting for-
midable exhibits at trade fairs
in underdeveloped countries,
such as the Casablanca fair,
where China had the largest
pavilion last year, and will
show its products at various
smaller exhibitions in Africa,
Asia, the Middle East, and
possibly in Latin America.
A growing number of Pei-
ping's free world suppliers are
a:Lso showing their goods in China
this year. Denmark was first,
with a small electronics ex-
hibition in Peiping last month.
Japan and several West European
countries reportedly plan fairs
there later this year. The
largest of these are the French
trade fair planned for August
and the Japanese exhibit, which
is scheduled for runs of three
weeks each in Peiping and Shang-
hai in late 1965. Last year
the British were the most ac-
tive exhibitors, holding three
fairs in China--a scientific
instruments show, a mining and
construction exhibition, and a
large-scale trade fair.
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*IIIwi` 11140
Delegation headed by Premier Chou En-lei
Delegation headed by Foreign Minister Chon Yil
30 March,<
Algiers
Cairo-
T-I Apri j j
UAR
tE GYPTI
~(pfN E
Rangoon'
3 April,
Tours of Communist China's Chou En lai and Chen Yi
22 March
Kabul
AFGHANISTAN 25MaCCb
Raw pind\
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SECRET
The Communist World
CHINESE DIPLOMATIC OFFENSIVE IN SOUTH ASIA AND NORTH AFRICA
Communist China's Premier
Chou En-lai and Foreign Minis-
ter Chen Yi have just completed
separate trips covering six coun-
tries of North Africa and South
Asia aimed at strengthening the
Chinese position at the forth-
coming Afro-Asian Conference in
Algiers. They also used their
visits to stir up opposition to
US policies in Vietnam. These
appear to have been primarily
working trips with protocol func-
tions held to a minimum.
In Algeria, his first Af-
rican stop, Chou spent two days?
in talks with Ben Bella and other
key officials. Chou's interview
with the official press service
suggests that planning for "Ban-
dung II," scheduled to begin on
29 June, was a major topic. Pei-
ping probably hopes to turn that
meeting into a display of Afro-
Asian unity against US policies
in Southeast Asia. Chou told re-
porters that the second Afro-
Asian meeting will produce "more
concrete results" than its 1955,
predecessor in dealing "with the
struggle against imperialism,
colonialism, and neocolonialism."
The joint communique issued at
the end of Chou's visit condemned
the US, called for complete with-
drawal of American troops from
Vietnam, and asserted that the
problem there "can only be
solved by the Vietnamese people
themselves."
No communiques were issued
in Cairo, where Chou stopped for
24 hours, or in Pakistan. Ac-
cording to press reports, the
main topics discussed were par-
ticipation of the USSR and Ma-
laysia in the Afro-Asian meet-
ing--something Peiping is fight-
ing to block--and the "threat
to peace" created by US air
strikes against North Vietnam.
Chou spent less than a day in
Burma but was closeted with Ne
Win for two long unpublicized
sessions--the last of which de-
layed Chou's departure for three
hours.
Chen Yi signed border proto-
cols while in Afghanistan and
Pakistan. Chen's statements
and editorials from Peiping
stressed China's willingness to
negotiate with its neighbors--
in part an implicit attack on
Indian intransigence on the Sino-
Indian border question designed
to weaken New Delhi's position
at the coming conference.
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INDONESIAN COMMUNISTS CONTINUE TO EXPAND THEIR INFLUENCE
The agitation and propa-
ganda activity of the Communists
in Indonesia, and to a lesser ex-
tent of the anti-Communists,
which was so evident during Feb-
ruary and much of March, has tem-
porarily abated. In mid-i:Iarch
Sukarno banned further demonstra-
tions until after the 18-26 April
celebration of the tenth anni-
versary of the Bandung Afro-Asian
conference. For the most part,
his order is being observed.!
Java who had undertaken terror-
ism as well as peaceful agita-
tion, Sukarno has "restricted"
the activities of two branches
of a Moslem student organiza-
tion. Any major action against
anti-Communists, however, prob-
ably will be delayed until af-
ter the Bandung anniversary
celebration.
With the reduction of Coin-
munist agitation against Amer-
ican targets, the government
is under less pressure to take
anti-US action. The operations
of the three American-owned oil
companies apparently are pro-
ceeding normally despite the
government's nominal take-over
on 19 March and the subsequent
installation of Indonesian "cus-
tody-control" teams.
A minor cabinet reshuffle
on 31 March added another pro-
Communist to the cabinet while
downgrading Adam Malik, the
leader of the banned anti-Commu-
nist "Sukarnoist" movement.
Malik was shifted to a new and
meaningless cabinet post. Chaerul
Saleh, also involved in "Sukarno-
ism," remains third deputy prime
minister, coordinating minister
for development, and minister
for oil, but has lost some of
the functions which permitted
him to dispense patronage.
Apparently as a warning to
anti-Communist Moslem groups in
A resumption of all forms
of Communist pressures probably
can be expected in late April
and with it another intensifica-
tion of the government's anti-
American posture
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SECRET
The settlement between
Japan and South Korea, for which
draft agreements were initialed
on 3 April, still faces the
hurdle of ratification in each
country, and the issue is par-
ticularly controversial in South
Korea. The Pak government's
majority in the Korean National
Assembly should assure ratifica-
tion if party discipline is main-
tained. The opposition, how-
ever, has embarked on a nation-
wide campaign of rallies and
student agitation in an effort
to block the treaty. Students
have already rioted in two large
towns, and the opposition hopes
for major demonstrations around
19 April, the anniversary of
the 1960 revolution.
Such disturbances, like
past demonstrations which the
regime's opponents have developed
by arousing latent anti-Japanese
resentment, might become vehi-
cl.es for expressing frustration
with local economic and politi-
cal conditions. The opposition
probably hopes that they may
even mushroom into an attempt
to overthrow President Pak.
Pak has stated he will declare
martial law if necessary, and
can probably control the situa-
tion if the army backs him.
Rhodesian Prime Minister
Smith's call for a general elec-
tion on 7 May is another move
in his campaign to obtain Rho-
desia's independence from Brit-
ain while ensuring continued
white control. Smith's Rhodesia.
Front party now has a safe ma-
jority in parliament, but Smith
says he needs a. decisive in-
crease in order to strengthen
his hand in negotiations with
Britain and to revise the 1961
constitution in as yet unspeci-
fied respects. The front is
expected to win substantially
more than the two-thirds pa.rlia.-
mentary majority required for
constitutional amendments.
Smith dissolved parliament
last week
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CAMER:00 ll
DEMOCRATIC
REPUBLIC
OF THE
CONGO
International boundary
Province boundary
National capital
* Province capital
Areas outside
government control
( ABON,
Kege
Kikvtit
hikap
Banzyville
JJuba
ivrangarc -* ~~ Faradjb
Buta eP&xhs e ru
Aba
W. VA,
KAMPA~A,j
c, .
LAKE
!CT[)RIA
Shabun
a f uli nba r Kigoma Tabora
r?ayr Kongolo 1 }
iluabourg wanga ukv ` t\ T," NZANIA
Kabi?y Albertville
?Baudou4sVilla A
Kabongo ? ?
Man nno ? LAKP
i C3 Px"CS?AI~rV rx, \'A.