SUKARNO AND THE COMMUNISTS

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CIA-RDP79-00927A004600100002-1
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S
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12
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December 19, 2016
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2
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REPORT
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SUKARNO AND THE COMMUNISTS 23 October 1964 OCI No. 0354/64A Copy No. 5 7 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY -OFFICE O F CURRENT INTELLIGENCE e 2006/05/01 : CIA-RDP79-00927A004600100002-1 dcx:igram _i enddeclassification Approved For Release 2006/05/01: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04600100002-1 Approved F~ Release 2006/05/01: CIA-RDP79-0t7A004600100002-1 ;R,IAL CONTAINS INFORMATION AFFECT- NATIONAL DEFENSE OFTHE UNITED STATES THE MEANING OF THE ESPIONAGE LAWS, USC, SECTIONS 733 AND 794, THE TYANSMIS- EVELATI':::,N OF 'Y HICH IN ANY MAIiNER TO anent MUST NOT BE RELEASED TO F 7REIGN MENTS. If marked with specific dissemination in accordance with the provisions of LID i/77 ment must b hran?aied within the framework of ation so imsas ose Approved For Release 2006/05/01: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04600100002-1 Approved For Release 2006/05/01: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04600100002-1 -%001 1400 SECRET The relationship between Sukarno and the Indo- nesian Communist Party (PKI) has been one of mutual exploitation. Sukarno has used the party to help him preserve his own power, and the party has used Sukarno to increase its strength. In the process, the once considerable gap in power and apparent policy objectives between them has greatly dimin- ished. The party continues to acknowledge Sukarno as the nation's supreme leader, and, under its chairman, D. N. Aidit, is following a policy of in- filtrating the national government and consolidat- ing the party's mass following. Sukarno, seeking to maintain his own pre- eminent position, to preserve national unity, and to advance Indonesia internationally at the ex- pense of the West, finds it totally inexpedient to challenge the PKI. His tactics, combined with Com- munist single-mindedness, seem likely ultimately to bring Indonesia under Communist control. The Indonesian Communist Party has grown from a member- ship of 12,000 in 1951 to a claimed strength in 1964 of three million members. It is the largest Communist party out- side the Communist countries and is the most powerful and efficient political organiza- tion in Indonesia. The PKI's rapid growth has been made pos- sible by Sukarno's original toleration and later encourage- ment of its activity in return for its strong support of him and his authoritarian "guided democracy"; by its successful identification with Sukarno par- ticularly in eastern and central Java; and by its own good or- ganization, resourcefulness and hard work. Through the years, Sukarno has remained the focal point of Indonesia; as he moves he takes the national political structure with him. Since independence was achieved in 1949, he has con- sistently shifted to the left. In the last two years, this move- ment has accelerated. Sukarno's attitude toward the PKI springs not only from his own emotional bias toward Marxism but also from his need for a strong mass organization to ensure popular acceptance of his policies. He seems to have repeatedly encouraged non-Com- munist leftist-nationalist groups or individuals to organtze pro-- Sukarno mass movements, but these elements have lacked the drive, the talent, and often the resources to follow up the lead offered SECRET Approved For Release 2006/05/01: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04600100002-1 Approved SECRET them by the president. At the same time, Sukarno has largely suppressed political opposition to himself. Because this op- position was invariably anti-Com- munist as well as anti-Sukarno, its suppression and the failure of non-Communist groups to come forward has had the effect of leaving the field to the Commu- nists. The army is the only or- ganization that retains a capa- bility and an inclination to ob- struct the Communists. During the past two years, however, Sukarno has brought the army much more closely under his executive control. Army lead- ers, moreover, are loyal and normally can be expected to fol- low his directives. Local com- manders occasionally offer tem- porary obstruction to the PKI, but the national trend favors the Communists. Party Strength In addition to the party's own membership, the PKI's prin- cipal front groups and their claimed membership are the Peas- ant Front (BTI)--eight and a half million; the Central Labor Organization (SOBSI)--three and a half million; People's Youth (Pemuda Rakjat)--two million; Women's Front (GERWANI)--almost two million; and a cultural or- ganization (LEKRA)--half a mil- lion. Even with overlapping membership and exaggerated figures the party could prob- ably muster from 10 to 12 mil- lion persons susceptible to Com- munist direction. In 1963, the PKI set up a four-year plan which established the party mem- bership goal for 1967 at six million and mass membership at 20 million. Last July the party en- larged its central committee from 35 to 50 members, appar- ently to cope with increased PKI membership and activity. The PKI is organized and grow- ing in each of Indonesia's twenty- five provinces. Its greatest strength, however, in terms both of numbers and effective organi- zation, lies in eastern and cen- tral Java--areas of Indonesia's densest population--and in north- ern Sumatra. Party Difficulties Qualifications for party and party front membership ap- parently are relatively low, and this partially accounts for the large membership of the PKI and its front organizations. In a speech to the party confer- ence last July, chairman Aidit cautioned that "a military unit which has a big number of sol- diers but is not disciplined enough will certainly not be able to defeat the enemy." He called for "iron-hard discipline" and loyalty within all party units. SECRET Approved For Release 2006/05/01: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04600100002-1 Approved For Release 2006/05/01: CIA-RDP79-00927A004600100002-1 '1 IMPY SECRET He frankly described the party's internal disagreements as a "struggle without princi- pLe," which if allowed to drag on, would only hamper party work and might develop into a "more critical issue" involving principles. He said it was dif- ficult to decide among the fa.c- t.ions because the comrades in- volved were known to be loyal to the party and the revolution. Settlement must be through "com- promise, consultation and a.gree- ment.... Each one has to give and take." The disagreement apparently centers chiefly on the pace of party activity. Aidit seems to take a, cautious approach, believing that the PKI must con- solidate its membership and its political gains, strengthen its peasant base, and increase its influence within the government before taking large or rapid steps. He apparently is con- cerned that the party's large membership may lead some PKI officials to a. false sense of strength and induce them to take premature action. Other members of the politburo and the central committee, led by second deputy party chairman Njoto, believe that the party should use its already consider- able strength to press its own program, and that Aidit's cau- tion is a waste of time. The argument of this group seems to be that although the party must continue to support Sukarno, it can extract significant con- cessions from him and need not fear retaliation. Even if re- taliation should come, the argu- ment runs,the party should still be more aggressive than it is. The disagreement does not appear to have impaired party effectiveness, and both points of view are now represented among Communists who hold government posts. Aidit is the party's principal point of contact with Sukarno, but Njoto is probably more active within government circles. The militant faction which, logically, supports Pei- ping in the international Com- munist dispute, is reported to be larger than Aidit's -group. A modus vivendi seems to have been reached, under which Aidit tolerates the openly pro-Peiping activities in the party in the international Communist movement while Njoto gives Aidit the lead in domestic affairs because of his relationship with Sukarno. There seems little Likeli- hood of a split in the PKI under present circumstances. The strength of the militant faction, however, and the growing influ- ence of the party generally, make it likely that more mili- tant tactics will emerge in the near future. Since 1951, the PKI has concentrated on peaceful infil- tration and the formation of a united front. Its chief politi- cal demand is that it be given greater representation in the cabinet. This would facilitate what PKI officials refer to as "integration in the government." SECRET Approved For Release 2006/05/01: CIA-RDP79-00927A004600100002-1 Approved F Release 2006/05/01: CIA-RDP79-00A004600100002-1 SE CRE T The party's principal or- ganizational target is the peasantry, and the BTI is the party's largest and most active front organization. At least 70 percent of Indonesia's popu- lation of 103 million is en- gaged in subsistence agricul- ture. Peasant support of the Indonesian revolution against the Dutch was a key factor in its success. With this example and that of the Chinese Commu- nists before it, the PKI sees a sympathetic peasantry as a strategic requirement for the success of its own struggle, whether by peaceful or by force- ful means. Moreover, the peas- ant is regarded emotionally, by both Communists and non-Com- munists, as the symbol of In- donesia. The PKI's identifica- tion with the peasantry could thus psychologically deter the army from using force against the party. The PKI seems to recognize the possibility that--perhaps at Sukarno's death--it may have to resort to force either to defend itself or to make a bid for power. The party appar- ently does not feel that it is now ready for confrontation with the army, and it probably hopes to avoid it entirely through "government integra- tion." The PKI, although it no longer publicizes it, presumably also continues to try to infil- trate the armed forces. The party has considerable poten- tial for disruptive activity through its front organizations, but its paramilitary capabili- ties appear to be limited by lack of arms. As a means of acquiring military training and at least a minimum supply of arms, members of the peasant and youth fronts and of the large agricultural labor union have enlisted as village guards during periods of local security disturbances. They have also volunteered for military train- ing during the struggle for western New Guinea, and now in the anti- Malaysia campaign. The Communist labor federa- tion, SOBSI, has long been the largest labor organization in Indonesia. It is less active today, however, than it was ten years ago, because the PKI has almost abandoned activity among wage earners to concentrate on gaining peasantry allegiance. The PKI,to avoid conflict with Sukarno and the army, has made no significant effort, how- ever, to exploit Indonesia's ex- tensive economic problems, which include periodic food shortages. Instead, the party urges the people to increase production and to endure hardship in the interests of the anti-Malaysia campaign. Party Accomplishments; the Cabinet Since the cabinet reshuffle in late August, three of Indo- nesia's 79 cabinet ministers SE CRE T Approved For Release 2006/05/01: CIA-RDP79-00927A004600100002-1 Approved For Release 2006/05/01: CIA-RDP79-00927A004600100002-1 Nme SECRET are Communist Party members, and three others are pro-Communist. Of the three party members, two --Aidit and first deputy party chairman Lukman--are ministers in name only and exert little influence through the cabinet relationship-per se. However, the third Communist, Njoto, and one of the pro-Communists, Oei Tjoe Tat, are ministers attached to the Indonesian Government presidium. The presidium consists of the three vice prime ministers, meets almost daily,and is chiefly responsible for administering the government. The relation- ship of Njoto and Oei to the presidium appears to give the Communists access to the full scope of government policy and an opportunity to exert influ- ence on both formulation and implementation. The two men moreover, are said to be spe- cifically assigned to Suba.ndrio, who is first vice minister, min- ister of foreign affairs and foreign economic affairs, and-- in Sukarno's absence--acting president. Subandrio lacks any political following either in or out of the government. He has tried during the past 18 months to curry fa.vor with the PKI, and the presidium arrangement makes him directly accessible to possible Communist manipula- tion. Of the other two pro-Commu- nists--Justice Minister Astra- w.inata appears more insidious than Labor Minister Sutomo. Although the minister of justice in In- donesia is not involved in prosecution (this remains under the attorney general), he does control administration of the courts. Astra.winata took office in November 1963. It soon became clear that he hoped to reorient Indonesia.'s Western-based legal system and to make law and the courts subservient to political policy. Basing his approach on Sukarno's dictum that the revolu- tion is the true source of In- donesian law, Astrawina.ta says that judges must pronounce sen- tences according to the "demands of the people"; judges must know who are the friends and foes of the revolution before they can perform their tasks properly; and judges must be "cleansed" so that only those who do not deviate from the revolution oc- cupy positions in the judiciary. At a refresher training confer- ence for judges in mid-Septem- ber Sukarno seemed to give his personal sanction to Astrawinata.'s approach. Astra.winata has also pio- neered in the creation of "land reform" courts. Initially these courts were advocated by the Peasant Front as a. means of pro- ceeding against landlords and government officials considered to be thwarting the land reform laws. Sukarno approved the courts in mid-August. Astra.winata earlier had announced that they would be staffed by "revolution- ary peasants." In late Septem- ber the minister of agrarian affairs announced that the land reform courts would open shortly with farmers as "member-judges." SE CRE T Approved For Release 2006/05/01: CIA-RDP79-00927A004600100002-1 Approved F Release 2006/05/01: CIA-RDP79-0t7A004600100002-1 SECRET The PKI almost certainly will seek to use the courts to ad- vance its interest in the coun- tryside through intimidation. Labor Minister Sutomo's task may have been spelled out for him when Subandrio told the SOBSI conference in September that the government soon will "simplify" the pattern of Indo- nesian trade organization by dissolving the "spiritless" unions exploited by the imperial- ists. Sutomo has challenged one non-Communist labor federa- tion for membership in the ICFTU, and that federation is considering withdrawal from the international organization. At a recent labor meeting in Java, Sutomo reportedly encouraged unions to seize foreign enter- prises, cautioning, however, that the actions should not hurt production. National Front and-Local Government The National Front was in- troduced by Sukarno in 1960 in an effort to fuse all loyal po- litical elements into a single state party. It has become, in- stead, largely a tool of the Communist Party. The National Front is ad- ministered nationally by an executive council and is com- posed of subordinate councils at the provincial, subprovincial, and village levels. Eighty per- is reported to be Communist con- trolled and most of the provin- cial councils are under similar influence. At the national level, the front serves in an advisory capacity and as an agit- prop (agitation-propaganda) or- ganization. At the provincial level, the National Front has been in- tegrated into the government administration. Local adminis- tration, until recently, was based upon joint decisions of the Pantja Tunggal, a five-man body composed of the governor, the local army commander, the police chief, and representa- tives of the attorney general's office and of the National Front. Although a new system of provincial government was introduced in September, giv- ing most army territorial com- manders executive authority, the Communists are not likely to be contained to any signifi- cant degree. Njoto is one of several cabinet ministers ap- pointed to coordinate central and local affairs under the new system. The Communists are cam- paigning for the removal of non-Communist provincial and local officials and their re- placement by PKI members or persons who would be susceptible to Communist direction. In areas of PKI strength, there have been several instances of cent of the executive membership I conspicuous success. SECRET Approved For Release 2006/05/01: CIA-RDP79-00927A004600100002-1 Approved For Release 2006/05/01: CIA-RDP79-00927A004600100002-1 SE CRE T Activity Outside the Government Paralleling its support of the government since 1951, the PKI has engaged in probing tactics intended to advance its strategic position and to test government reaction. Instances of militancy have increased in number although not necessarily in intensity during the past year. In September 1963 a Communist-led mob gutted the British Embassy. In January 1964 groups a.ppa.rently led by Communists seized the offices of British interests in Java and Sumatra.; the government later took control of the prem- ises. Sukarno probably would have seized British interests eventually anyway, but the Com- munists evidently forced the pace of these takeovers. In May and June, the BTI conducted a. series of unilateral land seizures in ea.stern and cen- tral Java. The seizures were justified on the grounds that the land reform and crop shar- ing laws were being violated by corrupt landlords. In mid-June, acting president Leimena (Su- ka.rno and Subandrio were in Tokyo) denounced these "unilat- era.l actions," ordered regional administrators to prevent fur- ther occurrences,a.nd directed that complaints be referred to the local Pantja Tunggal for official settlement. In mid- August, however, President Su- ka.rno stated in his independence day speech that the "unilateral action" of farmers wa.s under- sta.nda.ble in view of the slow implementation of the land re- form laws and announced that land reform courts would be established to punish those who were thwarting implementation of the law. In mid-August a group, again apparently led by Commu- nists, seized the USIS library in Jogjakarta, central Java. Al- though Subandrio promised the library would be returned in a week, no action has yet been taken. Postoffice employees, controlled by a Communist union, are refusing to disseminate a USIS publication. Repeated demonstrations have occurred against both the UK and US consulates in Medan, northern Sumatra, and some violence has taken place. Communist-led unions have obstructed a land exchange agreement in northern Sumatra between the Goodyear Rubber Company and the govern- ment. Plantation personnel and installations of both Goodyear and US Rubber have been repeat- edly harassed by demonstrations, threats, and minor incidents. A concentrated effort is under way to force Peace Corps person- nel to leave northern Sumatra. Since the institution of the new regional administrative system, the protection of US in- terests, both government and private, has improved s'_ightly. The principal area of anti- American expression is currently in northern Sumatra. SE CRE T Approved For Release 2006/05/01: CIA-RDP79-00927A004600100002-1 Approved F,jRelease 2006/05/01: CIA-RDP79-00, SECRET Sukarno's 17 August Speech Sukarno's independence day speech on 17 August confirmed his accelerated swing to the left during the previous 18 months and charted a course close to the immediate objec- tives of the Communist Party. He left no doubt that intensi- fied anti-Americanism would con- tinue and that his long-range intent was to get the US and Britain out of Southeast Asia. On domestic policy, he em- phasized that the "retooling of reactionaries would be carried on at all levels without letup. He reiterated his long-standing concept of NASAKOM--the fusion of nationalist, religious, and Communist elements in Indonesian society and government--and said that whoever opposes NASAKOM op- poses the Indonesian revolution. Sukarno endorsed the Communist concept of two stages of revo- lution, noting that the present bourgeois democratic stage would be succeeded in due course by a socialist stage. The PKI immediately identi- fied itself with Sukarno's speech and prepared to exploit it in furthering its own program. Aidit issued a special statement on 18 August welcoming the speech as "fully in line" with the struggle of the Indonesian and Southeast Asian peoples "at pres- ent." He instructed PKI provin- cial officials and party members to study the speech so that it may be used to "guide the In- donesian people in their activi- ties." Sukarno's 17 August speech promised a cabinet reshuffle, and the tenor of the address seemed to promise a major change favorable to the Communists. Such a change reportedly was in prospect but at the eleventh hour the three army territorial commanders in Java reportedly appealed directly to Sukarno to retain Defense Minister General Nasution, long a target of the PKI. Sukarno agreed, and appar- ently decided to keep several other moderates who had been slated for removal. It was this reshuffle on 27 August that brought Njoto and Sutomo into the cabinet. General Nasution, although re- tained, has a considerably re- duced role and is largely by- passed in terms of significant administrative and policymaking channels. Rumors are circulating that the August reshuffle did not go far enough, and that Sukarno will make further changes when he re- turns home from his current tour. SE CRE T Approved For Release 2006/05/01: CIA-RDP79-00927A004600100002-1 Approved For Release 2006/05/01: CIA-RDP79-00927A004600100002-1 Outlook SECRET Sukarno's major foreign policy goal is to rid Southeast Asia of Western influence. His domestic predilection is toward leftist totalitarianism. He sees the Communist Party as the country's only ef- ficient and dynamic organiza- tion which not only gives him its own support but can organize and deliver mass support as well. Sukarno can set out broad policy lines, but he needs a source of ideas to attack specific problems. Many Com- munist ideas apparently have become acceptable to him. He has curbed army power ---which once served to balance and contain Communist strength --presumably because he be- lieved the army, if permitted to keep a significant politi- cal influence, would restrict his own role and his policies. Moreover, he foresaw that army obstruction of the Communists could lead to a polarization of forces in Indonesia which could disrupt national unity. SE CRE T Looking abroad, Sukarno sees the Communist countries not only as natural partners in anti-Westernism but appar- ently as the ultimate predomi- nant force in Southeast Asia. He has moved toward Peiping, as Moscow has followed a policy of relaxation toward the West. Sukarno is 64 years old, but although suffering from a kidney complaint, remains re- markably active. If he lives a few more years, it is likely that he will eventually preside over a modified Communist re- gime. The PKI still need. Su- karno to protect it while it consolidates its gains, and it probably hopes he will sur- vive a few more years but no longer. Within that time, if present trends continue, PKI infiltration of national and local government and Communist organization of the peaantry will have become so effective that at Sukarno's death the party can make a bid for power with good chances of success. (SE- CRET) Approved For Release 2006/05/01: CIA-RDP79-00927A004600100002-1 Approved F Release 20 ~1 eii RDP79-00 7AO04600100002-1 L' (.rK SECRET Approved For Release 2006/05/01: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04600100002-1