THE WEEK IN BRIEF

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79-00927A003800030002-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: December 21, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 8, 2008
• Sequence Number: 2
• Publication Date: October 5, 1962
• Content Type: BRIEF

Approved For Release 2008/07/08: CIA-RDP79-00927AO03800030002-8
SECRET'
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY
5 October 1962
T H E W E E K I N B R I E F
(Information as of 1200 EDT 4 Oct)
SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY DEVELOPMENTS . . . . . . . . . . . . Page 1
25X1
Moscow continued its relatively moderate treatment OK
of the German problem during the past week. Authoritative
Communist bloc media asserted the USSR's desire to settle
the problem through negotiations with the Allied powers.
Soviet propaganda also reflected Moscow's sensitivity to
possible West German acquisition of a nuclear weapons
capability. On 1 October Khrushchev reiterated the USSR's
willingness to accept the neutralist memorandum as the
basis for a solution of the nuclear test-ban issue.
25X1
DEVELOPMENTS IN THE CUBAN SITUATION . . . . . . . . . . . Page 3
25X1
The number of identified Cuban surface-to-air and OK
coastal defense missile sites built by Soviet personnel is
increasing. Additional Soviet ships, probably carrying
military equipment, are en route to Cuba, and the im-
pending arrival of more Soviet passenger ships will bring
the estimated total of Soviet military specialists in
Cuba to a minimum of 5,000. Soviet propaganda has centere
on alleged US efforts to "pressure" Latin American states
into taking joint action against the Castro regime.
COMMUNIST CHINA CELEBRATES NATIONAL I)AY . . . . . . . . . Page 5
Peiping introduced a note of restrained optimism at
its 13th anniversary celebrations on 1 October by implying
that the economic decline of the past three years had
reached bottom. The lack of supporting evidence in the
form of recent output figures or future targets, however,
suggests that the regime is still extremely cautious over
its economic prospects. Commentary surrounding National
Day ceremonies reflected continuing concern over problems
of party discipline and mass support. Peiping also used
the occasion to affirm its opposition to Soviet policies. 25X1
NATIONALISM IN THE MONGOLIAN PARTY . . . . . . . . . . . . Page 7
The recent purge of D. Tomor-Ochir, top-level member
of the Mongolian Peoples Revolutionary Party, reflects the
regime's continuing efforts to suppress Mongol nationalism.
Tomor-Ochir was charged with striving to revise party de-
cisions denouncing nationalism and with attempting to arouse
"national passions." Premier Tsedenbal's complete subser-
vience to the Soviet Union has long irritated many Mongolians
who want a moreindenendent national identity within the
Communist bloc.
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WANING EUROPEAN SUPPORT FOR COA L-STFE]L COMMUNITY . . . . . Page 3
Ixngontrast to the success of the Common Market,
Coal-Steel ~C`oinm.unity (CSC)--the first of the three, bo ies
set up by the Co on,, arket countries in theip# ve toward
economic integration hads become increas alineffective.
The most recent symptom of the'?'Fina~,.ai ~ ~fecting the CSC
Yw
was the resignation on 25 Septe`bt Dirk Spierenburg,
vice president and most en .gt" is and a' A big member of
the CSC's nine-man ex rtive, the High Authority::: The High
Authority's diffi~' ies derive from the wavering support
of supranatiio -T ism by the member countries as well as the
uncertain -over the future of the CS'13 as a separate organ-
BONN'S ECONOMIC STABILIZATION PROGRAM . . . . . . . . . . Page 9
A special "stabilization program" to halt growing in-
flationary
trends is to be presented to the Bundestag when
it reconvenes on 9 October. The program, which is also
designed to strengthen Economics Minister Erhard's claim
to succeed Adenauer, has as its major feature an "absolute"
ceiling on the 1963 budget. The new budget calls for a re-
duction in some fields such as housing; and indicates a slow-
down in the defense buildup. Pressures to exceed the limi-
tations in some categories may prove coo strong and force
the government to make cuts in foreign aid.
FRANCE'S RELATIONS WITH THE UN . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Page-11
The 1962 French UN delegation can be expected to dis-
play r ?..ta ., it. than its recent - ti
ecessors, but it will stie rc thsc b # . aulle's
basic view that the United Nations hci ld be nom m re:. than
an international debating society .' France probably will
not comply with the advisory opinion of the International
Court of Justice r?garding extraordinary UN expenses, nor
will Par jsF-press its influence with the French-speaking
Afri n countries on issues where French interests are not
clearly at stake. (Secret No Foreign Dissem)
THE REVOLT IN YEMEN . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . Page 12
UK
Major hostilities between the revolutionary regime's
forces and tribal elements loyal to the monarchy are in-
creasingly likely. The regime is encountering resistance
in the northern province and in the area of the Aden border
The claimant to the Imamate, Prince Hassan, now is on the
Saudi-Yemeni border attempting to rally his Yemeni tribal
supporters for a counterrevolt. He has the backing of Saudi
Arabia and Jordan. The regime's leaders, many of whom have
long been associated with the Egyptian-backed Free Yemeni
Movement, are looking to Cairo for support and guidance and
apparently hope to reinstitute the Yemen-UAR federation.
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POLITICAL FACTIONS IN THE TURKISH MILITARY . . . . . . . . Page 14
"`TTUe Turkish military, concerned over parliamentary
bickering, is again considering intervening in politics.
Senior com Anders who prefer to exercise control through
civilian leadrs still comprise the most powerful army
faction. Thervare at least two other factions, led by
more junior offic'ers, which have more radical objectives.
The military groups ;agree, however, that the Justice
Party, the political heir of the former Menderes regime,
must be prevented from ``., Amin to power . 25X1
THE SITUATION IN LAOS . . .. . . . . . ... . . . . . Page 15
Gromyko has stated that the ,VSSR would ttse what in-
fluence it had" to ensure the withada.wal o' Communist troops.
Nevertheless there are continuing inca';catons that the North
Vietnamese intend to leave at least so relements in Laos
to bolster the Pathet Lao forces afte~'f 7 October dead-
line for withdrawal. The Pathet Lao, in a`m effort to force
the disbandment of Meo guerrilla forces in n thern and cen-
tral Laos, are pressing for the c 'sstion of US-chartered
air resupply flights. SouvannaThas persuaded North Vietnam
briefly to delay sending its ambassador to Vienti.itie. Mean-
while Laos apparently is r 45arina to exchange re re enta-
tives with East Germany. 25X1
THE SITUATION IN THE CONGO . . . . . . . . . . . . . Page 16
Virtually no~,~pTogress has been made on implementation
of the UN reconciliation plan. The joint commission dis-
cussions in Ekfsabethville have succeeded only in pointing
up wide diveencies between the two sides, and Adoula has . 1,4k
categorica:81y rejected Tshombd's request to discuss the con-
stitutio UN experts have drafted. Meanwhile, Adoula ap-
pearsto have successfully carried off his moves to reassert
Leo. dville's control over South Kasai and secessionist
le der Albert Kalon j i . 25X1
NEW ALGERIAN GOVERNMENT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Page 17
A substantial opposition to Ben Bella is developing OK
within the Algerian Constituent Assembly. This group, led
by Hussein Ait Ahmed, comprises various tribal elements.
It may cause increasing trouble when the government's legis-
lative program is presented for approval and the constitu-
tion drafted.
Page 18
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LEGALIST FACTION ASSERTS CONTROL IN ARGENTINA . . . . . . Page 19
The establishment of firm control over the government
by the Legalist military faction has lessened the possibil-
ity of an early renewal of the recent military power
struggle. The Legalists, however, are not themselves
agreed on policies to meet the country's problems. An
early challenge to their unity will arise in connection
with the issue of Peroriist participation in forthcoming
elections.
THE BRAZILIAN ELECTIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Page 20
At stake in the national elections on 7 October are
Q
11 governorships, two thirds of the Senate seats, and all
409 seats in the Chamber of Deputies, as well as a consid-
erable number of lesser state offices. The gubernatorial
contests are probably the most important. Governors in
Brazil have much independent authority, including that of
negotiating with bloc governments for economic aid. Pre-
liminary indications are that as many as seven governorships
could be won by anti-US candidates.
TRENDS IN TRINIDAD AND JAMAICA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Page 22
Political ferment has increased in both Jamaica and
Trinidad since they became independent of !3ritain in August.
Trinidad is renewing its long-standing controversies with
the US over the Chaguaramas base and economic aid. The
Jamaican Government--although strongly anti-Communist--is
cautious in its relations with Cuba because of the large
Jamaican community resident there, and because it fears
Cuban subversive activities.
?:
SOVIET ANTARCTIC ACTIVITIES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Page 5
The USSR's plans for its Eighth Antarctic Expedition, OK
1962-63, include extensive preparations for the International
Year of the Quiet Sun, a year of world-wide scientific
cooperation planned for 1964-65. In addition to annual
restaffing and resupply of Soviet Antarctic stations, a
former year-round scientific station will be reopened, a
new one established, and another permanent geophysical
observatory constructed. Studies in atmospheric physics
will be further emphasized. Polish scientists will return
to Antarctica after an absence of three years.
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ii,G C:KJi l
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY
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