CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY

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CIA-RDP79-00927A002900020001-9
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October 19, 1999
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Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 CONFIDENTIAL CURRENT 'INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY COPY NO. 66 OCI NO. 4443/60 8 September 1960 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE pNfIDENTIAL 4OCUMENTN0_ NO CHANGE IN CLASS (:! DECLASSIFIED C. _ASS. CHANGED T O: TS XT REVIEW DATE:j UTH: HR 70.2 25X1 AATE:- _REVIEWER. State Dept. review completed 4 3 MAY 100? Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 "r' THIS MATERIAL CONTAINS INFORMATION AFFECT- ING THE NATIONAL DEFENSE OF THE UNITED STATES WITHIN THE MEANING OF THE ESPIONAGE LAWS, TITLE 18, USC, SECTIONS 793 AND 794, THE TRANSMIS- SION OR REVELATION OF WHICH IN ANY MANNER TO AN UNAUTHORIZED PERSON IS PROHIBITED BY LAW. The Current Intelligence Weekly Summary has been prepared primarily for the internal use of the Central Intelligence Agency. It does not represent a complete coverage of all current situations. Comments and conclusions represent the immediate appraisal of the Office of Current Intelligence. Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 8 September 1960 OF IMMEDIATE INTEREST DEVELOPMENTS IN SOVIET FOREIGN RELATIONS . . . . . . . . . Page 1 Despite Khrushchev's decision to attend the UN General Assembly and his appeal in Finland to all heads of govern- ment to lead their delegations, it is doubtful that the Soviet premier seriously expects to have meetings with Western leaders at this time. He apparently intends to use the United Nations primarily as a forum for attacking American policy and enlisting support for Soviet posi- tions. Khrushchev, in his recent visit to Finland, gained President Kekkonen's endorsement of the USSR's stand on disarmament and the need for peaceful coexistence. In return, Moscow agreed to open negotiations for safeguard- ing Soviet trade interests "in case" Finland becomes associated with the European Free Trade Area. EAST GERMANY INTENSIFIES PRESSURE ON WEST BERLIN . . . Page 3 The Ulbricht regime--using the pretext of West German "revanchist" meetings in Berlin--demonstrated from 30 August to 4 September its ability to determine what West Germans would travel to the city by land and strongly asserted its claim to control of civilian access by air. This move was accompanied by further steps to tie East Berlin more closely to East Germany. One reason for the intensified pressure appears to be a desire to cut the flow of refugees, which is running far in excess of 1959 figures. . Page 6 Fidel Castro in effect withdrew his country from the inter-American system in a 2 September speech in which he reiterated his acceptance of Soviet support and an- nounced his intention to establish relations with Commu- nist China. Cuba's recognition of Peiping, the first by a western hemisphere nation, is a major diplomatic breakthrough for Communist China. Peiping's embassy in Havana will likely be used as a center for spreading Chinese influence elsewhere in Latin America. Meanwhile, the Castro regime continues to provoke other Latin American governments, and several are considering breaking diplomatic relations with Cuba, a step taken by Nicaragua and Guatemala earlier this year. LONFI DEN Ti THE WEEK IN BRIEF Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 1W -'"J.JVUflf *4W CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 PART I (continued) REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Page 8 The power struggle between President Kasavubu and Premier Lumumba remains unresolved, Premier Lumumba ap- parently retains the initiative and has police and army support, although the arrival of troops favorable to Kasavubu and the moderates has raised the threat of con- siderable violence in Leopoldville. Hammarskjold has asked the UN Security Council to reconvene in an effort to stop unilateral aid efforts from the outside and to give authority to disarm the Congolese troops. Meanwhile, the Lumumba government is continuing its efforts to sub- due secessionists in Kasai Province before attempting to gain control over Katanga. The USSR has given Lumumba strong propaganda support in the wake of Kasavubu?s attempted coup and has criti- cized UN authorities, portending new Soviet-supported moves by Lumumba aimed at modifying the role of the UN in the Congo. Soviet bloc countries have been increas- ing their direct aid to the Lumumba regime. The new government of Premier Souvanna Phouma is ,slowly beginning to function, but Interior Minister General Phoumi remains at his headquarters in Savannakhet. He has ignored repeated summons by Souvanna to join the cabinet in Vientiane on the grounds that Captain Kong Le is still in de facto control of the capital and that it is therefore unsafe for him to return. He also appears to be having second thoughts about the compromise he reached with Souvanna and may be planning some form of armed opposition to the Vientiane regime. The Communist Pathet Lao has responded to Souvanna?s appeal for im- mediate peace talks with a set of stiff preconditions for negotiations, including Phoumi's removal from the cabinet, indicating that the Pathet Lao representatives will be hard bargainers when and if they sit down at a conference table with Souvanna. CloNFiDENrIaL Page 10 THE WEEK IN BRIEF Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 -` JCt;tt11 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1860 NOTES AND COMMENTS DOMINICAN REPUBLIC . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Page 1 The Trujillo dictatorship is seeking to counter its growing diplomatic and economic isolation in the western hemisphere by increasing contacts in Western Europe and making new contacts with Near Eastern and Soviet bloc coun- 8 t on tries. However, the UN Security Council will mee September to consider Moscow's request that the council endorse the recent action by the Organization of American States against Trujillo. This move is an evident effort to embarrass the United States by again asserting the USSR's claim to have a legitimate interest in the affairs of the western hemisphere. THREATENED POLITICAL CRISIS IN VENEZUELA OVER POLICY TOWARD CUBA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Page 2 Venezuelan President Betancourt's coalition is facing a split over policy toward the Castro regime as a result of controversy about Venezuela's role at the San Jose meet- ing of OAS foreign ministers. Foreign Minister Arcaya's refusal to sign the final OAS resolution against extra- continental intervention in the hemisphere, although Betancourt subscribed to it unconditionally, emphasized the sharp division in Venezuela between pro- and anti- Castro elements and touched off a series of pro-Castro demonstrations. Arcaya resigned from the cabinet on 6 September, but his party is still a member of the government coalition. SINO-SOVIET RELATIONS . Page 3 . . . . . . . . . . Chinese Communist journals have continued to a irm their all-out campaign. The Soviet party has moved to protect itself against Chinese charges of "revisionism" by attacking a long Yugoslav critique of Chinese posi- tions, although the Soviet review leaves unrefuted the larger part of the Yugoslav case. The high-ranking Eastern European representation accompanying Khrushchev positions offensive to Moscow but have not resumed to the UN appears designed to demonstrate satellite party support for Moscow. Khrushchev has sent further letters to the nonbioc Communist parties seeking their support in a meeting scheduled for SECRET iii THE WEEK IN BRIEF Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 JC.4tCG 1 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 PART II (continued) DE GAULLE'S RECENT STATEMENTS . . . . . . . . . . . . Page 5 The line taken on the world situation by De Gaulle in his 5 September press conference and at the start of his speaking tour of Brittany probably indicates his feeling that this is a propitious time to press his bid for a greater leadership role in the Western alliance. His dismissal of the UN as a forum for serious discussion of international problems is probably anticipatory of ad- verse UN action on the Algerian problem. De Gaulle's remarks seem intended to encourage a resumption of cease- fire talks with the rebels. EUROPEAN CONFEDERATION PLAN . . . . . . s . . . . . , , . Page 5 De Gaulle's proposals for a European confederation, which he brought before the public in his 5 September press conference, continue to provoke misgivings among the Common Market countries, which would most likely be its constituent members. Many see the plan as a direct threat to the federalist-inclined Common Market and as a device for extending French influence in NATO. Never- theless,'these countries are not likely to risk offending De Gaulle by rejecting his plan out of hand, and they may hope in the next few months to extract concessions which would preserve the prospect of real political integration. MOROCCO PRESSES CLAIM TO MAURITANIA . . . . . o . . . Page 7 The Moroccan Government is seeking international sup- port for its claims to Mauritania, which becomes independ- ent'on 28 November. These claims seem certain to cause new difficulties in Morocco's relations with France. which MIDDLE EAST HIGHLIGHTS . . . , S . 9 . . . . . . . , . . . Page 8 Vitriolic propaganda exchanges between Jordan and,the UAR are continuing in the wake of the assassination of Jordanian Prime Minister Majalli. In Iran, the Shah is continuing to try to regain the prestige lost over the rigged parliamentary elections. Opposition elements, however, are exploiting the situation, which is develop- ing in their favor. New pressures against the policies of Western oil companies may result from a meeting of government oil officials from several Arab states, Iran, and Venezuela beginning on 10 September in Baghdad. SECRET iv THE WEEK IN BRIEF Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 PART II (continued) POLITICAL DETERIORATION IN BURMA . . . . . . . . . . . . . Page 9 Burmese Army leaders, increasingly dissatisfied with Prime Minister Nu, are urging General Ne Win to intervene with Nu for stronger leadership and administrative disci- pline. Ne Win probably opposes direct army action at this time, but ultimately may be unable to restrain his col- leagues. U Nu has little control over his party and may face a political revolt if he attempts to tighten administrative control to satisfy army demands. INDONESIA AND THE KAREL DOORMAN CONTROVERSY . . . . . . . Page 10 The return to West New Guinea of the Dutch aircraft carrier Karel Doorman, following cancellation of a visit to Yokohama, will undoubtedly be exploited by President Sukarno and the Indonesian Communist party to stimulate further anti-Dutch feeling and demands for the "libera- tion" of the area. Sukarno is also expected to use the issue in an effort to obscure a domestic crisis precipi- tated by the army's ban on Communist activities in several areas. SWEDEN'S PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . Page 11 Sweden's governing Social Democratic party is ex- pected to lose some voting strength in the parliamentary elections on 18 September, but it is uncertain whether these losses will be sufficient to cause Prime Minister Erlander to resign or drastically reshuffle his govern- ment, The campaign is being fought largely on social welfare and other domestic matters. The question of acquiring a nuclear weapons capability has not become an election issue in view of government plans to post- pone a decision on it until 1963. SOVIET AGRICULTURAL LEADERSHIP IN FLUX . . . . . . . . . . Page 12 Top-level party and government direction of Soviet agriculture remains in the state of flux apparent more than a year ago. The latest round of personnel changes, in part a result of last year's disappointing harvest, may also be symptomatic of indecisiveness ors contention within the Kremlin hierarchy over questions of agri- cultural organization. With Khrushchev set to embark on a new series of international junkets and no central committee meeting scheduled for the immediate future, decisions may be further postponed, but some action to give direction to Soviet agriculture seems likely before the next party congress late this year or early in 1961. SECRET v THE WEEK IN BRIEF Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 PART II (continued) PROPOSED CHANGES IN SOVIET ECONOMIC PLANNING . . . e , , , Page 13 Details of a proposal to create 14 economic coordina- tion and planning councils to cover most of the USSR were xpounded in a recent issue of the official journal of the Soviet State Planning Committee. These and other recent refinements in economic administration and planning are part of the regime's continuing efforts to obtain the benefits of both central control--for effective planning .and the promotion of nationwide objectives--and operational flexibility at'the local level to spur initiative and pro- mote efficiency, POLISH PEASANTS BLAMED FOR FIVE-YEAR PLAN FAILURE , o < , Page 15 Gomulka, in a speech on 4 September, laid on the Polish peasants responsibility for achieving only a 19- percent increase in agricultural production in the Five- Year Plan (1956-60) instead of the planned 25 percent, In an apparent effort to combat hoarding, he asserted that this year's grain crop, although damaged by drought and heavy rains, would nearly equal last year's record output, He also called for laws which would permit strong action against the many peasants who have not heeded his admonitions to join government-sponsored organizations--"agricultural circles"--for the purchase and cooperative use of machinery. PATTERNS AND PERSPECTIVES BRITAIN ADVANCES INDEPENDENCE SCHEDULE FOR COLONIES , . . Page 1 Britain is markedly hastening its pace in granting independence to its colonies and protectorates. Within a few years, according to present plans, the colonial empire will dwindle to a small number of territories with strategic bases and a'few scattered islands where nationalism has not yet developed. By readily conced- ing to nationalism and continuing to provide economic aid, London hopes to retain some defense facilities as well as considerable good will and trades The inclusion of numerous small states in the COMMOnWe2l may compel a modification in its structure. THE USSR'S USE OF EDUCATION AT HOME AND ABROAD Page 5 Close control of education has enabled the Soviet Union to train, in proportion to its total manpower, a SECRET vi THE WEEK IN BRIEF Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 ? SECRET 8 September 1960 PART III (continued) greater number of technicians and scientists than the United States, The Institute of International Relations, with a six-year course emphasizing language and speciali- zation on principal areas of the world, provides inten- sive training for service abroad. Education has been used increasingly as an important element in foreign policy, Scholarship offers, particularly to students of underdeveloped countries, have been generous, and acceptances have increased steadily, A University of People's Friendship for foreign students is to be opened in Moscow this year but probably will not entirely liminate the problem of students' disillusionment with a close view of Soviet life, PART IV OTHER INTELLIGENCE ISSUANCES Published during the week of 31 August - 6 September 1960 SECRET vii THE WEEK IN BRIEF Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 DEVELOPMENTS IN SOVIET FOREIGN RELATIONS Khrushchev has followed up the announcement of his UN ap- pearance with an effort to per- suade free-world leaders to at- tend the opening of the General Assembly. He has sent private letters to Nehru, Sukarno, and probably other neutralist lead- ers, urging them to attend. During his short visit to Finland, Khrushchev renewed his appeal for all the heads of government to lead their dele- gations. Prior to the announce- ment, Deputy Foreign Minister Kuznetsov on three separate oc- casions had requested Secretary General Hammarskjold to invite President Eisenhower, Prime Minister Macmillan, and Presi- dent de Gaulle, as well as Khru- shchev, to attend the meeting. Khrushchev's remarks in Finland and Soviet propaganda treatment of his UN trip sug- gest that he does not expect the Western powers to follow his suggestion and is pressing the proposal as a means of doc- umenting his claim that the Western leaders are indifferent to a solution of the disarma- ment problem. In his speech in Helsinki on 3 September he was apparently setting the stage for such a charge when he questioned, "Who can argue that of all the pressing prob- lems which require the attention of the heads of government," the disarmament question is not the most important and vital. Soviet propaganda has also developed the theme that the United States has been thrown into a state of "confusion and panic" at the thought that the heads of government would dis- cuss its "provocative" ;policy. This line of attack appears designed to ensure against attendance by the Western lead- ers. Khrushchev probably hopes that the attendance of a few Afro-Asian leaders will serve as a demonstration of support for Soviet charges against the United States. On the basis of his performance in Finland, Khrushchev can be expected to rely heavily on the U-2 incident in reviewing the international developments since his last UN appearance and in defending his actions in wrecking the summit and withdrawing from the disarmament talks. Moscow still intends to press for debate on both the U-2 and RB-47 incidents before the General Assembly, and Khru- shchev will probably attempt to convince neutral delegations that support for an indictment of the United States as a "menace to peace" is a neces- sary prerequisite'to an.improve- ment of the international cli- mate. As in his last visit to the UN, Khrushchev's main theme will be disarmament and peaceful coexistence. Soviet propaganda SECRET ppni+ T nF TMMFnTATF TWTDDx''e' unge 1 of 12 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 has hinted that Khrushchev will present a new or modified dis- armament plan to the General Assembly. The intense campaign against foreign bases may indi4: cate that Khrushchev will modify the first stage of the Soviet disarmament proposal so as to present a new package covering elimination of foreign bases and nuclear weapons delivery systems as a first step to be taken within some specific time limit. Khrushchev to Cuba Khrushchev will arrive by ship in New York on 19 Septem- ber, and he may visit Cuba after an appearance before the Gen- eral Assembly.. TASS broadcast a statement claiming that the Cuban people were eagerly await- ing Khrushchev's appearance, and the Havana radio cited UN diplomats as the source of ru- mors that Khrushchev would come to Havana after his visit to the General Assembly. Continued attacks against the United States would'almost certainly be a feature of such 'a trip. Soviet-Finnish Relations Although Khrushchev char- acterized Soviet-Finnish rela- tions as an outstanding example of the application of the prin- ciples of peaceful coexistence, he indicated during his visit that Finland should pursue a policy of more active neutral- ity. The joint communique is- sued at the completion of Khru- shchev's visit on 4 September shows that in return for nego- tiations which may clear the way for Finland's association with the European Free Trade Association, President Kekkonen endorsed Soviet proposals for complete disarmament and pledged Finland to strive for expanded trade and cultural contacts with the USSR. Both men expressed their "firm intention to do their ut-j most to keep the region of north- ern Europe outside the sphere of tension and friction between states." This would suggest that Kekkonen may have been enlisted in the Soviet effort to neu- tralize Scandinavia. The So- viet Union has long complained that the Finnish Government has followed too passive a foreign policy and had not sought to influence Norway and Denmark to leave NATO and adopt an offi- cial policy of neutrality. The Soviet Union will have a fur- ther opportunity to seek to identify Finland more closely with Soviet foreign policy ob- jectives during Kekkonen's visit to Moscow in November to nego- tiate trade arrangements prior to Finland's entry into EFTA. Germany Khrushchev also used his Finnish visit to continue his attacks on German militarism, which he warned was being under- estimated in Scandinavia. He quoted a memorandum of the West German armed forces opera- tional staff as an "ominous" confirmation of the threat of German militarism. This gen- eral line was reflected in So- viet notes to Bonn and London. The note to Bonn added the standard warnings that the USSR SECRET PART I OF IMMEDIATE INTEREST Page 2 of 12 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 %1W *4m* SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 would not remain indifferent if West German forces are sup- plied with nuclear weapons. It also contained a renewed threat to sign a separate peace treaty 25X1 with the East Germans and solve the Berlin problem "in the near future," EAST GERMANY INTENSIFIES PRESSURE ON WEST BERLIN The Ulbricht regime--using the pretext of West German "re- vanchist" meetings in the city-- demonstrated from 30 August to 4 September its ability to de- termine what West Germans would travel to West Berlin by land, and strongly reiterated its claim to control of civilian access by air. This move was accompanied by further steps to tie East Berlin more closely to East Germany. One important reason for the intensified pressure appears to be a desire to cut the flow of refugees, through the city, which for the month of August reached 18,000. Total flights to West Berlin and West Germany last month totaled more than 21,400--the highest monthly figure since the mass flights of August 1958. So far this year, more than 100,000 refugees have fled through West Berlin, and total flights to the West exceed 126,000 for the first eight months, compared with some 143,000 during all of 19 59 . In a television interview marking his return from a six- week vacation in the USSR, East German party boss Walter Ul- bricht asserted on 3 September that the Western powers have "liquidated" the four-power agreements relating to Berlin, that East Germany and "its capital, Berlin," are no longer subject to occupation, and that West Berlin "is and remains part of the territory of the German; Democratic-Republic, and is not and will not be a state of the Federal Republic." He added that the use of West German passports by West Ber- liners is "completely illegal." These assertions suggest that the regime may soon at- tempt to force West Berliners to use some different type of documentation in order to cross East Germany, and that in any event, further East German ef- forts to interfere with access to West Berlin can be expected, Earlier, Deputy Foreign Minister Otto Winzer challenged Western use of the three air corridors linking West Berlin with West Germany for any pur- pose other than supplying the Western garrisons in Berlin, Ulbricht questioned the validity of the four-power basic agree- ments of 1949 assuring free ac- cess to Berlin and protested use of the corridors "by Ameri- can aircraft" to transport West Germans who had been turned back at road and rail crossing points by East German border guards. East Germany made no effort last week, however, to interfere with traffic in the corridors. Ulbricht said conclusion of a peace treaty with Germany is "necessary and inevitable," but set no deadlines. The East Germans have not yet, however, attempted to interfere with Western military access to the city and have confined their harassment strictly to West German traffic, already under their exclusive control during past years. SECRET PART I ' T M M P f l T A T T i . ' TVrrV'PFCT D -. 3 of 12 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 East German Foreign Trade Minister Rau on 6 September reasserted the regime's "right" to impose controls and warned Bonn against attempting to take any steps, such as cutting off trade with East Germany, to retaliate against the intensi- fied restrictions on West German travel to Berlin. Moreover, he categorically rejected the West German contention that East - West Ger- man trade is contin gent on maintaining of West Berlin's free communications with the West. The Ulbricht re- gime appears to have taken two further steps to tie East Berlin more closely to East Germany. The East German Ministry of Interior decree barring West Germans from the city with- out residence permits appears to have been applied directly in the Soviet sector, without any inter- mediate legislation by East Berlin munic- ipal authorities. Moreover, West Ger- mans were subjected to the same type of controls as those imposed at the East West German border, although no effort was made to halt a crisis atmosphere in connec- tion with East German moves. While providing full propaganda support, Soviet commentaries seem designed to stress the provocative nature of West German policy and play down the restrictive meas- ures adopted by the East Germans. COMMUNICATION ROUTES BETWEEN Prenzlau E A S T Liebenwede ST IERLIN I R 11 A ?,-V ho Control Points for Allied! Traffic: A Soviet - A Allied Interzonal Border Crossing Points: Last A West visits by West Berliners to East Berlin. Soviet propaganda treat- ment of the Berlin situation and the lack of high-level com- ments suggest that Moscow has been concerned not to create Khrushchev's failure to comment on the situation during his public remarks in Finland also suggests that Moscow de- sired to allow the five-day travel prohibition to 'run its course without injecting itself into the dispute. Such a tactic SECRET WEST GERMANY AND BERLIN uecheq 9 Schwanheide PART I OF IMMEDIATE INTEREST Un,op 4 of 12 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 would serve to underscore the East German claims to sover- eignty over access to Berlin within the context of the So- viet - East German agreement reserving controls over Allied traffic to the USSR. East Germany is intensi- fying its efforts to undermine the links between West Berlin and Bonn and has charged that the 10 September visit of Vice Chancellor Erhard to confer with West Berlin's Mayor Willy Brandt is a "provocation." The East German press is also en- deavoring to capitalize on al- leged differences among the Western powers concerning West Berlin's relations with Bonn, in an effort to create dissen- sion and undercut effective ac- tion against East Germany. Some 17 barges en route to West Berlin from West Ger- many were forced by East German officials to return to the frontier crossing point at Schnackenburg on grounds that their draft exceeded the legal limit and were subjected to long delays. In contrast to past usage, the barges were not permitted, for legalistic reasons, to take an alternate route. It is not yet clear whether this arbitrary action forms part of the regime's har- assing measures against Berlin. West Berlin Mayor Brandt and other Berlin officials have taken a very serious view of East Germany's temporary inter- ference with free access, called for a high-level protest by the Western allies to the USSR, and stated that without firmness by the Western powers there will be future harassments of this type. Brandt further ex- pressed concern over the ef- fects of East German harassment on West Berlin's economy, par- ticularly in regard to the level of West German industrial orders and new investment in Berlin. Nevertheless, he and the Berlin city council recommended against any retaliatory measures, such as slowing down or halting interzonal trade, on the grounds that this would only aggravate the situation. The sole coun- termeasure was the provision of free air transportation into the city for nearly 700 out of a a thousand West Germans pre- vented by East German border guards from making the trip by land. West Berlin Deputy Mayor Amrehn on 6 September expressed fears that new harassments may be attempted on 10 September in connection with the West Berlin Industrial Fair and the visit of Erhard. Erhard is to dis- cuss possible economic reprisals with Brandt, who has threatened the East Germans with a "moral boycott" including economic measures if there is any further interruption of access to the city. Western Positions The British Foreign Office has explained to Bonn that the Times editorial critical of West SECRET PART I OF IMMEDIATE INTEREST Darr- 5 of 12 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 %NV SECRET 8 September 1960 Germany's Berlin policy--which has been liberally quoted by the East Germans--does not re- flect British policy. The Times article had concluded TE West Germany is spoiling a good case by overplaying its hand and warned that continuance of this practice would cause the opinion to spread among the Western allies that their ob- ligation to defend West Berlin was being exploited. A working-level Foreign Office official on 2 September was receptive to the idea of a study of countermeasures against East German interference with travel to Berlin, mentioning the possibility of selectively withholding the issuance of temporary travel documents. The French Embassy in Lon- don has proposed a high-level approach to Bonn urging it and Berlin authorities to hold full consultations with the three Western powers before taking any future decisions likely to lead to East German or Soviet reaction. The British Foreign Office believes that the French approach is a result of the strong East German response to refugee meetings in Berlin. London is cool to the idea but 25X1 is willing to allow the Western ambassadors in Bonn to discuss the matter. Fidel Castro in effect withdrew Cuba from the inter- American system in a 2 Septem- ber speech that featured the announcement of his intention to establish diplomatic rela- tions with Communist China and to accept Chinese Communist, as well as Soviet, military aid "if we are attacked." Cuba's recognition of the Peiping regime, the first by a western hemisphere nation, is a major diplomatic breakthrough for Communist China. Peiping has intensified its propaganda toward Latin America in recent years and has expressed special admiration for the Cuban revolu- tion, which it holds up as a model for other Latin American countries in their "struggle against American imperialism." hou 25X1 En-lai on 15 August pledge "every possible aid, with no strings attached" to "the Cuban people." Cuba, with a Chinese com- munity of about 30,000--the largest in Latin America--will be a particularly valuable base for the Chinese Communists in promoting their influence in Latin America. The Chinese Com- munists have for some time been using the Havana office of the New China News Agency as a prop- aganda outlet and will probably use their embassy facilities as a channel for covert guid- ance and financial assistance to Communist movements throughout Latin America. On 29 August, Cuba became the first nonbloc nation to SECRET PART I OF IMMEDIATE INTEREST Page 6 of 12 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 recognize North Korea, and an exchange of ambassadors is ex- pected soon. A Hungarian trade mission arrived in Cuba on 3 September, and trade and cul- tural agreements will probably be signed. At the 2 September rally of some 300,000 persons staged by the government to give the answer of "the Cuban people" to the OAS warning against accepting Sino-Soviet bloc support, Castro reiterated Cuba's acceptance of Soviet military aid in the "Declara- tion of Havana," a ten-point manifesto read to, and duti- fully approved by, the crowd. Castro said the manifesto, which also bitterly attacked the "open and criminal inter- vention which the US has ex- ercised over Latin America for 199 years," would be sub- mitted to "all revolutionary groups and men in America" for support. On 6 September, a Cuban spokesman said the regime had requested support for the dedlaration from labor, agrarian, student, women's, and profes- sional groups all over the world. In the same speech Castro denounced the US-Cuban mutual defense assistance treaty of 1952 and threatened to reply to new US "economic aggression" by nationalizing all remaining American-owned property. He repeated 'ear? lier i statemonts. ;that Cuba will never attack the US naval base at Guantanamo Bay, but added that if "aggression" against Cuba continues, a new "assembly of the Cuban people" will be called to demand that the United States withdraw from the base. Cuba's relations with most other Latin American nations have been further strained by its accusations of a "'shameful surrender" to US pressure at the San Jose foreign ministers' meeting and by the invective employed by Cuban Foreign Min- ister Roa toward them. Roa rejected Argentine and Brazil- ian protests in sharp notes to the ambassadors on 5 September, This' has raised the possibility of an Argentine break in dip- lomatic relations with Cuba. Peruvian President Prado has agreed, under pressure from the military, to break. relations with Cuba at a propitious time. Venezuelan President Betancourt has become increasingly hostile toward Castro, while Colombia,in- censed by a recent outburst by the Cuban ambassador,is expected at least to declare the ambassa- dor persona non grata. Nicaragua and Guatemala broke diplomatic relations with the Castro regime earlier this year. Cuba's poor relations with other hemisphere governments are accompanied by frank appeals for support from the Latin American people over the heads of their governments. While Cuban leaders publicly deny charges that they are trying to export their revolu- tion, they publicly welcome all Latin Americans who want to come "to drink at the pure clear spring" of revolution in Cuba, and Roa claims that he was speak- ing for "the peoples of Latin America" at the San Jose meeting. SECRET PART I n V TMUFnr A'V rumVD'cm 7 of 12 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 Meanwhile, there is con- tinuing evidence of increasing antigovernment guerrilla ac- tivity in the mountains of cen- tral Cuba. Embassy sources reported on 2 September that at least one shipment of arms and ammunition had been sent to the guerrillas during the previous week. More recruits are reported to be joining the guerrillas, and new "fronts" may be opened elsewhere in the country. The power struggle between President Kasavubu and Premier Lumumba remains unresolved and the situation continues fluid. Lumumba, who has maintained his popular support and influence over the police and most army units, retains the initiative. Kasavubu at present appears to have been rebuffed in his bid to oust Lumumba, and several of his closest supporters are in the protective custody of the UN Command in the Congo. How- ever, the President may be gain- ing significant military support. On 5 September, Kasavubu an- nounced the removal of Lumumba from office after the.Presi- dent's political organization-- the Abako--had put increasing pressure on him to use his con- stitutional powers to get rid of Lumumba. Several other po- litical groups, generally rep- resentative of regional inter- ests opposed to Lumumba's strong central government, joined in this pressure. However, UN troops guarding the radio sta- tion failed to prevent Lumumba from broadcasting several ap- peals for popular support during which he announced Kasavubu?s ouster from the presidency. The UN took over control of Leopoldville's radio station and two airports to prevent the-out- break of disorders. Officially, the UN Command was pursuing a policy of neutrality between rival factions, but to many ob- servers its actions appeared to favor Kasavubu. Lumumba quickly summoned the cabinet and received its support. The cabinet accused Kasavubu of treason for trying to dismiss the premier and took over his functions until the National Assembly could discuss the situ- ation. At the meeting of the Chamber of Deputies--the Senate refused to meet--on 7 September, Lumumba was in control after making a fiery attack on the UN for preventing an armed attack on Katanga. The chamber's reso- lution decreed that the dis- missals of Lumumba and Kasavubu were invalid, and Lumumba re- mained in the political saddle. Lumumba's control over the Leopoldville police was indi- cated by their attack on a pro- Kasavubu demonstration on 6 September during which several of the mob were killed by gun- fire. His control over the Con- golese National Army---the former Force Publique--is less clear- cut. On 6 September partisans of moderate Jean Bolikango--the Bangala tribal leader from the northwest region of the Congo-- among some troops brought in by Lumumba from Thysville liberated him from jail. Lumumba had arrested him on 1 September for allegedly plotting against the government. These troops may strengthen the military position of Kasavubu, who is in alliance SECRET PART I OF IMMEDIATE INTEREST Page 8 of 12 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 with Bolikango, Ka lonji of the Kasai, and Tshombd of Katan- ga. Support of the Bangalese is vital to the President because, along with Kasavubu's Bakongo people, they dominate the popu- lation of Leopoldville and have for years comprised about 40 percent of the former Force Publique. Many of Kasavu- bu's supporters with- in Lumumba's govern- ment have sought UN protection against the premier's retali- ation, Foreign Minis- ter Bomboko, tipped off by the Congolese chief of staff con- cerning his impending arrest, appealed to Stanleyville~_ I,REPUBLIC OF i _ , i V trio ceonad uJ! - ~. $ukavu ~RUAND Kindu -URUNDI t~,f - Brazzaville r- r o art Eras u1 Atlantic\ A N\G 0 L A Llcedn ,Lobito B SEPTEMBER 1960 -y- 20o UNCLASSIFIED 31341 the American ambassador for asylum and then joined Presi- dent Kasavubu, Senate President Ileo--Kasavubu's candidate for premier--and two other minis- ters at the President's home under UN protection. This re- liance on UN protection, particu- larly if followed by other Lu- mumba opponents, will provoke the premier to try drastic meas- ures; against UN operations in the Congo. On 8 September he demanded the withdrawal of all UN troops from the Congo. Soviet and East European propagandists have given strong support to Lumumba in the wake of the attempted coup. Radio Moscow on 7 September criti- cized UN authorities for "open interference" in the Congo's in- ternal affairs and for "hamper- ing the establishment of law and order," instead of support- ing the country's "lawful gov- ernment." Another Soviet com- mentary claims that the situa- tion would "undoubtedly right itself quite quickly" if the :Belgians, Americans, and other NATO elements would stop their "'evil maneuvers." Such criticisms raise the prospect that the USSR will en- courage and support new moves by the Lumumba regime aimed at modifying the role of the UN forces in the Congo. Previously, Soviet officials had suggested to Lumumba that he call for the creation of an observer group comprised of representatives of various African countries which would ensure compliance with the UN Security Council. reso- lutions, but did not press the proposal because of lack of sup- port from African and Asian governments. Hammarskjold has called for an early meeting of the Security Council in an effort to stop uni- lateral aid from the outside. He was presumably referring both to Soviet and Belgian actions. He also hopes to secure approval SECRET PART I OF IMMEDIATE INTEREST Pa.cr,t? 9 of 12 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 SECRET 8 September 1960 for the disarming of the Congo- lese troops. The Soviet bloc has been expanding the scope and size of its activities in direct support of the Lumumba regime. There now are well over 200 bloc per- sonnel in the Congo, including high-level economic delegations from the USSR and Czechoslovakia which reportedly are discussing the possibilities of economic aid with Congolese officials. As a result, agreements pro- viding for large-scale bloc eco- nomic and technical assistance to the Lumumba government may be announced shortly. Meanwhile, the central gov- ernment is continuing its efforts to regain control of secessionist areas in southeastern Congo. Savage but indecisive fighting is occurring between the Congolese Army and forces of the tribal "Mining State" of southeastern Kasai Province centered in the town of Bakwanga. Battles have taken place in several villages, and hundreds of persons--mostly Baluba tribesmen--have been killed. Ten Soviet IL-14 air- craft have airlifted Congolese troops to strengthen Lumumba's force in Kasai. Moscow is, how- ever, unlikely to allow these aircraft, which now bear Congo- lese markings but have retained The new government of Pre- mier Souvanna Phouma is slowly beginning to function, but the their Soviet crews, to become involved in actual fighting. Other Congolese troop move- ments indicate that the Lumumba government is planning to move against Katanga secessionists at an early date. Lumumba's forces are reportedly moving toward the northern Katanga border through Kivu Province, but an invasion attempt must await the outcome of the fighting in Kasai. In Katanga, the government of President Tshombe has had little success in broadening its international base of support. Tshombd's mission to Western Europe received no promises of aid, but nine tons of arms ar- rived in Elisabethville on 7 September by plane from Belgium. The Belgian commander of the Katanga Air Force hopes that by November he will be able to pur- chase six armed aircraft and five C47s suitable for para- troop operations. He also plans to add ten pilots to the present total of 15. Tshombd. der control of forces opposing Tshombe may be troubled by dissension among the tribes in northern Katanga. Missionaries who recently returned from the area report that there is wide- spread support for Lumumba, and 25X1 most of the urban centers are un- situation in Laos remains far from stabilized. General Phoumi, deputy premier and interior SECRET PART I OF IMMEDIATE INTEREST Page 10 of 12 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 ..0 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 PHONG SALY Dien Bien Phu. LUANG PRABANG 1 Luang Praban MALAYA APOR INDONESIA XIENG KHOUANG VIENTIANE JNANE_ NORTH VIETNAM .Hanoi minister, remains in Savanna- khet, claiming that with Cap- tain Kong Le still in de facto control of Vientiane, it would be unsafe for him to return to the capital. Phoumi also ap- pears to be having second thoughts about his agreement to participate in a coalition gov- ernment committed to neutralism and an accommodation with the Pathet Lao insurgents. Phoumi apparently has con- sidered opposing the Vientiane regime openly, either by reviv- ing his plans to retake Vien- ATTOPE tiane by military force or by establish- ing a separate state in southern Laos, a move for which there is historical prec- edent Phoumi r e- sponded On 7 September to Souvanna's repeated requests that he re- turn to Vientiane by writing the premier that while he was loyal to the new gov- ernment, he would pre- fer to function as interior minister at his headquarters in Savannakhet,, Souvanna insists that Phoumi would run no personal risk by coming to Vientiane, but, the premier is vague regarding the arrangements made to neutralize Kong Le. General Amkha has been sworn in as mili- tary commandant of Vientiane, but Kong Le's paratroopers are still in the area and would probably be more than a match for the assortment of service troops and half-trained infantrymen which General Ouane, the armed forces commander, claims he has armed as a counterbalance to the para- troopers. In any event, Kong Le seems to feel that he retains considerable influence. On 7 September he addressed an as- semblage of policemen, informing them that "we" have set a dead- line of 9 September for Phoumi's return, after which he would be considered a "rebel." The only individual who really seems to exercise much SECRET PART I OF IMMEDIATE INTEREST Page 11 of 12 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927A002900020001-9 wov, -.0 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 influence on Kong Le is Souvanna himself. There is the danger, however, that in his efforts to mollify Kong Le, Souvanna may move faster and farther than he otherwise might toward carrying out his promises to come to terms with the Pathet Lao and to bring Laos into a more neutral position in world affairs. In conversations with Am- bassador Brown in Vientiane, Souvanna gave every indication of planning to carry out these policy shifts even before his government is firmly established and Phoumi's cooperation is secured. He hinted that he is considering establishing diplo- matic relations with the USSR; however, Souvanna stated that he would attempt to limit ties with Peiping and Hanoi to an exchange of consuls. Souvanna's eagerness to be- gin talks with the Pathet Lao is evident in his several ap- peals to the insurgents to send delegates to Vientiane for talks and his instructions to provin- cial authorities to provide a "warm welcome" to any Pathet Lao representatives presenting them- selves to the respective pro- vincial centers. Souvanna has also announced that the charges which led to the arrest of Prince Souphannouvong and other leaders of the Pathet Lao's aboveground counterpart, the Neo Lao Hak Sat party, a year ago were being dropped on the ground there was insufficient evidence. The Pathet Lao has re- sponded to Souvanna's peace appeals with a set of stiff pre- conditions for formal negotia- tions. The terms, as broadcast over the clandestine Pathet Lao radio, include the immediate re- moval of the "Phoumi clique" from the government, a cessation of fighting, diplomatic recogni- tion by Laos of all countries having "different social and political systems," and the ac- ceptance of economic assistance from these countries. In a subsequent broadcast,, the Pathet Lao for the first time criticized Souvanna personally, attacking him for permitting "imperialist lackeys" to violate the 1957 integration agreements when he was premier in 1958, for including the "Phoumi rebel clique" in his new government, and for insisting that the Pathet Lao followers lay down their arms and surrender "as though they were criminals." These statements indicate that Pathet representatives will be hard bargainers when and if they sit down at the conference table with Souvanna. There are also indications that the Pathet Lao is stepping; up its guerrilla operations in Sam Neua Province, in Laos' re- raote frontier area bordering on North Vietnam. The Pathet Lao may wish to take advantage of the present Political confusion to strengthen its bargaining position through military ventures. It may still have hopes of getting the whole loaf rather than the half loaf in prospect if it settles with Souvanna's government. A re- surgence of guerrilla warfare, billed as a holy war against the "lackeys of American im- perialism"--the Phoumi group, might offer some hope to the Pathet Lao that Kong Le might 25X1 be inspired to overthrow Souvanna in a repetition of his 9 August coup. SECRET PART I OF IMMEDIATE INTEREST Pave 12 of 12 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927A002900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 .~ -400 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 NOTES AND COMMENTS DOMINICAN REPUBLIC The Dominican Government is seeking to counter the diplomatic and economic sanctions agreed to by the OAS foreign ministers' meeting. Brazil, Paraguay, and Haiti now are the only OAS mem- bers that still have not broken diplomatic ties with the Tru- jillo regime, and they are ex- pected to do so soon. Baez Diplomatic relations with the USSR lapsed in 1946, but the Dominican radio announced on 1 September that Major General 25X1 Arturo Espaillat might be ap- pointed ambassador to the USSR. Foreign Minister Herrera left on 2 September for a visit to Britain, France, and other Western European countries, to seek their support for a possi- ble Dominican appeal to the UN Security Council against the OAS action and possibly to work for the continuance of European shipping services to the Domini- can Republic. Venezuela has al- ready succeeded in cutting off oil shipments from the Dutch West Indies by threatening to withhold Venezuelan oil from re- fineries on Curacao and Aruba. Trujillo has also made overtures to the Soviet bloc. There is no indication that bloc officials have been receptive to these Dominican overtures. The UN Security Council will meet on 8 September to consider Moscow's request that the council endorse the recent OAS action against the Trujillo regime. Moscow evi- dently is trying to embarrass the United States by again as- serting the USSR's claim to SECRET PART I l NOTES ANn rnMMFMmq ~?~--- 1 of 15 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 400, wr SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 have a legitimate interest in the affairs of the western hemisphere. The Soviet move also seems designed to dissociate the USSR from Trujillo's efforts to flirt with the Communist bloc in or- der to irritate the US. The move could in addition provide a precedent for raising UN ob- jections to any future OAS punitive action--as,for example, against Cuba--since in his re- quest the Soviet delegate cited Article 53 of the UN Charter, which provides that "no enforce- ment action shall be taken...by. regional agencies without the authorization of the Security Council." Meanwhile the US Consulate fears Trujillo may discover and kill the moderate and pro-US leaders of a coalition of dissi- dents that includes students on the left and high-ranking offi- cers of the armed forces on the right. Trujillo may 'take over 25X1 the presidency from his puppet, Joaquin Balaguer, at any time. THREATENED POLITICAL CRISIS IN VENEZUELA OVER POLICY TOWARD CUBA Venezuelan President Betan- court's coalition is facing a split over policy toward the Castro regime--long an explosive political issue and a source of unrest in Venezuela--as an aftermath of the San Jose meet- ing of OAS foreign ministers. Foreign Minister Arcaya's re- fusal to sign the final OAS res- olution against extracontinen- tal intervention in the hemi- sphere, to which Betancourt sub- scribed unconditionally, clearly emphasized the sharp division in Venezuela between pro- and anti-Cuban elements, touched off a series of pro-Castro demon- strations, and resulted on 6 September in Arcaya's resigna- tion from the cabinet. The supporters of Cuba in Venezuela are rapidly becoming synonymous with the militant opposition to Betancourt. Arcaya's leftist, pro-Castro Democratic Republican Union (URD) party is still a member of the government coalition. Pro-Castro elements in Venezuela are probably stronger than in any other country in Latin America outside Cuba. In addition to the URD, they in- clude: the Venezuelan Communist party (PCV) ; the Revolutionary Leftist Movement (MIR), a re- cently organized Marxist party composed of defectors from Betancourt's own Democratic Action party (AD) ; probably a minority fraction of AD; and the Venezuelan Confederation of Workers (CTV), the principal Venezuelan labor organization, which is controlled by the AD but penetrated by Communists. The CTV recently signed a mutual assistance pact with its counter- part in Cuba. Betancourt, most government officials, the Catholic hier- archy, the armed forces, and the Christian Democratic COPEI party --a member of the coalition government--have become increas- ingly alienated by Castro or are actually hostile toward him. Venezuela, which has the largest US investment in any Latin American country--some three billion dollars--is a SECRET PART II NOTES AND COMMENTS Pave 2 of 15 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 VMW SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY '.SUMMARY 8 September 1960 logical target for Castro's anti-US program. Cuba has main- tained close liaison with the URD, Communist, MIR, and leftist labor leaders in Venezuela. Cuban aid has probably been given to otner oppu- sition leaders for propa- Banda and other support of the Castro regime. SINO-SOVIET RELATIONS noninevitability of war, play into the hands of the imperi- alists. On 1 September Pravda published a lengthy critique of a series of articles by the Yugoslav theoretician Edvard Kardelj which had appeared dur- ing August in the Yugoslav party paper Borba. Chinese Communist journals have continued to affirm posi- tions offensive to Moscow, al- though Peiping has not resumed its all-out polemic. Red Flag on 1 September, commentT oon Cuba, found occasion to reiterate Peiping's line on the immutable nature of imperialism. Peo le's Dail on 4 September print full text of a July article at- tacking "revisionism" in cul- tural affairs. The Soviet party has made another public move to protect itself against the Chinese charge that .it ...is "revisionist" and that its current policies, par- ticularly its championing of peaceful coexistence and the The article attempts to dissociate the Soviet party.from Kardelj's analysis of the cur- rent world situation and his criticism of the Chinese, and to establish the Soviet posi- tion as the centrist one be- tween "left-wing dogmatist" (Chinese) views and "right- wing revisionist" (Yugoslav) views. The USSR finds Kardelj's views unacceptable because they do not level the major attack on the imperialists as the most likely cause of war, because they do not "correctly assess the class nature of war," and because they admit that it would be possible for a socialist state to begin a war--in fact, accuse the Chinese of wishing to do just that. The Soviet Union would have considered these concepts heretical at any time, but it is particularly important at SECRET PART TT NOTES AND COMMENTS Page 3 of 15 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 SECRET party chiefs, rather than gov- ernmental figures, as is the normal practice. There is some question, however, as to the position of the Albanian party, as the party first secretary has not fully endorsed Khru,- shchev's program. CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SCARY 8 September 1960 this time for the Soviet party to differentiate its views from those of the Yugoslav "revision- ists" rapidly and authoritative- ly, and it has done so. That the party is aware of the force of Chinese arguments concerning Soviet "revisionism" on the more leftist elements of the international Communist movement was demonstrated in a section of the long Soviet statement distributed at Bucharest in June. In arguing that the Soviet party had always upheld the "purity of Marxism-- Leninism," the letter noted proudly that the USSR was the first to take "an uncompromising stand" against Yugoslavia in 1958 and again after the con- clusion of the fifth congress of the Yugoslav party in May 1960, Now it can again claim that it was the first to attack the latest manifestation of revisionism. At the same time, the Soviet comment on Kardelj leaves unrefuted the greater part of his charges against the Chinese. Khrushchev, as head of the USSR's delegation to the forth- coming UN General Assembly, can be expected while in New York to underscore his commit- ment to his own. version of "peaceful coexistence" and to high-level negotiations. The high level of the representation of the East European countries and the other Soviet republics which have membership in the UN appears designed to demon- strate satellite party support for the Soviet Union and to emphasize Communist China's isolation on these questions. The Ukrainian and Belorussian delegations and the delegations of all the East European members of the UN except Albania will be headed by their respective The Soviet party recently took another step to prepare for the November meeting of Communist parties--in Moscow-- which will try to resolve the Sino-Soviet dispute. Moscow sent another letter-- 25X1 the secon since early July-- to the other parties of the world in which it admitted "sharp and strong" differences with Peiping, reaffirmed all of the Soviet positions in the dis- pute, and called for an end to discord based on "sheer dogma- 25X1 tism. " As for other Communist parties, the Indian party, since 25X1 receiving the Soviet party let- ter, is reported to be lining up behind Khrushchev The North Vietnamese are still apparently hoping to avoid a firm commitment to either side. Since mid- August, neither North Korea nor 25X1 Mongolia has ventured statements which might be interpreted as choosing sides. SECRET PART II NOTES AND COMMENTS Pace 4 of 15 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 MW w SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 The line taken on the world situation by De Gaulle in his 5 September press conference--as well as at the start of his 7- 11 September speaking tour of Brittany--probably indicates his feeling that this is a pro- pitious time to press his bid for a greater leadership role in the Western alliance. His chief proposals--already fa- miliar through earlier sugges- tions made privately to US and British officials--were for a revision of NATO to organize the major Western powers for political cooperation in Africa and the Middle East. De Gaulle argued that an- archy and the implicit threat of Communist domination in the Congo might have been avoided, had:the-members of the Western bloc coordinated their policies on that area. He ruled out the UN as an instrument for accom- plishing this, charging that its unity is fictitious and many of its members "irresponsible." In his proposals for the European Economic Community as well as for NATO, De Gaulle main- tained that individual states are the only realistic basis for any multilateral organization. He particularly insisted that even in a military alliance, defense of each country's soil must have "a national character" to be effective. His reference to France's new status as a nuclear power implies that he regards all of these changes as likely to increase France's in- fluence in world affairs. On the Algerian question, De Gaulle adhered to the solu- tion he had proposed previously.. He declared that France would ignore any UN resolution on Algeria and presumably would ignore as well any move by the UN to accept the recent rebel invitation to supervise a ref- erendum in Algeria. He took a step to encourage resumption of truce talks with the FLN, however, with his assurance that when the rebels halt ter- rorism they can expect more favorable treatment at cease- fire talks. He also offered more explicit assurances that the rebels could ultimately be reintegrated into the Alge- i??ia,n community. De Gaulle insisted that the Algerian situation is moving ahead, that progress toward turning over governmental re- sponsibility to the Moslems is steady and irreversible, and he implied a belief that an "Al- gerian Algeria" with friendly ties to France would be the only logical outcome of eventual self-determination. French reaction to De Gaulle's statements has indi- cated disappointment that they did not contain any fundamentally new ideas. Most press comment has centered on the absence of a new formula :for ending the Algerian war--a subject on which editorial expectations continue unrealistically high. Public hopes for a policy clari- 25X1 fication now will probably focus on De Gaulle's visit to Algeria next month. President de Gaulle's pro- posals for a European confedera- tion, which he brought before the public in his 5 September press conference, continue to provoke general misgivings among the Common Market countries, which would most likely be its SECRET PART II NOTES AND COMMENTS Page 5 of 15 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 constituent members. Many see the plan as a direct threat to the federalist-inclined Common Market as the main instrument for achieving European unity, and beyond that as a device for extending French influence in NATO. Concern on both these points has been heightened by indica- tions that the new arrangement would be permanent and more for- mal than had been supposed. A new treaty would be required to establish the proposed council of heads of governments and min- isterial committees for politi- cal, cultural, and military af- fairs, and De Gaulle now has pub- licly stated he wants a European referendum to bring the.confed- eration into being. Although it is uncertain to what extent existing insti- tutions would be replaced, the Common Market would be made sub- ordinate to the new organization. The new defense committee would probably be concerned with joint weapons production and logistics problems, but it could drift into military planning--a func- tion heretofore largely reserved to NATO. The reservations this con- cept raises in all the Common Market capitals have been most forthrightly expressed in The Hague. Dutch Foreign Minister Luns--who saw De Gaulle on 31 August--has made it clear on several occasions that he feels the confederation approach, would detract from the trend toward real European integration and dilute the significance of NATO. He, like Adenauer, believes Com- mon Market President Hallstein has attempted to advance politi- cal integration too fast, but both Luns and Adenauer still hold that the supranational approach is essential to any workable European structure. Despite these reservations, there is a ,hesitancy to reject out of hand the confederation plan. Dutch officials, aware of the extent to which De Gaulle has not obstructed France's participation in the Common Market, have warned Luns against driving the French into "isola- tion." It is generally recog- nized that, with the Common Market developing so fast, there is growing need for similar progress in the political field. Those seeking such progress may hope that De Gaulle's proposals are open to compromises which could add up to a significant French commitment to political integration. These considerations, plus the special importance to Adenauer of the Bonn-Paris en- tente, are probably responsible for Bonn's ambivalent attitude. German officials have been vigorously reasserting Bonn's strong support of both the Com- mon Market and NATO and have taken pains to deny earlier re- ports of Adenauer's disenchant- ment with supranational insti- tutions> SECRET PART I T NOTES AND COMMENTS Page 6 of 15 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 "MOROCCO PRESSES CLAIM TO MAURITANIA The Moroccan Government is seeking support for its claims to Mauritania, the West African autonomous republic which be- comes independent within the French Community on 28 November. The issue is characterized by a Moroccan Foreign Ministry of- ficial as a "life and death is- suet" and seems certain to cause new difficulties in Morocco's relations with France. Al- though no mention is being made at this time of Spanish Sahara and the extreme western portion of the Paris-administered Sahara Desert-.-both of which lie be- tween Morocco and Mauritania-- Rabat also aspires to control these areas. Rabat claims that Mauritania has been a part of Morocco since the 16th century and that the Moroccan sultan collected taxes there until 1920, when France altered the administrative set- up. Morocco also charges that France refused to put the ques- tion before a mixed commission which was to be established in 1956 to define Morocco's south- ern boundary. The counselor of the French Embassy in Rabat characterizes Morocco's asser- SPAIN V GIBRALTAR Ceu~a-j_(ux.~ / Me..) Rabat MOROCCO .Tindouf tions as "fantasy" without legal or historical basis. Immediately after Morocco regained its independence in 1956, right-wing nationalist leader Allal el-Fassi began a largely one-man campaign to "reintegrate" Mauritania and the intervening areas. A year later, a group of 254 Mauritanian lead- ers and tribal chieftains pledged loyalty to King Mohamed V, and some of these leaders now occupy prominent positions with- in the Moroccan Government. The King publicly endorsed El-Fassi's territorial aspirations early in 1958, and during his tour of the Middle East early this year obtained commitments of support from all Arab governments. These commitments were honored when the Arab League last month en- dorsed Morocco's claims to Mauritania. Morocco plans to ask the forthcoming United Nations Gen- eral Assembly to refer the is- sue to the International Court of Justice and, in the meantime, to refrain from recognizing Mauritanian independence. Mo- roccan Crown Prince Moulay O STATUTE MILES 500 8 SEPTEMBER ;960 UNCLASSIFIED SECRET Hassan, who will ini- tially head Morocco's UN delegation, may again suggest--as he did in June--that a referendum in Mauri- tania would be an ac- ceptable solution. Nevertheless, territo- rial aggrandizement has become a popular issue with left-wing 25X1 as well as right-wing Moroccan nationalists. PART II NOTES AND COMMENTS Page 7 of 15 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 MIDDLE EAST HIGHLIGHTS Jordan-LIAR Tensions remain high be- tween Amman and Cairo in the wake of the assassination of Jordanian Prime Minister Majalli on 29 August. The Jordanian radio and newspapers continue to charge LIAR complicity in the crime, and crowds of demonstra- tors have milled about the streets of Amman shouting "Death to Nasir." The UAR Government has in- dicated that it has no intention of complying with Jordan's re- quest for extradition of the two Jordanian nations who slipped across the border into Syria after allegedly setting the time bombs in the prime min- ister's offices. Radio Cairo has suggested that King Husayn's greatest service to his country would be to resign. Husayn is concerned about the possibility of an attempt on his life and has threatened ex- treme measures against any further LIAR-sponsored or UAR- inspired subversive action against Jordan. In response, a Cairo newspaper headlined "His Majesty Mickey Mouse Threatens Us With War." Israel's reaction to the assassination of Majalli has been one of concern over the possible fate of Jordan, which shares a 330-mile border with Israel. Israel has long pre- ferred Husayn's relatively weak and less hostile regime to the possibility of a Nasir-controlled or -influenced government in Jordan. Israeli armed forces maintained a careful watch following the assassination. Later, when it was apparent that the Jordanian Government was still in firm control of the situation, Israeli Foreign Min- ister Meir expressed admiration for the King. The regime in Iran continues attempting to regain public confidence after admitting that last month's elections were rigged and canceling those not yet held. The new premier, Sharif Emami, has selected his "nonpolitical" cabinet, which contains nine new members and six holdovers from the Eqbal cabinet. On 3 September, the Shah convened the committee which is to amend the electoral law in preparation for new elections at some undesignated future time. The Shah has still not solved the problem of how to obtain an obedient; parlia- ment while giving the appearance of holding free elections. He may well believe that if he fails a second time, he may have no further opportunities. The nationalists, suppressed since the downfall of Premier Mossadeq in 1953, and other po- litical opportunists see the situation as more open to ex- ploitation than any in the past several years and are becoming increasingly active. The secu- rity forces, while still capable of strong action, have been cau- tious in handling initial public demonstrations promoted by the opposition. Middle East Oil Conference Sheik Abdullah al-Tariki, Saudi Arabian oil boss, and Antonio Araujo, Venezuelan am- bassador to Cairo, Baghdad, and Jidda, have set up a high-level meeting in Baghdad on 10 Septem- ber aimed at adopting a "unified attitude" against the oil com- panies for reducing prices "unilaterally and without con- sultations." Iraq's Oil Ministry has invited representatives of Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, Iran, and Venezuela. These countries produce about 8,000,000 barrels SECRET PART II NOTES AND r rvv,- Nq,S Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 a day--almost half of the free world's crude oil production- and account for most of the crude oil"moving in international trade. The UAR, which recently broke relations with Iran, ap- parently has not been invited. This o istion,and the choice of Baghdad rather than Cairo for the' conference site, may. be de- signed to ensure Iranian at- tendance, The meeting was probably sparked by the Ruler of Kuwait, who asked Tariki, following the early August price cuts, to call are emergency,pro- test meeting of Arab states, Venezuela will be represent- ed by Juan Perez Alfonzo, Vene- zuelan minister of mines and hydrocarbons. He and Tariki' have long advocated a scheme of government-controlled world-wide sharing of markets and price maintenance, but until. the re- cant puts they were unable to wain any important support from other Persian Gulf countries, It is not at all certain that Tariki's scheme'has the sanction of the Saudi Government, nor is it clear that Perez would be able to convince Venezuelan President Betancourt to commit his government. Despite the surface im- pression of Arab-Venezuelan- Iranian unity of interest in the pricing question, there are deep economic and political divergencies which would tend to prevent a world-wide scheme from operating successfully. POLITICAL.DETERIORATION IN BURMA Burma appears headed for a period of increased political tension and a possible showdown between the army and Prime Minis- tat Nu. Army leaders, who opposed Nu's return to office last April, are increasingly dissatisfied with the government's adminis- :trat the : stagnation and Nu' s conciliation, of leftist opposi- tion groups. They are plan- ning to urge General Na Win to intervene with Nu to obtain'more forceful leadership and adminis- trative discipline. They re- sent the, speed with which Nu has countermanded many of the reforms made during the general's 18- month military regime and fear that the ruling Union party may attempt to undermine army in- fluence and solidarity by creat- ing party units within the army or by developing the police as a counterforcem If the situation fails to improve, Ne Win's lieu- tenants may attempt, without Ne Win, to oust the government, General Ne Win, who has just returned from three months abroad, is also concerned about the government's deterioration since he left the premiership and undoubtedly will warn Nu of the army's' dissatisfaction with the government's indecision and drift. However, No Win is likely to oppose any direct army action at this time, both because of his personal distaste for polit- ical office and because of the discontent, and possible civil strife; which would probably follow a second military take- over. The February elections illustrated both'the army's unpopularity and Nu's widespread support. Ne Win may not be able to restrain his colleagues indefi- nitely, however. His command of the army's loyalty is reported to have slipped since, he resigned s prime'. minister, and the army tends to blame him for his decision to reinstate Nu as prime minister. Prime Minister Nu may re- spond by attempting to tighten his administrative disciplines If he does, however, he faces SECRET Y T NOTES AND COMMENTS Page of 15 P T Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 the prospect of revolt within his party, which is a loose coalition of divergent factions. Despite his popular following, he has been unable to enforce discipline even on minor issues INDONESIA AND THE KAREL DOORMAN CONTROVERSY Tokyo's decision on 3 Sep- tember to cancel the good-will visit of the Dutch aircraft carrier Karel Doorman to Yoko- hama, as the result of Indo- nesian pressures, has provoked a bitter reaction in The Hague. Foreign Minister Luns is con- sidering withdrawing the Dutch ambassador from Tokyo but not breaking relations with Japan. Japan felt compelled to take action, in view of Indonesia's threat of commercial and diplo- matic retaliation if the visit took place. Tokyo was also in- fluenced by pressures from Jap- anese leftist groups and by warnings from the Japanese am- bassador in Djakarta that the Indonesian Communists would benefit from repercussions of the visit. The Karel Doorman, already en route to Japan when the visit was canceled, is returning to West New Guinea before departing on 17 September for Noumea, New Caledonia. Its return to New Guinea will be exploited by President Sukarno and the Indo- nesian Communist party to stim- ulate further anti-Dutch feeling and demands for the "liberation" of West New Guinea. Sukarno's rubber-stamp parliament has demanded the seizure of remain- ing Dutch interests in Indonesia and the possibility has again been raised of an incident be- tween the Indonesian Air Force and the Dutch naval units. If such should occur, however, it would probably be the result of a chance encounter rather than of deliberate provocation by either side. of party policy, Any efforts at effective leadership on his 25X1 part could result in his ouster through a parliamentary vote of Sukarno is particularly eager for a national unifying issue which he can use to obscure a domestic crisis precipitated by the army's ban on Communist activities in several areas. He has scheduled a meeting with national and regional civil and military officials for 12 Sep- tember in order to discuss these bans. Sukarno also plans. to at- tend, probably in early October, the UN General Assembly session opening on 20 September. He will deliver an address, report- edly on world tensions, with emphasis on colonialism. The subject of West New Guinea un- doubtedly will be stressed, although the Indonesian Govern- ment has not divulged whether it will use the occasion to press its claim to the area. The Dutch, on the other hand, have indicated they may advance a proposal out- side the General Assembly that they develop New Guinea under some form of UN supervision. First Minister Djuanda claims to have extracted a promise from the Indonesian Army that the ban on the Communists will not be extended to other areas before the 12 September meeting. Sukarno at that time will probably insist that Indonesia's international prestige requires united national support for him while he is at the UN and the cessation of any 25X1 divisive movement such as the army's anti-Communist campaign. SECRET PART II NOTES AND COMMENTS Page 10 of 15 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 VOW' SECRET *VAW CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 SWEDEN'S PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS Sweden's Social Democratic party, which has held power alone or in coalition for al- most three decades, is expected to lose some voting strength in the parliamentary elections on 18 September. Both the Social Democrats and the generally more conserva- tive opposition parties regard the present parliamentary situa- tion as unsatisfactory, in view of the almost equal division of strength between the two blocs. This situation gives the seven Communist deputies in the two chambers controlling power on key economic legislation--a fact embarrassing to the govern- ment, despite its refusal to solicit Communist support. The Communists, who have no more than a nuisance value in Sweden's political life, are expected to hold their own. Their decision to run candidates in all elec- tion districts is likely to fur- ther detract from Social Demo- cratic voting strength. In an election campaign marked by a lack of popular in- terest, the Social Democrats have sought to rally their sup- porters among labor, small farm- ers, and the white-collar work- ers by warning that today's ex- tensive social welfare benefits will be jeopardized if a non- Socialist government assumes power. The Conservative, Lib- eral, and Center parties are basing their appeal on public dissatisfaction with the ever- increasing cost of government and certain aspects of the social welfare program. Foreign policy has not been a serious issue in the cam- paign. All the democratic par- ties subscribe to Sweden's pol- icy of nonalignment. Social Democratic leaders have sought to portray spokesmen of the op- position parties, particularly Conservative party leader Hjalmarson, as not wholehearted- ly supporting this policy and favoring closer ties with the West. The resulting discussion, however, has served merely to underscore the broad measure of agreement among the parties on the basic points of Sweden's foreign policy. The question of acquiring a nuclear capability has until recently been sharply debated. All parties, however, now ac- cept the government's plan to defer until 1963 the decision as to whether to proceed with actual weapons research. The strength of the Social Democrats may decline somewhat UNCLASSIFIED SOCIAL DEMOCRATS COMMUNIST LIBERALS 38 231 SEATS CENTER PARTY (AGRARIANS) 32 CONSERVATIVES 45 in line with the general trend since World War II, but it is by no means certain that they will sustain the loss--'three or four seats--considered nec- essary to cause Erlander to end his 15-year premiership. The opposition parties are already speculating about the composi- tion of a successor government, but their disparity of views on domestic problems would create obstacles in seeking a basis for agreement. A Con- servative proposal that the postelection government com- prise all four democratic par- 25X1 ties has been turned down by the Social Democrats. SECRET PART II NOTES AND COMMENTS Dojo 11 of 15 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 A` `r SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY S_tJ)ARY 8 September 1960 SOVIET AGRICULTURAL LEADERSHIP IN FLUX Top-level party and gov- ernment direction of Soviet agriculture remains in the state of flux apparent more than a year ago. On 5 September Moscow announced the appointment of Tikhoh Yurkin as minister of grain products in the Russian Republic (RSFSR), a post which had been vacant since the trans- fer of the incumbent on 25 June. Yurkin, a long-time agricultural specialist, succeeds Fedor Kulakov, who was appointed party chief of Stavropol Kray. Kulakov was not officially removed from his agriculture., post until 4 August, however, and Yurkin was not named as his replacement until a month later--circumstances which appear symptomatic of some vacillation in the area of agricultural assignments. A number of other impor- tant agricultural posts have changed hands in recent months. Georgy Denisov, who headed the central committee's Department of Agriculture for the Union Republics, was switched to the lesser position of ambassador to Bulgaria on 21 May, while the holder of the equivalent post for the RSFSR, Georgy Vorobyev, was appointed party first secretary in Krasnodar Kray on 9 June. Although their replace- ments have not yet been identi- fied, the continued existence of the key centers of party control of agriculture--the central committee departments-- was indicated in the Soviet press on 9 July. It is possi- ble that one of the two posts has been filled by Stepan Kaichenko, who was transferred on 15 June from his assignment as RSFSR minister of agricul- ture to unspecified "other work." The latest round of changes in Soviet agricultural positions--each of the posts affected had been newly filled at about the same time only a year earlier--is undoubtedly an aftermath of the disappoint- ing farm production in 1959. There are, at the same time, some signs that the Kremlin hierarchy, either because of indecisiveness or contention, is having difficulty giving firm direction to the perennial "soft spot" in the Soviet econ- omy. Apart from some "paternal advice" delivered by Khrushchev during a recent visit to his native village, Kalinovka, the Soviet party chief has had vir- tually nothing to say since the central committee plenum last December on a subject long dear to his heart. There has as yet been no indication that his presumed top agricultural aide, Nikolay Ignatov, who was trans- ferred from the party secretariat to the Council of Ministers last May, has retained his role in agricultural supervision, The December central com- mittee meeting, which appeared at first to be on the verge of enacting significant changes in agricultural organization, trailed off into inconclusiveness and ambiguity. A more recent conclave of agricultural specialists, held in the Kremlin from 14 to 17 June under the auspices of the Ministry of Agriculture, concerned itself mainly with technical prob- lems. Although the larger issues of reorganization were raised, the gathering obviously SECRET PART II NOTES AND COMMENTS Pap,p 12 of 15 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 did not have the authority to make final decisions on out- standing matters, some of which had been consigned to the party presidium for solu- tion by the central committee last December. With Khrushchev on vaca- tion and Ignatov merely present and not heard from, the meet- ing was dominated by the USSR minister of agriculture, Vladimir Matskevich. Although he is an alumnus of Khrushchev's old Ukrainian apparatus, Matskevich has been heavily buffeted by official criticism and appears to be more repre- sentative of the specialist's point of view than of the party-political command's. With Khrushchev set to embark on a new series of in- ternational junkets and no central committee meeting scheduled for the immediate future, there is no clear in- dication as to when new measures affecting agriculture will be undertaken. However, it seems likely that a special effort will be made to resolve some of the outstanding issues before the next party congress scheduled for late 1960 or early 1961. PROPOSED CHANGES IN SOVIET ECONOMIC PLANNING Details of a proposal to create 14 economic coordination and planning councils were ex- pounded in a recent issue of Planned Economy, official organ of the Soviet State Planning Committee (Gosplan). A planning official has confirmed that establishment of some such coun- cils is "in the offing." Other recent refinements in economic administration and planning have included the es- tablishment of republic-level Councils of National Economy SECRET PART II NOTES AND COMMENTS Page 13 of 15 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927AO02900020001-9 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-00927A002900020001-9 SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 8 September 1960 (sovnarkhozy) in the RSFSR, Ukraine, and Kazakhstan and the transfer of some long-term plan- ning functions from Gosplan to the State Scientific-Economic Council (Gosekonomsovet). These changes are part of the regime's continuing ef- forts to obtain the benefits of both central control--for ef- fective planning and the promo- tion of USSR-wide objectives-- and operational flexibility at the local level to spur initia- tive and promote efficiency. This was expressed early this year by a Soviet economist as the need for a "properly com- bined administrative and eco- nomic independence of enter- prises and centralized guidance by the state." According to the scheme presented in Planned Economy, the Soviet Union will be redi- vided i- vided for purposes of regional planning into 16 basic economic regions instead of the present 13. So-called "Economic Councils for the Coordination and Plan- ning of the Work of the Sovnark- hozy" are to be created in 14 of these regions, 11 of which are in the RSFSR. The other three will cover the rest of the USSR with the exception of the south region (Ukraine-Mol- davia) and Kazakhstan, where coordination and planning prob- lems are to be handled by republic councils of ministers, republic planning agencies, and republic sovnarkhozy. The councils would deal with territorial planning prob- lems such as the development of complementary industries in adjacent sovnarkhozy within each natural economic region. They would provide a type of coordinated regional develop- ment which neither the republic' bodies nor the individual sovnar- khozy,now accomplish. The councils would work out for highe.;r! planning organs pro- posals and recommendations about the basic direction of development in their-respective regions, new technological developments and their: effective introduction in production,: the correct distri- bution of capital investment, improvements in specialize- t1on, cooperation, and combination of enterprises,: and better utilization of labor and natural resources. They would work out balances for products to be produced and consumed mainly within the boundaries of each economic re- gion. The relationship of the councils to the USSR planning agencies and the republic sov- narkhozy has not been revealed. However, an official of Gosekonom- sovet informed members