CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY
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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP79-00927A000600100001-6
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Original Classification:
S
Document Page Count:
35
Document Creation Date:
December 16, 2016
Document Release Date:
January 12, 2005
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Case Number:
Publication Date:
September 22, 1955
Content Type:
SUMMARY
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CONFIDENTIAL
S-
CURRENT
INTELLIGENCE
WEEKLY
SUMMARY
COPY N0. 20
Q(;~ NQ, 7429/55
22 September 1955
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CoN~~QEC~~~t
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State Department review completed
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THIS MATERIAL CONTAINS INFORMATION AFFECT-
ING THE NATIONAL DEFENSE OF THE UNITED STATES
WITHIN THE MEANING OF THE ESPIONAGE LAWS,
TITLE 18, USC, SECTIONS 793 AND 794, THE TRANSMIS-
SION OR REVELATION OF WHICH IN ANY MANNER TO
AN UNAUTHORIZED PERSON IS PROHIBITED BY LAW.
The Current Intelligence Weekly Summary has been prepared
primarily for the internal use of the Central Intelligence
Agency. It does not represent a complete coverage of all
current situations. Comments and conclusions represent
the immediate appraisal of the Office of Current Intelligence.
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c~~ F~~E~rr~At
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY ~1~QARY
22 September 1955
T H E W$ E K I N $ R I S F
0~ IMMEDIATE INT~'+tEST
YPRUS DISPUTE MAY RESULT
~i~T LEFT-WING GREEK GOVERNMENT . . Page 1
The growth of neutralist sentiment in Greece may be accel-
erated as the result of Greece's failure to inscribe the Cyprus
issue on the agenda of the UN General ,Assembly. The Papagos
government may fall if it is unable to control popular emotions
on the Cyprus issue and Papagos may be succeeded by a leftist.
FAURE GOVERNMENT MAY Ff4LL
OVER MOROCCAN PROGRAM ' . Page 2
Continued opposition from the right has prevented Premier
Faure from carrying out his Moroccan program despite a series
of cabinet-decisions to support it. Thy delays have encouraged
his opponents and may bring about his fall after the National
Assembly convenes on 4 October.
SOVIET-EGYI~TIAN ARMS DEAL e . . . Rage S
The reported presence of an Egyptian military mission in
Mascow to work out the details of an arms deal lends weight to
earlier reports of the Soviet Union's willingness to make arms
available to Egypt and other Near Eastern st~.tes. Moscow is;prob-
bably trying: (1) to encourage. Egypt to. follow a~foreign
policy independent of the West; (2) to help- the nationalists
in French North Africa by making it possible for Eg pt to supply
them with additional light weapons.
NOTES AND COMMENTS
French North Africa: Tension remains high in Morocco and
Algeria, and the French minister ~4f defense ITas notified
Genera-I Gruenther of his intentioa to transfer six more
battalions of NATO-committed troops to North Africa before
1 October. In Tunisia, an all-Tunisian cabinet was installed
on 1? September. . . . Page 1
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEFSIi;LY SUAdMARY
~2 September 1'955
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American-Chinese Negotiations: Peiping;ts determination to get
n o e sewn p ase o the GenevJa talks Was indicated
during the past week by Chinese threats that full imple-
mentation of the repatriation agreement was dependent on
a prompt beginning of discussion can item two of the a enda,
''other practical. matters at issue." Page 1 25X1
Implications of Soviet-Finnish Agreement: The USSR is exploiting
s agreemen ? re urn a or a'Ta naval base to Finland to
support its oampaign for the withdrawal of Western forces
from foreign bases.. By offering to return Porkkala, the
USSR was able to obtain a 2tl-year extension of the friend-
ship and mutual aid treaty With Finland without making
any further concession.' age 2 25X1
East German~- Granted Status Equal to Other Satellites: The
agreemen sync u e e weep e, anT as - rmany in
Moscow on ZO September grant East Germany:a status comps-
rable to that of the other European Satellites. East
Germany can be expected to. assert its prerogatives as
a .sovereign nation. in an effort tv~ gain recd niti:on from
West Germany and other Western powers. age 3~ 25X1
The-S?viet Amnesty: The 1? September amnesty of Soviet citizens
w o co ~, orated with the Germans during World War II sets
the stage for the release of German prisoners of-war who
were convicted as war criminals. The amnesty may also be
designed to aid the Soviet redefection campaign since in the
Soviet view the bulk of anti-Communist emi xis in the West
collaborated with the Germans. Page 4 25X1
Adenauer's Impressions of Top Soviet Leaders: Chancellor
enauer o assa or o en a e~r"~he second day of
his negotiations vkith tap Soviet leaders that although
his first impression was that Khrushchev was ther..single
most important leader, be was coming to the conclusion
that Bulganin is a:t least equally important in the Soviet
hierarchq. The. German delegation was struck by the conde-
scending and.negli ent manner of Bu~.ganin and Rhrushchev
toward Molotov. a r Page 5
East-West Trade as a Soviet Propaganda. Slogan: The Soviet
'
`
on pro a y w ry o use e
~+ ~'a
eptember-14 October
session of the Committee on the Development of Trade of
the Economic Commission for. Europe to promote Molotov's
suggestion fr~r a world economic conference leading to an
expansion of East-West trade. Despite Soviet statements
that trade could increase 150 to 2+Dp percent over the
next two or three years, Soviet capabilities are believed
to be inadequate for such an expansion. Page 6 25X1
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THE WEES IN BRIE]'
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY
22 September 195:5
New East China Supply Route Under Cansi:,ruction: C
considerable
progress had been made in t e cons ruc ~.an o what will be
the first highway between Foochow a.nd Shanghai along the
East China coast. It will greatly reduce logistic dependence
on the exposed coastal shipping route from Shanghai, and
be an important supplement to the 3U0-mile Shangjao-Foochow
road, at present the only significant overland supply route
-into Foochow. . .Page S
Dissidence in South China Confirmed: The recent arrival in
Hong ong a dun s rom a Communist mainland consti-
tutes the first mass flight of fi:ahin vessels from
Communist China since late 1952.
Page 9
Vietnam: The Viet Minh is maintaining constant pressure on
-~T~ath the domestic and international fronts to force the
government in the south to adhere to the Geneva. schedule
for unification. Diem apparently intends to sit tight,
thereby leaving the initiative with the Communists.
Page 9
Indonesian Elections: Indonesia's first national elections
w e e on 29 September to cl~oase 260 members of
parliament. Prospects continue favorable for a plurality
of 30 to 40 percent for the anti-Communist Masjumi, which _.
leads the present cabinet, with the Communist Party and
the National Part v in for the :second largest number
of votes. Page 10
Situation in Argentina: The situation in Argentina will be
unstab a or some time to come. '.Che new junta will be
plagued by service rivalries for ~.ontrol of the government,
by the possibility of serious strikes and sabotage on the
part of the General Confederation of Labor and fanatic
Peranistas, and by va.riaus econam:ic problems inherited from
the Peron regime as well as those caused by the fighting
itself . . . . . Page 11
Soviet Interest in Antarctic: Soviet participation in plans
or an ex ens ve ntarctic research program during the
International Geophysical Year (155?-58) is probably
designed to secure the USSR a voice in any discussions
an the future status of the cont;iiient. A Soviet expedition
of two ships and several aircraft is scheduled to leave
in November to establish research stations in Antarctica.
The bases of the expeditian will be the first the USSR is
known to have had in the Antarctic. The scientific
research of the expedition together with Soviet Arctic
studies will give the USSR an ext~caordinar fund of
information on bath polax regions., Page 12
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THE WEEK IN BRIgF
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22 September 1955
PATTERNS AND PERSPECTIVES
USSR FORMULATING NEN LINE ON EAST-NEST CULTURAL EgCHANGE Page- 1
The Soviet Union is formulating a comprehensive propaganda
line within the framework of Marxist-Leninist theory to ration-
alize the regime?s current policy of promoting international
friendship and cultural and technological exchange. The Soviet
leaders seem tv be acting on the belief' that the advantages,
both material and political, to be gained from such exchange
are greater than the dangers arising tb;erefrom to the regime.
This constitutes a radical departure from the olicies of the
later years of Stalin's regime. 25X1
STATUS OF NORTH KOREAN INDUSTRIAL REHABILITATION PROGRAM Page 2
In the.past year and a half, North Korea has made con-
siderable progress in achieving the basic aims of its Three-
Year Plan (1954-1956) of economic rehabilitation. This success
results principally from-the continuous influx of material and
technical assistance from the Sino-Soviet bloc ?-which has
promised to send to North Korea between. 1954 and 1964 approxi-
mately $780,000,000 worth of heavy machinery, transportation
equipment, construction materials, POL coal foodstuffs textiles
fertilizer and technical assistance.
POLITICAL INFLUENCE OF GENERAL CHARLES DE GAULLE . Page 4
General Charles de Gaulle retains considerable influence
over Frances domestic and foreign policy, despite his retirement
from active. political Life in June. The temperate tone of his
retirement announcement and of the first volume of his memoirs
has helped rehabilitate him in the minds of many Frenchmen who
had been alienated by his uncompromising attitude. The general
apparently has no intentions however, of attempting to gain
political office.
CHURCH-STATE RELATIONS IN EASTERN EUROPE . Page 6
The Eastern European Satellites in the last several months
Move let up on their campaign of religi~aus persecution of indi-
vidual clerics and churchgoers, but have not ceased their efforts
to subvert the churches and destroy the influence of religion..
The Satellite regimes have made this change in tactics probably
because they found that their earlier repressive measures m
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helped to strengthen the unity of the churches. 25X1
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THE 1PEL~K IN ER]:EF
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE ASSKL~Y SUI~ARY
22 September 1955
THE PUSHT?ONISTAN PR4BLLM . . ... . Page 9
The Pushtoonistan problem arises f=?om the campaign waged
by Afghanistan for the creation of a near independent state to
be made up of the areas of West Pakistani where Pushtu is spoken.
The new state would inevitably be an Af?;han satellite. The
campaign is a canstant source of friction between Afghanistan
and Pakistan, and as such poses a continuing threat to stability
on the northwest frontier of South Asia,. International interest
in the dispute has increased over the p Lishul~ t
~
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S~UEMOY
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GURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY
22 September 1955
streams. It opens up the pre-
viously inaccessible Chekiang-
F~lkien provincial border area
to more. effective political and
military control and to mineral
survey activities, The princi-
pal significance of the road,
however, lies in the fact that
that it will greatly reduce
logistic dependence on the ex-
posed coastal shipping route
from Shanghai., and be an im-
portant supplement to the 300-
mile Shangja~-Foochow road,
at present the only signifi-
cant overland su ~1 route into
Foochow.
Dissidence in South China
on rme
The recent arrival in Hong
Kong of 142 junks from the Com-
munist mainland is the first
mass flight of fishing vessels
from Communist China since late
1952.
On 14 September, 142 fish-
ing junks fled to Flong Kong
from the Chungshan area of the
Communist mainland.
Unrest in this same area
was also reported in August ~
The Viet Minh is maintain-
a~ng constant pressure on both
the domestic and international
fronts to force the South Viet-
nam government to adhere to the
Geneva schedule for unification.
a ciit in the food ration.
K~ ~.._.:
~' 0}31A
~~?TCi ~(ONG
4'? ~ux~ '"? ".
an uprising late in 1954
o more than 1,000 peasants in
the Chungshan area because of
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ma or ty of the 1, farmers
arrested were eventually re-
leasoed, but their leaders were
tried as Chiang agents or Ameri-
can spies and either executed
or .gent to forced labor camps.
Peiping's voluminous prop-
agarida concerning uprisings and
counterrevolutionary activity
is t~elieved to contain some
grains of truth. In the Chung-
shan~ area, at least, existence
of widespread dissatisfaction
has been substantiated.
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Premier Diem apparently intends
to sit tight, thereby leaving 'the
initiative with the Communists:
While continuing to de-
mand that national elections
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PART II NOTES AND COMMENTS Page 9 of 13
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEHKLY SUMMARY
22 September 19.55
be held in 1956, the Viet Minh
has recently outlined new pro-
posals designed ~to persuade the
populace of the south that the
rights and interests of non-
communists will be safeguarded
after unification. In essence,
the plan calls for establishment
of a nationally elected parlia-
ment which would appoint a.
coalition government.- However,
the two zones would enjoy con-
siderable autonomy under sepa-
rate regional assemblies, and
various groups, including land-
lords, are promised fair treat-
ment.
Meanwhile, the Hanoi radio
constantly denounces Diem for
"sabotaging" the. Geneva p:gree-
ment at American instigation,
and exhorts the people of both
north and south to "struggle
for peace, unification, inde-
pendence and democracy." Viet
Minh agents in the south are
reported to be engaging in in-
creasingly open activity. On
at least three occasions this
month, army troops in the prov-
inces of South Vietnam have re-
sorted to gunfire to disperse
Communist-inspired demonstra-
tions calling for elections.
The Viet Minh recently
formally asked Britain and the
USSR, cochairmen of the 1354
Geneva conference, to request
French and South Vietnamese
Indonesian Elections
authorities to acknowledge their
responsibilities for arranging
a p~~litical settlement in Viet-
nam. This Vvas followed by a
letter -from 'diet Dinh general
Gia;p to the Indian chazrman of
the International Control Cam-
mission proposing that the com-
mis+~ion take steps to ensure
implementation of the Geneva
agr~yement..
In the south, Premier Diem,
app~~.rently convinced that the
Viet Minh will not resort to
military means .to enforce uni-
ficati.ori, is sitting tight on
his refusal even to consult
with the Viet Minh regarding
elections.
Meanwhile, the program in
South Vietnam to develop a
broader popular base for the
government is making little
progress. Plans for the es-
tab~Lishment of a popularly
elected assembly, which it was
oncE~ suggested might be in being
as Eaarly as September, are ap-
parently giving way to a plan
for a referendum to depose Bao
Dai, with this to be followed
by ~~ government reshuffle and
the election or appointment of
an P~ssembly with limited powers.
Land reforms and refugee resettle-
ment: programs are being impeded
by 7.ack of official enthusiasm
for theme and by ineffective a.d-
min3.stration. There are also
ind~.cations of renewed f
ali~+m in the army.
The Indonesian electorate
of some 43,000,000 is scheduled
to go to the polls on 29 Sep
tember to choose 260 members
of parliament in the country's
first national election. Local
insecurity will prevent the
holding of elections in several
areas--North Sumatra,, West Java,
South Celebes, and Ceram--and
physical difficulties may retard
them elsewhere. Indonesian of-
ficials are hopeful, however,
that the polls will be open to
90 percent of the electorate
on election day.
Prospects continue favor-
able. for a plurality of 30 to
40 percent for the Masjumi, the
anti-Communist Moslem organiza-
tion. which leads the present
cabinet. The Communist Forty
is expected to improve its par-
liamentary position and may
outstrip the National-Party,
which led the former cabinet,
for the second largest number of
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PART II NOTES AND COMMENTS Page IO of 13
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY
22 September 1955
INGAPOWE
SUMATRA ~Padanq 6
~- 4 DJTA
2
.JAVA
Electoral district boundary
- Area of dissidence where elections will not be held
*Indonesio claims Netherlands New Guinea and lists it as
electoral district 16. Since elections cannot be held there,
the government may appoint a representative for the area.
O MILES 900
REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA
11
C ELE:B ES
13 cE~.AM
N GT7IE RLANDe
'-'~. M EW.GVINEA
7AYU S. IN D15pu1"E)'
i
S abay~
i 9A L~
.~_ .: 13_
votes. The remaining votes will
be contested by 80 independent
candidates and some 40 organ-
izations.
Apparently because of
transportation and communica-
tion difficulties and the great
care which they hope will be
taken in counting and recount-
ing the votes ,...Indonesian of-
ficials are predicting a con-
siderable time lag--from one to
three months--before election
results are announced,
Situation in Argentina
The situation in Argentina
will be unstable for some time
to come. The new junta will be
plagued by service rivalries for
control of the government, by
the possibility of serious
strikes and sabotage on the
part of the General Confedera-
tion of Labor and fanatic
Peronistas, and by varied eco-
nomic problems~inherite~.from
the Peron regime, as well as
those caused by the. fighting
itself.
PART II
The long-delayed elections
will replace a largely. appointive
parliament which had ceased
to be representative and which
had adapted obstructive tactics
in order to ensure its own
existence. The government is
still operating under a pro-
visional constitution, but
further elections, scheduled
for 15 December, will elect a
constituent assembly of 520
mem''bers to draft the nation's
permanent constitution
The revolt which broke out
on ]~.6 September was not a civil-
ian uprising against the govern-
ment:. It sprang rather...fr?m a
split in Argentina's armed
forces, with the rebel group--
init,ially smaller than the
loyalist forces but reflecting
the discontent of a considerable
segment of the population--
finally deciding to take action.
The outcome was determined bg
the fact that various other
military units, not originally
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22 September 19~~5
associated with the rebels de-
fected to them in the ensuing
three days.
The new ruling junta es-
tablished as a result of truce
"_ -,i~~i ~~ _-
?~ ~ta~i ~ F~~ :~
the United States.
Soviet Interest in Antarctic
The USSR has participated
on a major scale in the July
planning sessions in Paris and
in current meetings in Brussels
for an extensive Antarctic re-
search program organized by a
number of countries for the
1957-58 International Geophysical
Year. Moscow radio previously
announced plans for a Soviet
expedition of two ships and
several aircraft to leave in
November to establish research
stations in Antarctica.
These will be the first
known Soviet bases in the Antax~-
tic. Since 1946 there has been
an annual Soviet
whaling expedition
which has included
at least one ship ~
scientific research.
The Soviet Union
has never put- forward
an official claim to
any part of the Ant-
arctic. It has fre-
quently reiterated
its claim that the
continent was dis-
covered by the Rus-
sian Bellingshausen
expedition of 1819-
1821, however, and
in 1950 advised in-
terested countries
that it could not
"recognize a.s le-
gitimate any deci-
sion concerning the
sovereignty of the
Antarctic continent
taken without its
participation."
negotiations between the vic-
torious rebel forces and the
military junta of the ''loyalist
forces" consists of professional
military leaders, none of whom
is known to be unfriendly to
A series of articles in
Soviet publications early this
year attacked the "predatory
tendencies of the imperialists
of the United States in Ant-
arctica." These articles
charged that the United States
wanted to use the region as a
source of raw materials, as a
location for air bases, and as
a testing ground for military
equipment and new weapons,
particularly thermonuclear de-
vices.
The Soviet delegates to
the .Antarctic Conference of the
International Geophysical Year
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SECRE T
CpRRENT INTELLIGENCE WEE~Q..Y SUMMARY
22 September 19;15
in July had shown some interest
in the mapping of Antarctica.
The Soviet expedition will prob-
ably establish some ground con-
trol points and also undertake
some aerial photpgraphy for map-
ping that may ultimately be used
to strengthen future Soviet ter-
ritorial claims.
The USSR is not likely,
however, to choose the present
time to put forward any spe-
cific claims. Its active par-
ticipation in plans for the
forthcoming explorations ap-
pears, rather, to be a part of
its current effort to take part
in every kind of international
undertaking. It may also be
designed to assure a Soviet
voice in any discussions on the
future status of the continent.
The increased Soviet in-
terest in the Antarctic region
is also of major scientific
importance. In addition to
territorial .and ice-sheet
expl~~ration, Soviet scientists
will make observations in the
principal fields of research
in tlhe program of the Inter-
nati~~nal Geophysical Year:
ionosphere physics, cosmic rays,
mete~~rology, gravity measure-
ment, oceanography, magnetism,
glaciology, seismology, and
aurora and airflow.
The results of such ob-.
serv,~.tions combined with data
previously gathered by scien-
tist~s attached to the Soviet
Antarctic whaling expeditions
and the extensive Soviet re-
sear