CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79-00927A000600100001-6
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
35
Document Creation Date: 
December 16, 2016
Document Release Date: 
January 12, 2005
Sequence Number: 
1
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
September 22, 1955
Content Type: 
SUMMARY
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP79-00927A000600100001-6.pdf2.98 MB
Body: 
Approved For Rise 2005/02/10 :CIA-RDP79-00927A0001000~1-6 CONFIDENTIAL S- CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY COPY N0. 20 Q(;~ NQ, 7429/55 22 September 1955 ~-~ d - ~ ~a t?y.~5s. s>~~s~~. cum. ~e ~~~:3~--~--~--..~.....~._. ~~x~i' }t~VIEw DACE: lk4i"~F; _ ~R.~~ CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE CoN~~QEC~~~t ~~_~.._ . 25X1 25X1 ~,.-,~~.:~,., -_-- .:;.;~ 25X1 ,.. ear ari'.'fL'~i .. State Department review completed Approved For Release 2005/02/10 :CIA-RDP79-00927A0006001~OO,J~1~ S ~~ Approved For Release 2005/02/10 :CIA-RDP79(~27A000600100001-6 THIS MATERIAL CONTAINS INFORMATION AFFECT- ING THE NATIONAL DEFENSE OF THE UNITED STATES WITHIN THE MEANING OF THE ESPIONAGE LAWS, TITLE 18, USC, SECTIONS 793 AND 794, THE TRANSMIS- SION OR REVELATION OF WHICH IN ANY MANNER TO AN UNAUTHORIZED PERSON IS PROHIBITED BY LAW. The Current Intelligence Weekly Summary has been prepared primarily for the internal use of the Central Intelligence Agency. It does not represent a complete coverage of all current situations. Comments and conclusions represent the immediate appraisal of the Office of Current Intelligence. Approved For Release 2005/02/10 :CIA-RDP79-00927A000600100001-6 c~~ F~~E~rr~At Approved For Re~ae se 2005/0 DP79-00927A0~00100001-6 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY ~1~QARY 22 September 1955 T H E W$ E K I N $ R I S F 0~ IMMEDIATE INT~'+tEST YPRUS DISPUTE MAY RESULT ~i~T LEFT-WING GREEK GOVERNMENT . . Page 1 The growth of neutralist sentiment in Greece may be accel- erated as the result of Greece's failure to inscribe the Cyprus issue on the agenda of the UN General ,Assembly. The Papagos government may fall if it is unable to control popular emotions on the Cyprus issue and Papagos may be succeeded by a leftist. FAURE GOVERNMENT MAY Ff4LL OVER MOROCCAN PROGRAM ' . Page 2 Continued opposition from the right has prevented Premier Faure from carrying out his Moroccan program despite a series of cabinet-decisions to support it. Thy delays have encouraged his opponents and may bring about his fall after the National Assembly convenes on 4 October. SOVIET-EGYI~TIAN ARMS DEAL e . . . Rage S The reported presence of an Egyptian military mission in Mascow to work out the details of an arms deal lends weight to earlier reports of the Soviet Union's willingness to make arms available to Egypt and other Near Eastern st~.tes. Moscow is;prob- bably trying: (1) to encourage. Egypt to. follow a~foreign policy independent of the West; (2) to help- the nationalists in French North Africa by making it possible for Eg pt to supply them with additional light weapons. NOTES AND COMMENTS French North Africa: Tension remains high in Morocco and Algeria, and the French minister ~4f defense ITas notified Genera-I Gruenther of his intentioa to transfer six more battalions of NATO-committed troops to North Africa before 1 October. In Tunisia, an all-Tunisian cabinet was installed on 1? September. . . . Page 1 COI~F~QE1VT~AL Approved For Release,~~5/,~/~~ : ~4 ~~~~-00927A000600100001-6 25X1 -25X1 25X1 Approved For Rel,~e se 200~/~~~,A-RDP79-00927AQ~600100001-6 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEFSIi;LY SUAdMARY ~2 September 1'955 25X1 American-Chinese Negotiations: Peiping;ts determination to get n o e sewn p ase o the GenevJa talks Was indicated during the past week by Chinese threats that full imple- mentation of the repatriation agreement was dependent on a prompt beginning of discussion can item two of the a enda, ''other practical. matters at issue." Page 1 25X1 Implications of Soviet-Finnish Agreement: The USSR is exploiting s agreemen ? re urn a or a'Ta naval base to Finland to support its oampaign for the withdrawal of Western forces from foreign bases.. By offering to return Porkkala, the USSR was able to obtain a 2tl-year extension of the friend- ship and mutual aid treaty With Finland without making any further concession.' age 2 25X1 East German~- Granted Status Equal to Other Satellites: The agreemen sync u e e weep e, anT as - rmany in Moscow on ZO September grant East Germany:a status comps- rable to that of the other European Satellites. East Germany can be expected to. assert its prerogatives as a .sovereign nation. in an effort tv~ gain recd niti:on from West Germany and other Western powers. age 3~ 25X1 The-S?viet Amnesty: The 1? September amnesty of Soviet citizens w o co ~, orated with the Germans during World War II sets the stage for the release of German prisoners of-war who were convicted as war criminals. The amnesty may also be designed to aid the Soviet redefection campaign since in the Soviet view the bulk of anti-Communist emi xis in the West collaborated with the Germans. Page 4 25X1 Adenauer's Impressions of Top Soviet Leaders: Chancellor enauer o assa or o en a e~r"~he second day of his negotiations vkith tap Soviet leaders that although his first impression was that Khrushchev was ther..single most important leader, be was coming to the conclusion that Bulganin is a:t least equally important in the Soviet hierarchq. The. German delegation was struck by the conde- scending and.negli ent manner of Bu~.ganin and Rhrushchev toward Molotov. a r Page 5 East-West Trade as a Soviet Propaganda. Slogan: The Soviet ' ` on pro a y w ry o use e ~+ ~'a eptember-14 October session of the Committee on the Development of Trade of the Economic Commission for. Europe to promote Molotov's suggestion fr~r a world economic conference leading to an expansion of East-West trade. Despite Soviet statements that trade could increase 150 to 2+Dp percent over the next two or three years, Soviet capabilities are believed to be inadequate for such an expansion. Page 6 25X1 SECRET 13 Approved For Release 2005/02/10: CIA-RDP79-00927A000600100001-6 THE WEES IN BRIE]' Approved For Re ea a 2005J'~QE~A-RDP79-00927AOE00100001-6 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 22 September 195:5 New East China Supply Route Under Cansi:,ruction: C considerable progress had been made in t e cons ruc ~.an o what will be the first highway between Foochow a.nd Shanghai along the East China coast. It will greatly reduce logistic dependence on the exposed coastal shipping route from Shanghai, and be an important supplement to the 3U0-mile Shangjao-Foochow road, at present the only significant overland supply route -into Foochow. . .Page S Dissidence in South China Confirmed: The recent arrival in Hong ong a dun s rom a Communist mainland consti- tutes the first mass flight of fi:ahin vessels from Communist China since late 1952. Page 9 Vietnam: The Viet Minh is maintaining constant pressure on -~T~ath the domestic and international fronts to force the government in the south to adhere to the Geneva. schedule for unification. Diem apparently intends to sit tight, thereby leaving the initiative with the Communists. Page 9 Indonesian Elections: Indonesia's first national elections w e e on 29 September to cl~oase 260 members of parliament. Prospects continue favorable for a plurality of 30 to 40 percent for the anti-Communist Masjumi, which _. leads the present cabinet, with the Communist Party and the National Part v in for the :second largest number of votes. Page 10 Situation in Argentina: The situation in Argentina will be unstab a or some time to come. '.Che new junta will be plagued by service rivalries for ~.ontrol of the government, by the possibility of serious strikes and sabotage on the part of the General Confederation of Labor and fanatic Peranistas, and by va.riaus econam:ic problems inherited from the Peron regime as well as those caused by the fighting itself . . . . . Page 11 Soviet Interest in Antarctic: Soviet participation in plans or an ex ens ve ntarctic research program during the International Geophysical Year (155?-58) is probably designed to secure the USSR a voice in any discussions an the future status of the cont;iiient. A Soviet expedition of two ships and several aircraft is scheduled to leave in November to establish research stations in Antarctica. The bases of the expeditian will be the first the USSR is known to have had in the Antarctic. The scientific research of the expedition together with Soviet Arctic studies will give the USSR an ext~caordinar fund of information on bath polax regions., Page 12 SECRET 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 iii Approved For Release 2005/02/10: CIA-RDP79-00927A000600100001-6 THE WEEK IN BRIgF Approved For Rel~se 2005/02/10: CIA-RDP79-00927A000100001-6 SECRET 22 September 1955 PATTERNS AND PERSPECTIVES USSR FORMULATING NEN LINE ON EAST-NEST CULTURAL EgCHANGE Page- 1 The Soviet Union is formulating a comprehensive propaganda line within the framework of Marxist-Leninist theory to ration- alize the regime?s current policy of promoting international friendship and cultural and technological exchange. The Soviet leaders seem tv be acting on the belief' that the advantages, both material and political, to be gained from such exchange are greater than the dangers arising tb;erefrom to the regime. This constitutes a radical departure from the olicies of the later years of Stalin's regime. 25X1 STATUS OF NORTH KOREAN INDUSTRIAL REHABILITATION PROGRAM Page 2 In the.past year and a half, North Korea has made con- siderable progress in achieving the basic aims of its Three- Year Plan (1954-1956) of economic rehabilitation. This success results principally from-the continuous influx of material and technical assistance from the Sino-Soviet bloc ?-which has promised to send to North Korea between. 1954 and 1964 approxi- mately $780,000,000 worth of heavy machinery, transportation equipment, construction materials, POL coal foodstuffs textiles fertilizer and technical assistance. POLITICAL INFLUENCE OF GENERAL CHARLES DE GAULLE . Page 4 General Charles de Gaulle retains considerable influence over Frances domestic and foreign policy, despite his retirement from active. political Life in June. The temperate tone of his retirement announcement and of the first volume of his memoirs has helped rehabilitate him in the minds of many Frenchmen who had been alienated by his uncompromising attitude. The general apparently has no intentions however, of attempting to gain political office. CHURCH-STATE RELATIONS IN EASTERN EUROPE . Page 6 The Eastern European Satellites in the last several months Move let up on their campaign of religi~aus persecution of indi- vidual clerics and churchgoers, but have not ceased their efforts to subvert the churches and destroy the influence of religion.. The Satellite regimes have made this change in tactics probably because they found that their earlier repressive measures m 25X1 25X1 helped to strengthen the unity of the churches. 25X1 SECRET iv Approved For Release 2005/02/10: CIA-RDP79-00927A000600100001-6 THE 1PEL~K IN ER]:EF Approved For Re e~,se 2005/SECRL~"1~RDP79-00927AOQ~00100001-6 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE ASSKL~Y SUI~ARY 22 September 1955 THE PUSHT?ONISTAN PR4BLLM . . ... . Page 9 The Pushtoonistan problem arises f=?om the campaign waged by Afghanistan for the creation of a near independent state to be made up of the areas of West Pakistani where Pushtu is spoken. The new state would inevitably be an Af?;han satellite. The campaign is a canstant source of friction between Afghanistan and Pakistan, and as such poses a continuing threat to stability on the northwest frontier of South Asia,. International interest in the dispute has increased over the p Lishul~ t ~ ' ~F ; , i_,'` WENCHOW ~; ~,~uian i ~ .~ ~,_~ `' ~ ~,. ?~ ;~~"~~gteh 7(7YUAN ~,ungfien ~71VIachiang S~UEMOY 25X1 25X1 Approved For Rel~e 2005/Q~2,(~J~,R~q,RDP79-00927A0C6 0100001-6 GURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 22 September 1955 streams. It opens up the pre- viously inaccessible Chekiang- F~lkien provincial border area to more. effective political and military control and to mineral survey activities, The princi- pal significance of the road, however, lies in the fact that that it will greatly reduce logistic dependence on the ex- posed coastal shipping route from Shanghai., and be an im- portant supplement to the 300- mile Shangja~-Foochow road, at present the only signifi- cant overland su ~1 route into Foochow. Dissidence in South China on rme The recent arrival in Hong Kong of 142 junks from the Com- munist mainland is the first mass flight of fishing vessels from Communist China since late 1952. On 14 September, 142 fish- ing junks fled to Flong Kong from the Chungshan area of the Communist mainland. Unrest in this same area was also reported in August ~ The Viet Minh is maintain- a~ng constant pressure on both the domestic and international fronts to force the South Viet- nam government to adhere to the Geneva schedule for unification. a ciit in the food ration. K~ ~.._.: ~' 0}31A ~~?TCi ~(ONG 4'? ~ux~ '"? ". an uprising late in 1954 o more than 1,000 peasants in the Chungshan area because of 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 the 25X1 ma or ty of the 1, farmers arrested were eventually re- leasoed, but their leaders were tried as Chiang agents or Ameri- can spies and either executed or .gent to forced labor camps. Peiping's voluminous prop- agarida concerning uprisings and counterrevolutionary activity is t~elieved to contain some grains of truth. In the Chung- shan~ area, at least, existence of widespread dissatisfaction has been substantiated. 25X1 Premier Diem apparently intends to sit tight, thereby leaving 'the initiative with the Communists: While continuing to de- mand that national elections SECRET Approved For Release 2005/02/10: CIA-RDP79-00927A000600100001-6 PART II NOTES AND COMMENTS Page 9 of 13 Approved For Rel~,se 2005/~~1,Q~~I,Q,-RDP79-00927A00100001-6 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEHKLY SUMMARY 22 September 19.55 be held in 1956, the Viet Minh has recently outlined new pro- posals designed ~to persuade the populace of the south that the rights and interests of non- communists will be safeguarded after unification. In essence, the plan calls for establishment of a nationally elected parlia- ment which would appoint a. coalition government.- However, the two zones would enjoy con- siderable autonomy under sepa- rate regional assemblies, and various groups, including land- lords, are promised fair treat- ment. Meanwhile, the Hanoi radio constantly denounces Diem for "sabotaging" the. Geneva p:gree- ment at American instigation, and exhorts the people of both north and south to "struggle for peace, unification, inde- pendence and democracy." Viet Minh agents in the south are reported to be engaging in in- creasingly open activity. On at least three occasions this month, army troops in the prov- inces of South Vietnam have re- sorted to gunfire to disperse Communist-inspired demonstra- tions calling for elections. The Viet Minh recently formally asked Britain and the USSR, cochairmen of the 1354 Geneva conference, to request French and South Vietnamese Indonesian Elections authorities to acknowledge their responsibilities for arranging a p~~litical settlement in Viet- nam. This Vvas followed by a letter -from 'diet Dinh general Gia;p to the Indian chazrman of the International Control Cam- mission proposing that the com- mis+~ion take steps to ensure implementation of the Geneva agr~yement.. In the south, Premier Diem, app~~.rently convinced that the Viet Minh will not resort to military means .to enforce uni- ficati.ori, is sitting tight on his refusal even to consult with the Viet Minh regarding elections. Meanwhile, the program in South Vietnam to develop a broader popular base for the government is making little progress. Plans for the es- tab~Lishment of a popularly elected assembly, which it was oncE~ suggested might be in being as Eaarly as September, are ap- parently giving way to a plan for a referendum to depose Bao Dai, with this to be followed by ~~ government reshuffle and the election or appointment of an P~ssembly with limited powers. Land reforms and refugee resettle- ment: programs are being impeded by 7.ack of official enthusiasm for theme and by ineffective a.d- min3.stration. There are also ind~.cations of renewed f ali~+m in the army. The Indonesian electorate of some 43,000,000 is scheduled to go to the polls on 29 Sep tember to choose 260 members of parliament in the country's first national election. Local insecurity will prevent the holding of elections in several areas--North Sumatra,, West Java, South Celebes, and Ceram--and physical difficulties may retard them elsewhere. Indonesian of- ficials are hopeful, however, that the polls will be open to 90 percent of the electorate on election day. Prospects continue favor- able. for a plurality of 30 to 40 percent for the Masjumi, the anti-Communist Moslem organiza- tion. which leads the present cabinet. The Communist Forty is expected to improve its par- liamentary position and may outstrip the National-Party, which led the former cabinet, for the second largest number of 25X1 SECRET Approved For Release 2005/02/10: CIA-RDP79-00927A000600100001-6 PART II NOTES AND COMMENTS Page IO of 13 Approved For Re ea a 2005/0!?~,/~A.;RDP79-00927A00~06~00100001-6 J CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY 22 September 1955 INGAPOWE SUMATRA ~Padanq 6 ~- 4 DJTA 2 .JAVA Electoral district boundary - Area of dissidence where elections will not be held *Indonesio claims Netherlands New Guinea and lists it as electoral district 16. Since elections cannot be held there, the government may appoint a representative for the area. O MILES 900 REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA 11 C ELE:B ES 13 cE~.AM N GT7IE RLANDe '-'~. M EW.GVINEA 7AYU S. IN D15pu1"E)' i S abay~ i 9A L~ .~_ .: 13_ votes. The remaining votes will be contested by 80 independent candidates and some 40 organ- izations. Apparently because of transportation and communica- tion difficulties and the great care which they hope will be taken in counting and recount- ing the votes ,...Indonesian of- ficials are predicting a con- siderable time lag--from one to three months--before election results are announced, Situation in Argentina The situation in Argentina will be unstable for some time to come. The new junta will be plagued by service rivalries for control of the government, by the possibility of serious strikes and sabotage on the part of the General Confedera- tion of Labor and fanatic Peronistas, and by varied eco- nomic problems~inherite~.from the Peron regime, as well as those caused by the. fighting itself. PART II The long-delayed elections will replace a largely. appointive parliament which had ceased to be representative and which had adapted obstructive tactics in order to ensure its own existence. The government is still operating under a pro- visional constitution, but further elections, scheduled for 15 December, will elect a constituent assembly of 520 mem''bers to draft the nation's permanent constitution The revolt which broke out on ]~.6 September was not a civil- ian uprising against the govern- ment:. It sprang rather...fr?m a split in Argentina's armed forces, with the rebel group-- init,ially smaller than the loyalist forces but reflecting the discontent of a considerable segment of the population-- finally deciding to take action. The outcome was determined bg the fact that various other military units, not originally ~E~R~~ Approved For Release 2005/02/10: CIA-RDP79-00927A000600100001-6 NOTES AND COMM$N'['S page 11 of I3 25X1 Approved For Re.el~ase 2005/02/10: CIA-RDP7.9-00927AOQ0~00100001-6 22 September 19~~5 associated with the rebels de- fected to them in the ensuing three days. The new ruling junta es- tablished as a result of truce "_ -,i~~i ~~ _- ?~ ~ta~i ~ F~~ :~ the United States. Soviet Interest in Antarctic The USSR has participated on a major scale in the July planning sessions in Paris and in current meetings in Brussels for an extensive Antarctic re- search program organized by a number of countries for the 1957-58 International Geophysical Year. Moscow radio previously announced plans for a Soviet expedition of two ships and several aircraft to leave in November to establish research stations in Antarctica. These will be the first known Soviet bases in the Antax~- tic. Since 1946 there has been an annual Soviet whaling expedition which has included at least one ship ~ scientific research. The Soviet Union has never put- forward an official claim to any part of the Ant- arctic. It has fre- quently reiterated its claim that the continent was dis- covered by the Rus- sian Bellingshausen expedition of 1819- 1821, however, and in 1950 advised in- terested countries that it could not "recognize a.s le- gitimate any deci- sion concerning the sovereignty of the Antarctic continent taken without its participation." negotiations between the vic- torious rebel forces and the military junta of the ''loyalist forces" consists of professional military leaders, none of whom is known to be unfriendly to A series of articles in Soviet publications early this year attacked the "predatory tendencies of the imperialists of the United States in Ant- arctica." These articles charged that the United States wanted to use the region as a source of raw materials, as a location for air bases, and as a testing ground for military equipment and new weapons, particularly thermonuclear de- vices. The Soviet delegates to the .Antarctic Conference of the International Geophysical Year SECRET Approved For Release 2005/02/10: CIA-RDP79-00927A000600100001-6 NOTES AND COMMENTS Page 12 of 13 25X1 ILLEGIB Approved For Re~e se 2005/02/10: CIA-RDP79-00927AQ00100001-6 SECRE T CpRRENT INTELLIGENCE WEE~Q..Y SUMMARY 22 September 19;15 in July had shown some interest in the mapping of Antarctica. The Soviet expedition will prob- ably establish some ground con- trol points and also undertake some aerial photpgraphy for map- ping that may ultimately be used to strengthen future Soviet ter- ritorial claims. The USSR is not likely, however, to choose the present time to put forward any spe- cific claims. Its active par- ticipation in plans for the forthcoming explorations ap- pears, rather, to be a part of its current effort to take part in every kind of international undertaking. It may also be designed to assure a Soviet voice in any discussions on the future status of the continent. The increased Soviet in- terest in the Antarctic region is also of major scientific importance. In addition to territorial .and ice-sheet expl~~ration, Soviet scientists will make observations in the principal fields of research in tlhe program of the Inter- nati~~nal Geophysical Year: ionosphere physics, cosmic rays, mete~~rology, gravity measure- ment, oceanography, magnetism, glaciology, seismology, and aurora and airflow. The results of such ob-. serv,~.tions combined with data previously gathered by scien- tist~s attached to the Soviet Antarctic whaling expeditions and the extensive Soviet re- sear