SUPPLEMENT 11 TO JOINT EVALUATION OF SOVIET MISSILE THREAT IN CUBA

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP78T05449A000200150001-5
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RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
28
Document Creation Date: 
December 28, 2016
Document Release Date: 
September 4, 2007
Sequence Number: 
1
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
October 30, 1962
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP78T05449A000200150001-5.pdf1.21 MB
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Copy p 9 2 C Pages TO JOINT EVALUATION OF SOVIET MISSILE THREAT, IN CUBA TOP SECRET PREPARED BY Guided Missile and Astronautics Intelligence Committee Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee National Photographic Interpretation Center 2200 HOURS 30 OCTOBER 1962 TOP SECRET GROUP I E.clud.d frem .uremaric downy.adlna and d.c la.aificarl.n Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 i Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78T05449A000200150001-5 TOP SECRET Copy 99 2 Pages Cuba, 30 October 1962, prepared by Guided Missile and Astronautics Intelligence Committee, Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee, and National Photographic Interpretation Center. ~KH Supplement 11 to Joint Evaluation of Soviet Missile Threat in 25X1 Please substitute the attached illustration (Figure 6) in TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78T05449A000200150001-5 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 TOP SECRET SUPPLEMENT 11 TO JOINT EVALUATION OF SOVIET MISSILE THREAT IN CUBA Guided Missile and Astronautics Intelligence Committee Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee National Photographic Interpretation Center TOR SECRET Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 TOP SECRET IRONBARK NOTICE This report is based on continued analysis of low-level photography made on (See Figures 1 and 4.) The poor quality and obliquity of much of this photography has precluded a detailed assess- ment of activity at some of the offensive missile sites. There was no photographic coverage on 25X1 25X1 25X1 SUMMARY 1. Available evidence does not indicate Soviet preparation for dis- mantling or vacating the offensive missile sites identified in Cuba. On. the contrary, full operational capability at all MRBM sites still existed as of 11 ~ (See Figure 2.) 25X1 2. There is clear photographic evidence that construction activity has continued at the San Cristobal and Sagua La Grande MRBM sites since the last observation on Limited and poor photog- 25X1 raphy of the IRBM sites precludes a positive assessment, of construction activity. (See Figure 3.) 3. Many of the missile erectors at the MRBMsites have been moved from their hardstands and are no longer visible. There is evidence that at least one of these erectors has been concealed in woods, as have the majority of the missile-associated vehicles and equipment. All four erectors at San Cristobal MRBM Site 4 are in position, or nearly so, next to the launch stands. The canvas cover has been removed from one of these erectors. The movement of missile erectors away from positions next to the launch stands is judged to have had no effect on full operational capa- bility, providing these erectors have remained in the general area. 4. The use of camouflage, canvas covers, and natural concealment has been extended since 25X1 25X1 TOP SECRET 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78T05449A000200150001-5 25X1 25X1 5. Launch stands, cabling, and other components at each of the MR BM launch sites are still in place. 6. No refugee or clandestine reports relating to the dismantling of the Soviet missiles ites in Cuba have been received during the period 25X1 25X1 7. FLINT has provided information that SA-2 guidance system radars, FRUITSET, operating in the C-Band, have been noted in operation at 17 of the 24 SAM locations in Cuba, including the Los Angeles site, near where the U-2 wreckage was found. SPOONREST signals have been obtained from 22 of the 24 locations. Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78T05449A000200150001-5 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 TOP SECRET DISCUSSION OFFENSIVE MISSILE READINESS San Cristobal MR BM Area 1. Site 1 (22-40-05N 83-17-50W) Last coverage: Low-level a. Readiness Status The site has a full operational capability. b. Supporting Evidence Only two of the four launch positions are visible on the latest photography. At both of these positions, the erectors have been removed. Quality of photography precludes determination of the continued presence of launch stands. There is no evidence that any cabling has been removed. Four missile-ready tents, and portions of three additional missile-ready tents, are visible. Three canvas-covered missile transporters are visible. They have not been moved from positions previously reported. c. Significant Trends There is some evidence of continued construction. Briefly summarized, the activity includes: (1) Framing has progressed on a fairly large, rectangular building in the southwest corner of the site, where per- sonnel accommodations are located. The uprights were visible on This building could be a mess hall. (2) Scaffolding is now present at the east entrance to the arched-roof building, possibly in preparation for con- -3- TOP SECRET ~ Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 TOP SCPT (3) 25X1 25X1 25X1 struction of a retaining wall. Scaffolding was noted at the opposite entrance on A group of 10 men is 25X1 at the building. Some are at the entrance and others on the arched-roof. (See Figure 6.) A large frame structure in the woods just north of tent area, which was not roofed on photography of 25X1 is now roofed. In the support area, nine of approximately twenty-five large tents, and eight of approximately twenty smaller tents, are no longer in evidence. This suggests that personnel have been moved into barracks or that construction workers have left the site. 2. Site 2 (22-41-OON 83-15-OOW) Last coverage: Low-level a. Readiness Status This site has a full operational capability. b. Supporting Evidence Three of the four launch positions are visible on the latest photog- raphy. The erectors previously located at these positions have been moved. The fourth launch position can be identified but poor quality photography precludes detailed interpretation. Of the three launch positions observed, two launch stands, and probably a third, are still in place. Cabling from the launch stand to the junction and to the control center is visible at two launch positions; at the third, cabling connects only the junction and control center. Three missile transporters, plus one probable missile transporter, are visible and have not been moved from previously reported positions. Five missile-ready tents are still visible. TOP Sltl C; ff T 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 TOP SEC RET c. Significant Trends Nine to ten large tents, about 50 percent of total tentage, are no longer present. This again suggests that personnel have moved to more permanent quarters or that construction personnel have departed from the area. Some improvement of the site has taken place. The POL dump is now being fenced. Three large, horizontal tanks have been added to the pre- viously reported tanks. The five vehicle revetments previously reported are now camouflaged, as are two tents in the same area. Hardstands were being constructed on at the entrances of two missile-ready tents. On photographic evidence indicates that the sides of these tents have been rolled up and a complete foundation was observed. The twin - 30mm AAA position is still present; the 57mm AAA position was not covered by the latest photography. 3. Site 3 (22-42-40N 83-08-25W) Last coverage: Low-level a. Readiness Status The site has a full operational capability. b. Supporting Evidence Three of the four launch-positions are visible. Since the erectors have been moved from these positions. The launch stands and cabling are in place. c. Significant Trends Some shift of equipment appears to have taken place. The heavily camouflaged missile transporter observed on has been moved. Two probable oxidizer trailers are parked on the north side of the launch site. Netting or canvas has been placed over most of the prepared surfaces between the ready tents and launch positions. TOP S CEEY Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 TOP SECRET with gravel are noted in the area. Additional construction sinceL -1 25X1 is noted at the arched-roof building, now near completion. Scaffolding ig present at the front of the structure. Approximately the same number of tents remain in the area. A radar van and another piece of associated equipment is located near the AAA site. prepared and an eighth excavation has been started. Dump trucks loaded 25X1 25X1 25X1 The last of the eight barracks-type buildings in the support area has been roofed since A roller and grader are working on a hard 25X1 surface in front of these buildings. Construction activity is evident at the 7 previously observed excavations near the AAA site. Foundations are being 4. Site 4 (22-46-55N 82-58-50W) (See Figure 5.) Last coverage: Low-level 25X1 25X1 a. Readiness Status This site has a full operational capability. b. Supporting Evidence This is the first coverage of Site 4 since 25X1 At two of the launch positions, the erectors remain in positions as observed on Friday. At one launch point, an uncovered erector is visible but it has been pulled back from the launch stand. This erector was not visible on The fourth erector remains in the same position 25X1 as was observed on Friday. Within a four day period, additional aggregate was added to the front of this launch stand and also to the road leading to the missile ready tent. There are now six missile-ready tents, one having been erected between the One of the missile 25X1 transporters observed on has been moved. In the area where 25X1 fuel trailers were visible on Friday, there are two separate groups of canvas-covered vehicles. These cannot be identified because of canvas screening. Construction activity continues in the support area on four new building foundations. Dump trucks with aggregate are observed approaching the area. TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 c. Significant Trends 25X1 25X1 25X1 Between I considerable LJ/~ construction and site improvement was accomplished. There is no evidence to indicate that this site was being deactivated when observed on the 25X1 Conversely, further improvement was underway and the site remained operational. At least one launch position was being hard-surfaced. Sagua La Grande MRBM Area 5. Site 1 (22-43-44N 80-01-40W Last coverage: Low-level 25X1 25X1 a. Readiness Status This site is considered to have a full operational capability. b. Supporting Evidence Two of the four' launch positions were observed on poor quality, oblique photography. These positions were also observed on 25X1 An erector not apparent on is now observed to 25X1 the rear of one of the launch stands. A canvas-covered missile transporter is located on the road adjacent to this launch position. The other launch position has been covered with additional canvas screening since Saturday and all equipment is obscured. Fuel and oxidizer transporters, observed in the area on have been moved and cannot be located 25X1 on the latest photography. The cement work observed and reported in Supplement 9 is now complete at two of the three missile-ready tent foundations. The foundation for the third missile-ready tent was under active construction at the moment of photography on the- 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 TOP S CRET c. Significant Trends Evidence indicates that this site was not being deactivated when observed on the latest photography. The continuing construction activity on the missile -ready building foundation clearly indicates site improvement. 6. Site 2 (22-39-1ON 79-51-5~W Last coverage: Low-level a. Readiness Status This site is considered to have a full operational capability. b. Supporting Evidence Four of the launch positions were observed on the latest photo- graphic coverage. Since two erectors have been removed from their launch positions. One erector remains pulled back, as ,reported in Supplement 9. One launch position may have the erector in place; if it is, it is heavily screened by canvas. The launch stands remain at the four launch positions. In at least two of these, the cabling can be observed. Nine oxidizer trailers remain in the same position in which they were located on Saturday. Three of five fuel trailers observed pre- viously have remained stationary. The area in which the remaining oxidizers and fuel trucks were last observed was not covered by the latest photography. Sixteen pre-cast concrete arches have been hauled to the probable nuclear weapons storage building site, have been offloaded, and have been partially camouflaged. (See Figure 7.) These were observed in transit on c. Significant Trends No evidence exists that this site is being deactivated. Heavy camouflage is evident, and improvements in the canvas screens have been made. The fact that it was raining at the time of the latest coverage may -8- U P R1C' 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 I 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 TOP S _CR T account for the overall lack of personnel activity in the site area. The limited photographic evidence available does not permit determination of any site construction or improvement. Guanajay IRBM Area 7. Site 1 (22-57-OON 82-39-25) Last coverage: Low-level This site was not covered by photography on It is estimated that this IRBM site could have an emergency operational capa- bility on 15 November and full operational capability by 1 December. 8. Site 2 (22-57-25N 82-36-55MD Last coverage: Low-level a. Readiness Status It is estimated that this site will have an emergency operational capability by 1 December and a full operational capability by 15 December. b. Supporting Evidence No change. c. Significant Trends Only one of the missile control buildings and the rectangular building are observable. No other items at the site are visible due to the extreme obliquity of the photography. The observable buildings are still intact. Remedios IRBM Area 9. Site 1 (22-25-OON 79-35-OOW) -9- TOP S (1:CCP T Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 Top SECRET Last coverage: Low-level a. Readiness Status - 10- This site could have an emergency operational capability by 1 December and a full operational capability by 15 December. b. Supporting Evidence Photography of revealed that one launch control building was nearly complete and, the other had its vertical framework in place. Construction of the launch pads had progressed. c. Significant Trends The limited coverage and the poor quality of the photography on preclude a determination of the continuation or suspension of con- struction. The launch pad areas are barely identifiable. Good quality, reveals a normal motor pool operation. Several vehicles are being repaired at the time of photography. vertical photography of a limited part of the support area on TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 TOP SECRET 25X1 25X1 Supply and Logistics (No change) Coastal Defense (No change) Air Defense 15. Tentative FLINT analysis available 30 October indicates that C- Band FRUITSET signals have been intercepted from 17 of the 24 SA-2 site locations in Cuba. Reports of S-Band FRUITSET signals have not been confirmed. Command guidance signals were also recovered from two sites, Chambas and Santa Lucia. SPOONREST signals have been intercepted from 22 of the SA-2 site locations. With the exception of the intercept from the Senado SA-2 site on 19 October, all of these intercepts have been ob- tained on or since 26 October. These intercepts include signals from the Los Angeles site area near Banes where U-2 wreckage was found. TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78T05449A000200150001-5 lrol,o s "c i 16. The locations with which C-Band FRUITSET signals and SPOON- REST signals are tentatively associated are as follows: Site FRUITSET SPOONREST Bahia Honda x X Havana x X La Coloma x X Mariel x X Matanzas x X San. Julian x X Santa Lucia x X Caibarien x X Sagua La Grande x X Sancti Spiritus x X Los Angeles x X Chaparra x X Jiguani x X Manzanillo - X Manati x X Senado x X Chambas x X Esmeralda x X Santiago de Cuba - X Cabanas - X Deleite - X Ciego de Avila - X Tactical Missiles (No change) II CJ ~j' SS: : Ir"R ":T Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78T05449A000200150001-5 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78T05449A000200150001-5 Total Identified TABLE 1 SUMMARY OF MRBM AND IRBM THREAT IN CUBA Status as of 2200 hours on 30 October 1962 Probably Planned Total Identified Probably Deployed* Missiles Total Identified Prob Basic Load** MRBM - Range 1020-nm (non-rotating earth) San Cristob (2 regts) Sagua La Grande (1 regt) al 4 4 16 16 23 32 24 24, 33 48 IRBM - Range 2200-nm (non-rotating earth) Guanajay 2 2 8 under . 8 0 16 (1 regt) construction 25X1 LOA I Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78T05449A000200150001-5 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78T05449A000200150001-5 TABLE 1 (Continued) Sites Probably Planned Total Identified Remedios (l regt) Total I Identified Probably Deployed Total Identified Prob Basic Load** 2 4under 8 0 16 construction IRBM TOTAL 3 4 12 under construction GRAND TOTAL 9 10 36 40 33 80 This reflects an estimate of 8 operational launchers authorized per regiment. This reflects an estimate of 16 operational missiles per regiment. 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78T05449A000200150001-5 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 Top SECRET U) a O ?-~ st N M? N N 4) cu, 0 U ;4 fd -+ 0 fd cd 4) 0 O +~ H U) N 4) 10 bio xz 0 0 o 0 N O 0 IN O O O 0 O O O N O M O M M 1 N M ~' d+ l O do M .O Lf) di \O N .p t!1 Lf) '0 L \O O r+ N 0 \O .O O N O o, %-O .O O M O O O M 00 N 0 o 00 00 o O o M di O O 00 \O N N cd 10 0 U) 1-4 N M ~{l U 4) 4) 4) 4) .11 (d U) cc En U) cc TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 'O 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 TOP SECRET U U TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 U U U U U U - ? U U N 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Denied Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 SAN CRISTOBAL MRBM COMPLEX SITE I SITE 2 SITE 3 GUANAJAY IRBM COMPLEX SITE 1 SITE 2 SAGUA LA GRANDE MRBM COMPLEX REMEDIOS IRBM COMPLEX FEA rd III III IIII III L I I - m +-mmm 7 r-T - FIGURE 1. SUMMARY OF PHOTOGRAPHIC COVERAGE OF OFFENSIVE MISSILE SITES IN CUBA. Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 0 C f 25X1 I~ 25X1 2200 hrz 30 OCTOBER 1962 1S M T W TUESDAY 14 15 16 17 SAN CRISTOBAL MRBM COMPLEX CENTRAL AREA SAGUA LA R GLANDE' MRBM COMPEX SITE 1 SITE 2 REMEDIOS IRBM COMPLEX T 18 19I O 211 22M 3I 24W 5I26I 27I28S I 9I 0 31 NPIC -5 101611 PN OTO COVERAGE OBTAINED. HIGH ALTITUDE LOW ALTITUDE MINIMAL COVERAGE Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 ? FULL OPERATIONAL CAPABILITY IS ACHIEVED WHEN A SITE HAS REACHED A STEADY STATE F READINESS WITH THE ABILITY TO SALVO ITS FIRST MISSILE LOAD WITHOIN ABOUT 6 TO 8 HOURS ANO WITH THE ABILITY TO REFIRE WITHIN 4 TO G HOURS. Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 0 '~u u u u 25X1 LV/\ 1 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 TOP SECRET TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 i m a MISSILE READY TENTSL Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 TO SECRET ter ERECTOR (UNCOVERED) AND LAUNCH STAN TOP ~SECR T Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Denied Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78TO5449A000200150001-5 Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78T05449A000200150001-5 TOP SECRET TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2007/09/04: CIA-RDP78T05449A000200150001-5