IMPACT ON THE CAMBODIAN ECONOMY OF CLOSING THE MEKONG RIVER

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Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP78T02095R000800040030-5
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RIFPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
18
Document Creation Date: 
December 12, 2016
Document Release Date: 
January 7, 2002
Sequence Number: 
30
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
December 14, 1967
Content Type: 
MEMO
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Approved For Release 2002/01/29 : CIA-RDP78T02'095R000800040030-5, Dir.-actora:tce of intelligence 14 Dece2.1be.r 1967 Li pact on the Carrbac ianx Econo;r`y o'~G1G~azic,-i?~~iir,?1Ybia{! v:3'~ ..Ixe r.ajor direct effect on the czu-ouian econo:e:y if the I?f kong were closed to shipping to and from Ph.noa Penh would be a short--tore, petroleum shorta< e. This in turn would result in a cutback in electric power production and in the internal distribution of goods. some ad just-~on lij in the pattern and volume of foreign track would also be necessary but they would not br. sic-nif.icant. v ith for ;i.gn technical a^::~i.' tance CF :_ bodice could adapt it:a potroleur distribution juste: to t tha clo=3inq of this 1:C'r'ef7n wit' in two t'..) thA.o,:) lion 4+~s a .1 CaA-:i.)odia wore a.equ j rf d to cope with the petroleur:, probl+.ei without forei'jn Ikiote: ~Thi n morandum wao produced by CIA. It was prepared bL, the office of t,oonoraic Research and was coord Snate::l z v`,tt tote Office of Current Intelhjenee; the ectirrateo and coneZuaiona roprosent t e beat Judgment of th. Directorate; of IntctZZiJenae as of 14 December 2067. Approved For Release 2002/01/29 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800040030-5 Approved For Release 2002/01/2? -;CIAf7P78T02095R000800040030-5 .Y 3 I10 F Li7... i~,~ ~..?'1l~l E assistance, the tir:;e required would be considerably longer and t hc. econnomic disruption pore severe. They would not, however, prevent the raintenance of essential activities such as food production and distribution. The inability to r-,ove goods through the port ofc Phnor:: Penh would double the voluine of traffic to be handled at ihanoufcvillo and exceed that port's. current rated cargo handling capacity. however, the shortfall could be abaorbed by the rapid e: pansion of Sihanoukville's facilities and by the use of alternative ports such as Ka:kipot or ,Kep, With the exception of tank cars and barges needed to move petrol.eui , the rail and road systems are now adequate to handle other foreign trade cargoos (s(-,,e the r,yap) . Approved For Release 2002/01/29 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800040030-5 Approved For Release 2002/01/29,': 1 RDQ78T02095R000800040030-5 The x iportanco of tho Mekong Rivera to C-u bodice 1. All but a negligible portion of Carubodia's foreign trade moves by water through Sihanoukville accessible from the Gulf of Siam, and Phnom Penh, Which requires transiting the Plekong River. Rela- tively orlual volumes of cargoes tran it both ports, Sihanoukville handling somewhat the larger share of exports, and P, o:t Y101h a slightly heavier vale- e of imports (see Tab 1.es 1 and 2). Ships which sail up the Mekong River pass through South Victna,Lese territory. 2. Under the terms of a tripartite agreement signed by Carbodia, Vietnam, and Laos in 1954, ships flying the flags of the contracting countries, and of the countries which recognize these countries diplomatically, are allowed freedom of navigation on the Mekong. Until October 1964, controls over international shipping proceeding through South Vietnam up the Mekong to Cambodia were minimal. A South Vietnamese pilot and customs official accorm,-- panied each ship, but there was no inspection of cargoes and cargo spaces. Under control regulations issued by the government of South Vietnam 'in October 1964 and,, January 1965, (a) Corunist-flag ships and Approved For Release 2002/01/29 : CIA-RDP78T02095R000800040030-5 S~~,~ -1 Approved For Release 2Q/(,1d2 P 8 20958000800040030-5 Table 1 Cambodia : The Volume and Distribution of Imports, by Port 1965-66 and January-September 1967 Volume in Thousand ,!etric Tons Phnom Penh Sihanoukville Volume Percent Volume Percent Total 1965 279.0 51.3 264.7 48.7 543.7 1966 297.5 51.8 .277.1 48.2 574.6 `1967 (January-September) 252.4 55.8 200.1 44.2 452.5 Cambodia: The Volume and Distribution of Exports, by Port a/ 1965-66 and January-August 1967 Volume in Thousand Metric Tons Phnom Penh Sihanoukville Volume Percent Volume Percent Total 1965 313.1 39.0 489.5 61.0 802.6 1966 219.5 44.5 273.8 55.5 493.3 1967 (January-August) 144.6 42.8 193.1 57.2 337.7?- a. The data in this table are unclassified. SECRET Approved For Release 2002/01/29 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800040030-5 Approved For Release 2002/01/29 : CIA-RDP78T02095R000800040030-5 Cambodia: The Distribution of Imports, by Commodity and Port January - September 1967 a/ Military Metals and Total Petroleum Coal Cement Foodstuffs Supplies Metal Products Other Thousand Metric Tons Total 452.5 180.3 14.0 101.1 14.2 0.5 24.7 117.7 z Ph ' 0 nom Penh b/ 252.4 174.5 4.8 0.5 17.4 55.2 07 C1 Sihanoukville 200.1 5.8 14.0 96.3 13.7 0.5 7.3 62.5 xj oC/) fi fJt Phnom Penh b/ ih 55.8 96.8 4.7 3.5 70.4 46.9 S anoukville 44.2 3.2 100.0 95.3 96.5 100.0 29.6 53.1. 0 0 a. The distribution pattern for January-September 1967 does not differ significantly from patterns for the same periods of 1965 and 1966. ' b. Including cargo in transit for Laos and petroleum deliveries to Kompong Cham and Tonle Bet. Approved For Release 2002/01/29 : CIA-RDP78T02095R000800040030-5 Approved For Release 2002/01IW `CIA RDP78T02095R000800040030-5 ships and cargoes from Communist ports are prohibited from entering. the Mekong, (b) South Vietnamese permission is required for the movement of weapons, an ,munition, and commodities of military significance, and (c) inspection of all cargoes is authorized. Communist cargoes now use the port of Sihanoukville. 3. Additional restrictions were adopted in late 1966 because of the growing concern of South Vietnamese and allied military authorities that supplies were being off-loaded from Free World ships into Viet Cong sampan-s along the Mekong. Since the middle of Nove.nwer 1966, all Free, World freighters transiting the Mekong River to Phnom Penh have been required to sail in convoys escorted by South Viet- namese gunboats. Four round-trip convoys a month operate between Cap-Saint Jacques and Tan Chau near the Car:Ubodian border. .South Vietnam permits a maximum convoy turnaround time of only 72 hours in Cambodia. 4. Except for temporary disruptions in November 1966 and October 1967, the additional restrictions have had little effect on the volume of shipping at Phnom Penh. Despite the convoy restriction, the volume of shipments to Phnom Penh was higher in the first three quarters of 1967 than in the first three quarters of. 1966. Approved For Release 2002/01/29 : CIA-RDP78T02095R000800040030-5 Approved For Release 2002/01/2&;:GIA-RDP78T02095R000800040030-5 5. Petroleum accounts for about seventy per-- cent of the imports delivered to Phnom Penh, most of which are consumed in the heavily populated area surrounding the city (see Table 3). Approxi- mately,half of the petroleum is used by motor vehicles. Another third is consumed by thermal generators, the country's sole source of electric power, and the remainder goes to househcalds, air- craft and the railroad system. Specific data on commodities exported via Phnom Penh are unavail- able, but rice, rubber and corn -- Cambodia's principal exports -- probably account for most of the export cargoes. Alternative Ports 6. During the first 9 months of 1967, the .port of Sihanoukville accounted for about 400,000 metric tons of imports and exports, an average of 44,000 tons per month or about 1,500 tons per day. Currently, Sih anou::ville is conservatively esti- mated to have a capacity of 67,000 tons per month or about 2,200 tons per day.* * A port expansion program is under way, but progressing slowly.. It was planned to expand the capacity of the port to one million tons per year by the end of 1967 from the current capacity of 800,000 tons, but this goal apparently will not be not. Approved For Release 2002/01/29 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800040030-5 Approved For Release 2002( ~/~9, c Cho-RDP78T02095R000800040030-5 i a thtc: first nine months of 1967 the ;total voly= of imports and exports moved through Phnom Penh amounted to about 400,000 tons. If arl of this traffic were shifted to Sihanoukville, the vol.uine.required to be moved through sihanoukville would be double the current volume and would exceed rated port capacity by about 000 tons per day. however, except for petroleum imports, the capacity at Sihanoukville could be expanded quickly and accoj,,mcdato the ivi; ort and export traffic which normally moves through Phnom Penh. (Patroleu ivport problems are discussed in paragraph 12, below) . 8. The port of Sihanoukville has an inproved natural harbor with no defined outer limits. The rain pier is "L" shaped for use by deep-draught ships and has a frontage of 935 feet. Small craft use the breakwater, and lighters use the rock- faced quay. Lightoring operations are conducted from an anchorage area just north of the main pier. There is an unlimited anchorage for deep- draught vessels in an area northwest of Sihanouk- ville from which lightoring?operations can )~)o conducted. Etpansion of the capacity of the port Approved For Release 2002/01/29 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800040030-5 Approved For Release 200210112b : CIA-RbP78TO2095R000800040030-5 in terms s of fix':d ?hore:Ud.e facilities is proceed- iing lccrly. to:revor, the capacity of the port can be o:cpanded very quickly by using a ship's gear for unloading into lighter; and by importing additional nobile cranes for unloading the lighters and bar. in addition to the two main ports or :lihanou',.vilie and Phnom Penh, there are four minor ports on the Gulf of Sian ---- Kar pot, t:ep, Len Darn, and Ream -- which offer at least some expansion possibilities. X:artnot was connected with Phnom Penh by railroad in larch 1967, and offers the greatest pro-miso for supplemonting the port of Sihanoukvi.llo in the event that the Mekong River were denied for shipping to and from Cambodia. There is no anchorage for ocean- going ships at Z:armpot, but there is linited anchorage for e mall ocean-type craft. Cep is cleared only by a secondary road, Ream by a road leadizlg to the Friendship Ificsh?way, which connects Sihanoukvillo and Phnom Penh, and Lon Dt,r is located on an island. Land Trams t Sillanolukville-Phroia Penh 10. The railroad from Phnom Penh to Sihanouk- ville is not expectod to be completed until Approved For Release 2002/01/29 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800040030-5 Approved For Release 2002/0 FI ; GIA {RD] P78T02095R000800040030-5 January 1969, but at present two mixed passenger and freight trains travel each way per day between Phnom Penh and Kampot, which has a connecting road to Sihanoukville. The. capacity of this section of the railroad is about 15 trains each way per day. Equipment on the Cambodian railroad in not well maintained and consists of about 24 steam loco- motives, a few diesel locomotives, some 50 passenger cars, and about 480 freight cars. The nui;+ber of petroleum tank cars is not known, but in March 196-1 it was reported that an order had been placed for 40 units. Altogether, Cambodia has about 560 kilometers of railroads in the western half of the country. 11. Cambodia has some 5,000 kilometers of highways, of which almost half are bituminous surfaced. The major routes radiate from Phnom Penh and extend to most of the country. The routes to the south of Phnom Penh have the greatest capacity. Route 4, the Friendship Highway, is the major route between Sihanoukville and Phnom Penh. It has a capacity of about 8,700 tons each way per day and is the principal means of clearing the port of Sihanoukville. Route 3 Approved For. Release 2002/01/29 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800040030-5 Approved For Release 20021101/29: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800040030-5 fr!(1 1 ;,1:'-f N f1SS M is an alternate road hic l ~110o server Ya-, .ot. it has a Capacity of aLout 3 , t'O 0 tvn .' Traci: way per day. Therc are about 8 , 300 motor trucks in t:,C civilian sector acid 2,700 in the military for a total of soms_11,000 units. Ca c.iJ.t.1_ Gr~.~ to ? :;hnor, Penh. v:owever, so: