TRANSMITTAL OF MEMORADUM ENTITLED "SOUTH VIETNAM: ESTIMATED MANPOWER BALANCE, AGE GROUP 15-45, 1967"

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP78T02095R000800020016-2
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
15
Document Creation Date: 
December 20, 2016
Document Release Date: 
May 31, 2006
Sequence Number: 
16
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
June 23, 1967
Content Type: 
MEMO
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AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP78T02095R000800020016-2.pdf1.44 MB
Body: 
Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78T02095R000800020016-2_ . 2 3 ~ MEMOBA 1 PORt Special Asceistaznt for Vietnamese Aefaiare THROUGH S Deputy Director for xntell,igence SUB CT t Transmittal of Memorandum Entitled "South Vietnam: Estimated Manpower Balance, Age Group 15.15, 1967,1 1. T'ransnnitted herewith is the memorandum on the manpower balance in South Vietnam that you requested for Ambassador Deonhart's office. 2. Because of the data problems noted in the memorandtun, this has turned out to be an exploratory study with the con? elusions indicating a broad range of possibilities. Moreover,,, we have not attempted to distribute the derived residuals by geographic areas, because the low degree of accuracy that could be achieved from existing data would make sucha distribution almost meaningless. 3. It appears that surveys ire currently underway i Saigon to improve the data base. As additional, statietica become available, we will hope Uy be in a position to im< 25X1 prove on th..s initial effort.. Acting Director Research Reporta Attachment s As stated. Distx tis:sni (IS-2345) 1.,o r.")4x 11-r zt PH . 2.0/1 (23 Jun; `) State, USAID, DIA, OSD reviews completed 23 June WT On file Department of Commerce release instructions appl I~rLJi1L"~ bad i; ~i9, GA Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78T02095R000800020016-2 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 A, ~IY1Mt~M ~'K1M1Y~aitfltiW:taW~AV4M+MVV" i{yhftlMM11~1{~ill~~e~" Air O* 0Nc a* *OUMtfb 2~ &40 %567 ,XCm Wet CU03 o" 44 slim, t* t4 A"** t Amt t x* o awl a 1 ut, It U4 *but e" t COWO . 4*0 i tV t .4 .t ai Vu or f0 a, 44 v t . V3&t * D o g wor~dt=ut b" t"*u ' A to t s ay tU Or` V1 tCauS ;wr 4 P"mat, Ox *,heft Vi Co I a Utz VOL t L)E.r Cdri Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 ! t ,: r Us It VLF g"a$ q to xdt d =Uale ee4l=U or the d'* ` xoto=mw 'Oftics *now a wig o 1 * t4 t 4 , VUft Cow, an mudug t at mt sue w Qrs WUtI mat t## have "W10 StwOu6s of ~rR? zott-muc Viii 4t"t "1 rwah CPA? 1A th& 1 * r iur4o -04 tbezro -has t 40- A a .' r ~3~. s iii- ~ ~.$.r~. `~ + , '4 C Y ~p.,' 7i~4~C~9WfLi` , ~ aPcMwwra/7x ut w '~ a or thm *IUAloa dF ~i"w"+~ '~~,~ ~-' ~& die r u i 4 4 Ua m Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 a# Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 . c ai t t mst'io@ at sm" V t 1* uW4.- GVqtr; 9. t (14,,j d ) La vw# wA&r VV c at r14 wA t t"3. 1Z juit"trazt44 4za,. 4 A 1 O . * x %b*' ti iz* VC, a. T Z* t4G XW the QUA AU*Q *Ad ,a. or >t Viet Owc r.'s iucluar4g x4litaty O.t 1 c AU1 7* tot-4006 4 $00000., 44 o 4+.4. sinio4 4 Irk v e *'cr, 1 , V*t Smith viouax or 944 w awvent to "u1t t4 1, 914j=. 1 2 . t zi-Uitawy varvll oz# twtiou4 cop. ' :UtV I7 c V4 U o 044 civil * e UM4 *IVY%M * sw um a L O. 0-tuchod *,wurxtoi u taid 0 = 4r~ Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 auva Ut ti- &a t 4414"Ct to +> ' h ti- a w oxtw4 r Wt, cwtiq9 . U* 41.t of %-bUh 2* 14 Ana ft.- wo gro Ceti w 014 = 0& 1 W X aw lots . a 44L&V* %w R t' V-WOttlm Lu Viet cads ts; mauziou at t t ;+- Viet Cam W .Us S,EPUig F.- T Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 .Neat ag-ro ax 26641 ' t Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 14 'czt1= o of I 3 Lt*rj v dws act Ot irot ; , ,*a 9 o?t aba i i"re"$Ag z .1 +*? c x vsrto # ecti Mt C049 rgczultjt 4 JrU-U1 t, A 5 rc4At t WO AVU$r t59 our wwwwtica *a TU:u .t t& t G Starr force* t ti VC-CWAMU04 txic *- "ausift cc t h"* tidy in "raga t A ' L a i In t fro .?' 3o# to O? . my vmeur, t ms %uac u 4t,31, ft utul ar co. .Zo n=,Uv.% al i iv "lea . the VO-emtmlUd v v*QA toy 1oto is 400,000. A sttet3 o .ttla'aa tz vt to t' tvhtty 89' : was tax Qr twty a Viet ;, a tax 0"., x;14' 1-5 AM104 o t y av b31 t* t VC,, *1!&t log t r jit a" "Vowd to i e t a w*vrvitto with the Viet Cores. ra uu* to t ' c " t muuti i la t tt* w"t a , Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 '4 r.Y \:Iwy venue or the Viet Goa . ..tthou 1 voman have e3?w yo Dived i x at a 14 Vi eta*s" cu3.turr it 10 otM ameeepoe r to have eble ' bolted zm ss poem certain of tho tso lu r#.c e 'a r ra";. It in not -oosib3 , without 601, ,o 1c o' 'Prodttctivr3:ty,. t1 x,efor for t ha Viet Cow to moo into eer c e of the Obler mate Aro the tam$* 3 tr ti _ pf the 1at3x r to All of suutioa ado 14 thi,o study ere iwcxwtezt to the re 1to,, butt to oc thoa , ra-taia,3,.. ee am the 4910 di lzt4bUtioax aunt tho c 414ribution of the popuUtioz ;a a~cardi a the a a of a o1. In the al leme ' z' t,$ ate #za used the z age distribution for the tot a 6 4tiou rear the 3*-Pn ttiou tra=der VC coat r . a nteoted avow, 4d der G atm.. It io ; oss?b , 2mwr, tb44 with the o Po tion; i'a ruM1 Mm" to the ill o C tcz'r forces the reent o ox t p is-45 re ,i ne % areas may ..er thasxz in Paz eea. Since VC coo,.. cxd contested areas P rwax, tblo awe t zt u carer Vareenta of the ulatiou in. the areas iou the, total po mt ion i* ix IZIO OW .15-45. If 'who 00 arova 4 ;x re gress uto for exo4wies o '? scant of the totes. ; n tip i YC c rztx. Iled avA eouteste,+i ( ) areas.,. a t d or ' 4,5 ream .uaaaod.. the 2. MU31011 aav" b3 jtOXY Doe Ito; would. ' r+c d to ubotit- Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 2.2 M,i Uion# axe the 1.0 to 14, x4Ui4.Q Vero=s rga+ i3,y ? allab for VU4 Ccu recr tmat 'c u1 bg reduced to about fir ,. Q:C hi.CU *104t- !9O,+ voAld be =lea. 1Q. Sir.L1ar3r, the ram sex ratio of 47 2wrccnt ice to 53 g ,?awa st fewU has been used i+or the total ?o, ala Lion ara : the tttz a lwd axr aoutxo1, to cor to att aaretn , a ztd u4 GM Qoxstro1.. miamtion to.bx was and. the :ing cam" xis for .tar r czaz h irsca~.:~zsed the. Varaentq;e of rcmlas the Xjra stic s , '} c;uestioa is w$i rur, are-au digit ti ', tion Shit Covet a s au ti. axe in this atucj us to tho z .+s-i'a=U 3 io by areo is coaois au . with the u t1oa that the t crulte 4 or iwn tho wosa it toatro z. Mut. aotw o tho C raerultm-at met hsva cozy from other . Y i? 1es In the VC*contz c .3 and x teatad as st a.U rural, vorrz a =oh as 60 xMarit Of t Za o3 3 .ati *n i w ed. of eR 53 zcar:2t aBUi 2 the Mae p Asti oezt .i.O MIU1 asti:;Irited to 8VU114o .. i'r r tx at by the Viot Coxj. vou3A be red=44 to about 8W#000,* aud t t ssaux woad r aLw t bl+ wou14 .ut r as lout 34O,O ?, P TT L. -# LL 1 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 A41111 0"V MU AD CzAng ~ws.S4.1aMr Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 MA eaumli to7i 4 '004 U4,bCh W2. t4taluto or ztUtU4110A V,* V"# X034, !tiT7 K! ''$R 4riil ^FM~'~1F7Z' 1w"YIrAti/~iiy~~'~F 1?f'.JF'3.'?~ A1!.fr; gy'p' a *4 c V4 v au, ~"> -' ~?~aL~1r' a 69W+WY1aW W.yrN 0 qP WO estto , esumt* or -4-4.6 Pon, is ,tG'amt or 49-"i w t ` moio V am a t"T 104 Z*r t o . Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 ,hoez Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 Tota* 011 1144Z 4, ru, x19. a-vu y z ra+ ar , 4 tie s **;VU4 . tbai +'. gWi ' i uat 40144=4 ' ZAI& 4 u=4 I1 1144rozkus ' AZ "tltv*- 1140* &W4 zo kywa U0, revulial Of 14%V4 Ox k4,- 4kcal-ZO, W44 .P *M444. t Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 TA M, It-ZOMIC tn*W- am Zor the V MI*+mou t-ok"Aw4m z*r" 6.111 ,$ 1963V .24ett A44 aro as ;5der1 ion V. a v it to Uzed C4 a j Uz4a 3 * va atut I a, .1.0 Qat& t 64 44xt or o ' C 7AtL 4#40,0= d tai st-a 1-5"$,? , s 3"A toit 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CI A-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 2.5 Pere-ot ot the ol4 of 3,j4# to amplapd in V Privatt wxUw L it zic turel t c do State; u z 1 rc lc Asarf& 7 hi ,O ats abl~*r Vd"Uuc 6 f lit Or 1 U 'iWWO& SA;PZIVU%e ads 4=V t in t total ? t w '3 tr4urprieva in -sal~ Vera Mau ca 3x Porceat f4=100 Ubtu p r i Olght P V S O girA 304U Vitta= chavea a =2gP-tV w or W-40 44 r * *rr r7 la tit vita r Ut L th VVs A *o vd z 5 rm '1r 1967* me 4 Pexuat. bVCV14. x mumd 'br" w?n voma etd the Uw =m' vat, 1967 t411-61 9150) ,~O"' ' antho ctumd 1 thou Lc . V s or SxQ Cussed Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 by &M IV4T Ohio qtz-matus'a 04 WA C. to G # N '& do t I Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000800020016-2 1 e wj' r* *S* , .t, f h '!f -i0x ?x134 are t MAU an t ~ t 7 rArrQaaa " tivu* a r mmt 4urv c 3u * tr tue Gott Cha t or ' or i ; au i x kith 0 Iw4cuttd tbAt, C U A uwu-w ab 16 r4 43 . c,,z ' the burVI' un * dwt.o l %r exto ' 94 A ?t .*s ov 45 A *a aactimt,04 asu,s+a r-t -*=4Uz vv U the jtt .w age groq* &.-A ut o too o 34 to L : W r~ '.-` :u of 3,14ag 12.,13* T44UO 6D.. 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