COMMUNIST VIOLATIONS OF THE VIETNAM AND LAOS SETTLEMENT AGREEMENTS

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP78T02095R000700080026-0
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RIPPUB
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T
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20
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December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
March 19, 2009
Sequence Number: 
26
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Publication Date: 
April 27, 1973
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REPORT
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Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000700080026-0 NSA review completed ARMY review(s) completed. Tenth Report COMMUNIST VIOLATIONS OF THE VIETNAM AND LAOS SETTLEMENT AGREEMENTS (This report covers the week from 20 April through 26 April 1973) Top Secret DIA review(s) completed. 25X1 25X1 This memorandum has been prepared jointly by the Central Intelligence Agency and the Department of Defense Top Secret 25 Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000700080026-0 25X1 Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000700080026-0 Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000700080026-0 Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78T02095R000700080026-0 27 April 1973 Tenth Report COMMUNIST VIOLATIONS OF THE VIETNAM AND LAOS SETTLEMENT AGREEMENTS* (This report covers the week from 20 April through 26 April 1973) The Key Points The only new North Vietnamese infiltrators de- tected starting south during the week were about 80 non-combat personnel--civil and mili- tary specialists. Heavy North Vietnamese logistic activity con- tinues, however, all along the Ho Chi Minh trail in southern Laos and in northern South Vietnam. We have received further evidence that the Com- munists are continuing to construct roads which parallel the Ho Chi Minh trail system, but are located wholly inside South Vietnam. They are also extending a road toward Sa Huynh in Quang Ngai Province, a town which they tried to capture for a seaport at the time of the ceasefire. Combat activity during the week was at a low level in both South Vietnam and Laos. * This report has been prepared jointly by the Central Intelligence Agency and the Department of Defense. Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78T02095R000700080026-0 Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78T02095R000700080026-0 The Details NOTE: This is the tenth in a series of reports de- tailing recently received evidence of (a) Communist efforts to infiltrate new manpower and military ma- teriel toward and into South Vietnam, and (b) Com- munist-instigated combat activity in violation of the Vietnam and Laos settlement agreements. A. Infiltration and Redeployments of North Viet- namese Personnel 1. The only new North Vietnamese infiltrators noted departing North Vietnam during the past week were in one small group of civil and military special- ists. Seven other small groups of specialists, who probably left North Vietnam about a month ago, were detected for the first time farther south in the in- filtration system. All together, these eight groups total only some 200 men. 2. For over a month, we have been carrying an estimate of 35,000 North Vietnamese personnel who have infiltrated into South Vietnam or adjacent border areas since 28 January (25,000 of whom were in the pipeline as of that date, and 10,000 of whom started the trip south after that date). As a re- sult of a careful re-appraisal of all available evi- dence, both CIA and DIA now conclude that the estimate of about 25,000 infiltrators in the pipeline as of 28 January remains valid, but that the estimate of new infiltrators starting the trip south since that date should be raised to 15,500--giving a new total of more than 40,000 North Vietnamese personnel who have been in the infiltration system at one time or an- other since the ceasefire went into effect. Part of this increase comes from the addition of the spe- cialist groups which we have detected infiltrating Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78T02095R000700080026-0 Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000700080026-0 in each of the recent weeks--but which individually were too small to add into our rounded totals. An- other part of the increase comes from the detection of several groups which started a month or more ago. Also, a reassessment of estimated travel times-- owing to increased use of trucks to transport in- filtrees--increased the number of post-ceasefire starts. Of the new total of over 40,000, some 3,000 to 4,500 are civil or military specialists, and the remainder are combat replacement troops. All but about 2,000 of the 40,000 have now completed their journey south and have left the infiltration pipeline. (ANNEX II, contains a more detailed discussion ortne intor~ion pertaining to North Vietnamese infiltration which was received during the past week.) 3. New evidence on the status of the 312th and 304th NVA Divisions was received this week. The headquarters of the 312th NVA Division was again identified west of Vinh, further strengthening the likelihood that this division has left, or is in the process of leaving, South Vietnam's Quang Tri Province. None of the division's subordinate reg- iments, however, has yet been identified in North Vietnam. The status of the 304th NVA division is less clear. Tenuous information has located elements of the division headquarters in the western DMZ while at the same time other elements of the division have been detected in both southern North Vietnam and northern South Vietnam. The pattern of the 304th's current deployment could mean that it is temporarily rotating some of its combat units to North Vietnam for rest and refitting or it could mean that the division actually is withdrawing entirely to the North. 4. Another NVA anti-aircraft artillery reg- iment has been identified operating in the vicinity of Khe Sanh. The regiment originally deployed from the Hanoi area in early January and arrived in south- ern Laos shortly before the 28 January Vietnam cease- fire. Subsequently, the regiment moved into South Vietnam--almost certainly after 28 January and al- most certainly in violation of the ceasefire agree- ment. The total number of line anti-aircraft Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000700080026-0 Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000700080026-0 artillery regiments now known to be operating in the Khe Sanh area is four; in addition there is one North Vietnamese SAM regiment in the area, and other AAA units subordinate to the NVA logistics structure. 5. In another development, an NVA regiment which has been operating in Binh Long Province of GVN MR 3 may have moved to Hong Ngu District in Kien Phong Province of GVN MR 4. The regiment re- portedly left Binh Long Province in late February and arrived in MR 4 in early April. If this re- deployment has in fact occurred, it would be the first interregional redeployment of a major Commu- nist unit in southern South Vietnam since the cease- fire. B. Movement of Military Equipment and Supplies To- ward and Into South Vietnam and Laos 6. The reporting period was a amain characterized by heavy Commun ' s f _ 1.oai,atjc 1 acti u t North yietnam, the Laos Panhandle, and northernouth Vietnam. Detected vehicle traffic was unusually high in the Laos Panhandle, particularly on Route 99, a main north-south road extending through the central Panhandle. Continuing NVA truck traffic was also seen on the primary feeder routes from southern Laos into the northern regions of South Vietnam. The level of NVA logistic activity within South Vietnam was down somewhat from the previous week, but there was again hard evidence of large quantities of munitions being shipped to and stored in Quang Tri. Province and the Laos/South Vietnam border region of GVN MR 1. Logistic activity in the southern part of North Vietnam continued at the level of the preceding several weeks, and truck traffic moving south through the entry corridors into Laos was also at about the same level as that observed last week. (,See Annex III, for a brief statement concerning the recent deterioration in our intelligence on truck traffic moving from North Viet- nam into Laos.) Small quantities of supplies also were seen moving from Vinh toward destinations in northern Laos. Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000700080026-0 Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78T02095R000700080026-0 7. The following instances of Communist lo- gistic activity were observed in South Vietnam during the week. Activity observed in South Vietnam prob- ably reflects supplies which have recently entered the country. (The map on the following page shows the roads and route numbers which appear below.) (a) Evidence of the following Communist road construction activity in South Vietnam was received during the re- porting period. (]) a 4-mile extension of motorable road was observed on Route 614 south of the A Shau Valley. Currently, there is an 18-mile gap between the limit of construction on Route 614 and similar road improvement activity occurring on Route 14. there was an 8- mile segment of newly constructed road extending east from Route 514 to within 5 miles of the coastal town of Sa Huynh in Quang Ngai Province. (3) a 52-mile segment of cleared road was observed ex- tending south from the Route 19 border crossing in Pleiku Prov- ince into central Darlac Province. (.b) On 20 April, the major NVA logistic unit operating in northern Quang Tri Province shipped about 210 tons of munitions southward on Route 608/616. The total included nearly 150 tons of 160-mm mortar ammunition. (c ) 42 cargo trucks were ob- served on Route 9 between Dong Ha and the Laos border (23 eastbound, 7 west- bound, 12 parked). Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78T02095R000700080026-0 \-/,~," inh (anchorage) -. ~- -North ietnam -ip Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000700080026-0 Pass l ,Ha Tiah I.. . Tha Phano Mu Gia Pass - udon iRatchathe o~ W n Chamrap 4441 Huong g Saravan 7 921 9b -969 19 _rTam Ky R h Gf0. a,. Car Tho v ryon Ban Me Th u o1 mho 006 Dong Ha Ling TM6 !,;PEC4AL ZONE Names and bound ary representation .are not necessarily authoritative South Vietnam and North Vietnam Panhandle -,-?- - - Province boundary 0110 ON Military region International Commission of Control and St pervlsion region boundary Railroad - Road - POL pipeline 25 50 75 Miles Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000700080026-0 Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000700080026-0 (d) here were 36 cargo ve- hicles parked on a feeder road running south from Route 9 southwest of Dong Ha. 13 cargo trucks were ob- served on Route 9 west of Cam Lo (7 eastbound, 6 parked). Also on that date, 16 trucks were seen on Route 1 north of Dong Ha (1 northbound, 5 south- bound, 10 parked), as well as 24 buses parked along the road. 8. During the reporting period the following indications of North Vietnamese logistic activity in southern Laos were noted. Historical precedent would suggest that much of this activity probably involved supplies destined for South Vietnam. (a) The following NVA vehicle activity was observed during the reporting period on Route 99 between Muong Nang and the route's intersection with Route 96 southeast of Ban Bac. H180 cargo vehicle (17 (2) (3) northbound, 51 southbound, 112 parked). northbound, 42 southbound, 4 parked). 47 cargo vehicles (1 parked). southbound, 67 northbound, 54 -164 cargo trucks (43 (4) I -262 cargo trucks (113 northbound, 91 southbound, 58 parked). (5) (6) northbound, 17 southbound, 80 parked). 146 cargo trucks (49 northbound, 30 southbound, 52 parked). 107 cargo vehicles (25 Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000700080026-0 Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78T02095R000700080026-0 (b) The following activity was observed on Route 92 north of Muong Nong during the reporting period: 82 cargo ve- hicles on 19 April (47 northbound, 27 southbound, 8 parked); 23 cargo ve- hicles on 20 April (5 northbound, 18 southbound); 34 cargo trucks on 23 April (20 northbound, 14 southbound); 13 trucks on 24 April (5 northbound, 8 southbound); 83 cargo trucks on 25 April (44 northbound, 39 southbound). (c) During the period 20 through 22 April, a number of NVA logistic units op- erating in the Laos Panhandle adjacent to or in GVN MR 1 handled large ship- ments of supplies, consisting primarily of ordnance and ammunition. Three unlocated storage facilities in the area were observed receiving over 2,000 tons of munitions over the three- day period. (d) On 20 April, an NVA logistic unit op- erating in the Laos Panhandle adjacent to central GVN MR 1 received a total of 95 vehicles. 40 of these moved on to an unknown destination. (e) 47 cargo vehicles were (f) Chavane (31 eastbound, 6 westbound, 10 parked). There were also 47 ve- hicles observed on this route on 24 April (34 eastbound, 7 westbound, 6 parked). there were 75 cargo trucks on Route 9211 southeast of Saravane (13 northbound, 29 southbound, 33 parked). 82 cargo ve- hicles were observed on this route (10 northbound, 70 southbound, 2 parked). 32 cargo ve- hicles were detected on the route (2 northbound, 21 southbound, 9 parked). Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78T02095R000700080026-0 Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78T02095R000700080026-0 (g) were moving on Route 9 east of Tchepone. 9. There is additional evidence of the con- tinuing movement within North Vietnam of military and other supplies which are probably destined for South Vietnam and/or Laos. (a) On 19 April, an NVA logistic unit in the southern North Vietnam Panhandle offloaded over 300 tons of foodstuffs and medical supplies from barges on the Gianh River and shipped out over 100 tons of rice. (b) On 20 April, over 90 tons of gasoline and rice were shipped on 18 trucks from Vinh westward on Route 7 to northern Laos. (c) During the period 21-23 April, over 240 vehicles were noted transiting the operational area of an NVA lo- gistic unit south of Dong Hoi. (d) On 24 April, eight cargo trucks trans- ported 41 tons of rice from a storage area'near Vinh to an NVA logistic unit located on Route 7 at the Laos border. C. Combat Activity Initiated by Communist Forces In South Vietnam Since the Ceasefire 10. In South Vietnam, the total number of Com- munist-initiated ceasefire violations reported by the South Vietnamese Armed Forces since 28 January and for the last week (20-26 April) are shown below: Military Total Since Ceasefire Last Week (20-26 Apr) Region Level of Action Level of Action Major Minor Major Minor MR 1 817 2,758 39 111 MR 2 196 1,316 10 85 MR 3 290 1,843 14 101 MR 4 444 4,047 26 277 Totals 1,747 9,964 89(11 6)1/ 574(633)1/ 1/ Denotes totals of previous week. 70 eastbound cargo trucks Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78T02095R000700080026-0 Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78T02095R000700080026-0 11. Some of these violations may have been in- itiated by GVN forces rather than Communist forces, and it is impossible in all cases to determine the actual instigator. The table above and the chart on the following page, however, do show fairly ac- curately the trend in the amount of combat that has occurred in South Vietnam since the ceasefire. The fact that a combat incident occurred at a particular time and place is generally reported accurately by the South Vietnamese, even though the question of who started it may not always be treated in objec- tive fashion. In some cases, the Joint Military Commission (GVN/PRG) also reports violations of the ceasefire. 12. The following is a chronological listing of only the most significant "major" Communist vio- lations of the ceasefire in South Vietnam that were reported by the South Vietnamese Armed Forces during the past week. MILITARY REGION 1 Between 20 and 26 April friendly units west and southwest of Hue received 2,576 rounds in 36 separate attacks-by-fire. MILITARY REGION 2 On 21 and 24 April, enemy forces attacked elements of two infantry battalions three miles southeast of Bong Son in Binh Dinh Province. MILITARY REGION 3 Enemy pressure against the Tonle Cham base camp continued at a decreasing level be- tween 21 and 27 April. MILITARY REGION 4 On 19, 20, and 21 April, enemy forces at- tacked elements of an ARVN infantry reg- iment on six separate occasions 12 miles northeast of Chau Duc. Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78T02095R000700080026-0 Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000700080026-0 CEASE-FIRE VIOLATIONS IN SOUTH VIETNAM AS REPORTED BY RVNAF (28 JANUARY 1973 TO THE PRESENT) JAN-FIB 4UU 300 200 JL 111 L I d ill 1 R 1CL% I (N No 0~4 %on 00 MAR APR 4UU 300 200 MAY Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78T02095R000700080026-0 Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78T02095R000700080026-0 D. Combat Activity Initiated by Communist Forces in Laos During the Week from 20-26 April 13. Three major incidents were recorded in North Laos during the week. The first involved the capture by Communist forces of three Royal Lao Army (FAR) defensive positions in northwestern Sayaboury Province. The other two involved Commu- :Liist ground and shelling attacks which caused the abandonment of FAR positions north and southeast of the Plain of Jars. No major military activity was reported in South Laos during the week. 14. Following is a brief account of significant combat incidents which occurred between 20 and 26 April, and which were clearly initiated by Commu- nist forces in violation of the Laos ceasefire agree- ment: (a) On 20 April, a Communist battalion launched simultaneous attacks against three Government positions in north- western Sayaboury Province. All three positions were lost. (These positions are west of the Mekong River and as close as 5 kilometers to the Thai border.) The Royal Lao Government is currently--as of 26 April--redeploying several FAR units into position to counterattack in this area. (b) On 21 April, no significant military activity occurred throughout Laos. (c) On 22 April, a Communist battalion attacked and captured the FAR position at Phou Vieng, 20 kilometers northwest of Bouam Long in Military Region II. The attack was supported by over 400 (d) rounds of mortar and artillery fire. On 23 April, no significant activity occurred in Laos. (e) On 24 April, military activity re- mained light throughout Laos. Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78T02095R000700080026-0 Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78T02095R000700080026-0 (f) On 25 April, activity again was at a low level in Laos. (g) On 26 April, a Communist ground and shelling attack drove Government forces further from the vicinity of Tha Vieng, southeast of the Plain of Jars. This sector was the scene of recent heavy fighting which triggered a U.S. bombing response. Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78T02095R000700080026-0 25X1 Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000700080026-0 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Denied Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000700080026-0 Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78T02095R000700080026-0 Post-Ceasefire Infiltration of North Vietnamese Personnel to the South 1. During the reporting period, a total of eight special-purpose infiltration groups were in- itially detected at various points in the infiltra- tion pipeline. One of these groups--with a reported strength of 83--was detected at Binh Tram 18 in the Vinh area of North Vietnam, while the other seven appeared deeper in the pipeline in Laos and Cambodia. In addition to these eight groups, there were two references to several other "A"-designated groups (probably consisting of civilian administrators) in communications of Binh Tram 18. Since there was no mention either of unique group designators or of specific departure dates from the Vinh area, these groups have not been included in the listing of infiltration starts. 2. Further analysis of the intercepted mes- sage citing group 1003--reported as an initial detection in last week's issue of Ceasefire Develop- ments. in Indochina--has revealed that in fact it was a reference to group 2003. As this group was in- itially detected in North Vietnam in mid-January and included in our estimate at that time, the changed group designator will not affect the in- filtration totals. 3. The following table lists those infiltra- tion groups which were detected for the first time during the past week. Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78T02095R000700080026-0 Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000700080026-0 Infiltration Groups-Initially Reported During the Past Week Group Designator Strength Location A 182 10 South Laos A 194 Unk South Laos A 215 Unk Cambodia A 327 17 South Laos L 736 83 North Vietnam QL 262 15 South Laos Y 182 5 South Laos Z 101 Unk South Laos Date of Detection 17 April 17 April 7 April 17 April 22 April 19 April 17 April 19 April Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000700080026-0 Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000700080026-0 Truck Traffic on the Entry 25X1 orri ors into Southern Laos Iwe believe the photographic evidence of heavy truck traffic throughout south Laos indicates a continuing heavy flow of vehicles out of North Vietnam. Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000700080026-0 Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000700080026-0 25X1 Top Secret Top Secret Approved For Release 2009/04/08: CIA-RDP78TO2095R000700080026-0