LOGISTIC REQUIREMENTS STUDY OF THE VIET CONG AND NORTH VIETNAMESE ARMY IN SOUTH VIETNAM

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CIA-RDP78S02149R000200130005-0
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RIFPUB
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S
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36
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December 12, 2016
Document Release Date: 
May 14, 2002
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5
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Publication Date: 
April 27, 1967
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REPORT
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1 % J Approved For Release 2002/08/16 CIA-RDP78S0214'9R 0200130005-0 27 April 1967 Eastern Area Office OF TTry VJIT COCiG A7{_) IOtJTT; - T',T AP-, - T SOLJh -V?.ETMUIT Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP78SO2149R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP78SO2149R000200130005-0 SUMMARY The extent and adequacy of the data base pertaining to VC/NVA logistic requirements in South Vietnam has improved greatly since the preparation of earlier studies and has provided valid documen- tation in almost all areas of the problem. Although there are no indications that lack of supplies or materiel have seriously or widely curtailed enemy operations, the VC/NVA forces in South Vietnam are increasingly dependent on externally provided supplies. This dependency is attributed to the introduction of major NVA units with a resultant increase in the technical sophistication of enemy forces and a significant change in the ability of the Communists to meet their ration (food) requirements from in-country sources. The throughput capacity of the enemy LOC's appears adequate to meet external supply requirements. Based on the data available and the methodology developed for this study, it is estimated that communist forces in South Vietnam require 165-185 Short Tons per Day (STPD) to meet their total logistical requirements and that the external requirement is 50-70 STPD. Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP78S02149R000200130005-0 Approved For Release' 2002/08/16 CIA-RDP78SO2149R000200130005-0 Page THE, PODL.i ..................................+.. 1 ASSUMPTIONS ............eo.r......+r.a........... 1 FACTS B"I ,LZING ON THE E7.0 L]] .................... DISCUSSION....a...aaaaaaaaaa.....aaa..a.aaaaa...a 5 geneIsla. aaaaaaaaaaaaa?aaaaaa.aaaaaaaaaaaaaaa 5 Concept and 11n t2.`1Onsaaaaa..a.aa.*aa*a.a.a. 6 Internal resupply.aaaaa .a....aaaa a aaaaaaaaa 7 Supply r0??tPS.r..eeaaas ..................e... 10 TT 1 1 yligri'layS..??...e....?...e.r......?eao.o? Inlc.nd T'rat;r; ays..aa....a...a....a.....a 12 Coastal. ;rat'er.ays.a.a.a..aaaa...so aa.aso 12 logistical significance of enemy force dispositions. aaaa.aaaaaaaaaoooao.a 13 A"nneX ti - (,lass I LB.lVio?l,i.. a a .... a .. + .. a .. # * * * to 15 Annex B - Class II and IV Si nal, : edical., Ordnance (i;eapons).....aaa.a.a.....a.. 19 A?inex C - Class V kt-x ition.......a.........o.. 21 Lnclosure$..a...as.aaa.aa..oasaaaaaaaaa.aaaaaaaa 31 1? lO is Di~rlsion.........os.a.....a........ 2. TO/i ?eft:eni..........?............+... 32 3. vC/ ~-FIA weapons Allo ;,rice and A:':'unition List,aa..a.aaas.aa....aaaaaa? 33 U 2 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP78S02149R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP78SO2149R000200130005-0 PROBLEM To develop methodology applicable to the determination of enemy logistic requirements and to arrive at an estimate of the current logistic requirements of the VC/NVA forces in South Vietnam. ASSUMPTIONS 1. That VC/NVA combat and combat support units and personnel are the only enemy elements requiring significant logistical support from outside South Vietnam. 2. That due to the nature of the combat in South Vietnam and the organization and tactics of enemy forces, POL (Class III) and Chemical and Engineer (Class II and IV) requirements are negligible logistically and need not be computed in this study. 3. That the Viet Cong are capable of manufacturing large quantities of mines and grenades and some mortars and rocket launchers but are not producing more sophisticated weapons or ammunition. FACTS BEARING ON THE PROBLEM 1. NVA units infiltrated into South Vietnam do not retain their standard Tables of Organization and Equipment ( TO/E) and VC units are not consistently organized under any standardized TO/E. 2. The amount and types of supplies available to the VC/NVA in caches in South Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia cannot be established with any degree of certainty. Approved For Release 2O02108/1?6: C1A-RDP78S02149R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08/16: CIA-l DP78S02t149R000200130005-0 3. Weapons in the hands of the Viet Cong are increasingly of Chinese and Soviet origin with a decline in the proportion of U.S., French and "other country" manufactured ordnance. 4. The force level of the combatants and the level of combat increased significantly in 1966 (the period generally under review) over 1965.% CONCLUSIONS 1. The present logistic study is based primarily on data from interrogation reports, captured enemy documents and studies prepared by other agencies. It is considered signficantly more valid than earlier efforts. There are still portions of the study, however, wherein the data base has proven inadequate to provide necessary depth and detail of information. This is notable in. the factors involving enemy medical and signal requirements, the level of combat activity of enemy units and the amount of ammunition expended in combat engagements. Certain major conclusions pertaining to VC/ NVA logistics have become apparent as the study progressed. These %* Based on numerous indicators of varying credibility, some of which require considerable caveating. The following factors, however, are either demonstrable or well-substantiated: 1965 1966 % Increase US/RVN/FWF Infantry-type Bns in SV 178 257 44% VC/NVA Infantry-type Bns in SV 98 149 50% VC/NVA Casualties (KIA only) 35,436 55,524 56% US/RVN/FWF Casualties (KIA and WIA) 49,823 70,400 41%, Weapons lost by VC/NVA forces 11,695 18,606 59% Appro br. Relesg o2dri2108/ 16~ s AFIg6O `214 06x200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08/16: CIA-RDP78$0214JR000200130005-0 a. Although there are no indications that supply problems have widely or seriously curtailed enemy operational plans, the VC/ NVA forces are increasingly dependent upon external resupply intro- duced over multiple and frequently interdicted or threatened LOC's. b. A significant portion of the VC/NVA external supply requirements are in Class I (rations) resulting from enemy inability to move sufficient rice from the Delta area to forces deployed in the South Vietnamese highlands. c. The increased dependency on external supply is attribut- able to the major injection of NVA units into the area with a resultant increase in the technical sophistication of enemy forces, and the increase in Free World Force strength and ground and air action. d. The throughput capacity of enemy LOC's is apparently adequate to meet external supply requirements with land routes providing the most significant contribution. e. Enemy logistical problems vary from unit to unit and area to area depending upon access to in-country rice supplies and proximity to terminal points of the LOC's. 2. Following are the logistic estimates determined by this study and expressed in Short Tons per Day (STPD): Approved For Release. 2002/08/16 CIA-RDP78S02149R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP78$02149R000200130005-0 a. Determination by Class of Supply and level of combat. 1:15 1:30 1:45 Combat Level Combat Level Combat Level Total External Total External Total External Class I (Rations) 121.92 T 29.45 T 121.92 T 29.45 T 121.92 T 29.45 T Class II & IV (Signal, Med- ical and Weapons 31.41 T 11.06 T 31.41 T 11.06 T 31.41 T 11.06 T Class V (Ammunition) 31.04 T 31.04 T 15.52 T' 15.52 T 10.34 T 10.34 T TOTAL. 184.37 T 71.55 T 168.85 T 56.05 T 163.67 T 50.85 T b. Determination of the level of combat or the extent to which the enemy forces are engaged in any given period of time (discussed in detail in Annex C) is one of the most difficult and one of the most critical factors in a logistic study. It is dependent upon a decision, based inevitably on imprecise data, as to the number of contacts with the enemy, the size of the enemy unit involved and the time span of the engagement. NIE 14.3-66 was prepared based on an assumption of one-day-in-thirty (1:30), i.e., each enemy unit involved in combat, for an average of one day in each thirty. Using the factors and methodology employed in the present study, a figure of 1:15 was developed. Recognizing the lack of exact data involved, however, computations are shown above for 1:15 and also for 1:30 and 1:45. This estimative range would place the VC/NVA logistic requirement at 50-70 STPD. 4 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 :. CIA-RDP78S02149R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08/16: CIA-RDP78S02149R000200130005-0 DISCUSSION 1. General. Communist forces in South Vietnam have passed- from the early stages of classic guerrilla warfare to the employment of main force combat units in coordinated attacks and ambushes through- out the country. Their logistical problems, however, are still largely those of a semi-isolated military force with tenuous and frequently threatened or disrupted lines of communications. The means and techniques employed to alleviate this situation prior to mid-1965 are now less dependable. Free World Force ground and air action in base areas and in areas containing vital overland communication routes have reduced the enemy's sanctuary or war zone security in which to plan operations and also to-reorganize and resupply his units. LOC's in North Vietnam and Laos have been interdicted aid rolling stock lost, the internal supply system has been disrupted, more weapons are now captured from the VC/NVA than are lost to them, caches have been seized, the extent of control of the civilian popula- tion has decreased and the movement of supplies both into and within South Vietnam has become increasingly difficult. Despite the impact of these developments on logistics, there is no acceptable evidence that supply shortages have seriously or widely curtailed enemy plans or operations. It must be assumed, however, that logistics is a matter of growing concern to the VC/NVA and that increasing effort and manpower are being devoted to the resupply of communist forces in South Vietnam. Approved For Release 2002/08/16 CIA-RDP78S02149R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08/i 6` :-DIA-RbP78S02149R000200130005-0 2. Concept and limitations. This study addresses itself to the logistical requirements of VC/NVA forces in South Vietnam. Since there are no indications that inadequate logistics are seriously restricting enemy operations, it is assumed that communist forces, through a combination of in-country procurement, existing caches and resupply from external sources, are meeting their present logis- tical needs. It is the enemy?s external requirements rather than the means and routes through which they are obtained that is of primary concern in this study, although note will be made of the latter. The development of the factors, methodology and computations for the VC/NVA logistical requirements has been restricted by a lack of precise data. Determination of exact logistical computa- tions is dependent upon standardized basic loads, a standardized logistical resupply system and known expenditure rates. NVA forces entering South Vietnam apparently undergo a mission modification of their TO/E, Viet Cong units do not conform to a standardizated TO/E, the enemy's logistical resupply system is effective but improvised and the nature of the combat precludes an exact determination of expenditures. Although appropriate note will be made of the depth and adequacy of data base on various points, the facts noted above are cited as an over-all caveat for the development and acceptance of this study. Approved For Release 2002/08/1:6: CIA-RDP78S02149R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08/1:6.:...,CIA-RDP78S02149R000200130005-0 Nevertheless, it is believed that considerable progress has been made over previous logistical studies. The data base has increased in volume and detail and there is more tangible evidence on which to base estimates of food consumption, enemy basic loads of ammunition and to arrive at acceptable TO/E's. Interrogation reports and translations of captured enemy documents as well as data and studies produced by various commands and agencies have been examined in the compilation of material for this study. The methodology employed has been kept relatively simple, since only with the development and acceptance of more precise data can the methodology become more sophisticated and the computations more exact. 3. Internal resupply. Two factors have contributed to the increased dependency of the communist forces in South Vietnam on external sources of supply. The first is the entry of NVA regular- force units into the conflict and, coincident with this, the increased technical sophistication of enemy forces. Although classic guerrilla warfare is still practiced by irregulars and guerrilla tactics are frequently employed by major force units, the Communists are no longer capable of maintaining their stocks primarily by guerrilla- style in-country seizure and coercion. NVA units brought with them their own family of weapons, and VC main force elements are increasingly armed with Chinese and Soviet manufactured equipment. Since U.S. manufactured 7.62-mm ammunition is not compatible with communist weapons, this as well as other types of Class V (ammunition) must be introduced from external sources to supply both enemy forces. 7 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 ,CIA-RDP78S02149R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08/16: CIArRbP78S02149FQQ0200130005-0 Despite the requirement for external materiel by their.Main Force units, the VC continue to maintain an in-country capability for limited types of military items. Of particular importance to Local Force and irregular elements are the regional workshops which are able to produce mortars, rocket launchers, mines and grenades. Medical supplies are also obtainable to a large extent in-country. The tonnage of medical items required is not great and the Viet Cong are capable of satisfying most of their needs through purchase, theft or capture. Some signal equipment or components for the manufacture of crude but effective signal equipment are also obtain- able in the same manner. The second factor which has notably increased the tonnage of supplies required from external sources is the increased difficulty faced by the enemy in internal movement of rice from the Delta area to troops in the rice-deficit north. Although within South Vietnam as a whole there are probably sufficient rice and supplementary rations for the VC/NVA, Free World Forces have disrupted the internal supply route capabilities through interdiction and movement control enforcement from south to north. Within the Delta area the enemy is self-sustaining through taxation and seizure of rice. The inland waterways in the area provide a network of interprovincial supply routes over which the Communists are capable of moving foodstuffs relatively unhampered. Because of the lack of waterways control there is no way of estimating the quantity or frequency of supply Approved For Release 2002/08/16: CIA-RDP78S02149R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 CIA-RDP78S02149R000200130005-0 movement on the waterways. This movement may be either surreptious or under cover of normal civilian marketing channels. Local food shortages reported in the two northern corps areas have been alleviated by importation of rice from Cambodia. South Vietnam's neighbor to the west is ideal to meet communist require- ments to augment their need for rice. The 700 mile border is lightly inhabited and poorly controlled. The southern half is marshland laced with waterways and north of Tay Ninh the border area is heavily forested. The nature of the border makes surveillance and control extremely difficult for Free World Forces in South Vietnam. With the arrival of NVA units in South Vietnam and a threatened ration shortage in the highlands, the Communists turned to Cambodia. Both smuggling and private traffic are. normal between Cambodia and South Vietnam. The sharply increased demand for rice for communist forces in South Vietnam was met initially by official and private purchases. Sihanouk authorized an official sale of 20,000 and possibly 30,000 tons of rice for delivery to the communist forces in 1966. Although the extent to which the sale was implemented is not known for certain, it is estimated that the total amount actually shipped to the Communists in the highlands of South Vietnam and the Laotian Panhandle in 1966 could. have reached 20,000 tons and possibly more. This would have provided the enemy with approximately 55 to:s per day for the period. Cambodian rice is thus believed. to have provided a solution to one of the Communists most serious logistical problems. In addition, it has largely freed Approved For Release 2002/08/16 CIl6-RDP7,&SG2149R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/0811 :-CIA'RDP78-S02149R000200130005-0 the supply routes from North Vietnam through Laos for the movement of other classes of supply. The actual transit of rice from Cambodia into the South Vietnamese highlands is accomplished. by the use of the numerous roads, trails and waterways in the area. During the past two years the Cambodian government has been improving its road network in the remote ciortheastern area. Although this is part of a long range plan to provide access to the border and support isolated military outposts, it also facilitates the flow of Cambodian rice to the Communists in Laos and the South Vietnamese highlands. 4. Supply routes. In order of importance, highways, inland waterways and coastal LOC's are the most important and most exten- sively used transportation routes to infiltrate men and supplies from North Vietnam into the combat area. The rail line south of Vinh provides no through capacity. All major LOC's have suffered from air strikes and armed reconnaissance and the enemy has resorted to various means to counteract the effects of the strikes. These include increasing the capacities of bypass facilities on land LOC'sj regulating craft concentrations and camouflaging craft, locks and transshipment facilities on inland waterway arteries; utilizing flange wheel trucks on the rail line south of Vinh; and dispersing transshipment points and vessels, and constructing crude earthen piers and other temporary devices at transshipment points for coastal LOC operations. Approved For Release 2002/08/16 CIA-PD"P78S~02149R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08/16: CIA-FDP78.S21OR000200130005-0 a. Hi hwys. Five major routes in North Vietnam and Laos are directly associated with the movement of men and supplies into South Vietnam and it is estimated that approximately 90% of the logistic support (throughput capacity) travels via overland routes. Highway throughput capacities in the area range from 50 to 500 STPD, depending on the season, the immediate capacity of bottlenecks, the number of vehicles or other means available for a particular operational movement, the amount of recuperative effort applied, and the intensity and level of interdiction. The number of vehicles required to use these routes to full capacity would total 20,000 in NVN and 4,800 in Laos. These figures include an estimate of the number of vehicles required to carry the tonnage forward plus an equal number of empties returning on a continuous basis. Of the estimated 3,800 vehicles available in the NVN panhandle, approximately 2,000 are engaged in supply support. Based on this estimate, only 10% of the over-all available uninterdicted capacity is now being used. The Laotian vehicle estimate is 300-400, as compared to the 4,800 required for full use of the routes. Both air strikes and armed reconnaissance have been frequent and effective in slowing down or hampering vehicular traffic and forcing the enemy to resort to slower and more primitive transport means. The Communists, however, have resorted to new and varied techniques in improving bypass facilities to counteract the effects of the air strikes. 11 Approved For Release 2002/08/'16: CIA-RDP78S02149R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 CIA-RDP78S021#9R000200130005-0 b. Inland waterways. Waterways serve as supplementary, alternate or feeder routes for the land-based LOC's since none of the streams in the area provide through movement from North Vietnam and Laos into South Vietnam. The most heavily used waterway is the intracoastal route. The north-south oriented routes permit direct utilization in support of southward movements. In addition, the east-west routes reaching the coast facilitate internal movement between interior road arteries. Waterway capacities, when uninter- dicted, range from about 50 STPD on the Se Bang Hieng in Laos to 2,000 STPD on the Song Ca in North Vietnam. It is estimated that under present conditions waterway capacities could be maintained. A large inventory of shallow-draft native craft permits effective and simultaneous utilization of almost all of the waterway net at estimated capacities. NVN efforts to counteract the effects of the air strikes have been directed toward regulating waterway traffic to avoid craft concentrations, night utilization of inland waterways and the use of camouflage. c. Coastal waterways. Due to Sea Dragon and Rolling Thunder activities north of the DMZ and. Market Time operations south of the DMZ, coastal infiltration is less secure than over- land lines of communication. Steel-hulled ships moving from the Haiphong area have avoided surveillance by travelling well to seaward and delivering countraband to points south of the I Corps. The enemy's use of the steel-hulled trawlers with their cargo capacity of 100-140 tons is a possible indicator of enemy concern Approved For Release 2002/08/16 CIA-RDP78SO2149R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08116 CIA-RDPy8S02149R000200130005-0 over logistic resupply. While it is true that the cargo-carrying capacity of the trawlers is considerable, they are relatively easily detected on coastal approach and susceptible to interdiction and loss. Their use by Hanoi might indicate the pressure of increased requirements for out-country supply and the decision by the North Vietnamese to meet this requirement by means which have an inherently high degree of danger of loss. Coastal transshipment sites between Vinh and the D1,4X are points of origin for near-shore coastal infiltration routes which transit DMZ waters into SVN. The nature of these routes is such that a practicable upper limit of route capacity cannot be assigned.. It is estimated, however, that the number of vessels available in this area imposes, on an average day, a 500 STPD limit on the route system. However, by diverting more vessels to the system, this limit could be rapidly increased. For example, during the TET stand-down 600-700 craft made over 800 transits and delivered an estimated 21,000 ST of cargo to the Quang Khe and Dong Hoi transshipment point,: d. Rail lines. Since January 1967 the rail line south of Vinh has been of little importance in terms of throughput capacity and has played a small role in the support of the NVN infiltration into South Vietnam. 5. Logistical significance of enemy force dispositions. The geographical distribution of enemy forces in relation to local internal supply capabilities and external supply LOC's undoubtedly 13 Approved For Release 200.2/08/1 :.CIA-RDP'78SO24449R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 CIA-RDP78S02149R000200130005-0 results in logistical situations which vary between units. This is inherent in an over-all logistical supply system which is dependent on different sources of supply and numerous LOC's to move these supplies. Although it is not within the scope of this study to make a regional analysis of the impact of this situation on the enemy forces, certain generalizations may be noted. Approximately 60% of the communist strength is located in I and II Corps zones and is at least partially dependent upon external sources for their food ration. The same units, however, are more readily serviced by supply routes emanating from North Vietnam which provide other classes of supply, notably the critical Class V (ammunition). Units in the south have relatively little dif- ficulty in maintaining their stock levels of Class I (rations) but are farthest removed from the sources of other externally provided items. Location adjacent to the DMZ, the Laotian or the Cambodian border will also obviously affect the resupply situation for individual units. The data presented in this study has been compiled to arrive at over-all logistical require-.? ments for enemy forces in South Vietnam and local estimates would require the introduction of data specific to the area. Approved For Release 2002/08/16.: ClA-RDP78S021,49R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-R 78SO2149R000200130005-0 k:"- T A Ca "ASS I Lation s ) FACTORS 1. Constu:iption rate. The daily consumption rate for VC/NVA forces in South Vietnam is estimated at 2 poumds/day/man. Interrogation reports and captured documents indicate that there are variables involved including reported differences between combat and administrative units. The figure of 2 pounds/man/day, however, is considered reasonably so.-uid and suitable for general application throughout the area and for all types of units. 2. Strength of enem -y forces in South Vietnam. Strength figures for enemy forces are taken from periodic :ACV reports. The figures used in this study are shown as follows: Fne:;r Strength 4___ VC N VA Total Apr 79,940 23,660 107,603 .:ay 73, 043 35,410 114, 255 Jun 79,450 39,680 119,138 Jul 03,747 42,460 126,207 Aug 53,117 47,400 130s517 Sep 63,667 47,500 131,167 Oct 51,353 45,630 126,930 :~Tov 00,520 47,070 127,650 15 Approved For Release 2002/08116 :CIA-RDP78S02149R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP78SO2149R000200130005-0 e uY' Wt iisatih r-lonth VC JVA Total Apr 13o975 20, 660 42,635 May 22,695 32,910 55,605 Jun 22,755 33,410 56,165 Jul 24,1;'0 37,950 62,150 Aug 23,900 42,900 66,500 Sep 22,1660 43,000 65,160 Oct 21,020 40,120 61,140 Nov 20, 440 41,320 61, 740 .3. Internal vs e: ter__ al sources of ration suite. The determination of the proportion of rations (primarily rice) required from external sources is influenced more by factors peripheral to the study than on s, ecific reports from prisoners and docu rents. As in para 3, DISCUSSION, it is believed that there is probably sufficient rice in South Vietnam to meet the enemy's basic Class I require:,.-Lents. The inability of the VC/01A to .rove sufficient quantities of rice from the groriing areas of the south to the deficit areas of the north has resulted in shortages in the latter area. This deficit is met by the introduction of rice from external sources. Although so Le rice is probably brought into the area from North Vietnams through the D:I and Laos, the primary source is believed to be Ca.ioodi.a. The 20,000 tons estimated for 1966 for Approved For Release 2002108/16':'CIA-RDP7$S01149R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 CIA- RDP78S02149R000200130005-0 delivery from that country to the South Vietnamese hi ghlaxds and the Thotian Panhandle is considered adequate to co pensate for internal shortages. For the purpose of this study it is estimated that enemy forces in the t-,o northern corps? zones receive one- half ( 1 pound/ranjday) of their rations from external sources. This figure is based to some extent on individual reports from. the area but more directly by an application of the Ca bodian figures to the enemy strength. i_I; T 1-I0D0LrnY Following is the methodology employed in cor:puting Class I requirements: Enemy strength x Ration requirements = Total (2 los,nan/day) requirem ent Dnemy strength, x Ration requirements = external (I and II. Corps) (1 lb/mar./day) requirement Total Requirements 1ionth VC NVA Total Apr 78.96 T 28.66 T 107.62 T Tray 79.85 T 32.90 T 112.75 T Jun 79.56 T 33.40 T 112.96 T Jul 83.20 T 42.50 T 125.70 T Aug 83.12 T 47.40 T 130.52 T Sep 83.67 T 47.50 T 131,17 T Oct 81.36 T 45.63 T 126,99 T Nov 80.58 T 47.07 T 127.65 T A,T,R.AGS : 81.28 T 1,0.63 T 121.92 T Approved For Release 2002/08/16 ;-CIA-RDP.7-8SO2*49R000200130005-0 17 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP78SO2149R000200130005-0 External ;:eCiuire:tent3 Month VC ITVA Total Apr 6.98 T 14.33 T 21.31 T bray 11.34 T 16.45 T 27.79 T Jim 11-38,T 16.70 T 28.08 T Jul 12.10 T 18.90 T 31.00 T Aug 11.95 T 21.45 T 33.40 T Sep 11.08 T 21.50 T 32.58 T Oct 10.51 T 20.06 T 30.57 T Nov 10.21 T 20.66 T 30.87 T AVL.AGs. 10.69 T 18.76 T 29.45 T Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : ,C1A-RDP78802149R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002JW t6 h CIA-RDP78SO2149R000200130005-0 CI ASS II . IV Medical, Si,-nai, Ordnance (.-,'eapons) FACTORS The DIA Logistical Study of May 1965 based its computations for VC/NVA Class II and IV medical and signal requirements on an application of World War II logistical figures. 'ireapon replacements were developed by applying a factor of 5' per year require: gent for the total weapon inventory. It was further assumed that INA forces were dependent upon external sources for Class Il and IV and that VC elements obtained r.-most of their signal and medical logistical supplies in-country by seizure, purchase or manufacture. Despite detailed research of the DID. data base, it has not been found possible to develop necessary usable data on basic loads; expenditures resulting; from capture, loss and normal usage; and the amount of weapons, medical and signal materiel introduced from external sources. .-ith the knowledge, therefore that the presently employed estimative approach requires further development, the earlier (1965) factors have been applied in this study. The figures used are .5119 lbs/man/day for ANA forces and the same for the VC total requirements. The external requirement for the VC is .0119 lbs/.;:an/day (weapons only). Strength figures employed are those noted in annex A. I'L:"THODOLOGY (See explanation in FACTO: S above) Approved For Release 2002/08/16 :CIA-RDP78S021'49R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP78SO2149R000200130005-0 COi, UTTAT IOIS Total geaLlire: casts External requirements I~'onth VC 1 VdA Total VC I STA Total Apr 20.21 T 7.33 T 27.54 T .47 T 7.33 T 7.80 T Nay 20.44 T 0.87 T 29.31 T ? 48 T 0.87 T 9.3 5 T Jun 20.34 T 9.95 T 30.29 T .40 T 9.95 T 10.35 T Jul 21.40 T 10.70 T 32.10 T . 40 T 10.70 T 11.10 T Auk 21.27 T 12.13 T 33.40 T .49 T 12.13 T 12.62 T Sop 21.40 T 12.15 T 33.55 T .49 T 12.15 T 12.64 T Oct 20.82 T 11.67 T 32.49 T .4 8 T 11.67 T 12.15 T iov 20.62 T 12.04 T 32.66 T .47 T 12.04 T 12.51 T AVM ,G E : 20. '1 T 10.60 T 31.41 T .46 T 10.60 T 11.06 T Approved For Release 2002/08/16: CIA-RDP78S02149F2000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08/16: CIA-RDP78S02149;R00020Q1'30005=0 ANNEX C CLASS V Ammunition FACTORS 1. Strength of enemy forces. See Annex A. 2. TO/E for VC and NVA units in South Vietnam. The TO/E's employed in this study are based on data obtained from interrogation reports and captured enemy documents. Since NVA units entering South Vietnam are modified for infiltration and Viet Cong units do not conform to a standard TO/E, analysis of numerous source documents has been required to arrive at a usable TO/E for the two enemy forces. Enclosures 1 and 2 show the organization, strength and weapons of the VC and the NVA as determined by this evaluation and employed in this study. 3. "Type" VC/NVA Battalion Weapons and Ammunition List. Since in many combat actions in South Vietnam the enemy is reported as "unknown," it is not considered practical to select specifically the VC or the NVA TO/E as a basis for computations for each individual action. A Weapons Allowance and Basic Ammunition List has been prepared which is a synthesis of the weapons and ammunition carried by VC and NVA battalions. This list (enclosure 3) is applied for each combat engagement regardless of whether the enemy force is reported as "unknown" or identified as VC or NVA. Approved For Release 2002/0816 : GSA-RDP78Sb2149R000200130005-0 21 Approved For Release 20D2/08116 CIA-RDP78'S02149R000200130005-0 4. Basic load. The Basic Load of a "type" VC/NVA battalion is shown in enclosure 3 as part of the Weapons Allowance aid Basic Ammunition List. It is based on interrogation reports and captured enemy documents available in the Washington area. A considerable variation was found among the various sources and the figure used represents an average of the reported basic loads in the more credible and detailed documents. The weight per round was multiplied by the basic load of rounds per weapon. The total weight of the basic load of the "type" battalion has been computed as 2.5 T and this figure is employed in the Class V computations. 5. Battalion slice. The concept of a battalion slice is used as a means of factoring-in the basic load and expenditure for non- battalion elements of regiment and division. Concurrently with combat action by an infantry battalion, it is assumed that a portion of the available ammunition of support elements of the division and/ or regiment is also expended. Using the weapons and the ammunition basic load shown for the VC and NVA regimental and division elements (enclosures 1 and 2) and the Weapons and Basic Load List for the "type" VC/NVA infantry battalion, a battalion slice has been deter- mined for battalions which are subordinate to and supported by both regimental and division elements. These are identified in the study as "division-type battalions." In addition, separate computations have been made for nondivisional battalions which are assumed to have the equivalent of regimental-level combat and administrative support. Approved For Release 2002/08T($ : t4-RDP78SO2149R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 CIA-RIb.P78S02`1.492000200130005-0 The battalion slice is determined by dividing the total tonnage of the major unit, i.e., division or regiment, by the number of infantry battalions it contains. This battalion-slice then repre- sents ammunition available for expenditure by the infantry battalion itself plus a proportionate share of the Class V load of the support- ing division and/or regimental units. The methodology and figures for these computations are shown as follows: a. Basic ammunition load. (Derived from TO/E's enclosures 1 and 2 and "Type" VC/NVA Battalion Weapons and Ammunition List enclosure 3.) "Type" Infantry Battalion ..... 2.5 T Regimental Headquarters 3.92 T NVA Division Headquarters ..... 16.31 T VC Division Headquarters ...... 4.32 T b. Unit tonnage. Infantry Regiment .............. 11.42 T (2.5 T x 3 Inf Bns + 3.82 T Regt Hq) NVA Infantry Division .......... 50.57 T (11.42 T x 3 Inf Regt + 16.31 T Div Hq) VC Infantry Division ........... 38.58 T (11.42 T x 3 Inf Regt + 4.32 T Div Hq) Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CI RDP78SO2149R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 CIA.-RDP78 021491 000200130005-0 C. Battalion-slice. NVA Division-type battalion .... 5.62 T (50.57 T - 9 divisional infantry battalions) NVA non-Divisional battalion ... 3.8 T (11.42 T - 3 battalions) VC Division-type battalion .... 4.28 T (38.58 T - 9 divisional infantry battalions) VC non-Divisional battalion ... 3.8 T 6. Battalion equivalents. In computing the level of combat it is necessary to know the number of battalions (confirmed, probably and possible) and also the number of battalion equiva- lents represented by the strength of the separate companies and platoons in the VC force. The latter figure is arrived at by dividing the total personnel strength of VC separate companies and platoons by a figure of 460 representing an average battalion strength. A total of the NVA battalions, the VC battalions and the VC battalion equivalents provides the number of battalion/battalion P equivalents in South Vietnam. Approved For Release 2002/08/1-6' -C1A-RDP78S02149R000200130005-0 24 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP78SO2149R000200130005-0 Following are figures used for this study: Month VIVA Battalions VC Battalions VC Battalion ,c-'?ivaJ.?n,1 - .. ~ Total VC/NVA Battalion Equivalents Apr 50 + 89 + 74 = 213 May 60 + 93 + 77 = 230 Jun 63 + 95 + 77 = 235 Jul 73 + 94 + 83 250 Aug 81 + 95 82 = 258 Sep 82 + 96 + 80 = 258 Oct 86 + 94 + 82 = 262 Nov 92 + 93 + 81 = 266 7. Level of combat. a. The frequency of engagement or level of combat is one of the most difficult factors to determine with any acceptable degree of accuracy. For the purpose of this study the C0,':7-JSi?MACV Monthly Evaluation Reports were selected since they contain both J2 and J3 information in some detail on monthly combat activity. Use of this information has required considerable evaluation and judgement in arriving at the necessary number of days of combat for each battalion equivalent in South Vietnam for each month. In some instances the size of the enemy unit is listed, i.e., regiment, battalion, etc., but frequently the enemy is "unknown." In this case an evaluation is required based on the reported number of enemy KIA, prisoners, weapons captured, etc., to estimate the size of the enemy unit confronted. The days of combat for each action also require an evaluation since there is no precise means of determining whether an action covering a week's duration actually consisted of seven c'.ays o_ conti:iuous conflict or days of active combat int r~sd*o le~0611bW' % 2 &-R d 6214 9,14666206f 566I0gb the Approved For Release 2002/08/16 =CIA-RDP78S02149R000200130005-0 information available, an estimate was made of the number of days of combat reflected for each reported action in the COMUSMACV Monthly Evaluation report. When assessmentshad been made on each action, a total of days of combat for enemy forces was compiled for the month. b. The number of days of combat for the month is divided by the number of battalion equivalents in South Vietnam during the period to arrive at the average number of days'of combat for each enemy battalion/battalion equivalent: VC/NVA Battalion Average days of Month Days of Combat for the month* VC/NVA Battalion Equivalents combat for each battalion Apr 235 days 213 = 1.10.days May 319 days + 230 = 1.38 days Jun 486 days 235 = 2.06 days Jul 559 days 250 = 2.23 days Aug 437 days 258 = 1.69 days Sep 761 days 258 = 2.94 days Oct 1,609 days 262 = 6.14 days Nov 928 days 266 = 3.48 days Based on analysis of MACV Monthly Evaluation Reports (see para 7.a. above.) Approved For Release 2002/08/16 CIA-RDP78S02149R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08116.: CIA-RDP78SQ2149R000200130005-0 A further division using 30 (days/month) provides the level of combat as indicated: s of da A th s/month Da y verage combat for each battalion Level of combat Mon y Apr 30 1.10 days = 1:27 May 30 1.38 days = 1:21 Jun 30 2.06 days = 1:14 Jul 3U 2.23 days = 1:14 Aug 30 1.69 days = 1:18 Sep 30 2.94 days -= 1:10 Oct 30 6.14 days = 1:5 Nov 30 + 3.48 days = 1:9 Average: 1:15 c. Based on the procedure and the figures indicated above, it was determined that the average VC/NVA level of combat for the eight months examined was one-day-in-fifteen (1:15). It is realized, however, that this figure-is based on less than satisfactory in-put data and should, if possible, be refined employing more precise information. For this reason, additional factors of 1:30 and 1:45 have also been computed to indicate the effect this would have on the enemy's ammunition consumption and on the total externally supplied requirements for VC/NVA forces. It is noteworthy, however, that the computations above reflect a marked and relatively consis- tent trend toward an increase in the level of combat for the period examined. This same increase is suggested by analysis of other factors as noted previously. Approved For Release 2002/08/16 Cl-A7RDP78S42149-R000200130005-0 27 ~..;x Approved For Release 2002/08/1-6 ;_CIA-R DP78Sp2i49II000200130005-0 8. Expenditure of Class V Per engagement. Research of data base documents and studies available in DIA has failed to provide sufficient in- formation to develop an improved estimate of the portion of the enemy's basic load expended in a day of combat. For the purpose of this study an expenditure rate of 1/3 the basic load for each day of combat has been employed. This factor was used in earlier studies on this subject. METHODOLOGY For the purpose of review and reference, following is the methodology described above and employed in the computation of Battalion days of Number of battalion combat for given equivalents month Days of combat for 30 (days/month) given month for each battalion equivalent Number of NVA X Battalion slice Division-type Battalions Number of NVA non- x Battalion slice Division Battalions Number of VC X Battalion slice Division-type Battalions Number of VC non- x Battalion slice Division Battalions Sum of tonnage x Expenditure of Class (preceeding four V per engagement steps) Tonnage expended per : Level of combat day of combat Class V requirements: Days of combat for given month for each battalion equivalent Level of combat for given month NVA Division-type tonnage NVA non-Division tonnage VC Division-type tonnage ,VC non-Division tonnage Tonnage expended per day of combat Daily Class V expenditure Approved For Release 2002108/16': CIA-RDP78 02149R000200130005-0 28 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 CIA'RDP78S02149R000200130005-0 ThC __.na' ~.' t~ ...~ ~?l i:... _ 0 ` t~_~. ..!-. ~.:v J.l7~nt ~'r +~l'n"_ ~.: 'l'J .~.. e ~r:a _ orse'+ c, as in Short Tons: 5." 3 ]o x 5. 2 T = 3j ,7 i 2' x 3 T _ _. m 59 x - = 7 r. T ~ x ~. ~ 1 1V2. T b 1 U- 5. X62 T = 357. ( =t 20 x 3.S T = 1JJ.4 T L.-i,.S 3_1C? Div 10=? 2,7 3 _U x J ' : SAc2 _ 2_4.1 T 16 3 3 T J. 1_ 56 5 a ' 3 L 1 7= 6j / s?s Sep Oct s :.Q ~r i'.oath 70 : Ay? 42 x Lay 41 _C J"-ll 45 x Jul 43 x Au 45 x Sep 45 .~ Oct 45 x 5ev 45 n 1,1C--A1_1 70 no-- En is 4.l = 179,767 47 x 3r T = 4.26?=175.4_T 52 _C 38'= 4.28T = 192.60? 50 .-L ?r3 .v~. 37 = 4.21T = 104,047 21 x 3.37 = 4.2= 192.'OT 50 3.CT = 4.x'1' 19 2,40T 51 j.OT = 4.23T = 192.637 49 3.31 = 4.28,-_ = 172. =''O T 4,y 3 .1:` no: non- iota r'I 253.7 1 VC non- Div 10:1 r n . 3 n L'.I". Slice 7 Ton Tot- 1 4S 1onri..;;c 170.607 74 3.OT = 261.207 63 ~/ 197 6 0 i 77 x 3.6T = 292,60T '665.62 .7 1c~?O 0^-, r.J1 77 x3.CT=292.L0T -75.20 T 193 00 . 1;0.00 82 x 3. 'T = 311.60T 694.20 7 1~ 00 82 x 3.67 = 311.63 595,00 T 15',20 82 _x 3.1i' = 311.60? '9'.~.LO i 102.40 C1 ._ 3.51 = 337 33 62. Approved For Release 2002/08/16 :CIA-RDP78S021-49R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 24Q21Q8N~ _; CIA-F DP78s0Z149R000200130005-0 L -L ic -7 "c 1, pe-l c p?~., r7 rr .~._ r C/ r' '0 26 li3 T Ju: 321,.9 T lo -00 . 13 1 1/3 Jul 37 9.3 1 ' vU )...: 1-6 fro T x 3_/3 ttl,.G ( - /r_.a :.. .. 1 - 1i_,J. iJ i x 1.~ .~ Sc- 413 .5 1/3 Oct 43 !b 1 2 7 1 /3 1 L: Lio.r !,UL ! 1 J~e~v 1 = l7%}r\pCr~ it Y 1/3 )7.'75 ,1 321ra5? 333.36 T J 35!=.9c; / m 367.9- 1 370, 50 374.3=4 T rn 382c,~ 1 S?iPD. Class n An- 297.75 1 i 1:27 11.03 , 3713 32 .59 '1 1:21 = 15.1;7 ST-PD 333 ` T 14 23. J L'- 354.90 T 1:11 = 25.35 STIR P n/ rr,. n PD .ti~ :1:> = 20 37 .1:' ST- PD Sep 370.50 T 1:13 = 37.05 STFD Oct 374.30 T 1:5 = 74.9 ST -PD ,10V 382.96 T 4 1:9 = ...55 UT? 2 AVE A0" . 31.,n-)4 i or t "no re,.,.,.,e'.'i the a'; -vra"e d? 11;' alas 31.04 ??~ __ ...ti. - _ ,.... ~. 17.72 these i~. 1:33 ?~ ~ '-? -C1. ~.~~ , -~ _ c,.??'_'.i . or Approved For Release 2002/08/16: CIA-RDF 78S02149R000200130005-0 f ,30 '' Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP78SO2149R000200130005-0 DIVISION Easic Ammunition load: NVA - 16.31 T + 3 regts (11.42 T ea) = 50.57 T VC - 4.32 T + 3 regts (11.42 T ea) = 38.58 T 500 I 1 Trans 1 30 Pistols 30 SI'G 25_x? ~~al.__.._ 300 120 mm Engineer l Signal 20 Pistols 10 Pistols 12 Pistols 50 SM~`G 20 5MG 50 SI. G 40 S ' G 60 Rifle s 10 Rifles 60 Rifles 40 Rifles 3A. 18 120mrn I Io rtar 25 Pistols 50 SI'G 50 Rifles 390 r__ , 2710-!J 12.7m AA 12 Pistols 12 Pistols 30 SM?iG 20 S"D Basic load of 20 Rifles 45 Rifles Class V = 3 AR 9 AR 1l.42 ; ea 18 75mm TILIZ 27 12.7AAA -1 12 Pistols 82 mm 35 SING Mortar 40 Rifles !., ._.. _- 18 8?:im Mortar 82 mm Mortar Bn replaces the 120 mm Mortar Bn in VC units. Approved For Release 2002/0)16 : CIA-RDP78SO2149R000200130005-0 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP78SO2149R000200130005-0 REGD %T 30 #._ ,,...a 90 [ 120 75mm RR 7 12.7 mm AA! 4 Pistols 12 SI-D 12 Rifles 6 75 rm RR 0 0 4 Pistols 9 SIi`G 15 Rifles 3 AR 9 12.7 in% AAA I'D 105 1 6 Pistols 35 SIIG 35 Rifles 82 mm 12 SI G- :Iortar J 12 Rifles 6 82 mm Mortars 5 Pistols 11 Rifles JiG 18 SI. t 25 Rifles Basic Load Class V: 2.5 T ea Basic a.-munition load of the Regiment: 3.92 tons for regimental headquarters units plus 7.5 tons for the three infantry battalions equals 11.42 tons for the regin.ent. Total personnel strength: 2710 32 Approved For Release 2002/08/16 : CIA-RDP78SO2149R000200130005-0 10 Pistols 10 SIMIG 94._-R_ .150 Signal Trans 8t Pistols 2 Pistols 18 Si G 15 SID 18 Rifles 18 Rifles Engineer Approved For Release 2002/08I~1C61 ~A-RDP18SO2149ROO020D13,OQA5-0 WEAPONS ALLG;IAN'iCE AND BASIC X12,7,JNITION LIST TI[JI123ER ROUNDS WEIGHT BASIC lOAD TYPES OF I EAPONS OF PER PER PER I'SAPON , EAPONS WEAPON ROUND Pistol 25 35 0.3 oz 16 , 40 lb s Carbine 188 40 0.6 oz 282.00 lbs Rifle 0.6 oz 420.70 lbs Rifle, assault 17 650 0.6 oz 414.40 lbs Gun, submachine 100 180 0.3 oz 337.50 lbs Gun, light machine 17 650 o.6 oz 414.40 lbs Gun, heavy machine 12.71=41 2 1800 4.5 oz 1012.50 lb s launcher, rocket 40-xn 12 8 4.0 lbs 384.00 lbs Mortar, 60-:m _3.0 lbs 660.00 lbs Mortar, 81/82-;-,rim 7.6 lbs 760.00 lbs Rifle, recoilless,57-m-n 12.0 lbs 288.00 lbs TOTAL: 4989.90 lb s (2.5 ST) NOTE: The list excludes weapons infrequently reported and some items such as hand grenades due to vagueness of of reporting on expenditures. Enclosure 3 Approved For Release 2GO2/Q8I 6 x,,PIA:;RpP7,$S0-21.49R000200130005-0 33