ESTIMATES OF CASUALTIES IN NORTH VIETNAM

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP78S02149R000200080009-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 4
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 8, 2000
• Sequence Number: 9
• Publication Date: February 1, 1967
• Content Type: MF

Approved For Release 2001/031bp: 78S02149R000200080009-2
1 February 19
R: D
Estiastes of Casualties in North Vietnam
1. This memorandum is for your informat on. It
shown that the estimates of casualties in North Vietnam
in the latest study prepared for Secretary McNamara are
consistent with those in the previous study and in other
papers derived from it; i.e., memoranda to the President
and to Senator Russell and the proposed press release.
S. The casualty tables from the two studies are
tacked. A comparison of these tables shows the follow
a. The estimates for 1945 are identical.
b. The estimates for 1966 are higher becaus
the latest study (Table 1) covers the full year
while the earlier study (Table 2) covered only the
first nine months.
c. The 1966 estimates in the latest study are
von as a range. based on alternate methodologies.
The lower sad of the range is derived from exactly
the same methodology used in the earlier study. The
r ead of the range is based on a new method
takes into account the tons of ordnance dropped
fects sali the estimate of civilian casualties
inflicted b armed reconnaissance attacks (marked in
4::ilra
red). bat ---. WeireTtKitV7iirt certain which method
e
yields ietOP - 'tir'iQmftAiAC, we have included both
and laliiile1rt6071466-101Oin in Table 1 preliminary.
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TS 194149,
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