PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS IN WORLD COMMUNIST AFFAIRS

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CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3
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RIPPUB
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K
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21
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December 19, 2016
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August 14, 2000
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30
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Publication Date: 
June 19, 1968
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REPORT
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25X1 e 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 Principal Developments in World Communist Affairs (21 May to 19 June 1968) 1. Czechoslovakia a. Soviet/Czech Mutual Interest vs. Mutual Irritation For the most part, observers of the Czechoslovak scene have noted that the past month has witnessed a disposition of prbpagandists,of the Soviet Union and East Germany on the one hand and the news commentators and writers in Czechoslovakia on the other to emphasize their mutuality of interests andninimize the frictions between Czechoslovakia and the rest of the Soviet Bloc. This is even more true on the part of the po- litical leaders of each side, as the many professions of mutual under- stading and confidence testify. Apart from the fitful flare-ups of polemics on either side, the most serious discordant note was Pravda com- mentator Konstantinov's passing mention of a key member of the Dubcek regime, Cestmir Cisar, as an example of modern revisionism for Cisar's alleged disparagement of Leninism as a universal doctrine. The attack was a unique example of Soviet media directly attacking a current Czech leader by name and was, moreover, gratuitious in that Konstantinov seems to have distorted Cisar's words and intent in the process. It remains to be seen whether this is, as some Czech journalists speculate, a renewal of the polemical battle with even more ominous purposes than: heretofore. b. Czech Press Freedom In a month of seeming reconciliation between the nervous Russians and East Germans with the centrist Dubcek leadership, the main bone of contentions remained the uncensored press and other information media in Czechoslovakia. With amazing indiscretion it still raised issues that might throw in doubt, in the minds of many Soviets and East Germans the Dubcek regime's ability to control subversive tendencies in Czechoslovakia (i.e., threats to Czechoslovak Communist Party [CzCP] dominance and con- trol). Cisar in fact cautioned the press to exercise self-restraipt in reporting and commentary on sensitive matters, while later reiterating that censorship would not be reimposed. This latter promise may have been inspired by the recollection that press criticism was a major factor in the deposition of conservative leader Novotny and a realization that until the battle against the conservatives is decisively won the Dubcek leadership depends on the support of the liberal-minded news media. c. Victory over Conservatives The conservative Communists are led by former President Novotny and comprise some 4+0 members of the 110-member CzCP Central Committee. The Central Committee Plenum (29 May to 1 June) was a major test of strength between Dubcek and the conservatives. Among the issues were the future status of Novotny and the early convening of a Party Congress (favored by the liberals and opposed by the conservatives). The Plenum decided Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 to deprive Novotny of hip seat on the Central Committee, and, in addi- tion, to suspend his Party membership along with those of six other prom- inent Communists, all apparently conservatives. A further victory over the conservatives was the approval for convening a Congress in September, at which a continuation of the attack on the conservatives is expected. Some observers believed that the Soviets, if not intent on preserving in- tact the conservative voice in the CzCP, would at least consider a con- servative setback at the Plenum as an additional sign of the unreliabil- ity of the Dubcek regime. Thus far, however, there has been no unequivo- cal expression of Soviet disapproval of the purge of Novotny and the other conservatives, which Soviet media reported promptly, briefly, and without comment. It may be that the Soviets decided that the situation called for maximum discretion. d. Discouragement of Independent Political Parties A major potential threat to the Dubcek regime was the mushrooming of political and quasi-political movements which, in the wave of hope and optimism engendered by the accession to power of Dubcek and the promulga- tion of his liberalizing Action Program, strove for recognition as politi- cal entities independent of the CzCP and of the rubber stamp parties con- trolled by it in the National Front. During the past month the regime served formal notice (apparently docilely accepted) that these incipient :independent organizations were impermissible on the Czechoslovak scene. On i6 May, Rude Pravo, the official organ of the CzCP, warned that such movements -- in the form of clubs or other similar organizations -- could not be legally fo1med or become active without prior approval by the Interior Ministry. Shortly thereafter one such group (the Club of En- gaged Non-Party Members) cancelled its meeting and another group was prevented from carrying out a previously planned meeting. It does not seem likely that such independent political organizations will gain ap- proval from the Dubcek regime in'the future. Even moe recent (mid-June) discussions of the National Front and the condemnation of proponents of independent parties, such as Ivan Svitak,tend to confirm this view. e. The Military Maneuvers Though Soviet and Czech leaders have gone to great lengths to assure the Czech public and the world at large that the military maneuvers on Czech territory are a normal, planned, routine, innocuous exercise, there can belittle doubt that, intended or not, it is a form of insurance that any effort to overthrow the CzCP will not succeed. At the same time, these maneuvers, coupled with the sporadic Soviet attacks on Czech publi- cists, are a measure of the continuing concern, objectively warranted or not, of the Soviet regime. And despite the leveling off of nervous reac- tions, Soviet unqualified acceptance of the Czech Action Program of lib- eralization and democratization is still in suspense. Approved For Release 2005/08/17 :CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 2. Extension of the Revolutionary Committee System in Communist China The revolutionary committees are a device for administering provinces since Mao's Red Guard and the Cultural Revolution destroyed the normal processes for governing. They are composed of representatives of three elements: the army, the Communist Party, and the Red Guard. The establishment of a revolutionary committee in Szechwan Province -- consisting of 70 million inhabitants and occupying a very important strategic area -- was hailed in a Peking New China News Agency broadcast on. 1 June 1968 as "a great victory for Chairman Mao's ... great proletar- ian cultural revolution" and as signaling "the complete bankruptcy of the criminal scheme of China's Khrushchev [President Liu Shao-chi], the others in the handful of top capitalist-roaders in the Party, and their agents to restore capitalism in Southwest China and Szechwan Province." Szechwan is bigger than France in size and almost equal to East and West Germany in population and is one of China's richest and most popu- lous provinces. Bitter struggles have taken place in this region between anti-and pro-Mao elements for the past two years. Even artillery and anti-aircraft guns were reportedly used throughout last year during the renewed outbreak of factional fighting. Since squabbling continued for over a year even among members of a military team appointed by Peking to form the revolutionary committee, some observers find it hard to consider the establishment of Szechwan revolutionary committee as a "victory." This new committee is the supreme body responsible for handling the af- fairs of the region, which were previously handled by the Communist Party Committee and local administrative offices. Only five of Communist China's 26 provinces and autonomous regions are still without such committees. They are Fukien, Yunan, Tibet, Sink- iang and Kwangsi, Failure thus to establish revolutionary committees in these provinces is reportedly considered pardonable because they are on a "war footing." They border Russia, India, Burma, Laos, and North Viet- nam or face Formosa. Szechwan was the last province in "peaceful" China to create a revolutionary committee. 3. Chinese Communist Support of Insurgent Movements in Northeast India Despite preoccupation with vast internal problems, Red China finds time and energy to export revolution. In early June 1968, India report- edly sealed its Nagaland border with Burma to prevent Naga rebel "na- tionalists" -- armed, guerrilla-trained, guided and encouraged by Red China -- from returning to resume their fight for the "national independ- ence" of Nagaland and thus break the uneasy cease-fire so tortuously negotiated in September 1963 that halted their eight-year war with India. (The cease-fire is due to expire July 1st unless re-extended.) This pre- ventive action was taken by the Indian government as a result of bloody Indo-Burmese border clashes in May which resulted in the death of some Indian troops and about 200 Naga rebels trying to return from China, the Approved For Release 2005/08/17 3CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 capture of 24 rebels, and the seizure of large quantities of Chinese arms, ammunition and documents which, officials said, gave conclusive evidence of Naga links with China. The seriousness of Red Chinese subversive influence and designs on Nagaland cannot be taken lightly. A Hindustan Times correspondent who visited Nagaland in April (this area has been barred to foreign corres- pondents for the past 8 years) and talked with the leaders and people was privately told by a "political thinker" in the rebels' underground "par- allel" government that the "political initiative and military direction of a Cuban type revolution in the offing in Nagaland have passed to Peking ... that the solution of the Naga problem, is no longer in our hands," Coordination between China and the Naga rebels has greatly improved since the first group of Naga rebels marched to China, via Burma, in January 1967 to enlist active Red Chinese support for their fight for "national independence" and were told that "training a guerrilla force was not enough," that the underground Naga political leadership must establish direct contact with Peking and must send its "political representative" there. This was evident when the second group of Naga rebels that left for China in January 1968 found truck convoys waiting for them in northern Burma. Over 1,000 Nagas are now reported to be in China -- receiving guerrilla training, arms and indoctrination -- and are not expected to return until the last quarter of 1968. (Nagaland consists of 6300 square miles of dense forest and steep hills, populated by 400,000 nature-worshipping animists, about three- fifths of whom are today converted Christian Baptists and only about one- fifth of whom can read and write. There 16 Naga tribes which set aside their ancient feuds and formed a council seeking a more independent status. They live in 800 Naga villages under a dual government -- the official, elected regime, and the undergound nationalist one.) Indian security forces, concerned as well about the growing evidence of Red Chinese training and equipping of rebels from the Mizo Hills and Manipur -- in northeastern India's remote hill country which adjoins Nagaland, borders Burma and lies close to East Pakistan -- have also in- tensified their security patrols in these border areas to prevent further Chinese subversion there as well as to prevent further raiding and plund- ering of the Union territory of Tripura by these rebels. In late April 1968, the Government claimed a sudden outburst of hos- tility in the Mizo Hills involved heavy casualties on both sides and it confirmed officially that some of the weapons used by those indulging in subversive activities in the Mizo Hills, Nagaland and Manipur are of Chi- nese origin. About the same time, another report claimed that groups of Mizo rebels, trained and equipped by the Chinese, entered the Mizo Hills from, the Chittagong Hill tracts in East Pakistan and that Red China had shipped weapons to Chittagong camps in East Pakistan to arm and train Mizo rebels. Still another late April Indian Government report warned Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : tIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 that India may have to resort to military operations to deal with increas- ing instability in the remote hill areas of northeast India -- in Assam, Manipur and Nagaland -- and added that "Mizos have also gone to China and continue to conduct guerrilla operations" from there. (The 300,000 members of the Mizo tribes, 90% of whom profess to be Christian and nearly half of whom are literate, live in the Mizo Hills -- in the southern finger of Assam state on India's northeast border with Burma. Only about one-third of the Mizos are reportedly securely under government control. Since 28 February 1966, the 7,000 square miles of the Mizo Hills have been aflame with rebellion.) Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 25X1C1OB L Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 FOR BAC4KURO Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A0004000300~3u0~-y 1968 Ho Chi Minh's Domestic Problems and the Vietnam War No war can be fought without problems, and the problems engendered by war are never peculiar to one side. The world press has concentrated so heavily on those with which the Allies must contend, however, that it has been difficult to bring Hanoi's difficulties into the limelight. Like anyone else, He Chi Minh has his troubles, both military and political, and they are grave. Indications of those problems are not as readily apparent to the free world as those of the Allies are to the Communist world, but Hanoi's troubles are gradually being catalogued -- in captured documents, in casualty lists, in the growing importance of defectors and number of prisoners of war, in cullings from her press and radio. The following are only a few of Hanoi's problems, but knowledge of a portion of them makes it possible to deduce others now and is assurance that other problems will gradually bob to the surface. War weariness must be deduced for the most part, but it must inevi- tably be part of the dreary life in North Vietnam -- for her people, her leaders and possibly even her military establishment. Movies and eye- witness accounts attest to the discomfort of life under regular air at- tack, but life is undoubtedly uncomfortable also as a result of food and consumer goods shortages. Resentment must be growing when those who can afford to patronize the black market manage to feed and clothe themselves with relative ease, and resentment -- even active disobedience to party authority -- has actually been reflected in Hanoi's recent anti-subversion law (see attachments). Water supply problems chronically plague North Vietnam (Hanoi's propagandists, ignoring the fact that damage to reservoirs, and other facilities is an annual phenomenon during the rainy season, blame it on deliberate U.S. air attacks against water installations). Housing shortages are also a problem as are the absence of hygiene, the scarcity of medicine and medical aid, the separation of families, the loss of Vietnam's young men -- all the ugly accompaniments of life for a people whose country is waging war. It would be interesting to learn what those who have and are undergoing these privations feel about He Chi Minh's avowed intent to extend the war for 10, 15 or 20 years if necessary. The dismal state of North Vietnamese agriculture is a major problem for the country. For several rice harvests years have fallen seriously below the four and one-half million ton averages of the early 1960's partly as a result of bad weather, partly from mismanagement, partly from the necessity to shift men and materiel from agriculture into more direct support of the war effort. The diet of the general population has been maintained at a bare minimum and even this has been accomplished only by imports of rice, wheat, flour and other foodstuffs from Communist China and the Soviet Bloc; imports have 'been massive they will unquestionably be higher yet in 1968. A third problem directly related to both of the above is the diffi- cult and increasingly dangerous task of infiltrating more troops and supplies from North Vietnam into the South -- North Vietnam could, in fact, be viewed as a combination funnel and arsenal, which is permitted Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 to consume only the minimum essentials while processing and transporting to the South whatever is needed for the conduct of operations there. The North Vietnamese people have apparently accepted this role -- as they do living with a war -- without enthusiasm or much resistance. Although U.S. bombing is today limited almost entirely to interdiction of the infiltra- tion routes in the panhandle, the massive repairs to be made further north and the task of maintaining and repairing the full lines of commu- nication require more than 200,000 full-time workers and several hundred thousand more part-time workers. Manpower requirements, as represented only in small part by the 200,000 workers needed for the infiltration routes, are a burgeoning problem for North Vietnam. Workers are needed with ever increasing urgency in trans- portation, agriculture, communications, engineering and labor battalions, industry, domestic defense and in North Vietnam's Armed forces (see at- tachments for details). One of the means Hanoi is using to alleviate her manpower requirements has recently been revealed in the assignment to North Vietnam of 40-50,000 Chinese in engineering, labor and railway bat- talions. This partial "solution" to the manpower problem may well create an even more serious problem. The Chinese comprise a difficult-to- assimilate part of the population and a potential menace for the future (as they were in North Vietnam after World War II or in North Korea after the fighting ended there in 1953). Many thousands of Chinese technicians and laborers arrived during the past three years at Hanoi's request to keep supplies moving, to build war-related facilities and to help cope with the bomb damage; their political activities in giving the North Viet- namese people daily lessons in the thoughts of Mao Tse-tung were their own idea. North Vietnamese geographic and economic dependence on China and the Bloc is a virtually insoluble problem. North Vietnam's dependence upon the Soviet Union and the Bloc for vast quantities of military supplies and Peking's rift with Moscow further complicate Hanoi's efforts to steer a careful course between the two Communist giants while attempting to extract the maximum concessions from each with the minimum of repayment or other commitments. The emphasis, in fact, has been on grant aid rather than credits, since it is unrealistic to expect a poor country, and one whose exports and foreign currency holdings are near the zero mark, to repay the vast debts Hanoi is incurring in this war. Peking's negative attitude regarding peace negotiations undoubtedly exacerbates any friction which exists in the Lao Dong Politburo between the pro-Peking and pro-Moscow factions as well as between the Politburo's hawks and doves. It is difficult to see. how a country or people whose armed forces are sustaining such heavy casualties could continue to view warmly Peking's oft-repeated "suggestions" that the North Vietnamese foreswear peace talks and confine themselves to military action, concen- trate on battlefield victories and absorb the inevitable military losses. Approved For Release 2005/08/1: CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 North Vietnamese casualties (as well as those of the Viet Cong) have been frightful. Since January 1961, the number of enemy dead has been over 360,000. Forty thousand of these deaths are estimated to have oc- curred during the Tet offensive. (However, there are close to 350,000 men in the armed forces still in North Vietnam and Hanoi's militia and security forces are at least that size. Out of a population of 18 mil- lion, North Vietnam has nearly three million males between the ages of 17 and 35; and additional 200,000 males reach the age of 17 each year, more than half of whom are fit for military service.) Declining troop morale in the North Vietnamese Army is illustrated by the increasing number of high-level defectors from the NVA as well as a greater number of unit surrenders. The comments of these men in press conferences, interviews, prisoner interrogations, etc., have vividly re- vealed that life in the NVA is sometimes hungary, frequently depressing and always hazardous (.:>ce cornmi3nts, of Lt. Colonel Dung and ot]-~er ,, a,ttticl c d) . 'ihc above points do not cover all of hanoi_'s prob.Lecn; others arc referred to in the attached articles. While this evidence should not be misinterpreted as meaning that North Vietnam will collapse in the near future, it does effectively illustrate the terrible price Hanoi is pay- ing in continuing the war ... a price that she has been at pains to con- ceal. Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : 'OIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 July 1968 Assessment of North Vietnam. Media: Indications of Increasing Morale Problems in North Vietnam (as of December 1966) An article in the Hanoi Army newspaper Quan Doi Nhan Dan of 1 November revealed the North Vietnamese regime's fears about army morale. Written by one Trung Cong, the article amounted to a warning to the Party to step up ideological education before "rightist'," i.e. defeatist, thoughts ir- remediably affected the army's fighting spirit. In its theme of the conflict between "proletarian" and "non-prole- tarian" thoughts, the article defined the latter as "rightist, negative and individualistic thoughts when faced with new ordeals`." These were said to take shape and develop if the "ideological task is not carried out constantly'..` There were army units which had to struggle against these negative thoughts because "the battleground of proletarian ideol- ogy in these units is steadily consolidated every day'." Faced with hard- ship and "temporary, partial losses," a number of soldiers were failing to entertain "correct views and thoughts." Only a "thorough education" could bring soldiers' thoughts into line with the Party's views, and a careful check: should be kept on "the trend of the development of thought." The article implied that the ideological leadership had failed in its "central task" of "ensuring that everyone has a steadfast anti-U.S. national salvation determination." It criticized the leadership for lacking "an objective and scientific method of study as well as a firm mass outlook." This had resulted in a failure to understand "the mind of the masses." Although it was hinted that "passive phenomena," (i.e. a war weari- ness) had arisen after fierce battles, the article claimed that "suffer;.- ing losses and making sacrifices do not mean that we are not winning". If this thought was borne in mind, Trung Cong concluded, "we will always be optimistic, confident and resolute." Problems of morale are on the increase generally in North Vietnam. It is clear that there is a strong body of opinion critical of the Hanoi regime's aggressive policy which has exposed the North to US-South Viet- namese bombing raids. The people who hold these views are certainly in the leadership, as well as in the army and among the civilian population. Evidence that they are in the leadership, possibly at a high level, is to be found: in an article by Hoang Qtloc Viet in the July issue of the party periodical, Hoc Tap. Viet, one of the most influential members of the Communist (Lao Dong) party leadership, who is believed to favor China's hard line, was much concerned about the "new workers" who were becoming "very easily perplexed when faced with difficulties and hardships'.'.' He considered that it had become an "extremely urgent problem" to struggle resolutely against." Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 "pacifist ideas." It had to be admitted, the article said, that "a number of our comrades have lacked a correct view of the working class in con- solidating and safeguarding the north and liberating the south. As a result, certain front policies have not been strictly carried out." As these "comrades" were in a position to prevent the implementation of front policies, it can be assumed that they hold important Party or Government posts. On 8 October Hanoi Radio also admitted that in the present situation "many of our people are worried" and it was likely that "their worries might affect their struggle spirit." Some people, the broadcast said, had thought that "we should be a little bit more yielding and flexible in order to avoid bloodshed and killing. They believe that the use of diplomatic skill may sometimes spare sacrifices." However, "For our part we think otherwise ... we are deeply aware that independence and freedom cannot be achieved through negotiations and talks but only through the shedding of our blood." The problems resulting from loss of morale have led to a general tightening up of security and consequently to increased emphasis on the role of the security forces. President Ho Chi Minh spoke to the North Vietnamese People's Security Forces Emulation Conference (broadcast on 22 October) urging security officers and men to "perfect their organiza- tion" and "strive to improve revolutionary morality." They should be "sincerely united, must completely eliminate individualism, must thorough- ly correct arrogant bureaucratic and overbearing manners, and must es- tablish very good relations between the security forces and the people." One of their principal tasks was to "deepen their hatred for the U.S. ag- gressors." The Party daily Nhan Dan, in an editorial on 22 October, stressed that the security forces had been ordered to "check in time and suppress all pilots of the reactionaries in order satisfactorily to protect our leading organs and armed forces..." An editorial on 27 November in Quan Doi Nhan Dan emphasized the need to review regularly the rules governing "the preservation of secrets and the prevention of enemy penetration in the units of the people's armed forces, in the public authorities, schools and co-operatives" and to sup- plement them when necessary. Security methods should be integrated "into the firm pattern of our daily life." It was essential to "react skilfully to all events as they occur, not letting them affect other localities "Backward elements" must be reformed; "reactionary elements" should be suppressed. Combined with these warnings and exhortations to vigilance are attacks on American "deceitful propaganda." The editorial warned that the United States used "material means to buy up certain elements along with spread- ing false rumors and putting forward hypocritical sugar-coated arguments which had "the dark aim of paralyzing our army's and people's vigilance Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 2 PYRGH Appro fW "s ~QQ4,fp%I,7vitel } RDP78-03061 A000400030030-3 (Independent Melbourne weekly journal) July 1968 PIER IX IT IS SIMPLY not true, as we are tclld so often, that this is an "unwinnable war", a "bottomless pit". At the present time it is widely battles and they are being duly mas- thought that the United states and its sacred. The North Vietnamese Inter- allies have gained a m(lltary superi pretation may have bgren right twelve ority In Viet Nam and that, as long as months ago - it seems to be com- the United States remains firmly com- pletely wrong at the present time. mitted, the Vietcong cannot achieve There appears to be littIO doubt that a military victory. In fact, if it they should still be conducting small. wanted to, the United States could sonic, guerrilla operations fphnse`+ practically wipe North Viet Nam off and two of Mao's strategy) rrtt it;c the map in a matter of hours. it than engaging in largo-scaly battles should be commended for the restraint (somewhere between phases two and. it has shown. throe). It seems that the old theory that it Balance has swuli,g required a manpower ratio of at least It is possible, one must suppose, 10 guerrilla r 12 to r to successfully counter that the guerrillas could return to the rendered warfare has s been en largely obsolete in phases of conflict. But even Introduction of new n Viet techniques Nam by by the the If they did it must be doubtful Introduction United States, the most important whether this would be of any great of them being the slow-moving troop advantage as the upper hand In terms carrier, the parachute, chemical defoli- of that critical factor of mobility ators, and particularly the helicopter within the confines of South Viet which has given the counter-guerrilla Nam would remain with the United forces a previously unknown degree States forces. It must be emphasised of mobility. that the military balance, even In such refined aspects, has altered corn Military victory siderably over the last twelve months or so. As was pointed out in the chapter Having said that, North Viet Nam on Revolutionary Guerrilla warfare, now appears to face four alternatives, the first essential in counter-guerrilla excluding, of course, withdrawal. It operations is This to have the do. may call in a major power such as There are number f e t for to o h this is Russia or China; it may move lot but b are a the mst of reasons important is that negotiations and attempt to gain at but t y far thhe most conference table what it is losing holy io ell. in the field (with reasonable chances e In terms b have of gained lity li through superiority c mobility words have of succeeding); it may broaden the Cam- akeor. In from the wguerrilla w we e have largely war Westwards across Laos and Cam- printipal assets his into Thailand, where the neccs? principal . two and of e eis Time. sary spadework has already been seen what was said bpaaut greatly earlier, it can n be done; or it may do none of these seen reat this contributes the e r-st t to things but continue on as at present the baking down of pinning Its hopes to outlasting the firth re of the Vietcong apparatus. auiupsr-st. United States or to a favourable turd Other important factors contributing in the South Vietnamese political to the same end are, firstly the im? situation, mense air power of the United States, S114rkirfs~ showdown particularly evident In its 1352 bombing raids, which are destroying the Viet. The first seems highly unlikely as cong's underground network, and com neither Russia nor China would look pletely demoralising many of the North with favour ' upon the prospect of Vietnamese conscript guerrillas enter- coming into direct conflict with the Ing the South and secondly, the fact United States. The second also that North Vietnamese guerrillas are appears unlikely at the moment. j now actually controlling the Viet. ilanoi let a golden opportunity to cong's day-today operations in the negotiate from a reasonably sound field. The problem for the Vietcong bargaining position pass it by last with the latter is that the North Viet- January during the U.S, "peace offen? namese consider the war to be in. tt sive". Decisions of this kind depend different and more advanced phase very largely on the balance of power than do the South Vietnamese who in the Lao Dent, Politburo and so have a far better understanding of prediction is difficult. The third the cotuttr and the present situation. course of action seems to be a real ApproweidltFwth 64"SM 47 l lA-RDP7&6k3 6ilAOO01400 i?0iS0?,4?rnativa Vietcong into fighting large scale has the advantage o being the CPYRGH rnc: presently employcAppraVed tForbReftc-fteo2Q05/Ot8/1i77a)GfA- 7$-03061 A000400030030-3 decided disadvantage of not leading to victory, at least militarily. Again, any decision to deviate from the pre. sent course of action may depend on ` the power structure within the Lao Dong. The most plausible alternative course of action to that presently being pursued appears, therefore, to be a widening of the area of conflict. It. is reasonable. to expect that the guerrillas, may nit^mpt to retrieve undisputed superiority in terms of Spare and Time by extending the war into Thailand, if this is at all possible, and that largely depends on their resources and morale. Should North Viet Nam win in the South it will, of course, not have any great support of South Viet Nam, such as Australia, New Zealand, the U.S., Britain and Korea. In this field, the battle Is being carried on by world Communist organisations through the manipulation of the press, radio, clergy, peace fronts, trade unions, political parties, intellectuals and bodies such as "Viet Nam Day Committees". "Save Our Sons" organisations with the ultimate objective of bringing sufficient world-wide pressure on the United States Government to undermine its will to continue and 'to persuade it to leave Viet Nam and the Indo.. Chinese region or at least reduce its commitment there. problems in either of these respects. Whilst at the present time, the Com. munists appear generally to be also Breaking morale losing this aspect of the battle, no one can be certain of its eventual out. The most effective way of counter. come as the military conflict is likely log this possibility Is to do all in our to continue in one form or another power to undermine the guerrillas' for some years, during which cur- morale, will and resources In the rently unforseen circumstances might broadest sense of the term. For thissuddenly affect the political battle both more intensive bombing of North Viet In Viet Nam and abroad, consequently Nam may or may not be necessary. deciding the final outcome of the What is necessary Is effective posltivewhole war. action and preparatory counter. guer? rilla operations in Thailand in order War can be won to reduce the susceptibility of the peasants to guerrilla exploitation and that South Viet Nam, the United States, Thailand and their allies stand, firm and unyielding and clearly show themselves as such. Overall, there is little doubt that the war can be won. Whether it is won will depend very largely on the degree of understanding shown by the United States and its allies of the internal Vietnamese political and social situ. DAILY Ni':ws War's Biggest Surrender: Half 14. 'refs -- SAIGON, June 18 (UlP11- A company of cammu. )ni.q troops laid down their arms and held up their bands in Saigon toay in the largest mass surren- der of the Vietnam War. U. S. and South Vietnamese military spokesmen said about half the 121 guerillas who su rendenid were North Vietnamese, usually the toughcsl_of the cammutist Troops. They gave. up three miles northeast of down- town Saigon after being hunto in house-to-house fighting by South Vietnamese Marines who had killed at least 60 of their comrades the past two days. "This is quite encouraging. We're happy to see them turn themselves in this way rather than at the cost of a number of our men," said Capt. Charles Bentley, 28, of Richmond, Va., a U. S. -adviser to the Marines. Allied officials said the previous record surren- der was 108 North Vietnatneso,who gave up to U. S,. Army paratrooopers theree, months, ago near the city of Hue, 380 miles north. This conflict will be decided by the action and upon the firmness of their battle of willpower as much as any. resolution to prevent further Com. thing else. The military conflict In the munist expansion in Indo-China, with field is only one part, although a the realisation that the fall of South major part, of the whole war. The Viet Nam would in all probability be ether aspect, which could be the decid. a prelude to the fall of South-East log factor, irrespective of the military Asia, if not all Asia; to the destruction situntion Is the political Batt,., of the freedom and welfare of the being fought on two levels. Firstly, peoples of these countries and their in Saigon and other important South slow, but steady, progress towards Vietnamese urban areas where the Viet- democracy; to a major change in the conk and its agents aim at arousing world balance of power; and to the the maximum amount of discontent, isolation and probably the eventual chaos and disorder, through the ox- capitulation of Australia. ploitation of grievances, real or other- If it is won, a major stop will have wise, in hope of a Government ,it least been taken towards the preservation of neutralist in outlook coming to power world peace. The people of South which would tell the United States and Viet Nam will be able to return to a its ntlies to leave and allow the Viet. more normal mode of living and to nanwese to settle their own problems the task of economically developing "in peace" by coming to some form their country which in the mid-fifties of occoruinodal ion with the Vietcong. of ir the counfastest carates pable of of growth in Secondly, it is being fought in a nun- shadow of Red China hanging over the "official conversa- tions" between the United States and the Democratic Re- public of Vietnam in Paris. Approved FofN1691Q0WY0861 Ytlt:cCI.4 diplomatic assault course with JAPAN TIMES 14 May 1968 i- e- s From Europe talks, the only Chinese Cnrn. munist pressman, the corre? Peking Pressure in Peace Talks spondent of the New China BY MA 1id71tU KTKUC1jj n? a.n Y obsta- News Agency, left for "a vaca. -nuuence over tu". for Home. Hanoi seems to On the other hand, Chinese; be the most Ambassador Huang Chen, who dlfricult one, has been home for "reed uea- With hun. lion" b t e? Iced Guards, is -RDP7 JrOWIBdfA(36#)40fl613Q(i Alt back to Parts, e gn pressmen He will no'ctoubt try to bring coming t o strong pressure to bear on the Paris for the I Hanoi delegatlon. Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 and undermining our will to fight'. Ho Chi Minh, in his speech to the People's Security Forces' Emulation Conference, warned against an inten- sification of intelligence and espionage activities by the enemy, who was said to be attempting to "encourage and entice the reactionary elements in the North to his side in order to oppose and sabotage the revolution." By thus laying the blame for the opposition to the regime on the shoulders of the United States, it is clearly hoped to direct the wide- spread disaffection into anti-American channels and away from the Party and Government. CPYRGH T Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 3 Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 Observers believe that theI Chinese are opposed to any compromise solution. They believe that the Russians, support settlement of the Vietnam problem through some compromise because they want a detente and are now too busy in Eastern Eu- rope. -_ Some observers believe that there might he some oppor- tunity for Washington to reach agreement with Hanoi despite Chinese opposition. However, French sources said that the chances seem slim that North Vietnam will climb down from the Mos cow-Peking tightrope through which it has hitherto mane aged to preserve its indepcn: dence. This is because, it they reached an agreement. it would mean that Hanoi had chosen Washington and Moscow rather than Peking.. On the other hand, if Hanoi gives way to pressure from Peking,. it would lose Its pres. ent independence. In this situation, the Chinese are ex- pected to take every oppor? tunity of complicating the Paris talks. , Apart' from the Chinese pressure and I-Ianoi's dlmcult position', the negotiating time. table is likely to be linked with the American presiden- tial election schedule. This would obviously suit the pur- poses of President Lyndon D. .Johnson and Vice President; Hubert Humphrey. At thel same time, Hanoi would usel the American, convention' deadline as a lever to extract: concessions from Washington: JERUSALEM POST 1 March 1968 Vietnam: The story one Hanoi sold ter whO surrendered By MARK YRANKI,AN D SAIGON (Ofns). --- riIHE Vietnam war has reached a stage where statistics have taken the reality out of suffering. In the past few weeks, thousands of men have been killed, tens of thousands wounded, There are hundreds of thousands of refugees. As the figures rattle off the typewriter you may just hrwo it1ine to t its quality quantity of the suffering, uti l has little chance to penetrate. Let us, therefore, praise Dinh Cong Ba, a 24-year-old North Vietnamese soldier who one February morning crept out from his foxhole. under the cover of smoke from the heavy battle round him, and found his way to a Vietnamese Catholic priest, to Whom he surrendered. My purpose Is not to praise hint because he gave himself up, or chose. the "right" side. It is just that his is the story of one living man, and through it we can pay our respects to nil the other sad stories of this war that ate hidden forever behind statistics. Ba is an open, ,,nilling young man. His face is still pale from his months of liv- ing in the jungle. and his arms are covered with insect bites and scratches. Although he now dresses in the brown shirt and trousers of a lioi clash (soincone who has surrendered under the Saigon Govern- ment's Open Arms Programme) he still wears his Vietcong rubber tyre sandals. His toe-nails look like small, rough sea- shells, South in a Ba walked all the way group that totalled five companies (750 men). Ills was called the "Finish the War" Company. They entered Laos somewhere near Tchepone, and at the end of June crossed Into South Vietnam in Kontum Province. Jungle tracks All along the route, at a distance of a day's march apart, they cagle across liaison posts where they were fed and provided with a guide for the next day. These guides chose the jungle tracks that were free of American bombing and flareups. It is a tribute to their skill that In all the journey south. the group was bombed only once, when entering South- Vietnam, and one soldier was killed. Fifty others were sent back because of illness. Usually they travelled by day along paths completely covered by jungle, but open spaces were negotiated by night. They carried on their backs food for three months: akilo-and-a-half of dried neat, the same amount of salt and 400 granunes of monosodium glutamate, which they used to make soup with forest vege- tables. They marched five or six hours a day for five days, rested the sixth, In August they met up with the Viet- cong unit. , whose strength they were to bolster. 3a joined the 92nd Artillery Com- pany of the VC Fifth Divislon, armed with five DKZ 75 iuni. recoilless anti-tank rifles and IS AN 47s. Ills job, like most of the soldiers. was to carry ammunition. Although it was a mined Vietcong- Northern unit, all the leaders, from section chief up, were Southerners, Relations be- tween the two groups, I3a said, were "very good." He admired the political Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 3 CPYRGH T Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 cadre very much - "he was our spiritual element". The cadre said "our mission was to attack the Americans, liberate the South and unify the country. We were told it would he enough to have one battle and morale was very high." The company took up a position in Bien IIoa Province along the Dong Nai River, sonic 20 miles from Saigon, but after two months' waiting they had to move back towards the Cambodian border, "be- cause American tactics had caused a shortage of rice." However, the company never seems to have been scrtously ham- pered in it s movements, which, say some- thing about the limitations of American and South Vietnamese intelligence and air power. Until January 1968, they occupied them. selves In training and with transporting rice which had to he brought from the Cambodian side of the border. Some of the Northern troops were surprised to find the South' more prosperous than they expected. The political cadre explained that some people In the South "were slaves of material things," and Ba said the men agreed with him. 'Lost courage' In January the corapany moved back for the great battle. In fact It never went into action properly because the VC plan WASHINGTON POST 10 June 1968 In this case was caught off balance by an American reaction that was lucky rather than interrtlonal. "It was the worst battle- field I've seen," said an American officer later. "You could have walked an L- shaped area covering three kilometres and scarcely have touched the ground. I've never seen so many bodies, not even after the human. wave attacks in Korea." Who can blame Bn for that moment when he "lost courage 7" ills future now is uncertain. He still adinires Ho Chi Mint[ very much, and does not know if there is anyone like him in the South. He thinks the North could go. on fighting for another six years or so, "It will he difficult to arouse the ardour of the troops now, but perhaps the. poll- tical cadre will think of something." He rather ilkcs the Americans he has met but is not so sure about the South Vietnamese officials. What he, would really like is to somehow attach himself to the American Army and go North with them so that he could rejoin his family. Be thinks "the Americans would destroy the Communist Party but not the people." Ba is a nice, open fellow, but goodness knows what the war will end ill) doing with him. He broke out of the world of statlstics for a moment when he left his foxhole, but he cannot escape its clutches for ever, A P lectolf" Ilies By Lee Leseaze Washington Pont Foreisru 8ervlce SAIGON, June 9--Former Vietcong Lt. Col. Phan Viet 1) ung, a high-ranking defector, thinks the war will go on for a. long time If the allies pursue a military victory. "If we want to crush the other side militarily, It will take a long time and the cost will be high," Dung said. "But there are other ways to end the war. We can exploit divisions on their side. We can perhaps find a way to get them to rally In groups, not singly as I did," Dung, who had commanded a regiment, is certain that other Vietcong officers and soldiers share his doubt that the war will never be solved militarily and he believes that many also arc not certain they Foe Seen Resigned "Since 1965, everyone' (in the Vietcong) has known that there can be no military solu- tion to the war," Dung said, in a long interview. Dung angered one military interrogator several days car. her by refusing to give de. tailed information about the Vietcong 165th Regiment, tvhich he commanded before he defected. He had said that many of the Vietcong are his rriends and he is not eager to see them killed. He wants to aid the Saigon government but not by simply informing on his unit. 3 Phases Since 1963 The Colonel came back from several years in North Viet. nam in 1963. Ile divides the years since then into three phases. In the first, "when there were only American advisers. f ous difficulty-they had to leave ten dead and one ma- chine gun behind. Dung fought most of the time in the Highlands along the Cambodian border. In the second phase, he said, his troops would usually have the advantage at the start of each battle because of surprise at- tacks and slow Allied reac- tions. But when the reaction and the planes came, Dung said, the advantage shifted. The third phase began with the Tet attacks on the cities, he said, He found this fighting extremely difficult for his reg. inient. VC Leaders' Concern "Vietcong leaders want to create an Impact In the world and don't care about casual. ties," Dung said. "There Is a the r1 . ~.~.,,~~, a ~uuu uuicuvu ViAt ,ok9 `F'aF f ea / i1 c 78-4~ tR i1' ~p4R ~t~ 4; b k e r t e of tine Co unist bloc. where the Vietcong had seri? CPYRGH T CPYRGH -.n p-t{lye#,Fqr F eIgsq gP05/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A(,O04O003 + untsm with c country anr.' became an trtil- lons and guaranteeing victory, fiery Office in the North Viet? ll especia y guaranteeing the lives of our soldiers for whom we are responsible, "if we fulfilled our responsi- bility to our troops, we failed to satisfy our leaders; If we satisfied- our leaders, we be- trayed Our consciences." Dung said he had difficulty communicating the situation he saw in the field to his supe- riors. He was amused when an American told him that U.S. officials in Vietnam fre quently make the same com- plaint. Dung, 38, gave up to'South Vietnamese authorities in l3lnhduoing Province May 7 as the Vietcong made their sec- ond major effort to attack Sai- gon. Ile said that he first thought of doing so 11 years ago, "when It was clear there would be no elections to re- unify Vietnam." Joined Vietminh at 15 He joined the Vietminh at 15; at 16 he was a member of the Communist Party. He was a 24year-old deputy battalion commander when the French were defeated In 1954. Dung went to North Viet- nam after the partition of the namcse :+l'my. "I am proud of joining the Vietminh to fight against the French," he said. ""But I began to find that communism was not the right doctrine for me," But three things made it dif- ficult for him to decide to ahandon the Communists, Dung said. He was not sure that the government in Saigon was any better than the government in Hanoi; the Americans were supporting Saigon and he thought they were responsible for blocking the national elec- tions called for by the Geneva agreements; also, he had many friends on the Communist side. Thinks Capitalism Better Dung said he knew little of capitalism except what he learned from Communist lec- tures and books, but he believ- ed that capitalism could make the people happy and the coun- try strong. "It was not all good, but if SAIGON DAILY NEWS 21 March 1968 9- colonialism, communism is better; If you compare com- munism with capitalism, capi- talism is better." die decided that the Saigon government had many faints, but, was better than the gov- ernment in Hanoi. "As a Vietnamese," Dung said. "I don't like to have for- eigners--especially fore I g n troops-in the country." It took much thought before he decided that the Americans were not the aggressors and were not seeking a colonial empire in Vietnam, he said. He compared the actions of the United States in Vietnam and the Soviet Union in Hun- gary and found them Identical, Dung said:. If Russia was not an aggressor, neither was America, lie said. Ile thinks no encroachments by communists an parts of the non-Commu- nist world should be tolerated by the United States. As to the problem of having to leave -- and perhaps fight against-his friends if he ral- lied to the Saigon govern. ment, Dung said, ,If I had waited for everything to be right, I would never have been able to rally," As told to Mekong Futures reporter, eporter, Thanh Hiep, by 16 year old Nguyen Van J'ruong who es- caped with Help of a North Vietnamese resistance organization. SAIGON (Ml') -. c Each per- son is allowed a monthly food ration of 6 kilo of rice ahd 4 kilo of maize, be this autficiont or not ; while the entire family gets half a cup of fish sauce, two pieces of flint and enough petroleum to last one day... cEvory year they gave us a ticket to buy 3 motors of state- made fabric. No one could buy allowance of 300 gm of meat on the occasion of the TET Now Lunar Year celebration, But with the beginning of 1067 President Ho announced, oW.> are to give up our TET ration of meat to help our dear fellow countryman of the South ...)> Nghs An Province, North Viet. nam near the 17th parallel which ceparatos N,.erth from South Vietnam, Truong mango to escape in mid-1067 with the help of a resistance movement in NorthVietnarn called the Leea- gue of the Holy Sword. This description of actual ((Each detail of our liko,>r, conditions in N(,ith Vietnam Truong c ntinuad, sour every was given by 16 year old activity was controlled and ro- Nguyen Van TRUONG who it. gulatod by the St-,tos, Ev ry one morA dWd pots Y@a a 24Mk5/aBA17 tizCWRM7c8-A30EulAtOOGMG93hUQ T3siaerI CPYRGH Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 No's te-xchings which urged'.,.' to work without paying attention to the month of the year, to the week of the month, to the d.,y or the walk and to the hour of the d,y.' In my village of Quynh L,au most people earn their living by farming or fish- ing. Every day, at 2 o'clock in the morning, I went with the fish boats out to sea. We worn not allowed to go beyond 7 or 8 kilometers from shore as the Viet Cong (Vietnamese Com- n'r)nist) officers are afraid ma- ny of the fishermen would try to escape, At five in the after- noon, all the fishing boats had to go back w port where Party cadremen a-r,aited to value and take our fish. Each fisherman was allowed to keep one kilogram of fish regardless of the size of his family.)) : el may aff n m, o TRUONG continued, ((that we were all very angry with such prac. tices but no one shred show his discontent, Even so we were a little bott9r.off, than the farmers who got only their re- gular monthly allowance of rice and maize. However,)) TRUONG added, seven the allowance of rice and maize is not granted to everyone, but only to those who get marks for their work, Those who cannot work, even for some ill- ness or any other reason, will gat reduced marks and their monthly rice allowance is cut down. For example if a worker Can not work for two-days, his rice allowance for that month is lesxoned by 700 gr-more than 15%. ln.addition to the. obligatory hours to be wo.ked for the State, the number of which was never clearly fixed, p)oplo had to work extra hours to increase their family income. M Groover, every one had to go to four or five meetings a month to hear the Communist Party cadremen lecture on the policy of resistance against American Imperialism, and the false government of the South, ((I do not know about the other provinces of North Viet- nam,a TRUONO continued, ((but I know that in the district of Quynh Lu:x no peasant owned a radio set. Only Partly cadre- men holding positions of villa- ge commissar upwards own these devices o. c Walking and riding water buffaloes and oxen are the cur- rent modes of transport, in the whole district of Quynh Lou, only Party cerdre:nen and some villagers own bicycles. Bicycle owners, who wish to cell must get permission from their villa- ge authorities and pay a heavy tax,)> do North Vietnam the two religions, Buddhist and C,th. lic,_ are under constant pres- sure from the C. tnm ini t Party and the Government. Catholics' aria the object of constant suspi- ci'in, The Pa: ty cadremen tell Christians, 'Srppos3 you live a lazy life arid sit all day long to worship the Christ, will hC give you rice to eat and cl,thes to put on... ?u They spread among the people their propa- g-rnda saying that Christians include reacti>nary elements always seeking to go over to the enemy.((Christians are tho foes of our psbple,)) they say. TRUONG continued, eAft3r the arrest of Futh?r Tran Dinh CAN, ,Priest of Quynh Luu parish on August 7, 1066 the cadre- men arrested Bishop Tran Dinh NHIEM, of the archdiocese of Vinh. Throe months later Father CAN was brought back to his church where the cadremen aac5amblecr the population and read. a ver- dict condemning Father CAN as g-lty of the - 'mos. against the people, then be was taken away and no one ever hoard from agxinm Many churches and pagoda, have been turned into office3 and storage places for the Go- vernment. TRUONG stated that the little parish' in the village of Quynh Ban has been used as a State granary since 1065. For public entertainment one car, see prapaganda films and plays occasionally if he has enough money for the ticket, Generally entertainment sub- jects call for increase in produc tion, or relate the battle of Dian Bien Phu, the Chinese struggle or the Russian revolution, Marriages All the young people in North Vietnam must learn by heart the following slogan, ,Delay making a choice of you mate. If, the choice has been made, postpone the marriage, If the marriage has been made, wait to have c hildron, if the children are born, limit their number ; one child is not enough, two children will do, three are too many,e Marriage is not allowed for men under 22 and wo.nen under 2U. The engaged couple must get permission from the State and pay a tax which some times is more than they can raise. After marriage the State permits each couple to give birth to two children. If a third child is born, the State can tolerate this . But if the wife has any indication of a fourth pregnan- cy, she is obliged Ito have an abortion and submit to an opo. ration which will prevent having any more children, Boys and girls convicted of illegal liai- sons will . be brought before popular criticism and then be areaducateds in a dotention'ce,n- ter. If they have a child from their illegal liaison, the child is not ali,.cated a normal monthly ration of food. Conscription TRUONO reported that pre. viously rho State only roanultod young min 13 years of ago upwards, except for Christian youth who are jud jod unrolia. hole. But within the past throe y;>ars the age limit has boon dropped to 14 and Chaistian youth are inclu:led. TRUONG said that the cadre- mail told everyone that the Northerners who fled South at the time of partition of the country in 1054 had be;n killed by the Americana, -Most of TRUONG'a own family was Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 amo111Ap0mve (:F&,R se 4005/ '17T~!Y 4.f -.030?494-1004@0i03O a known to him. star e b 1234 1 did l d h cc ieve un not e in the cadrenrer TRUONG said,, der of the League agreo:i to a so I k-apt looking for any help him join his (amity in the ocea;ricn to escape' to the South. Once again he was Sout%1. Soma rumors has circu- taken in a boat for $;x ar latod among the fishermen seven hours and then placed eb.3nt the 13aguo butt was not in a small bait and told to sure if they ware true uctil one row to shore. When finally of the Party cadr?om:n spent an ashore, he was taken to the entire evening lecture attacking Danang R,uaption Center of the the rum)ro and warning severe O;asn Arms program cf South repeated them. Thin I was sur o the rumors were trues, As usual young TRUONO wiat to Lis boat )o go fishing but now he changed hie fishing ar?oa and instead of q)fng close to the shore, he sailed nearly 7 ,in off the coast. There an A, rl 29, 1987 he mot a boat from [tie League, TRUONG waved and shouted to thorn, He was taken abroad the ship and afterwards blindfolded was given a pass signed by M. Vo CONG chief, of the Danang Center, With this pass, TRUONG obtained the right to reside in any part of the Republic of Vietnam. TRUONG went to live with his father and two sisters who had fled to the south in 1954 and are now living in Binh Tuy, I"- km from Saigon. TRUONG said that the League had told him they would continua to stand and brought to a mountainous against the Hanoi regime until re?fion which was called the the true aspiratio'"s of . the met, an t at others like him- :elf would also be helped to flea South. aAs soon as I put my foot on the ground of the South,a TRUONG continued, amy eyes were dazzled with arnazament and l,was droaining.e Everything app-ared new to him, At a tailor shop he stopped in wonder at the large display of clothes ((May I buy some ?s) he asked. aOf course you may, provided you may, provided you can pay for theme, the shop worod with a laugh, c(People in the TRUONG continued SoutliD, areally and enjoy to much freedom they are very happy, As com- pared with the Southerners' standard of living that of. Nor" tlierners does not attain the thirtieth part of it. And yet thca cadremen told us the people of the South have been starving to death Iu YOMIURI, Tokyo. 29 April 1968 Vietnam North Its Troub'es ' d Nil IN Edwarecln, CPYRGry T Vletnard (DRV). The article says: "The strite strictly prohibits and punishes all acts of treason, opposition- to the people's democratic sys- tern, or opposition to .rcunificn? Lion of the fatherland." As defined In the decree, counterrevolutionary crimes are "opposition to the fatherland and the people's denroer;etie power, sabotage of socialist transformat.ton and construe. tion undermining national de- fr:nse:. and the struggle against US :iggrer slon for national salvation aimed at defending the north, liberating the south, and reunifying the country." Hong Kong (CNS)-Iteferr?ats The document was referred to North Vietnam as n so. to in a broadcast by Radio premely motivated, unified and nano( on March 21. It is a ared to decree on the punishment of monolithic nation pre , p fight "20 ye;rt?s or mere," `counterrevolutionary crimes.' cteterndncd to "liberate" South This was the first time in Vletnam at any cost, have recent years that Hanoi has been heard often enough. suggested so openly that there Ifut this statements aren't Were some cracks of this type necessarily so. afr[?rearing' in North Vietnam's There is ample evidence that national fabric. North Vietnam has Its argnr- Hanoi's National- Assembly iticr3ts, between hawks tad Standing Committee originally doves, that the country has, Passed the decree on October. Morale problems In the face 30, l.i)07. President IIo Chi of intensive bombing and news Minh. signed. an order promul; that seeps back about casuals gating it on November 10. ties. 11owever, for reasons still in )its writings about the unknown outside Ilanoi's ruli ass Indochina ever North Viet- ins circles, the decree was not The rule of thumb in "1lanoi ~amcsr Gen Vo NI;reycn (sell made public until more thsri Watching,' as in "China, said, Psychological depression four months later, at a news watching," is that these rc sets in from time to time rt, conference. };Imes seldom. resort to mention the home front and even It can only be supposed that of such negative aspects of among leaders, We must strive the ottlclals were arguing the socialist society unless the of to combat this weakness." possible effects of announcing Tenses are already being; corn rrritted flagrantly. Fifteen specific crinu:s'spelled the text of~a Notth Vlsstnamese effect imrnediatelsl. as fitting the definition or document .rrtade avatlabie },t,i A r ho.it for the de.~ ec ins counterrevolutionary crime At tptsatr~rd Foitrf leatsre 2u 5IO&tbY:: At DRI'W$430ri1A0004U00300819-3ar'SUrrrFCi that Fong icons. the .. Democratic , Republic'. of most, if not al , of these crimes.. who Vietnam, In early Dacombor 1987 ho CPYRGH T Iir;ted have already been com-' "The decri:e c,erfrons rIttis dc. ?., Treason, In collaboration with a foreign country. Plotting to overthrow the "people's democratic power." Espionage. Intruding into DRV territory to violate security. Armed rebellion. Banditry. Defecting to the enemy. Murder, assault and kidnap- hip. Sabotage. Undermining "the people's ary elements, The crimes are broken down according to. severity. There pre punishment levels accord- ing to whether a person Is "the main plotter, `leader, prin- cipal culprit, or one who stubbornly opposes the revolu= lion." both "attempted crimes", and "actual crimes" are punish- able, according to the decree. In commenting on the decree In an editorial, the official North Viet,nariiese newspaper Nha.n Ilan gave further hint that Hanoi was having trouble with some dissenters: :solidarity." :t)birupting public' order ands security. Opposing state policies' and laws. Disseminating counterrevolu- Ilonary pr?opagand a. Attacking- detention camps and freeing convicts. harboring counterrevolution. the line and policy of cluVnc.it- Sounds, in effect, as though Ing the cour-terrevohitionaries the 'North Vietnamese have a of our country, in the present guerilla problem of their oyVr, phase. (quite likely- spurred by some "These people are the stul. clandestine Infiltrators from, born elements in the former South Vietnam). exploiting classes, landlords In the 1,,s, criticism of army and capitalists, reactionary ele officers is called dissent or ex- former puppet pproupfipet profiting by .reli`ion,army ercise of free speech. In North ot6ctais, t elemental not wanting to trans. Vietnam, it's called "disrupting; public order and t;ecur Wy" fore,, themselves. the and is "They are Instigated by t?S ment of punishable 51 to r 15 icyears. imperialists to weaken our na- Another crime is "di-Storting tional defense force." tile US role and spreading. In the US, the press and rumors that confuse the peo- other venues of debate and p)e-" . opinion insure that opposition, Iii other words, If farmee,, voices can he heard. Nguyen Van Lee says, "Well.'' In North Vietnam, which the Americans aren't so bad, ranks with North Korea as the after ail," and suggests to a world's most closed society, friend in the next rice paddy opposition to the administra- that he should think this over, t.lon and Its policies can only farmer Nguyen Is liable to lIe gauged' obliquely by care- imprisonment for up to 10, fully studying statements and years. decrees. - - The decree has a doting note which must be one of The text of some of the tlae world's most sweeping articles of the decree refer to retroactive clauses: crimes which probably have "The counterrevolutionary taker, place on some scale. It crimes which were committed is unlikely that they would prior to this decree and which be mentioned only as hypothe- have not yet been tried itll bell cases. be tried in , accordance with Punlshment for banditry, for this decree," le, will be handed out The signature on the decree, exam"to those who for counter- is it. was submitted to No Chi Minh for promulgation, was revolutionary purposes engage that of National Assembly in armed activities in moral- Standing Committee, Chairman tainous or coastal areas; kill, rruong Chinh, regarded as the cadres, civil servants, military leader of the pro-]'eking wing mere, policemen, or the people, Df Hanoi's elite: and disturb, security and or, U.S. NEWS & WORLD REPORT 22 April 1968 iOMBING TOLL IN NORTH VIETNAM HONG KONG Afore than 1.5 million tons of bombs have been dropped on North Vietnam - as much as the total dropped on Europe in all of World Wa r 11. As the Hanoi regime prepares for talks with the United States, here are the latest intelligence reports of the damage; The industrial stale -IIo Chi Minh started to build lids been leveled. Not a single important factory is op- crating. Cement plants, thcrinoclcc- tric plants, steel-fabricating plants- all are in ruins. Only a few small factories, moved in to the countryside, survive, Waste- ful portalrlc generators provide what electricity is available at many vital ins tal hl ions. poorest peasant in South Vietnam is getting perhaps twice as much rice as his North Vietnamese counterpart. North Vietnam was forced to im- port 500,000 tons of rice last year. The Covcrnment-fixed price is more than double the price in Saigon, On the "free market" the price of white rice is often 8 to 10 tints as high as in Government-controlled stores. The cost of basic commodities in North Vietnam has- increased at least 300 per cent since early 1965, when bombing started. The Government has warned of a possible poor rice crop this suninier because of bad weather. It has coni- plained of the breakdown in planting of secondary crops, warned of cattle disease, and protested the slaughter- f tan s oo m i y p g Every. very effort has been made to spare ids of l i r ran c ate c . a Approved For Release 2St~ 517 : 6Y1A-1 V P78-03061 A000400030030-3 residential areas, docks at Haiphong, and a few other facilities. But damage, over all, is staggering. Bombing has kept 500,000 inch and women busy repairing transpor- tation routes. An additional 150,000 arc tied clown at antiaircraft defenses. These are people who normally would lie in the fields. Fond rationing is severe. Black markets abound. In fact, tLie Ilanoi regime grudgingly looks the other way at this free-enterprise system. North Vietnamese arc able to buy on tlie "free market" with impunity, as long as they have the money. Afon- cy is not plentiful, however. Families scrape together what they can to buy foodstuffs to augment the meager ra- tions the Government permits legally. Rice is in short supply by stand- cc F T 68/7-2 Approved For Release 2005 roi/CC i~:CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 AGRICULTURE: A CONSPICUOUS WEAKNESS OF COMMUNISM 1. Agriculture has been labelled the "Achilles heel" of Commu- nism. Communist agriculture has bitterly disappointed the reasonble expectations of people in Communist-run countries. The total amount and quality of agricultural products are lower than the land and farmers could produce under less restrictive conditions. The prices are higher than they would be if economic forces determined the rates of production and means of distribution. Thus, Communist agriculture fails to yield a fair return for the work of either the farmer or the consumer. 2. Assets addressing mass audiences may emphasize the historical pattern of unreliability of Soviet farm production, the brutal treat- ment of farmers during collectivization, and the subsequent neglect of farmers and of the development of farming, as well as the current limited and less than whole-hearted efforts to correct the accumulated deficiencies of Soviet agriculture. 3. Addressing intellectuals, assets may draw on both the scholarly conclusions of the Britisher Dr. Klatt and the acid criticisms of Czech writer Jan Prochazka concerning the ideological shortcomings of Marxist agriculture (see unclassified attachments). Emphasis can be given to the shallowness of Soviet attempts to uphold Marx' and Lenin's formu- lations on agriculture. 4. Continued attention to the shortcomings of Communist agricul- ture is especially important in developing areas whose populations are predominantly agrarian. Governments and intellectuals in these coun- tries may be dazzled by the (true and alleged) advances of Soviet, Chicom and other Communist industry, military technology, etc. Our assets should keep reminding them that their first problem is to pro- vide adequate food for their rapidly increasing populations and that no Communist country can effectively assist them in fulfilling this most fundamental and truly vital task. Approved For Release 2005/08/17 : CIA-RDP78-03061A000400030030-3 SECRET