(UNTITLED)

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP78-01617A006100060041-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 21, 2016
• Document Release Date: June 30, 2008
• Sequence Number: 41
• Publication Date: February 13, 1950
• Content Type: SUMMARY

~j Approved For Release 2008/06/30: CIA-RDP78-01617AO06100060041-9 1214
24818 -:Fop g E C Re E er
GENERA L
1. US views on Trieste question--The Department of State has
instructed US Embassy Rome to inform the Italian Govern-
ment: that the US would approve of the spontaneous initiation
of direct Italo-Yugoslav discussions on the Trieste problem.
In commenting for the Ambassador's information on a
possible Trieste settlement, the Department warns against
basing the Italo-Yugoslav discussions too solidly on ethnic
principles, because this might call for "unreasonable"
Italian concessions, The Department suggests that if the
Italo-Yugoslav discussions are successful, an interim
de facto regime might be established in Trieste to continue
until the amendment of the peace treaty and the termination
of Security Council responsibility. The Department also ex-
presses the opinion that if the US were to open discussions
now with the Yugoslavs on the substance of the Trieste
problem, the full force of the tripartite declaration on Trieste
would immediately be broken.
NEAR EAST-AFRICA
2o INDIA-PAKISTAN. Former Indian Army chief predicts war T
US Embassy Karachi has been informed that Field Marshal
Auchinleck, following a tour of Pakistan Army units, has
privately expressed the belief that "recent troop movements
clearly indicate" the probability that a war between India and
Pakistan will break out in the early spring of 1950. Accord-
ing to the Embassy, the retired former Commander in Chief
of the Indian Army believes that Pakistan is now determined
to take the initiative in such a war,
(CIA Comment. CIA believes that although available
information does not confirm the "recent troop movements"
cited by Auchinleck, his observations, which apparently reflect
.