NOTE TO MEMBERS OF THE PLANNING GROUP FROM JMC

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP76B00952R000100080007-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 23
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 29, 2002
• Sequence Number: 7
• Publication Date: May 26, 1965
• Content Type: NOTES

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26 Ale 1965
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134pproved For
1.
a Central Xntoiiigenoe a. a.means of er.o.z. 'ming US in.telligence goals
and 1?rograms f tho pxiot 1966 to 1930. when corwleted this plan iiU
the DCX uidUEX the basis lb? reviewing and evaluating:
ction and goals of the total US
fifteen years within the context
during this period; and
b. The programs teh are proposed by MU agencies over
years to meet expressee. goals and the bur= and material
red to implement these programs or each of the Virst
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has been established by the treofr
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resources
five yea....m?
2. As a tirat 8te', we look ahead for 15 years to derive a set of
unpttona regarding likely develoments in the world situation
most .cit cent mitt t US security interests* and by
obvious elt ension, point up the most impartant intelligence tasks.
Zia initial stop, to be coordinated by the Board of National Estimates
and expressed as .4,142,11.4912.0) will furnish taste guidance to plannersin
the establisbracrat or intelligence goals and promos
3. Contrattors to the Fifteen Year Plan All also require guidtuace
sleeiellzed nature to ensure that the rroections of long-terra
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axd considerations concernina intelliGeme
a institutional (organizational and fthactional) matters
Zier to ye a direct bearing on lonsdrange iztelligence planning
een Year Plan will be the instrument far describing:
? emphasis in intelligence planning olme the long*
d (b) the major program z:equired et meet intelligmee
oblat1ote of the necb five years (1966.1970) Using Meal Year 1966
the
with respect to (b) above* contributors s411 o required to
cribe major
s r
need
mensurera
required and the hum= and material reaOlreCO
these prat;rams.
ileL steps would be neaaary toprovide a ?
rograll mapagement
'? or exam.ple* there would
mapatible manotpzent data systetass performance
prograil achievalent evaluation methot.l.s
stendexd for det nins end implalenting prozg= priorities* The
lay:paned. Fifteen Yew? Plan thereforel would represent only an, initial
move in the dovelornent of integrated intelligence planning*
6. A description of the proposed vrocedures to be foil? d in
the Fifteen Year Plan, illustrations of supporting mate /ale
sea formats for contributions are contained in the attadraent.
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26 May 1965
INTRO DUCTIO N
1. The Fifteen Year Plan has been established 1SY the Director
of Central Intelligence as a means of expressing US intelligence goals
and programs for the period 1966 to 1980. When completed this plan will
furnish the DCI and USIB the basis for reviewing and evaluating:
a. The general direction and goals of the total
US intelligence effort for the next fifteen years, within the context of
US national security interests during this period;
b. The programs which are proposed by USIB agencies over the
next five years to meet expressed goals and the human and material
resources required to implement these programs for each of the first
five years;
c. The adequacy of proposed programs in meeting the goals
and obligations facing US intelligence; and,
d. The effectiveness and efficiency of the Intelligence Community
as now constituted in carrying out required programs.
2. It is necessary as a first step in preparing this plan to
describe the world situation as it is likely to exist over the next
fifteen years, and thus provide the basis for judgments concerning
probable US national security interests and the general obligations
of the US Intelligence Community during this period. This initial
,
.SECIIE.T ? Exclucia Inn; ntoniatic
Conzrarflng and
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step, to be undertaken by the Board of National Estimates and expressed
as Assumptions? will furnish basic guidance to -olanners in the establish-
ment of intelligence goals and programs.
3. Contributors to the Fifteen Year Plan will also require guidance
of a specialized nature to ensure that the projections of long-term
intelligence goals and programs are made in light of existing,and future
intelligence needs. This guidance, expressed as Guidance to Planning,
will concern probable major requirements and technological developments
and important considerations concerning intelligence tradecraft, methods,
and systems and institutional (organizational and functional) matters
likely to have a direct bearing on long-range intelligence planning.
4. The Fifteen Year Plan at the outset is not designed to
establish an accounting of programs and human and material resources now
available in the Intelligence Community. Rather, it will be the instrument
for describing (a) major goals and emphasis in intelligence planning
over the long-term (1966-1980) and (b) the major programs required to
meet intelligence obligations of the next five years (1966-1970). Using
Fiscal Year 1966 as the base with respect to (b) above, contributors will
be required to describe any significant new programs required, or significant
increases or decreases in existing programs, and the human and material
resource requirements related to these programs.
5. Several additional steps would be necessary to provide a complete
Community intelligence program management system. For example, there
would need to be established: compatible management data systems, performance
measurements techniques, program achievement evaluation methods, and
standards for determining and
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implementing program priorities. The proposed Fifteen Year Plan, therefore,
would represent only an initial move in the development of integrated
intelligence planning.
6. A description of the proposed procedures to be followed in
preparing the Fifteen Yt:ar Plan, illustrations of supporting materials
and proposed formats for contributions are contained in the attachment.
3
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FIFTEEN YEAR PLO
DRAFT
5. May 1965
PURPOSE:
To outline and project intelligence.objectives and programs of the .
Intelligence Community over the. next fifteenye-ars_for the purpose of
anticipating the need, in a timely way, of certain capabilities and
the provision of these capabilities and to provide justification and
back-up for annual budgets.
AUTHORITY AND DIRECTION:
1. The Deputy to the Director of Central Intelligence for National
Intelligence Programs Evaluation will administer the Fifteen Year Plan
as the executive agent of the Director of Central intelligence.
2. USIB agencies will contribute to the Fifteen Year Plan annually
upon call in accordance with their various specific interests. Duplication
and overlap in intelligence programming and issues regarding missions and
authority which may be identified in the planning prooess will be placed
before the Director Of Central intelligence for review.
TERMS OF REFERENCE:
1. The Fifteen Year Plan will be divided into three five-year periods
with the near term.(first five years) divided up by years; the entire plan
will be updated.annnally.
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2. Assumptions concerning the probable condition of the world will
be established covering two time periods (1966-1970 and 1971-1980, see
Attachment A), to provide basic guidance in developing objectives and
programs.
ORGANIZATION:
1. The basic organization of the plan will be by intelligence
"function." The following categories of intelligence functions will-
be used: (See Appendix A)
a. Intelligence Production (A-1)
b. Intelligence Collection (A-2)
c. Information Processing and ADP (A-3)
d. Covert Action (A-4)
e. Program Planning and Support (A-5).
2. Each of these categories will be subdivided to accommodate the
many specialized sub-functions of intelligence.
3. Guidance additional to the Assumptions will be provided in the
form of Guidance to Planning to assist in determining future program
needs and design.
PROCEDURES:
1. General program objectives will be stated for each of the three
5-year periods: a call for 15-year Program Objectives will be issued
to each USIB agency. This call will require the submission of statements
of general.program-objectives by category (See Organization above) for
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each of the three 5-y.Dar periods (year by year projections are not
required in this phase), (See Appendix B for exem?les,)
2. Specific programs will be projected for the first 5-year period:
a call for a 5-year projection of programs and of resources requirements
for the period 1966-1970 will be issued to each' USIB agency. This call
will require the submission of statements briefly describing each major
program foreseen and the resources required (e.g., people/money, R&D;
capital investment, etc.). (See Appendix B.-for examples.)
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ASSUMPTIONS
(TO BE PROVIDED BY DD/I)
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SAMPLE Attachment B
GUIDANCE TO PLANNING
The following is an attempt to describe in very brief fashion the
most important existing and Probable future problems facing the US
intelligence effort. The entries on the list are .necessarily general in
nature and other considerations and problems essential to an effective
long-term intelligence system may have been overlooked. Each contributor
to the Fifteen-tear Plan should therefore coniider this listing as only
general guidance to his development of goals and programs.
In the consideration of long-range intelligence goals and in the
preparation of programs over the next five year period US intelligence
agencies should give consideration to the following concer.:
I. Management, Program Control and Coordination
1. The definition and allocation of responsibilities among
agencies and the coordination of Community assets to
achieve U.S. aims.
2. The performance and value of collection and analysis
activities in terms of assets they require.
3. The need for a 24-hour manning situation of all primary
intelligence collection, processing and analytic elements.
4. The allocation of resources to analytical and collection
tasks, both intra and inter-agency.
5. The revision of organization structures to meet
revised responsibilities and requirements.
6. The need for a comprehensive "reserve!! capability to
meet emergencies and new .developments.
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S.:1247:j2
ILT-T=TX A
PROPOSED ORGANIZATION OF FUNCTIONAL CATEGORIES
FOR FIFTEEN YEAR PLAN
Intelligence Production
A-2 intelligence Collection
. A-3 -.Information ProCessing and ADP:
A-4 Covert Action
A-5 Program Planning and Support
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INTELLIGENCE PRODUCTION
00100q0007-4
I. Communist World (USSR, Communist China, Euroan Satellites,
Asia Satellites, Cuba)
A. Political
B. Economic
C. Military
D. Scientific and Technical
11. Western Europe
A. Political
B. Economic
C. Military
D. Scientific and Technical
III. Africa
A. Political
B. Economic
C. Military
D., Scientific and Technical
IV. Near East
A. Political
B. Economic
C. .Military -
D. Scientificiand Technical
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V. Far East
A. Political
B. Economic
C. ialitary
D. Scientific and Technical
VI. Latin America
?
A. Political
B. Economic
C. Military
D.' Scientific and Technical
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1170DMATI3rf P7..00ESSING ../:+2,D ADP
I. Systems Development and Management
II. Services for Intelligence Production
III. Services for SIGI= Production
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IV. Services ..fpr Photo Intorprets.tion
V. Services for Espionage and Counterintelligence
VI. Services for Collection Guidance
VII. Services for Support Activities (e.g. budget, finance, personnel,
security, etc.)
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APPETIaTa B
PROPOSED FORMS FOR LONG-RANGE GOALS
AND
PROGRAII FORECASTS
B-1 Exozple5 of
3-2 Examples Of
B-3 Examples of
B-4
3-5
"
Long-Range Goals - Intelligence Production
Long-Range Goals - Intelligence Collection
Long-Range Goals - Intelligence Collection
Examples of 5 Year Program Forecast - Intelligence Collection
Examples of 5 Year Program Forecast - intelligonee Production
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BEST COPY
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Sub-Category
I. Communist World
220GR2.2,: GOALS: 1966-1970
CATEGORY: INTELLIGENCE PROLUCTION
Goals Sponsor
1. To establish a senarate oranitYation CIA -
for all-source intelligence -
researcTI and analysis on Soviet
rcsearc, develo-zient and testing
of anti-satellite devices.
2. To continue improvements in CIA - DDI
intellisence calmbilities to
anticipate Soviet policies,
decisions anc. actions.
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