IF WEST REMAINS RESOLUTE, THEN SOVIET UNION MIGHT BACK DOWN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP75-00001R000100190018-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 1
• Document Creation Date: November 17, 2016
• Document Release Date: June 6, 2000
• Sequence Number: 18
• Publication Date: April 1, 1959
• Content Type: NSPR

b`NWA Age 2000/06/13 : CIAr@RP7q-RPR1R00010019061
Circ.: el 6,612
Page Page AVIe 1 199
If West Remain Res off, Tin
Soviet Union Mipt baC uown
"If the west is rdsolute, thew' -
lieve that the Soviet Union-by hook
or dr?ook ' -~- 1#M'- b`&' the one to back
d n ~' is e l.Mate; Made by the
depttty' director oft tnteiligence for the
elitral Intelligence Agency in
`
~._little publicize March 3,
appears to be tlfe m"ifat?thoritativf
? ntirlligenc'e` analysis made public as the
NN104-B_,_ Atiant c 'T'reaty Organization
albs meet to discuss German reunifi-
sp '-#- I t'smg Miit:
be interpreted as indicating that the
Western allies will not back down on
Berlin in the face of a Russian threat
of nuclear war. The rgasoning is that
any such threat would be essentially,
as Amory has indicated, a bluff. None-
theless, in Amory's view, the Russians
are negotiating from confidence. "The
gq.al," he said, "is to take over Berlin
(identified as a "needle" to the Reels
>.eatxon and the`-`Iiuss"'Tn ?threat torBer-
lrnt n ,e because of its high pro-Western living
' ca`" 11L1 consolidate East Ger-
'he e6ch, made "from notes alyd
airy: They 'think they hold the trumps
not ' ca led It ie' "fir ~"' $ ssnTratirsn .
wires, ids r`eprS'if h?n the Columbia, because their' action is peaceful. It's
C^, l e tat>y Cal"ef't "A iTnry,fir case of `here we go. here they come'."
'
u-
distant to C.2 ~i. "r 'tm"Ifell W Ihe, out}oo for the long range 1
.it tht Soviet n- the U. S. intelligence expert, "think
refff
stuc grad
in large gobs bf dime.
x ~? not read" ~i f~cr
w Vvef Berl that Soviet? Pre- Their aims in the' S0-year period be-
~, iez^ I~'rkit a S. ? e4`Mexpects to tween 199 5 and "1975---goals viewed by
g e trs to ehl _ ~hpm with confidence - are a yearly
+ e + rap -gross axationalproduct of $500 billion,
T +T
"b 6' c ousujner standards coin arative to
at 1re ltttssians those of Western Europe, and'$100 bil-
1`t avenue rationally lion annually to spend on armameut.4
hale -The fu- or on "external investments"-such as
e ,.
-says--Am----their "no Strings" foreign aid policy
die he West toward nations not actually allies or
z
4t
a e h ip-' in the invited to becQme allies.'
1 _ -ommunists Since Stalin's, death, Amory report,
fervent -. --- i - he 'ussians hive made an about-
e'?tpech Tends face rivaling anything in history with-
-the state- out compulsion from outside." It would
1t Eisenhower follow that the race now is not neces-
b s -press ?con- sarily to the_ swift or to the strong but
'f"i -"tie President said to the most determined, bearing always
.'"We are certain- in mind, as Amory advises: "We must
iy {~ o fig tt a=grixtrnd tear in never tempt them into a major mili-
Uropt,
path while letting down cur
lies f the im ott " If the Arnory strength."
Approved For Release 2000/06/13 : CIA-RDP75-00001 R000100190018-8