THE RECORD OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BEFORE 1951 WITH RESPECT TO THE KOREAN WAR

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP72-00121A000100020007-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 18
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 1, 2012
• Sequence Number: 7
• Publication Date: January 1, 2000
• Content Type: PAPER

Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/01 : CIA-RDP72-00121A000100020007-5
6.tw
THE EOO IN T' xx:.r., B JFOtGa 19iZ IiIIT-h r T TO " a
KOREAN WAR
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/01 : CIA-RDP72-00121A000100020007-5
 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/01 : CIA-RDP72-00121A000100020007-5
1951 T tir= r rf
ouTL see-,; r oases ade to eac::}ect tiat ventral Intelli,;ence,
;ctweer i,50, wouldd have (a) warren t . overnment of t
.L r-; the .oreF n situ:: tion; (c) ira'nedi2: t ely b,eforc -'a a 'ie
1yCO, w,., r ned of the a proachin invasion, aanr (; } at some ti=;me bc:t re n
ranrv: ark 26 ' ovcs~aber 1,50j, tire arec the govern ent for uinese
uo is a ist intervention
c iri t`a first
rt, the statement seers justifiable that if
ed and c1e rl; cx.:re:>sed warnin;xs
t,be
ntra.l Intelli k:rrce b d
United' crates ~ovcrnstent, the core-n w=r, at least in
coprin, I9L 9
Public
aunted t a w,rnin.-Y a -ainst =-ithdrawal, subscribes to b
y. It can be deduced that, once the or'ficial
decision to s ithdraw had been made, Central Intelli,;ence saw no value in
Furth; estimates on Korea unless new developments should call for on E.
The next esti gate, as has already been ointed cut, on ina.ted in an
effort to inventory intelli ~ence on the subject of Worth Korea.
It rii :ht be said, in other words, that central Intefli::?ence lost
interest in Korea after troop _ithdrawal. Frog the Central Intelli ence
of vie a, it should have be_n obvious to anyone who had re-:ad the
to in
all the cons.: qu.ences enumerated in them were eli
troop withdrawal h, !;d been acoic plished. The tenor of
,.'iost of the estimates, indeed, had been that invasion would follow inv e-
diately, and this fact alone may have haC a part in causing, Central
Intelli?ence to relax when month after arorth passed 4it lout unusual
incident after June 29th. In the absence of formal estin tes between
If F bru..- r;y 19h9 and 19 June l;"50, wG;rnin =;s r
Lug an invasion beca,
tae 'primary reeaonsibility of the cure rnt intelli, ence ub1ications.
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/01 : CIA-RDP72-00121A000100020007-5
 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/01 : CIA-RDP72-00121A000100020007-5
2. & urrcrit lnt=. ll_i -once
Ludy of the c,entral l:telli:;e:nce ily .imot,,r^:r fo four tta
kae fore the invasion reveals tll66 .~t2.~("Gai Lor.`f.+h C11": wa r~'C3op 4t ... i2 I t
+.t 'z +ror ter g'a ua.1ly. za { !. t .;t ?Y.,"a
rtnce accept ed nl tf=ree divisions in
ai V?". r a 'uriw
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 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/01 : CIA-RDP72-00121A000100020007-5
Xvi/lo
1. Above inforn:tion orally in March 1952 from who
was one of the two analysts o:. Korea in Central Intelli-Once
at the time of the invasion., Some. of it is also contained in
various hasty investigations undertaken soon after the Korean
war had ems.
STAT
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/01 : CIA-RDP72-00121A000100020007-5
 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/01 : CIA-RDP72-00121A000100020007-5
`'ion corm'ct1: for J.31
or i ; a t''?: X , t''.'.' , F e :,'nary.,
In ? ",ro '3ict, t T ci C;Lain
?9 c e 5 Scar ~Y : -act t, at tit onlj a : t t : vl t: t
in io1t n frog
it. iii..:ence noted zis and wrote, Cc* :nts
O. i~ c t Tnc,_ :?! Li r' 2 is w _c ct i). 7o .?th itorcan t'J, X31 _on4 i ^ r4
tt G !y :'"k "," s If th'' as .y:`.c'ss co."
t.L' 1 uuryt
ars e: fou o id n ' military action
i )iic it ..,n of r oor'? s, r. (:
C.
tof. o ~^3 t ~F ?.;Sty
.t . r befor e, thh:.. in ras i,cn,
v .i Mhip 5' t=? y :.-O"1Id
t
to n "oduc`e an
n ,ici, tcd. w-..
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/01 : CIA-RDP72-00121A000100020007-5
 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/01 : CIA-RDP72-00121A000100020007-5
3 t. ;1. ._ b u.: ~;_ . : r k m t sari ?1 >
z k,hot .h a mi.; 0:' IC 1:1BT ? r th ?) c :or
f e: '3 a it ;. 7B 4} Z c ti on of
d tt 3,,.,3 th P. .1 3 . ' A i v ~ was df ` -
ey'o
--
{
t.`ace eat th :. i', 3.. r}u
4.?:',,.i a.
V 7A 06
V, t~ I. U 19 50 t
2".F. C'' S N4. f 4 ;' ?if ~~3.o1f t ese
t. '~l~Irtv'"*r' ~1~: ^.:~. ..i iJ? .t.i+
s t Ko y~ 8 (~ r y, ,,+ r e^ r cj. r r 0
C~'#M tt qq x~ u t 9?
L+- II i. -=~ .y !Ri.i 4} ~] t.f ,-s_3Ns}?+i Lh .?l..i c iv ii or tt'.L
C :.tra i I : c, .
f'3'ce ~`: 'fix :7 du f o. 32 et
ted 8 e4`. ente ? er 19 O as
aB L vi .,V i :a, ,!Ito3":~.. I # w c .~. fro,---,
uel bl- for. u's
w`c,u1'.., )roua+ol !'B?.c3. "i -!Gad
is at on
will x; :Wdire ct, 3--}rte r.. -IL Y. ,, and.
I.r i a v: n
S-x; oorMn:
rL y r,,-., der co~L ,
had a1rc' ?dy been
the 14arth f'-'ore
con, ti14nch ' n
a-,- units as well as -mud troop-.,?
r, are such a
r--. been rbd ? ;:i
Or am,-1114
for the: c Chin cs , `ai !t ac ? ta. y fo-cthco t. n , T ".3 3 fix. `tor siduru
':`.out 'Co 'e itte?s on i !e sax: toui ct?
al`e. ,ro:~nd..'s
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/01 : CIA-RDP72-00121A000100020007-5
 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/01 : CIA-RDP72-00121A000100020007-5
"ORF 55.50" was never written. The mabject w
nu ihered "OIF 5h-50," "Critical '1tuat ons in tht
This :per or .:'ir. d In a req ost from the : WA& Hsi to the
Director. It w.'e r:re Sera d `t; a joint ad oc co ittee;
In th t,`a=3ir, an e w=s ^ l1ver (or. O ;tuber 12 (1eee thpr,
'4ith r : v ect to t' ' ` re t of Full 0} A ee
ticn i Koren" t t i? t
w! r
Von
r=111-gap-le hi*' se "om, Ft inters : ritioi
, o e1 1ltt , =. rts*i 1i
rin a ;-'ovilat dec
ribalol- in 1950.
this period
"torte tf rc n . "
derth that th* *ho is was the orfi ci.sl concerted jud; nt of
' . ^{ rrrmt ' :te11S ew e
A e ?io t* tel1i-once? the fail=Ureft i' current, renort1n- nay 30 0,1 lees
L tr., was still 6enyth; the -fact. or tnet nos, ca 30
h &,) pear otherwise.
than the Y, it- I
the 1 t Mira"tej when -hinese trooe:were In torea .~ : !'o c=,
pbbnn?.,t two weeks before Chir=nee I'tro1ur?teersei were o 'ficially-
eonc=ode ` ty the ` eIpinr,; 1'7overr anent to bo in .crv a, :end were 4cut to
begin their successful southward attacks the Deily 3unaar; dim-counted
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/01 : CIA-RDP72-00121A000100020007-5
efor "~a3;reae Co:,im?aniet Intervention wa
 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/01 : CIA-RDP72-00121A000100020007-5
-13-
what proved to re P,-, vccurate report _:as? d on _ riaaoncr .interro tiara,
on rounds that "ordinx ri1 the privates in that: Chinese *r
tosses the detailod 5 1.f?ary ~ titan wh cli thrze
ge. er=:I i z + ion on the one hand, ccnd rel--1 7,ce n the Bpecte1ized
Off" R,? gar- Iyat on the othar. The
up
above) ws:. th t t "s U5S di rs,t desire war t
because ; tt was thou b t) rtu ixxt China could not rev-k.-ti t -e dee1s lion to
1 t h
and ial1.; bets;
aspt1 taken for .2r nted tho co!r :.tn.,.tow Cj inuse troom s
wo i1d! moan -O rai w r , ..U (5'[ u p ad-f_ated thr;4.., Lite Zh es,
position W loch 01,j not
'vc!1tion. '.fie., j: a; hc-ve teen to chit .)cr thv,1Z Oro
t5o i oven 11' thf :race of -a+ u t?tn, eW.denc?e. to '._.e eta ,trazr ,.
thc~. acre a ;`: ur:'fed ':.c be e c }t rtsyhzewever, r? &t
p'.a cd in
rtrate4
Its,: to r .tie frcn thc fialctj eal
.aturuii
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/01 : CIA-RDP72-00121A000100020007-5
 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/01 : CIA-RDP72-00121A000100020007-5
As to readily spparsits t#+ ot~
int
Fart uA:~,
after tht Into
ceivedo nc is p*rt an
aonear;:sit with 1 rsa:1y
it is rsieo se tbmt
of that sutjact t~ %ads at :oxs
is t=ira. to study iEhould moo'4
ttIUL4: shuts d
j4d berry
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/01 : CIA-RDP72-00121A000100020007-5