PACIFICATION IS VITAL FOR SAIGON

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CIA-RDP71B00364R000300160001-7
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December 30, 1969
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l. THE E VWillgATORelease 2003/03/25 : CIAIIINAB43i?1444e0t60(134-9.E mi (HANG/NC Pacification Is Vital for S By DONALD KIRK Asia Correspondent of The Star HOA DA, South Vietnam?This fish- district on the central coast 13D s northeast of Saigon could hardly e categorized as a "pacification show- One American adviser was trans= wed for failure to get along with th district chief. Another was skinned ye by some Viet Cong whom he had ached on a sand dune under the ession they were "friendly" South amese troops. A third was killed ambush. The province chief, in the provin- capital of Phan Thiet, on the coast miles to the west, contented himself th signing papers and attending cere- monies. His underlings in the district spent most of the time in their compounds end rarely visited units or projects out- ifide the main villages. And, according to the province or adviser, Daniel Leaty, the Viet _t*ilg "have a damn good infrastruc- ture" here. "The attitude of some officials is _negative. They don't seem to grasp ?Associated Press Boys play in a South Vietnamese refugee village. their duties and responsibilities. They need _skong leader " said Leaty, a veteran of nearly et years in Viet- nam. THE PROBLEM of Boa Dra (Es- trict?and the province as a Whole? seems typical of some of those con- fronting the pacification program in aigon The United States, as President Nixon noted in his Nov. 3 address, is yiehling "primary responsibility" for the war fa the Saigon government. This is the third of four arti- cles on problems encountered in fulfilling that goal. almost all South Vietnamese towns and villages. The only difference, perhaps, was one of degree. Officials claimed Hoa Da was below the standards of most other districts. Hoa Da, they said, might be comparable to the situation in a typical Vietnamese district after .the Tet and May offensives in 1968. Since then, the United States has engaged in one of the most intensive pacification efforts in history. For the first time, in fact, senior American military officers reluctantly admit this aspect of the war might prove more Approved For Release 2003/03/25 : CIA-RDP71B00364R00030im45-0 oot important than combat operations. i for this change in at- titude is that American commanders feel they have no chance of winning a "military victory" as Tong no flip continued FAPII3F9e4-1F?r Release 2003/03/25 : CIA-RDP71-B00364R000300160001-7 - ADVISERS CITE countless cases in which self-defense force members have vanished at the approach of the enemy. These part-time troops, rang- ing from teen-agers to old men, are improving, they say, but the main irs...ue of the program is more political than military. Regional and popular forces still are lax at setting up ambushes at night thoroughly patrolling their areas. visers here reported one case in. Which an RF' patrol had killed several gherrillas but another in which RF *Idlers had run away in the face of What they thought was a larger enemy force. Enemy "millers" to the govern- Ment side rarely are important figures in the Viet Cong organization. They generally "rally" after the government has established some degree of control or influence and the Red leaders have fled. Some 350,000 of those no kniger considered refugees still live in the ape refugee camps?merely renamed resettlement areas." And thousands of others stay in towns with relatives or friends but would gladly retun to, their old homes if they thought they could live in them safely. United States is committed to a policy of withdrawal of its combat forces. The hope for anti-Communist fortes in Vietnam appears to lie in strengthening the will and resources of the populated regions before the enemy again Is able to mount a large-scale military offensive. The _pacification program, inaugu- rated a an integral part of the Ameri- can military command in 1967, com- bings political and military, civilian ad guerrilla efforts in a concentrated drive to put 99 percent of the popula- tion of South Vietnam under control of the government before American combat troops have withdrawn. "The regular military units have to keep the government in such a posi- tion that the enemy cannot win a mili- tary victory," said a senior official in the vast American pacification program called CORDS or Civil Operations for Revolutionary Development Support. "That means the enemy must wage a war of protraction," he went on. AMERICAN OFFICIALS admit, perhaps more frankly than they ever have, the problem of pacification, but they seem more hopeful now than a year ago of the program's eventual success. They cite an array of statistics to Support this point: ? The People's Self-Defense Force, a civilian militia organization, has frOVvii from almost nothing to 1 early 3 million members, half of whom have received a week or so of trainin Almost 400,000 of them are armed wi cast-off weapons, ranging from shot- guns to carbines. ? The regional and popular forces, full-time territorial troops, now total nearly 500,000 men, up 200,000 from be- fore the Tet 1968 offensive. ? More than 40,000 enemy opera- tives, most of them low-level guerrillas, porters, messengers and the like, have "rallied" to the government side under the Open Arms program this year as opposed to 18,171 in 1968 and 27,178 In 1967. ? The number of those classified as refugees has declined from 1.4 mil- lion early this year to 500,000. Approxi- mately 400,000 were dropped from the refugee rolls after they returned to their homes once rendered uninhabit- able by war. ? Nine-tenths of ' the country's villages and hamlets have held elec- tions for chiefs and councils. An elec- tion was a prerequisite for a village to receive a fund of a million piasters? roughly $7,000?for investing on its own In local community projects. No responsible American official, however, would deny that the facts behind these statistics were sometimes disillusioning. Approved The most bitter disappointment-- and the sharpest sign of latent enemy strength?has been the lack of suc- cess of the "Phoenix" program, an effort at coordinating all intelligence activities on both the provincial and district levels. AMERICANS CLAIM the program has "neutralized"?killed, captured or persuaded to defect?some 16,000 en- emy agents. But intelligence analysts doubt if the program has substantially dam- aged the top of the VC "infrastructure" on which the enemy bases its efforts. They estimate the manpower of this "infrastructure" at approximately 75,000. The inadequacies of Phoenix are manifest in this district, where the Viet Cong have long maintained an effective network even in the populated "secure" areas. "The people actually are very un- cooperative in reporting enemy activ- ity," said a lieutenant in charge of ad- vising the District Intelligence Coordi- nating Center. "In incidents where the VC come right into a village it's hard to get any information." Even in Hoa Da, however, officials saw hopeful signs. Military assistance teams were training RF and PF troops on the use of M16 rifles. Roads, although not secure at night, were generally open in the daytime. An American could wander unarmed through the main fishing vil- lage of small shops and homes. For Release 2003/03/25 : CIA-RDP71600364R000300160001-7 ON A RIDE through the twisting roads of one of Hoa Da's hamlets, ad- visers pointed to a long low wall pro- tecting a row of houses from a canal leading into the sea. "This place was just a junkyard beside the stream," said one of the advisers. "The villagers built this wall out of the one million piasters the gov- ernment has allotted each village for local construction." On the negative side, advisers note that village funds often are spent on small dams, storage rooms and the like that benefit only an "in-group" of mer- chants and officials?or the funds are deliberately misappropriated or not spent at all. One difficulty here, as in almost every other district in the country, is communicating the aims of the govern- ment to the people. The Vietnamese Information Serv- ice, a government agency designed to spread propaganda, functions sporadi- cally or not at all in many areas. _ "Information officials don't go to the villages for very long," explained an American charged with studying over- all problems in CORDS. "They talk on loudspeakers for a few minutes and then leave," he said. "There's no follow-up. It's the same problem you have in other programs of relating the central government to the countryside." THE FLAWS in the Phoenix and information programs to some degree epitomize the basic weakness of the entire pacification effort. "It is all much too thin and far- spread," said an American who has lived here a number of years. "You get the feeling one good crisis could mix it out." Pacification officials hope that by stressing village development they can solidify the gains made since the Tet offensive. The emphasis on the village is a belated effort at persuading the farmers to contest Viet Cong influence without direct support from remote, often cor- rupted, officials in Saigon or some pro- vincial capital. "The object is not just to build 'things,' such as dams and schools, but to build a community," explained the deputy American ambassador, William E. Colby, a former CIA agent in charge of the over-all pacification effort. "The war is about people. The more people you get, the more likely you are to win." Tomorrow: Politics?Talk of "Coal- ition" and "Neutrality." Apl'AiliteWor Release 2003/03/25 : CIA-RDP71600364R000300160001-7 NEW YORK TIMES DATE 2,4004.61/ PAGE 40 filtration Dips Again, Rogers Reports By TAD SZULC Special to The New York Times WASHINGTON, Dec. 23? Secretary of State William P. _gers reported today that NOiTh Vietnamese infiltration into South Vietnam had tapered off in the last three iNtteks and that over all it was down by 60 per cent compared with last year. Speaking at a news confer-' erl?e, Mr. Rogers cautioned, however, that it was still too early to assess the significance of the drop. He said that while there was "a rather significant increase" in -infiltration in November, the rth Vietnamese movement troops and supplies had wed off again, -so that it re comparable to the rate n_ctober." "Mink it is fair to say that the infiltration this year corn- pardd to last year is sienifi- cantly down," he said. "On a conservative basis, I would say it is down by 60 per cent. That includes the increase in No- venter." Over the weekend White House officials had let it be known that while the rate of infiltration was dropping, more time wa's required to assess the North Vietnamese move- ments. It was left to Mr. Rogers to place the information on the record. ?i What the significance of it is," strategy of limited but sharp he said. "It could could be engagements, especially with either." South Vietnamese troops. If Intelligence sources had that is the case, they said, then been reporting a step-up in the reduction in infiltrations North Vietnamese infiltration since the end of the monsoon season early last month. Although it is impossible to produce precise figures, Ad- ministration experts said, the accepted view is that 5,000 to 10,000 main-force North Viet- namese troops have entered pouth Vietnam in the last two Or three months over the so- called Ho Chi Minh Trail. There had been lesser movements on other routes before the end of the monsoon period. It takes one to four months for units to reach their des- tination. The belief here is that most of the troops moving late this year have gone to the Mekong Delta and, to a lesser extent, to the Central High- lands. Saigon Has Delta Role Under the Nixon Adminis- tration's "Vietnamization" pro- gram?the gradual turning of combat responsibilities over to the South Vietnamese forces? the rice-rich delta is entirely defended by the Saigon Gov- ernment's troops, with United States air and logistic support. The infiltration rate and, consequently, the intensity of fighting, are key elements in President Nixon's judgment of the wisdom of further with- drawals of United States troops. In this sense, then, the drop appeared to United States offi- cials to be an encouraging ele- ment in the whole equation, which includes Mr. Nixon's re- cently announced plans to pull out an additional 50,000 com- bat troops next April 15. Sixty thousand troops have already been withdrawn. Intelligence experts said Hanoi might be shifting to a The Secretary's estimate on the infiltration ? the principal, yardstick used by the United States Government in attempt- ing to predict Hanoi's battle- field intentions ? was based opthe latest Intelligence data. Too Early to Tell' - . Rogers made it clear that current observations could answer the question her Hanoi had simply n replenishing its forces in h Vietnam or preparing for w offensive. think it is too early to tell may be illusory. In general, Mr. Robers said, the Administration is enour- aged by the evolution of the Vietrarnization plan and "by the fact that the South Viet- namese have accepted the pro- gram by carrying out their re- sponsibilities quite adequately." He said it was particularly encouraging that young South Vietnamese officers were "sup- porting the program very en- thusiastically," ecpecially in the delta area. "One of the most dramatic changes that has occurred dur- ing these last 11 months has been the change of attitude of other governments toward our Vietnam policy," Mr. Rogerz asserted. When President Nixon visited Europe last spring, the Secre- tary said, most of the discussion of policy in Vietnam was criti- cal in tone. But, he added, "as a result of the President's state- ments and the Vietnamization program, the other nations in the world that I have talked to have, I think, approved the poli- cies that we are following, so that the climate, as far as for- eign policy is concerned, has been greatly improved because of our change of policy in Viet- nam." ' Progress in Negotiations The Secretary of State, in re- ferring to what he described as a greatly improved interna- tional climate on the Vietnam issue, listed a series of achieve- ments of United States foreign policy n 1969. Approved For Release 2003/03/25 : CIA-RDP71600364R000300160001-7 THE EVENING LL-For1R-ele4L15&4 .414; NOM Operation ? hoenix ? Enters My Lai Row By ROBERT WALTERS Star Staff Writer BALTIMORE?Operation Phoenix, a major counter-insur- gency program being conducted jointly in Vietnam by the Central Intelligence Agency and the Defense Department, has been swept into the growing controversy stemming from the alleged My Lai massacre. Col. Marshall Fallwall, commandant of the Army's Intel- ligence School, held a rare , I pre ts conference here today to the Phoenix program and South deny a persistent report that Vietnamese intelligence." his instructors teach terror tac- The commandant also ac- tics and assassination tech- lmowledged that most of Reite- niqUes to Vietnam-bound intel- meyer's intelligence school class ' ligence officers. of 49 second lieutenants, now in That allegation stems prin.. Vietnam, had been assigned to dDally from a court document Operation Phoenix. itted early this year by But, he said, only a small per- a Baltimore attorney represent- centage of the school's students in former Army U. Francis T. go into the Phoenix program. Reitemeyer, who had attended The school currently has 1,735 Fallwell's intelligence school at students and trains approxi- Ft. Rolabird here. mately 9,000 students annually T4 at court document alleged at Ft. Holabird and an equal through extension th t the intelligence school in- numbertors told their students courses, Fallwell said. fit hiring mercenaries to kill The charges about the intelb- Viet Cong sympathizers, "male gence training, which Reitemey- female civilians of any age,,, er raised in conjunction with a afl that the students also were successful appeal to the federal inhat frequent "resort to the court for the granting of consci- t extreme forms of torture entious objector status and dis- waS necessary." charge from the Army, were de- scribed by the school comman- No Relation to My Lai dant as "wild allegations." "the Reitemeyer case is no Fallwell said Reitemeyer "al- way related to the alleged mas- leged that he had been taught 1 sticre of at least 109 Vietnamese terror tactics, that he had been civilians at My Lai, but it may taught to assassinate people." add new fire to the controversy However, the school official add- r whether the Army gener- ed, an "informal review" of Rei- teaches or encourages its temeyer's charges had shown men to resort to terror tactics, them to be false. assassination and similar forms "It just isn't done," added Fallwell. "We know precisely of violence. "E the document filed in what the individual instructor is 7 U.S. supposed to get across and how District Court here last Feb. 14, he is supposed to get it across. Eteitemeyer was quoted as say- He is supposed to follow that he was assigned to the script,' 'Phoenix program," established Earlier. Quiz Recalled teVeral years ago, under the iofttrol of the CIA and the De- Fallwell acknowledged that !eila Department in an effort to some instructors might have di- pinnate the Communist ,,in,. verged from the standard course restructure" in South Vietnam material to tell "war stories" to brough the use of sophisticated their classes, but emphasized nteliigence techniques. that such terrorism and assassi- nation techniques are "corn- Reitemeyer, was quoted by his pletely against the Geneva Con- e er, William H. Zinman, as vention, the Universal Code of a ng he was told that Opera- Mihtary Justice and Department ion Phoenix "sought to accom- lish through capture, intimida- of the Army regulations." ion, elimination and assasina- Fallwell further said that Re!- ton what the United States up to temeyer was questioned on Dec. li.is time was unable to accom- 6, 1968?months before the legal lish through the conventional Paper was filed on his behalf? se of military power, i.e., to about similar statements "that /hi the war." he had made in a social gather- Fallwell confirmed that Reite- mg." Asked at that time where he ties, neyer went through a six-week had heard of the atrocities, 'combat "said he got it out of the newspapers," Fallwell told the press conference. 'combat intelligence staff offi- ers course" which included 'three hours of instruction on f pLTri PAGE 4 touDso414000300160001-7 i from the information rom e platform; be said no," the colonel added. Fallwell referred to the plat- form used by instructors presid- ing over classes at the school. Dismissals Reported A Pentagon spokesman said today that both lieutenants had been dismissed from the intelli- gence school for academic fail- ure last December. It also said that Reiterneyer had denied under oath that he had told a friend he was being trained to carry out assassina- tions. "I am not being trained in Atity political assassinations . I never told (the name of the friend was deleted by the Pen- tagon) . . . that I was being strained to be an assassin nor that I was to be in charge of a group of assassins." he was quoted as having said. Fallwell acknowledged that Vietnam-bound intelligence offi- -eers received some field training at a mock Vietnam village on the ground of nearby Ft. How- ard, but said, "Almost every Army post has a Vietnam vil- lage." Reitemeyer is currently on a trip through the West and could not be reached for comment. His case was heard by the federal court in conjunction with a similar successful appeal for conscientious objector status from another student at the in- telligence school, Michael J. Cohn. Cohn did not sign the contro- versial court document, but won discharge for the same reasons. Reitemeyer and Cohn, both about 25 years old, were not called to testify under oath on their allegations of hiring killers 1 because Judge Frank A. Kauf- man decided they had supported their conscientious obj e c t or claims without it. Zinman said that since the case no longer is pending and in light of the recent alleged mas- sacre of Vietnam civilians he felt public attention should be directed to the proffer by the two former lieutenants. He said he is having a copy delivered to Sens. J. W. Ful- bright, D-Ark., Edmund S. Mu- skie, D-Maine, Edward M. Ken- nedy, D-Mass., John C. Stennis, D-Miss., and Charles McC. Ma- thias, R-Md., in hopes they will "be inclined to take a hard look" at it. The statement to the judge said: "Your petitioner was informed that he would be one of many Army officers designated as an adviser whose function it was to supervise and to pay with funds from an undisclosed source 18 mercenaries (probably Chinese, none of whom would be officers or enlisted men of the U.S. mili- Approved For Release 2003ggrOX ". ? ? e ex_plieitly ers to find, capture, and-or kill - - .-- - as many Viet Cong and Viet Cong synipathizers vtilthin a giv- en number of small villages as I was possible under the circum- stances. "Viet Cong sympathizers were meant to include any male or female civilians of any age in a influence in of authority or in the village who were political- ly loyal or simply in agreement with the Viet Cong or their objectives. "The petitioner was officially advised by the lecturing United States Army officers, who ac- tually recounted from their own experiences in the field, that the petitioner as an American advis- er, might actually be required to maintain a 'kill quota' of 50 bod- ies a month. "Your petitioner was further informed at this intelligence school that he was authorized to adopt any technique or employ any means through his merce- naries, which was calculated to find and ferret out the Viet Cong or the Viet Cong sympathizers. "Frequently, as related by the lecturing officers, resort to the most extreme forms of torture was necessary." The proffer claimed a lecturer told of an occasion where a civil- ian "suspected of being a sym- pathizer was killed, decapitated and dismembered and parts of the body prominently displayed on the front lawn as a warn- ing . . ." "Another field technique," ac- cording to the court paper, "de- signed to glean information from a captured Viet Cong soldier, who was wounded and bleeding, was to promise medical assist- ance only after the soldier dis- closed the information sought by interrogators. "After the interrogation had terminated, and the mercenaries and advisers-were satisfied that no further information could be obtained from the prisoner, he was left to die in the middle of the village, still bleeding, and without any medical attention whatsoever. "On the following morning, when his screams for medical attention reminded the interro- gators of his presence, he was unsuccessfully poisoned and fi- nally killed by decapitation with a rusty bayonet. "The American advisers, who were having breakfast 40 feet away, acquiesced in these ac- tions, and the death of this sol- dier was officially reported 'shot while trying to escape."' The court paper relates what a field, instructor described as an incident on the "lighter side." He recounted that advisers aiath surrounded a pool where Viet Cong soldiers were hiding by submerging and breathing through reeds. "The advisers joined the South s soldiers in saturat- 0011147hand gren- ades. At this juncture, structor remarked to dents, which included yo tioner, 'that although th dent might appear son gory, while you listen to it classroom, it was actual', of fun to watch the bodies" Cong soldiers fly into the ai fish," the proffer related. Judge Kaufman filed an ion July 14 ordering the charge of Reitemeyer and Cl The Army filed notice of api but withdrew it in October. WA SHIIAIPPC914911ftraRelease 209)30q5 : LA tr?r-44,4 Senate Voies to Bar Role in Asia Wars By Spencer Rich Washington Post Staff Writer The Senate yesterday untrni- money adopted an amett1-1 ment to prevent the United States from "sliding into War" lfl Laos or Thailand without the consent of Congress, but tiree hours of wrangling over tJe Tauage left the precise legai effect unclear. Sen. John Sherthan Cooper (Ray.), who "StiMbred -the language, gave it a broad , terprOatien, saying it would bar ITS troops from engaging In "combat, hostility or war in sa of local forces in Laos ot Wand." Asked the mean. I ing of "local forces," he said 1 in 'Thailand it would mean 1 "Thai forces fighting in Thai- z land against insurgents." However, Sen. John Stennis (D-Miss.), floor manager of the military procurement bill to which the amendment was at- taehed by an 86-to-0 vote, said the language of the amend- ment did not actually go near- ly as far as Cooper wished, He said it was only on the basis of much more restricted inter- pretation that he accepted it and voted for it. Stennis indicated that the Cooper language, in his opin- ion, simply prevented any money in the category of mili- tary assistance?for which the bill provided $2.5 billion ? being used to finance combat operations in Laos or Thai- land. Reading from a Sept. 15 Pentagon memorandum, he said the Defense Department took the same view of the amendment's language as he did. Stennis added that in his view, the language would not achieve Cooper's aim to block the armed forces from using money provided under other budget headings to support U.S. troops if they became en- gaged in combat in the two Southeast Asian countries. See SENATE, A15, Col. 1 Cooper insisted that as spon- ;or, it was his right to inter- pret the meaning of the amendment, and that what he wanted to do, "in bluntest terms," was to prevent "if pos- sible, the U.S. from moving step by step into war in Laos or Thailand as it did in Viet- nam." He acl,cled that his amend- ment would not prevent use of U.S forces in Thailand for bombing and other operations against the enemy in Vietnam. Nor would it prevent the U.S. troops from defending them- selves if U.S. bases in the two countries were directly at- tacked (he accepted a floor amendment to cover the latter point). But he said any participa- tion in a Vietnam-type intern- al war would be absolutely barred. 11, Stennis wettld not yield to pooper's broad reading, re? /barking that before he or the Senate could accept any inter ? pretation of such bread con sequence?to which, he hint ed, he might ultimately be sympathetic ? extensive hear lags and committee considera tion should be undertaken. Several senators who votec for the Cooper amendmer said later they did so on th( lasumption that Stennis' nar row reading was correct. One told a reporter, "The legisla tive intent of this thing ha/ been so muddied that the amendment is next to mean ingless," 364R000300160001-7 PAGE But one who favored Coop er's broader Interpretation said, "Even if we accept the thing on Stennis' terms, it means the Senate has gone on record against spending any of the $2.5 billion in mili- tary assistance to commit U.S. troops to local combat in I,,aos or Thailand. The assistance money can now only be used for materiel, supplies and the like for the local country forces." After the Cooper amend- ment, the Senate, with Sten- nis' agreement, adopted two other amendments: ? By a vote of 85 to 0, the Senate approved an amend- ment by Sen. William Prox- mire (D-Wis.) directing the comptroller general to coni duct a study of profits on de- fense contracts and report back by Dec. 31, 1970. Prox. mire said it was time we "get some notion of what defense profits really are." ? By a 71 to 10 vote, the Senate agreed to an amend. ment by Marlow W. Cook (R Ky.) to put a ceiling ei 3,461,000 on the number of men in the armed forces and to require that this figure be reduced on a one-to-one basis by the number of men with- drawn from Vietnam hereafter. (if 60,000 are withdrawn, total armed forces strength must drop by 60,000). Stennis said actual overall troop strength on July 1 was 3,461,190, and the Pentagon was expecting to reduce overall levels anyhow. Approved For Release 2003/03/25 : CIA-RDP71600364R000300160001-7 NEW YORK TIMES DATE < PAGE 1 Approved For Release 2003/03/25 : CIA-RDP71600364R000300160001-7 iIn1ikrationinLie7iz to FoliowU . S. Pullout _ tAffrao, -South' Vietna Sept._ '4?United Sta es mili- tary titfiOritfes here report that North Vietnam has sharp- ly intensified the infiltration of Teeth: arir?y units into the kont., Delta in the four ks since the last American o 10t pr e region as part of President:: Nixon's with- drawal* Plan. At least four and possibly seven battalions of predomi- allay cl4Ortli Vietnamese regu- lars haVe crossed the border from Cambodia and slipped Into the heart of the delta, ac- cording to the United States military authorities. ??Three to four more bat- talions-1,800 to 2,400 men? hive been spotted maneuver- ing on the Cambodian side of the frontier opposite Chaudoc Province. Intelligence analysts believe one battalion Slipped across last Thursday under cover of the series of attacks that follqwed the 72 - hour cease-fire proclaimed by the Vietcong in memory. of HO Chi Minh, President of North Viet- nam. The infiltration of regular By TERENCE SMITH speotat to The Nem York Times units was first spotted last May, but it was intensified sharply in the four weeks since the American units left as part of the initial with. drawal of 25,000 United State; troops. South Vietnamese Army troops have replaced the Americans in Dinhtuong aric Kienhoa Provinces, and some officers suspect that the Soutt Vietnamese may well be the target of the North Vietnam, ese regulars. "I frankly don't knoW,what they are up to,? said Mar Gen, Roderick Wetherill, senloi American military adviser ir the delta, in an interview at his headquarters in this. delta town 80 miles southwest of Saigon. He continued: "But it is possible at they are planning some sort of mini- Tet offensive in the area that was previously protected by the United States Ninth Division. It is one of the things they could do to cause a major po- litical splash in the United States. If they sustained an at. Continued on Page 11, Column 1 tack for tei . days and managed' to take some district towns from the South Vietnamese, it would have quite an effect back in the states." Before this summer, the enemy in tbit delta consisted mostly of indigenous Vietpong units and guerrillas, many of whom worked during the day in the rice fields and fought at night. The only North Viet- namese we troops and of- ficers who led some of the guerrilla units: They numbered about 800 as against an esti- mated total of 49,000 Vietcong soldiers and support troops. Vietcong InAsion Appeared In early May, the first ele- ments of the 273d Regiment of the Vietcong Ninth Division ap- peared in the delta. Aiid intel- he New York Times Sept. 15, 1969 North Vietnamese troops are reported moving into delta (arrows) as the U.S quits 2 provinces (shaded). ligence officers believe that a a result of manpower losses th division is pow about 80 pe cent Northyjetnamese, clespit its designation as a Vietcon, unit. In late Aufnist, as the las of the American infantry unit were being withdrawn, ele anents of the North Vietnames, Army's First Division enterei the delta from Cambodia. Sev eral battalions of the 18th I Regiment of the division an said to have been located am identified. At least two batal lions are believed to? be hidini In caves in a group of hills ir Western ' Chaudoc ". Province kriown as the Seven Sister! Tvinuntainc , Tn The main, the North Vietnamese have been avoid- ing contact as much as pos- sible and concentrating on moving their supplies and troops south into the u Minh forest in the Camau Peninsula, which fs dominated by the Vietcong. General Wetherill believes they will rest there until they are up to strength and ready to strike out at a target. Establishing a Presence Although the goal remains a mystery, many military ob- servers believe that Hanoi is out to establish a significant military presence in the delta to strengthen its position in the peace negotiations in Paris. "The Delta is the richest plum in Vietnam," one American colonel said. "And when it comes time to divide the spoils, the North Vietnamese will want to be able to lay claim to at least part of it." The South Vietnamese Army has the equivalent of three di- visions of infantry and artillery units based throughout the delta. The only Americans in the region- since the withdrawal of the Ninth Division are the advisers attached to the South Vistnamese Army and regular force and militia units. Their principal role is to call in American air support when the fight gets rough. There are no longer any American infan- try units operating in the IV Corps, or delta, area. Thus, if the North Vietnamese decide to test the South Viet- namese Army's ability to fight alone, the stage is set in the delta. Approved For Release 2003/03/25 : CIA-RDP71600364R000300160001-7 NEW YORK TIMES Approved For Release 20 3/ -Continued from Page 1, Col. 7 NIXON SEES AIDES their only hope for "victory is a collapse of American deteimi- ToDA . NviETNA nation. TheAmbassador is also said to have urged Mr. Nixon .......AL eeting Comes Amid Signs of Disagreement Among His Principal Advisers By Pk?HARD HALLORAN special to The New York Times WASHINGTON, Sept. 11? President Nixon's scheduled meetipl here tomorrow with his piincipal 'advisers on Viet- nam comes amid evidence of disagreement in the Adminis- tration on hOw to proceed in ,Vietnam and signs of Congres- sional discontent with the Ad- ministration's policy. Congressional sources sait they were aware of a revivaI sentiment among both cl4 vilian officials and military leaders that the United States should seek a clear victory in Vietnam and should play down the attempt to reach a negoti- ated settlement. (, In Saigon, a United States spokesman said that enemy combat activity had increased significantly, fol- ' lowing the end of the three- day cease-fire declared by the Vietcong and partly hon- ored by the allies.] The United States Ambassa dor to South Vietnam, Ellswortt Bunker, has brought President Nixon optimistic reports of the political situation under Presi. dent Nguyen Van Thieu oi South Vietnam and of improvi ing combat capabilities of the South Vietnamese Army, the n ressional sources said. r. Bunker is said to have told the President, when they met Tuesday, that the North Inetnamese have been bad- ly hurt on the battlefield and lentnIntidi on Page4, COIumn 3 to hold off on negotiations, con- tending that the longer the talks in Paris are deadlocked, the better it is for the United States and South Vietnamese military position. The United States military commander in Vietnam, Gen. Creighton W. Abrams, ha given the same optimisti evaluation through military channels, the sources said. General Abrams arrived in Washington from Saigon today to attend tomorrow's meeting. Such reports were reflected In a speech in Sacramento to day, by Gen. Leonard F. Chap- man Jr., Commandant of the Marine Corps. General Chap- man told the Comstock Club. "We have, I think, reached point of crisis in this war. Time the weapon employed so wel by the enemy, is beginning t work against him now. Hi raids and attacks against al- lied forces have lessened. He has cut down his imput of re- placements and materiel." , According to a text made available here, General Chap- man said that the enemy "is running out of options. Time, and the American casualties he can inflict in that time is still his hope for breaking American determination. But that same time finds a stronger and more DATE atgifartiPgrtgACP?41:i4 public of Vietnam taking_ on more of the fighting." Earlier, the views of the gen- erals are reported to have helped persuade the President to delay his decision on whether to withdraw a second contingent of American troops om South Vietnam. Ambassador Bunker, with the support of General Abrams, is said to have urged the Presi- dent to go slow on withdrawals in order to give President Thieu time to improve his political osition and to permit the outh Vietnamese Army to in- rease its fighting capability. These views are reported to have caused considerable dis- may among some of President Nixon's political advisers, who contend that the American peo- ple have grown ever more weary of the long war and are eager to see it ended. Such reports have also caused concern among some high offi- cials of the State Department and the Central Intelligence Agency who believe that the reports do not accurately re- flect the ability and determine- ion of the enemy to keep on ighting despite serious losses. These disparate views help xplain the pulling and hauling at has come into public view recent weeks. The State and Defense De- partments have openly, disputed the significance of figures on Infiltration from North Viet- PAGE galteWiiiitaiNgtor-the Penta-1 gon tended to downgrade them, for fear that they would lead to stronger demands for with- drawing American troops from South Vietnam. The State Department, in contrast, publicly labeled the figures as a significant sign that implied a North Vietna- mese willingness to reduce the level of fighting and move to- ward a negotiated settlement. The recent cease-fire declared by the Vietcong gave rise to addi- tional contradictory statements. State Department officials let it be understood that the Urtited States was prepared to see the cease-fire extended beyond the proclaimed three days, if the enemy so chose, as a sign of movement toward peace. At the White Hou, how- ever, the President's press sec- retary, Ronald L. Ziegler, termed such reports speculative and made clear that the President did not entertain the idea that the cease-fire Could be pro- longed into a scaling down of military activity. This, well- informed sources said, was the basis of an understanding with President Thieu. Officials who have watched the development of United States policy on Vietnam for many months explained that part of the disagreement was cyclical. They said that there had always been diffiring assessments of the actual situ- ation in Vietnam, 15011tically and militarily. Approved For Release 2003/03/25: CIA-RDP71600364R00030 ine sourc,es said that while such disagreements often occur between the State and Defense Departments, they are, by nO means purely interagency - dis- putes. There are varying assess- ments within each department and even within the C.I.A. and other organizations in the intelligence community, the sources added. Therefore, different proposals on how to proceed in 'Vietnam are considered natural. When the Administration approaches a major decision, as it Is now doing, these differences are ac- centuated as those concerned try to make their influence felt on the coming decision. President Nixon is known to have encouraged the presenta- tion of disparate views and to have instructed his special as- sistant on national security af- fairs, Henry A. Kissinger, to seek them out. But once the President makes a decision, he cts the Government to ak With one voice. Thus, the meeting at the White House tomorrow, which informed sources said ,was WASHINGT ON POST DATE Approved For Release 2003/03/25 : PAGE EDIZI( DI-'71 B00364R000300160001-7 Division on Infiltration By Jack Anderson THE STATE and Defense Departments still can't agree whether the North Vietnam- ese infiltration rate has de- clined and what effect this might have on the Paris truce talks. The State Department is eager to believe intelligence estimates that the number of troop replacements from North Vietnam dropped to ? 100,000 during the first half ,* of the year, as compared with 200,000 for the same period lait year. ? These estimates are based s ,e largely upon our readings of the sensors that have been e planted along the infiltration 7 routes and the electronic , s, gadgets that our helicopter crews use to detect people )e hiding in the jungles. The State Department, which is responsible for peace, would like to interpret the elec- trimic reports as evidence of a Communist move to ease the fighting and prepare for a truce. The Army, however, has detected infiltrators who ap- parently' have managed to Slip into South Vietnam with- out registering on the elec- tronic devices. Also, captured documents contain plans for offensives, not withdrawals. Therefore the Army, which Is responsible for the battle- field, is dubious about an enemy letup. The Commu- nists' failure to mount an effective offensive, in the opinion of most generals, is the result of our own mili- tary superiority. Some experts believe that the North Vietnamese don't want to conduct a military campaign that might delay the American withdrawal from Vietnam. Other experts insist that the North Vietnamese desper- ately want to break up an or- derly withdrawal, that they would like to force a precipi- tate withdrawal. With this as their goal, say these experts, the Communists have sought ?to make the Vietnam war as painful as possible for the American public. White House security ad- viser Henry Kissinger, on the other hand, has cautioned President Nixon that it takes three or four months for Hanoi to shift strategy and get the word to all the cadres in the field. Tigress in Congress A FORMER schoolmarm who sometimes lectures Con- gressmen as if they were in- attentive pupils will leave her stamp upon U.S. educa- tion. She is Rep. Edith Green, gray-haired and grandmotherly chairman of the important House educa- tion subcommittee, who has worked vigorously to counter the crisis in our schools. In 1967, she stirred up a tu- multuous floor fight over school aid. Conservatives scowled and liberals howled as she fought, first, for an ex- panded federal aid program, then for local administration of the program. She firmly maintained that local authorities know more about their school problems than do Washington sages? political heresy among her fellow Northern Democrats. Throughout the ensuing up- roar, the diminutive but in- domitable congresswoman from Oregon sat in the eye of the storm, prim and cool, her feet barely touching the floor. She finally got her way The liberals got their re. venge this summer by block. ing her plan to curb student disorders. She wanted to deny federal funds to any col lege that failed to file a plan for handling disruptions. "No one challenges the right of dissent," she argued, "but many of us question the wisdom of requiring others to pay taxes to finance it." She warned the liberals, who voted downlefbill, that con- servatives would. ram through a far more punitive measure. This is now what they are driving to do. Edith Green, a veteranof 14 years in Oregon class- rooms, began lecturing her colleagues a few days after she entered Congress in 1955 when she scolded congress men for taking too mud time to extol the groundhog for his weather prediction Her first concern, as it wa5 in her teaching days, is foi education. Sinking almost oul of sight behind the huge ma hogany desk in her congres sional office, 'Edith Green summed her feelings: "I came across a statement recently which rings very true. 'In a country like this? if there cannot be noone found to answer the commor purposes of education, there is something amiss in the rul, ing political power.' George Washington made that state ment almost 200 years ago. think it is time we put out priorities straight." cif. 1969. nen-McClure Syndicate. Inc. Approved For Release 2003/03/25 : CIA-RDP71600364R000300160001-7 NEW YORK TIMES DATE - PAGE Approved For Release 2003/03/25 : CIA DP71600364R000300160001-7 tate and Defense Departments ict to Ease Infiltration Dispute entagon Official Emphasizes Caution in Interpreting the Decline, While McCloskey Calls It Significant By RICHARD HOLLORAN Special to The New York Times WASHINGTON, Aug. 28 ? State and Defense Depart- aits tried today to reconcile ir public differences over interpretation of a decline the infiltration of North tnamese soldiers into South tnam. IL noticeable difference re- ined, however. The State _te Department continued to ard the decline as signicant ile the Defense Departmen led at it cautiusly. Both d -tments appeared to be wking from the same figures. The disagreement came Linst the backfrop of the is- sion in the Administration but whether and when to hdraw more American ops from South Vietnam. No Indication of Response :tate Department officials in- ated that their interpreta- -i was intended to prod the -th Vietnamese at the Paris xs into confirming a reduc- -1 of their war effort. Other cials indicated that the in- Dretation could also be_used justify another, and possibly ater, withdrawal of Amen- - soldiers after the first con- gent of 25,000 has left by end of this month. Dfficials here said they had eived no indication from the sting in Paris today that the -th Vietnamese had re- lided. The American delega- there also told the other that the fate of B-52 bomb- missions in South Vietnam ! been decreased for more ai a month. This was in- Ked as another piece of evi- ce of American intentions to McCloskey, said that he stood on his earlier evaluation that the decline might be "signifi- cant" as an indicator of enemy intentions. The Defense Depart- ment spokesman, Jerry W. Friedheim, said that "we are interpreting it cautiously." Mr. McCloskey said he had no figures ?on infiltration that were different from those of the Defense Department. He said that "Defense is the - fosi- tor for t is in. ? in o ? a- on a I e ense speak for the, Government on this matter." / Mr. Friedheim, in a prepared statement, said that the two de- partments "believe that enemy infiltration into South Vietnam is down considerably compared to last year's average." "It also appears to have been lower during July than it was earlier this year," he continued, adding that 'the enemy has suf- fered a decline in total troop strength in South Vietnam. Mr. Friedheim said that the North Vietnamese had infil- trated about 1000,000 men into South Vietnam during the first six months of 1969. This com- pared with 200,000 men infil- trated during the same period last year, he said. However, he added that "a direct comparison of the first half of this year with the first half of last year must be made cautiously" because of the Tet offensive, the half in the bomb- ing of North Vietnam and weather variations last year. Figures on Enemy Losses Mr. Friedheim also noted that L19,029 enemy soldiers were he first am? pr Oleg IIIM 41MAJOS 00L0-L nw (viz) 111B3 ;stir *poi. AnAllep away AO; eSucuy ocumftep MULL 31.10A. MON 011.1. eeq ot X111'11E9141 11098 Approved For Releag r !red Press International ENDS VIETNAM TOUR: Secretary of the Army Stanley B. Resor talking Itth Gen. William B. Rosson, deputy commander of U.S. forces in South Vietnam, heft* the Secretary left Saigon yesterday. At a news conference before leaving, Mr. Retr avoided com- Mentrng on the case of the eight Green Berets accused of slaying a Vielamese national. 2003/03/25 : CIA-RDP71600364R000300160001-7 WA SHINarrOlfed:fttikelease 2003/0/25 ? anm Cuts Infiltration, U.S. Reports By Murrey Marder Washington Post Staff Writer Infiltration of North Vietnamese troops into South Vietnam has dropped below :combat losses, and total enemy forces in the war now "may be" shrinking, the State Department said yesterday. The Defense Department, however, issued a far more cautious assessment which did not agree with the State Department that these factorsi are "significant." The Penta- gon added that "the enemy is+ substantially replacing h i s losses." The Defense Department's guarded statement was issued last night only after hours of discussion behind the scenes to try to reconcile the two de- partments' positions. Informed sources said the State De- partment's first and more en- couraging statement was is- sued with White House ap- proval. The State Department's statement could be used in Justifying the argument that "attrition" of North Vietna- mese forces ultimately would have the same effect as the Mutual "withdrawal" of forces that the United States 'insists -st.ttra 1.1420itrokreerlrue- titt.ttoa 2avantoa s,aa Atauaa pasnjaa eramieAul gd,?PniS 31311 111,11)11,1da ursnq SA -uptreu.r SaAjOA111; uotle.5'aaasap eta uo pj aq urm 2uT.tuaq larioa op -moo u pies sag ar.Scia apnr qfilp000300160001AGE /44 INFILTRATE, From Al 1 The sudden attention that focused on the infiltration and enemy troop strength issue Was touched off by remarks made by former Secretary of State Dean Rusk, speaking in Madison, Wis., Tuesday night. Rusk was quoted as saying that U.S. intelligence indicates there has been an "almost total lack" of North Viet- namese infiltration into South Vietnam recently, and he saw that as a hopeful omen. It was learned yesterday that Rusk tried to put off the record that and other answers questions, but local newsmen in Madison refused to agree on grounds that he was speaking to a public audience of hun- dreds of bankers. The State Department used the opportunity to make a de- tailed statement expanding on the reduction in infiltration but stopping short of claims that North Vietnamese infiltra- tion has fallen to zero. In recent weeks, other U.S. officials, informally, have also .reported what they have re- garded as the potentially very significant drop in infiltration. Secretary of State William P. Rogers, on July 2, said official. -.1y that "we do have evidence that the infiltration in the last two or three months has been at a fairly low level." Yesterday morning, State Department spokesman Robert J. McCloskey said: "Well we have indicated on e se ver al previous occasions i. that there has been a consid- erable reduction in North r Vietnamese infiltration into f South Vietnam. We believe Othat the infiltration figure is .,currently lower than the 'North Vietnamese casualty figures in the South. "Now this suggests that they are not replacing all of their casualties and that there may be a net reduction in enemy field forces which occurs as a result of attrition in the North Vietnamese component of those forces. "We consider these facts significant and have said so on several occasions. However, what we seek is mutual with- drawal of all non-South Viet- namese forces. "While it could be argued that this lttrition process would evem.....ally have the same effect as 4 withdrawal by North Vietnamese forces, it would be a slow and grim process. "We prefer to end the con- flict by negotiation?a negotia- tion which would lead to the withdrawal of all non-South Vietnamese forces." McCloskey was asked by newsmen how the State De- partment reconciles its state- ment on the reduction of in- filtration with President Nix- on's delay in ordering further U.S. troop withdrawals. Mc? Closkey replied that "I'm not trying to draw a broad picture and relate this to strategy or military or political" factors. When asked if the State De- partment is requesting North Vietnam, in effect, to acknowl- edge the drop in infiltration, McCloskey replied, "If that can be implied, let it be." Hanoi is hardly likely to do so, however; it never has offi- cially admitted having any troops in the South. In answer to questions about Rusk's knowledge about the infiltration date, McCloskey said that Secretary Rogers meets "from time to time" With Rusk, but that the former Secretary is "not a paid con- sultant." Approved For Release 2003/03/25 : CIA-RDP71600364R000300160001-7 wAsHiNdkpefiqvittrmr Release 20173123/24 lelittlidP91600364R000300160001P7(WE 4 Official nails Detectors Along Ho Chi Minh Trail By George C. Wilson Washington Post Staff Writer Listening devices the United States has placed along the Hao Chi Minh trail to detect enemy infiltrators "will rank as one of the major technologi- cal contributions" of the Viet- nam War, the Pentagon research chief said yesterday. John S. Foster Jr., in mak- ing that assertion in his an- nual statement on research and "development, added that I'we May well be on the verge" of keeping a battlefield under mechanical surveillance around the clock. While Foster did not specify where sensors have been sown it is known they have been placed along infiltration trails in Laos as well as North and South Vietnam. at;and combat may well hssiven revolutionized for the yeah ahead," Foster said, "by the emergence of a new famil3. of sensors for remote detection and for rapid de- livery of firepower. Building o'n mit-e3cperience in Vietnam the instrumented battlefield has become possible." Successful in Siege research chief said the anti-infiltration devices ? in- cluding ones which listen for vibrations in the ground as well as noises in the air? were used with success in the siege of Khesanh and in the defense of Saigon. The fuller system the Penta- gon is working on calls for seriSdrs to warn an automated conitriand ancreoritrol network of the ajith- of enemy, troops. Then artillery and bombing could be loosed into the area, or infantry flown there. The system Foster praised goes beyond the $1,6 billion McNamara line of Mechanical obstacles installed along part of the DMZ separating the two Vietnams. Defense Secre- tary Melvin It. Laird said earlier this year that the line ?code named Project Dye' Marker/Muscle Shoals ? had not lived up to expectations. To combat a Soviet military' threat which he said ts sup- ported by a research intgrarn growing faster than onr own (10 per cent growth a year In military, space and. atomic energy research cornPared to 1 per cent for the U.S. in "the last few yeare), Fatter said he is thinking of building a giant test submarine With bang- range missiles inside. Continue Blasts While considering such a weapon for under the sea, Foster said the Pentagon will continue setting off nuclear blasts underground to test such things as the effect X-rays have on warheads for our Polaris and Minuteman missiles. In case the United States reaches an arms control agree- ment with Russia, Foster said he has asked a Defense Science Board task force to analyze how the Pentagon's research program should be rearranged to keep track of Soviet "capability and intent." Approved For Release 2003/03/25 : CIA-RDP71600364R000300160001-7 WASHINGTON POST DATE: 4'111P41L PAGE CiDribt, Approved For !Release 2093103/25,: CIA-RDP711300364R000300160001-7 ? Marquis ehilcis Vietnam Pacification Drive Takes a More Realistic Turn DALAT, Vietnam?During the 70 years of their colonial empire in Indochina?Laos, Cambodia, North and South Vietnam?the French did very well for themselves. The big rubber plantations ?'Were highly profitable, as were other enterprises worked by docile natives. , Among the intellectuals they spread some French education. Aristocratic fami- lies sent their sons and daughters to Paris to school. ?IlbeY onf erred French citi- zenship on a favored few. It was all very cozy in the French style. t Yen during their war With the Viet Minh, as the Communists were known then, in the early years after 1947 they did not do too badly. The ranks were largely made up of the For- eign Legion. They suffered heavily in military leader- ship, however, as class after lass went out of St. Cyr, the French West Point, to die in the jungles of Viet- tam. During the latter years, before the disastrous defeat of Dien Bien Phu, the 'United States was pouring $800 million a year into the French treasury to sustain the fr ?filiinst the heavy n e their mountain . this mile high city a vista of mountain et in the distance, their ?litvillas, little ray- by the war, are evi- dence of their knowledge of the good life, whether in France or in the far reaches of the empire. The Central Highlands were a buffer be- tween the Indochinese and the mountain people, the Montagnards, and the French allowed almost no southerners except for their servants to settle in Dalat. Now the responsibility for pacifying this mountain area, or trying to bring the Montagnards into the 20th century to live at peace with the Vietnamese, for trying to get the economy on an even keel, is jointly that of the South Vietnamese gov- ernment in Saigon and the United States Mission. Am- bassador William E. Colby, in charge of the pacification program, is in Deist for con- ferences with the local prov- ince chief, a colonel in the Vietnamese army, and with his own officials stationed here. Pacification has for long been a sneer word. It was bureaucratese for a costly venture in idealism which was erased by the Vietcong shortly after the pacifiers left the pacified village. Gol- by's predecessor, Robert Komer, was a tough-talking salesman who could marshal charts and graphs to show just what percentage of ter- ritory and people had been pacified. He met any chal- lenge by mowing down the challenger with strong lan- guage. Korner went from here to be Ambassador to Turkey, where the Turkish Vietnam protesters cele- rated his arrival by burn- I, the embassy car. $1.:NtE last November ideation has taken a and snore realistic tack. 'Ile initial effort is to root (nit the Vietcong infrastructure, humatcratese for the Zif- ia-lik organization holding rn 'Rages in a discipline of ite or, so pacification by day becomes silhmission to the VC by night. The root- ing out is done by various organizations of the Viet- namese People's Police and by Operation Phoenix di- rected by the CIA. Phoenix undertakes to do to known terrorists What they have done to villagers collaborat- ing with the government? reprisals such as beheading and disembowelling. The process includes road-build- ing so a village will not be isolated and subject to VC incursions. After at least comparative security has been estab- lished the work of pacifica- tion begins. Various forms of aid are made available. Each district chief is given one million piasters?at the legal rate close to $100,000. He can use this for any form of improvement in his vil- lages he sees fit. A 48-year-old Foreign Service officer, Colby is the best type of civilian Ameri- can working in Vietnam. He brings to his difficult?per- haps, in the long pull, im- possible?task dedication and tireless effort. Besides the long hours and the sev- en-day week in his Saigon office, he travels widely through the country for a first-hand appraisal of how pacification is going. There is still an inordi- nate amount of paperwork. The questionnaire of the hamlet evaluation survey, which must be filled out pe- riodically by the American adviser to the province chief, is as detailed as an in- come tax return and almost as hard to understand. The returns are sent to Saigon and fed into a computer. Out comes the percentage- 80-plus pacified. One must, as in the past, take these percentages with strong re- servations, although they are probably more trustwor- thy than before in light of the village and district secu- rity operation. ac- it sounds like mortaring mixed with small-arms fire. In the morning the old-tim- ers say it was only outgoing artillery fire in support of the defenders of a hamlet five miles down the road who came under,VC attack. Colby visits the mayor, he inspects the police training school where recruits are squirming through the wire under live ammunition, and then he is off for Saigon? with a briefcase full of pa- pers to be studied during the hour's flight. here were more men Dire. an ewer 41n -serving advisers who are. legion and ?what. so- oiled advice is like dust in the_fierce wind of the Whr, the chances for arrivingit a tnam free of war aztrter- rcir_aysiuld be greatly im- i0Ifeci., 1969, United Feature Syndicate HERE IN Dalat the prob- lem seems to be security and a lack of troop protec tion. That is the complaint of the province chief who is # about to be relieved by an- Approved For Release ea-ili 1600364R0003001600 1-7 01Prit?agitiri For three hours through the night the firing goes on, rrn the par M the newcomer V4,11.3F-Ax4,4".% WALL STREET JOURNAL Approved For Release 2003/0 The Hidden War Elite Phoenix' Forces Hunt' Vietcong Chiefs In an, Isolated Village Raid Prompted by Informers Finds Most of roe Gone And Natives Tight-Lipped Demolishing a VC Monument By PETER R. KANN ttrk.# Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL DON NRON, South Vietnam?Was it a trap? There was reason for suspicion. But the risk had to be taken. An unsolicited it of information offered an opportunity to strfhe at a local unit Of the Vietcong **restructure" (VCI), the clandestine politi- and administrative apparatus through Which the enemy lays claim to control much of the Vietnamese countryside. The affair began like this: Two ragged Vietnamese, one short and squat, the other tall and thin, recently walked into Don Nhon, a 'village about 50 miles south. Welt of Saigon that is the capital of Don Nhon District. The pair told American officials that they Wanted to talk about the VCI in their honle'village of Vinh Hoa, a nearby community of about 2,000 persons nestled deep in Vietcong territory along a Mekong River tributary. A ? Vietcong-sponsored "Liberation Committee" had been elected- to govern Vinh Hoa five IhOtiths previously, the informers said. iLhe U.S. advisers were dubious about tak- g iTiflitary action on the basis of this intel- Cc. An ambush might be in the offing. Boa was ' dangerous territory, several Miles. from the nearest government-controlled village. And the informers said they were refugees, rather than Vietcong defectors, who kW/11n11y could be expected to be more eager to talk. But the two stuck to their story of overt Vietcong control in their village, and their information checked out with that in allied files. PO Priority w.as a, target...1u ? t I ?? led zg,j31. he year-old Phoenix campaign ob- viously is related to the Paris negotiations. When peace comes, South Vietnam's claims to control the countryside will be strongest where the VCI cadre are fewest. The Vietcong claim that about 1,800 govern- ing bodies have been freely elected in "liberated areas" of South Vietnam. The U.S. dismisses most of the committees as fictions existing only on paper and claima VCI cadre are beirilkisitnesjvaar a;rope,gg MO a Montli. Total VI greritet? about 70.rinn. DATE Si, IMAM-4 PAGE ?f .11 1171r,TANP.:rri. " 73Alr Aar % f I %.4 r 'htZ. ? ? . Its methods range from after-dark assassination strikes by small killer squads to battalion-sized cordon and search efforts. A small strike clearly wasn't indicated for Vinh Hoa. The vil- lage might be heavily defended. U.S. officials finally settled on a plan for a daylight assault with helicopter transportation, The U.S. 9th Di- vision would provide support. Hunting the Enemy Phoenix operations are reputed to be highly sophisticated and productive affairs. The Vinh Hoa effort proved to be neither. It involved in- tricate?and apparently flawed?planning, largely fruitless interrogation of fearful, tight. lipped villagers, calculated brutality applied to suspected Vietcong, the execution of one sus- pect, looting of homes by Vietnamese troops, systematic destruction of village installations and a largely unproductive hunt for Vietcong officials who apparently had fled by sampan long before the allies arrived. ' The operation highlighted agonizing ques- tions about Phoenix and the allied methods for waging war in Vietnam. Because the Vietcong torture and assassinate, should the allies? Is there value to an operation that "sweeps" a Vietcong area and then departs, leaving no permanent allied presence? Who should be con- sidered Vietcong? Does the VC include a farmer who happens to own ancestral rice land in a Vietcong-controlled village and pays taxes to the enenly? .The counter-infrastructure experts are the ovineTaT R - I a-,' n- 01-7 paries All sro ' elude Camhediau _wad OhinEzerLia Legrl- a y She CIA. In two days of planning the Vinh Hoa force grew to include about 40 PRUs, about 30 Vietnamese speciar combat police and a hand- ful of interrogators from the Police Special Branch, Census-Grievance men and psycho- logical warfare cadre. The Americans taking part in the operation were two civilian PRO advisers, two civilian advisers to the special police( two young Army officers work ag in Don Nhon District and several radio operators. Two companies of the 9th Division, abcgif 110 men, were to form a cordon around the village to prevent Vietcong escapes. The Last Meeting Final plans were coordinated at the Tactical Operations Center of Kien Hoa province (which includes Don Nhon) the night before the strike, with more than a dozen Americans and Viet- namese attending or within earshot, _________f he meeting troubled CIA men. They worrig., just 'ably as-it turned out, that confusion aid tuiellizence leaks would follow. At 7 a.m. the next morning, the operation force is waiting for its helicopter transport at the airfield at Ben Tre, the Kien Hoa provincial capital. And waiting. It turns out that the 9th Division is having difficulty arranging its "air assets." An outpost under siege in a neighbor- ing province has to be aided. The civilian U.S. advisers begin to get rest- less and irritable: "The U.S. Army is more trouble than it's worth . . all their maps and charts and crap . . . goddamned army must have schools that teach delay and confusion . . . never seen a 9th Division operation go off on time. . . ." 25 ?ctigskblon18108 1 7 cling roughty over?tne-ONNAggalb - _wt. Fluttering from it are thousands of propa- matt lieflets. He explodes: "Great. Just Continued From I've One great. The army is really gee= PaniedcF4r Fick up a paper and read all about it. Read about the operation that's coming in to get you.,, The PRTJs and Vietnamese special combat police are wearing a wild variety of jungle fa- tigues, flak jackets, bush hats, berets, combat boots, tennis shoes and \ sandals: Some are barefoot. Initially they are sitting in orderly rows along the runway. Soon they begin dis- persing about the airfield. The PRUs invent a game. As a big C130 cargo plane comes in to land, they sit on the rimway, then duck their heads as the plane's wings whip past just above them. "They're the toughest men in this war," says one adviser. "They join this outfit because they want ac- tion." The American points to a small Vietnamese half-dozing on the grass. "That man used to be a VC. He got disillusioned with them, so they killed his family. He lit out for the bush. Spent two years out there alone, conducting a private vendetta against Charlie. God knows how many VC he killed. Finally he came in and joined up with the ?MI's. He wants to kill more VCs." Hovering Close Shortly after 9 a.m., two hours late, 10 heli- copters arrive. The PhOenix force piles aboard and is flown for 15 minutes across flat rice land and coconut groves to the landing zone, a rice paddy less than a mile from the center of Vinh Hoa. The helicopters hover close to the ground, and the troops leap out, wading cautiously through thigh-deep mud and water toward a treeline from which they expect enemy fire. There is no firing. At the treeline the troops are joined by the Don Nhon District U.S. advis- ers and the two Vietnamese informants who prompted the operation. They have been sepa- rately helicoptered to the scene. The inform- ers, garbed in baggy 'U.S. Army fatigues, are to remain mystery men, for their own protec- tion. Their heads are covered with brown cloth bags with eye and mouth holes. The two pre- sent a part comic, part frightening spectacle. The local advisers have bad news. They say the 9th Division cordon along the southern fringe of the village didn't get into place until about 9 a.m., two hours late, leaving the Viet- cong an escape route. (The 9th Division later denies any delay.) Now the informers claim not to recognize the approach being taken to the village. One American sharply questions them. Another is cursing the Vietnamese 'Tpsywar" operatives trampling along with the troops: "All we need are these goddamned guys with their leaflets. And they're wearing black pajamas. Beautiful. Now the army (the 9th Division troops) will zap 'em as VC." Looking Around Several of the Vietnamese special police have found an empty farmhouse, recently de- serted judging by damp betel-nut stains on the floor. They are passing the time knocking holes in a water barrel. In another farmhouse, the occupant, an old lady, stares at a wall while two carefree PRtTs boil eggs on her wood stove. A lone PRU wanders along the treeline shaking his head and muttering, "VC di di, VC di di ... (VC gone, VC gone)." The troops presently advance toward a cluster of houses nearer the village center. Spaced along the mud trails at intervals of about 10 yards are thick mud bunkers, each lams offorcrir d eral men. The houses also hatid btin ers, Inside or out. Vinh Hoa, being within an allied "free strike zone," is subject to air and artillery agenda leaflets carried in pl-astle ags. Some Iset20(113/03025ed OS4 RDPIti B001 garlands of flowers. The procession takes on a festive air. Ten minutes later the column reaches the center of the village, a small cluster of houses and shops facing a square that previously con- tained a covered marketplace. The market- place has been bombed out. In the center of the square is a concrete obelisk about 10 feet high ?a Vietcong memorial, say the Americans, dedicated to the enemy dead. It is one target of the Phoenix strike. The PRUs and Vietnamese special police begin searching?and sacking?the homes. They are bored, and restless, because there has been no "adtion." The psywarriors' plastic bags, emptied of propaganda, are comman- deered for loot ranging from clothing to chick- ens. "Trick or treat," says an American, not really amused. In one house, some of the Viet- namese troops are having a small celebration. They have unearthed a bottle of rice wine. A few village residents, women, children and old men, are assembled along one side of the square. They squat on their haunches in the dust. Several male captives are bound a few yards away. Against a well, the narrow-shoul- dered prisoner is rocking back and forth, a trickle of blood running down his head. Amid whirling dust, a 9th Divison helicop- ter lands in the square. A lean U.S. lieutenant colonel in polished boots and trim uniform steps out with aides in tow. Displaying a map marked with red grease pencil, he reports the kill totals of the support troops: "Charlie Com- pany got three KIAs (Killed In Action), Delta Company two, we got one from my chopper. . . ." All the fatalities, he says, were armed Vietcong, carrying packs. They were shot trying to flee through the cordon. "They had low-level documents on them," the colonel re- ports. Presently the chopper leaves. In the middle of the square, two Americans are strapping demolition charges around the Vietcong monument. A one-minute warning is sounded. Everyone takes cover. As the charge explodes, the monument disintegrates into chunks of brick and concrete. It is exactly noon. The Village Church The explosion seems to galvanize the forag- ing troops into action. "Don't they have any- thing to do but loot those houses?" an Ameri- can PRU adviser shouts to a Vietnamese lieu- tenant. "Get the men out combing the rest of this village." Two search parties move out. A third group, mostly Americans, crosses a nar- row footbridge spanning a canal to investigate a church. Crossing the bridge, the Americans spot fresh footprints on both sides of the river con- nected with the canal. For the moment, they pose a mystery. The church, a Roman Catholic structure, is bolted shut at front and rear. Just as two Americans warily advance to smash a lock, the front door opens and an elderly man in white pajamas appears, smiling as though to wel- come parishioners to services. The inside of the little church is newly painted and neatly scrubbed. A row of angled bullet holes along the metal-sheet roof attests to a visit from a helicopter gunship.' In the rear are a large drum and a brass gong. An American points to them and ques- gee2609t0 31121511. 0921dPiSP 71 B0036 'What are they for?" "To call the faithful to worship." "Did you see any people leaving the village all abont it by midnight last night. So they blew 614Ftteronbul 6eitrcHdern the river on their sampans. 'T , But there may be something to salvage from the operation. In the square, the group of squatting villagers has grown to 50 or 60. Cen- sus-Grievance operatives examine their identi- fication cards. Few have them; in Vietcong- controlled areas, the enemy forbids the people to carry government ID cards and often pun- ishes those who do. The two informers, still with bags on their heads, stand behind a nearly wall, peering at the villagers. Occasionally they point to a resi- dent and whisper to a PRU. Those put under suspicion are pulled to their feet, bound and taken aside to the prisoner group. The others remain on their haunches staring silently into the dust. The Moving Finger One villager "fingered" by the informers is a bowlegged woman clutching a baby. She is identified as a member of the village "women- farmer association," a Vietcong citizen-in- volvement organization not normally consid- ered important enough to classify as Vietcong cadre. ("No point picking them up," a U.S. of- ficial says later in Saigon. "They're more trouble than they're worth to process and hold.") But the woman is moved to the prisoner group, clutching the baby. Her two other chil- dren, a boy about six and a girl about 10 years old, begin to cry loudly. A PRU raises a rifle butt over their heads menacingly, and the wails subside into muffled sobs. From behind a nearby house two shots are heard. The narrow-shouldered prisoner has been executed. His body is dumped into a bunker. One of the psywar operatives lectures the villagers on the perils of supporting the Viet- cong and outlines the benefits of backing the Saigon government. Propaganda sheets bear- ing a smiling portrait of President Nguyen Van Thieu are handed out. At one side of the square an American ad- viser muses about the operation and what it has to do with the war: "There are 30 people sitting around a table in Paris, and they just aren't going to hack it. How can they solve this thing? The people in this village have been VC for 10 years, maybe 20. How are you going to -change that? We come here on an operation, and what does it prove? We've got some crook sitting in Don Nhon picking up a salary every month because he claims to be the government village chief here. He hasn't dared to visit this village for seven years. The district chief was too chicken to come on this operation. So we come in, pick up a few Charlies and leave. The VC will be back in control here tonight...." Heading Back At 3 p.m., with five prisoners in tow, the troops start hiking back to the landing zone in the rice paddy for transportation home. Near the paddy they meet two U.S. soldiers from the 9th Division cordon, leading two prisoners. Each of the captives wears a neatly printed "Detainee Card." The taller and more talkative of the two in- formers is brought forward to examine the new prisoners. One is identified as a deputy Viet- cong village chief, the other as a non-Vietcong. Both are placed with the other prisoners. A deputy Vietcong village chief would be the t etk t titaftpAill of the day by far, the bGlitevbi 'cadre at best. "Hey, we got us a big one," says an elated American ad- viser, who then cautions nearby PRUs: "You rive at a substantial farmhouse with flower beds in the front yard, a manicured hedge and pillars flanking the front entrAinres of many prosperous homes in Vrrit Y ? I Ing, since Vietcong villages usually are poorer than government-controlled towns. Isolation from major markets, high Vietcong taxes and allied bombing are among the reasons. Behind the house some leaf wrappings are found. "The VC must have been here," an American says. "That's what they wrap field rations in." (Leaves are used by most rural Vietnamese, VC or not, to wrap food.) The oc- cupant of the house, an old man who stares at the interlopers through wire-rim spectacles, is shaking, through age, or fear, or both. The aged Vietnamese is questioned briefly. "Bring him along," an American says sharply. "Let's move." Another adviser says, "That old man could be the top dog VC in this village. You never know." The old man totters along with the troops. He is released in midafter- noon when one of the two informers claims him as an uncle. Interrogation At about 11 a.m., an American adviser and two special police turn up with three captives. "Found them hiding in a house," the American says. The informers inspect the captives and whisper, through an interpreter, that one Is a Vietcong village guerrilla, the second a Viet- cong "security section chief" and the third a non-Vietcong, perhaps a deserter from the South Vietnamese army. The two identified as Vietcong are bound, and one of them, a narrow-shouldered, bent young man with protruding teeth, is leaned against a_ tree trunk. Several police interroga- tors and PRUs gather around hini and fire questions. They want to know where Vietcong weapons and ammunition are hidden. The suspect doesn't know or won't say. Soon the questions are interspersed with yanks at his hair and sharp kicks to his head, face and groin. The prisoner sags against the tree, face bloodied. "Americans don't want to be here for any more of this," says one U.S. adviser, moving away. "It's a nasty goddamned business." He adds, "You know, it's a whole cycle of this stiff. Last week in another village near Don Nhon the VC marched five government sympa- thizers intp the marketplace and beat their heads in with hammers. So we return it on this guy. It goes on and on." By now the informers have gotten their bearings. They lead most of the troops along a trail to a hospital building behind a hedge of blue flowers. It is a straw-thatch structure con- taining eight wide plank beds separated by white plastic curtains. In one corner is a mud bunker, in another a crude case of glassware and medicine bottles, some with French and American labels. There are no patients or traces of them. The Americans decide it is a Vietcong hospi- tal for wounded enemy troops. "Burn it," an American adviser directs. Ignited with cigaret lighters, the hut burns readily. Vinh Hoa Village In single file, the troops wind along a trail toward the center of Vinh Hoa. Since there hasn't been any firing, the possibility of an am- bush is discounted. Some of the PFtUs and spe- cial police are carrying food and household ar- ticles taken from the outlying farmhouses. The "psywarriors" are strewing the trail with pro- "We have Information on how much this church pays to the VC in taxes. How much do "ItiMAINNIgaYW-cRfe7p/M (80 cents to $1.60)." "The church, how much does it pay?" "The church does not pay taxes. The church never pays taxes." "The hell it doesn't pay," the American says. "This may be a Catholic church, but it's Charlie's Catholic church." A Taciturn Lady The Americans follow a path past the church to a cluster of solidly built homes. Most are empty. In one, two candles burn before a postcard picture of Christ. In another, a pic- ture of Pope Paul sits on a small altar beside a mud bunker. One house is occupied by a woman with six children. She is interrogated. "Did you see people crossing the river this morning?" "No, I was in my bunker." "Where is your husband?" "He went to the market at Cal Mang." "Why?" "He always goes when the soldiers come here. . . ." "Do you know who are the VC in this vil- lage?" "No. We don't know VC. We are Catholic. Catholics don't know VC." "We know that a Liberation Committee was elected here. When?" "I just heard about it recently." "Who is the Vietcong village chief here?" "I don't know. . . ?" "How much tax do you pay to the VC?" "More than 1,000 piasters." (About $8.) "How often do Vietcong song and dance (propaganda) teams come and visit?" "Not often." "What do they say?" "They say the Americans will go home soon." "How often does your husband stand guard for the VC?" "Every five?or six days." "How often do the women here have to make piing stakes (poisoned stakes) for the VC?" "Once or twice a year." "That's pretty typical," says the American, heading back across the footbridge to the vil- lage square. Disappearing Enemy An American adviser has figured out the footprints on both sides of the river. There are no sampans around the village. Adult males except for old men, seem almost nonexistent. The village population is estimated at 2,000, but no more than 200 persons have been seen on this day. The American finds a youngster hiding in a farmhouse. He poses a few perfunctory ques- tions, then suddenly demands: "At what time this morning did all the people leave here by boat?" Perhaps startled by the suddenness of the query, the boy replies, "At four o'clock." The conClusion: Most of the village's Viet- cong guerrillas, -VCI cadre and Liberation Committee members have eluded the Phoenix troops. "They just had to have that big meet- ing last night," fumes an American adviser, recalling the last planning session for the oper- ation. "Everyone had to get in on this god- damned operation. The VC must have known Ieirdsoq eu0 'pelluteuSp tepotuatu xem eu0 ?uons2o.laa4u1 aoj 1.1931134 siauosTad uaAas ?aan; dliaktilklira: uotiziulezlaado i:itiola ;dos slIonisE -ocl et oSeAt uo axe saauostad am. pue 'e.ij, uagu punodtuua aisqlo xosq paaaitloo -Heti ueeq advell edoo.11 eq aam anoti tre IH ,,,?aAtre tuft; Itrest em %real( no 'attire euo srm dealt Approved For Release 2003/03/25: CIA-RDP71600364R000300160001-7 NEW ?icARRrdivrigsr Release 2003/03/25 :glecifpPial60fil3C64p000300160001-7 PAGE I The Vietnarri o icy Reversal of 1968 Special to The New York Times WASHINGTON, March 5? On the cold and cheerless early morning of Feb. 28, 1968, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Gen. Earle G. Wheeler, landed at Andrews Air Force Base after in *gent mission to Saigon. Paging only to change into a fresh uniform, he hurried through the rain to the White Hose ,to deliver a report and rne a request. e report was designed to encourage an anxious Presi- dent and his beleaguered ad- visers, but it served only to This is the first of two articles written by Hedrick Smith in collaboration with William Beecher, and incor- porating reports by Peter Grose, John W. Finney, E. W. Kenworthy, Roy Reed, Ben- jamin Welles, Edwin L. Dale Jr. and Max Frankel. shock them into extended de- bate. The request ? for more troops?was designed to bring military victory at last in the eight-year American military *effort' but it led instead to a if4414viesaftdecisions that stand in retrospect as one of the most remarkable turn- abouts in United States for- eign policy. The month of March, 1968, became a watershed for a na- tion and a Government in turmoil. The Johnson Admin- istration, by pulling back from the brink of deeper com- mitments and moving toward disengagement, set a cOurse that affects the daily deci- sions of the Nixon AdThinis- tration. Many of the ingredients of Continued on Page 14, Column 1 Approved For Release 2003/03/25 : CIA-RDP71600364R000300160001-7 ,4941,pri?It9gfor Releav~03Igfeall/p-RIDP71B00364R00030016001a4?E 7;7 WASHING CI)ei Facing Facts Nixon's Team Is Trying to Determine What's Really Happening in Vietnam By Joseph Kraft THE NIXON Administra- tion has not yet fully formu- lated its policy for Vietnam. But in one critical area, the new men have decisively parted company with the practices of the Johnson Ad- ministration. They are not kidding them- selves, or the country, with rosy progress reports. In- stead of merely spouting sta- tistics and homilies designed to justify past actions, they are making a systematic ef- fort to determine what is really happening in Vietnam. THIS WILLINGNESS to face facts, even unpleasant facts, finds a notable expres- sion in what President Nixon himself said about a cease- ? fire at his first White House news conference. In the past, a cease-fire in Vietnam was airily Included in the official line as a distinct possibility. How could it not be? The seat of all the trouble was supposed to be an invasion of South Vietnam by North Vietnam. A settlement re- quired only that the North leave its neighbor in the South alone. Once that hap- pened, a cease-fire was child's play. Mr. Nixon came off this nonsense with a vengeance. By reference to a guerrilla struggle, he implicity recog- nized that the insurgents had deep local roots all over Viet- nam. By reference to the pos- sibility that "one side may not even be able to control many of those who are re- sponsible for the violence," he discreetly surfaced some doubts as to whether the re- gime in Saigon was all that peace-minded. Then he went on to tell the truth about how mudh of an illusion it was to expect a cease-fire. He said: "I think it is not helpful in discussing Vietnam to use such terms as cease-fire, because cease-fire is a term of art that really has no relevance, in my opinion, to a guerrilla war." IN KEEPING with the new President's appetite for the facts, there has been a signif- icant change in the flow of Vietnam information to the White House. President John- son depended on his special assistant for national security affairs, Walt Rostow, a fer- vent partisan of the Vietnam involvement. Rostow in turn looked to a unit in the Lex- tirnal_Intalligears_alacy headed by Gegre,a,auver. Nobody doubts Carver's knowledge of Vietnam or his basic competence. But ac- cording to a wide variety of officials in both the Defense and State Departments, the Carver unit largely served up to Rostow what he wanted to hear. Thus before the Tet offen- sive of last year, its evalua- tions were apparently very optimistic about the progress being made in subduing the insurgency. These reports justified the continuing mili- tary effort on the ground that success was not too far away. Subsequent to Tet, the eti'ver Unit apparently filled ,esto, the air with predictions of a second and third and fourth wave of attacks by the other side. The effect of these re- ports was to put a discount on the Paris peace talks on the theory that the other side was only using the talks as a stalling device while winding up for a knockout blow on the ground. Rostow's replacement at the White House, Henry Kis- singer, has from the begin- ning sought to bring on to his staff a capacity for critical evaluation of the intelligence reports. The man he origi- nally sought?one of Carver's chief critics?was not availa- ble. In the end, Kissinger took on his staff a former CIA man, Dean Moore. But Moore was not a member of the Carver unit. He is known to his colleagues at the agency and at the Departments of Defense and State as a top- flight analyst without any bias. ALL THIS, to be sure, does not add up to anything like a change in policy. But the ground is plainly being laid for change. If conditions are found to warrant it. True toughmindedness, a disposi- tion to face facts and to he skeptical and analytical, Is at last being substituted for that ultimate expression of r omantic sentimentality which caused so many lead- ing figures in the Johnson Administration to equate fighting a war that could not be won with hardheaded real- ism. ce, 1969, Publishers-Ball Syndicate Approved For Release 2003/03/25: CIA-RDP71B00364R000300160001-7 NEW Y04112111141V4f9r Release 2003/03/25 TWEEM71B424666000300160001-7 PAGE 4 Divisions in Nort arc! Shifting of Units iously Withdrawn by oi Puzzles U.S. Aides WILLIAM BEECHER clal to The New York Times HINGTON, Jan. 20? American Analysts re- that four North ylanz..- rmy divisions that were awn well out of South late last year appear oving southward again. divisions had been pulled the area between Vinh nghoi, at least 50 miles the demilitarized zone. telligence officials stress eir present movements ard are slow and pri- y by foot rather than in or vehicles. e American officials say they cannot tell whether the ene;thy divisions will continue t move south, either through the',clemilitarized zone or iitr61.41 it through Laotian ter- ritory, or whether the troops wtli;emain poised across the borde4: in North Vietnam. Twp regiments of a fifth North, Vietnamese division, Which moved into Laos earlier, are reported back in South Vietnam, in the Ashau Valley ea lOuthwest of Danang. Government analysts, puzzled the movements, are uncer- whether they may e a long-expected offen- st as the Paris peace ove into a more sub- stage, or whether they erely serve as a threat derscore Hanoi's ability Toward DMZ 7/p MILES ISQ, CHIN Vinh VIETNAM 0 Airhekis / /////// CHINA Hanoi ? V. AMBODI A S. VIETNAM / / Soon II /CAMBODIA / / T The New York Times Jen. 21i19 4 Some enemy units are back in Ashau Valley (1), and others are heading southward from near Donghoi (2) and Vinh (4). tion and a 10th is under con- struction. By their troop movements =u,A, estimated to have reached about 10,000 in December. In addition, there are believed to be about 30,000 men "in the pipeline" in the southern pan- handle area of North Vietnam, on their way to fill out existing units throughout the South. Starting late last September, the enemy began withdrawing the 324B Division from the northernmost part of South Vietnam, moving it to Donghoi, about 50 miles north of the border. Other units were moved toward, and in some . cases across, the Laotian and Cam- bodian borders in a general dis- engagement with allied forces is 26 rEetitoRDPIT South. Ranking officials say this was anoi osition Bolstere Officials who have studied in- telligence reports say that since the partial halt in bombing of North Vietnam last March 31 and the full bombing halt on Nov. 1, the Hanoi regime has placed itself in a much stronger position to continue the war should the bombing be resumed. The reports indicate that most major bridges, roads, 'rail hubs and marshaling yards in North Vietnam have been Irebuilt and are in active use. North Vietnam is said to have 'restored about half its thermal ipower capacity, but restora- tion of the chemical fertilizer industeipiarbmenlif orolRe has lagged. Nine jet airfields have been put back into opera, one of the factors behinCthe Johnson Administration's de- cision to end the bombing of -ma???????Nessmr.?.... south to Vinh have been re- paired and are operating again. The rail link between Vinh and Donghoi is under repair. Large underground oil tanks have been installed at Than- hoa, Vinh and Donghoi and at the entrance to the Mugia Pass, which leads from North Viet- nam into the Ho Chi Minh Trail in Laos. An oil pipeline: is also being completed be-1 tween Vinh and Donghoi. Trucks, trains and ships are", carrying many types of mill-4 tary supplies to ports as far' r south as Donghoi. In addition, there are reports of "signifi- cant stockpiles" of weapon* I I 01144R000.11001434100167 northern edge of the demili- tarized zone. WASHINaMONviRinir Release 21)143jN/2I 2grielDRE41300364R00030016000115AGE 2.3 N. Vrol11 News bisPatehes SAIGON, Jan. 11?A report Saturday from U.S. pacifica- tion headquarters said nearly 13 million of South Vietnam's 17 million people now live in areas considered "relatively secure" from Vietcong har- .iissment, the highest number speaking of security, U.S. offi- cials say A, B & C aree.rela- lively secure. D,& E are rated contested and VC means Vitt- cong controlled. The Evaluation System has been criticized by some ob- servers who believe it gives an overly optimistic picture of rural security in South Viet- ,-, Robrt W. Korner, ever reported. rO The report said the South ran pacification until tw V i e t n a m e s e government months ago, and other Ameri- gained control over an addi- can officials have readily eon- I n tional 537,000 peasants in De- ceded that the systems is ot cember, increasing its overall an exact measurement, but be- control to 76.3 per cent of the lieve it is the best available. population. Since Nov. 1, South Viet- namese troops have mbves1 The number of people living . !i In. relatively secure areas is 9.1 nto more than 1000 hamlets! per cent higher than at the in the countryside with a total 1 end of January, 1968, and 16.5 !population of over 1 million. ,,We are moving into a vac- per cent higher than the low uum," one U.S. official said in of 59.8 per cent recorded afteri a recent comment on the lack the Communist Tet offensive i last January-February. of Vietcong stepped-up pacification pro resistance to the I Spokesmen said 2.1 million! gram. South Vietnamese-12.3, per ' cent?remain under Vietcong ? Control, while 1.9 million---AA 4 per cent?live in chntestedi areas. The report was based on the; coniputerized Ramjet" Evalua- I tion System under which South Vietnam's. 12,650 ham- 1 lets are raiteiplisix c E, D E and V AFT4T Approved For Release 2003/03/25 : CIA-RDP71600364R000300160001-7