SYSTEMS SCIENCE AND CYBERNETICS CONFERENCE

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP71B00185A000100020104-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: C
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 11, 2002
• Sequence Number: 104
• Publication Date: October 18, 1966
• Content Type: MFR

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18 October 1966
25X1A
SUBJECT: Systems Science and Cybernetics Conference
i. I attended selected sections of the 1966 Systems Science
a.nd Cybernetics Conference held at the International Inn, Washington,
LI. C. , on 17 and 18 October and obtained a copy of the Record of the
symposium which included copies of the papers which were given.
2. I registered for the conference and attended two presentations
of the "Military and Space Systems Engineering" section 17 October.
The presentations urged a commonsense application of AFSCM 375-5.
~~FSCM 375-5 is the Air Force prescription for documentation of trade-
offs, systems analyses, etc. , and can be extremely cumbersome.
I~fevertheless, some of the techniques, methodology, etc. , may be
useful to the DD/S&T/SAS.'
3. I was particularly interested in the session "Logic of Decision".
'T'his turned out to be, in part, a family affair chaired~by a Stanford
i;fniversi:ty professor and featuring four papers given by Stanford
Lfniversity personnel, and one paper by GE (the Chairman, Dr. Howard
of Stanford is a consultant to GE). The initial paper "Introduction to
Decision Theory" was tutorial in nature and was reasonably well
presented by a graduate student, Warner North. It was easily the
best paper presented in the session. The succeeding papers
"Modeling and the Encoding of Knowledge", "Decision-Making in
Model Selection", and "A Computational Structure for Decision
Analysis" were increasingly theoretical and abstract, and tended
to digress to making decisions about decisions made about decisions -
ad infinitum. Particular attention was given to the economic value of
additional information which might affect the decision process.
is dealing with this in a very practical way in some of
his work, but I found little in the papers which could contribute to the
work being done in this area by him. It was not clear from the
Stanford representatives that any reduction to practice had been
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accomplished in other than relatively trivial cases.
4. The logic or decision processes, whether applied to
systems analysis or any other areas, are well defined and provide
a valuable discipline in evaluating alternatives, etc. Existing
methodology appears to be adequate for any reasonable problem,
but for complex systems substantial effort and hard work are
required to produce really meaningful results.
25X1A
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~9~~~~~~1 "EMS SCONCE AND
~S CONFERENCE
;~ ,
Washington, D.C.
October " 1 -18, 1966
~l
",
l
SUNDAY-0CT0~R 16, 1966
MONDAY-OCTOBER 17, 1966
8:00 a:m. - 9:00 a.m. Regis;rption
9:00 a.m. - 12:OOi noon Militate and Space Systems
Engin?~ing
Parallel S'CSsions
2:00 p.m. - 5:00 p.m. A. Cif Systems Engineering
8. Cy~arnetics
9:00 a.m. - 12:00 noon A. Indtrial Systems Engineering
B. Logic'` of Decision
2:00 p.m. - 5:00 p.m. A. Lard Scale Systems
B. Nex~ Technologies in Educational
Systems _;
~. _,
~~~~r/E AX ~CTER_~~~:.~~4?
ttVorking Sessions of` Technical Comm~ttees.of G-SSG?. All
attendees` invited ;to attend`;
~.~
"X'.n a`~i~iir"ty t`t!" et~C4lriiat7e~3~ $nQ-~p~li~osop I@S t1~~ S~ySte11'i~ Science
~ e Ejcl i ir~~us"~ty b ~?tf~ a~+1" ~h!~ universities to
~ ~ ~ ~; ~ _ -~- }e in ~artin& t~ ?ntuic course
aft a11~` p
~~~`=~rz~ ianportance and significance.
o
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Approved6~elease 2b~Q671 BO~~A0o010002(L1~~4-6 gr/ ~ Z3~
WASHINGTON, D.C. ~ . -I! v lA
OCTOBER 17-18, 19
66 X c "- ~
MONDAY-OCTOBER 17, 1966
2. Evolution of an Industrial System-A Rolling Mill
9:00 a.m. - 12:00 -noon .
Corputer Application
G. E. Terwilliger, General Electric Company
MILITARY AND SPACE SYSTEMS ENGINEERING
D. J. Fapiano, General Electric Company
S
d
CHAIRMAN: John F. Jacobs
tu
y
3. Objective Setting in a Large Irdustrial Firm-Case
St
i
l
1.
The MITRE Corporation
Minuteman S stem Engineerin A Case Stud
Y g: Y
ee
n
K. Chen, Stanford Research Institute
T. E. Daney, Jones & Laughlin Steel Corp.
2.
7osep#i Dresner, TRW Systems
Development Control Through Systems Effectiveness
O. C. Gochenour, Jones & Laughlin Steel Corp.
E. Y. Kung, Jones & Laughlin Steel Corp.
3.
Trade-Offs
Georl;e Luchak, Radio Corporation of America
A Methodology for System Engineering: AFSCI~l 37.5-5
4. Buy Area Rapid Transit Project
Dean Aboudara, San Francisco Bay Area Rapid Transit
District
Norman L. Gelbwaks, Aerospace Corporation
9
- 12
00 noon
00
4. Effectiveness Analysis of Airborne Navigation and Weapon
Delivery Systems
LOGIC OF
:
a.m
DECISION
.
:
Igor Bazovsky, Litton. Industries
12:15 - 1:45
.
CIInIRIvInN:
E
Ronald A.
conomic Sys
Ho
te
ward, Institute in Engineering-
ms, Stanford University
Luncheon
1. Introduct
ion to Decisi
on
Theory
SPanxeR: ]VIr. J. Herbert Hollomon, Assistant Secretary of
Commerce for Science & Technology
t
D. Warne
2. Modeling
George E
r North, Sta
and the Enc
. Murray, Jr.
nf
od
, I
ord University
ing of Knowledge
nstitute in Engineering-Economic
2:00 p.m. - 5:00 p.m.
?
Systems,
Stanford Un
ive
rsity
CIVIL SYSTEMS ENGINEERING-CRITICAL ISSUES
A
'
3. Decision-
Making in M
o
del Selection
.
AND ~~URRENT DEVELOPMENTS
~
Richard.
Economic
D. Smallwoo
Systems, St
d,
an
Institute in Engineering-
ford University
CxnlRmteN: Carl. F. Stover
A Compu
4
tational Stru
ct
ure for Decision Analysis
National Institute of Public Affairs
.
James E.
Matheson, S
ta
nford Research Institute
DlscussloN:
Lockheed Missiles and Space Company
Nash
John P
5. Decision
Analysis for
Pr
oduct Development
,
.
William L. Rogers, Von Korman Center, Aerojet-General
Corporation
Jack J. Jones, Transportation, North American Aviation
W, How
Electric C
ard Cook,
ompany
12:
At
15
omic Products Div., General
- 1:45
Thomas C. Rowan, System Development Corporation
2:00 p.m. - 5:00 p.m.
B. CYBERhIETICS
CIIAR2MAN: Murray L. Babcock,
University of Illinois
ASSISTED BY: J. C. Kotelly,
NASA Electronics Research Center
1. Unlearning the Obsolescent
3.
Warren M. Brody, M.D., NASA Electronics Research
Cenf er
A Stochastic Model for Real and Simulated Neuraphysi-
ologieal Behavior
Wil( Gersch, Center
University
Applications of Evolutionary Programming
Lawrence J. Fogel, Decision Sciences, Inc.
A. J. Owens, Decision Sciences, Inc.
M. ] . Walsh, Decision Sciences, Inc.
~ LUNCHEON
2:00 p.m. - 5:00 p.m.
A. LARGE SCALE SYS'T'EMS: CONCEPTUAL FRAME-
WORK FOR THEIR STUDY AND DESIGN
CIInIRIvIaN: Mihajlo D. Mesarovic
Systems Research Center
Case Institute of Technology
DISCUSSION'
George Dantzig, University of California
Otto IClima, General Electric Company
L. S. Slaughter, Union Carbide
T. G. Windeknecht, Case Institute of Technology
2:00 p.m. - 5:00 p.m.
B. NEVV TECHNOLOGIES IN EDUCATIONAL SYSTEMS
CxnlRnlnN: Richard D. Smallwood
Institute in Engineering-Economic Systems
Stanford University
I. Research and Development of Educational Systems
Louis Bright, U. S. Office of Education
2. Computer-based Instruction in Initial Reading: The
A. INDUSTRIAL SYSTEMS ENGINEERING Stanford Project
CHAIRMAN: L. F. Lewis, Richard C. Atkinson, Stanford University
General Electric Company 3. Computer-based Educational Systems
1. Project Sketchpa~?~~~r~t~gg~~~rt~~~~~14 :CIA-R~P~~~~~~(~~~~~~,e~rNtru tion -Inc.
tionr;hips
John E. Ward, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Arthur Bryson, Harvard University
 Approved For Release 2002/06~#~ISigl?1QiRUP00185A000100020104-61
Attendees may register in advance of the Conference using
the attached form. Conference registration will be held in the
main lobby of the International Inn at the following times:
Sunday, October 16 from 8:00 p.m, to 11:00 p.m.
? Monday, October 17 from 8:00 a.m. to 9:00 a.m.
Those who have preregistered will be able to pick up their
badge and Conference Record at the Registration Desk.
Registration fees (which include one copy of the Conference
Record) are as follows:
)3efore September 25, 1966 - $12.50
After September 25, 1966 - $15.00
A mixer will be held for early arrivals in conjunction with
registration on Sunday evening.
All activities in connection with the Conference and Working
Group meetings are being held at the International Inn. A
block of accommodations is being held for the convenience
of the attendees; if you wish to stay at the Inn during the
Conference, it is necessary to make reservations by September
25.
The Inn is conveniently located in the heart of the Capital
and free parking is available. If you wish to relax by the indoor
pool, bring a bathing suit.
For reservations write:
International Inn
Thomas Circle/14th and M Streets, N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20005
Telephone: Area Code 202-783-4600
Rates: $16.00 per night, single
$20.00 per night, twin
Note: Should you desire to bring your family to Washington
prior to the Conference, the Inn will provide special weekend
accommodations at the single room rate. (Friday night through
Sunday) Write or call the Inn for further information.
CHAniMAN:
Roger R. Dougan, Westinghouse Electric Corporation
VICE CHAIRMAN:
Irving Lefkowitz, Case Institute of Technology
PROGRAM CHAIRMAN:
Milton D. Rubin, The MITRE Corporation
PUBLICrTY CHAIRMAN:
James E. Matheson, Stanford Research Institute
PUBLICATIONS CHAIRMAN:
Edward J. Parker, University of Pennsylvania
LOCAL ARRANGEMENTS CHAIRMAN:
William H. von Alven, ARINC Research Corporation
IEEE SYSTEM5 SCIENCE AND CYBERNETICS GROUP
ADMINISTRATIVE COMMITTEE OFFICERS
CHAIRMAN:
Harold Chestnut, General Electric Company
1ST VICE CHAIRMAN:
R? W House, Battelle Memorial Institute
2ND VICE CHAIRMAN:
A. R. Teasdale, Jr., Martin Company
SECRETARY-~~
Approved I~l~i~~8ke, ,~y,Q~1 t~ onC~i4-RDP71 B00185A000100020104-6
Wiled Aircraft Corp.
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