ADDRESS BY ROBERT S. MCNAMARA

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP70B00338R000300100105-8
Release Decision: 
RIFPUB
Original Classification: 
K
Document Page Count: 
4
Document Creation Date: 
December 19, 2016
Document Release Date: 
January 12, 2006
Sequence Number: 
105
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
September 18, 1967
Content Type: 
OPEN
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP70B00338R000300100105-8.pdf726.34 KB
Body: 
'Approved For Release 2006/01/30 :CIA-RDP70B00338R000300100105-8 y ~- A y~ieptember 18, 198T CONGRESSIONAL RECORD - LIOXJSE V Last but not least we ask for and urgie the f'tllleat enfdreement of the clvit rights laws, federal, state or local, so that all Americans, including servicemen and veterans, shall be able tro enjoy without threat of reprisal their personal freedom of movement, their politi- cal rights, and the opportualty to pursue life, liberty and happiness', as vouchsafed in our Iloclaration of Tndependenco. Equal opportunities In Government contracts Equality of Opportunity as It affects those who hold contracts with the C+overnment Sa rtlrrently regulated by Executive Order 7.71248, !n which the ultimate sanction, if the ter. us to postpone a decision on whether or not a an ABM system against the Soviet nuclear The plain Pact of the matter is that we light ABM deployment might be advanta- threat. are now lacing a situation analogous to the genus as a countermeasure to Communist To begin with, this is not in any sense a one we laced in 1981: we are uncertain of C gut the time will shortly be right for us to new Lssue. We have had .bath the technical the Soviets' intentions. possibility and the strategic desirability of At that time we were concerned about initiate production it we desire such a an American ABM deployment under con- their Potential offensive capabilities; now we system. stant review since the late 1950s. are concerned about their potential defen- China at the moment is caught up in in- Whfle we have substantially improved our save capabilities. ternal strife, but it a~eems likely that her technology in the field, it is important to But the dynamics oP the concern are the basic motivation in developing a strategic understand that none of the systems at the s~e? nuclear capability is an attempt to provide present or foreseeable state of the art would YNe must continue to be cautious and con- a basis for threatening her neighbors, and to provide an impenetrable shield over the servative in our estimates-leaving no roam clothe herself with the dubious prestige that United States. Were such a shield possible, in our calculations for unnecessary risk. And the world pays to nuclear weaponry. we would certainly want it--and we would at the same time, we must measure our own We deplore her development of these weap- certainly build it, reeiponse in such a manner that it does not ens, just as we deplore it in other countries. Approved For Release 2006/01/30 :CIA-RDP70B00338R000300100105-8 _ ~, H 12066 Approved For Release 2006/01/3p ? CIA-RpP7OBOp 3g~p0030010 .10 -8 '- "- CONGRESSIONAL RECORD - H~USE ~ep~ember I8, 19~'6~' to the. development of all new nuclear weap- onry. If a weapon system works-and works well-there is strong pressure 'from many directions to procure and deploy the weapon out of all proportion to the prudent level required. The danger. in deploying this relatively light and reliable Chinese-oriented ABM system is going to be that pressures will develop to expand it into a heavy Soviet- oriented ABM system. We must resist that temptation flrmly- not because we can for a moment afford to relax our vigilance against a possible Soviet first-strike-but precisely because our great- est deterrent against such a strike is not a massive, costly, but highly penetrable ABM shield, but rather a fully credible offensive assured destruction capability. The so-called heavy ABM shield-at the present state oP technology-would in effect be no adequate shield at all against a Soviet attack, but rather a strong inducement for the Soviets to vastly increase their own offen- sive forces. That, as I have, pointed out, would make it necessary for us to respond in turn-and so the arms race would rush hopelessly on to no sensible purpose on either side. Let me emphasize-and I cannot do so too strongly-that our decision to go ahead with a Zimited ABM deployment in na way indicates that we feel an agreement with the Soviet Union on the limitation of strategic nuclear offensive and defensive forces is any the less urgent or desirable. The road leading from the stone a,xe to the ICBM-though it may have been more than a million years in the building-seems to have run in a single directipn. Ii one is inclined to be cynical, one might conclude that man's history seems to 'be characterized not so much by consistent periods of peace, occasionally punctuated by warfare; but rather by persistent outbreaks oP warfare, wearily pu+, aside from time to time by periods of exhaustion and recovery- that parade under the name of peace. I do not view man's history with that de- gree of cynicism, but I do believe that man's wisdom Sn avoiding war is often surpassed by his folly in promoting it. However coolish unlimited war may have been in the past, it is now no longer merely foolish, but suicidal as well. It is said that nothing can prevent a man from suicide, if he is sufficiently determined to commit it. The question is what is our determination in an era when unlimited war will mean the death of hundreds of millions-and the pos- sible genetic impairment of a million genera- tions to follow? Man is clearly a compound of lolly and wisdom-and history is clearly ,a consequence of the admixture oP those two contradictory traits. History has planed our particular lives in an era when the consequences of human folly are waxing more and more catastrophic in the matters of war and peace. In the end, the root of man's security does not lie in his weaponry. In the end, the root of man's security lies in his mind. What the world requires in its 22nd Year o1' the Atomic Age is not a new race towards armament. -What the world requires in its 22nd Year of the Atomic Age is a new race towards reason- ableness. We had better all run that race. Not merely we the administrators. But we 'the people. ~" Thank you, and good afternoon. We oppose nuclear proliferation because we believe that in the end it only increases the risk of a common and cataclysmic holocaust. President Johnson has made it clear that the United States will oppose any efforts of China to employ nuclear blackmail against her neighbors. We possess now, and will continue to pos- sess for as far ahead as we can foresee, an overwhelming first-strike capability with re- spect to China. And despite the shrill and raucous propaganda directed at-her own peo- ple that "the atomic bomb is a paper tiger," there is ample evidence that China well ag- preciatea the destructive power oP nuclear weapons. China has been cautious to avoid any ac- tion that might end in a nuclear clash with the United States-however wild her words- and understandably so, We have the power not only to destroy completely her entire nu- clear. offensive forces, but to devastate her society as well. Ia there any possibility, then, that by the mid-1970s China might become so incautious as to attempt a nuclear attack on the United States or our allies? It would be insane and suicidal for her to do so, but one can conceive conditions under which China might miscalculate. We wish i;o reduce such possibilities to a misrLmum. And since, as I-have noted, our strategic planning must always be conservative, anal take into consideration even the possible ir- rational behavior of potential adversaries, there are marginal grounds for concluding that a light deployment of U.S. ABMs against this possibility is prudent. The. system would be relatively inexpen- sive-preliminary estimates glace the cost at about $5 billion-and would have a much higher degree of reliability against a Chinese attack, than the much more massive anal complicated system that some have recom- mended against a possible Soviet attack. Moreover, such an ABM deployment de- signed. against a possible Chinese attack would have a number oP other advantages. It would provide an additional indication to Asians that we intend to deter China from nuclear blackmail, and thus would contribute toward our goal of discouraging nuclear weapon proliferation among the present non- nuclear countries. Further, the Chinese-oriented ABM deploy- ment would enable us to adds a concur- rent benefit-a further defense of our Min- uteman sites against Soviet attack, which means that at modest cost we would in feet be adding even greater effectiveness to our offensive missile farce and avoiding a much more costly expansion of that farce. Finally, such a reasonably reliable ABM system would add protection of our popula- tion against the improbable but possible a