ADDRESS BY ALLEN W. DULLES DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE TO THE EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE NEW ORLEANS, LA. 8 APRIL 1959 - 2:30 P.M., CST 'THE CHALLENGE OF SOVIET POWER'

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CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5
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April 8, 1959
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P E eNES Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP10?,01:11048R000200S5 Is ADDRESS BY ALLEN W. DULLES DIRECTOR or CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE TO THE mum ELECTRIC INSTITUTE New Orleans, La. 8 April 1959 - 2:30 p.m., CRT a opportunity to speak to your nth Annual Convention onthe subject of the "Challenge of Soviet Power". This topicparticularly appropriate for the Edison Electri0 Institute. It was Lenin who defined Communism "as the Soviet system plus electrification. The very first Soviet economic plan in the early 1920a had as one of its principal Objectives the development of a modern electric power system. In effect, the Soviets propose to electrify Marxism. What may in fact do is either to shock their backward political inatit*ion into key with their more modernized technical and industrial Skills or electrocute the whole archaic Marxist political system. In any event, the Soviet Union has certainly sought to fo11oW up Len emphasis on electric power and has become a leader in many electronic fields. It has developed intensively the role of radie in its massive effort to promote its subversive policy on a world-wide basis. It uses electricity to jam the airways and to build an electronic iron curtain around the minds of their own people. Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 businessof Intelligence, the various power are changing the whole system of inf matt= nany vital fields. Electricity operates the radar which net sneak attack. It helps to make possible the read f yarning of impending danger and as the mass of Ours in day by day, over electric channels, it is becomes a valued partner in helping us in its co o on. * * * The Challenge of Soviet power presents military; second, economic; and third This challenge is a global one. As long an the principles of internati regimes in Moscow arid Peiping, we must expe will, be the liquidation of our form of free society and izedl communized 'world order. They change their tertn4ques as circtstancee dict never given us the slightest reason to hope that they a their over-afl objective. We sometimes like to delude ftyxbd with another nationalistic paver struggle of whic SRI ate the pUrpose rgence of rid has seen so many. The fact is that the aims of the Communist international with its headquarters in Moscow are not nationalistic; their objectives - 2 Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 and elont1y preach, that vvelAy rule the each move tber ealic is directed to this and. Communism, leetricity, seeks to be an all-pervasive and revolutionary force. To promote theirobjectives they have determined cost what and - to develop a military establishment and a strong national econ Which will provide a secure home base from vhimh to deploy their destructive foreign, activities. To achieve this Objective, they are devoting abozt twice as much of their gross national product to military ends as we do. The USSR military effort as a proportion of GNP is greater than that or any nation in the world. Their continuous diversion of economic resources to military sport is without any parallel in peacetime history. We estimate that the total value of their current annual military effort is roughly equivalent to our own. They amccaplish this with a GNP /eh is nov less than half of our own. Here are some of the major elements vhiCh go into their military estsbliehir. The &mist Union maintains an army of 2i million Men and the ition of universal military training is being continued. The Soviet Ar today has been fully re-equipped with a post World War II arsenal of guns, tanks and artillery. We heve reason to believe the army has already been trained in the use of tactical nuclear weapons. - 3 - Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 t} Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 They have the mast modern types of aircraft for defense: night and day fighters, a very large mediam bomber force and some long-range hoWbers. They have built lees of these long-range bakers than we had expected several years ago, and have diverted a major effort to the perfection of ballistic nineties. Their sUbmarine strength today is many times that with which Germany entered World War U. Mayhem* over 200 long-range modernized submerir*es and a like nuMber of less modern craft. They had made no boasts abt nuclear powered submarines, and on all the evidence, ve concluding that ve are ahead of them in this field. however, that they have the c bility to produce such will probably unveil some in the near future. a word on the ballistic missile situation. Wer II ended, the Soviet acquired much of the Oermen missile field, V-1 and V-2, and, with them many Ones= on that base, over the past ten years, they have been eloping their missile capability, starting with short. d te-range missiles. These they have tested by the in production of certain models for some time. saw that in their particular geographical position* the long-range balitetic missile would become their beet instrument lathe power struggle with their great rival, the United States. As the elms and veight of powerful nuclear weapons decreased, -k When Wc Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 0 Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 with the improvement of the art, they became more and more persuaded of this. Renee, they have concentrated on these veapons, have tested =me end assert that they now have ICBMs in serial production. They hope in this Ifay eventually to be able to hold the U.S. the threat of nuclear attack by ICs vile' they consolidate their position in the fragile parts of the non-Cammintatte woad, Before leaving the military phase of the Soviet threat, I liant to pel any possible misinterpretations. First I do not believe that the Soviet now have no1itary superiority over us; and second, I do not believe that they desire deliberately to provoke hostilitiee %du, the U.S. or the 'WeErtern vorld at this time. They are well avert f our deterrent force. They probebiy believe that the rinks to them even if they resorted to surprise attack woul4 be unacceptable. Taking into account our over-all military strength and. our atrntetc positiou vis-a-vis the Soviet Union, I consider that our mtlit$17 posture is stronger and, our ability to inflict damage is today greater, then that of the Soviet Union. Furtb.ennore, we have alliee. The strength, the dependabilitio and the dedication of our allies put them in a very different category than the unvilling and. =dependable allies of Moacov, even in.cludieg the Chinese Comunists. But as the Soviet 1nilit?.rT ca,pabilities and their nuclear they viii feel that their f'oreign policy can be somevhat more assertive. - 5 - Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 If People lire had the f tie c cow diplomacy. Since then there etr'atta and Berlin cx't.s, aml todey the penetration of Iraq. Ezzee, we must *BOUM to probe and to test ma, and they may eve es in aggression by proxy. They put ma to e ire two paints to keep in mind es ve view the military future with h lower industrial base than vs, therm* producing a .fft which is roughly equivalent to our own; and secondly, their people to accept wry :ea sacrifices and to peradt the massive militarytmildup to continue. ide to alter their policy so as to give their own break in the consumer field vith anything like the share in their groes notional proluct vhith we, as a people enjoy, the wcapects of reel ;ogee in our time vould be far greater. vill turn now to some of the highlights of the ecommio aspect of the Soviet challenge. The new eonfidence of the Soviet Communist perty, olely on his oonvicti He is convinced that the final victory of by non-militarymmans. Here the Soviet of d?.? not deterre Approved For Release 2000/05/04 : C 9P70-00058R000200030010-5 Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 eediuga o the recent 21st Party Congress laid out what economic order of battle. it in these words, to summarize the ten hours of hio opening an1 losing remarks: c might of the Soviet icn is base4 on the priority growth of heavy industry; this insure the Soviet victory in peaceful economic cpetition with the capitalist countries; development of the Sovtet economic might will give Communism the decisive edge in the international balance of power. In the elior't space of 30 years, the Soviet Union has gr position into being the second largest industrialized econo in the or44 While their headlong pace of industrialization has n3.ove down moderate1r in the past few years, it still continues to be more rapid than our own. During the past seven years, through 1958 Soviet industry has grown at the annual rate of 94 per cent. This is not the officially announced rate which is somewhat larger. It is our reconstruction and deflation of Soviet data. Our own industrial growth has been at the annual rate of 3.6 per cent for the seven years through 1957. If one included 1958, the comparison with the rate of Soviet growth would be even less favorable. - 7 - Approved For Release 2000/05/04 :,CIA-RQPi70-00058R000200030010-5 Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 I do not conclude from this analysis that the secret of Soviet success lies in greater efficiency. On the contrary. In comparison with the leading free enterprise economies of the West, the Communist state-controlled systea is relatively inefficient. The secret of Soviet progress is simple. It lies in the fact that the Kremlin leaders direct a far higher proportion of total resources to national policy purposes than does the United States. I define national policy purposes to include, among other things, defense and investment in heavy industry. With their lover living standards and much lover production of coneumer goods, they are in effect, playing back into investment a large section of their production, thirty per cent, -Wile ve in the United States are content with 17 - 20 per cent. Soviet investment in industry as planned for 1959 is about the name as U.S. investment in industry during 1957 !which so far vas our best year. Although the Soviets in recent years have been continually upping the production of consumer goods their consuming public fares badly in comparison with ours. Last year, for example, Soviet citizens had available for purchase barely one-third the total goods and services available to Americans. Furthermore, most of the U.S. output of durable consumer goods is for replacement, while that of the USSR is for first-time users. In nunnery, the Soviet economy is geared largely to - 8 - Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 econcetic growth taut for rni].itaxy purposes; mire is increasing consumer satisfactions and but1dth a, bigber standard of living. Here are sane examples: while the Soviets last 7ear were producing only one automobile for every fifty ve produced, they mere turning out tour machine tools to our one. This contrast in emphasis carries through in many ether fle1d. Our capital expenditure for transportation and ccmm1cationa is more than double the comparable Soviet expenditure. /et this is largely accounted for by our massive highway building program which has been running 15 to 20 times the USSR spending, vhereas their annual investnent in railroad rolling stock and fixed aseets sUbstantially exceeds ours. At the moment, they do not feel much incentive in the road building They have no interest in, having their people travel around on a inasBivele. Also this would put pressure on the Kremlin to give the tmoi,lemore automobiles. 5.ai investment which includes stores, ahoppdng centers vies and office buildings, has been absorbing over 6 170140n ar in the US, and only two billion in the 'USSR1 ng investment is ramphly twice that of the Soviet even ihoug living space per capita in the U.S. is already four times that of Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 's words, economically . To aurp? ed States means to exceed the hlgjieat indexes of capital Khrushohev's i.ttous seven year plan establishes the formidable task of increasing industrial production about 80 per cent by 19651. Steel production, according to the plan, is to be pushed close to 100 million net tons. Cement output is set at a level somewhat higher than industry forecasts place United States production in 1965. The energy base is to be revolutionized. Crude cdl and natural gas will constitute more than one half of the total energy supply?, and relatively high cost coal will be far less Important than now. By 1965, the USSR plans to produce about 001billion knows t houre of electricity. As a study comparing Ti. S. and USSR electric power production prepared by a leading industrial research group pointed out, this means that the absolute gap between the U. S. and USSR in the quantities of electricity generated will increase scoeWhat in our 'favor over the next seven years. This interesting study received a considerable b3ieity4 We agree with its conclusion. However, electric r is not true across the board 10 - desarved Obout Approved For Release 2000/05/04 : CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 For example, compare primary energy production trends in the countries. Soviet production of coal, petroleum, natural gas and ctrLc power, expressed in standard fuel units, tutioulated to 45 per cent of the U.S. production in 1958. By 1965 it vill be close to 60 per cent. The absolute gap in primary energy has been closing since 1950. At the present pace, it will continue to narrow over; the next seven years. Similarly, the absc1ite gap in steel production has been hrLnk1rg over the past five years. The maximum gap in steel capaci Y 4171Darent17 ws ched in 1958 Lze ocmforting illusion spread by the "disci') gapidiould not serve as a false tranquilizer. At the same time it is important not to exaggerate Soviet cts in the economic race. In the propaganda surrounding the launcbi.ng of the Seven Year Plan Ihrushohev made a number of statem.nts about Soviet economic poser Which were nothing more than wishful th king. Specifically he stated that, "after the completion of the Seven Year Plan we vill probably need about five more years to atch up 'vtth an tstrip the United States in industrial output. he atded b7 that time (1970), or perhaps even sooner, the Soviet to first place in the worJA both in absolute value of production in per capita production." Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP7c100058RIY00200030010-5 Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 First of all, to reach such improbable conclusions, the Kremlin leadere overstate the present comparative position. They claim USSR industrial output to be 50 per cent of that of the US. Our own analyses of Soviet industrial output last year concluded that it was not more than 4o per cent of our own. Secondly, Kbrushchev forecasts that our fixture industrial growth viii be only two per cent a year. if this is true the United States will be virtually committing economic suicide. This prediction I regard as umrealistic. A saner projection would place 1965 Soviet jnduatrl.al production at about 55 per cent of our own. By 1970, assuming the same relative rates of growth, USSR industrial output as a whole, would be about 60 per cent of that in the United States. Further, when Khrushchev promises his people the world's highest standard of living by 19T0, this is patently nonsense. It is as though the Shrimp bad learned to whistle, to use one of his colorful comments. These Soviet exaggerations are a standard tool of Communist propaganda. Such Tawaganda, however, should not blind us to the sobering implications of their expected economic progress. First of all, rapid economln growth will provide the Kremlin leaderme with additional resources with which to intensify the arms race. If recent trends and present Soviet policies continue, Soviet military spending could increase by over 50 per cent in the next seven years without increasing the relative bnrden on their economy. - 12 - Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 Seamil34-, swot additional imptavenent can be nude in the standards of vim of the Russian Imaplei 4riferi Afitb contUrced emxinutts an heavy industry and. *moments. it is death of Stella in 3153 that serious attautioi h&ibeeu given to inpraving living standard* Mat moderate slov-dasta in the heedlong grovth of heavy industzy vhich then ensued has been cesmed, in large part* by the diversion of more reeources to housing, im svicultexet at to oonsamer Living Standeatteit based on present Soviet pima, ere expected to jflA aberat one-third over the next NNW years. This level med, will still be tar belts/ that vhid our own attizene arenow but it .21.3. lnok good to people lobo for long have been Oompel3ad to accept very 34v standard". Finally, the Soviet Semen Tear Pin,mien if not provide the vherevithel to pug& the eroaneton of vith unaxeritted and underdeveloped nations of the Fa B i.965 et output of some basic rev Materiale stei smee induetrial products approaching, end in a fey cases exceeding that of the Thrtted Mot pmminently, these products will be the Isind that ate far iniustrialization in the lass developed count/tee. Tee outcome of this contest -- the Comurist challenge in underderve is cruclea to the survival of the ?roe World. - 13 - Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 This is an u reeedeute eiioch of change. Within little more than ten years, over three quarters of a billion people, in twenty- ie nations, have become independent of colonial rule. In all of these newly emergent countries, there is intense nationalism coupled with the daterminatima to &thieve a better way of life which they believe industrialisation vill bring them. The leaders of world Ccesnunism are a3art to the opportunity vhich this great transformation provides them. They ze the future Of Communism cant* insured only be expansion, and that the best hope of such expansion lies in Asia and Africa. Mhile they are attempting'to focus all. our concern on Berlin, they are moving into Iraq with erns economic aid, and sUbvirsion, and giving added attention to Africa. The Communist bloc trade and aid programs in undeveloped countries moved into high gear during 1956. The equivalent of over one billion dollars in new credits is extended to underdeveloped countries by the bloc in this year. In the four year period ending 1958 the total Of grants and credits totalled 2., billions, of which 1.6 came from the USSR and the balance from the satellites and China. Three-fifths of the total delivered to date has been in the form of arms to the UP -- Egypt and Bola -- lessen, 'rag, Afghanistan and Indonesia. These Sane Cuntries, pins India, Argentina, Ceylon, Burma and Cambodia, hove received the bulk of the economic aid. : Approved For Release ?000105/04 : CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 A 1 Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 Over 4,000 bloc tethzicians have been sent to assist the deveioiinent of nations in the Free World. About 70 per cent of thee technicians are engaged in economic aetivities. Others are reorganizing local military esteblishments and teaching bloc military doctrine to indigenous personnel. The bloc also has a veil developed program for training students froi underdeveloped countries. About 3,230 students technicians, and military specialists have now received such training behind the Iron Curtain. While these figures ae still well below the total of our own aid, loan and training programs this massive economic and military aid program is concentrated in a few critical countries and of course theme figures do not include Soviet aid and trade with the East European satellites and Communist China. India which has received over 325 mi')lton of bloc gints an credits, is a primary recipient. The Soviet economic showplace here is the Masi steel mill being built by the Russians. The 17.A.R. over the past four years received over 900 million dollars in aid and credits. Ibis investment today doee not seem quite as profitable to the Soviet as it did last year. /rag prawiles a prime example of the opportunistic nature or the bloc's aid program. Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 the coup dlatat on nt with Communist nattona ba bei the, the USSR has provtded over development credits. The Iraq Development two Western advisors. Western technicians are end contracts with many Western firms canoelled Moscow is pressuring the Iraq goverment to accept epeince on st support and the number of fellow' trave13.ers is graving. The Soytet policy of *concede penetration fits Ulm a glove tntotheir world-vide casrpaign of subversion' whicdt is the third elsment of the triple Soviet choilumge: military? economic and subversive. International Cuni has not thanged its aerating procedure since the dogrel of the Comintern and the Cominfbrrk. The Commedet f the =Rs' of thich Ihnishcbev is the leader" is the spearhead movement. It hese a world-wide rsission, formulated by tetYk4 pt t81n and. now promoted by ithrushebev but with more subtle tecta than those of Stalin. This mission continues to be the Ubrsio f the entire free world starting of course with Vim* coitries eh art most vulnerable. of attack is based" first of ell" on the Communils r)artieB of Soviet MIMI and. Cargattnifft China. Tralse in turn also being and ' l6 Approved For Release 2000/05/Q4 :,,C,IINAPP70-00058R000200030010-5 Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 direct the hard core Cesereunist oreenizations -vitt& exist In practically every try of the vorld. Every Commemist peaty meintainsttssaciet connections with bbeeovs or in case of certain of the Communist parties in the Far last with Peiping. se parties ago have an entirely overt association tnternat1?&. Outtst veiet. At the 21st /Olathe of the Sovi. t of tame So otamunt repreeenta Comemmist de triumph o of the US Communi Party. The single leaders was their confidence in the even the Communist movement. From time to time Moscow in 1933, not to interfere in the internal a strength of this ve resumed relations vith the Soviet. They es. &re eager to ludoLtke egzwesments of "friendship end non-aggression,* of the vor3A. Meese are not vorth the paper they are te on. During World liar 1:1, }bocce abolished the internetional Comin rn to opiate the United States, its then rt 1 1.7* Ite functions haves hoverer, been carried on continuously %wader other fbasee. In addition to its Ilerld.vide penetration through Communist party reanimation, the Communierts in MOSCONI and ledping have set up a whole ries of front organizations to penetrate all segments of life in the zee countries of the world. These include the World Federation of - Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 n. 81 51 first t out the of youth and students stage is, This summer they are to they have dared meet outside of International Democratic Federation the ra Unions, the International Association 1nwt5t journalists and medical organivations. professional and sceial lines, and designed to vale, the Communists have created the World PeaCe ains so-celled peace committees in 47 countries, tradixig on the magic word of *peace." ive apparatus, the Soviet has the largest for espionage and secret political action asseMbled. In Moscow, Prague and pciping centers, they aro training agents recruited trma ntries to go out as missionaries at Communise 3.d. Much of the Middle Fast and Black Africa, are high on their this hemisphere as recent in Mexico dhow us. Their basie systemp of fres and democratic organizetions on purpose is to destroy government and disrupt the cc Approved For Release 2000/05/04 c R p P 7 0 - 0 0 0 5 8 R 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 - 5 Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 which **se are based. Behind their Iron Curtain they ruthlessly suopress ell attempts achieve more freedcm witness Humeri and mow Tibet. Ihe task of destruction is alleys easier than that of construct/ The Comunist writ!, in demling with the forcer colonial arees and. the newly emerging I:WM.023S of the world has appealing slogans to export and vulnerable ecommic conditions to exploit. The fragile perlianentary sratems of new end emerging countries are fertile ground for these agitators. Also =der the Nbading of subversion we coast fact that the Comunist leaders have sought to advance their causei by local wareby prosy roma* Vietnam "11401L ?sae tvi In conclusion I wish to emphasize again the pressing need fbr a r understanding of the real purpose of the Mno-Soviet program. s 230 evidence that the present leaders of the Coammist world slightest idea of abandoning their goal, or of changing the cs of achieving them. o feel we can buz, peace by omnprcattse with Ebrushchert etLZech CO21023861.021 we give tdm merely strengthens andedge and the ability of the Soviet regime to of the Russian 1* whom, fri?ndelop we Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 Our defense lies ziot in compromise but in understanding and trmzss, in a strong and ready deterrent ailitary power, in the our stecmomic assets with those of the other free countries of the world to meet their methods of economic penetration, end finally in the u king of their subversive techniques. The -all power of the free world is still vastly superor to that und.er the control of the Isadore of international Cuntsrn. If they mseeed we fail, it will oaybe because of our complacency have devoted a far greater share of their power, 0111 avd resources to our destruction than we have been willing to dedicate our own preservation. Thayer. not supermen. Recently they have made a series of blunders vhich have done What words could not do to help us unmask their true intentions. These very days Communist actions in /re and Tibet have particularly aroused Moslems and Buddhists against international Communism, The institution of the so-called Communes" system on the China Mainland has shocked the free world and even the Soviet leaders apologetically refuse to endorse it. Despite the problems surrounding the Berlin issue, Western Burope ic etronger than it over has been since World War II. kWh of Tree Asia and the Middle Bast is becoming alerted to the true etniflcse Communism. Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-Rog'96-00058R0002000'30010-5 Approved For Release 2000/05/04: CIA-RDP70-00058R000200030010-5 The outcome of the struggle against international Communism epends in great measure on the steadfastness of the United States nd its willingness to accept sacrifices in meeting its responsibility ?()help maintain freelmn in the world, Approved For Release 2000/05/04 : CIA-ROP70-00058R000200030010-5