TRADE RELATIONS BETWEEN LATIN AMERICA AND THE SOVIET BLOC

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CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2
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February 1, 1956
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Approved For Releast500/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A00010,U1 0033-2 COPY NO. 50 &Loa T Intelligence Report No. 7118 TRADE RELATIONS BETWEEN LATIN AMERICA AND THE SOVIET -BLOC DEPARTMENT OF STATE Office of Intelligence Research ? Prepared by Division of Research for American Republics February 1, 1956 State Dept. declassification & release instructions on file Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 SECR.r.,T Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 5E0CRET s4mi Ifire This report is based on information available through December 31, 1955. TABLE OF CONTENTS Foreword Abstract A. Description of trade of Latin America with Page tv the Soviet bloc 1 1. Levels of trade 1 2. Composition of trade 2 3. Special features of the trade . . . .. 3 B. Tactics utilized by the Soviet bloc in Latin American trade relations 4 1. General nature of offers 4 2. Trade missions 6 3. Use of local organizations . 6 4. Offers of financial and technical assistance 7 5. The Soviet Industrial Fair in Buenos Aires 0 0 . 7 6. Propaganda ? IF ? 8 7. Trade agreements 9 C. Prospects for Latin American trade with the bloc . ? . 15 1. Major attractions ? . ? ? ? ? . 15 2. Major obstacles 16 LIST OF TABLES 1. Latin American trade with the Soviet bloc, 1938, 1950, and 1954 18 SECRET Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 II. 0014 SECRET Page Latin American exports to and imports from the Soviet bloc, 1938 ' 20 III. Latin American exports to and imports from the Soviet bloc, 1950 22 IV. Latin American exports to and imports from the Soviet bloc, 1954 ? ? ? ? 24 V. Latin American exports to and imports from the Soviet bloc, 'January through June 1955 ? . 26 VI.' Bilate'ral trade and payments agreements in - effect during 1950-55 between Latin American Rf4ublicS and the Soviet bloc . ? ? 27 SECRET Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 SECRET Approved For Release 2D/08/23 : CIA-RDPeu14A0001001,933-2 Forewortii The. Soviet Union, through the medium of?a widely published Bulganin interview of January 16, 1956, served notice that?it,would seek to expand bloc diplomatic, cultural, and economic relations with Latin America. To date tne main Soviet bloc effort in Latin America, aside from local 'Communist operations, has been in the field of trade. TR 7118 reviews present Soviet bloc trade arrangements with eLatin America and analyzes the trade ;a8 itThas developed in the period 1954-55. . .This review indicates that, -while trade with the bloc remains small in the context of total Latin American foreign trade, it has been selective, directed mainly to countries' having ,surpluses and balance of payments problems with traditional trading partners. Hence the bloc is able to achieve disproportionate political and propaganda advantagesfrom trade offers. Bloc bids for Latin American surpluses provide especially useful grist to the Communist propaganda mill, Bulganin's offer of development goods, including oil industry equipment, points to another profitable area for Soviet exploitation. Both Argentina and Brazil urgently need to de- velop their oil resources to reduce a heavy drain on .dollar ex- change. However, they are under nationalist pressure to reject foreign private capital and cannot exploit oil resources to the ex- tent required without foreign aid. The logic of the Soviet approach via trade, and gestures to aid underdeveloped economies,was. underlined by Latin American reac- tions to the Bulganin interview. Reactions were generally sceptic- cal, but with notable exceptions in Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay. -- the bloc's main trading partners in Latin America. Favorable re- sponses in these countries doubtless reflected some intangible ad- vantages of doing business with the bloc as well as material gains essentially limited at present trade levels. Thus there is the im- mediate consideration of gaining bargaining power in relation to the United States. There is also the advantage to these countries of in- creasing their stature and prestige in international affairs, a con- sideration that could become important should the Soviet Union achieve a greater measure of respectability in the non-Communist world. Soviet opportunities in Latin America are not comparable with those in various Asian arid African countries: the Latin American societies are more stable, and geographic and other factors work against development of a "third position" in Latin America. Thus equal success in detaching the area from the Western alliance would require vastly greater effort, if indeed it were at all possible to achieve. Nevertheless, there are issues between the US and Latin America, especially because of their close ties, that invite Soviet SZCRET Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Re1011kp 2000/08/23 : Cl&M64-00014A0041111b0130033-2 exploitation. Most important are the issues that arise from the chronic complaints of .raw material producers in a world dominated by industrial powers,- and from the urgency of Latin American govern- ments to get US government financing for development. On the po- litical side, Latin Americans sympathize with the colonial areas and tend' to side with them on some issues in- the UN, often to the benefit of the Soviet line; in the larger countries nationalism, re- jecting unqUestiOning cooperatiOn with the United States, is increas- ingly powerful. Thus Soviet trade and aid in Latin Ameriba, while incapable of detaching the area wholesale from the United States, has prospects of some succes8 in widening existing breaches and in- creasing the total stock of disagreement and friction in the Western Hemisphere.- r?T'ff"' 1-'4;71 iv SECRET wruers ZUVURRITL3 . LAA-KUP64410014A000100130033-2 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CI4Ea4-00014A00U0130033-2 Abstract Latin American current trade with the Soviet bloc of about 4250 million per annum represents but 2% of its total trade with the world, a proportion which does not exceed the prewar level. Bloc trade, however, is assuming increasing importance in a number of individual countries, representing 8% of Argentina's and 50/0 of Uruguay's tradevtotal in 1954. Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay rank as the top Latin American traders with the bloc. Bloc purchases also represent a significant share of the principal exports of individual commodities of particular countries. Bloc countries in 1954 took about a third of Argentina's shipments of mutton and lamb as well as significant proportions of its rye, linseed oil, quebraoho, and canned meat export?. Over half of Brazil's shipments of salted hides and nearly a fifth of its iron ore exports were to the bloc. Nearly three-fifths of Uruguay's shipments of frozen moats and over half of its wool exports in 1954 went te the bloc. ahile such exports are insignificant compared to total Latin American exports of a given commodity, bloc purchases are impressive to the country concerned. In addition, such sales serve to arouse interest in bloc trade in other countries confronted with troublesome surpluses. Goods supplied to Latin America by the bloc cover a wide range. manufactures 1..edominate, although bloc deliveries of fuels -- petroleum and coal -- are increasing in importance. Over half of Argentina's 1954 imports of coal and a significant proportion of petroleum come from bloc sources. Latin American trade with the bloc takes place, in the main, under bilateral agreements. Faced with the necessity of balancing trade under such agreements, Latin American governments are forced to create a market for bloc goods by increased allocations of bloc agreement currencies to the importers out of total exchange quotas for given imports. However, the import of bloc products is ham- pered by the reluctance of business groups to accept goods which cannot be marketed competitively if quality and price are considered. The fact that the bloc has been buying Argentine and Uruguayan agricultural surpluses has been a strong stimulus to closer commercial relations with the bloc. This interest is abetted by local Comcainist and front groups, which stress the advantages of trade and play up Soviet offers of assistance to other under- developed areas. Increased trade with the bloc appears to the Latin Americans to offer an opportunity to mitigate their balance of payments problems by providing a new market for their goods, by allowing them to acquire necessary goods without using their dollar reserves, and by providing a bargaining point in economic negotia- tions with other areas. SECRET Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Release 2p0/08/23 : CIA-BEMON00014A000100130033-2 A. Description of trade of Latin America with the Soviet Bloc 1.? Levels of trade In the prewar years Latin American. trade with the countries Which now constitute the Soviet bloc (excluding LastCermeny but in- cluding Communist China) amounted to about 065 million, only 2% of 'total Latin American trade. 'Argdntina and Brazil aecounted for nearly two-thirds of the trade with the bloc ceuntries. Czechoslo- vakia and, to a lesser degree, Poland were the only bloc countries with any substantial volume of trade with Latin America. In the postwar period up to 1952 Latin American trade with the bloc attained a peak of 0137 million in 1948. This was, however, but 1% of the area's total foreign commerce. With the advent of the Korean war trade fell to 0122 million in 1950, 0104 million in 1951, and 452 million in 1952. Most of the Latin American countries had scant economic relations with the bloc, for either political reasons or lack of economic incentive. In no case did the bloc trade amount to as much as 4% of any country's total trade, and only in the case of Argentina did it exceed 2%, The conclusion of trade agreements With the USSR by Argentina and Uruguay in 1953 and 1954 marked an upturn in Latin American trade with the bloc countries. The area's total trade with the bloc rose to 070 million in 1953 and in 1954 reached a new high of 0252 million or about 2% of its world trade. Argentina with a total of 0173 million in 1954 and razil with 043 million continued to occupy preeminent positions in Latin America's trade with the bloc. Uruguay ranked third with an increase from 42 million in 1953 to 424 million in 1954. The importanoe of bloo trade to the individual countries rose appreciably in 1954; it represented 8% of Argentine's and 5% of Uruguay's trade with the world in that, year. Latin American trade with tile bloc in 1955 continued practically at the 1954 levels. Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay, which accounted for 96% of total Latin American trede with the bloc in 1954, reported such trade during. tae first six months of 1955 at 0130 million a figure somewhat below the '4133 Million shown these three countries in the first semester of 1954. b.ixport*s of these, three countries to the bloc in the first half of 1955 totaled 058 million, considerably below the value of their shipments to the bloc of 093 million .in the comparable period of 1954, Imports from the bloc by these countries during the first six months of 1955 rose to 472 million as compared with 441 Million during: the first semester of 1954.. PEC13.1 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Rele" 2000/08/23 sg6tODP64-00014A000118111130033-2 - 2- 2. Composition of trade Fifteen commodities generally account for 757o of the total trade of Latin America. The bloc has bought varying quantities of seven of these major commodities. Latin America's exports to the Soviet bloc are typically concentrated on a. few commodities. For example Argentina's exports to the bloc have been dominated by hides, wool, grains, linseed ,oil, and quebracho. Brazil has shipped ooffee, cocoa, cotton, wool, sugar, salted hides, and iron ars. -Vir- tually all of Uruguay's sales in Eastern urope are accounted for by wool, hides, and meat. Mexico's shipments of coffee and henequen and Cuban deliveries of sugar offer other examples.' The bulk of Latin Ameridan exports continue to be ?directed to its traditional markets in the US, UK, and Western Luropean nations, but the demand for Latin Ameridan commodities in these, markets is ,ineUfficient to take the available supply. Unrealistic Latin AMerican prices created by Overvaluation of ?currencies, and reflecting an effort to Maintain favorable, terms of trade, haVe left Latin America with significant exportable surpluses o The willingness of the bloc countries to accept these surpluses, even at inflated Prices has made trade offers by them particularly attractive to Latin prices, countries. In the -caee of some commodities the bloc has absorbed significant proportions of the total volume of ship- ments- Argentina's shipments in 1954 of chilled mutton and lamb to the bloc represented WA of the total volume exported; 32% , of its rye; 20% of its linseed oil, 20% of its quebra.aho extract, and 15% of its canned meat also went to bloc countriee. Over 54% of Brazil's shipments of salted hides, in 1954 went to bloc countries, as did 17% of 13razills exports in 1954"?f, hematite (iron ore ) Uruguay's shipments of frozen meat to,the bloc in 1954 represented, 60% of the total volume exported, ancylls been estimated that over , 50% of Uruguay's wool in the clip year 1954-55 went directly or in directlyto bloc countries. While these amounts may,be, ficant in relation to total Latin American exports of a given com- modity, they a.re impressive to the country concerted.'? They also serve 'to rouse interest in bloc trade in'ather countries having surpluses. Latin America imparta. a wide range of' products from the Soviet bloc. aianufa.ctured goods predominate, This follows the pattern of the prewar years when Latin American imports of Czechoslovak ahd Polish goods included a wide variety of manufactured goods, in- cluding machinery and industrial equipment. Although deliveries by the blod of the latter have fallen below Latin American expectations, some industrial equipment ( coal, mining machinery from Paland. and Russia to Argentina) and textile 'raa.chinery.- (from Ciechoslovakia to Mexico and Brazil) have been obtained from' the bloc countries. In SECRET -74-prprovea ifrorKe-rease 2000/08723 : CIA-ROP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 SECRET - general, bloc countries, especialIya,ftechosloVakiaandato aemeAe, gree 'Poland, have supplied wide varieties ofmanufacturedaconsumer goods inoluding.textile manufactures, chemical:and pharmaceutical - goods, glass, anda.ceramics* An attempt to balance sizable debits resulting from export shipment has led some Latin American countries to concentrate their purchases of certain commodities in the bloc 'area.. Nearly 50% of Argentine imports of coal in 1954 came from the bloo, 'primarily from Poland; its imports of bloc oil and products have risen significantly; and aver 5% of its fuel oil imports in 1954 came from the USSR. Over 76% of Argentine imports of railway and tram rails and over 70% of imports of malleable or beaten iron pipe were obtained from the bloc, primarily from the USSR. Over 30% of the total volume of cement im- ported by Brazil in 1954 came from bloc countries; significant amounts of iron and steel bars, wire, and tubes also were obtained there. 3* Special features of the trade The US dollar is used as the currency of account in all payments agreements between Latin America and bloc countries except alexico- Czechoslovakia. Settlement of final balances as well as settlement in excess of permitted swing credits are usually payable in gold, dollars, or an agreed carrency. The moat notable example of the last has been the agreem,nt between Uruguay and the USSR which provided for settlement in sterling. Reciprocal swing oredits of moderate amounts are almost always provided. In general,trade imbalances do not ex- ceed reciprocal credit provided for in the agreements. The exception was the size of the amounts due Argentina at the end of 1954, when countries in the bloc area owed a total of *42.8 million in trade balances, considerably in excess of the 425 million provided in in- dividual agreements. Czechoslovakia and Hungary had exceeded credit limits by the largest amounts. Trade with the bloc appears to offer ta Latin American countries an opportunity to ease their balance of payments problems by en- larging the market for their exports goods .The attractiveness of this trade is further enhanced by the willingness of the bloc to offer prices higher than those which Latin American countries can bbtain in their customary markets. Trade with the bloc, however, entails dealing in inconvertible currencies, ,(although the dollar is used as the currency of account, ,aince trade is eharaaeled'alithughtilateral-dlearing aecounts , a oertain munwt ofa-latednvertibility cregtedl . -The Latin American countries are therefore presented-with the alternae tive of keeping trade with the bloc in balance Or accumulating cer- tain amounts of inconvertible currencies, i.e extending credit to the bloc. The process of balancing trade has not been easy. Mane some diversion of import from usual sources of supply has been effected, countries operating clearing accounts have encountered re- SECRET Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 411% SECRLT AIN 4 - sistance from commercial groups to switching their purchases to the bloc. The. business community findathat bloc products are not com- parable in quality or are copies of products of outmoded equipment of other countries, and theirLacquisition would present 'the problem of uncertainty of replacements of parts and accessories. The reluctance of the business community to utilize credits outstanding in clearing accounts has led to sales of currencies in such accounts at discount prices Under the "auction" system of making foreign exchange available to importers in Brazil, "agree- melt dollars" available in 1954 through the Czechoslovak and Polish , clearing accounts have consistently sold? below dollars obtained from other sources. An evaluation of the degree of utilization of swing credits with bloc countries is not possible on the basis of available infor- mation. In Argentina's case it is clear that in 1954 the bloc not only made full use of such credits but also exceeded the stipulated amounts. Argentina apparently has become aware of the dangers in- herent in the accumulation of such credits and has insisted, in formulating new agreements with the bloc, on a reduction of the amount due by a step-up in the rate of deliveries', B" Tactics utilized by the Soviet bloc in Latin American trade relations 1. General nature of offers ," The upsurge of trade between Latin'America" and the Soviet bloc since 195 has been aided by an unusual effort of the bloc to gait a. more substantial commercial position in Latin America* Offers by the bloc to intensify trade with that area are not wholly unwelcome to the Latin American countries. The bloc has taken cognizance of the fact that demand in Latin America's traditional markets has not kept pace with the area's increased export capabilities and that a sizable backlog of export goods has accumulated* It has shown a readiness to acquire substantial quantities of these surpluses. Purchase offers have generally,been.tailored to,fit the needs of par- ticular countries and have been concentrated rather heavily on a few commodities which have proved to be difficult to dispose of without price sacrifices. In the case of Argentina and Uruguay the bloc offered to purchase wheat, meat, MD010' and hides, and in the case of Brazil, coffee, cotton, and iron ore* In Cuba the USSR bought ' 500,000 tons of sugar in 1955 with a further 200,000 tons contracted for, 1956. mexico's difficulties in disposing of all of its sugar , have elicited offers from the bloc. Although not yet reflected in, trade returns, Colombia's agreement with -Last, Germany appears to provide an additional market for its coffee. The Soviet Commercial .Attach 4 in mexico, *Ale on a visit to BOgotA in December 1955, - - r,S,KRZT Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Release 2225/08/23 : CIA-REM90014A000100130033-2 - 5 - offered to buy 16,000 bags or more of Colombia's coffee. An un- official agreement with East Germany announced in September 1955 appears to present Chile with an opportunity to dispose of substan- tial amounts.of grain, wine, fodder, and other agricultural goods. The interest in bloc offers is further enhanced by the willing- ness of the bloc to offer higher prices than those which Latin American countries can obtain in other markets. This factor has been significant in Brazil's decision to ship sizable amounts of its iron ore to Poland and Czechoslovakia. Czechoslovak offers to purchase non-ferrous metals in Bolivia, above the price levels obtainable in world markets, are clearly tempting. however, there have been ntmerous complaints by importers that bloc goods available for im- ports are in general overpriced as compared with Western goods. Once trade, relations have been established th7ough purchases of export surpluses, the next step has usually involved the setting up of 'a market for bloc industrial goods, a step that is aided by the accumulation of trade credits by the Latin American countries. Their governments, faced with the problem of holding large amounts of incon- vertible- currencies, are forced to participate, directly or indirect- ly, in the formation of a market for bloc industrial goods. This process has taken place in Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay, ?where the scarcity of hard currencies.. has forced increasing use of "agreement dollars" in allocating exchange quotaS for imports. The absence of sufficient allocations of other currencies results in a certain switch to purchases from the blOc., Bloc effortsin the countries which. are Primarily mineral Producers have taken a olig4tly different tack., In offers to these countries the emphasis has been 9n getting rid of restrictions on trade in strategic commodities! ,This has;not been successful with respect to overt purchases, but the decision of the, Chilean Govern- ment to lift its ban on nitrate shipments to Communist China and to permit shipments of nitrates to China and North Korea, as well as to Czechoslovakia, represents a s4eP -toward negPtiations over a broader front that would perhaps, include strategic commodities,such as , Chile's copper. The Soviet Union has not hesitated to use trade relations to obtain diplomatic recognition. In renegotiating the trade agreement with Uruguay, which had proven very profitable to that country, the Soviet Trade Delegation in December 1955 propoSed an appendix to the agreement that would have extended diplomatic status to its comJercial representatives. This proposal had aroused the fears of the Uruguayans that such an annex to a commercial agreement might allow the Soviet Union to build a large. commercial staff in Uruguay with diplomatic immunity that could be utilized for extensive undercover work not only in Uruguay but also throughout South America, The Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Rebate 2000/08/23 .s.Sit DP64-00014A00$00130033-2 - 6 - proposed appendix was subsequently eliminated. Uruguay's advantageous trade with the Soviet Union in 1954 apparently has also been a strong factor in the Uruguayan Government's decision to reappoint a minister to aoscow, where Uruguay has not had allinister since 1948. 2. Trade missions Bloc diplomatic missions resident in Latin American countries have generally been able to provide continuing service in trade re- lation. The use of the Moscow Conference of April 1952 and various missions in 1963 and 1954 to further trade with the,bloc has been dis- cussed in detail in IR 6173. During 1955 representatives of bloc coun- tries made frequent visits to Latin America for the purpose of nego- tiating new trade agreements or extending those that existed previously. The ECLA conference in Bogota (August 29 - September 160 1955), offered an opportunity for Czechoslovak and Polish representatives, attending the conference as observers, to establish direct contact with delegates from all the Latin American countries. A Latin American delegate has indieated that, while these observers did not initiate any formal :trade relations, they did press for intensifi- cation of the trade with the bloc by pointing but the advantage of such trade to the Latin American countries., A Colibriunist Chinese delegation chose the occasion of the second general assembly of the Argentine Commission for Development of Trade in June 1955 (see below under Use of Local Organizations) to meet representatives from Argentina, brazil, Uruguay, and Chile. At that time the Chinese representative mentioned that a new Chinese delega- tion micht be sent to Argentina to arrange atrade'agreement between the two countries. ; The Soviet Corm ercial Attache in Aexico made a visit to Colombia during the Bogota International Fair November 25 - December 11, 1955), where he made trade offers for coffee. The Soviet Ambassador to aexico visited Ecuador and feru in December. It has been reported that he made enticing offers of arms as well a$ financial assistance to Ecuador. 3. Use of local organizations ??. ?... ?.. 'Local Communist parties and Communist front organizations are utilized extensively to promote extension of trade with the bloc. The most active group concerned with bloc trade is the Argentine Com ,ission for Development of-Trade. This group, like similar groups in Western Europe and elsewhere, was founded in 1952 by delegates to the Moscow .Economic Conference. Sparked by Communists, it include ' SECRET': Approvea ror rcereasu LIJUIITCTOTza . LT/A Lir U.P1.8.71:1 P6F7Kinilt vcrwervarizrc. Approved For Release 20,2.0)08/23 : CIA-R1)*Fakiiti014A000100130033-2 Niue as members businessmen interested in East-West trade.' This organi- zation appears well financed) it not only publishes a periodical,, INTERCABIO (the only Latin American publication to send a represen- tative to the Bandung Conference), but also issues an "information bulletin" publicizing trade opportunities with bloc countries. The activities of the Argentine group appear well coordinated with its affiliates in other Latin American countries. Such groups include the Bolivian Association for Development and Trade, the Brazilian Office for Development of International Trade, the Committee for the Development of Foreign Trade (Chile), the Mexican Institute' for the Study and Development of International Trade, and the Uruguayan Commission of Cooperation and Development of International Trade. The second assembly of tae Argentine group in June 1955 (actually only the inaugural session was held, since the meeting was interrupted by the Argentine revolution and did not reconvene) was attended by delegates from all South American groups as well as rep- resentatives of the USSR, Czechoslovakia, East Germany, Hungary, and Communist China, 4. Offers of financial and technical assistance The availability to the Latin American countries of technical assistance, in the form of credits and technical services, is stressed in bloc offers. The most significant move in this'respect in'Latin America was the commitment which the USSR made in its August 1953 agreement with Argentina to supply v30 million worth of capital goods on credit. The commitment, however, was not implemented, and the offer was reduced by a subsequent protocol to a mere 04 million. Czechoslovakia followed Suit in signing A new agreement with Argentina in February 1955, and proMised to sUpply "appropriate- , financing" for capital goods ,up, to a possible 45 Million. Poland, in the agreement signed in January 1955, promised to supply goods on credit, although no definite amount was specified. Offers of technical aid in the form of complete installation of industrial plant and machinery as well as'of'personnel to train local workmen have been made by satellite governmental however, actual -examples of this form of technical aid are few. Czechoslovak technicians have come to Mexico to help train'Mexican personnel in use of Czech looms, and Hungarian personnel were reported in Argentina helping to setup equipment purchased from Hungary. 5. The Soviet Induatrial Fair in Buenos Aires The Soviet Industrial Fair of May - June 1955 served to ac- quaint Argentine importers with Soviet industrial products. Some SBCBET Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Ree 2000/08/23 :51041V84-00014A0(011400130033-2 -8- 16 Soviet entities were represented; they displayed a wide variety of products including heavy machinery, textilesocereals, and mis- cellaneous industrial equipment. This fair provided an opportunity for the. Soviet Union to point to the equipment displayed as evidence of the high level of industrial development in the USSR. Although no advertising or descriptive literature on the various exhibits were available, publications in Spanish describing the USSR and its political, social, and industrial progress were plentiful. ? The fair not only offered an OppertunitY:for'propaganda-in-, Argentina?(it was well attendedl:but provided material for-distribu- tion,throughout.Latin America... ? _ 6. Propaganda In fomenting Latin American-bloc trade and working to in- crease its influenee in the area, Soviet propaganda, as found in the Communist and the Communist front press in Latin America, stresses three main themes: (1) the advantages of trade between ? Latin America and the bloc, which are generally pictured in ex- aggerated form; (2) the concern for the underdevelopment of Latin America and the part that bloc equipment could play, if allowed; in economic development (in this connection Soviet offers to Asian countries are stressed); and (3) appeals to national interest and pride, ted in with attacks on the United States and ref erenoes to the "colonial" status of Latin American countries in the past. These themes appear exei reappear with new variations and some alteration to at local situations. In 1955 the growth in' Argentine and Uruguayan trade under their agreements with the bloc was used considerably as an example of the "way" for other countries to follow.? The propaganda opportunities of the Soviet Industrial. Fair in Buenos Aires were fully utilized. Stress was laid on the ' "technical aid" that would bo available to the Latin American coun- tries if Sovieb equipment was acquired. Such aid -- as intimated by the Communist el Siglo of Santiago; Chile would be freely available without asking concessions, as "Standard Oil did ...." The US.insistence upon the primary role of private capital in the develepment.of,Latin America is constantly? criticized and cited as an example of a desire by the United States to prevent full development of the area. Responsible officials of Latin American governments have often made statements supporting the thesis that the bloc represents a great potential market, thus tending to support the claims of' Communist propaganda. SECRET; ? ? 111 i ? - -.? 0 AA'S' II II Approved For Release 29.29/08/23 : ClAgqW-00014A000100130033-2 -9- 7. Trade agreements The minor importance of the trade in prewar years between Latin America and the countries now in the Soviet bloc is empha- sized by tne lack of a strong commercial policy governing relations between the two areas. Many of the agreements of the prewar period were no more than general most-favored-nation agreements, payments arrangements, or special quota dispositions under international commodity agreements. Agreements signed in the postwar period have been of varying types. For the most part the agreements cover both the movement of goods and the means and method of payment. They generally specify trade targets and list commodities to be exchanged with either volume or value quotas. Payment provisions include the establish- ment of clearing or compensation accounts, swing credits, and eettlement in US dollars, other acceptable currencies, or gold. More recent agreements also call for the extension of credit facili- ties by the bloc partner for the purchase of capital goods by the Latin American partner. The various governmental or semigovernmental agreements (ex- cluding any barter arrangements which are made from time to time between governments or private individuals') now in force envisage a trade level between Latin American and the bloc of about 0400 million.' Auth-Lipa Argentina has the largest trade with the bloc and the largest number of bilateral agreements with that area. Trade pals visual- ized in the agreements governing 1965 trade include Czechoslovakia, v64 million; Hungary, 98625 million; Poland, 94903 million; and the USSR, 4100 million. A semiofficial agreement between Instituto Argentino para la PromociOn del Intercambio., a semiofficial organi- zation for the development of rade, and cast Germany calls for :a trade interchange of 941.2 million. These agreements call for an annual trade total of 9263 million, which compares with actual trade with bloc countries in 1954 of 40.73 million. The Central Bank of Argentina reported that at the end of 1954 the countries in the Soviet bloc, with whom Argentina had trade? agreements owed v42.8 million in trade balances. This debt was re- ported as follows: USSR, 01306 million; Hungary, 91264 million; Czechoslovakia, 91166 million; and Poland, 4566 million; Aumania had a credit balance of 90.4 million with Argentina. This debt was considerably in excess of the total of 925.0 million inswing credits permitted by the agreements. In large part the credit'out- SLGRLT Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Releash2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 SLCRET -10- standing represented accumulations from previous years, particularly in the case of the USSR, inasmuch as trade in 1954 with these coun- tries WAS fairly even,. The most important of the agreements is that signed with the USSR on August 5, 1953, which originally provided for 0150 million in trade both waft, including a Soviet credit of 030 million for the Argentine purchase of capital equipment. (The Argentine Government announced at the time this agreement was signed that 0150 million worth of goods would be exchanged, plus a credit of 030 million, and this figure has appeared widely in the press. However, Embassy Buenos 4iires calculated the value of quotas at, world prices, and estimated, he value of goods to be traded, exclu- sive of the credit, at a considerably lower figure.) Argentine exports to the USSR in 1953 (the USSR did not cora- . mence deliver ies until the beginning of 1954) and 1954 plus imports frem the USSR in 1954 disclose that actual trade fell below the an- ticipated goals and that fulfillment of commitments was irregular. Argentine shipments in 1953 and 1954 of cattle hides (20,827 tons), mutton (23,877 tons), and processed meat (13,004 tons) ex- ceeded by a wide margin the tonnage specified in the agreement. Pork shipments (3,001 tons) and linseed oil (74,184 tons) approxi- mated the quotas of 3,000 and, 95,000 tons specified in the agree- ment. Only 285 tons of quebracho were shipped, although Argentina agreed to ship 15,000 tons. There were no shipments of wool, sheepskins, and lard, although Argentina shipped 7,988 tons of , butter, which does not appear to have been included in the agreement. 1 - USSR deliveries, all in 1954, of agreement commodities were fa less satisfactory. No overall measure of fulfillment can be applied, since quotas were specified by quantity in some cases and by values,in others. Russian shipments of crude (81,795 metric tons) fell below the quota of 500,000 tons specified in the agree- . ment. ,On the other hand, its L,hipments of gasoline, gas oil, fuel oil, and other products, which agtregated p6 million, exceeded the quota of 0500,000 set by the agreement. Pig iron shipments tv- Russia of 42,709 tons exceeded the quota of 20,000 tons. Shipments of sheet iron totaling 19,000 tons were below the 28,000 tons speci- fied by the agreement. The deliveries of pipe (17,348 tons) were less than half of the quota of 40,000 tons. Shipments of rails and accessories were considerably in excess of the value quota set by the agreement. Machinery and equipment deliveries by the USSR were relatively small. Argentine imports of machinery in 1954 aggregated about 050,0001 but the USSR did deliver in, 1954 over #,opo t9hs of railway equipment valued at 03.7 million. SECRET Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Release 20t0r/08/23 : CIA---.I?ei64100014A000100130033-2 -11- Wag' ' ? The unrealistic nature of trade goals set by the original trade agreement was apparently taken into consideration when an additional protocol, establishing the levels of trade for 1955, was signed on May 19, 1955. Trade levels fpr the year were set at about 050 million each way. On the,Argentine export side the wool and sheepskin quotas were reduced from 23,000 tons under the 1953 agreement to only 51000-6,000 tons, and linseed oil from 75,000 to 60,000 tons. Cattle hides, however, were stepped up from 14,000 to 23,000 tons and mutton and lamb from 5,000 to 20,000 tons. Quebracho extract, for which a quota of 15,000 tons was set in the 1953 agreement, was excluded entirely. Argentine purchase of fuels from the USSR in 1955 Was put at 500,000 tons of fuel oil and 50,000 tons of gas oil, which repre- sents little change from the provision of 500,000 tons of crude ' plus 0500,000 of unspecified petroleum products in the 1953 agree- ment. On the other hand, no specific proVision was included for coal imports in 1955, whereas 300,000 tons Were to be imported under the 1953 agreement. Lampblack and pipe for oil fields were also excluded from the new agreement. Asbestos was cut from 8,000 to 1,000 tons. A eizable reduction was made in the.quota for rails and accessories, from 60,000 to 15,000 tons. Provisions for de- liveries of other iron products, on the other hand, were almost doubled: billets from 50,000 to 70,000 tons; pig iron from 20,000 to 50,000 tons; sheet iron from 30,090 to 60,000 tons; and iron bars and sections from nil to 20,000 tons. Special steels were . , , given as 50,000 tons under the new list, whereas in the 1953 agree- ment only a value figure 7- p48 million -- waS shown. The new ,list contained several additions, e.g., spruce pine, 80,060 cubic metres; cellulose, 5,000 tons; and aluminum, 2,000 tons. The quota for capital goods to be supplied under the Soviet credit to Argentina as noted above was cut from 030 million to 04 million in the new protocol. it appears probable that non-utiliza- tion of the credit extended under the original agreement, as well as its reduction under the 3,95 protocol, was due to Argentine re- luctance to acquire equipment that, according to Argentine-business- men who visited the USSR in l954, is inferior and obsolescent. Equipment displayed at t4c Soviet Industrial Fair, which was held in Buenos Aires from May7to June 3, 1955, did not appear a$ well finished as corresponding machines from the United States and for the most part seemed to be copies of relatively outmoded US or Lurbpean models. Although the Argentine gpvernment is reported to have acquired. some of the equipment shown at the fair, there is no indication that sizable sales resulted, and most of the Soviet machinery exhibited was sold at public auction. SECRLT Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Reiltike 2000/08/23DP64-00014A000130033-2 Preliminary reports of Argentine-USSR trade in 1955 indicate that, while Argentine shipments to the USSR have -declined, receipts fr* hussia have increased. During the first six months Argentine trade with the USSR totaled 929.7 million (exports 99.2, imports 920.5), as compared with the total trade of 954.0 million in the first half of 1954.'i. The most important'Argentine exports to the USSR in.first 4#1f of 1965 Were linseed oil (14,149 tons), meats (11,770 tons). salted hides (11,550 tons), and (2,065.tons). Imports from the USSR by Argentina in the first half of 1955 were valued at 02045 million, as compared with 98.8 million in the first six months of 1954. Receipts of Soviet goods included 295,920 metric tons of petroleum products (crude, 59,204 tons; fuel oi1 155,151 tons; gas oil, 71,614 tons; and diesel oil, 9,951 tons), 29,907 tons of pig iron, 17,257 tons of iron billets, 8,419 tons of iron plate, and 2,561 tons of iron bars, as well as 13,361tons of railway equipment. Argentina's total trade (exports and imports) with Czecho- slovakia, Hungary, Poland, and Rumania dame to about 0944 million in 1954. Trade with these four sateliites showed a sizable increase in 1955: expOrts in the first six Months .of 1965 totaled about 022 million and imports 035 million.' The annual trade that is indicated by the half year's figure 91 0114 Mil/ion 'would be close to the , 0122 million envisaged by-the agreeMents with these countries.' Among the.iMportant shipments to these' Satellites were wheat and onions to Czechoslovakia, sugar to Hungary, wheat and rye to Poland, and quebracho to Rumania. AmOng the important comoodities received by.Argentina from these countries were iron sheets, spruce pine, miscellaneous machinery, and railway rails from Czechoslovakia, railway equipment and iron bars from Hungary, coal, cement, and spruce pine from Poland, and spruce pine from Rumania. In the first six months of 1955 Argentina shipped butter, onions, and sugar to Last Germany valued at a total of 01.7 million under an IAPI agreement with that area which set a trade goal Of 041.2 million. No imports from Last Germany were reported. Brazil Brazil's trade with the blod countries amounted to 942 million in 1954 and represented 1.5/0 of *azilts total trade. A significant increase in this trade is indicated for 1955; the results for six months of 1955 show a trade level with the bloc of nearly 034 million, an annual rata of close to 070 million or two-thirds above the 1954 SLCRET Approved For Release 200/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Release 2e/08/23 : CIA-RIW264610014A000100130033-2 - l - level. Czechoslovakia has continued to lead in 1955 as 'Brazil's primary bloc market and the leading source of Brazilian imports from the bloc area, although trade with Hungary and Poland has showed a sizable increase over 1954 totals. The direct trade with the USSR in the first half ef 1955 took the form of Russian purchase of 8,331 tons of sugar valued at about 0700,0000 Cotton sugar, c000g, iron ore, and coffee, in that order, led among Brazilian sales to the bloc. Brazil has bilateral agreements with Czechoslovakia Poland, and Hungary, but diplomatic relations with only the first two. These agreements envisaged a trade level in 1955 of nearly 082 million, as compared with total trade with the countries in 1954 of 4P39.3 million. It was reported in December 1955 that discussions leading to a trade agreement with Rumania were in progress.. The Brazilian Government has been under considerable pre$Sure to establish formal commercial relations with the USSR' and other countries in the bloc with which *azil does not have agreements. In addition to direct trade sizable amounts of brazWe exports to 'Western Europe are transshipped tb-bloc countries and it has been reported that 4 significant preportion'of Brazilian wheat imports from Finland in 1954 represented grain Of Soviet origin. Several attempts by private concerns to formulate barter arrangements have been reported. Among the most significant of these was a non- governmental compensation agreement between a Brazilian firm and the Deutscher Inner und Aussenhandel Komensation (the East German, official trade organization), Which provided for an interchange of 06 million. The Brazilian Government, however, has discouraged barter and triangular trading. It announced,by:the:Bazilian- authorities in August 1955 that permission had been denied to two European firms to act as intermediaries in trade deals between Brazil and bloc countries. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs ex- plained in a statement that permission was denied because it would have "violated the principles of free foreign trade on which the government's policy is based." It was emphasized, however, that this refusal 'should not be interpreted as-an expression of lack of interest in the development of trade with the bloc. Agitation for trade with the bloc continues in Brazil. Vari- ous business organizations have pointed out that'the possibility-of trade expansion with the countries with which Brazil presently ' maintains formal commercial relations are limited and that the only real opportunity for expansion Of Brazil's foreign trade lies'with the bloc countries. In the election campaign of 1955 the three SECRET ' Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For ReIsmie 2000/08/23 : expep64-00014A0mp0130033-2 14 leading candidates adopted similar positions with regard to the Soviet bloc. 4hile each avoided any'direCt coMatment to extend diplomatic recognition to the Soviet Union -(diPlematic and.can- sular relations have not been maintaindd.SinceI947) all expressed the conviction that Brazil's economic interest would be served.by a substantial expansion of trade with the bloc. In-Qctober1.955 the Rio de Janeiro correspondent of theLondon Financial Times wrote that Juscelino. Kubitschek, the president-elect, would visit Europe and would meet with Soviet trade interests and representa- tives of other Communist countries. However, he did not visit any bloc countries during his visit to Europe, and there is no evidence that any muetings with bloc trade interests were .held. Mexico ??????????ovem..... Mexico has established bilateral trade arrangements only with Czechoslovakia. The agreement,which was signed in November 1949 for the period up to December 31, 1954, contains a clause providing for automatic two-year extensions beyond that date. No definite trade targets are established. A five-year payments agreement signed in Uctober 1950 is singular in that the clearing accounts are carried in pesos-and crowns instead of dollars. The agreement provides for a swine credit equivalent to 001 million. Actual trade under this agreement has been relatively small. In 1954 Mexico exported only 033,000 and imported v855,000 from Czecho- slovakia. Paraguay Paraguay has entered into bilateral trade arrangements with Czechoslovakia, Hungary, and Poland. In 1954 total trade with the first two countriespwith which agreements were signed in 1953, was in the neighborhood of 0300,000.' The agreement With Poland was not signed until November 1955. EgV-a-Z Uruguay has entered into trade or payments agreements with Czechoslovakia, Last Germany, Hungary; Poland, Rumania, and the USSR.* The most important of these agreements is that signed with the USSR in July 1954. It envisages a volume of trade valued at v44.8 million. Under this agreement Uruguay has agreed to ship' wool, hides, and vegetable oils in exchange for Soviet petroleum products. Under the operation of the agreement Uruguay's trade with the USSR rose from less than v300,000 in 1953 to nearly 420 million in 1954* Uruguay's trade operations with the USSR in SECRET ? . ? , 7-Alawprverveurizn rxerecr*e ZUUUTOOTL3 . 1..174-KLW134 -WU U 1 4A00U1 31RJ53-2 Approved For Releace2000/08/23 : CI*4644-00014A0001t00)30033-2 1954 were extremely one-sided; its exports of;meats and wool aLgre- gated 019.9 million as against imports of only 027,000. The favor- able trade balance was settled by the USSR by transfer of sterling. Uruguay's trade with the USSR in the first half of 1955 was but a small proportion of its trade in the similar period of 1954. Its exports during the first six months of 1955 were valued at 01.1 million as against exports of 09.7 million in the first half of 1955. .Purchases by the USSR in the first semester of 1955 in- cluded only 540 tons of wool and 568 tons of cattle hides and sheepskins. Uruguay nes looked hopefully to the Soviet bloc as a possible market for its exports which have encountered increased competition in the world market. In attempt is therefore made to Use existing bilateral payments agreements with the bloc, and to negotiate new ones to dispose of surpluses. Its exports to the bloc in 1954, mostly to the USSR, represented 4041Arly,i 10;) of its total exports. In contrast to the mountin:z, deficits in its overall trade balance, it has built up sizable credit balances with the bloc countries. This has led to pressure for a shift in normal import patterns away from the US and Western turope. Importers are encouraged to utilize creeits resulting from sales to the bloc, and increasinp, amounts of bloc currencies are included in import quotas released by the Lxport- Import Control Office. The reluctanbe of importers, irritated by substaddard and overpriced: manufactured goods offered by the bloc as well. as by the failure of the bloc to keep delivery dates and other commitments, has led to the inclusion of increased amounts of agreement currencies when allocating for the purchase of raw materials and semimanufactured goods, .The most recent example of the increased use of bilateral agree- ment trading to promote the disposal of available surpluses is the si ning of a com-ercial treaty* a commercial convention, and a pay- ments agreement with Czechoslovakia in September 1955 (the previous agreement was solely a payments arrangemedt). Surplus meat and wool are to be exchanged against Czechoslovak steel and other metals and miscellaneous equipment and machinery. The annual trade level' of 07 million envisaged in this agreement is more than double the 1954 level of 02.9 million. Uruguay's exports to Czechoslovakia in the first half of 1,Y55 were valued at 01,651,000i as compared with 0869,000 in a similar period of 1954. The major portion 'of the /955' exports represented shipments of 2,106 tons of frozen meats. C. Prospects for Latin American trade with the bloc 1. ,jajor attractions Latin American countries are receptive to bloc trade overtures SCR Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Release4400/08/23 : ciAMDfai2I-00014A0001Onapo33-2 as a possible solution of the economic problems that confront them. (1) The bloc appears to provide a new market for Latin American exports. Thus far, the volume of goods which the Latin American countries have sent to the bloc has been relatively small and'marginalpbut it has, in particular cases, made it possible to dispose of bothersome surpluses. Other countries having surpluses see in such trade an opportunity for the solution of their own problems. (2) Trade with the bloc permits the acquisition of nece- sary goods without drawing upon scarce dollar reserves. Dollar ex- penditures by Argentina and Brazil for fuel imports are particularly heavy. Insofar as the bloc is willing to provide these commodities, trade with the bloc offers to these countries an opportunity to utilize their dollar reserves for other purposes. , (3) The bloc is frequently willing to offer favorable prices for Latin American goods. In this category, Polish offers forA'azilian iron ore, Czechoslovak offers for Bolivian non- ferrous metals, and hussian offers for Cuban sugar at prices higher than these countries could obtain in other markets have made bloc trade offers especially attractive. (4) Latin Americans believe that trade with the bloc improves their bargaining position in world markets and offers them a talking point in economic negotiations with the US and Western European countries. 2. Major obstacles The development of trade between Latin America and the bloc is hampered by the following factors: (1) Bloc trade has limited possibilities. Contrary to the impression created in Latin America the bloc probably will not offer a wide market for Latin American goods. Bloc countries also are large producers of agricultural goods and raw materials. (2) Not all of direct trade with the bloc is,a net addi- tion to demand for Latin American exports. Latin American countries often fail to take into account that expansion of direct trade with the bloc would be reflected in reduced sales to Western Luropean countries which transship Latin American products to the bloc. Among examples of this type of trade are shipments of coffee to Last Germany via Nest Germany and Dutch purchases of Uruguayan wool for transshipment to bloc countries. SECRET Approved For Release 21100/011/23 . C1A-RDPb4-UU0111AU00100130-03-2- Ot Approved For Release 2002L08/23 : CIA-RDoAi - 014A000100130033-2 Nue (3) The bloc market is not reliable. Experience with Soviet bulk purchases in other areas indicates that transactions have been largely dictated by special need for particular products at a particular time Such purchases, in the past, have proved temporary. There is no assurance for the Latin American countries that Soviet bloc demand -would be sustained over the long run. Uruguayan-USSR trade, which in 19$4 provided Uruguay with a market for y20 'million worth of goods,,dwindled in 1955 to a mere fraction of that level. (4) Bloc goods have not been marketed competitively if 'quality and price are considered. The failure of importers to ac- cept Soviet goods in sufficient amounts has been a feature of Argentine-USSR trade. Soviet sources have ascribed this situation to Argentine buyers' lack of acquaintance with Soviet products, but to a large degree it has been due to the failure of these goods to measuee up to standards set by US and West Europeangoods. or ex- ample, defects found in a shipment of Czechoslovak: tires forced the Bolivian Government to withdraw the entire shipment from sale. mechanical defects of Czechoslovak trucks delivered to Brazil led to their replacement by the Czechoslovak Government. And a ship- ment of electrical precision instruments from Czechoslovakia to Brazil was totally unusable and bore every evidence of having been subjected to sabotage. (5) Bloc trade exhibits the inherent defects of state trading. Numerous instances have been reported of long delays in delivery, difficulties in .correspondence, and other vexations in, dealing with State trading organizations. The absence of servicing and other facilities'lessensthe attractiveness of bloc, goods. The sale of goods for purposes for which they were not intended, due to the pressure on representatives of state organizations to establish sales records, has also been reported. to Bloc trade is deterred- by the absence of diplomatic relations. Soviet:and/or satellite permanent diplomatic missions, 14 in all, are established in only five Latin American countries: Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, Mexico, and Ecuador. :The absence of diplomatic relations between Brazil and th?SSR.is often cited as an example of the inability of Brazil t6 expand it trade with that country. Trade with the bloc, however, is riot excluded en- tirely, since Latin American goods, unless strategic controls are present, move freely in indirect trade with the bloc. In enly two countries, Haiti and Honduras, are 'direct exports prohibited' by law, even though imports 'from the bloc countries occur. State -FD, Wash,, D. C. Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Table I. Latin American trade with the Soviet bloc, 1938, 1950, and 195/0 .(VaIttes,Inthousands of US dollars) 1938 1950 1954** Exports Imports Exports Imports Exports Imports Argentina % of total trade 15,000 3.3 14,000 3.1 49,747 3:5 32,800 3.0 90,485 8.5 82,684 7.6 Brazil _ 8,000 4.000 12,217 9,051 24,038 18,781 % of total trade 2.3 1.3 0.9 0.8 1.5 1.1 Chile 3,000 negl 1,005 321 2,039 125 % of total trade 1.8 3884- 0.3 0.1 0.5 *** Colombia 2,000 1,000 11 807 negl 1,221 % of total trade 1. 0.2 0.1 *** 0.2 ilib, 0.2 Cuba negl 1,000 5,646 783 800 600 % of total trade is? 0.1 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 Mexico** 1,000 2,000 1,193 938 117 1,365 % of total trade 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 , - -*** 0.2 Peru 2,000 1,000 27 1,150 17 135 % of total trade 0.2 i:--;:* is;-* 0.6 --x-it-: 0.1 Uruguay 1,000 2,000 1,813 2,059 23,748 2,563 % of total trade 0.2 . 0.2 0.7 1.0 9.5 0.9 Venezuela , 1,000 - 1,000 n a 1,787 n a 1,600 % of total trade 0.1 0.1 - 0.1 0.2 Approved For Release 2000/08/23: CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Table I. Latin American trade with the Soviet bloc, 1938, 1950, and 19514(continued) (Values in thousands of US dollars) 1938 1950 1954* Exports Imports Exports Imperts Exports Imports Others 3,000 3,000 200 300 300 2,700 % of total trade -X** -MI* ? *** Total 36,000 29,000 71,859 49,996 141,544 111,774 -)8f7 -X-4* The totals exclude trade with East Germany inasmuch as Latin American trade statistics do not report West and East Germany. separately. Preliminary and partly incomplete. Less than 0.05%. negl Negligible n a Not available ? ? Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Table II. Latin American exports to and imports from the Soviet bloc, 1938 :(Ir millions of US dollar equivalents) Czechoslovakia Hungary Poland Rumania Exports Imports Exports Imports Exports Imports Exports Imports Argentina 6 5 1 4 7 4 - 1 Brazil 4 3 - _ 3 1 - - Chile 1 - - - 2 - - - Colombia 1 1 - - 1 - - - til rCI Cuba 1 - - - - MI tml Mexico 1 1 - - 1 1 - - i EI1 t-3 Peru - 1 - - 2 - - ONO Uruguay 1 1 - 1 - - - - Venezuela - 1 - - 1 - - - Others 1 3 - - 2 - - - *do. Total 15 17 1 5 19 6 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 amilna? Approved- For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Table II. Latin American exports to and imports from the Soviet bloc, 1938 (continued) (In- millions of US dollar equivalents) USSR China Total with the bloc Exports Imports Exports TmpOrtS Exports Imports Argentina 1 15 14 Brazil 1- 8 4 Chile 3 Colombia 2 1 Ci) bJ i70 1-1 tz1.1 Cuba 1-3 Mexico - 1 Peru 2 1 Uruguay 1 2 Venezuela 1 1 Others 3 Total ???????????? 36 Note: There was no trade between Latin America and Albania and Bulgaria in 1938. Trade with East and West Germany is generally not separately recorded in Latin American trade statistics, so East German trade is excluded from bloc totals. ? None. Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 ? Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Table III. Latin American exports to and imports from the Soviet bloc, 1950 :?(InLmillions of US dollar equivalents) Albania Bulgaria Czechoslovakia Hungary Exports Imports Exports Imports Exports IL:ports Exports Imports Argertina ? 1.0 0.5 10.1 11.8 15.1 4.6 Brazil 8.0 8.3 * * 0.2 0.1 ? * ?.Colozbia * * * 0.7 * * Cuba * ? -;:- 0.6 * ... ,. 1,3 :Mexico -X ), -L 0.6 :, 0.1 t Peru NR NR _ * , 1.0 ? -;', Uruguay _ _ 1.0 1.4 0.2 i, Nenez.k3la NA NA NR Ni 1.8 NA NR Othet'a-- .*. * :. 0.2 0.1 0.2 Total 1.0 ..1???? ????????? ?????? ??????? damiPlim 0.5 19..5 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 26.4 15.3 4.9 c-) .-3 Approved For Release 2000/08/23: CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Table III. Latin American exports to and imports from the Soviet bloc, 1950 (continued) -(In millions of US dollar equivalents) ..u) 1=1 1-3 Poland Rumania USSR China Total with the bloc Exports Imports Exports Imports Exports Imports Exports Imports Exports Imports Argentina Brazil Chile Colombia Cuba Mexico _ Peru Uruguay Venezuela Others ? Total 9.7 1.6 0.8 * * _ * 0,6 NA * 4.4 0.7 * 0,1 * * 0.4 NR 13.0 * * * * - 14::- 13.0 11.5 - * _ 0.2 NR 0.1.. NR - 0.1 1.0 * N: *-__ - * * * * NR. * 0.8 2.6 - 5.5 0.2 * * NA *, 9.1 0.2 0,1 * 0.2 0.1 * NE * 49.7 12.2 1.0 * 5.6 1.2 * 1.8 Ni..1.8 0.2 32.8 9.0 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.9. 1.1 2.0 0.3 _ .,... u) i Itil 0 +9 i - 12.7 5.6 11.8 1.1 * 0.6 71.7 49.8 * ?Less-than.$100,000. _ NA Not available. NR None reported. - None. Note: Trade with East and Vest Germany is generally not reported separately in Latin American trade statistics, so East German trade is excluded from bloc. totals, Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 ? Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Table IV. Latin American exports to and imports from the Soviet bloc, l954* (In millions of US dollar equivalent) Albania Bulgaria Czechoslovakia East Germany Hungary Exports Imports Exports Imports Exports Imports Exports Imports Exports Imports Argentina ? _ 11.5 11.9 0.2 NR 8.6 6.0 Brazil NR _ NR 12.2 13.5 NR Nil 2.2 1.0 Chile NR NR NR 0.5 ** NR NR 0.4 Colombia NR NR NR NR ** 0.8 NR Nil et?tC Cuba NR NA NR NA *rc o.6-im NR NA NA Mexico NR 0.9 NR NR -;:-?rc *k Peru NR NR ? ? rrk ER NR Uruguay NR NR 1.8 1.2 Nit NR 1.1 1.3 Venezuela NR 1.0 NR Nt3 Others 0.2 1.9 NR NR 0.1 0.4 Total '** -X-3 -g? 26.2 31.8 0.2 NA 12.4 8.7 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Icnt: Approved For Release 2000108/23: CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Table IV. Latln -i=merican exports to and imports from tle Soviet bloc, 1954* (continued) (In millions of US dollar equivalent) Poland Rumania USSR China Total Exports Imports Exports Imports Exports imports Exports Imports Exports Imports Argentina 21.0 21.6 6.6 6.5 36.4 36.6 6.2 NE 90.5 82.6 Brazil 6.1 4.3 1.0 NR 2.6 NR 24.1 18.8 Chile 1.1 NE -N* *.,-, NE kai. 9.0 x* Colombia NR. ** 78: - 0.4 id: 1.2 Cuba NE NA NE NA 0.8 NA NE NA 0.8 0.6 a Eekico .-14-1 ? ** ** 48: -14:- 7:8;z 0.4 ** 1.3 1 Peru - _ _ ** ** 0.1 ** OA Uruguay 0.9 ** NR NR 19.9*,,,, i:--x-- NE 23.7 2.5 Venezuela 0.5 ** -14-* - 0.1 - 1...6 Others 4** 0.2 48F? 0.2 0.3 2.7 Total 29.1 26.6 7.6 6.5 57.1 36.6 8.8 40/H.4.1=b???? 1.2 141.4 111.7 0 Preliminary and partly incomplete. Less than 450,000. Jan.-Lug. only. Not reported. None. Totals do not agree completely 'with Table I due to rounding of figures., Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 w tz, Approved For Release 2000/08123 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 J Table V:' Latin AMerican exports to and imports fro& the Soviet bloc, January through June 1955* (In millions of US dollar equivalents) Albania - Bulgaria Czechoslovakia East Germany Hungary - Exports Imports Exports Imports Exports Imports Exports Imports Exports Imparts Argentina NR ** NR 1.5 9.9 1.7 0.7 6.3 Brazil 8.8 7.6 *it* '3.1 2.8 Uruguay 1.7, 0.8 *** *** Q.9 0.4 Poland Rumania USSR China Total Exports Imports Exports Imports Exports Imports Extorts Imports Exports Impotts i Argentina 17.4 14.8 2.3 4.0 9.2 20,5 1.1 NR 33.9 55.5 Brazil 5.4 5.0 * NR 0.7 M 0.1 NR 18:1 15.4 Uruguay 1.9 NR ' VR NR NE 5.6 1.2 * PreliminarY ** Less than ,50,000. *** Not reported separately. Approved For Release 2000/08123 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Release 2000/08/23: CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Table VI.. Bilateral trade and payments agreements in effect during 1950-55 between Latin American Republics and the Soviet bloc* Duration of agreement Trade provisions Payment provisions Argentina - Bulgaria Argentina - Czecho- slovakia June 1, 1949 - June 1, 1953. Since 1953 trade has continued under general terms of the agreement. July 17, 1947 - December 31, 1951 Protocol to 1947 agreement signed September 28, 1948 Protocol to 1947 agreementsigned July- 29, 1949 September. 3, 1952 December 31; 1954. . (This- agreement re- placed agreement signed June 2, 1947. and protocols there- to.) First annual qubta prO7 vided for US 0 million Argentine exports 'and -'06..0 million imports from Bulgaria. Commodity quotas estab- lished for 1947 and dur- ation of agreement. Established trade goals of it,29 million each way. Specified lists of goods to be exchanged but no 'quantities or values given. Approved For Release 2000/08/23: CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Made in dollars unless .Otherwise agreed. Final balance in gold or dol- lars or by agreement, in fully disposable foreign exchange or goods. Account in Czech crowns at the Central Bank. Swing credit of 20 million Ar- gentine pesos; balance payable in gold or by agree- ment in fully disposable currencies. ,Provided for .increase in swing-credit to 50 million, Argentine-pesOs:. Clearing account in Czeoh - crowns. Swing credit equal to US $6.4 million. Excess balance payable in gold or ?--dollam;, ? Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Table-VI, Bilateral trade and payments agreements in effect during 1950-55 between Latin American Republics and the Soviet bloc* (continued) Duration of agreement Trade provisions Payment provisions Argentina - Czecho- slovakia February 11, 1955 - February 10, 1958; tacit annual renewal there-, after. (This agreement replaced the 1952 agreement.) Argentina - Signed September 1954. East Germany Duration not available. Specified lists of ? goods to be exchanged to the value of US b32 million each way during the first year of operation. Allows for purchase by Ar- gentina of. up to b15 million of Czech capi- tal goods on credit. Under subsidiary agree- ment Argentina will buy Czech goods up to a value of US b10 million and in return will sup- ply a range of prOduets to -a total of US $5 million. The difference between Argentine imports and exports will be uaed to reduce Czech debt to Argentina. T:ade target b20.6 mil- lion each way. Specified lists of goods with value 'quotas....."? Clearing account in dollars. Swing credit equal to 6.4 million. Balance to be settled in gold, dollars, or other currency to be arranged. Compensation agreement be- tween 1API and_Deuts_gileK Inner-und ?Aussenhande17.-- KoTpensation. Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Table VL, Bilateral trade and payments agreements in effect during 1950-55 between Latin ,_.meriean Republics and the Soviet bloc* (continued) Duration of agreement Trade provisions Payment provisions Argentina - Hungary July 29, 1948 - December Each cOuntrY to "facili- tate" the acquisition of specified products by the other. 31, 1952 Protocol to 1948 agree- ment; Signed by 25, 1950, Septenber 8, 1953_- September 7, 1956; subject to tacit an- nual renewal there- after. . (This agree- ment replaced the. previous agreement and protocols there- to.) Protocol signed 4ril 1954 Trade goals reported about 00 million total. Half of Hungarian de- liveries to defray debt to Argentina. Dollar account in the Argen- tine Central Bank; no credits provided. Payments in ster- ling, Belgiaft francs, Dutch florins and Italo-Argentine agreement dollars in equal parts. Provides for a swing credit of 43 million, balance in ex- cess payable in gold, dollars, or by mutual consent, in other currencies. Raised swing credit to 0 million. Clearing account in US dol- lars. Swing credit of US million. Balance in excess of US 0 million payable in free dollars or gold. - Establishes annual trade target-totalling US 8.25 million. Argentina to ex- port raw hides for various manufactured goads.' Approved For Release 2000/08/23: CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Table VI. Bilateral trade and payments agreements in effect during 1950-55 between Latin American Republics arid the ScViet bloc* (continued) Duration of agreement Trade provisions Payment provisions Argentina - Poland Argentina - Rumania December 21, 1948 December 31, 1951 ? . : October 3Q, 1952 7 December 31, 1954; tacit annual re- newal thereafter. Protocol to 1952 aL:ree- ment.. Signed January. 24, 1955; effective January 1, 1955 - December 31, 1955 October 20, 1947 - July 3151950 July 25, 1951 - July 24,4952; tacit an, nual renewal. Established comriodity schedules. . Established lists of goodS to be exchanged, no value or volume in- dicated. Clearing account in US dollars. Swing credit of US $5 million. Balances to be settled in gold or d011ars. Clearing account in US dollars. Swing Credit of US $5 million; balance payable in gold. Trade target of US 4y24,650,000 each way; specified lists of goods the most important of which are Argentine exports of wheat 414 mil- lion, salt hides 1;-)5.5 million, and Argentine im- ports of coal a6.5 mil- lion. Poland to facili- tate export of capital goods on installment payment basis. cuotas for Argentine ex- Clearing account in US dollars. ports ..but. no specified Rumanian produCts listed. List of goods to be ex- _changed but no value or volume specified. Clearing account in US dollars. Balance settled in goods at end of agreement. Only documentary _ ? Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Table VL. Bilateral trade and payments agreements in effect during 1950-55 between Latin American Republics and the Soviet bloc* (continued) Duration of agreement Trade provisions Payment provisions Argentina - Rumania Argentina - USSR ? Brazil - Czecho- slovakia This agreement was reached by means of protocol pur- porting to extend the agree- ment of Oct. 10, 1947 which expired July 31, 1950. It is essentially- a new agree-., ment and reestablishes the *)11ar trade account.de- - ,funct since that date. Signed August 5, 19531 ef-. fective August 15, 1953 - August 14, 1954; extended for a period of six .months October 14, 1954. Protocol to the 1953 agreement signed May 15, 1955 for the period Jan. 1, 1955 - December 31, 1955 November 15, 1946 - November 14, 1948. (This agreement was re- jected by the Brazilian Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Specified list of goods to be exchanged. Trade target of US 4p150 mil- lion both ways, includ- -ing US 00 million of capital goods to be sup- plied to Argentina on credit. credits are to be extended on either side. Original trade targets changed to US 650 million each way. Apparently the capital goods to be sup- plied by USSR during 1955 scaled down to ?2+ million. ? List of goods to be ex- changed. Clearing account in US dollars. Swing credit of 1l million ex- cluding the US 400 million of capital goods for which spe.,-, cial terms are to be arranged. .Brazil granted a $20 million credit or payment to begin Jan. 1952. Czech clearing account established in the Bank of Droved for Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Table VI. xaateral traue and payments agreements in effect during 1950-55 between .Latin American Republics and the Soviet bloc* (continued) Duration of a7reement Trade provisions Payment provisions Brazil - Czecho- slovakia Brazil - Hungary Senate on September 2, 1949.) May 18, 1950 - May 17, 1952; tacit annual renewal Protocol to 1950 agree- rilent effected by an ex- change of. notes dated July 31, 1952 to be effect May 17, 1952 - .may 17, 1953. Protocol signed November 19, 1953, effective May 18,. 1953 - Lay 17, 1954-,. Protocol signed Septem- ber 10, 1954; -Duration not known April 26, 1954 - kpril 25, 1955; tacit annual renewal Brazilian exnorts set at US $14 million; imports. at US a6 million. Lists. ofgoods in ef- fect to May 17, 1951. Brazil. Payment of balances in US dollars or other accep- table currency. Clearing account in US dollars established in the Bank of Brazil, settlement in US dollars. Brazilian exports US 15 million; imports 16.2 mil- lion can be increased by $1.5 million if enough salted Or'dried cow hides are avaj1_ -ableg Established new lists of goods. Established new lists of goods. .Trede_t4rget.US. #20. mil- .Dollar.accounteatablished_in lion each way. Commodity the Bank of Brazil. lists established. Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Table VI. Bilateral trade and payments agreements in effect during 1950-55 between Latin American Republics and the Soviet bloc .(continued) Duration of agreement Trade provisions payment provisions Brazil - October 24, 1952 - Trade target each way of Dollar account in the Bank of Poland October 23, 1953; tacit 6.6 million. Commodity Brazil. annual renewal lists established. , Quotas in dollars. Nexico - Czecho- slovakia April 1, 1954 - April 1, 1955 November 23, 1954 - November 22, 1955 Signed November 9, 1949 December 31, 1954; tacit two year renewal there- after. (It is not clear if it is an extension of previous agreement signed Aug. 17, 1947.) October 20, 1950 - October 1955 , Swing credit of 4v2 million. Dol- lar accounts in the Bank of Brazil and Narodowy Bank Polski. Trade target of US n.0 million each wajr;' Speci- fied goods tb be traded but no quotas. No trade target established. Includes commodity lists but no quotas. Approved For Release 2000/08/23: CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Establishes peso/crown accounts. Provides for reciprocal swing credit. It is not clear whether the amount of 1 million estab- lished by 1947 agreement is still Table VI. Ap_proved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Bilateral trade and payments agreements in effect during 1950-55 between Latin American Republics and the Soviet bloc* (continued), Duration of agreement Trade provisions Payment provisions Paraguay - November 1953 - November Czechoslovakia 1954 Paraguay - Hungary Paraguay - Poland Uruguay - Czechoslovakia November 1, 1953 - October 31, 1954; tacit annual renewal Signed November 23, 1955 - duration not available Announced in August Signed September 13, No quotas established No quotas established No quotas established. Other commodities for in- terchange are listed. 1954 Reportedly 42.5 million each way. Trade target reported to 1955 be million both ways. Uruguay - June 29, 1954 - June East Germany 28, 1955 Uruguay - Hungary - Rumania Uruguay - Poland 1954 April 24, 1953 - April 23, 1954; tacit annual renewal Trade target 406 million each way. Details not available but set up US 41 million swing credit. Establishes a swing credit of W4.00,000. Information is not available. Payment agreement with the Bank of Uruguay. Current payments in US dol- lars. Swing credit of2 million. Compensation accounts up to $6 million opened in the Banco de Uruguay and the Deutsche Notenbank. There appear to be confiden- tial banking agreements with these countries. Terms are not known. Clearing account in the Banco de Uruguay. Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Bilateral trade and payments agreements in effect during 1950-55 between Latin American Republics and the Soviet bloc* (continued) ? Duration of agreement Trade provisions Payment provisions Uruguay - July 28, 1954 - July 27, Annual trade target US USSR 1956 ,:22.4 million each way. USSR to ship petroleum products for Uruguayan wool hides and ve7e- table oils. 1_0 1-3 * The agreements shem include only t ose reached between governments or agencies of governments, agreements between trivate eAities as well as any barter or one-time arrangements are excluoec. Settlement of accounts in, pounds sterling. Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : C1A-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2 Table VI., Bilateral trade and payments agreements in effect during 1950-55 between Latin American Republics and the Soviet bloc* (continued) Duration of agreement Trade provisions . Payment provisions Uruguay - July 28, 1954 - July 27, Annual trade target US Settlement of accounts in pounds USSR 1956 $22.4 million each way. sterling. ussa to ship petroleum products for Uruguayan wool hides and vege- table oils. The:agreements shown include only those reached between governments or agencies of govern- ments; agreements between private entities as well as any barter or one-time arrangements are excluded. Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP64-00014A000100130033-2