CEFP DRAFTING GROUP ECONOMIC DEFENSE POLICY REVIEW FOREIGN ATTITUDES TOWARD ECONOMIC DEFENSE

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP63-00084A000100040008-4
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RIFPUB
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S
Document Page Count: 
32
Document Creation Date: 
December 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
October 27, 1999
Sequence Number: 
8
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Publication Date: 
June 6, 1955
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REPORT
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r- Approved For Release 2000/08/23: CIA-RDP63-000 (1400$'=4 f ~O SECRET CFEP DRAFTING GROUP ECONOMIC DEFENSE POLICY REVIEW Staff Study No. 3 Draft of June 6, 1955 Foreign Attitudes Toward Economic Defense This draft of Staff Study No. 3, on "Foreign Attitudes Toward Economic Defense'", is transmitted for your use in connection with the work of the CFEP Drafting Group on Economic Defense Policy Review. In compliance with the request of the Chairman of the Drafting Group, the Executive Secretary, EDAC, is providing reproduction and distribution facilities as a service to further the work of the CFEP Drafting Group. Irving I. Kramer Executive Secretary Distribution: CFEP Drafting Group SECRET Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP63-00084AO00100040008-4 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP63-00084AO00100040008-4 SECRET This dpcument contist of 31 pages. No. of 5C copies, Series A. ECQNQ4IC DVEt POLICY REVIEW Staff Study No. 3 (Draft of June 69 1955) Foreign Attitudes TOwaril Economic Defense In any discussion of the restriction of trade with the Soviet blec9 foreign attitudes must be considered of paramount importance. The US by itself has now virtually no direct control over Soviet bloc imports in the sense that US exports to the Ca ama .st bloc amount to only one-tenth of one percent of the small total of Free World exports to that areas While there is considerable agreement among the Free World countries about the necessity for controlling trade with the bloc, US public and popular attitudes have generally favored tighter restrictions than have other countries. Two major factors probably explain most of the difference. First., foreign countries are more inclined than the US to a that trade is a t+tially important means for reducing international tensions and the danger of ward Second, many foreign countries., more dependent for their economic well-being than the US on foreign trade in general, are more con- cerned with the effect on their domestic economies of restrictions on trade with the bloc. In fact., at times their concern seems out of proportion to the actual potential for trade with the bloc. Thus., there was and continues to be widespread support for the Danish statement in the Consultative Group of COCCI in the spring of last year, which proposed that in any revision of the export control system 'it was essential that the effect of the Approved For Release 2000/08/23 SDP63-00084A000100040008-4 ECRET- Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP63-00084AO00100040008-4 SECRET' restrictions on economic and social, conditions in the participating countries themselves be kept closely and firmly in mind.,," While there are wide differences among the countries of the Free World in their attitudes toward economic defense measures,, a considerable degree of uniformity has been achieved in the application of the controls multilaterally agreed upon. Denmark., which frequently attempts to have the restrictions on trade with the bloc reduced,, has not concluded a trade agreement with the USSR because the latter insists on the inclusion of tankers which COCCM has termed "strategic." The countries of Asia have generally adhered to the UN, embargo of "strategic" goods to Communist China. In Indonesia and Burma,, however.9 there are considerable political and economic pressures for expanded trade. These attitudes are particularly influenced by the neutralist foreign policy orientation of these countries. India which loudly proclaims its neutrality and independence of the US,, secretly follows Western trade controls from considerations of foreign policy, although in addition,, it has only limited amounts' of "strategic" goods available for export. While demonstrating lia ul.e sympathy .or of the program "of economic defense,, Japan has faithfully observed its international commitments in this regard. West Gear favors tight controls but objects to applying them,, which it does,, to its trade with East Germany, The UK has been a positive force in developing the present limited trade control p gram and in providing for its effective implementation. Currently,, there are two major areas of disagreement between the US acid other countries of the Free World in the matter of trade controls. First is the questi.cn of treatment of Communist China. The second is the Approved For Release 2000/08/2~~-RDP63-00084A000100040008-4 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP63-00084AO00100040008-4 SECRET question of the definition, identification and treatment of "strategic" versus *nonmstrategic" trade. Most foreign countries are opposed to Applying higher levels of con- trols against Communist China than against the rest of the Communist bloc now that the wars in Korea and Indochina are over. Many Asian countries are, in particular., motivated by neutralist sentiment and a desire to reduce international tension as well as economic considerations in seeking to reduce the barriers to trade with Communist China. It is pointed out that the differential in export controls imposes only a light burden on Communist China since the latter cans through the services of European bloc traders, purchase goods denied it directly, Moreover,, Japan feels that this factor puts it at a serious disadvantage vis-a-vis the Western European countries in trade with Communist China. Foreign countries have generally embraced the philosophy of "strategic" goods in the sense that they willingly embargo exports of such goods but believe that trade in 'non-strategic goods is not only not undesirable but is to be positively encouraged. Moreover, they generally favor a narrower definition of "strateg.c9" wanting it to relate solely to goods which seem to have an immediate military application. The present control systdm9 limited primarily to embargoing exports of goods of direct military uses is the result of fairly general foreign. pressure,, led largely by the UK9 for a narrow sphere of trade controls. There seems to be little recognition abroad of the implications of the fact that export controls cannot prevent the bloc from achieving a given level of domestic availability in any particular commodity (other than a new product) Approved For Release 2000/08/23 -3DP63-00084A000100040008-4 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP63-00084AO00100040008-4 SECRET TABLE OF C( JTENTS 1. United Kingdom o a o a o 0 0 o e o 00000 0 0 000 06 TIa France a o 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 III. Germany o O o O o o O O O o a 0 0 0 0 0 o D a 0 0 0 10 IV. Italy o 0 0 0 o a 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 o o 12 V. Swedes. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 a 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 o a 13 yIo Denm k o 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 o e o 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 VII o Greece and Turkey o 0 o o o o o o o o o o o 0 o 0 0 0 0 0 17 VIII. Japan 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 o 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 IX. Southeast Asia 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 o 0 o 0 o 0 o 0 0 o o o 0 o 23 South ASia o o a o o o 6 0 0 o o 0 0 0 0 o o o o o 0 o 26 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : c gpP63-00084A000100040008-4 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP63-00084A000100040008-4 spa / J.~ General British Position. As early as 1949.. the UK Government, after , took the lead in getting the countries of Western consultation with the US Europe together to agree on a framework of strategic controls over trade with the Soviet Bloc, The UK has played a key role in the Consultative Group since it was established in 1949. The British also initiated controls over exports to Communist China even before the Korean War and supported the UN resolution in 1951 under which China was declared an aggressor and exports were strictly limited. British initiative was also important in the relaxa- tion of controls over trade with members of the European Soviet Bloc agreed upon in the Consultative Group in 1954, (The change did not affect controls over trade with Communist China, North Korea, Tibet, and more recently North Vietnam, In addition., trade with Macao is carefully regulated.) The UK during the past year took the lead in having the export control o lists limited to items which ar a of immediate military act on, The British cannot, however., be characterized as anti-control. Actually they have probably made more positive contributions to COCOM than any member except the US. The record of formal British commitments on East-West trade controls indicates both independent initiative by the government in plugging some loopholes in the controls system inaugurated by the UK and approved by COCOM and in cooperating with other Western countries to render the system effective, Labor and Conservative governments., as well as the majority of the British people., have recognized the need for some such controls. They are not likely to alter their position as long as the international situation requires limitations, on trade with the Communist world, Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP63-00084A000100040008-4 SECRET Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP63-00084A000100040008-4 SELF Considerations Affecting British Attitudes Toaard Controls. The British Government regards the international political and strategic aspects of the existing control system as a paramount consideration of national policy. The goverrnnent is not likely to act unilaterally to change this system or to evade compliance with its regulations because of some dif- ferences with other COCOM members concerning Soviet-Chinese capabilities or intentions or because of overwhelming economic urgency. Although subject to considerable pressure from private British traders and political groups to increase the volume of trade with the Soviet-Chinese bloc., both on economic and political grounds., the government does not attach an exaggerated import- ance to this trade. The trade comprises only about 2 percent of Britain's total overseas trade., partly as a result of the imposition of controls. Under the most. favorable circumstances it is not likely to assume the proportions (about 6 percent) it had with Soviet-Satellite members in Europe before World War II. Soviet economic policies and the changed pattern of economic life in most of the satellite countries have worked to limit exports and the capacity to pay for imports., and have probably altered fundamentally the long-term economic relationships between the UK and Eastern Europe. In addition., the lack of a satisfactory settlement on British properties nationalized by the Eastern Europeans acts to depress British trade and investment in the area. The influential Federation of British Industries and the Trades Union Congress have generally concurred in the estimate of the limited economic importance of East-West trade for the UK., stressing the need to increase legitimate trade opportunities wherever they arise but warning Approved For Release 2000/08/23 si1RDP63-00084A000100040008-4 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP63-00084AO00100040008-4 SECRET against large expectations from trade with the Soviet Bloc countries. Despite persistent demands for increased trade by segments of the British business com- munity and for an equalization of controls between the European-Soviet Bloc countries and Communist China., the national economic stake in this trade remains marginal and is not likely to become the sole determinant of British policy in COCC't. The British are., however., concerned about the economic future of Hong Kong. There are nevertheless reasons why the British Government and much of the business-oonffunity still continue to favor a progressive relaxation of controls, if the international situation warrants it. Generally., the British view the whole control system as an international expedient,, voluntarily agreed upon to meet an emergency of uncertain duration and only valid so long as it meets the requirements of the mergency without causing unnecessary economic ? = embarrassment to the cooperating members or perpetuating political tensions between the West and the Communist world. The British favor the largest pos- sible area of permitted trade and, conversely,, prefer to limit the area of prohibited trade. There is no essential difference between Conservatives and Laborites in this basic respect. The viewpoint is the closest the British are likely to come to what may be called a philosophy for COCOM action,, com- parable in some respects,, but far more flexible and loose,, to the British approach to the purely military aspects of NATO. The British accept the fact that economic defense precautions are inseparable from military preparedness against a potential enemy. They do not always agree,, however,, that the priorities are the same or that the justification for particular economic defense measures is clear. They have Approved For Release 2000/08/23 ~ JtDP63-00084A000100040008-4 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP63-00084A000100040008-4 SECRET adopted a highly selective attitude toward controls and lately have resisted hard restrictions on goods which they consider to have a marginal strategic character and have opposed the imposition of embargoes on individual items like shipping of certain tonnage and speeds, copper wire, rolling mills, some types of generators, and other commodities. Other reasons for this position undoubtedly arise from the tough, pragmatic line the British have customarily adopted, regardless of the party in power, toward international trade, and from domestic economic and political pressures which every British Government must somehow attempt to reconcile with both the national self-interest and British international commitments. US-UK Differences over Control Policies. The record of US-UK co- operation on the establishment and enforcement of international control policies is far more impressive than the differences in outlook and detail which have divided the two countries. This fact is overwhelmingly true at the governmental and technical levels, although it is often obscured by public and partisan controversies in both countries over particular cases of alleged violation of the system of controls or differing interpretations of what the system calls for. Somedifferences have already been referred to, both substantive and procedural, and need not be stressed again? Broadly speaking, the British believe that elements in the US administration and Congress think of CCCOM in terms of a comprehensive, quasi-permanent, rigid system of controls, while the British tend to think of COCOM as a means of applying a series of ad hoc am& by no means necessarily permanent set of restrictions on particular commodities designed to reduce the offensive threat of the Soviet-Communist world. Approved For Release .2000/08/23 ~ -RDP63-00084A000100040008-4 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP63-00084AO00100040008-4 SECRET - 5- Because the US and the USSR are so deeply polarized in basic political and economic philosophy and so deeply opposed in strategic aims,., the British believe that little disposition exists in the US for compromise or flexibility in dealing with international Communism on the trade front. Yet, because the British Government and most responsible political leaders appreciate the danger of Scviet-Chinese expansionism, they do not disagree fundamentally on the need for some controls; they nevertheless are disposed to more far- reaching compromises than the US in various economic and political situations, The spirit of this approach reflects a more prevalent public view in the UK than in the US of the possibility of peaceful coexistence with world Communism under certain circumstances. It reflects a softer and more accommodating type of diplomacy and a willingness to live with situations of stalemate or The British attitude is., of course, directly related to a heightening OK w4l't~~ sense of fear of war and the vulnerability of the ritish Isles If economic defense measures deter Communist aggression., they serve a major purpose, the British agree; if, on the other hand, they exacerbate tensions without effect- ively deterring., they have little justification. All too of ten,'British critics of US foreign economic defense policies believe, the US appears willing to follow an inflexible trade policy toward international Communism that leaves little room for Western-maneuver. Their case is also often based on an indictment of general US economic foreign policies which they would like to see liberalized and freed from controls that allegedly impede British exports. This merging of criticisms about specific East-West trade controls with those relating to the general posture of free world economic foreign policies Approved For Release 2000/08/23 J~tDP63-00084AO00100040008-4 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP63-00084AO00100040008-4 SECRET reflects the permanent concern of all British. Governments with international trade. The divergent recognition policies of the US and UK toward Communist China have also raised special problems. The Conservative government has resisted various Labor attempts to dramatize the potential value of the Chinese trade and to secure the lifting of the UN embargo. Labor and businessmen's Junkets to Communist China during 1954 and much fanfare on Peipingfls side about the possibility of reviving and expanding Sino-British trade have been coupled with criticisms of the "hard" US policy toward Com- munist China and US support of the Chinese Nationalist regime on Formosa. The British business community,, several individual firms of which have suffered heavily from near confiscatory Communist Chinese actions., has probably few allusions about building up a secure Chinese market for British goods on an effective reciprocal basis, Yet., almost as a matter of principle, these business elements and doctrinaire political groups in the Labor Party, who want Communist China to be admitted to the UN and recognized as a great new revolutionary force in Asia, will continue to insist that trade between the Communists and the UK is the key to better political relations between Peiping and the West. Although the Communist Chinese trade front is a soft area in British thinking and policy, the estimates of its possibilities are far more sober than they were before Korea, Indochina, and the recent Formosa Straits disputes. The British recognized that trade with China must be a two- way street, and the most critical of them fear that Peiping may continue to control or adversely influence the main Asian avenues of trade, including Hong Kong, and deny it any real meaning, Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : TRDP63-00084A000100040008-4 Approved For Release 2000/08/23 : CIA-RDP63-00084A000100040008-4 SECRET British Attitudes toward Sanctions. The British regard CQCOM as a multilateral effort based on voluntary cooperation and would like to keep it that way. They would almost certainly resist US attempts to impose policies on COCOM members which were thought to violate the voluntary principle or to ignore the special needs of individual countries. There is already some of that feeling in the UK. Although the more sophisticated British officials and public observers recognize that certain sanctions are implied in any donor-recipient relationship and are explicit in provisions of the Battle Act, they would react sharply against a US move to tighten or broaden existing sanctions as applied to the UK. Not only would such a move create serious political problems for the British Government in dealing with an always latent ant -Americanism on the left (and., in foreign trade matters, on the right as well)., but it would also be interpreted as an indication of US lack of con- fidence in the British will and effectiveness in carrying out COCOM policies. The British are convinced that their record in this respect is good, both in fulfilling agreed international trade policies and in containing those dom- estic elements which favor increased trade at almost any price. The UN embargo on trade with C