AFGHANISTAN SITUATION REPORT

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP10C00522R000100880001-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: December 27, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 4, 2013
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: October 25, 1983
• Content Type: REPORT

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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/10/29: CIA-RDP10C00522R000100880001-3
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Afghanistan Situation Report
25 October 1983
'rap-Secret_
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NESA M 83-10275CX
SOVA M 83-10189CX
25 October 1983 25X1
o Copy 7
, Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/10/29: CIA-RDP10C00522R000100880001-3
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/10/29: CIA-RDP10C00522R000100880001-3
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/10/29: CIA-RDP10C00522R000100880001-3
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/10/29: CIA-RDP10C00522R000100880001-3
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AFGHANISTAN SITUATION REPORT
CONTENTS
INSURGENTS ATTACK AIRBASES
1
Insurgent mortar attacks in mid-October damaged a Soviet
transport at Khowst Airfield and forced Soviet units to return to
guard Bost Airfield.
MASOOD CONTINUES TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE CEASE-FIRE
The Panjsher Valley resistance leader concluded a peace treaty
with a rival band and was preparing to attack Afghan forces at
the northern end of the valley in late September.
1
FIERCE FIGHTING IN HERAT PROVINCE 2
Soviet, Afghan, and insurgent forces have suffered heavy
casualties in fighting since August, and the Afghan Government
has taken new measures to cut infiltration from Iran.
IN BRIEF 2
PERSPECTIVE
PARTY FACTIONALISM AND FRATRICIDE 4
The rift in the Afghan Communist Party has seriously impeded the
Soviet and Afghan military efforts, and although Moscow will have
to solve the problem of factionalism to achieve full control of
Afghanistan, there are no indications the split will end in the
next few years.
This document is prepared weekly by the Office of Near Eastern and South
Asian Analysis and the Office of Soviet Analysis.
25 October 1983
NESA M 83-10275CX
SOVA M 83-10189CX
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/10/29: CIA-RDP10C00522R000100880001-3
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25 October 1983
NESA M 83-10275CX
SOVA M 83-10189CX
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/10/29: CIA-RDP10C00522R000100880001-3
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/10/29: CIA-RDP10C00522R000100880001-3
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INSURGENTS ATTACK AIRBASES
Comment: Over the past few months guerrilla mortar fire
appears to have become more accurate, raising Soviet casualties
and material losses, especially during attacks on airfields. The
insurgents appear to strike quickly, firing only a few rounds
before retreating to avoid Soviet or Afghan counterattacks. By
continuing such raids, the guerrillas will force the Soviets to
devote more of their troops to security duty, reducing the forces
available for operations in the countryside.
MASOOD CONTINUES TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE CEASE-FIRE
in
late September the leader of the Panjsher Valley resistance
stated that he had concluded a peace treaty with a rival Hizbi
group to secure Panjsheri supply lines through the Bagram area.
Masood claimed he was preparing to launch a major offensive
against an Afghan base at Koran Munjan at the northern end of the
Panjsher. He also stated that Soviet and Afghan troops had not
launched any attacks since the truce expired in July.
Comment: Despite many reports that Masood has continued
attacks outside the Panjsher and has increased his control in the
northeastern provinces, the Soviets apparently have decided
against launching a major attack on the Valley this year. An
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25 October 1983
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/10/29: CIA-RDP10C00522R000100880001-3
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/10/29: CIA-RDP10C00522R000100880001-3
TOP SECRET
attack on the small Afghan garrison at Koran Munjan, however,
might be too great a violation of the spirit of the cease-fire
for the Soviets to ignore. Although bad winter weather will make
a major ground operation more difficult, the Soviets could use
intensive air attacks to "punish" the insurgents and civilians in
the Panjsher.
FIERCE FIGHTING IN HERAT PROVINCE
Afghan, Soviet, and
insurgent casualties were heavy in operations and clashes around
Herat City over the last three months. The Afghan Army
reportedly transferred two armored divisions and a reinforced
regiment to Herat Province in early September. Kabul has
deployed more Army units along the roads to improve security,
reinforced border guard posts, and recently constructed two new
security posts along the main road from the Iranian border to
Herat City to reduce insurgent infiltration from Iran.
Comment: Tighter border and road security combined with
government clearing operations will increase pressure on the
insurgents in Herat Province and reduce their access to supplies
from Iran. Although Afghan units are understrength and troop
morale is low, additional manpower and armor could improve the
Afghan Army's effectiveness in the province.
IN BRIEF
2
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NESA M 83-10275CX
SOVA M 83-10189CX
' Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/10/29: CIA-RDP10C00522R000100880001-3
Declassified in Part- Sanitized Copy Approved forRelease2013/10/29 : CIA-RDP10C00522R000100880001-3
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