THE BALKAN STATES AND THE TURKISH STRAITS

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CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8
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December 22, 2016
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September 13, 2012
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8
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January 26, 1945
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REPORT
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-/ I I 95X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 T-519 January 26, 1945 , THE BALKAN STATES AND THE TURKISH STRAITS I. STRATVIIC INTERESTS Like Turkey and the Soviet Union, the States of Southeastern Europe have strategic interests of the greatest importance in the region of the Turkish Straits. Historically, these states--Greece and Bulgaria. Rumania and Yugoslavia, a* well as Albania and parts of Hungary?were subject to the Ottoman Empire. Greece, Bulgaria, Rumania and Yugoslavia [Serbia], achieved their independence in the course of the nineteenth and the early twentieth century. ta Land routes from the Balkan region via Belgrade, g Sofia and Salonica lead to the Straits, as does the _ Y1 Danube route 'to the Black Sea. More particularly the Balkan routes to the Straits are: 1) The lower course of the Danube to the Black Sea ,and thence to the Straits 2) The valley of the Mariusa River via Adrianople to the Straits; 3) The Morava-Vardar valley from Belgrade to Salonica and thence overseas to the Straits; and 4) The Via REL_Iatia from Durazzo to Salonica and Adrianople WI to the Straits, or overseas from Salonica. I/ Over these land and sea routes the Straits may be attacked , from Europe. But over them as well the Balkan region may be attacked and invaded. Control by a Great Power over the Balkan routes to the Straits would lead to domination of the Straits. The basic Turkish strategic interest in the preservation of the independence of the Balkan States Is concerned with protection of the Straits. Control over the Straits by a Great Power, on the other hand, might well threaten the independence of the states of Southeastern Euro-re. Indeed, in many respects 1 See Colonel E. Bakirdzis, "La valeur strat6gique de , . la Gree pour le Proche Orient," Affaires Danubiennes, .No. 5 (1939), 231-48; "Les puissances et la nouvelle Tureuie," ibid., No. 6 (1940), 315-335; "Les pays du . Bas-Danube; rifude g6opolitieue, bid., No. 7 (140)? ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 respects, it may. be.said that the independence -of the states of Southeastern Europe depends on a rraotical solution of the problem of the Straits which would at once preserve the 'freedom of commerce through the Straits and promote the reace and stability of the.. - states of the Balkan region. IL ECONOMIC INTERESTS/OF THE. BALKAN STATES The economic ?interests of the states of Southeastern. Europe in the Straits vary, though all are vitally concerned with freedom of commerce., Bulgaria and Rumania, .for example, as Black Sea statesa have an outlet to the open Seas only through the Turkish Straits* While Bulgarian tonnage passing through the Straits has never been large, Rumanian tonnage has exceeded an annual average of 500a000 tons' and in 1239 was about 8500000 tons, sometimes surpassing the tonnage of the Soviet Union in the, Straits. 2/ Yugoslavia.also appears little interested cemmercially,-although its tonnage has?not been negligible,. Ishile that of Hungary has been even less than that of Yugoslavia a- In Contrasts Greece has had a very large tonnage passing through the Straits, averaging about 2,000,000 tons in the ten years preceding the outbreak of ,the present war, and ranking among the. first three commercial powers using these waters, Although Turkish trade, as sucha with the ,countries of Southeastern Europe has been email, Turkish' tonnage in the-Straits has naturally been very large, An Analeation of the significance of the Straits to the various. Balkan countries is shown by the following table 3/ BALKAN 2/ The Bulgarian tonnage was not listed in 1913, but the Rumanian tonnage was more than 350.,1000 in that year 3/ This table is compiled from League of Nati:ens, official Turkish And ether sources. For more complete tables see T-515. The Problem of the Turkish Stra4ts, CONFIDENTIAL.. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 BALKAN SHIPING IN THE TURKISH STRAITS ?1 (BlagiE22-qNet, -1-1E-23?oriae.) 666 State ; 1924 Albania 0 Bulgaria 0 Greeoe . 0 0 Hungary RUmanla 0 Yugoslavia2 87, 183 8279000 719960 364,134 36,173 Total 21, Percenta 386, 450 3.2122Lo 2 10 1928 1932 r.....???????????????? C 0 1937 1039509 .2 9191.43 7799950 g ?46936 4689183 g ,643,038 22,780 g 1249841 180, 379 64S f, 211 1099.'5'36 579 438 374, 422 2 3289418 2 20 5-95 564 0 14 o o 2 1.2.,s1L_D 2(122Z o CONFIDENTIAL ??=ColIMIP 1939 1940 1941 ? iYan,4110) .139163 179?798 2 181,482 2 930442 2 526682 2 225,454 15,998 2. 13,153, 2 2 . 845,135 546,816 2 175,100 2. 79,,977 30,170 59570 o o c. a ? 2 %C.) 51?0 51 2 19298, 303 42439? 0 2 26 . 4___Q9Lo Li2 pfin III. POLICIES Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 . Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 III.. POLICIES OF THE BALKAN STATES CONCERNING THE STRAITS A. The Balkan States and the Straits The policies of the states of Southeastern Europe with respect to the Straits and Turkey have varied Aceording to their position and their interests. In the period of 1919-19229 Greece, under British aegis, sought to gain a position on the coast of Asia Minor and even aspired to hold Constantinople. With the ? exceptions of Hungary and Bulgaria, they all approved the Straits Convention of Ayres in 1920 and that of Lausanne in 1923. On the other hand, Turkeys Rumania and Bulgaria rejected a Soviet proposal at Lausanne whereby the Black Sea was to become a "mare clausum of the littoral Powers," since Soviet Russia would clearly be the dominant naval power in the Black Sea. 4/ In the years which followed the Lausanne TreatY9 Turkey's relations with the Balkan States underwent a fundamenta! 4'ransformation. Turkey signed a treaty of friendshir with Yugoslalria in 1925 and renewed it in the.rall-df 1933. Turkey and Bulgaria were bound by a treaty of neutrality, arbitration and conciliation in 1929 and renewed it in the fall of 1933. Commercial treaties with the Balkan countries were signed with Bulgaria (1930), Greece (1930, 1934)9 Rumania (1930), and Yugoslavia. (1933). Greek-Turkish relations had so far improved by October 1930 that a treaty of neutrality, conciliation, arbitration and friendship was concluded. By September 13, 1933 these two ancient enemies signed a treaty guaranteeing their common frontiers and providing for common re7resentation at certain international conferences. 5/ Partly 4/ See Cmd. 1814 (2,g1Q, 250-53, 2639275-76. A so-called "Black Sea-Pact" for control of the Straits by the riverain powers has been proposed a number of times. The American Government, like Great Britain, has consistently taken the position that the Straits and the Black Sea are not solely the concern of the riverain powere. See Gabriel Hanotaux, La c7:ierre des Balkans et l'Eurore, 1912-1913 (Paris, 1.1-Nourrit, 1914), 19Z-200; N. Dan3ovici, Lace.:eetity-: lu Besphore et des Dardanelles (Oeneva ?GeorE,,, .299-300. H.N.Howard The Em1111211 of Turkey, tr,W g For text see R,J.Kerner The Balkan Con- ferences and the Balkan EnterAte., 19=-1=5 (Berkely, University of California, i-;;27-0 Document XIII, p. 231. CONFIDENTIAL Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 . ' Partly in the interest of the security of the Straits as well as in that of its general political security, the Turkish Government was much concerned with prflzr-7-cr 31n?r14?-nor f,,deration. Both Turkish and Greek political leaders played a sicnificant role in the organization and direction of the sani-official Balkan Conferences (1930-1934) in which unofficial representative. of Albania, Bulgaria, Greoce, umania, Turkey and Yugoslavia took part. On February 9 1934, Turtey0 Srt..-50a, Yugoclavia and Rumania?the 'latter 4L7-!: being members of the Little Entente with Czechoslovakia signedthe Balkan Pact by which the signatories were pledged to defend each other against attack by another Balkan State (Bulgaria or Albania). 6/ ? The Turkish Government submitted a formal request for revision of the Lausanne Straits Convention to the Conference on the Reduction and Limitation of Armaments at Geneva on March 240 1933. 7/ The next year, fear- ful of the possible designs of Fascist Italy in the Near East, ani2articularly in the region of the Straits, the Turkish Government informally communicated to the Balkan.States its desire for obtaining the right to fortify the zone of the Straits. 8/ On June le 1934, the Turkish Foreign Minister, Tevfix /Ideal Aram, submitted a resolution to the Conference asking it "to enter without delay upon an exhaustive study of the problem of security," for the purpose of arriving, especially in 6/ For text see ibid.$ Documents XIV, XV, pp. 2327-37. 17 League of Nations .4=aras. .tila aparri.teilaa BpdmatiOD. rAnd 44.1.2,11,215.1M.D.t.iUMALUanta. Berieg B. Minutes of the General Commission. Volume II. December 14th, 1932--June 20thi 1933, Section 92. R/ See Tevfik OgfW Aras, 10 aria sur les traces de Lausanne (Istanbul, Akpam Matbaasi,, 1935), 248-53. CONFIDENTIAL Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 in Europe, "by-general or regional agreements based on the principles set down in the Treaty of Locarno and that of the Balkan Entente, at such solutions as might be best calculated to make it possible to conclude Lagree- ments) for the reduction and limitation of armaments." When Italy began its march into Ethioria in 1933, Turkey, considering itself threatened at least by implication, followed the lead of Great Britain An applying economic sanctions against Italy and in supporting the system of collective security under the Covenant of the League or Nations0 In, the fall of 1935 Great 9ritain asked the several Balkan States along .the shores of the Mediterranean if they -Would place their post s at the disposal of a Great Power acting under the authority of the League of Nations. In December 1935 the Turkish Government, along with Greece and Yugoslavia, and "in concert with .its Balkan allies, replied that in the contingency contemplated it would fulfil the obligations under the Covenant." 9/ Subsequently the Ankara government asked the British, Government to furnish it with reciprocal assurances, "which were duly conveyed." Similar assurances were also given to the Greek and Yugoslav Governments. Perhaps the Turkish Government felt that Great Britain?6 attitude toward revision of the Convention of the Straits would be altered in Turkey's favor. It was not until April 10, 1936after the German forces had entered the Rhineland?that Turkey made a formal request for revision of the Lausanne Convention, however, with a genuine possibility of 'success. 10/ There is evidence that the Turkish Government, In the Interest of its own eecurity, was p:separed to act alone if its reouest were opposed by 'he Pewers, although it followed the policy of pacific procedure in :revision of the Lausanne Convention, The, British and Soviet Governments hastened_ to accede to thecalling of a conference to consider the problem of revision, the French Government wassomehat reluctant, the Japanese Government was - relatively disinterested, and Italy was not at all sympathetic with the idea Of revision. - With --57-fiErc7f7-No. 2 (12t36. Disjute between' Ethioria and Correspondence in eonnection ,it the apallapAr ? tion of Article 16 of the Convenant of the? .14.tagRe of Nations. Iaermaty 1936. jmd. 5072. 10/ Sterhen Heald and J.W.Wheaer-Rennett, Documents on International Affairs (London, Oxford, 1W7)7-- 6457,48. . CONFIDENTIAL Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 ? With the exception of Rumania, the Balkan States received the Turkish request with favor. Provided-the Greek islands In the Aegean Sea were permitted to refortify, Greece was not opposed to the Turkish move. . Yugoslavia favored the Turkish reouest, and was especially impressed that the. Turkish Government had chosen the regular channels of diplomacy and the organs of the League of Nations through which to press its desires. The Bulgarian Government announced its agreement, making known that it would "not oppose the Turkish request for remilitarization" of the Straits. The Bulgarian rress and the government, no doubt, felt that a useful rrecedent might be set for peaceful revision . of the Treaty of Neuilly. The Rumanian Government, hovever? was fearful that the entire question of treaty revision would be raised in the Balkan region and especially that the act of Turkey would "sooner or later have very . Important conseouences for the fate of the Balkan Entente and for the entire policy of southeastern Europe. The Turkish Undersecretary of State for Foreign Affairs, Numan Menemencioglu, had to make a special trip to Bucharest to clear up any Rumano-Turkish misunderstandings. When the Balkan Entente met on May 4, 1936, it appears that Greece, Yugoslavia, Rumania and Turkey, acting together, agreed on the terms whereby Turkey would be supported in its reouest to refortify the region of the Straits. Greece was to have the right to refortify the Aegean Islands, while Rumania received a Turkish guarantee that the members of the Balkan Entente would be consulted prior to the undertaking of any action. The Convention of Montreux, signed on July 20, 19369 11/ restored Turkish sovereignty over the Straits, with the full right of remilitarization of the region. Freedom of commerce In both peace and war was affirmed, even If Turkey were a belligerent, provided the commercial vessels committed no hostile acts within the Straits. Belligerents were prohibited from using the Straits in war time, except when Acting under the provisions of he Covenant of the League of Nations, or under the terms of a regional--the Balkan Entente--pact? to which Turkey was an adherent and which was registered with the League 11/1101u No. 1 (1936). Convention regarding the Realm of the Straits with Correspondence Relating thereto. Montreux, IRly 20, 1936. Cmd. 5249. CONFIDENTIAL Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 - ? ? League of Nations. 12/ The Convention was a signal victory for Turkey, for the members of the Balkan Entente, and for the Peaceful revision of treaties Under the procedure of the League of Nations. At the time, it also seemed to offer the prospect of collaboration between the Soviet Union, Great Britain and France against any threat to peace in the Eastern Mediterranean. B, Turkey, the Balkans, theatila and the IlL41: The Baikan Entente held together during the Munich crisis of 35'38, although there was little prospect of its being effective if and when a genuine test should come. Although the Balkan Entente had achieved some regional economic and cultural agreements, it fell short of a common foreign and military policy which could be applied beyond the common Balkan neighborhood. On the -eve of the:outbreak of the war, Turkey was moving cautiously in the orbit of Great.Pritain and France, while Great Britain, following the destruction of CzechOslovakia0 offered to support Greece and Rumania, and communicated this declaration to Turkey, At the same time, the Soviet Commissar for Foreign Affairs, MaximaLitvinov, appeared to be trying to organize a Turco-Balkan group for the preservation of tha afturity of the region of the Straits and the Black Sea. 1.;g A few 12/ Article .XIX declared: "Vessels of war belonging to belligerent Powers shall not, however, pass through the Straits except in cases arising out of the application of article 25 of the present Convention, and in cases of assistance rendered to a State Victim of aggression in virtue of a treaty of mutual assistance binding Turkey, concluded within the framework of the Covenant of the League of Nations, and registered and published in accordance with the , provisions of article 18 of the Covenant." 13/ See New York Times, February 8, 1939? At the closing session of thl?FVUtreux Conference, July 200 19360 Litvinov acknowledged the positive accomplishments of the Conference: "The Conference has recognized, although in an insufficient way, the special rights of the riverain states in the Plack'Sea in connection with the passage of the Straits, as well,as the special Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 A few weeks after the beginning of the war, on the occasion Of the visit of the Turkish Foreign Minister, M. Saraceglu, to Moscow, the Soviet Government proposed a'similar uBlack Sea Pact" concerning the Straits. V. M. Molotov, the Soviet Commissar for Foreign Affairs, . explained the Soviet position eoncerning the Straits in an address to the Supreme Soviet on November 12 1939, 11/ In which he denied any suggestion of altering the Montreux Convention for the purpose of establishing a "privileged position as regards the Straits", but did declare that "the subject at issue was the conclusion of a bilateral 'pact of mutual assistance limited to the regions of the Black Sea and the Straits." Such a mutual assistance pact, Molotov argued, would help to prevent armed conflict with Germany and the U.S.S.R. would have a guarantee that Turkey would not allow the warships of a non-Black Sea power into the Black Sea. Turkey rejected these proposals and on October 19, 1939 signed a pact eith Great Britain and France. The Balkan region did not become a scene of war until October 1940. At the last meeting of the Council of 13/ Con't. special geographical situation of the Black Sea in which the general conceptions of the absolute freedom of the seas could not be entirely aTated." A.,NoMandelstam, LA roliticue rUsse d'accbs a la Mediterranie aux )ff;71-117:-(Paris, 1934), 796-982 wrote: "It is now legitimate to envisage the future for a 'national Russia reborn in an inoomrletely pacified world....It will not'perhaps be too bold to suppose that the new Russia, renouncing the dream of :;onstantinorle will unite with ,Turkey and the other riverain states of the Black Sea by lines powerful enough to defend their common right to a special situation in the Straits, a situation guarantee- ing to all the riverains of the Pont-Euxine the full security of the measures which they have constructed on the enchanting shores." 11/ For text of Molotov's address see the New York Times, November 1, 1939. See also D.J.Dallin, Soviet Russia's Foreign ,FelicY, 1939-1942 (New Haven., Yale U12)7705-111; Ernest Jackh, The Risintrl Crese,ent (New York, 1944), 228 ff. CONFIDENTIAL Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 -10- of the:Balkan Entente at Belgrade, In February 1940, the Turkish Foreign Minister suggested that the members' of the Balkan Entente act tcgether in regional solidarity under any threat of aggression, although it was generally admitted that there was little prospect of success of any such action. 15/ Until the German Attack or Yugo- slavia and Greece in April 1941, the Turkish Government continued to urge concerted Balkan action. Nevertheless; on February 17, 1941, Turkey signed an agreement with Bulgaria, referring to the "inviolable peace and sincere and perpetual friendship ofthe two countries," and indicated that "Turkey and Bulgaria considered as the immutable foundation of their foreign policy to abstain from aggression." There was no reference to the possibility of German occupation of Bulgaria -- which occurred in March,--for an attack on Greece. Toward the end of February, the British Foreign Minister, Yr. Eden, tried to reconstitute a Balkan pact, ccmrosed of Greece, Yugoslavia and Turkey, but failed because of Yugoslav and Turkish reluctance, although Turkey had warned that it would not be indifferent "to foreign activities that might occur in her security zone." Turkey felt unable to move when Yugoslavia and Greece: were attacked by Germany in April 1941, and by the late spring of 1941, Crete and Tany of the Aegean islands in the neighborhood of the Dardanelles and the Turkish coast of Asia Minor were in German hands. Shortly thereafter came the German attack, on June 22, 1941, on the Soviet Union. By the Summer of 1941 the Balkan region was entirely under German control. Turkey remained a nonbelligerent ally of Great Britain, but did not venture to break off relations with 'Germany until August 2, 1944. Meanwhile the Turkish Government, partly in the interest of its position as guardian of the Straits and of securing the approaches to those waters, continued to express its desire for the constitution of some kind of Balkan Union within the framework of a general wo-dd seeUrity organization. 16/ Although - 15/ See L'Entente halkanioue du 9 avrier 1939 au 8 fivrier 1940 (Bucharest, 1940), 109 ppo 16/ The London Times, October 14, 1943; New York Times, October 150 1943. See also T-356 11161]. The Greek - Yugoslav Lmatat for Balkan Union. On August 10 1944 CONFIDENTIAL Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 , Although the unity of the Balkan Entente was broken under German and Italian pressure in 1940-1941a and. none of the members seemed to live up to its obligations., the Turkish Government has recently looked with favor eon a revival of Balkan unity, in which it would again play an active Ale.' Turkey would probably be opposed to a Balkan union of which it would not be a member, as it apparently considers participation in such a union an essential element in its Ownsecurity. It is not unlikely that such a union, with Turkey as a member, might contribute constructively to a solution of the problem of the Straits, provided it sought no exclusive control of the area0 Straits: circles aee said to believe that the achievement of a general world organization for the maintenance of peace would not render unnecessary a Balkan union, although it would relieve such a union of apprehensions_zoneerning the security of its members and would make superfluous common militaTy precautions, except those arising from their limited obligations under a regional union. On the other hand, in the 'event of the formation of a South Slav Union, to which Yugoslavia and Bulgaria would belong to the exclusion of other states of the Balkan region, it is probable that Greece and Turkey might form an alliance, or even closer union. Despite difficulties during the present war, Greek?Turkish friendship has been so well founded that it has stood the strain, and Turkey has voiced no objection to the Greek desire toacquire the Dodecanese Islands. Although commercial relations between the two countries were very limited during the inter?war period, Greece.has a rrimary interest in the problem of the Straits in view of the Greek carrying trade which goes through those waters. Greek and Turkish statesmen have both expressed their hopes of close collaboration in the future, in view of their common interests as Balkan and Mediterranean Powers. Turkish leaders apparently believe that Turkish Greek friendship will greatly facilitate achievement of plans vhich allegedly being formulated by Great Britain and the Soviet Union, and especially the Plan for a South Slav union as suggested by the Yugoslav Committee of National Liberation, so that the nerthern and 16/ Oon'ta it was announced that the Bulgarian Government had officially advised the Turkish Government through its minister. to-Ankara,.Mr. Nicholas Balabanoffa that Bulgaria-WoUld dbaits utmosteto oppose any German military action against Turkey through an Axis Balkan satellite. See,Ilew York,Times, August 190 1944. CONFIDENTIAL Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8 - and southern Balkan countries would not be rivals but form A Balkan union vith the assistance of both Great Britain and the Soviet Union. Otherwise:, it would teem. likely that a, Greek,-Turkish Alliance, with the possible addition of Albania, under the auspices of Great Britain might become a make?weight In a Balkan and Near Eastern balelCe of power. Prepared TS: Reviewed TS: NE: by: HNHoward by: PWIreland GLJones? Jr. ONFI DENT' AL Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/13: CIA-RDP08C01297R000500030008-8