NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE SURVEY 58; MOZAMBIQUE; THE ECONOMY

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CIA-RDP01-00707R000200100011-3
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APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 0 WARNING The NIS is National Intelligence and may not be re- leased or shown to representatives of any foreign govern- ment or international body except by specific authorization of the Director of Central Intelligence in accordance with the provisions of National Security Council Intelligence Di- rective No. 1. For NIS containing unclassified material, however, the l portions so ma.-ked may be made available for official pur- poses to foreign nationals and nongovernment personnel provided no attribution is made to National Intelligence or the National Intelligence Survey. Subsections and graphics are individually classified according to content. Classification /control designa- tions are: (U /OU) ltnclassified /For Official Use Only (C) Confidential (S) Secret APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 This clwpter was prepared for the NIS by the Centra' Intelligence Agency. Research was sub stantially completed by May 1973. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/1'6:' CIA-RDP01 -00707R000200100011-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA-RDP01-00707R000200100011-3 CONTENTS This chanter supersedes the economic coverage in the General Sumxv dalcd August 1987. A. Economic appraisal 1 B. Structure of the econoruy 2 1. Agriculture, fisheries, and forestry 2 a. Soils and climate 2 b. Agrieulture 2 c. Fisheries 5 d. Forestry 5 2. Fuels and power 5 I Metals and minerals 6 CONFMLN APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA-RDP01-00707R000200100011-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP0l- 00707R000200100011 -3 FIGURES Page Page Page 4. Manufacturing and construction 7 2. Development 10 5. Domestic trade 8 3. Manpower 10 Q Economic policy and development 8 D. International economic relations 11 I. Policy ...................I 8 1. Foreign trade 11 a. Government finance 3 2. Balance of payments 12 b. Money and banking 9 3. Foreign aid 12 FIGURES it V APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP0l- 00707R000200100011 -3 Page Fig. 1 Estimated land use (chart) 2 Fig. 2 9stimated production of major 7 Fig. 8 cash crops stable) 3 Fig. 3 Major crop areas and fishing ports 8 Fig. 9 (map) 3 Fig. 4 Estimated production of major food External trade (chart; 1 crops (table) 5 Fig. 5 Livestock population (tabl 5 Fig. 6 Production of principal minerals Balance of payments (table) 13 (table) 7 it V APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP0l- 00707R000200100011 -3 Page Fig.7 Output of major manufacturing industries chart) 7 Fig. 8 Major industrial and mining centers (snap) 8 Fig. 9 Government budgets (table) 9 Fig. 10 External trade (chart; 1 Fig. 11 Major exports (table) 11 Fig. 12 Direction of trade (chart) 12 Fig, 13 Balance of payments (table) 13 it V APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP0l- 00707R000200100011 -3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 Ai' d^ 1cA% 4Y-' l: C'+ ti=' sG l.LA(`p'+an+wm*u+e+�.w The Economy A. Economic appraisal (U /OU) The economy of Mozambique is dominated by Portugal, which formulates Mo imbican economic policy. Portuguese companies own the major manufacturing and transportation facilities and conduct the bulk of the external trade as well as the most important domestic business. As an overseas sta'^ of Portugal, Mozambique is a member of the escudo monetary zone, through which it shares monetary and payments systems and development plans with Portugal and its other overseas states. About one -third of Mozambique's trade is with metropolitan Portugal, consisting largely of exports of raw materials and imports of manufactured goods. Emigration of metropolitan Portuguese to their African states is encouraged by ?ortugal, both to relieve shortages of skilled labor in those states and to east: population pressure in Portugal. The white Portuguese in Mocambique currently number about 200,000, an 80% increase since 1960. They constitute about 290 of the population and represent the fourth largest white population in sub Saharan Africa. Like virtually all other African countries, Mozambique is heavily dependent on agriculture, which supplies most of the food for the domestic Market, is the principal means of livelihood, and furnishes the, bulk of exports. Cashews, cotton, and sugar are the most important commercial crops, while subsistence -type farming consists largely of the production of grains and other food crops. Mozambique relies on imports for machinery and equipment and for it variety of consumer goods. The value of exports, mostly agricultural goods and mineral products, has traditionally failed to cover the value of imports. The annual trade deficits are partially covered by earnings from invisibles, particularly transit trade and tourism. Mozambique's railroads and ports form an integral part of the transport network of south- central Africa, and charges on goods carried between the interior countries- Zambia, Rhodesia, Malawi ---and Mozambique's ports of Lau reliC'n Marques,' Beira, nd Nacala provide one- fourth to one -third of total foreign exchange eamings. Manufacturing is of growing importance. Industrial production increased by 97c in 1971 and now accounts for 207o of the gross national Vmduct (GNP It includes the processing of agricultural products, the manufacture of textiles and other consumer goods, and the production of cement and other construction materials. Mocambique has a wide variety of mineral resources, and reining will no doubt gruw in importance. Coal is currently the leading mineral produced in the country. Although MolxTnbictuc produces no oil, it does have a substantial refining industry to fill local demand and provide exports M,,zamisique's economy tins grown steadily at about 5%, a year in real terms over the past decade. In 1972, GNP was roughly $2 billion, or about $210 per capita. Prospect's for continued growth are good, particularly lit mining. manufacturing, and transpor- tation. In recent years, Portugal has placed greater emphasis on economic development of Lite state. The Third Six -Year Development Plan (1968 -73), funded by Portuguese, state, and private investment, calls for growth in GNP of 77o a year and an aggregate investment of $586 million. Investment tinder the plan covers major projects only and does not include sniall- scale industry or agriculture. Living standards of Mozambique's 27o European population contrast sharply with those of its 98 black majority. The Europeans occupy most of the managerial, technical, acid professional positions in the economy, and their living standards are roui;llly �camparable to those of metropolitan Portugal. The blacks are mainly subsistence farmers tied to local market areas or care unskilled and semiskilled workers in the more urbanized manufacturing, mining, and transportation sectors. About 250,000 of Moiant- bique's blacks work in the mines or on the farms of 'For diauitkx on pluee mimes see the list of nantcs oti the apron 1st" the sommar; 11 ,101) in ttic Country f AASIe chapter, the map itself, and math In (lie text. 77777777777 7777 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 South Africa and Rhodesia. Laving; standards among the blacks are roughly comparable to those of the majority of the inhabitants of sub Saharan Africa. Portugal is a relatively poor country as compared with other Western European countries, and its maintenance of a 30,000 -man defense force in Mozambique is especially burdensome, constraining its ability to foster economic progress in Mozambique. B. Structure of the economy 1. Agriculture, fisheries, and forestry (U /OU) a. Soils and climate About twice the size of California, iNozurtibique is 1,220 miles long; and varies in width from 50 to 718 miles, The state can be roughly divided into three geographic zones: lite coastal belt, the central plateau, and the highlands. The coastal belt, which covers about 4050 of the total area, is quite narrow in the north but widens until it includes most of the country south of Beira. The central plateau, covering 30% (if the total area, is a transitional zo:.e of hills and low plateaus ranging from 500 to 2,000 feet in elevation. The Lighlund region, which has an average elevation of 3,000 feet, extends across most of the northern p;lrt of the country, but it becomes only a narrow strip along the horeler in tits south. The Zambezi, southern Africa's fourth longest river, divides Mo'ranibique in half. Climate varies from tropical to subtropical in all :areas except the high platcat: and mountainous areas. The rainy season, extending; from October to March, is well defined and is wurmer than the dry season. ltainfull is irregular, and sonic districts, particularly in the south, are subject to severe droughts and floods, ll;ainfall often exceeds 40 inches a year in the north and normally exceeds 20 inclics in all parts of the country. Soils throughout Mozambique are generally poor and sandy, although rich alluvial soils are located in the many river valleys_ Almost one -third of Nlorambiquc's land area is suitable for crop production, but only about 6 is actually f armland and only 256 of the land is cultivated (Figure 1). b. Agricealture Mozambique is heavily dependent on agriculture, which provides about 657c of its exports and employs more than 80% of its population largely in i subsistence agriculture. Most of rite foreign exchange is derived from exports of cotton and cashews, which are harvested by Africans from wild trees, Sugar and tea are also valuable export crops. Sisal and copra are TOTAL LAND ARIBA 303.769 square, miles Fcresu 5fi;. Cutttvated land l7. FIGURE Estimated land use (U /OU) exported, hilt their prices have declined sharply in world markets. About half of [lie agricultural exports go to Portugal. The United States, the United Kingdom. and South Africa are also important customers. Agricultural commodities, mainly wine and wheal. account for about 20% of Nlozainhigtie's imports. Agriculture is of three types: African subsistence farming, small- and rneditum- scale European -type and large -scale plantation or estate farming, Over I million African farm families are engaged in traditional agriculture:, producing mainly cassava, corm, peanuts, rice, and a variety of vegetables and fruits for subsistence; most of them also grow crops for the market economy, and they produce the hulk of the commercial ciltom and rice. Their share of the commercial crop output has been decrcasing, however, because of the growth of plantation farming;, increasing numbers of non African fanners, mud i extension and educational services About half of the farmland is cmtrolled by individuals cif European extraction, who constitute less than 156 of rile Kenn population. Of [lie more than 3,000 rurapean- owned farms, 15% are cilropany estates and plantations, about a dozen of which are very large. Sugar, sisal, copra, tea, and eaoshew nuts are the prineipal plantation crops. Small -scale E in opean farmers produce; rice, tea, tobacco, corn, and kenaf. The government has formulated elaborate plans to increase agricultural production through irrigation -told settlement schemes and through plantation and "outgroweF' projects, Of (lie $82.1 million cannarked a 2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 ,v..R .'3'. ..u ?.;:..:M �`N.: d.., c- tF. g?, vw� 'a,.t:t.d".�wa:3'L':?'.�r' arc, 7.; n?'..:_ x. ie;". a- 1ar. a. a: rw:: r- emswsr= uice'-razect- ns:.rc't+r C 'Y for agricultural development under the third development plan, $63.6 million i. scheduled for the development of irrigation and settlement schemes. The plan calls for financing the settlement of about 4,000 metropolitan Portuguese farming families in Mozambique during 1968 -73. (At present about 300 such families arc entering Mozambique each year.) The schemes, patterned after Portuguese peasant communities, encourage small- and medium -seals production of livestock and such crops as rice, tobacco, corn, and kenaf. Each settler is provided with a house, land, tools, seeds, and other basic items. Government expenditures total about $10,000 per family, and in return, the state receives one -sixth of the produce from each farm. The projects also include cooperatives, which market the crops and provide a variety of other services. The largest settlement programs are Iocated around irrigation projects on the Limpopo River and on the Revue River near Vila Pery, but current emphasis is on colonies at Lioma in'lambezia, Vila de Montepuez in Cabo Delgado, and Mandimba in Niassa. De5pitc the emphasis given to these settlement schemes, their return on investment has been quite low. Less costly than settlement schemes, outgrowcr' projects consist of independently owned and operated farms situated around a processing facility. The farms supply produce to the processing plant, .which in turn provides technical and financial assistance to the farms, (1) Cashew nuts Mozambique is by for the world's leading producer of cashew nuts, with o .tput of about 185,000 tons in 1972 (Figure 2). Exports of cashew nuts, valued more than $35 million in 1971, are the Ieading commodity export. Originally brought from Brazil in the 16th and 17th centuries, cashew trees now grow wild in the dense forests along the Mozambique coast (Figure 3). The bulk of the crop is still gathered by Africans from wild trees and sold through country cs. ,11. taw A- dr LIU us. yap td k rw a c..r rr sr w cw,a, a. 4KF." Seats masx c.Jw nm Ca w Wrqugs be" S15 FIGURE 3. Major crop areas and fishing ports (U /OU) stores to Indian traders and to cashew shelling plants. The cultivation of cashew trees on Europe owned plantations has been increasing in recent years. Prior to the raid- 1960's, almost all of the cashew crop was sent to India for shelling and eventual reexport, mostly to th e United States. Modern cashew ,shelling plants 110w mechanically shell a sizable portion of the nuts prior to export. Cashew kernels are used domestically as food, and the fruit is used in the production of a fermented beverage. Cashew nut shell oil, which is used in paints, varnishes, resins, and FIGURE 2. EstimoWl production of major cash crops (U /OU) (Thousand metric tons) na Vats not available. *Includes small ameunte of refined sugar. 3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 1901 -05 .1972 (AV ERAOX) 1966 1067 1808 1909 1970 1971 (mr.) Cotton lint......... 35 38 45 42 43 46 26 na Raw sugar`.......... 169 176 204 214 250 280 325 305 Cashew nuts......... 110 160 170 120 115 150 182 185 Copra 56 55 57 00 54 60 62 no Sisal 30 31 31 32 30 28 24 no Tea (dried) 9 14 13 14 16 17 10 na na Vats not available. *Includes small ameunte of refined sugar. 3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 electrical insulation, is the most important byproduct of the shelling process. declined in importance because of low world prices. About half of the exports, valued at $4 million in 1970, go to Portugal. (2) Cotton Yearly cotton output varies with local weather conditions, averaging 35,000 to 45,000 tons of lint a year. Cotton has traditionally been one of Mozambique's largest foreign exchange carriers. Exports of raw cotton were valued at $24 million in 1971. The cotton harvest in 1972 t3s estimated at 147,000 tons (seed basis). More than 600,000 African farmers, mostly in the northern part of the country, cultivate cotton using traditiL.nal, low -yield methods. These farmers produce only about 40% of [lie total crop. The rest is produced by Europeans and Africans using mocleni methods. Prior to 1961, the farmers worked for concessionaires and verc forced to plant specified acreages, for which they received fixed prices. The govcrnment- operated Cotton Institute replaced this system and now markets the crop and provides technical assistance to the farmers. (3) Sugar Production of raw sugar has more than doubled between 1966 and 1972, and sugar has become an irnportar,t foreign exchange eamcr, with exports totaling $21 million in 1971. Sugar milling capacity has been increased to about 395,000 tons. Domestic consumption is about 120,000 tons; the balance of tile output is exported to Portugal. Five large estates dominate sugar production. The ?argest is the British -owned Sena Sugar Esta!es W., located near the mouth of the Zambezi River. The four other large estates� Sociedode Agricola do Incon:ati, Acucare!ra de Mocambique, Marracrrene Agricola Acucareira, and Companhfa do ftzl �are Portuguese owned. New investments by Acucarefm ae Mocam- bique to increase its annual production by 200,000 tons, plus slight annual increases forecast for the other companies, are expected to boost Mozambique's sugar production to about 600,000 tons by I976. (4) Tea Mozambique ranks third (after Kenya and Malawi) among African producers of tea. Most of the crop, a standard- quality Indian type similar to other cast African tc�+, is grown in the Zambezia hills and mountains close to the Malawi border. Exports, valued at $1v million in 1971, go mainly to the United Kingdom. Although the government encourages small -scale Portuguese farmers to cultivate tea, the bulk of the production comes from large plantations that employ over 40,000 African workers. (6) Copra Large European -owned plantations along the coastal plain in Zambezia and Mocambique Districts produce mast of Mozambique's commercial e.�opra. Smaller farmers also produce copra for their own use. Increased domestic consumption of coconut oil has reduced copra exports, which totaled about $9 million in 1971. (7) Other crops �Corn is produced both on European owned plantations and by native Africans. Most of the crop is consumed domestically, particularly in the south. Supplementary imports of corn are often required, but in good years some exports are possible. Africans grow most of Mozambique's rick on a subsistence basis, although 4,000 to 5,000 tons were to be exported in 1972. Peanuts are grown by Africans throughout Mocambique, with production averaging about 75,000 tons of shelled nuts annually. Most of the crop is consumed locally, but sonic peanut oil and cake are exported to Portugal. About 6,009 tons of kenaf, a substitute for jute, are produced annually for use mainly by the local weaving industry. Tobacco has been grown in Mozambique singe the 1920's, Marketing problems have limited exports, and production is largely for the domestic market. Cassava and yams are other important African subsistence crops. Mozambique has a continuing shortage of wheat; production is about 10,000 tons a year, and imports total a;:out 100,000 to 110,000 tons annually. Production of major fond crops is summarized in Figure 4. (8) Livestock �The raising of livestock has been limited by the presence of the tsetse fly in over two thirds of the country, water shortages, a lack of natural pasturage, an unsatisfactory grading system, and the African tradition of .holding cattle as a form of wealth. African farmers own most of the livestt zk, but a few large European cattle ranches around L.ourenco Marques provide that city with meat and dairy products. Meat production totaled only 16,500 tons in 1972. In recent years the government has made significant efforts to increase the livestock population, largely through the Mozambique Veterinuiy Services Department, which is responsible for livestock development. The department has been giving free technical assistance, increasing the number of watering points, broadening credit facilities, and seeking new markets. Through the Livestock Development Fund, the government guarantees a (5) Sisal �Most of the sisal is grown on large plantations scattered along the coast in Mocambique and Zambezia Districts. Production averaged about 30,000 tons a year during the last decade, but the crop F Y i 4 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 FIGURE A. Estimated production of major food crops (t110U) (Thousand metric tons) 1061 -05 (AVERAGE) 1900 1067 1968 1969 1970 1971 Camava 2,030 2,040 2,050 2,000 2,100 2,100 2,100 Corn 361 500 800 560 500 350 410 }tics........... 94 100 100 130 150 110 160 Sweet potatoes and yams...... 31 31 32 32 32 32 33 wheat. 0 8 7 10 10 10 to minimum price to farmers for livestock and subsidizes the ecst of animals bought by poorer farmers. In September 1972 the government introduced excise taxes on certain dairy products, the procceds.of which were to be used by the development fund to provide banuses for improving quality and productivity, help build milking and reduce transport and delivery costs of dairy ,products. The gradual increase in the livestock population is shown in Figure 5. c. Fisheries Despite Mozambique's long coastline and extensive river network, fishing remains a small industry that does not meet even the domestic demarirl for fishery products. AlthougF some shrimp are exported, tic bulk of the catch, estimated at 10,000 tons in 1971, is consumed locally. Imports of fresh and dried fish, valued at about $4 million, are the third ranking food import, after wine and wheat. A number of companies are involved in Mozam- bique's commercial fishing. Our Lady of Fatima Fish Company (INOS), a subsidiary of the South African Anglo American Corporation, is the largest fishery company. It was forced to transfer part of its capital to Portuguese interests in 1966, when a law was passed allowing only. Portuguese companies operating Portz uese, -built vessels to fish in Mozambique territorial waters. In 1966, Portuguese and Angolan capitalists formed the other large fishing company, FIGORE 5. Livestock population, (UJOUI (IAA head) 1062 1064 1860 1969 1970 i Cattle.......... 1,142 1,144 1,208 1,260 1,338 (bate.......... 418 419 490 1522 670 Shoop........... 100 143: 120 118 180 Hop........... 82 130 140 00 210 TotaN.....:. 1 1,797, 1,958 2,029 2,360 �Figurtt: may not add to totals becsaae of rounding. Mozambique Fish Canning Company .(ARPEM). Fishing; employs more than 20,000 people, mostly Africans working for the Portuguese. d. Forestry Although more than half of the country is forested. only 10% of Mazarnbiquc's total area has commer- cially exploitable forests. The state owns almost all the forests and issues licenses to concessionaires for their exploitation. Licensing is designed to avoid indiscriminate cutting and to protect certain species. Domestic consumption of wood chiefly for carpentry and for use as charcoal and fuelwood for cooking --is very small. About 90% of production, which consists entirely of hardwoods, is exported. Exports of wood products, valued at $7 million, were the country's seventh most valuable export in 1971. 2. Tuels and power (C) Mozambique's energy resources include a hydro- electric potential that is sufficient to meet the economy's need fa: many years, fuelwood for the subsistence sector, and coal for both domestic use and export. Several companies hold concessions for oil exploration, but after investments of over $50 million, no oil was found and drilling ceased. Leserves of natural gas, estimated at over 3 billion cubic meters, have been discovered at Pande. South Africa offers a potential market for the gas, but its exportation would require construction of a 250 -mile pipeline, and this doec noz seem feasible in the near future: The refinery at Matola -Rio fills almost all domestic needs for petroleum products through the processing of imported crude. The refinery, owned by National Petroleum Refinery Company (SONAREP), has a capacity of 18,000..barrels perday(b:p.d:). In 1971, its output averaged 14,500 b.p.d. with a value of $26 million for the year. Imported crude petroleum �all from Iraq, and Imni was vitlued:.at :$1W million in 1971. Except for :some highly specialized Octrolcum products, the iefinery,'s output exceeds -domestic 8 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 requirements. About two- thirds of the output is exported, primarily to South Africa, Malawi, Swaziland, and Portugal. This refinery is to be i expanded, and the building of another, much larger, refinery at Nacala to provide additional exports is being considered. Mozambique- Rhodesia Pipeline Company, a joint British, Portuguese, and Rhodesian firm, completed a petroleum pipeline from Beira to Rhodesia's Feruka refinery in 1965. Almost 200 miles long, it has a throughput capacity of 2.1,000 b.p.d. of crude oil. The pipeline has never been used because of the U.N. embargo on oil shipments to Rhodesia. The small clCctric power industry meets the demands of the major cities, although in the last decade there has been virtually no increase in generating capacity. Upon completion of the first three stages of the Cabora Bassa hydroelectric powerplant in 1979, however, Mozambique will rank third on the continent of Africa in installed power capacity. At the end of 1971, estimated installed capacity was 232,000 kilowatts (kw.). Electric power production In 1.971 was approximately 550 million kilowatt hours (kw.- hr.) -68 kw.-hr. per capita --or about 25% of capacity. Although about 705' of the national power capacity is in thermal installations, the largest single facility is the 64,900 -kw. Revue hydroelectric powerplant, which contains almost 30% of Mozambique's total capacity. In addition to supplying power to Vila Pery and to Beira, 140 million kv. -hrs. are exported annually from Revue to Umtaii in Rhodesia. In Lourenco Marques the National Company for the Study and Financing of Ovarseas Undertakings (SONS E) has thermal (steam) renerators with a total capacity of 37,500 kw, and a 17,500 -kw, reserve gas turbine plant. A new 36,600 -1 gas turbine unit o is scheduled for completion bathe end of 1973. Smaller Plants form an important component of the electric j power base by supplying remote localities and isolated industries. The electricity transmission s)stem consists of 1f0- kilovolta(kv.) and 66 -kv. lines. The main transmission system serves the Lourenco Marques and Beira areas. A 275 -kv. transmission line links the SUNEFE and South African power networks. A 22 -kv. distribution system and lower voltage lines provide power to several tmvzrs. CGnsumer current k 1- and 3- phase, 50 cycles, at 220/3M0 volts. Power development focuses on construction of the Cabora..Bassa dam, lrtcated 86 miles from Tete on the Zambezi River. The project, for which it contract has been awarded to an international consortium, is designed to provide abundant and inexpensive electricity to Mozambique and South Africa. It will also serve as the cornerstone of a plan for agricultural, mineral, and industrial development in the surrounding region. South Africa has agreed to purchase most of tltc initial output of electricity, because Mozambique's present needs are small. Revenue from the sale of electricity during the first 15 years will be used to repay foreign loans used to finance the dam. Thereafter, foreign exchange earnings of at least $25 million annually will accrue to Mozambique. The first stage of the project, scheduled for completion in early 1975, consists of the installation of generators with a capacity of 1.2 million kw., the main darn, and a portion of the South Bank Powerplant. The second stage will increase the capacity to 1.6 million kw. in 1977, and the third stage will further raise it to 2 million kw. in 1979. The final phase, not yet tendered for bids, would provide a total capacity of 4 willion kw., nearly twice that of the Aswan l-Iigh Darn, currently the largest in Africa. Two parallel, 830 -mile powcrlines will link thedam with the Republic of South Africa. Militant black African nationalists have attempted to block the construction of the powerplant and dam. An underground coaxial cable is being installed along the entire 850 -mile route as an atixiliary in the event of disruption of the surface lines, In sections of the transmission line route, unfavorable terrain, including mountainous areas, makes construction, maintenance. and defense of transmission facilities especially difficult. Guerrilla harassment could lead to Icngthy dclays in construction. Construction has also reportedly begun on the long awaited hydroelectric/ river control clam at Massingir on a tributary of the Limpopo River that is to be the focal point of a large- scale Limpopo valley development program. 3. Metals and minerals (1U/01U) Mozambique has an extensive variety of mineral resources, but their exploitation has been limited by inadequate transportation facilities and generally low ore concentrations: Mineral production was valued at less than $7 million in 1971. Mozambique is divided into three main areas of mineral .wealth: the Vila de Manica area near Vila Pe-y. an extension of the Rhodesian mineral zone; Tete District; and an area extending north from Quelimane to Porto Amelia and tip the Cabo Delgado District to Tanzania. The Zambezi River valley iu District containing iron ore, tantalite, fluorite, and extensive coal deposits ---is the most promising area for mineral exploitation. `6 i APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 r C' Other important iron ore deposits -e at Vita Per) near the Rhodesian border and at Narnapa near the coast. Pegmatite deposits containing beryl, und coluntbite- tantalite, are locate(1 near Alto Ligonlia, and copper deposits are found in the Vila Pery District. Deposits 7)f nickel, ilnlenite, manganese, uranium, asbestos, gold, and diamonds occur throughout the country. Coal is by far the largest item in Mozambique's limited mineral production. The Mozambique Coal Company extracts 300,000 tons of coal a year from the Vila Muutize coalfields, most of which is sold to local railroads and the remainder is exported; production has been limited by high transportation costs. Production of colurnbitc- tantalite, which i'I used as an alloy in heat resistant metals, has declined in the last I0 years and was valued at only $600,000 in 1971. Small quantities of other minerals arc mined (Figure 6). Prospecis are good for Increased iron. reproduction. The Sumitomo Group of Japan plans to develop iron ore deposits near Namapa estimated at 360 million tons. The project includes t}re construction of a railroad to the port of NadNala for transporting the ore. Tile Uranium Company of Mozambique will exploit the other large iron ore deposit near Vila Pery, which contains all estimated 100 million tons of high -grade ore. Plans call for the construction of a 250,000 ton per -year steel mill in Lourenco Mar(tues, to be complete([ in 1973 -76, that will utilize domestic iron ore and scrap iron. Mott minerals, except for coal and iron ore, are exploited by small private mining operations. Government policy calls for improving the inspa :ion of concessionary enterprises in order to reduce uneconomic exploitation. Construe'don of the Calory Massa dam will facilitate the exploitation of the Zambezi valley's considerable mineral wealth. Aglioiif of U.S. Donors Food 4. Manufacturing and construction (U /OU) Mozambique's pridustriai sector has expanded rapidly in the last decade and now accounts for about 20% of GNP. Industrial production reached $120 million in 1971, a 9% increase over that of the preceding year. In the first half of 1972 production FIGURE d, Production of principal minerals (UJOU) (Metric forts) 1960 I965 1071 c Coal 280,020 237,500 322,073 Columbite- tantalite........ 152 31 8o 2%ficrolite ti 85 54 Bau%I 4,840 5,0so 5,515 ao rs� and tobkco 'Potraleum Products Chemical products Mineral products Meg[ products Shoes and dothiag Wood products FIGURE 7. Output of major manufacturing industries, 1971 (UJOU) increased 12 o over the corresponding period of 19; I. Europeans own and operate most of the plants and employ Africans as unskilled laborcrs. Industrial activity consists hargely of agricirlttual processing and consumer goods production Figure 7). Food processing accounts for the largest portion of industrial output. Sugar refining, the processing of cashew nuts, and the milling; of rice and wheat ..re prominent industries. Soft drinks anti beer are the main beverages produced. Other major manufacturjd items include cotton and jute textiles, petroleum products (from imported erurl� oil), vegetable oils, and cement. Other manufactures, produced 1.irgely for local consumption, inclwe cigarettes, 1- 1tles, tin cans, paint, soap, metal furniture, and lottery, in addition, l)icycics, refrigerators, and radios are assembled, and there is some metalwork, incit,ding the manufacture of railway cars for local arse and export. Government policies that discourage imports and encourage local investment in order to promote industrial development are [raving some success. In addition to older industries, such as textiles and food processing, new ventures are expanding in such fields as chemicals, pulp and paper, storage batteries, rubber tires, and various types of machinery and equipment assembly fir mid -1972, 1.50 applications, representing a total investment of $140 million, were pending for the establishment or expansion of industrial projects. The major centers of industrial development to date have been in L,ourenco Marques and Be!.m (Figure S). APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 J I FIGURE 8. Major industrial and mining cutters (l1{OU) Local production supplies light construction :materials. Hardwoods are abundant, and there are large sawmills it, the Beira and Lourenco Marques Districts. Granite and other hard rock are available in the north, and limesto! -a, sand, and gravel exist in most areas. Cement, lime, precast concrete products, asbestos, bricks, and tiles are manufactured lomtily. Cement production has risen rapidly in recent years, totaling 420,900 tons in 1971. A new cement plant under construction at Matola -Rio will have an annual capacity of 600,000 .tons. There is no basic steel industry, but steel reinforcing bars, wire, and wire products are produced from scrap and imported materials. Manufacturers in the principal,, towns produce a narrow range of structural steel, sheet metal, and foundry castings. Asphalt, paint, welding electrodes, industrial gases, electri c cable, and cordage atso are made locally. Government engineering departments and contractors increasingly are using carth- moving and general civil engineering equip- ment, much of which has been imported for development projects such a: the Cabom Bassa dam. There are good workshop facilities in'the principal towns. 5. Domestic trade (U /OU) Mozambique's comrnercia) system is oriented more to the transit trade serving its landlocked neighbors than to purely domestic trade. Most railroads and E3 roads extend from east to west, linking the developed areas of the interior countries with the coast. Those transportation facilities tht k serve Mozambique exclusively are inadequate and have hindered the expansion of domestic commercial activity. A major effort is now underway. however, to Iink the main population and industrial centers through a comprehensive system of hard surfaced roads and improved air transport. The first north south asphalt road from Lourenco Marques to Beira is now complete, as is an asphalt road from Vila Pery to Tete and Cabors Bassa. New feeder roads and rail links are also planned, Mozambique will be linked to Luanda (Angola) and Lisbon by a daily jet service when the international airport at Lourenco Marques is expanded and modern,zed (by June 1973). Trade in the modem sector of the economy has grown along with the expansion of r.NP and is centered in the urban areus; Lourenco Marques alone accounts for about half of gross sales. The gross commercial sales index for Lourenco Marq!ies increased from 219 in 1969 to 25 &in 1970 and 295 in 1971 (1959=100). New consumption taxes and customs clearance charges have hampered trade growth, as have restrictions on imports of consumer goods. Europeans awn the large import- export houses and also control most domestic trade. Indians and Chinese operate many of the general merehandisz stores and trading houses. Most of Mozambicans live in,, rural areas, where trade is carried on through barter. There iE some commerce between Africans and European rural merchants, who purchase livestock, cashew nuts, and other farm products. The government is expanding the monetary sector by establishing more than a thousand trading posts throughout the country for the benefit of the local population. In addition, cooperatives and commodity boards provide advice to Africans on the marketing of their own goods. C. Economic policy and development (U /00 1. Policy a. Government finance Portugal maintains close control of Mozambique's finances through inspection and annual review of accounts by the Ministry of Overseas and the National Assembly. Annual budgets must be submitted to tl Legislative Assembly for approval. Mozambique has two budgets-. the ordinary budget covers recurring items, and the extraordinary budget deals chiefly with APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 O Q Cw+f11�'tMU. l ip Crw Mrwrw7 W. L I L 4 lwMq m/Mi.vKk I.I nA FIGURE 8. Major industrial and mining cutters (l1{OU) Local production supplies light construction :materials. Hardwoods are abundant, and there are large sawmills it, the Beira and Lourenco Marques Districts. Granite and other hard rock are available in the north, and limesto! -a, sand, and gravel exist in most areas. Cement, lime, precast concrete products, asbestos, bricks, and tiles are manufactured lomtily. Cement production has risen rapidly in recent years, totaling 420,900 tons in 1971. A new cement plant under construction at Matola -Rio will have an annual capacity of 600,000 .tons. There is no basic steel industry, but steel reinforcing bars, wire, and wire products are produced from scrap and imported materials. Manufacturers in the principal,, towns produce a narrow range of structural steel, sheet metal, and foundry castings. Asphalt, paint, welding electrodes, industrial gases, electri c cable, and cordage atso are made locally. Government engineering departments and contractors increasingly are using carth- moving and general civil engineering equip- ment, much of which has been imported for development projects such a: the Cabom Bassa dam. There are good workshop facilities in'the principal towns. 5. Domestic trade (U /OU) Mozambique's comrnercia) system is oriented more to the transit trade serving its landlocked neighbors than to purely domestic trade. Most railroads and E3 roads extend from east to west, linking the developed areas of the interior countries with the coast. Those transportation facilities tht k serve Mozambique exclusively are inadequate and have hindered the expansion of domestic commercial activity. A major effort is now underway. however, to Iink the main population and industrial centers through a comprehensive system of hard surfaced roads and improved air transport. The first north south asphalt road from Lourenco Marques to Beira is now complete, as is an asphalt road from Vila Pery to Tete and Cabors Bassa. New feeder roads and rail links are also planned, Mozambique will be linked to Luanda (Angola) and Lisbon by a daily jet service when the international airport at Lourenco Marques is expanded and modern,zed (by June 1973). Trade in the modem sector of the economy has grown along with the expansion of r.NP and is centered in the urban areus; Lourenco Marques alone accounts for about half of gross sales. The gross commercial sales index for Lourenco Marq!ies increased from 219 in 1969 to 25 &in 1970 and 295 in 1971 (1959=100). New consumption taxes and customs clearance charges have hampered trade growth, as have restrictions on imports of consumer goods. Europeans awn the large import- export houses and also control most domestic trade. Indians and Chinese operate many of the general merehandisz stores and trading houses. Most of Mozambicans live in,, rural areas, where trade is carried on through barter. There iE some commerce between Africans and European rural merchants, who purchase livestock, cashew nuts, and other farm products. The government is expanding the monetary sector by establishing more than a thousand trading posts throughout the country for the benefit of the local population. In addition, cooperatives and commodity boards provide advice to Africans on the marketing of their own goods. C. Economic policy and development (U /00 1. Policy a. Government finance Portugal maintains close control of Mozambique's finances through inspection and annual review of accounts by the Ministry of Overseas and the National Assembly. Annual budgets must be submitted to tl Legislative Assembly for approval. Mozambique has two budgets-. the ordinary budget covers recurring items, and the extraordinary budget deals chiefly with APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 X FIGURE 9. State gove.nment budget, 19$8 -1972 IUJO.UI (Millions of U.S. dollars) 1971 1972 1968 1969 1970 (rm.) (zaT.) O rdinary revenue I... 251 281 366 288 315 Di rect taxes Indirect taxes EXCESS taxes Other taxw Receipts of autonomous agencies and funds....... Other Extraordinary T otal revenue OrdW,-,y expenditure Debt servicing D ovelopnicnt D efense. G onerat a dministnstion Oth er Extmordlaary expenditure 39 47 59 48 55 34 &5 40 37 40 17 24 20 28 26 14 13 19 18 18 134 146 137 142 in 12 13 13 16 14% 26 33 36 43 69 270 314 342 331 3" 239 264 290 288 315 11 12 14 19 21 113 124 132 115 128 29 32 33 15 38 44 48 57 02 69 41 48 54 58 59 26 34 36 43 6P T otal expendituro* 205 208 326 331 am Surplus 11 17 i8 0 0 *Figures may not add to totals because or rounding. nonrecurring items such as public development financed the deficit. Minost 80% of the extraordinary expenditures. Deficits in the ordinary budget are expenditure in 1970 was for financing the third prohibited, but the state may use all revenues development plan. collected from domestic sources to meet expenditures in that budget. Deficits art permitted in domestic b. Money and banking financing of the extraordinary budget, which are Mozambique is it member of the escudo monetary balancert by loans from Portugal. zone, which is composed of Portugal and its overseas Ordinary budget revenues and expenditures territories. Each members escudo currency is on a increased stctldily during the last 5 .years (Figure 9 par �but not intcrchangcablc --with those of others. Actual revenues and expenditures for 1971 and 1972 Discount procedures usuall: reduce the buying power are �probably greater than those shown, since budget of the Territorial currencies relative to that of Portugal. forecasts are,usually underestimated. About half of the annual ordinary budget revenue comes from The Overseas National Bank (BNU) acts as t- awned enterprises, particularly ularly the panti governmen railroads- Mozambique's central bank and issues the Mozam- and.the ports administration. Indirect taxes, bique escudo. The early 1973 exchange rate was including' excise taxes, iire. the second most important UMl 27.25 escudos. source of;' income: Direct taxes, such as the ,head tax Moza mbique makes payments to other territories of and taxes on individual acid exyrpnrate incomes, the escudo zone either directly 'through commercial provide= less than 2096 ;of the'.` total. Uevelapment ban ks ar 4hrnugh special reserve accounts maintained expenditures accounted for about `4050 of. the iotul fiie cuch overseas statc b'y the Bank of Portugal, the estimated ordinary expenditures during 1972..'; reserve brink for the escudo zone. Payments wes subject Extraordinary; receipts an expenditures more than.. ta.Service- ,'charges: Payments between :Mozambique doubled between:1068 and 1972'Bli lrrr l uses,` and fo reign countries are arriade either throu coircge..profits, and sale o b onus provided authorized lilnks in Mozambique or through the extraordinary rcoetpts,"- and loans' from Portugal intcrteriiiorial cleuring,systcrn.. 7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 The BNU provides most of the commercial banking services in Mozambique. ire 1971, the BNU accounted for over half of the bank loans outstanding. There are four other commercial baarls: Commercial Bank of Angola, Commercial and Industrial Credit [lank, Ping and Sotto Mayor Bank, and Standard Totta Bank of Mozambique. Specialized institutions include a mutual savings bank and a cooperative bank. Two banks provide development loans. The N;;tionul Developincnt Bank (BFN), a Portuguese government agency, provides long -term loans for selected major projects. Except for foreign investment, almost all financing for private enterprises conies from the BFN. The Mozambique Credit Institute provides short- and medium -term loans and guarantees for Ixrth private and government borrowers. Covernment agencies must deposit their funds in the institute, which in 1972absorbcd the Mozambique Agricultural Credit Bank. 2. Development Portugal formulates Mozambique's long -term development programs as part of a Man for the entire escudo zone. The initial long-term program was tiee First Six Year National Development Plan (1953 58). investments mainly in the transportation and agricultural sectors� totaled about $ay million under that plan. Almost all funds to support lice plan curie from within Mozambique. Under the Second Six -Year Development Plan (1959.64) grants and leans from Portugal accounted for about half of the development expenditures, which rose to $125 million. In the Three Year Transitional' Program (1965 -67), expenditures increased to $186 million; Portugal, the domestic private sector, and private foreign investors provided funds in about equal amounts, This program gave top priority to tiee development of transportation and harbor facilities and also stressed increased agricultural and industrial production. The Third SixrYrar Development Plan (1968.73) called fora E 50trrriii }I growth rate in GDP and envisioned tc tai investments of $586 million. Covernment ',9tri c{ in this plan focused on infmstructtir+e aiiti agriculture. About two thirds of the investment was to come from internal sources �obe- third from the Mozambican and Portuguese administrations and one -third from the private sector. Priva foreign sources were scheduled to prmiide the remaining one third. lot addition,, investments of over $300 million -not included lee tiee development plan- will be made during constriction of the giant Cabora Basso dam. Work on the first stage of the dum, one of the largest in the wor'.d is on schedule for the 10 1975 completion date. External loans and expo,t credits are to provi&the necessary financing. Under a new program announced in 1972, the governor General promulgated a Fonr -Year Govern- mental action Plan (1972 -75) to tape advantage of the greater aulonomy now accorded W7:utnhiclue. "floe plan calls for un annual growth rate of 1010 ire GDP, but this goal will be difficult to iacet. Until recently, Portugal exercised tight government control over llte operation of private enterprises, .tied there wus little foreign investment. At lice present time, howc;ver, Parttegucse policy favors foreign investment lei Mozambique. Opportunities are likely to be greater when foreign firms enter in association with Portuguese or Mozambican firms, liberal tax concessions and other benefits are available, especially for investments that provide import substitutes or increase exports. 'There ;ire few restrictions oa repatriation of profits or capital. Nevertheless, political uncertainties and the effects of government efforts to improve the balance of payments will continue to hamper growth in investments. 3. Manpower Only 10:0 to 15% of Mozambique's population are w->egc earners. Almost all sectors of the economy suffer from a shortage of skilled and semiskilled manpower. Unemployment and underemployment are serious problems among tioskilled laborers who have been migrating to the cities from rural areas. Mozambique has begun an ambitious now program to expand vocational training and establish official employment agencies. In ade. Lion, it is attempting to increase work incentives by improving social services available to workers and by raising wages. Immigration of high level mWipow'er and technicians is also encouraged. Black Africans hold all inferior position in the labor market. Although government and marry private employers ostensibly hire with little or no racial discrimination, black workers are usually relegated to lower level jobs by their lack of training and experience compared to unnblacks. Except for teachers and "nurses, the professions are almost devoid of blacks, as are the upper echelons of the civil service. Black Africans are increasingly being trained for, and are obtaining, better jobs in both the industrial and public sectors, but the numbers are still small. In the past as many as 400,000 blacks a,. year worked ire South Africa or Rhodesia, but this number has been reduced sharply by improved working conditions and salaries in Mozambique and by adverse conditions in Rhodesia since its unilateral declaration of independence. The annual remittance from these workers currently does not exceed tie of GNP. 77 7 APPROVED FOR'RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 't +,'.e a Ce f r`... ,k...e ro ;saz +wh_fi -.,R N n a. s.. s., u...z ,..e:: .s...,..aa ti..- ..a3;.::;^�ti.a... -.i. w....'a'w:.n.�v7...w M Although a spirit of entrepreneurship is found among small -scale artisans, there is a shortage of local people willing and able to innovate in medium scale enterprises. This is due in part to a lack of capital and of sources of loans. Except within a small number of white- dominated corporate ventures in commercial agriculture, mining, industry, and transportation, experience in organizing and operating large -scale business is also lacking. The shortage of entreprenetirs and the dependence of the economy oil efficient operation of the transportations sector have stimulated thegovernment to assume responsibilities in thisarea. Certain categories of workers �such as office workers, construction workers, and truck drivers --are organi7xd into syndicates or labor unions. Member- ship is small because of the educational anci skill requirements, as well as the lack of power of the unions. The unions are state controlled, and although they may negotiate inerea-tied benefits for their members, they may not strike. Politically, the labor force is passive and apathetic, and there has been little important labor unrest in recent years. The only labor groups displaying any militancy are the dockworkers and stevedores, who have mounted a few short -term wildcat strikes, demonstrations, and slowdowns. D. International economic relations (U /DU) 1. Foreign trade Mozambique is heavily dependent on foreign tmde. Imports supply most capital goods and a variety of consumer `goods, while much of the domestic agricultural and industrial output is exported. Imports have consistently exceeded exports, and the trade deficit has increased considerably in recent years (Figure 10). The value of all imports increased by more than one -third from 1968 to 1970, but slackened in IN as the result of tightened restrictions favoring imports for development. Textiles wem the principal consumer goods imported in 1971, valued at $z7 million. Other major imparts consisted of consumer goods and products required for developing infrastructure and industry. In 1971, nearly half of such development imports consisted cif metals and metal products, transportation materials, and machinen and electrical equipment. Agriculture provides most of Mozambique's exports, the most important of which am cashews, cotton, sugar, tea, .copra, refitted petroleum, and timber 3s� boo 2% 269 l5a 100 56 FIGURE 10. Extemal trade, 1961-71 M O W (Figure I1). In 1971, cashews, cotton, and sugar accoult;ed for almost half of all exports. Cashews have shown the largest increase in capnrt value because they are now shelled prior to shipment. Prospects for increased mineral exports are good. Coal. columbite- tantalite, and microlitc are noiv the principal mineral exports. Portugal is Mozambique's most important trading partner, taking 37% of its exports and providing 269 of its imports in 397) (Figuxe- 12). Cotton and sugar are the most important exports to Portugal. The United States and South Africa are also major trading partners. Cashews, valued at $ly million in 1971, are by far the leading export to the United FIGURE 11. Majay exports (UJOU) (Millions of U.S. dollars) 10 1968 1970 1971 Total V13 4162 8165 $169 Of which: Cashews............ 22 30 32 38 C otton 20 2S 30 23 Sugar 17 Is 21 21 Tea................ 9 11 8 10 Copra 9 I3 13 9 Tim3er 6 6 7 7 1?uel oil..........., na no 4 6 W Data not available. 11 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 Millions of u.s, Donors :2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 IMPORTS U5 ;154 Million Pc,cenl Other Id,a Portvgat 15 South Atria West Germiey United Kin=dom s� 47; United saes 'a`,7 _;Z1 Iraq consumption to essential products, and encourage and protect local industries. Total exchangr authorizations are limited by a global ceiling, which is fixed by the level of exchange receipts, In 1 &73 impart quotas were made !wiversal by the removal of the distinction between imports from within and without the escudo zone Except for protected products such as wine and olive oil, goods from Portugal no longer enjoy a preference over goods from other parts of the world. All imports are subject to a surcharge of 5 and additional import taxes are levied on certain luxury it ems. Mozambique benefits indirectly from Portugal's membership in the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the European Free Trade Association the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD), the Gcnervi Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), and U.N. economic organizations. 2. Balance of payments FIGURE 12. Diredion of trade, 1971 NJOW States. U.S. exports to Mozambique in 1971 included aviation equipment and parts ($7A million), tractors I ($1.8 million), and wheat ($1.8 million). South Africa imports agricultural and refined petroleum products t from Mozambique and, agricultural corrmoditics and iron acid steel products. Mozambique's. imports are authorized on the basis of a system 'of priorities set by Lisbon. The priorities are designed to:. encourage investment; limit S:3 Net earnings from invisibles, mostly from the transit trade, have only partially offset annual trade deficits (on a settlement basis; Figure 13). Receipts for transit services are the largest source of invisible earnings, traditioitally supplying one-fourth to one-third of total earnings. In 1971 the trade deficit (settlement basis) narrowed slightly as [lie rate of growth in imports declined, while net rr ^eipts from invisibles increased almost 20% above 1910, causing a substantial reduction in the current account deficit. Total reserves rose from $13.6 million at the end of 1970 to $24.8 million at the end of 1971. The rerouting of Zambian trade from Mozambique ports to Tan7ania folio-wing a dispute with Rhodesia in January 1973 threatens to significantly reduce transport revenues. Mozambique normally records large deficits in its commodity trade with Portugal, causing increasing arrears in payments to Portugal, A comparison of balance of payments and trade data consequently shows discrepancies because the timing of settlements is very different front the timing of trade flows. ily Iate 1971 the delay in settling payments to Portugal was 510 days, and by the end of the year the accumulated backlog of payments was $146 million. If the payments to Portugal bad been made when they were due, the deficit in the balance of payments would have reached $98:5 million in 1970 and X39.6 million in 1971, 3. Foreign aid Mozambique depends on Portugal for external financial assistance, which consists largely of loans for a2 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3 LM FIGURE 13. balance of payments (t1JOU) (AWHons of U.S. 611ors) Current imnsactions I Merchandise Invisible s.............................. Of which; Tourism Transportation..................... Capital returns c apital transactions Shorttcrm M edium and long term... Personal Overall balaneco 19139 1900 1970 1071 4.1 -39.1 -47.7 -24.6 -67.0 -10819 -138.9 -133.4 71.1 60.7 91.2 108.8 (3.5) (3.5) (6.9) (3.7) (641.7) (67.2) (60.8) ($2.9) -14.2) (-11.0) -16.1) -5.3) -15.3 -5.9 -7.4 9.1 -4.5 1.5 5.1 15.4 -10.7 -7.4 -12.5 -515 0 0 0 -0.8 11.21. -45.I -55.1 -15.5 �sllahtnce -or- payments statistics are shown on it svttlement basis and do not reflect arrears in pay. ments to Portugal. Totals may not add becalm of rounding. N L development. About $75 million was to have been provided for the 1968 -73 develupment plan. Official loans from Porttlgal balance the extraordinary budget, which reflects largely expenditures to finance the development plan. lit recent years these loans, which totaled $6 million in 1970, provided 15% to 1 -Wi of extrraotdinary receipts. In uddition, Portugal extends Movamhigiw lorig -terin loans for major projects through the National Oct- clopmerrl, Bank suid guarantees investinents f rom Portugiiesr. and foreign sourcrs. Ca:s I nisviri,u.. 13' APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200100011 -3