NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE SURVEY 95A; GUYANA; THE ECONOMY

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FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY 95A /GS /E Guyana June 1973 NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE SURVEY FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 NATIONAL INTZLLIGENCE SURVEY PUBLICATIONS The basic unit of the NIS is the General ;vrvey, which is now published in a bound -by- chapter format so that topics of greater per ishmbility can be updated on an individual basis. These chapters� Cuuwry Profile, The Society, Go- ernment and Politics, The Economy, Military Geog- raphy, Transporta! ion and Telecommunications, Armed Forces, Science, and Intelligence and Security, provide the primary NIS coverage. Some chapters, particularly Science and Intelligence and Security, that are not pertinent to all countries, are produced selectively. For small countries requiring only minimal NIS treatment, the General Survey coverage may be Lound into one volume. Supplementing the General Survey is the NIS Basic Intelligence Fact book, a ready reference publication that semiannually updates key sta- tistical data found in the Survey. An unclassified edit;on of the factbook omits some details on the economy, the defew s forces, and the intelligence and security organizations. Although detailed sections on many topics were part of the NIS Program, production of these sections has been phased out. Those pre- viously produced will continue to be available as long as the major portion of the study is considered valid. A quarterly listing of all active NIS units is published in the Inventory of Available NIS Publications, which is also bound into the concurrent classified Factbook. The Inventory lists all NIS units by area .tame and number and includes classification and date of issue; it thus facilitates the ordering of NIS units as well as their filing, cataloging, and utilization. Initial dissemination, additional copies of NIS units, or separate chapters of the General Surveys can be obtained directly or through liaison channels from the Central Intelligence Agency. The General Survey is prepared for the NIS by the Central Intelligence Agency and the Defense intelligence Agency under the general direction of the NIS Committee. It is coordinated, edited, published, and dissemi- nated by the Central Intelligence Agency. WARNING This document contains incormotion offectiag the national defense of the United States, within the meaning of title 10, sections 793 and 794 of the US code, as amended. Its transmission or revelation of its contents to or receipt by an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. CLASSIFIED BY 019641. EXEMPT FROM GENERAL DECLASSIFI- CATION SCHEDULE OF E. O. 11652 EXEMPTION CATEGORIES 5B (1), (2), (3). DECLASSIFIED ONLY ON APPROVAL OF THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 r M's WARNING The NIS is National Intelligence and may not be re- leased or shown to representatives of any foreign govern- ment or international body except by specific authorization of the Director of Central Intelligence in accordance with the provisions of National Security Council Intelligence Di- restive No. 1. For NIS containing unclassified material, however, the portions so marked may be made available for official pur- poses to foreign nationals and nongovernment personnel provided no attribution is made to National Intelligence or the National Intelligence Survey. Subsections and graphics are individually classified according to content. Classification /control designa- tions are: (U /OU) Unclassified/ For Official Use Only (C) Confidential (S) Secret APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 This chapter um prepared for the NIS by the Central InteUtgence Agency. Research um sub stamlally completed by January 1973. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 uyana CONTENTS This chapter supersedes the economic coverage in the General Survey dated July 1969, which should be destroyed. A. Basic characteristics and trends 1 Major resouc ces and deficiencies; level of devel- opment; British influence in economic life; sig- nificance of ft reign trade; major economic goals of the government. B. Sectors of the economy 3 Cross domestic product by sector of origin. 1. Agriculture, forestry, and fisheries 3 Role in economy a. The land 3 Use; tenure; colonization. FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 b. Agricultural inputs and productivity Farm practices; mechanization; fertilizer consumption; government services. c. Principal crops Dominance of sugar and rice. d '.ivestock Crowth of beef production. e. Forestry and fisheries Resources; problems of exploitation. 2. Fuels and power Dependence on imported petroleum for thermal powerplants; electric power supply; expansion program. 3. Minerals and metals Bauxite and alumina production; other re- sources. 4. Manufacturing and coast -nuc on Manufacturing limited largely to agricultural processing; growth of construction, reflecting increased public investment. 5. Domestic trade Relatively advanced cash economy; depen- dence on imports. Page 3 13. Economic policy and development 1. Policy 4 Role of the government in the economy. a. Public finance 5 Nature of the public sector: revenues and expenditures. 6 b. Banking, money supply, and prices Banking system; credit policy; price controls. 7 2. Development Government strategy; 5 -year plans. E. international economic relations 0 10 10 1. Foreign trade a. Trade patterns Commodity composition; direction of trade. b. Trade regulations Tightening of trade controls; exchange rate system. 2. Balance of payments Moderate deficit 1967 -70; surplus in 1971; smal: reserves. 3. Foreign assistance and debt Aid from Western and Communist sources; light debt service burden, despite doubling of external public debt since 1969. C. Manpower 10 Characteristics of the labor force; unemployment and underemployment; productivity and mo- bility of labor; wage levels. FIGURES Page 11 11 13 14 14 15 15 15 16 16 17 ii APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 Page Page Fig. 1 Economic activity map) 2 Fig. 12 Production of selected manufactured Fig. 2 Trends in gross domestic product goods table) 10 chart) 2 Fig. 13 Labor force distribution chart) 11 Fig. 3 Fig. 4 Origin of GDP chart) Land use (chart) 5 5 Fig. 14 Gross domestic expenditure by end Fig. 5 Vegetation (map) 5 use (chart) 12 Fig. 6 New settlement area photo) 6 Fig. 15 Government revenues and expend Fig. 7 Agricultural production table) g hrres (table) 13 Fig. 8 Livestock population and meat Fig. 16 The 1966 -72 public investment plan production (table) 7 (table) 14 Fig. 9 Greenheart stand photo) 7 Fig. 17 Balance of tradc chart) 15 Fig. 10 GUYBAU facilities, Linden photos) 9 Fig. 11 Producticn of selected mineral Fig. 18 Direction of trade chart) 16 products table) 9 Fig. 19 Ealance of payments table) 17 ii APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 J N h The growth of bauxite production has made the mining industry of major importance to Guyana. Nevertheless, the economy remains largely agricultural, and sugar- cane, grown mainly for export on large foreigr �owned ploatations, continues to be the most valuable crop. Large v heel excavators (right) are used to mine bauxite deposits lying under a deep overburden. Note man in foreground. Sugarcane is transported to mills in barges towed along canals. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 F f. t. I The Economy A. $asic characteristics and trends Although Guyana is the world's fifth largest hanxite producer, with extensive deposits of high (tualih, other known resourc are modest. and the c�ountry remains largely undeveloped. Economic activitv is concentrated oil the narrow coastal plain, an area constittating less than 5e(" of the total but eontaiuing 90 c of the people. Originally based on sugar production, the economy is gradually diversifying. but agriculture remains the mainstay, supporting directly and indirectly about half the popul; loll. With it total population of less thal, 8(9),(xx), Guyana affords limif- opportunities for economic ac�tiyity based on the domestic market. The mostly forested interior is unexploited except for sonu� logging operations, cattle ranching in the large savanna in the south, and bauxite raining and processing (Figure 1 There are no known mineral fuel deposits, and exploitation of large reserves of timber and potentially cultivable land is hampered b% their inaccessibilih and high development costs. Labor productivity is high in the bauxite and sugar industries but generally low in other activities. Despite a relatively high rate of literacy, most Guyanese ore poorly educated, levels of skill are low, and in many rural areas people are poorly nourished. As in other underdeveloped areas, the problem of lack of skills is aggravated by the emigration of certain types of skilled labor in search of better opportimities, and the need for skilled personnel exists side by side with high rates of unemployment and underemploynient. Moreover, the economy hears a heave dependency burden, as almost half the population are in the dependent age groups. Despite some product diversification, agriculture remains basically export oriented. Sugar �grown NOTE �The entire content of this chapter is L'N(:1 A SSI1.11 :I) but is FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY. mainly em large foreign -owned pl- nIations alid rice�grown primarily on small family farms account for 70 of agricultural output and Wi of Guyana's export earnings. Although some slash -and- bum agriculture is evident, subsistence farming in the strict sense of the word appears to be conunon only among the small number of Amerindians in the interior. Efforts to expand and diversify agriculture reflect the government's goal of reducing dependence on imlmrted foodstuffs Although outpat of minor f ad crops and livestock products has increased since the mid- 1960's, about one -third of the caloric intake consists of imlxrted foods. Bauxite is mined and processed by a goyernmeat- O\%ved company (a forme subsidiary of the Aluminum Co. of Canada, nationalized in Jule 1971 and by a U.S. owned firm. Bauxite and alumina account for almost all mining output, diamonds and gold being mined only on if small scale. Despite mining's large contribution to output and exports, the m-ctor s capital intensi ones, sharply limits the role of nainicg as it source of employment. Owing partly to protective tariffs and government financial incentives, the nnulufac�turing sector has grown steadily throughout the last decade, but its contribution to the Bros domestic� prodiiet (GDP) and enp1m mcnt remains small. 'I'll(- processing of sugar. rice, and other agricultural products accounts for most of the output. Reflecting the narro%% resonrc�e base, economic growth generally has been only moderate. During 1967 1, GMI grew at an average rate of ahont 4 annually in real terms (Figure 2). large private investments in bauxite mining and processing and. since 1968. expanded public investment stimulated most of this growth. Reduced hanxite and agricultural output and decreased private investment led to an estimated 2.W(' decline in (:)P in 1972. Per capita in 1971 \vas only US8385, well below the Latin American average.' While ties with the United Kingdom have diminished since the gaining of independcuce in 1966, Guyana remains it mcinher (if the Bri! Common- wealth. British influence is still strong in the economic life of the conntry and is clearly evident in business practices, patterns of ownership of economic enterprises, and the direction of trade. Most of the large; agric�ultnral, industrial, and commercial firms arc owned and operated by British citizens. Although 'Iii this chapter %;dues originall\ eyres-d in Guiana (lollars hace peen rtinnerted into U. S. dollar% the rate of C32 UW. the official rate unlit Dime 1972. %%11'.11 the Cmalla dollar began floaifig ssilh the pound sterling at the rate of 0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 INDUSTRY MINING b/ %feat packing Al Bauxite c,toa� milling Au Gold e Food processing C Diamonds or Sawmill: wood products KuniaAl 1 e Machine and metalworking FISHING Bauxite processing Fishing area 0. Shipyard Mandia C4 Lumbering AGRICULTURE Sugar Rice _i I Coconuts Masarum Cattle Matthews Ridge I nty A)e e Au a GOP eartica Au New Amste C w Tumerenq 4" g 8 At C Au Linden Everton KuniaAl 1 Tumatumari- C Au Kwakwani At Mandia C V 501734 4.73 FIGURE 1. Economic activity its relative imporluuce has declim d, tar U,litvd Kingdonn �along with the United Slates renlaius Guyana's most imporlunt trading partner mid uid donor. I or example, about two thiAs of Guyun;n's sugar exports ore directed to the United Kingdom under the Commonwealth St gar Agreement. `iloreover. ;t significant purl of Guyana's foreign exchange reserves are still held in sterling, although the shore has been reduced since 1967. As part of its colonial legacy, the ec�ono m% remains high1v dependent oil foreign trade. 1 ?xports and imports each equal nearly half of GDP, well above the average for less developed countries. An estinunted Wil of personal income is direc�tl% or indirectly derived from foreign trade. The dependence% uu foreign trade has fostered a relatively adranc: d mon,-y economy, however. with less than Ski of Ill econonuc transactions curried out on I nonc�ush basis. 'I'le foreign orientation also has helped to nake available in the principal towns Georgetown. \e%y Amster- dam, and Linden �goods and services gvnerally comparable to those found in more ec�ononiic�ally advanced countries. Under Burnham, Guyunu has pursued it polio of increased independence in domestic and foreign affairs in um effort to improve the nation's economic well being. I?fforts to gain +,reater domestic control of resource exploitation and to redttc�e dependence on traditional products and markets havv l -d to the nationalization of the major bauxite producer. inereased governnunt economic diyersific�ation nulsures, and accelerated steps to expand the still small economic role of cooperatives. 'Phis prlic% has also resulted in melisums limiting new private foreign itn�estnu�nt involving exploitation of the c�ountry*s natural resources to minority partnerships in joint ventures with the government or cooperatives. Externally, the country has expanded trade tics with the 'I'hird World mid Communist countries. This is exemplified by Guyamu's efforts to play it major role in the Caribbean Free Trade Association (C:ARII -'I'A) Ind Guyana's growing� though still relatively unimportant �trade relations with the People's Republic of Chino and the U.S.S.R. Despite such m. astires, however. Guy;na remains heavily dependent on its traditional markets for export earnings and imports. The Burnham gc;vernrnent's measures to increase domestic control of resource exploitation especially the nationalization of the major bauxite enterprise� and other major economic policies have c�rcated a c�linunte of business uncertainty aril }t sharp loss of investor confidence. During 1971 at least one major APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 FIGURE 2. Trends in gross domestic product private trading enterprise closed. sons private domestic ill vvM men I phut% %%en� slicked, and the inflo%% of fon�ign investment .1111140 ceased. Because the vemiomy is largely dependent on private domestic and foreign imvstnteut for expanding economic ac�tivih, it prolonged peri,,d of business mtcertain1% and lack of confidence amt1g investors would r�sctlt in au c�xtertded slowing down of economic gro%%th, Such a situation could lead to bctdgetar% and balance of paytnen;, difficulties, leaving little hope for the achievement of ambitious new polio% goals. H. Sectors of the economy Deflecting partl% the high cost and slow progress in developing Guyana's rural res4urevs. the relative importanev of agriculture, forestry, and fisheries has declined since the early 1960 *s Figure -3). Al the same time the growth of bauxite production has increased the co tribution of mining. Output of the manufacturing, construction, and public sectors ubo has generall% outpaced wwralf ecommic growth since 19(il, thus increasing their proportionate ,hares of GDP. 1. Agriculture, forestry, and fisheries Agriculture, forestry, and fisheries account for about one -third of the labor force and contribute dino.,t half of total export earnings. Largel% because farming is oriented to the production of sugar and rice mainly for export. Guyana imlxrts about one -third of its food w(li irements. Government attempts since 1967 to stimulate crop diversification and increased outlut of livestock products have met with some sucee,s, but total agricultural production has gro"ii only Moderately. Moreover. Guyat,a is unable to produce totally temperate zone foodstuffs. notably wheat. a. The land Guyana has one of the highest land population ratios in South America, but the� amount of c�ultiyated land per capita is below the continental average. Ottly about 12ii of the total land arcs is devoted to agriculture and less thin I r; is under cultivation Figure 4). The agricultural area is small mainly because of the high cost of draining the swampy lowlands in the coastal area and along the rivers and the difficulty of access to the interior Moreover, drainage is complicated by slow water runoff, and Guyana, which is part of the Amazon� Orinoco w.1tershed, is subject to extensive flooding daring the semiannual rainy seasons. Crop production is confim-d prinmril\ to the ,outheastern two- thirds (if the narro%% coaslal strip where� the soils are rich deposits oyerlaykig scuds and clay. This arcs has been cleared from martgrcye %%vamp, and a complex and expensive system of seawalls and druinuge canals has been built. A limilml amount of land also has been cleared b :Wwrimlians for !hifting cult.`vuliou in the interior primarilmi along the flood plains of the principal rivers and in the foothills of the mountains. South of the coastal area lies the msll\ unused forest zone (Figure 5), which covers more than :35 million acres, or about two- thirds of the total land area. Soils in much of the� interior are poor or would require careful management for successful farming. In the savanna of tit(- fictptrtumi District, southst�st of the forest zone. cattle are raised. 'I'lte 4oyerntnent holds till� to more than 90' of :uy:tna's land area, including most of the agric�ctlturtl land. sshic�h it lease% for private use. For example, the grazing lands in the liupununi District are leased to r.1nc�hcrs on it "permission of occupancy" basis. About one�- fourth of the cultivated arc: is owned by large sugar estates. bolt small farms lease most of the remainder. The government has initiated several c�ol4nization project in widely scattered locatir its in the interior. TlIVse projects, in itich the gmernna�nt clears and prepares the laivi for c�ultiyation provides houses and necoss :m public services. mid leases the land to pri\ ate farmers. have proven yer\ mpersiye. the governnu�nt is now stressing expatsior of existing prcjec�ts to lower colonization costs Figure 6). b. Agricultural inputs and produc deify E\cv�pt cn the Ltrge sugar estates, agricultural practices are bac�k"ard bs Lati11 :Uwrican standards. and productivity is logy. Because seasyalls and drainage and irrigation facilities are needed in th^ main agric�ultur,tl areas, costs are high. Mechanization is extensive on the large sugar estates and a few larger rice farms but is very limited elsewhere. In 1968. there were about :3.66 tractors in use. or one for (very 120 acres (if c�ultiyated land. Fertilizer consumption is fairh large. totaling some :3-10M) metric tons in 1970 �about 70 kilograms per acre of cultivated land. The government has attempted to stimulate introduction of modern techniques, especially in rice farming. and has provided extension services. Technical information is disseminated by the Rice Marketing 13card (11MB) and the Guyana Marketing Corporation ((:M(:1, the government marketing :3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 agency for other farm products. The goverttnent has established a 2 -year agriculheral school amt also provides instruction programs for settlers participating in colonization programs. Since IM9. the governn etit has been irnPlctncnting an $1,% million rice rehabilitation program finautced partl% by the V.S. Agency for International Development (All)). The program entails construction of six rice- storage centers and several "tills, esta Ill ishntcnt of at rice research shidon. and provision of extension services. c. Principal cropx Sugar and rice, the two most intlmdant crops, account for about 71)c( of agricultural oWmit. Bice cultivation occupies almost three tithes as !uttch land as sugar and provides more than twice us touch etnploy"tent, hilt the value of the rice crop is only about one third that of the sugar crop. The government has intensified efforts to stimulate production of sugar and rice and it number of minor crops, cslx- cially corn, soybeans. and sorghum. For example, experimental farms have been established for some minor crops, and in :)ecenther 1971 import prohibitions were introduced for mane food products to provide Further incentive to domestic producers. Sugar is grown nnninl% on 1:3 large estates. all of which are owned by hyo large British companies� Bookers Sugar Estates, Ltd.. and Demerara Co., Ltd. A small though increasing share of the crop (.c.5'': in 1971, compared with 51f' in the 19610's) is grown orn small farms, a few of which are organized it) c(mix-ratives. As it means of encouraging production on small farms. the govenunent created the Cane Farming Corporation in 1969 to provide financing for their cleveloptnent. The large estates mill both their own crops and those of life small producers and semirefine it small amount of %agar for domestic consumption. Eximrt% are in the form of rase sugar. molasses, and rum. Since the tnid- 1960's sugar production hats recovered� allwit erratically �froth disruptions during the social unrest of the earl, MO's, reaching it record volume in 197) (Figure 7). Daring the latter part of this period, prcxluction was frequenll% disrupted b% labor strikes, mostly invol -ing attempts by tit(. oppcnition- backed sugar workers' union �the Guyana Agricultural Workers' Union (GAWL' �to gain recognition from the govenunent. The United Kingdom and the United States buy the major p0ion of Gttyana's raw sugar exports (2-14.8M and 92,-100 metric tons, resix-ctively, in 1971 and Canada itnlxrts the remainder (6,2M tons in 1971 4 Most sugar %ale% to the United Kingdom corn(. under OW Conunonw(.allh Sugar Agreement (CSA) of 19.51, which getarantev% a price usually above that obtainable on the world cctrket, but the agrvvmeut is not binding after 19; -1, and the entry of the United Kingdom into the F orupeati F.couonnie Cotnnnuuity milk(.% the future (if' In, r:SA uncertain. Sal, to li t( United States arc incluk�-d under tit(. U.S. "not: for t ite West Indies Rice productio" expanded rapidl% in the early 1960*s, reaching it peak in 1965. Since then output has teneh'cl to decline. partl% because of tit low(.r prices paid to producers b% the Bice Marketing Poard- 01%'ana's exclusive rice marketing agent. lu addition to meeting domestic n(.(.ds� averaging about 5011 of production �the board exports rice tinder bilateral agreements to several other CA11IFI'A members at prices normally well above international quotations. Before 1965 rice was also exported to non- CARIFTA countries, but following the output decline such sales have become negligible. Bice is grown mainly on small fancily plots h% 1 ?ast Indians under extremely labor- inteosive methods. Only Ecuador and Brazil hay(. lower yields in South America. while yields in neighboring Surinam arc more than twice as high. Gu%ana's lo%% productiyih is attributable principally to s"na!l capital investment, poo drainage, and the planting of Iow yielding %aricties that are unresponsive to fertilizer,. Although the government Inns toadv some effort to encourage introduction of higher yielding, quicker maturing varieties from tit(. United Slates, producers ha%v insisted because tit(. increased yield is frequvntl% inacicquaty to offset higher costs. Coconuts constitute Guyana's third largest crop in terms of area planted. Greater coconut output is desired by the government to provide increased supplies of copra, edible coil, soap, and margarine, local'detnand for which exceeds the supple. I ?xpansion of covouut production, however, is discouraged by thi(.yrry and the low price of copra, which make the crop unprofitable. Coffee, production of which has declined since 1968, is the most important minor export crop. Some coffee is shipped to tit(. United St.ttes for processing into instant coffee and return to Guyana. Cocoa, as it trey crop, is especially suited to the northwest. Production of citrus fruits and bananas is increasing because of favorable domestic and foreign demand. Plantains, various tubers, and other vegetables are produced for domestic consumption in home gardens and on small farms. 0 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 Millions of 320.4 428.8 566.6 Guyana Dolia Iov. Other 1%.6 9.7 9.2 Government 10.5 13.2 13.5 Commerce 13.5 11,9 11.3 ,rrans,)ortatton 5 7 and 7.q 8.8 6.5 Communications 6.7 Construction 7 2 Manufacturing 10.9 12.3 12.2 Mining 12.9 17.6 180 Agriculture. Forestry, and 26.9 22.1 21.3 Fisheries 1961 1967 FIGURE 3. Origin of GDP TOTAL LAND AREA 83,000 square miles Forest 65.9% 1971 tsuil p YIL2% inland water, area, wastel and Ag I 21.996 ssland end pos ture Cultivated land 11.370 0a% Rice Sugarcane 1 10 9 70 5 22 70 Coconuts Other FIGURE 4. Land use am Dense trop,cal lures Seasonally flooded t with scattered mar Grassland or �an, Cult, rated land 501736.473 d. Lit-esh)ck (:attic raring it till. Ino.t iniportant Ii%cslock acli\it%. I)cclopuunt of commercial beef c�attlt- raising %%its initialed in the late 19511*. Mten the gmrrnnu�ut hcgan grioitiug leases to till' liupunuui District grasslawls for this purpose. Sparseness of srgclalion and wrions inineral deficiencies it: the .aV:tnllit soils, It( %%v%vr, keep grazing land retluirc�- nu�nls high- onlc 311 to 70 acres per head of calllc� aud thin impose w%vre limits ou the cattle population that these lands c a support. I- irtI writ tire. th:�sc grasslands art� located far from nntrkcls. aucl because of it lack of adctluatc ground transportation bulchercd ntc:tt is shipped b% air to (:eorgeto\\n. (:onseyucntl%. nu)st beef cattle still are raked on small farms on the co:lst on i t noncommercial basis. Hc(lecling tII( e\pausion of graving I:utcls, the c�aItIv population ;use snhslanliitII in the e :trl\ I Wit l s I Figure tit. Since 1965. ho\\c\ expanded beef Inodnction has been lltmel\ responsible for lo\ler cattle ininibers. Mainly as if result of cattle dietar\ deficiencies. the yualit\ of :u\ancse bcel is lo\c. Despite gmater production, Guy :In;t conlinucs io depend parll\ oo imports for beef supplies. S\\inc, sheep, and goals are raised and consuned n)aillk on small fartm. In Decerttbo r 197 1 the goventntent sought to stitntllate s\\ine raising by slopping iinporls of sonic pork products and 5 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 FIGURE 5. Vegetation employing full -tine' swine pronioti:on specialists. In the lust decade poullrr raising has been expanding. and specialized potiltry farms have become increusing:y conimon. Commercial dairy farming is litnitetl to the coastal areas near Georgetown and New Anisterdant. The government -owned past Ctirization plant at Ce(irge- town processes milk f(r (Ioniestic cousuuiptioi, but milk and milk products are still iuporled. The government is utt(�mpting to espun(I supplies of dairy products by improving cattle bree(Is, increasing the land available to dair%nien, an(l establishing additional processing plants. C. Forestry and fisheries %ithough two- thir(h of the total lan(1 urea art- fomsted. production of timber pro(lu is accounts for 0111% 1.51( of (A)II. The contribution is .mall ntuiul because of the (lifficulty of access to and (ltialit% of tilt- forests. which are characterized b% e%Irettu' hCterog(.I ,itv of species an(I b% small tree si /es. ConunCrciall% valuable species are intersp-�rsCd "ith unattractive ones so that %iCl(ls are snwll. ields are also sn11111 because the (titer sap"(w(I (f the most valuablC species- greenheart. purph-hear!. and wallaby -is snbjCCl to rapi(I clecac once the tre(�s arc FIGURE 7. Agricultural production (Area :n thousands of acres, production in thousands of metric tons, except as noted) 6 nami Produc Area tion 125.3 374.7 233.6 121.9 3.1 0.5 na 45.0 na 49.3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 FIGURE 6. Part of a new settlement area along the highway from Georgetown to Linden. The tree stumps are vestiges of the forest that was cleared for new farms; here the earlier vegetation is being replaced with pineapples. 1967 1965 1960 970 Produc- Produc- Produc- Produc A,rea tion Area tion Area tion Area lion Sugar, milled 115.3 349.4 107.5 :321.9 126.0 370.2 107.3 316.1 Rice, milled 253.5 125.9 313.1 135.9 _i9.3 112.7 294.3 144.6 Coffee 3.1 1.3 :3.1 1.3 3.1 0.7 3.1 0.6 Coconuts 44.2 36.3 45.4 55.2 46.1 60.5 47.0 5(1.0 Tubers, roots, and plantains. 24.3 42.4 21.5 41.3 23.1 46.2 26.3 45.9 na Data not available. *Coconuts: Area in thousands of trees: production in millions of nuts. 6 nami Produc Area tion 125.3 374.7 233.6 121.9 3.1 0.5 na 45.0 na 49.3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 FIGURE 6. Part of a new settlement area along the highway from Georgetown to Linden. The tree stumps are vestiges of the forest that was cleared for new farms; here the earlier vegetation is being replaced with pineapples. FIGURE 8. livestock population (in thousands) and meat production (in metric tons) cut, reducing lumber t.t ()nl% :35'( to 55`( of the total %%eight cart. '1 exports consist ()f groenheart (a luta e())(1 used in marine constructinn). %%allaha (nalnralk srlited for utilih poles). wad nrora (its( for railroad ties and utilit% crossarns). I'ro(Inction of greenheart Figure 9), the most important, has decliared from I A million cubic meters ill 1965 to 0.9 million ill 1970 as it result ()f increased use of cmicn�le in flier construction and gra(Iual exhaustion Of accossiblV timber. I?'xports ()f forestr% products totaied about USS1.2 million in 1971). Other spvcies ()f timber are cut for donn�stic use in boat constriction. hnuseiruildint, and the pr( It in raf fnrnitltre, matches, and agrie;tltural inlplenu�uts. Some, like kauta and %,rani� dirvOIN as fool ()r are processed into charcoal. The use imported hite (line is gradttalk being replaced b% doruostical1% produced soft hard%%oo(Is such as siniatntpa. dalli. mid silverballi. Under the direction ()f the government nnnu�rous advances in timber grading and handling have boon made since If)66 to inipro%e (()rest exploitation. Nevertheless. significant expansion ()f timber and %%ood products ontpnt %%ill re(luiro imprnsod transportation to the inlorior, poker. and more efficient plant ()pentlions and marketing proved a ros. Commercial fishing is linlite(I larger to shrimping ()ff the coasts ()f Brazil. Strrinarn, and I re�nch Giflana. Most of the catch is obtained b\ U.S. firms. \%hich ship the bulk to the U.S. market. Dvinaud for shrimp has been strong. output has been rising rapidl\. and a substantial in%estment has been made in tr.t\\lors and processing facilities. I:xporls in 1971 anronnlod l() 5.000 m0ric loins. \wtrtft sumo US$9 tnilli()n, oralnamt 7 of total oxnorl earnings. 0) ernn;ont oflorts to eneuntago expansion ()f the catch of other fish species for donu�stic co ()stimplion thus far have met \cit11 little' success. The Iishing in(lustr\ accounts 1'()r 2'f 2. Fuels and po%ver ;;naua has n() knm\n c( )a petroleum. ()r ga. (I(�Imsits. Almost all olociric is prod(t(�ed b\ thermal plants, fuele(i mairk %%ith imported oil. Ilouseholds and Haug industrial and common d facilities, h(a%re\or. its(- \%OO(I and charcoal for fuel, s hit( the� sugar mills else-bagasse. I I dr(u�loctric po\%cr potential �in lh(� mouutaiuolts \(ester( Dart of Ill( colt:ilr% �is largo, but (1(�s(�Ioltt11e�nt has bee() hampomd b\ the remote I()cati(m and (�ostl\ in\(�sttnenl ro(Iuironmcnts. N APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 FIGURE 9. Greenheart stard. Mature trees reach up to 40 meters in height. Wood of greenheart is extremely hurd, heavy, strong, and immune to decay and marine borers. 191111 1965 1969 14711 1971 Cattle: Population 160 350 257 257 cue Beef production..... 2,811(1 :3,897 �1,24(1 -1,M0 �1,257 Swine: Population 20 fM) 81 83 na Pork production..... 286 1112 I lS4 1,200 1 442 Sheep: Population......... fill 87 98 97 na Nlutton production.. 6 35 62 54 it Poultry: Population......... 398 3,000 6, 450 7,32:5 as Meat production.... 497 954 2.705 3,382 3,719 as Data not available. cut, reducing lumber t.t ()nl% :35'( to 55`( of the total %%eight cart. '1 exports consist ()f groenheart (a luta e())(1 used in marine constructinn). %%allaha (nalnralk srlited for utilih poles). wad nrora (its( for railroad ties and utilit% crossarns). I'ro(Inction of greenheart Figure 9), the most important, has decliared from I A million cubic meters ill 1965 to 0.9 million ill 1970 as it result ()f increased use of cmicn�le in flier construction and gra(Iual exhaustion Of accossiblV timber. I?'xports ()f forestr% products totaied about USS1.2 million in 1971). Other spvcies ()f timber are cut for donn�stic use in boat constriction. hnuseiruildint, and the pr( It in raf fnrnitltre, matches, and agrie;tltural inlplenu�uts. Some, like kauta and %,rani� dirvOIN as fool ()r are processed into charcoal. The use imported hite (line is gradttalk being replaced b% doruostical1% produced soft hard%%oo(Is such as siniatntpa. dalli. mid silverballi. Under the direction ()f the government nnnu�rous advances in timber grading and handling have boon made since If)66 to inipro%e (()rest exploitation. Nevertheless. significant expansion ()f timber and %%ood products ontpnt %%ill re(luiro imprnsod transportation to the inlorior, poker. and more efficient plant ()pentlions and marketing proved a ros. Commercial fishing is linlite(I larger to shrimping ()ff the coasts ()f Brazil. Strrinarn, and I re�nch Giflana. Most of the catch is obtained b\ U.S. firms. \%hich ship the bulk to the U.S. market. Dvinaud for shrimp has been strong. output has been rising rapidl\. and a substantial in%estment has been made in tr.t\\lors and processing facilities. I:xporls in 1971 anronnlod l() 5.000 m0ric loins. \wtrtft sumo US$9 tnilli()n, oralnamt 7 of total oxnorl earnings. 0) ernn;ont oflorts to eneuntago expansion ()f the catch of other fish species for donu�stic co ()stimplion thus far have met \cit11 little' success. The Iishing in(lustr\ accounts 1'()r 2'f 2. Fuels and po%ver ;;naua has n() knm\n c( )a petroleum. ()r ga. (I(�Imsits. Almost all olociric is prod(t(�ed b\ thermal plants, fuele(i mairk %%ith imported oil. Ilouseholds and Haug industrial and common d facilities, h(a%re\or. its(- \%OO(I and charcoal for fuel, s hit( the� sugar mills else-bagasse. I I dr(u�loctric po\%cr potential �in lh(� mouutaiuolts \(ester( Dart of Ill( colt:ilr% �is largo, but (1(�s(�Ioltt11e�nt has bee() hampomd b\ the remote I()cati(m and (�ostl\ in\(�sttnenl ro(Iuironmcnts. N APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 FIGURE 9. Greenheart stard. Mature trees reach up to 40 meters in height. Wood of greenheart is extremely hurd, heavy, strong, and immune to decay and marine borers. Because of Guyana's proximity to the :oilfields of Venezuela and Timidad and 'Tobago, the country has attracted the interest of several foreign oil companies. Extonsive exploration in the late 1950's resulted in discovery of favorable geologic formations in coastal and offshore areas and in the near interior, but several wells drilled by Standard Oil of California during 1938 -60 and more recent efforts by other companies have yielded negative results. Exploration has been marked by frequent turnover of the companies holding concessions. The electric power supply is generally adequate to meet demand but will require expansion to support further residential usage and industrial growth. Generating capacity ancounted to ail estimated 1 12,000 kilowatts (key.) at the end of 1971, and output approximated 340 million kilowatt -hours (key. hr.). With a per- capita production of 460 kw. hr., Cuyana ranks eighth in South America. All powcrplants arc thermal with the exception of it 940 -kw. hydroelectric plant at Tumatumari on the Iotaro River. About 805(' of electric power consumption is accounted for by commerce and industry. R,sidential usage accounted for about 195f', while other activities such as transportation and public lighting used the remaining I Consumption is concentrated in the Georgetown area and in Linden, where it large part of the hauxite industry is located. Generating capacity is concentrated in the coastal region extending southeast from Georgetown to the Surinam border, and at Linden. The coastal facilities make up 62( of total capacity, and those at Linden :3ISr' The remaining 4c/, of capacity consists of municipal facilities in small towns. The Kingston powerplaut, with it capacity of 4231X) kw. is the largest installation. Owned by the Guyana Electricity Corporation, it government agency, the plant supplies both public and industrial needs in the Georgetown area. The plant is interconnecied with several small public -owned powerplants to make up the country's only transmission grid, which has a capacity of 46,500 k%v., or approximately 42 /i of the national total. Most of the remaining capacity is in powerplants owned and operated by private interests, mainly the mining and sugar industries, which also supply public needs in adjacent communities. A 4-year expansion program to be financed by the World Bank, Canada, and the United Kingdom was scheduled to get underway in mid -1972. Included is construction of two n,ew powerplants and it 69 -kv. transmission line to connect Linden with the northeastern part of the country via Georgetown. 8 :3. Minerals and metals Mining and mineral processing in -1971 accounted for 5054 of export earnings. 'I'll(- sector is dominated by bauxite extraction and processing into netallurgical and chemical grade bauxite, calcined bauxite, and altimiila. Guyana produces small amounts of gold, diamonds, and quarry products. Under extensive exploration work, carried out since 1965 with the assistance of it U.N. mission, deposits of copper, nickel, and molybdenum were discovered, and several are being studied to determine their commercial value. Guyana, the world's fifth largest producer of bauxite, accounts for about 6 of world output. About 70 '/b of the estimated :3.9 million metric toils produced in 1971 came from the state -owned Cu% u a Bauxite Company (GUYBAU). GUYBAU was created in July 1971 when the government nationalized the Demerara Bauxite Co. (DENIBA), a subsidary of the Aluminum Co. of Canada. Reynolds Guyana Mims, it wholly owned subsidiary of the U.S. Reynolds Metals Co., produces the remaining 30`,v of bauxite output about I million tons annually. Bauxite deposits occur ill a 200 -nile long and a 6- to 40 -mile -wick belt extending southeast fron tl c Ponu�roon River in the north to tit(- Courantyne River oil the Guyana Surinam border. Cuyanese bc,uxite mining is high- compared with that in other countries because the ore deposits lie under it deep ovc,rhurden and are located far from deep water ports. The high extraction and trusportation costs are compensated, however, by the unusually high duality of the Guyanese ore. Assured bauxite reserves are estimated at 80 million metric tons; probable reserves amount to un i,dditional 2:50 million toils. More than half of Guyana's bauxite is exported as dried metal grade ore for use in making aluminu n and, to it lesser extent, as it filtering agent. Some 15 "1 to 2051 of the crude bauxil, is refined into alumina for export. Reflecting the ore's high quality, it growing portion is being processed into calcined bauxite for nonmetallurgical use� such as refractory malcrials and industrial abrasives. GUYBAU's facilities are located at Linden, some 60 miles p the Demerara River from the coast (Figure 10). The� mining complex includes facilities for drying up to I million metric tons of hauxitc annually and for producing up to 650,000 tons of calcined bauxite and 35009) tons of alumina annually. 'I'll(- operations of Reynolds Metals Co. are ceutewd .t Kwakwani, about 80 miles up the Berbiev River from tl� coast. Bauxite from Kwakwani is shipped by hi:rge to Everton (near New Amsterdam), when, it is dried and transferred to APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 `t oceangoing barker. Reynolds colliplelt-d it l'SS15 million expansion progr in in 1968 that tripled its capacity to about I million tuns of illetallorgical grad� bauxite :uuhually. Bauxite and aluniina output inervased during the 1960's in resirmse to gro%%ing %%orld"ide dvimind for aluntinunt (I igury I I I. Some US89C million %%as invested in expansion programs during this period. :M the� saint- tirov. tilt- product niix changed considera h1%, with gro%%ing emphasis on alumina and calc�int-d bauxite. of "Itich Guyana has it virtua! monopole. :1l111ough of 'put of calcined huiixite contin ied to rise in 1971, hnt-tallnrgic�al grult- hauxitr production declined, reflecting the depressed %%orld market for alnnimmn. (hitl)ut of both gold and diamonds fell in 1971 to their lowest levels in 114111% Nears. '1�lu�% are mined b% hand front alluvial deposits along streams flowing out of the Pakarainrai \lounlitius. Placer gold deposits appear to be substautiall\ t-xhaisted, and large scale exploitation has been discouraged b\ inac�cessi Ili Iit. Manganese \%as produced until 1968. ss hen rising costs Mid declining world prices forced the closure of tlilt- U.S.- o"lled mire� at Mattliv"s Ridge. FIGURE 11. Production of selected mineral products (Thousands of metric tons unless otherwise specified) 9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 FIGURE 10. The Guyana Bauxite Company (GUYBAU) complex in linden includes a calcining plant (tip) and ore loading facilities on the Demerara River. Bauxite and alumina are shipped d,wn the river on oceangoing vessels. 1961 1963 1965 1967 1965 1969 1970 1971 Dried bauxite 1,375 980 1,260 1,753 1,551 2,139 2,327 2,135 Calcined bauxite 377 358 492 474 597 654 705 721 Alumina 134 227 279 277 269 303 317 310 Manganese 215 142 169 179 99 0 0 0 Gold (Thousands of ounces) 1.7 2.8 2.1 2.4 4.1 2.1 4.4 1.4 Diamonds (Thousands of carats) 113 100 113 97 fib 49 59 .17 9 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 FIGURE 10. The Guyana Bauxite Company (GUYBAU) complex in linden includes a calcining plant (tip) and ore loading facilities on the Demerara River. Bauxite and alumina are shipped d,wn the river on oceangoing vessels. 4. Manufacturing and construction The manufacturing sector produces a variety of items, including foodstuffs, clothing, furniture, and small boats. Guyana's limited raw material base has restricted manttacturing largely to agric�trltural processing. Moreover, the small domestic market inhibits the establishment of a significant imlxrt substitution industry, although there are some small assembly plants using i- mported components and materials. Manufacturing output grew about 8'(' annually during 1967 -7 I. Nevertheless, Guyana continues to depend on imports for most of its supplies of manufactured goods. Production of selected items is shown in Figure 12. Sugar and rice milling account for about one -third of manufacturing output. Ten of the I I sugar mills are controlled by two foreign- mviied companies �the major firm being Bookers Sugar Fstates, late!. (dice milling, on the other hand, is carried out by nunu�rous small private and a fe%y large government -owned mills. The remainder of the sector is cornpowd or numerous small e nterprises located mostly in Georgetown and A ig th(� cast bank of the Demerara River, where electric power and transport services are readily available. About half of these process foodstuffs and tobacco. The London firm of Booker Brothers, McConnell and Co., l.td. (also known as the Booker Group) is the most important of the several foreign -owned firms active in Guyana. In addition to its sugar interests, the Booker Group is involved in a wide variety of other agricultural, industrial and commercial activities. It produces rum and gin, operates the largest department and grocery store in Georgetown, and is engaged in printing, tire recapping, and the mail of pharmaceuticals, stockfeeds, and building materials. Following a lull during the early 1960's, construction recovered strongly, reflecting the increase in public investment. Value added by construction expanded at an annual rate of 15r,(' during 1967-71. or twice as fast as the a co nom% as a whole. raising construction coiotribution to (:DP to 9`4. During this period, traditional wood construction has been replaced to uunc extent by brick and concrete to minimize ti t(- hazard of fire, which has Ix�riodiealk swept Georgetown. &�cause no limestone or cement is produced localh, this shift has increased cYntstruction costs and deli- ndence on imports. 5. Domestic trade Compared with other less developed countries, Cuyana has a relatively advanced c�asl �cononty. Modern goods and services comparable to those found in smaller American cities are general) available in Gcorgchwn and throughout much of the coastal strip, although tlc� lack of adceluate� translxrt facilities hinders the efficient marketing oV food. Most priyalc consumer services are also available on plantations v..nd in mining c�onimni ities but are lacking in independent rural villages. Public consumer services are generally inadequate�, particularly in rural areas. Be cause of the lack of domestic produe�tion of many goods, domestic trade is closely tied to imports. Many of the larger wholesalers and retailers are subsidiaries of foreign -owned firms engaged in foreign trade. Imported goods still are often preferred to domestic counterparts, reflecting both the low quality of the� latter goods and patterns and preferences established during the colonial era. C. )Manpower I'll(- percentage of the populatim! in the labor force�, though about "verage for Latin America, is substantially lower than in more economically advanced countries. where a large proportion of females arc economically active. In 1970 �the date of the last official census �the labor force (persons 14 years of age and over, employed or seAing employment) was estimated at 2010H), or 29(' of the FIGURE 12. Production of selected manufactured goods 1961 1963 1965 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 Edible oil (Thousands of gallons) 925 Margarine (Thousands of pounds) 1,707 Rum (Thousands of gallons) 2,791 Beer and stout (Thousands of gallons) 760 Soap (Thousands of pounds) 3,994 Cigarettes (Thousands of pounds). 776 Matches (Thousands grosses of boxes) 191 619 653 888 893 699 791 890 1,561 2,096 2,414 2,189 2,564 2,349 2,641 2,539 3,643 3,406 3,276 3,201 3,229 3,781 681 1,083 1,351 1,134 1,249 1,391 1,389 4,073 4,851 3,968 4,400 4,707 4,962 4,727 636 809 826 859 863 926 954 169 201 197 197 176 213 107 10 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 totai population. T he most recent complete survey of employment, carried out in IW5, indicated the following labor- force participation rates by age group and sex, in percent: MALE FE \[ALE TUTAI. 14 -19 51.7 25.7 38.8 20 -24 96.2 36.1 64.2 25 -29 97.9 30.2 63.4 30 -44 97.6 30.1 61.7 45 -59 93.6 35.0 65.7 60 and over 49.8 15.6 31.3 Total (14 and over) 81.8 29.3 54.9 According to the March 1965 survey, the largest portion of the labor force was in agriculture (Figure. 1:3). Because a substantial part of the unemployed were agricultural workers, the actual share of the labor force in agriculture came to about Wi. The la.hor reserve is small. Few of the approximately 20,000 Amerindians still gathered in reservations can be assimilated into the labor force. Of the remaining TOTAL 174,772 Agriculture* 43,922 (25.1 Manufacturing 24,302 (13.9 Services 27,247 (15.6 Commerce 18,941 (10.8 Transportation and Communications 9,017 (5.2 Const. uction 6,786 1 9 0 0 Mining and [quarrying 4,663 12.7 Electricity, Gas and Water 2;029 (1.2 Unemployed 36,644 (20.9 Not Adequately Described 1,2 (0.7 *Includes forestry, hunt N INNNI NIIINIII INNNl11IIINNI 38.227 fffrf( 5,695 M"111 NIII 9,176 t I f f f 5 y,1 126 i NINNNI NI 12,544 ffflffffff ttrf( 14.703 "M rrfnifl 7,660 NINNN 8,427 1 Sao IIINl1 6,766 20 1 1,000 Males !!!M 4,333 1,000 Females 1 330 11 1,959 70 IIINIIIII IIINNIII NII 22,361 r ffrffffrf fff+ 13,283 7 821 1 400 ng, and fishing. FIGURE 13. Labor force by branch of the economy and sex, 1965 143,700 people age 1.1 and over not in the labor force in 1965, some 29,5W were in school and 12300 were sick or disabled. Most of the remaining 101,900 persons were unskilled fenales and retired persons over ate 60, only a few of .vliom would enter the labor forc, even in it severe ;crisis. Unemployment has remained high since 1963 in spite of the steady growth of the economy. Unemployed persons made up over 21 of the labor force it. 196.3, and the 1970 census indicated that about 20% of the labor force was unemployed in that year. At the root of the persistent unemployment problem has been the steady progress of mechaniza- tion in agriculture. A contributory factor hay been the growing dislike for agricultural pursue iry new labor force entrants. Underemployment is also a serious problem. In 1965 only about half of those employed were fully employed, and about one -fifth of the labor force had two occupations concurrently; part of this group worked less than one -third of the year in their primary occupations. Labor productivity has been high in the bauxite and sugar industries but low in most other economic activities. Opportunities for labor to intwe from low to high -yield sectors are limited. The sugar and rice 1 industries are highly seasonal and the economy has been unable to readily absorb seasonally unemployed workers into other a -�tivities. Although the government prescrihcs minimum wages for a few industries such as clothing, most wages and salary earners are paid at rates stipulated in collective agreements. Wages in the hauxite industry (1.42 Guyana dollars ((.S) per hour for unskilled and (;$2.20 for skilled labor) are about twice as high as those in other industries. As labor has become increasingly organized, the gap between wages in the bauxite industry and those in other sectors has tended to narrow. D. Economic policy and development 1. Policy From the early 1960's the government has played an important role in the economy, channeling a large and increasing share of gross domestic expenditure through the government budget for public consumption and investment. Government outlays in 1961 made up 19% of GDP and by 1969 had risen to 24,c (Figure 14). Since proclaiming Guyana a cooperative republic' in early 1970, Burnham has sought to expand the public sectors role even further, and by 1971 government outlays hod increased to Wr* of APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 101.2 In eammnt: Public 7.2 ercent Percent of GDP 102 8 1033 101.7 99.2 97.9 98.0 6.3. 7.8 I 1961 1963 I%S 1%7 68 69 70 NOTE: Grass d*W9k expenditures are less than GDP during years when there is a surplus in the external balance of goods, services, and tramfers. Conversely GDE exceeds GDP when the external boldnce is in deficit. FIGURE 14. Gross domestic expenditure by end use GDP. This polic% is k-ing implemented largei% through the acquisition for the government of at least tnajority ownership of major economic- enterprises and through the expansion of the economic� role of government- controlled cooperatives, which, according to official ideology, are to become the dominant sector of the ec�ononty. The most dramatic step in carrying out Burihaids nc�w police has hecn the 1971 nationalization of DEM BA, Gtjyana's largest economic cntcrpnse. Burnham has also talked of obtaining government niajority ownership of the Reynolds b.,ttxite properties, although no action has vet been taken. Prior to the adoption of this new Policy, the extent of goyernnn�nt ownership of econornic enterprises was small, tieing limited mainly to it few rice mills, about half of electric power generating capacity, telec�oninuntic�a- tions facilities and the domestic airline. Subsequentl%. however, the government has gained control of numerous enterprises, including �in addition to DEMBA �a trading eornpany. Gnyands largest timber concern, several large state� farms. and a 1? 71 newspaper printing first. "I'he goyer tnenl also has established a eonunerehil hank. which is ultimately to replace. for the most part, the five foreign -owned hanks. and has created the I ?xternal 'Trade Bureau. which controls srnte 20 of iniports. The goyernnieW seeks to expand the role of cooperatives as a means of insuring popular participation in the henefits of cconontic� deyelop- ment. Cooperatives alwady had bec�onn� %%idespread. In l,rt ether 1969. for example, there were 805 c�ooperatiye societies with it nwnthership of about 10.000 �a little more than half of which were credit and savings c�ooperatiycs. By early 1972 the number of c�ooperatiyes had risen to 1.100 with if nn�mbership of 90.000. Despite the large iwnibers, however. the c�oopercttiyes' contribution to the economy remains relatively small. The Btirnitam government continues �on its ocyn terns �to welc�oine private fon�;gn inyesttnent. particularly in projects inyolying exploitation of natural resources. \e%y undertakings inusl he imot APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 ventures with the Ctivanese Government or with a domestic cooperative, 'Itc foreign partners loving restricted to a minorit% sh: re. a. Public finance The central government dominates the financial operations of the public sector, which also includes 20 public regional districts, five municip alities, and 19 p g P' F enterprises and decentralized institutions. The central government collects 80% of total public revenues and accounts for Wi of expenditures. r' Central government revenues grew about 8`i annually during 19613 -70. This giowth reflected mainly increased income tax receipts resulting from improved collection methods, higher tax rates, and a growing revenue base. In 1970 about 7' of central government revenue cam e e from income taxs large share by Latin American standards (Figure 15). Government revenues also henefited from a consumption tax levied at the end of 1969 which collected 635.3 million in 1970. Revenues declined by 7% in 1971, however, because of reduced income tax receipts following the nationalization of DEMBA. DEMBA stopped making tax payments after the first quarter of 1971, while its successor, GU BAH trade only a token payment in the last quarter of the Near as a result of reduced sales and the need to build working capital reserves. Government rece from inquort d uties have IN�� -n adver,:�!y affected h% the alxditiott (of duties on intlxrt, from CARIFTA countries in 1%8. The resulting decline in tollec�tions was checked in 1%9 by a 35i surcharge on all imixorts subject to duty, but revenues from imixrt duties declined again in 1970 and 1971. Central government exix�nditures grew almut annually during 1967 -71. Current eoutlays accvttnte�d for the !ulk of the rise, their share of total exix�nditures increasing from 674 in 1%. to 70fi in 1971. This growing share results from increased outlays Ixwth for general administration and for the ttaintcuance (if puhlic� facilities, esix�c�ially roads and sea defenses. Reflecting increased eft rts to expand economic infrastructure, central government capital outlays ,till grew at an average annual rate of about S;i during 196ti -71. Of total capital expenditures of ahotit G$2:31 million during 19(i7 -71, 23 was six�ut on reads, 13`.f on sea and river defenses, Wi on agriculture, and 9i on civil aviation. The rapid increase in expew itttres during 1%. 7 -70 lmosted budget deficits from Wi to 20 '/i of total expenditures. With the decline of current revenues in 1971, the deficit rose to 31 I i. During 1967 -70, alxut half of the deficit was financed with long -term external borrowing. In 1971 the availability of funds from external sources fell short of the need, a:A the FIGURE 15. Revenues and expenditures of the central government (Millions of Guyana dollars) 13 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972* Revenues: Income taxes 28.5 35.3 34.3 50.1 42.9 63.3 Property and inheritance taxes.... 0.9 1.0 1.4 2.6 2.9 3.2 Import taxes 35.4 36.3 41.3 40.3 38.5 36.:3 Export taxes 1.8 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.9 Consumption and transaction taxes. 13.8 14.9 17.4 23.6 24.7 26.1 Capital receipts 14.2 7.6 6.3 2.7 1.1 2.3 Other uontax receipts............ 12.4 12.8 13.6 13.6 13.5 16.5 Total 107.0 110.2 116.9 135.6 12!).:3 150.6 Expenditures: Current 81.6 90.9 99.5 118.9 128.6 137.2 Wages-salaries 38.0 39.8 44.7 49.3 57.0 65.2 Purchases of goods and services.. 20.0 24.1 29.4 37.1 33.9 35.8 Subsidies and transfers......... 13.3 15.3 14.9 17.6 20.0 17.9 Interest on public debt......... 9.0 10.5 9.0 11.2 13.2 13.7 Other 1.3 1.2 1.5 3.7 4.5 4.6 Capital 40.1 39.7 44.9 51.0 55.0 79.4 Total 121.7 130.6 144.4 169.9 183.6 216.6 Deficit 14.7 -20.4 -27.5 -34.3 -57.3 -66.0 *Plan. 13 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 share trf the deficit fina domewticaliv mainly In the banking system rouse to more than 60 b. Banking, money supply, and prices The banking system consists of the Bank of Guyana (the central bank), six commercial hanks (composed of five subsidiaries of foreign hanks and the government- owned National Cooperative Bank). and a Post Office Savings Bank. Supplementing the banking system are two trust companies, an investment company, a few insurance companies. and a large number of small credit unions and cooperative savings and credit societies. Since 1967 the Bank (if Guyana has operated a "call stock exchange" which aims at improving the market for shares of local firms. Transactions on the exchange are small and limited -to the shares and debentures of a few leading companies. The Bank of Guyana is legally endowed with the customary tools of monetary m anagement, having the power to control reserve requirements and liquidity ratios for commercial banks, to rediscount commer- cial, industrial, and agricultural paper, and to regulate commercial interest and loan rates. The central hank also is authorized to specify the purpose, minimum security, and maximum maturities for loans by commercial banks, as well as to set limits for various loan categories and the total amount of loans outstanding. The central bank has relied to a large extent on such direct credit controls in regulating the money supply. The most important commercial hanks are subsidiaries of the British -owned Barclays Bank and the Royal Bank of Canada. These banks hav: several local branches and offices in the more populated areas. The ee -,c nment- owned National C ooperative Bank was formed to reduce the influence of the foreign banks. The Post Office Savings Bank, founded in 1889, is one of the oldest financial institutions in Guyana. With over 60 branches throughout the country, it has been very successful in mobilizing the savings of small savers, especially in rural areas. Reflecting a relatively conservative credit policy, domestic credit expanded by about I Wr annually during 1967 -71. Although credit cowinued to go mainly to the private sector, rising def;�;.ts boosted the government's share of total credit from 27 to 34% during the period. The money supply expanded during 1967 -71 by only 7% annually -a rate commensurate with GNP growth. The relatively slow money supply growth resulted mainly from it decline in the banking system's holdings of foreign assets and the private sector's increasing willingness to hold quasi -money (time and saving deposits), which rose 14 II annually during this period. 'These latter developments effectively neutralized the potential inflationary effects of bank financing, of part of the government deficits. According to the governments outdated consumer price index. official retail prices rose only about 2.5i annually during IW7 -71, although the actual increase may have been somewhat higher. The� government maintains price controls on locally produced and imported essential consumer items as well as industrial products that receive tariff protection while price determination for domestic foodstuffs, except rice, is generally left to market forces so as to encourage production. "They government plans to extend the list of goods subject to price controls as additional commodities are added to the list of products imported by the state trading agency. 2. Development Since President Bumham's proclatuation of Guyana as a "cooperative wpublic," the government has been working out a new development strategy in which the public and cooperative sectors are to play leading roles. The development plan for 1966 -72 (Figure 16) was dropped before completion, and the government began preparation of it 15 year plan for 1972 86 aud, within its framework, an operational 5 year plan for 1972 -76. Although the new plan has not been finalized, sonic of its basic objectives have been taken into consideration in the 1972 budget and in other ecouontic policies, including the December 1971 ban on an exte nsive list of food and other imports FIGURE 16. The 1966 -72 public investment plan (Millions of Guyana dollars) Not pertinent. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 PLAN 1966 72 ACTUAL F.XPENPI- 1969 TUat:S Original Revision 1966 71 Agriculture, forestry. and fishing 64.7 60.0 30.S Transportation and public works 64.7 95.0 118.0 Seawall defenses......... 14.7 40.0 32.7 C'ommunications........ S.3 14.0 17.6 Electric power.......... 14.7 30.0 14.2 Industrial development... 17.7 17.7 5.5 Education 11.8 32.0 19.7 All other social services... 85.3 80.0 20.4 Public credit to various sectors 11.8 11.8 4.2 Unallocated 20.2 Total 294.2 383.5 283.3 Not pertinent. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 Pk Y; The immediate objectives of the new 5 -year plan will he to achieve self sufficiency in foodshiffs anci textiles by 1976 and to make accelerated progress toward meeting housing needs. The attainment of the self sufficiency goal, ho% ever, would require increases in the production of fish and beef of about one- thirc', and one- fourth, respectively, and it huge increase in the acreage under minor crops. In vices of ill(- magnitude of the task, there is little likelihood that the government can achieve this goal. I,. International economic relations 1. Foreign trade The economy is heavily dependent upon foreign trade. During 1961 -67, for example, exports and imports equaled 5051 and 47f; of GDP, respectively. Except for slight dips in 1964 and 1965, the value of export:: has risen steadily over the last decade Figure 17). The increase is attributable mainly to expanding sales of bauxite and alumina and rising prices for sugar and rice. Imports, on the other hand, have been erratic, fluctuating with variations in domestic economic activity. For example, imports in 1962 -63 averaged about 17% below the 1961 level because of the sharp curtailment of investment activity in the face of political and social unrest. During 1964-67 imports rose 16% annually, as large bauxite expansion programs hoosted imports of capital goods. Following a decline in 1968 when these projects were completed, imports rebounded in 1969 and 1970 under the impetus of new bauxite investments and expanded government development programs. Despite increased purchases of food and intermediate goods, total imports declined in 1971 with the slowdown of bauxite investment. a. Trade patterns Sugar, rice, bauxite, and alumina account for the bulk of export earnings. Less important items include shrimp, rum, molasses, diamonds, and timber. Dried and calcined bauxite has surpassed sugar as Guyana's most important export item. Imports consist primarily of intermediate and capital goods, although foodstuffs are also important. In 1971 intermediate goods accounted for about -18% of total imports; machinery and transport equipment, 23 food, 16%; and other consumer goods, I I S; Imports of intermediate goods, which consist mainly of industrial materials, chemicals, and fuels, have grown steadily in response to expanding domestic FIGURE 17. Balance of trade economic activity. On the other hand, capital goods imports have registered wide year -to -year fluctuations in keeping with changes in investment. The value of imported foodstuffs, of which wheat. milk products. and processed meat are the most important. has remained fairly constant over the period. The geographic pattern of Guyana's trade has changed considerably since the 1930 s with the emergence of bauxite and alumina as major export items. The United States, Canada, and the continental countries of Western Europe have become increasingly important markets for Guyanese minerals while simultaneously becoming major sources of machinery and equipment for the hauxite industry and of Alter imports. On the other hand, the United Kingdom, which formerly dominated Guyana's foreign trade, now has a trade share only equal to that of the United States: in 1970 each accountec: for about one- fourth of Guyana's total trade (Figure I8). to APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 Portent FIGURE 18. Direction of trade Percent Continental Western Europe and Canada, major markets for alumina and, in the latter case, bauxite, are tied for third place, closely followed b,' niembers of the Caribbean Free "Trade Association (CARIPTA). In addition to Guyana. the association consists of lntigim. Barbados. British 1 ionduras, Mininic�a, enadu, Jamaica, Montserrat, St. Kitts- Nevis- Anguilla. St. Lucia, St. Vincent. and '1 rinidad uncl Tobago. The association, original:, funned to promote regional trade through it reduction of trading harriers o, products of area origin� is scheduled to he expanded into it modified common market in 1973, with a common external tariff and harnionization of fiscal incentives to industry. Guvana's trade with Communist countries has been negligible. Inworts from these countries mainly the� U.S.S.R. �have been averaging less that) USS750,000 annually while Guyanese exports appear to have been virtually nil until 1972, when 100,000 to 1 50,0(x) metric tons of alumina, worth about $ri million, were sold to the U.S.S.R. Guyana has made it concerted effort to expand trade ties with the Communist world. In late 1971 the Burnham government signed a bilateral trade agreement with the Peoples Republic of China providing for a potential trade turnover of as much ar: $1.3 million auutually. IG b. Trade regulations Guyana's former relatively liberal trade controls have been tightened considenbl% under BurthanCs administration. Althttigli import licenses are granted freely for many items front most countries, the� list of goOcis prohibited for protective reasons was lengthened at the end of 1971 to include a wide range of food aril nonfood items. In adldlitiun, in mid -1970 the jurisdiction of the I-.xternal Trade Bureau which had been created in 1970 to control imports front Communist countries. %%as subsequentI\ expanded to include imports of c'hemic'als and pharnaceuticais, cement, and ,lost foodstetffs front all sources. Import duties are intended both for revenue and protection. "Three duty schedules are in effect: at schedule for imports of CARIFTA origin, it preferential schedule for imports from other Commonwealth countries, and it general schedule for ncrt- Conurtonweaith cotntries. As of I May 1968 all duties were eliminated oil imports of CARII "I'A origin except for it reserve list Of co mmodities for which removal is to be gradual. General schedule tariff rates range from SSi to 93VI" ad calowin, with an average of about -1011. while preferential rates range from 2 to 20 percentage points lower. Some itents. inc�loding ntael inery and equipnu�nt, enter elute free under the provisions of investment incentive Iegisiatiou. An ad valorem export tux of I.5`; is applied to must nonnianufactured products. Major exc�epticrts are bauxite. raw sugar. lirinip. and it few minor items subjc ct to specific duties. tiIlbougl export, :re supervised to insure repatriation of exchange proceeds. export licenses are not required for most products. Trade with Rhodesia. South Africa. and Portugal is prohibited. C:uv,ua maintains a unified exc�bange rate system. with all foreign exchange transactions carried out at the official rate. Guyana remains it meinber of the sterling area: parit} \010 the t'.S. dollar was maintained following the 1971 international c�,rrency realignment. ibis devaluing the Guyana dollar in terms of sterling, but the Guyana dollar began floating with the pound in June 1972. Export and import transactions are free front restrictions, but sale of foreign exchange for travel and for capital pay'llents and transfers is restricted and, in sums� c�ircurnstautc�es, prohibited. As i t Corruuonweallh country. Guiana formerly exempted capital transactions with other Conunonwealth countries from restrictions. but in Dec'e'mber 1971 this exemption was terminated. 2. Balance of payments After several years of foreign payments surpluses. Guyana incurred moderate deficits during 1967 -70 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 "Caribbean =ree Trade Association FIGURE 19. Balance of payments (Millions of U.S. dollars) Not pertinent. (Figure 19). Although trade surpluses were achieved in 2 of the 4 gars, substantial outflows of repatriated profits from foreign- ov. sugar and bauxite companies kept the current account consistently in the red. Except in 190 when the payments deficit was caused by foreign reserve revaluation resulting from devaluation of the pound sterling, capital inflows were insufficient to compensate for the current account deficit. In 1971 it balance of payments surplus resulted from it unique combination of favorable circum- stances: a substantial trade surplus induced partl% by the drop in imports, repatriation to Guyana of the US$4.8 million DEMBA pension fund formerly held in Canada, and increased government and private borrowing abroad. Government acquisition of the DEMBA hauxite properties is reflected in the 1971 foreign payments account by bookkeeping entries that had no net effect on the balance. Reflecting the developments since 1966, foreign reserves dropped from $36.7 million at the end of 1966 to $26.3 million at the end of 1970. Although the 1971 payments surplus boosted reserves to $31.3 million, they remain small. equaling less than 3 months' imports. 3. Foreign assistance and debt In per capita terms, Guyana has received a substantial amount of economic assistance since 1960. Assistance amounted to US$69 million from the '?nited Kingdom during 1960 -70 and to sine USS1 7 million front Canada during 1960 -71. U.S. aid authorizations during 1965 -72 totaled $55 million in loans and some $19 million in grants. Prior to 1965. U.S. assistance was limited to it total of about $5 million in small grants. Guyana receives no U.S. military aid. Economic assistance from international financial organizations amounted to $27 million during 1946 -7I. Aid front Communist countries was nil until April 1972, when the People's Republic of China extended it $26 million interest -free develop- ment loan. Drawings against the loan are to he made over it 5 -year period beginning in 1972, with repayment to be spread over 20 follo%%ing a 10- year grace period. Guyana's external public debt, after remaining almost unchanged throughout the mid- 1960's, has more than doubled since 1969. 'Total indebtedness rose from US$59 million in 1968 to $139, million in 1971. largely as a result of addition of the $53.5 million debt incurred as compensation for nationalization of the DEMBA bauxite properties. The highly concessionary terms under which Guvatia has obtained foreign assistance have contributed to a light debt service burden. Service payments totaled only $4.4 million in 1971, or about 3 1 of export earnings. Even including compensation payments, which Began in 1972, debt service payments are expected to amount to only 5 I li of export earnings -well helow the Latin Arnerican average. lid APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 Balance on current account: Exports (f.o.b.) 121.8 113.0 123.8 129.0 137.1 Imports (c.i.f.) 126.0 -106.4 --117.2 -133.1 130.7 Investment income -18.3 -15.1 -18.0 14.8 14.0 Travel and other services -4.5 -4.7 1 .3 -0.5 -o.7 Private transfers -1.5 1 .4 -0.9 -0.5 3.7 Total -28-5 -14.6 13.6 -19.9 -4.6 Balance on capital account: Official transfers 4.0 2.2 1.3 0.3 1 .0 Private capital: Direct investment 18.4 7.9 8.7 6.1 -57.5 Other 1.8 -3.0 -5.0 0.0 4.6 Official loans 4.8 4.4 8.6 10.1 68.3 Special drawing rights allocations........ 2.5 2.1 Total 29.0 11.5 13.6 19.0 16.5 Errors and omissions 4.3 -0.7 4.7 -0.7 -6.7 Foreign reserve revaluation -5.1 Balance of payments surplus or deficit -0.3 -3.8 --4.7 1 .6 5.2 Net change in reserves (increase 0.3 3.8 4.7 1 .6 5.2 Not pertinent. (Figure 19). Although trade surpluses were achieved in 2 of the 4 gars, substantial outflows of repatriated profits from foreign- ov. sugar and bauxite companies kept the current account consistently in the red. Except in 190 when the payments deficit was caused by foreign reserve revaluation resulting from devaluation of the pound sterling, capital inflows were insufficient to compensate for the current account deficit. In 1971 it balance of payments surplus resulted from it unique combination of favorable circum- stances: a substantial trade surplus induced partl% by the drop in imports, repatriation to Guyana of the US$4.8 million DEMBA pension fund formerly held in Canada, and increased government and private borrowing abroad. Government acquisition of the DEMBA hauxite properties is reflected in the 1971 foreign payments account by bookkeeping entries that had no net effect on the balance. Reflecting the developments since 1966, foreign reserves dropped from $36.7 million at the end of 1966 to $26.3 million at the end of 1970. Although the 1971 payments surplus boosted reserves to $31.3 million, they remain small. equaling less than 3 months' imports. 3. Foreign assistance and debt In per capita terms, Guyana has received a substantial amount of economic assistance since 1960. Assistance amounted to US$69 million from the '?nited Kingdom during 1960 -70 and to sine USS1 7 million front Canada during 1960 -71. U.S. aid authorizations during 1965 -72 totaled $55 million in loans and some $19 million in grants. Prior to 1965. U.S. assistance was limited to it total of about $5 million in small grants. Guyana receives no U.S. military aid. Economic assistance from international financial organizations amounted to $27 million during 1946 -7I. Aid front Communist countries was nil until April 1972, when the People's Republic of China extended it $26 million interest -free develop- ment loan. Drawings against the loan are to he made over it 5 -year period beginning in 1972, with repayment to be spread over 20 follo%%ing a 10- year grace period. Guyana's external public debt, after remaining almost unchanged throughout the mid- 1960's, has more than doubled since 1969. 'Total indebtedness rose from US$59 million in 1968 to $139, million in 1971. largely as a result of addition of the $53.5 million debt incurred as compensation for nationalization of the DEMBA bauxite properties. The highly concessionary terms under which Guvatia has obtained foreign assistance have contributed to a light debt service burden. Service payments totaled only $4.4 million in 1971, or about 3 1 of export earnings. Even including compensation payments, which Began in 1972, debt service payments are expected to amount to only 5 I li of export earnings -well helow the Latin Arnerican average. lid APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 Places and features referred to in this chapter R FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3 COORDINATrS o N. P 11'. Berbice River (stream) 6 17 57 32 Courantyne River (stream) 5 57 57 06 Demerara River (stream) 6 48 58 10 Everton 6 12 57 31 Georgetown 6 48 58 10 Kwakwani 5 07 58 03 Linden 6 00 58 IS Matthews Ridge 7 30 60 10 New Amsterdam 6 15 57 31 Pakaraima Mountains (mountains) 4 05 61 30 Pomeroon River (stream) 7 37 58 44 Potaro River (stream) 22 58 52 Tunlatumari 5 20 541 00 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2009/06/16: CIA- RDP01- 00707R000200070005 -3