WEEKLY SUMMARY PORTUGUESE GUINEA: AFTER CABRAL

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: FOIA Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 06954161
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: July 13, 2023
• Document Release Date: November 7, 2022
• Case Number: F-2018-01460
• Publication Date: February 2, 1973

Approved for Release: 2022/09/21 C06954161
--SCURET-
DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
WEEKLY SUMMARY
SUMMARY
le
2 Fetallary 1973
MI 0355/73
Copy Ne 41
SECRET
Approved for Release: 2022/09/21 C06954161
Approved for Release: 2022/09/21 C06954161
The WEEKLY SUMMARY. issued every Friday morning by
the Office of Current Intelligence, reports and analyzes signif-
icant develcipments�of,, the _Week through noon Ion Thursday.
it .frequently inckides Miterial.Ttoprdinated with or prepared
by the Office of. EconomicL Research. the -Office..ot Strategic
ReSearch, and the-.Pirettprate of Science arnk,Technology.
'Topics requiring more comprehensive treatment and _there-
fore published Separately at Special Reports are listed in the
contentS.
Ales
CONTENTS (2 February 1973)
FAR EAST
1 Indochina
3 Philippines: No Heir Apparent
EUROPE
MIDDLE EAST
AFRICA
(b)(3)
WESTERN
I IEMISPHERE
8 USSR: Grain, Shopping in West
10 Malta: The Latest Threat
10 EC: Agricultural Policy
11 Italy: Shoring Up the Lira
12 East Germany: Western Relations
13 The Arabs: Ministers, Husayn
14 Portuguese Guinea: After Cabral
14 Tan-Zam Railway: Chugging Along
16 Dahomey: The First 100 Days
17 Zaire-China: Take the Money
18 Haiti: After the Kidnaping
19 Colombia: Guerrilla Activity
20 Chile: Revolution or Survival
91 Arnantina � Plart nn*: Gfill [In
22 Stalled on Hijacking
23 UN: Rethinking Cyprus Force
SPECIAL
REPORTS (Published separately)
A Force Reductions in Europe
B Sudan: Searching for Stability
Approved for Release: 2022/09/21 C06954161
Approved for Release: 2022/09/21 C06954161
gift
--SEGRE-T-
PORTUGUESE GUINEA: AFTER CABRAL
tr
he Guinea-based African Party for the
Independence of Portuguese Guinea and the Cape
Verde Islands has begun to collect itself, but it
will be some time before the movement regains
the momentum it had before the assassination of
its leaderJ
'Considerable confusion still exists within the
movement as it tries to adjust to life without
Amilcar Cabral, who was assassinated on 20 Jan-
uary. No potential successor has Cabral's stature,
and only the semblance of a new leadership has so
far emerged. Authority appears to be exercised on
a consensus basis, with President Toure�on
whom the rebel movement is heavily dependent
for bases and logistics�the single most influential
voice. A new party secretary ggeneral probably
will not be chosen until after the current investi-
gation into Cabral's death and until, in Toure's
words, a "fifth column" of conspirators is purged.
The new leadership will probably have to contend
with extremists who favor more aggressive mili-
tary action.)
One tentative conclusion produced by the
investigators is that the increase in dissension
within the rebel movement during the past several
months was linked to the infusion of a large
number of new recruits, many of whom described
themselves as deserters from the Portuguese Afri-
can Army. Toure faults the rebel leadership for
not screening such men more closely. He con-
tends that many were Portuguese'agents and that
some of them figured prominently in Cabral's
death.hLast week, Toure claimed that confessions
from the captured assassins established that black
African elements conspired with Portugal to
eliminate the movement's mulatto, Cape Verdian
leadership. At a symposium honoring Cabral on 1
February, Toure asked for a greater effort to
eliminate contradictions within the movement.
(Although Lisbon clearly is the major bene-
ficiary of the killing, Toure has not offered any
solid evidence of Portugal's involvemen0
In sharp contrast to the highly visible con-
trol Toure exercised over the rebel organization
immediately after the killing, he is now trying to
bolster its image as an independent force. Last
week, he stressed the responsibility of the insur-
gents themselves to punish those guilty of killing
Cabral and to make all critical decisions regarding
the movement. Subsequently, Luiz Cabral, half
brother of the slain leader, was accorded the role
of rebel spokesman in a Guinean communique.
111 1There is little evidence that Portugal has
taken military advantage of the rebels' situation,
although insurgent leaders and supporters fear
such an eventuality.
TAN-ZAM RAILWAY: CHUGGING ALONG
onstruction of the Chinese-financed Tan-
Zam Railway may be completed in 1974, a year
ahead of schedule. This $400 million project has
helped to improve Peking's image in Black Africa;
the railroad is important to Zambia and Tanzania
and its construction is being pressed at a speedy
pace. The undertaking is the largest single Chinese
aid project. The railroad will enable Zambia to
ship its copper to Dar es Salaam for export
-SECRET-
Page 14 WEEKLY SUMMARY 2 Feb 73
SECRET-
Approved for Release: 2022/09/21 C06954161