CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/05/19
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19 May 1959
Copy No. C
CENTRAL
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BULLETIN
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19 MAY 1959
L THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Geneva - USSR plans to reopen ques-
tion of Polish and Czech participation.
Matsus - Chinese Nationalists appar-
ently precipitated shelling by attack-
ing Communist junks nearby.
USSR may be building new class of
guided-missile destroyers.
East Germany unable to stem flight of
physicians to the West.
IL ASIA-AFRICA
Yemen - Army units revolt in north-
ern capital of Saila.
Nasir facing discontent and possibly
subversion in armed forces.
Mehl sharply rejects Soviet note call-
ing for neutralization of Japan.
India-Paldstan - Outlook improves for
settling Indus River dispute.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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19 May 1959
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
USSR-Geneva:
Gromyko
would again raise the question of Polish and Czech participa-
tion in a day or two. the USSR
would not allow the Geneva conference to break up over this
issue and that it hopes the present meeting will clear the
ground for a summit conference. totally
rejected the idea of including East Berlin in a Berlin settle-
ment.
token Soviet forces could be stationed in West Berlin along
with troops of the three Western powers to guarantee West
Berlin's status, with the East Germans performing all access-
control function9 (Page 1)
Taiwan Strait: he Chinese Nationalists apparently
initiated the incident of 17 May which ended in the first siz-
able.Chinese Communist shelling of the main islands of the
Matsu island group. The shelling followed an attack by Na-
tionalist naval craft on a group of Chinese Communist junks,
possibly fishing vessels, which approached within 5,000 yards
of Matsu propei.3 (Page 2)
USSR:
the USSR may be building a new class of guided-
missile destroyers. the first iden-
tification of a class of warships designed specifically for these
weapons, although some Kotlin-class destroyers have been con-
verted to a missile-launchind role. (Page 3)
East Germany: Efforts of the Ulbricht regime to halt the
flight of physicians to the West have not prevented the escape
of 118 of them in April alone as compared with 208 for the first
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three months of this year. This presents East Germany with
an increasingly serious problem which is compounded by the
marked rise in flights to the West of engineers, technicians,
and teachers. (Page 4)
II. ASIA-AFRICA
*Yemen: A mutiny among regular army forces in the north-
ern capital of Sana on 18 May appears to have been short-lived,
The dissident troops
naa moved without proper authority and burned the homes of
several high officials. By mid-afternoon of the 18th, Crown
Prince Badr's representatives in Sana sought to reassure him
that all troops were under control. Sana remains a center of
Opposition to Badr, who is in the southern capital of Taiz, and
further disturbances are possible. (Page 5)
UAR: [ince the first of the year the Nasir regime. has re-
tired, transferred, and in some cases arrested a large numbe
of military personnel in Egypt and Syria including officers wh
were not in sympathy with Nasir's anti-Communist, anti-Iraqi
campaign. The regime's security measures appear to be ade-
quate, although the extent of the dissidence remains tuideter.-
mine9 (Page 7)
Japan-USSR: The Kishi administration is reacting firmly to
counter the effects of the 4 May Soviet note calling for the denu-
clearization and neutralization of Japan. Its formal rejection of
the note was the sharpest rebuke to date to Moscow for what
Japan regards as interference in its affairs. The ruling Liberal-
Democratic party apparently intends to make its pro-US policies
the principal issue in the 2 June elections, in opposition to the
Socialists' support of the neutralist propaganda line endorsed by
the Communists. (Page 8)
India-Pakistan: The outlook for settlement of the dispute
over the division of the waters of the Indus River basin has im-
proved as a result of India's generally favorable reaction to the
19 May 59
DAILY BRIEF
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new plan recently presented by the International Bank for
Reconstruction and Development. Nehru_ apparently desirous
of reaching a settlement with Pakistan, alas indicated that India
would substantially modify its earlier position although it still
objects to some provisions in the plafil Pakistan has also indi-
cated a desire to settle the issue, aid is expected to react favor-
ably. (Page 9) (Map)
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I. THE. COMMUNIST BLOC
Soviet Diplomats Comment on Geneva Conference
Gromyko would again raise the issue of Polish
and Czech participation day or two" but will not break up
the conference over this. reports that the USSR
might eventually settle forPoland alone and expressed hive' that
the conference would clear the ground for a summit meqing23
rejected the idea of including East
Berlin in a Berlin settlement, on the ground that it is the capital
of the German Democratic Republic and has nothing to do with the
main Berlin problem in Communist eyes--the elimination of "sub-
versive" antibloc activities based in West Berlit2D
g..n an apparent effort to test the American attitude toward an
agreement confined to the Berlin ornill ern_
token Soviet forces could be stationed in West
Berlin along with troops of the three Western powers to 'guarantee
West Berlin's status and access to the city, with the East Germans
performing all access-control functions. This renewed indication
of Soviet willingness to agree to some new arrangement which
would allow the West to retain forces in West Berlin probably is
part of Moscow's effort to break the Western "package" 'plan and
induce the Western foreign ministers to discuss the Soviet pro-
posals for a peace treaty and Berlin separately
; In his speech on receiving the "Lenin Peace Prize" on 16
May, Khrushchev stated that the Western plan contains "some
questions which are worthy of examination and which wei shall
not oppose," but insisted they be discussed d7aratelv. not as
part of "one big knot that cannot be untied3
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Chinese Nationalists Initiate Incident Near Matsus
Crwo Chinese Nationalist patrol craft in the Matsu island
area on 17 May fired on some 20 Chinese Communist junks
which had come within three miles of the island. The National-
alists claim to have sunk five junks and damaged ten others.
Chinese Communist artillery joined in the engagement by fir-
ing at the Nationalist warships and at Matsu Island and Peikan
Island, killing three and wounding four soldier_s]
6,Tationalist� propaganda has played up the incident as the
first heavy Communist bombardment of these two islands but
has omitted details of the preceding naval incident. American
authorities on Taiwan believe that the Communist craft were
fishing junks operating closer than usual to Nationalist terri-
tory and that the Communist shelling was retaliation for the
naval attack on the junks. The Nationalists occasionally dis-
perse such concentrations with their naval patrol..sD
the firing of approximately 286 rounds at Peikan and Matsu
islands is the heaviest shelling of these islands to date. The
heaviest shelling of any island in the Matsu group occurred on
15 September 1956, when 610 rounds were fired at Kaoteng, the
northernmost island of the grouy3
CI-be recent Communist firing suggests that Peiping will re-
act sharply to Nationalist military actions it considers provoca-
tive. Chinese Communist propaganda continues to view the
"liberation" of the offshore islands as a long-range goal and
displays no sense of urgencS
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1
USSR Possibly Building New Class of Guided-Missile Destroyers
the USSR may be building a new class Of guided-
missile destroyers. This ship is reportedly fitted with deck-
houses fore and aft which are similar to the missile-stowage
structure on the stern of the Kildin class, converted Kotlin de-
stroyers.
Although the characteristics of the Kildin's missile! system
have not been determined, it is believed to be designed for
surface-to-surface weapons. It is esti-
mated that a total of six Kildin units probably exist in the Baltic,
Black Sea, and Pacific areas.
missile test-firuigs have been conducted by
destroyers in the Baltic and Black Seas and possibly the Pacific.
the firstlidentlfication
of a soviet building program involving a warship specifically de-
signed for guided missiles.
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Flight of East German Doctors Continues
Despite the Ulbricht regime's efforts, through promises of
less political pressure, to stem the flow of medical men to the
West, the number fleeing in April rose to 118 compared with
208 in the preceding three months. The critical shortage of
doctors arises from the flight of some 1,242 medical men in
1958 and a total since 1954 of more than 3,000. As a conse-
quence, the entire district of Frankfurt/Oder, to use one ex-
ample, reportedly has no eye doctor. Regime plans to import
medical men from other bloc countries appear to be lagging,
and the program apparently will not go into effect until late
June.
The proportion of professionals in the April total of 15,764
refugees applying for asylum in West Germany and West Berlin
was much higher than in previous months. The flight of 215 en-
gineers and technicians will intensify the regime's difficulties in
fulfilling its ambitious plans for economic expansion. Some 2,845
fled last year, bringing the total loss in this category since Jan-
uary 1954 to more than 11,000. The regime also will feel the
continuing loss of teachers--164 in April and a total of almost
13,000 since January 1954. This situation has already forced
the East German regime to initiate a hasty recruiting campaign
to enlist politically reliable personnel to carry out its much-
advertised "polytechnical education" schemes.
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II. ASIA-AFRICA
Army Revolt in Yemen
A mutiny which broke mit on the morning of 18 May among
regular army forces in Yernen's northern capital of Sam ap-
pears to have been short-lived,
Although the motives and details remain unclear,
dissident troops burned the houses of several high-ranking of-
ficials in Sana and seized several officials as hostages.
Crown Prince Badr's initial reaction was to attempt to rally
loyal members of the reserve forces in Sana to eject the army
troops from the city, and to appeal to all army units for support.
By mid-afternoon, however, the crown princes who is in the
southern capital of Taiz, was assured by his representatives
in Sana that all troops there were under control and that no fur-
ther action was necessary "unless something new happens."
Further disturbances in Sana are possible.
The dissidents may include army troops moved out of Sana
by Badr in mid-April when he attempted to consolidate his posi-
tion there prior to his father's departure for medical treatment
in Italy. An organized group of Yemeni army officers and north-
ern tribal leaders has been plotting action against Badr since his
return from Egypt in early April. These conspirators represent
conservative, strongly nationalist, patrician tribal interests, who
traditionally elect each new Imam and oppose the present Imam's
designation of his son as crown prince.
Recognizing Sana as the center of opposition; Badr sent
units of his personal bodyguard there, replaced officials of ques-
tionable loyalty, and put an Egyptian officer in charge of the po-
lice. Later, on 20 April, Bath.% representatives arrested sev-
eral conspirators and tightened security measures in Sana still
further.
Although the objectives of the dissident army troops have
not been made clear, they presumably hoped to 'attract support
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from other army garrisons, and from the northern tribes which
dominate Yemen and which provide most of the army's manpower.
The government's authority has been deteriorating in northern
Yemen, and dissidence has also recently flared in the arid "Jauf"
region east of Sana. Yemen's "army" numbers about 10,000
poorly trained men, scattered about the country in small units.
In addition, there are several royal bodyguard battalions, and
possibly several thousand "reserve forces"--tribal irregulars
called up for duty this spring when signs of disaffection appeared
in the army.
The royal guard and some regular army units have received
some training from Egyptian and Soviet-bloc instructors, and a
few of the units are equipped with Soviet-bloc heavy weapons, in-
cluding armored cars, tanks, and medium artillery. Badr also
has 30 11-10 piston attack aircraft at his disposal, but would pre-
sumably require foreign pilots to use them effectively.
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UAR Military Plotting Reported
rCommunist-inspired plotting against tne asir regime nas
been reported within both the Egyptian and Syrian armies.
Cairo's General Intelligence
Agency on 2 May uncovered a Communist-led plot to seize con-
trol of the Second (Egyptian) Army. No officers were apprehended,
but more than 200 noncommissioned officers and enlisted men re-
portedly were arrested]
�
another Communist plan,
involving the First (Syrian) Army and aimed at securing Syria's
separation from the UAR. The Syrian plot allegedly involves
former Syrian Chief of Staff Afif Bizri, now in "exile!'; Amin
Nafuri, formerly Bizri's deputy chief of staff and now UAR min-
ister of communications; and Col. Akram Dayri, present
Syrian Army chief of plans
EDuring the past six months Nasir has taken several security
measures within the Syrian Army, including transfer or retire-
ment of personnel not in sympathy with his anti-Communist, anti-
Iraqi campaign. The uncovering of the Communist plot in. Egypt
is additional evidence of the regime's awareness of the problem
of dissidence within the military as well as illustrative of its abil-
ity to act against such element.g
d_lhe regime's past record of efficiency in dealing With opposi-
tion suggests that no attempt directed against it in the hear future�
is likely to succeed. However, the degree of Communist infiltra-
tion of the military is uncertain, and there may also be growing
anxiety among military personnel who fear that Nasir'S present
anti-Communist stand will cost the UAR the help now being pro-
vided by the USSR for the build-up and training of the armed forces.
Some officers may also be disturbed by the apparent "deviation"
of the Nasir regime from an anti-Israeli to an anti-Communist
Phan
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Tokyo Rebukes Soviet Call for Neutral Japan
The Kishi government has handed the Soviet Union a
strongly worded rejection of a Soviet note of 4.May calling for
a denuclearized and neutral Japan. With the Socialists express-
ing support for the SOviet proposal, this issue is likely to be
the major political factor in the 2 June upper-house elections
as well as in subsequent Diet deliberations on a revised US-
Japanese security treaty later in the year. In a rare show of
unanimous support or the government, the Japanese press has
backed the Foreign Ministry's reply, asserting that it represents
the view of the majority of Japanese people, and criticized the So-
cialists for endorsing the Soviet stand.
Tokyo's formal note to the USSR, its sharpest rebuke to
date of Soviet interference in Japanese internal affairs, asserted
that each country must make its own decisions on national defense
questions and pointed out that, while the USSR pretends to favor a
neutral policy for other countries, in practice it severely criticizes
Communist countries which dare to adopt a neutral rourse, i. e.,
Yugoslavia.
The note, in rejecting Soviet charges that Japan is arming
with nuclear weapons, contended that it is not the Japanese Gov-
ernment's policy to arm its forces with such weapons or to permit
their introduction to Japan. he latter is an obvious reference to
possession of nuclear weapons by US forces in Japan- a problem
which is under negotiation in current discussions to revise the US -
Japanese security treat g The Japanese vice foreign minister, in
delivering the note to Soviet Ambassador Fedorenko, said that the
nuclear issue could be solved immediately if the USSR volunteered
to denuclearize itself.
Meanwhile, Prime Minister Kishi in his election campaign has
argued strongly for his administration's pro-US, pro-Western poli-
cies and accused the Japanese Socialists of pursuing a course which
would make Japan a Communist satellite. He has charged that the
defense and foreign policies of the Socialists are carbon copies of
Sino-Soviet bloc policies. As in the case of the Japanese lower-house
elections a year ago, the USSR may have given Kishi and his Liberal-
Democratic party a tailoremade issue for succes ful exploitation in the
election campaign.
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India Reacts Favorably to New Indus Canal Waters Plan
ahe recently prelbeinFu plan cm tne international Bank for
Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) for division between
Pakistan and India of the waters of the Indus River basin has re-
c eivedagenera1y favorable reactionJrom Prime Minister Nehru.
Nehru, wants to reach settle-
ment with Pakistan and has indicated that India would substantially
modify its earlier position on the disputy2
lidia and Pakistan have agreed for several years on the
basic principle for dividing the waters of the Indus basin--India
to use the water of the three eastern rivers and Pakistan the
three western rivers. The dispute has been concerned with the
location and cost of the dams and canals needed to divert water
from the three western rivers to replace the water Pakistan now
receives from the eastern river)
espite his generally favorable reaction, Nehru still objects
to some provisions of the new plan. New Delhi believes the IBRD's
estimate of a total cost of $500,000,000--of which India would sup-
ply $250,000,000--is too high, although India would be willing to
provide considerably more than its earlier offer of $156,000,000.
It also objects to the provision calling for India to supply Pakistan
with water from the eastern rivers for ten years. A more diffi-
cult issue is India's objection to the plan's provision for a major
storage dam in Pakistan-held Kashmir, which New Delhi fears
would prejudice its position that all of Kashmir belongs to Indig
5RD President Black left New Delhi for Karachi on 16 May
to present the plan to Pakistan. Black told US officials in Karachi
on 18 May that Pakistani officials had also reacted favorably and
he was mat,' nntimi ic about the outcome of the negotiation�1
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THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Executive Secretary, National Security Council
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of the Interior
The Secretary of the Interior
The Department of Commerce
The Secretary of Commerce
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
United States Information Agency
The Director
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