SOVIET REPORTING PERFORMANCE UNDER THE ANTARCTIC TREATY

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06805677
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37
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March 8, 2023
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September 5, 2019
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F-2019-00318
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March 1, 1970
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Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 DIRECTORATE OF INITELLIGENCE Intelligence Memorandum Soviet Reporting Performance Under the Antarctic Treaty DOCUM:ri' DO MANCH ...1 � � ., NOT ;fo- 3 CIA/BC1 CM 70.3 March 1970 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 WARNING This document contains information affecting the national defense of the United States, within the meaning of Title 18, sections 793. and 794, of the US Code, as amended. Its transmission: or revelation of its contents to or re- ceipt by an ti4uthorized person is prohibited by law. CROUP I f�glvd.4 .v.smeth de...1� �.d Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 CONTENTS Introduction Reporting Requirements Reporting Procedures Scientific Repots Information Reports .USSR National Reports to SCAR Reporting Inadequacies Lack of Timeliness Omissions and Incompleteness Information Reports USSR National Reports to SCAR Soviet Concealment Policy Conclusions Page 1 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 8 8 10 11 15 Appendixes Appendix A. Recommendation 1-VI of First Consultative Meeting Under the Antarctic Treaty, July 1961 17 Appendix B. Recommendation II-IV of Second Consultative Meeting Under the Antarctic Treaty, July 1962 19 Appendix C. RecomMeneltion III-I and III-II of Third Consultative Meeting Under the Antarctic Treat, June 1964 21 Appendix D. Recom4endation IV-XXIII of Fourth Con- sultative Meeting Under the Antarctic Treat, November 1966 23 Appendix E. Concealment of Affiliations in Scientific Reports ' 25 Figure 1. Photbgrklph G. Ye Lazarev conducting gravimetric observations Map Soviet Antarctic Research Stations (77989) -T 13 Facing Page 1 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Soviet Antarctic Research Stations tV���� � � 30.10 00�0� � U.S. es U.S. coopteovise dadoe � Orl��� 4�1�Itied Ogde, pp opted's� PP SI Men shies p 1/66130. Sea'. Omelet" Shed It� es Oaks pew,. Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 CRT CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Directorate of Intelligence March 1970 INTELLIGENCE MEMORANDUM Soviet Reporting Performance Under the Antarctic Treaty Introduction Ten years of cooperative activity involving 12 nations have recently been completed under the Antarctic Treaty. During this period considerable attention has been focused on the manner in which the USSR has fulfilled its treaty obligations. To evaluate the Soviet performance and to assist in operational and policy planning, the United States needs reliable, detailed information about Soviet activities in Antarctica. Thus, Soviet reporting prac- tices are of particular interest. The Antarctic Treaty requires all signatory countries to exchange advance information on plans, programs, and participants in Antarctic research and to share scien- tific data. This "requirement was a direct outgrowth of concern about Soviet willingness to continue sharing in- formation after the International Geophysical Year, (IGY), 1957-58, which had committed participants to such an exchange. This memorandum assesses Soviet performance in pro- viding operational information required by the treaty. Basic sources are: (1) official Soviet information re- ports required under the treaty, (2) scientific and news reports published by the Soviets, and (3) reports from Free World personnel who have visited Soviet Antarctic installations.; Note: This mellf.odum was produced solely by CIA. It was prepared tno Office of Basic and Geographic,Intel- ligence and wali: ccoidinated with the Offices of Current Intelligence, National Estimates, and Strategic Research. E Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Only a preliminary attempt has been made to assess Soviet performance in data sharing, because of the com- plexities of the scientific activities, the variety of disciplines involved, the differences in programs of individual countries, anii the unpredictable time lags in collection and processing before data can become available at any of the pEGY World Data Centers. To date no clear-cut evidence of Soviet refusal to pro- vide Antarctic data has emerged. Study of their other reporting performance, however, reveals the basic dilemma the Soviets face in trying to reconcile per- vasive secrecy policies with an obligation to pro- vide detailed data on all aspects of a treaty-con- trolled activity. S-E- Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 _Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Reporting Requirements 1. Generail requirements for exchange of inforfflation were contained in the text of the Antarctic Treaty, signed in December 1059. Among other exchange requirements, the treaty provid4d that "� . . information regarding . . scientific programs . . . and results . . . shall be exchanged, and each Contracting Party shall give . . . notice in advance of . . . any military personnel or equip- ment intended to be introduced by it into Antarctica . . .." 2. The First Consultative Meeting of treaty Sig- natories and adhering countries, held in July 196i, spec- ified in detail the reporting obligations of contracting parties. It formulated Recommendation 1-VI (see Appendix A), which req4ired the exchange through diplomatic channels among all governments operating in Antarctica of informa- tion reports as early in each year as possible and in any case before the end of November. The recommendation stated that e4ch report should include the following information: :dates and itineraries of expeditions to and from the continent; occupations of all personnel on all stations and ships; number of personnel in the mil- itary services together with the ranks of any officers; names and professional affiliations of all scientific personnel, including those in the military services; pro- gram of scientific work and list of principal scintific equipment. 3. In an attempt to improve observance of reporting requirements,1Recommendation II-IV (see Appendix a) of the Second Cohsultative Meeting, in July 1962, reiterated the necessitylof providing complete and timely reports. The Third Consultative Meeting, in June 1964, expanded the reporting obligation to include information on air- fields and refuges (see Appendix C). At the Fourth Con- sultative Meeting, in November 1966, the subject of in- formation exchanges was again raised, in response to the United KingdoM view that the information was not being received early enough to be useful to expeditions: going into the field. This view was supported by the other parties and expressed in Recommendation IV-XXIII (see Appendix D), 1which stated that as much of the required information as possible should be exchanged by 31 October, with the balance to be furnished before the end of November. Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Reporting Procedures 4. The Soviets have been publishing a substantial amount of their observational data as well as informa- tion about their activities almost from the very begin- ning of their Antarctic operation. The information they have published on their activities and programs has been more detailed than they normally provide on comparable activities elsewhere. Also, a preliminary survey indicates that the published scientific data are probably as comprehensive and detailed as those released on research and exploration in other areas. This policy can be attributed to a recognition by the USSR of its general commitment to the spirit of the basic objectives and organization of the IGY. 5. The IGY program broadened Antarctic activities from purely nationalistic endeavors with limited sci- entific scope to a comprehensive, coordinated inter- national scientific enterprise. This change required general adoption of the principle of exchange of in- formation, which was implemented by the establishment of three World Data Centers -- one in the United States, another in Western Europe, and a third in the USSR. Through these centers any research scientist presumably has access to all of the observational data in any field declared by a country to be within its IGY program. The IGY program was voluntary and of limited duration, however, and there was no administrative mechanism to monitor or enforce compliance of any par- ticipating country with its commitments. 6. One of the objectives of the Antarctic Treaty was to formalize a continuation of the commitment to exchange information and data on future Antarctic research and to provide, as a minimum, a continuing forum where problems and grievances might be introduced, discussed, and re- solved. The consultative meetings provide such a forum at a governmental. level. Another forum for the discussion of scientific problems and topics was created by the sci- entific community in the establishment of the Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research (SCAR) under the Interna- tional Council of Scientific Union (ICSU). Since SCAR is nongovernmel 'al, however, it lacks the power to define rights and obligations and to specify sanctions for its membership concerning disclosure of information, S-E- E-T Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Scientific Reports 7. Before ratification of the Antarctic Treaty in 1960 the most comprehensive sources of information on Soviet Antarctic activities were Soviet Antarctic Ex- peditions, 1955-1959, by A.V. Nudel'man, and the first seven volumes of the' Works of the Soviet Antarctic Ex- pedition, by the Arctic and Antarctic Scientific Re- search Institute (AANII). The Nudel'man book, published in 1959, describes the first four Soviet Antarctic ex- peditions (SAE's), whereas the AANII volumes, published between October 1958 and December 1959,* describe only the first two SAE's. Both sources provide considerable , information of the type now required by the treaty. TheY present very detailed histories of the operational and scientific activitic- of the expeditions as well as various types of personnel lists. Some volumes list only scientists, while others name all personnel; some provide only the individuals,' professions -- a few also give their affiliations. . 8. Since 1960, Publicatica of the Nudel'man and AANII series has continted with no apparent changes. So far, 52 AANII volumes have been released; the latest, published in 1969, describes the Eleventh SAE (1965-66).1 A lag of 2 to 5 years normally occurs between an expe- dition und the appearance of its report. Information Reports 9. Beginning in. 1960, after Soviet ratification of ; the Antarctic Treaty, the USSR began issuing reports designed to meet treaty requirements. The basic document, an information report submitted through diplomatic chan- nels, purports to give all the required information except descriptions of scientific activities and equipment. Since 1962 Soviet information reports have generally followed; the format of Recommendation 1-VI, with separate sections approximately corresponding to individual paragraphs in the requirement. The bulk of the reports consists of names of scientists at the individual bases. * The first volumel(unnumbered) was published by the 1 Academy of Sciences and technically is not part of thisl series. However, it served as the prototype of the vol- umes that were subsequently published by AANII and numbered ccasecutively. Minor changes in the format of titles have occurred occasionally. Before 1961, titles d-d not include the word "Works" (Trudy). - 5 - WI � Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 10. From 1962 through 1966, several months at r each expedition's austral summer program, the USSR published a supplementary information report that listed the main accomplishments of the expedition and showed changes in activities and personnel assignments made since the ear- lier information report. The supplements are valuable because they are definitive and correct any inaccuracies in the necessarily tentative originals. USSR National Reports to SCAR 11. The annual USSR National Report to SCAR, as well as similar reports submitted by national Antarctic com- mittees of other participating countries, is part of an internationat effort to further the coordination of sci- entific activities in Antarctii..a. Each report contains a detailed list of the scientific observations made and the instrumentation used in the previous year's program. A much less detailed section summarizes planned obser- vations for the coming year. The first SCAR report was published ml 1959. Beginning with the Eighth SAE (1962- 63), each an ual information report has cited the latest SCAR report for information on the expedition's Scientif- ic activitieS as required in Recommendation 12. Use of the SCAR reports to supply info4ation required in ,he information reports is not entirely satisfactory', since the information on scientific pro- grams and equipment is required by agreement between governments and SCAR is an independent scientific orga- nization that cannot be held responsible to governments. All countrie except the USSR have carefully differ- entiated be6men the functions of SCAR and the fUnctions of national governments. Reporting Inadequacies Lack of Timeliness 13. In iseveral respects Soviet reporting has not met the treaty obligations. The information reports have consistently been submitted later than the agreed date (30 November of the year in which the Antarctic season begins).* This loss of timeliness frustrates the stated * Some other treaty signatories have also had diffi- culties in meeting the deadline, but the USSR has been one of the most delinquent. - 6 - Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 E-T treaty objective of facilitating cooperation between national programs. ;It also prevents other countries from responding qui.kly -- by ins7action, protest, or other activity -- to anything su2picious found in a Soviet report. Listed below are the submission dates for each of the Soviet information reports and supple- mentary information reports issued since the USSR ratified the treaty: Expedition Information Report Supplement Sixth SAE (1960-61)! 14 Dec 1960 None Seventh SAE (1961-62) 20 Jan 1962 6 Sep 1962 Eighth SAE (1962-63) 11 Jan 1963 15 Oct 1963 Ninth SAE (1963-60 16 Dec 1963 11 Aug 1964 Tenth SAE (1964-65). 9 Jan 1965 11 Aug 1965 Eleventh SAE (1965-86) 20 Dec 1965 13 Aug 1966 Twelfth SAE (1966-67) 9 Jan 1967 None Thirteenth SAE (1967-68) 29 Jan 1968 None Fourteenth SAE (1968-69) 26 Dec 1968 None Fifteenth SAE (19691-70) 19 Dec 1969 . . . This tabulation shows that recommendations of the Second (July 1962) and Fouirth (November 1966) Consultative Meetings reaffirming the 30 November due date produced no effect on the publication dates of Soviet reports. Neither was any effect produced by a 1966 recommendation to provide an advance report with partial information by 31 October. Beginning in 1962, after the First Consult- ative Meeting, supplementary information reports were . issued for 5 consecutive years; through the Eleventh SAE. For the past three SAE's, however, their publication has been suspended without explanation, resulting in a serious loss of informatiori. Curiously, this reduction in repOrt- ing immediately followed the Fourth Consultative Meeting, at which the USSR lupported the recommendation to increase reporting responsibilities. 14. The USSR's use of SCAR reports to provide scien- tific information about its expeditions has aggravated' the lack of timeliness in its reporting. Analysis of I the USSR's 10th SW report, cited in the information ! report on the Fourteenth SAE, serves to illustrate this deficiency. Although the information report covered the Fourteenth SAE (1988-69), the 10th SCAR report was a "summary of scientific work completed in the Antarr:ticl - 7 - 1;=EN.6-AzAzI_ Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 S-E� during 1967 [Twelfth SAE], in the 1967-1968 summer season [Thirteenth SAE], and plans for 1969 [Fourteenth SAE]." The main body of the SCAR report was devoted tolthe Twelfth SAE; for which it described each progran. and listed the observation schedule and equipment. No in- formation was given on the station observation program of the Thirteenth SAE, although the field programs and oceanographic activities of the 1967-68 summer eason were described in some detail. The portion of the report dealing witti. the Fourteenth SAE consisted only of a brief summary of the scientific fields in which research was to be performed at each station. The bulk of the report thus iconsisted of a comprehensive description of the 1967 resparch program, in sufficient detail to meet the treaty requirements but 2 years out of date.! I i 15. The information report on the Fifteenth SAE (1969- 70) repeated the citation of the 10th SCAR report for in- formation on scientific activities and equipment. It stated "see report in SCAR No. 10 on measures planned by the Soviet Antarctic Expedition in 1969-1971, and on the scientific program -Arried out in 1969." As described above, however, the 10th SCAR report contained only a brief summary of activities planned for 1969 andl included no information on plans for 1970 and 1971. For he Fifteenth SAE, then, the Soviets not only cited a source that was essentially 3 years out of date but also gave an erroneous description of its contents. This defi- ciency was partially corrected, however, within month after publication of the information report on the Fifteenth SAE, when the 11th SCAR report was released. It contained la "summary of the scientific program com- pleted in the Antarctic in 1968 [Thirteenth SAE), in the 1968-1969 summer season [Fourteenth SAE), and plans for 1970 [Fifteenth SAE]." I Omission and Incompleteness I Information Reports 16. l Probably the most significant example of Sovi- et noncompliance with reporting requirements has been the omission of information on "seasonal" scientists from the last three information reports. The reports on the Seventh through the Twelfth SAE's contained a secition listing the names, occupations, and affiliations Of all Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 scientists who participated in the austral summer program, in addition to a section listing those who wintered over. The report on the Thirteenth SAE, the first to omit this information, merely stated that 139 seasonal scientists worked aboard the four expedition ships and on the con- tinent. As the Thirteenth SAE was also the first to use Soviet Navy hydrographic vessels, and more than half of the seasonal scientists were aboard these ships, identities may have been concealed to avoid disclosure of the precise nature of the military participation. No scientist has ever been listed in an information report with an iden- tified military affiliation. 17. Reports for the Thirteenth, Fourteenth, and Fifteenth SAE's also omitted the itineraries of expe- dition ships. Previous reports had consistently pro- vided this information as required by Recommendation 1-V1. This extraordinary Soviet effort not to reveal the association of military personnel and equipment with their Antarctic activities extends even further. For example, every Soviet information report has categorically stated that DO ships and bases of the SAE possess any armaments. All other countries, in their information reports, have admitted to possessing small arms, and occasionally other weapons, primarily for taking seals. 18. Other sections of the Soviet information reports are less complete than the treaty seems to require and are certainly less detailed than corresponding sections of most countries' reports. Soviet reporting on air- fields and unoccupied refuges illustrates this point. The requirements for exchange of this information were formulated in June 1964 (see Appendix C). In August 1964 the USSR distributed a supplement to its informa- tion report on the Ninth SAE that included comprehensive information on these facilities. Since 1964 the infor- mation report on each SAE has disposed of these require- ments by simply stating that no changes have occurred. Changes are known to have occurred, however. Various Soviet maps show changes in airfield dimensions and alinements. and the US exchange scientist at Molodezh- naya in 1968-69 reported that a new airfield was under construction at that station. Also, at least two of the unoccupied refuges (Pole of Inaccessibility and Lazarev) have been visited by the Soviets since 1964. By way of T Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 pproved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 -E-T contrast, the US information reports describe in detail the current status of US airfields and refuges for each reporting year. 19. Soviet response to the reporting requirement on communications facilities is also incomplete, but this may simply be the result of a very narrow interpretation of Recommendation 1-VI, which does not spell out the specific types of information to be exchanged. Only the addition of new transmitting equipment at each sta- tion has been reported. To determine the current trans- mitting capacity at each station one must add up the units reported in all the information reports. Even if this were done, and it yielded a correct total (which it does not), the information is not sufficient to be useful to other radio operators on the continent. The US infor- mation report, in contrast, contains a complete descrip- tion of transmitters, receivers, transceivers, antennas, call signs, and circuits maintained at each station. USSR. National Reports to SCAR 20. The SCAR reports, besides being improper in- struments for providing information required by the treaty and also being out of date, have several deficiencies in content. Because of the scanty information they provide on current and future activities, very little is known about at least one new Soviet research program in the Antarctic. The 10th SCAR report stated that atmospheric probings by rockets were to begin at Molodezhnaya in 1969, and news reports have confirmed that launchings were begun in May of that year. The 11th SCAR report's only reference to this activity was a statement that launchings would be conducted in 1970. No official in- formation is available that4 describes this research program or lists the equip -nt involved. 21. Three other research programs have similarly never been adequately described in the SCAR report, although they have been underway for a sufficiently long time to be included in the detailed section of the report. For example, the 10th SCAR report stated that geodetic observations of artificial satellites were to be carried out at Vostok, Mirnyy, and Molodezhnaya in 1969. The 11th SCAR report, in the section that normally provides detailed descriptions of each scientific program and its S.;0.:ET Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 , instruments, merely stated that simultaneous observations of satellites were being carried out using special eameraa. This description is remarkable for its lack of detail and especially for the failure to identify the type of camera used, since knowledge of the camera is the key to under- standing the program. The llth SCAR report did not mention the two additional cameras that were emplaced at Novolazarevskaya and Bellingshausen in late 1969. 22. In a similar case the ninth, 10th, and 11th SCAR reports stated that radar observations of meteor traces mould be conducted at Molodezhnava in 1968. 1969. and 1970 respectively. I Jan active program in this field has been underway, at least since 1968, but Soviet reports have not yet described the program. Given the time lag in detailed reporting to SCAR, the 10th SCAR report would not be expected to include this information, but omission of the program from the detailed section of the 11th SCAR report is exceptional even by Soviet standards. This case is particularly noteworthy because a Western sci- entist at Molodezhnaya reported that station personnel were noticeably reluctant to discuss the program with him. 23. The final example also concerns a major research program at Molodezhnaya. Each of the last seven SCAR reports has stated that the following year's program at Mirnyy. Vostok, and Molodezhnaya would include study of radio-wave propagation from terrestrial stations. Exam- ination of the appropriate succeeding reports reveals, however, that the Vostok and Mirnyy programs always have been elaborately described, while the larger program at Molodezhnaya has been omitted from the section of the report that gives program details. Soviet Concealment Policy 24. There is no doubt that some aspects of Soviet domestic security policy are being extended to Antarctic activities and reporting. One of the objectives seems to be to conceal the identities or affiliations of ex- pedition personnel who have been or are associated with sensitive organizations or activities. Types of con- cealment include omitting names, listing names without affiliations, and showing false affiliations. Whether - 11 - -E-T Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 this policy is designed to disguise the extension of sensitive domestic programs to Antarctica or simply to avoid the embarrassment of disclosing military affil- iations cannot always be established. The Soviets are unlikely to admit to any military participation in their Antarctic programs as long as they expect to benefit from their recurrent propaganda claim that the USSR has taken a leading role in promoting peaceful uses of the continent while the imperialist powers have always main- tained strong military and nationalistic interests in the area. 25. Activities that have been most closely associated with concealment in Antarctic reporting are mapping and charting, geodesy, gravimetry, missile operations, geology, mineral prospecting, and medicine. The association of military-affiliated scientists with some of these activ- ities, while certainly no violation of the treaty, does identify fields of Soviet military interest in Antarctic research. The reason for such interest in some fields is not clear, but data on geodetic gravimetry and satel- lite geodesy almost certainly would contribute to refine- ment of the Soviet world geodetic system and thus improve worldwide missile targeting. Increased military interest in geodesy seems to be reaffirmed by the recent instal- lation of optical tracking cameras at five Soviet stations -- believed to be related to a program for international cooperation in geodetic gravimetry and satellite geodesy that is being proposed in part by a lieutenant colonel of the Military Topographic Administration. 26. The Soviet concealment policy has persisted since the first SAE in 1955-56, when the USSR failed to provide the affiliations of the entire marine portion of the ex- pedition, which included 10 Navy hydrographers. Even the names of five of these hydrographers were omitted from published Soviet rosters. Reports on the Second SAE (1956-57) did not give affiliations of scientists on the continental part of the expedition, which is known to have included several military personnel. One of the military men (see Figure 1) proposed the program of international cooperation reterred to above. Most of the geologists on the marine portion of the Second SAE were also listed without affiliation. - 12 - Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 ' �4 � - - -0m the sarlis,Portieniet,theAhird-3A3; 1937-38, 10211- . . . . . AatiosiverceUitted4OVWscientlets, including most :ammbereCoUthellinibe_detaOhments-and the fourAmembers . of a rocketAitachmihtAhat laundhed 37doaen high-altt-. Ando geophylicirroosts troWthe ship Oh' .This program alsb Occalitined'the.firetconsiraOus con- cealment of�activityi the thwarting of-attempts by tea 03 visiting edientists.to.observe the initial lanathin* at ,OltisyY... � .� .��� � Figure 1, GI. To. Lasarov, identified as a goo- physicist, conducting gravinetric observations on traverse to Pionerskaytt (source: NUdelesan, A.V. 'Soviet Antarctic Expeditions. 1955-1959, P. 61). 13 -8:E=Ciaml:=IL Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 On the 7'trine portion of the Third SAL 1957-58, affil- istio^: --re n-itted for 36 scientists. inC-Ain7 t rt..mbers of the mapping detachments and the, four -erh,srn of a rocket detachment that launched 3 dozen high-alti- tude geophysical rockets from the ship Ob'. This program also occasioned the first conspicuous con- cealment of activity, the thwarting of attempts by tro US visiting scientists to observe the initial launching at Mirnyy. . Nu% � ir �� ���b� %-�' 1��416 �� � � � �Ir.1� ft.t� Figure 1. G. Iv. La4arvv. ticntittett as a Kuo. phys s t� n t 1fl 1...ra%V �� ' r � ..0-4% on t ravers,.. to Pi one rska �a tsoarco : Nudo 1 � man. A . V . Sov it t a rc t tr..Ex_re,1 it 19.55-19.59. p. � Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Om the marine portion of the Third SAE, 1957-58, affil- iations were omitted for 36 scientists, including most members of the mapping detachments and the four members of a rocket detachment that launched 3 dozen high-alti- tude geophysical rockets from the ship Oh'. This program also occasioned the first conspicuous con- cealment of activity, the thwarting of attempts by two US visiting scientists to observe the initial launching at Mirnyy. K zoCr311111P� I It�110111111111.I I : . �Ork Ities.1%. brows Figure 1. G. Ye. Lazarev, identified as a geo- physicist, conducting gravimetric observations on traverse to Pionerskaya (source: Nudel'man, A.V. Soviet Antarctic Expeditions, 1955-1959, p. 61). - 13 - Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 27. Although the Soviets were under no moral or legal obligation to disclose affiliations before sign- ing the Antarctic Treaty, the evidence of Soviet con- cealment vas a factor in including the obligation to provide names and affiliations of scientists within the treaty framework. Despite this inclusion, Soviet pre-treaty methods of selective concealment have con- tinued into the post-treaty period (see Appendix E for details). In at least two instances important participants were excluded entirely from the official information reports: one of these was a Navy hydrog- rapher and the other a translator and assistant ex- pedition leader whose affiliation is still unknown. The most blatant omission vas the exclusion of the names of summer scientific personnel on the last three ex- peditions, including scientists on the two Navy hydro- graphic ships that surveyed Drake Passage and the waters around the tip of the Antarctic Peninsula. In a number of cases the information reports have included the names of military personnel on the expeditions but have given them false affiliations with civilian orga- nizations. With the elimination of the supplementary information reports for the last three SAE's, the Soviets may be creating a new loophole by which they can evade fulfilling their treaty obligations, since there is now no accounting for the final list of ex- pedition members or corrected ship itineraries. 28. The practice of of research hers of the Soviets are also continuing the pre-treaty not disclosing affiliations of some authors reports: they merely describe them as mem- SALE of their participation. at least six of the authors whose affiliations were most consistently omitted were members of the military services at the time of their work in the Antarctic. This discovery is one more bit of evidence that the entire policy of disguising and Omitting affiliations is designed to conceal the par- ticipation of military personnel on Soviet Antarctic expeditions. The conclusion is not necessarily invali- dated by occasional omissions of affiliations of non- military scientists if it is assumed that the success of such a concealment policy would require the introduction of an element of randomness into the pattern. Neither is this hypothesis inconsistent with the fact that all expedition scientists are given an affiliation in the Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 27. Although the Soviets were under no moral or I legal obligation to disclose affiliations before sign- ing the Antarctic Treaty, the evidence of Soviet con- cealment was a factor in including the obligation to provide names and affiliations of scientists within the treaty framework. Despite this inclusion, Soviet pre-treaty methods of selective concealment have con- tinued into the post-treaty period (see Appendix E for details). In at least two instances important 1 participants were excluded entirely from the official information reports: one of these wus a Navy hydrog- rapher and the other a translatrw and assistant ex- pedition leader those affiliatioa is still unknown. The most blatant omission was the exclusion of the names of summer scientific personnel on the last three ex- peditions, including scientists on the two Navy hydro- graphic ships that surveyed Drake Passage and the waters around the tip of the Antarctic Peninsula. In a number of cases the information reports have included the names of military personnel on the expeditions but have given then false affiliations with civilian orga- nizations. With the elimination of the supplementary information reports for the last three SAE's, the Soviets may be creating a new loophole by which they can evade fulfilling their treaty obligations, since, there is now no accounting for the final list of ex- pedition members or corrected ship itineraries. 28. The Soviets are also continuing the pre-treaty practice of not disclosing affiliations of some authors of research reports: they merely describe them as mem- bers of the SAE of their participation. at least six of the authors whose affiliations were most consistently omitted were members of the military services at the time of ; their work in the Antarctic. This discovery is one more bit of evidence that the entire policy of disguising and omitting affiliations is designed to conceal the par- ticipation of military personnel on Soviet Antarctic expeditions. The conclusion is not necessarily invali- dated by occasional omissions of affiliations of non- military scientists if it is assumed that the success of such a concealment policy would require the introduction of an element of randomness into the pattern. Neither is this hypothesis inconsistent with the fact that all expedition scientists are given an affiliation in the 14 - S-E- -E-T Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 S-E- '-E-T information reports, since the latter are not distributed to the Soviet scientific comm.:nity where questions might be raised about false biographic information. Conclusions 29. The Antarctic Treaty requires that all signatory countries exchange an annual information report contain- ing detailed and Lpecific information about their activ- ities on the sixth continent and that they publish their scientific findings and observations. The USSR. like all other countries active in Antarctica, has generally attempted to meet the first of these requirements; also, preliminary impressions indicate that the Soviet scien- tific data published on the Antarctic are probably as comprehensive and detailed as those releazler, on their research and exploration elsewhere. 30. Soviet reports on the Antarctic do, however, fail to meet several treaty requirements. Deficiencies in the official information reports include failure to meet deadlines, furnishing of obsolete information, and deliberate concealment of information on military par- ticipation in SAE's. Discontinuance of the supplementary reports has created a new reporting loophole. The scien- tific reports appear to be subject to the same conceal- ment policies as the information reports and are even more obsolete. There is little doubt that in facing the dilemma of reconciling their secrecy policy with their treaty obligation, the Soviets still favor the former, presumably either hoping that the concealment will remain Undiscovered or counting on the inertia of the other signatories to make no issue if it is discovered. In their literature the Soviets suggest that they may be counting on the existence ol the inspection provi- sions of the treaty -- which they have never exercised -- and on published US inspection reports as proof that they are adhering to the peaceful objective of the treaty., 31. !Satisfactory compliance with treaty: reporting requirements has not been assured by a precise defini- tion of: topics on which information is to be exchanged. The treaty may need, in addition, both a standard by which to measure the adequacy of compliance and a - 15 - E- Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 procedural mechanism by which noncompliance questions may be raised, judged, and corrected without escalating the review action into an automatic implication of treaty violation. 16- E- T Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 -E-T APPENDIX A RECOMHENDATION 1-VI OF FIRST CONSULTATIVE' MEETING UNDER THE ANTARCTIC TREATY. JULY 1961 The Representatives recommend to their Governments that information furnished in accordance it Article VII paragraph 5 should be exchanged between Govern- ments through diplomatic channels as early in each year as possible, and in any case before the end of Novemberieach year, and should include - 1 (1) the names, types, numbers, descriptions and armaments of ships, aircraft and other vehiOes, introduced, or to be introduce4 into.Antarctica, and information on military equipiment, if any, and its location in Ant- arctica; (2) dates of expeditions leaving for, and arri4.ing in, Antarctica, duration of stay, itinerary to and from Antarctica and routes follcliwed within Antarctica; (3) the names, location and date of opening of the Party's bases and subsidiary stations estalOished or planned to be established in Antarctica, listed according to whether they are flor summer and/or winter operations; ! (4) the names of the officers in charge of each Of these bases, subsidiary stations,I ships and aircraft; the number and occupar. tions'and specialisation of personnel (inr eluding any designated by other governments). who ai-e.or will be stationed at each of , thesel bases and subsidiary stations and I on board these ships and aircraft, including the number of personnel who are members of the military services together with the rank of any officers and the names and profes-i sional affiliation of personnel engaged in scientific activities: - 17 - - -E-T Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 (5) the number and types of .armaments pos- sessed by personnel; (6) the programme of work including scien- tific investigation, being done and planned at each of these bases and subsidiary Sta- tions and on board those ships and airCraft; and also the area or areas of operation to be covered by such programme; (7) principal scientific equipment; (8) transportation facilities and commil- nieation equipment for use within Antarctica; (9) facilities for rendering assistance; (10) notice of any expeditions to Antarctica not organised by the Party but organised, in, or proceeding from, the Party's te'rri- toy. 18 S-E-C- Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 S-E- APPENDIX R RECOMMENDATION II-IV OF SECOND CONSULTATIVE MEETING UNDER TOE ANTARCTIC TREATY, JULY 1962 In accordance with Article VII paragraph 5 of 'the. Antarctic Treaty, the Representatives recommend to their Governments that they should endeavour to fur- nish prompt and full information regarding their Antarctic activities as listed in Recommendation 1-VI of the First Consultative Meeting, and within the tine limits indicated in that Recommendation., - 19 -751:77Cre-R44.zy Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 APPENDIX C RECOMMENDATION OF THIRD CONSULTATIVE MEETING UNDER THE ANTARCTIC TREATY, JUNE 1964 Information on Facilities for the Landing of Aircraft The Representatives, taking into account Recommen- dation I-111 (8) of the First Consultative Meeting, recommend to their Governments that they exchange, within the framework of Recommendation 1-VI (8), in- formation On airfield facilities in the Antarctic Treaty Area, This information should include par- ticulars of location, operating conditions andllim- itations, radio aids to navigation, facilities for radio communications and instrument landing, and be in detail Sufficient to enable an aircraft to make a safe landing. RECO3IMENDO1ON III-11 OF THIRD CONSULTATIVE MEETING UNDER THE ANTARCTIC TREATY, JUNE 1964 Notification of Unoccupied Refuges ! 1. The Representatives recommend to theiriGovern- ments that 'they should exchange through diplomatic channels, before the end of November each yearJ lists of all unoccupied buildings, huts or caches (herein- after refelired to as refuges) maintained by ttwm in the Treaty Area in a condition suitable for use in emergenciesl. 2. Sucth lists should include. 1) The name and position of each refuge. A description of its location The date on which it was estab- lished. liv) The approximate date on which it was last examined. - 21 - -E-T Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 S-E- v) An estimate of the available accommodation. facilities. ! food, fuel and supplies of other kinds. Any changes should be reported before the end of June Of the following year. 3. The Representatives further recommend that Govern- ments whose expeditions use any refuge should report as rapidly as possible on any such use. Such Governments should also furnish an estimate of the amount of supplies which remain,and a report about the condition of the refuge after use; in addition they should: Ensure that supplies available at these refuges are used only under emergency conditions. To the extent possible, and as early as possible, replenish the supplies consumed and in- form the authorities who main- tain the refuge of the action taken. Approved for for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 APPENDIX D RECOMMENDATION IV-XXIII OF FOURTH CONSULTATIVE MEETING UNDER THE ANTARCTIC TREATY, NOVEMBER 1966 The Representatives recommend to their Governments that they exchange through diplomatic channels not later than October 31st of each year, the information specified in as many as possible of the categories in Recommendations 1-VI, III-I and the balance to be furnished as soon as possible thereafter and in any case before the end of November. - 23 - Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 17-1PC141-4N,..."L APPENDIX CONCEALMENT OF AFFILIATIONS IN SCIENTIFIC REPORTS : Remarkably, all scientists ever listed in the :ioviet information reports have been identified as members of civilian organisations. Furthermore, the report on the Sixth SAE. the first report distributed under the treaty. stated that "there are no military personnel at any of the Soviet Antarctic stations or on the seasonal staff of the expedition.' The only military participation : ever described in an information report occurred during the Thirteenth SAE when two Navy ships were used for hydrographic surveying in Drake Passage and around the Antarctic Peninsula. even in gilts case, however, the scientists aboard the vessels were not identified, and thus participation by military scientists was not acknowledged. In spite of claims of exclusive civilian partic- ipation. there has been e�idence of the presence of military scientists on Soviet Antarctic expeditions. For example. Georgly Lazarev isee Figure 1 a member of the Second and Sixth SAE's, admitted in confidence to a US scientist that he and several others on the sixth expedition were regular military officers but that they had been told to represent themselves as reservists. be ea,a. and is. attached to tne wir- itary Topographic Administration of the Army. His leadership in launching the Antarctic's only geodetic gravimetry program and in continuing promotion of an ambitious Antarctic geodetic satellite and gravimetric program indicates a military interest in developing a world geodetic system in general support of ICBM operations. lA an attempt :to learn whether the concealment of, military affiliations has been continued in postexpe-! dition literature, a detailed analvsis was undertaken of two Soviet publications that contain information on affiliations of Antarctic scieWAAI:z. and of a third that lists SAE participants but no Atttlidt;ons These pub- lications are :1) the periodical Information Bulletin, Soviet Antarctic Expedition. .21 the serial Works of the - 25 - Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Soviet Antarctic Expedition. and (3) four books by A.V. Madennan, each entitled Soviet Antarctic Expeditions [Matesl. The Information Bulletin, Soviet Antarctic Expedi- tion, is the primary Soviet journal for short articles on Antarctic research. At the head of each article, with the author's name and scientific specialty, is usually listed his professional affiliation. A mili- tary affiliation has been attributed to the author of only one of the approximately 900 Bulletin articles published to date.* For about 16 percent of the arti- cles, instead of giving the author's affiliation the Bulletin merely stated the number of the SAE in which he participated. With two exceptions since 1961, each of the scientists in this latter category has already been provided wi'h an affiliation in the official in- formation report, which leads to the question of why the Bulletin should give this exceptionaj treatment. For analytical purposes tkw authors of Bulletin articles were divided into six categories: (1) authors who have always 6een listed in the Bulletin with an affiliation (237 persons, 629 articles), (2) authors whose affiliations have been provided with two or more articles and omitted with only one (18 persons, 136 articles), (3) authors whose affiliations were provided with one article and omitted with one (11 persons, 22 articles), (4) authors who published once, with no af- filiation (42 persons, 42 articles). (5) authors whose affiliations were provided with one or more articles and omitted with two or more (11 persons, 31 articles without affiliation, 22 with affiliation). and (6) au- thors who have published two or more times, with no affiliations (16 persons. 46 articles). At least two conclusions can be drawn from this initial sorting of authors. The first is that the omission of a scientist's affiliation probably does not necessarily indicate concealment, since several * 1.P. Kucherov was listed in Bulletin 31, 1961, as Chief. Central Map Production of the Navy, and head of the Hydrographic Division of the First SAE. He is the only Soviet Antarctic scientist whose military affili- ation is known to have appeared in a Soviet Antarctic publication. Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 authors (category 2 above) have published as many as 20 articles of which only one has not shown the author's affiliation. This category seems to indicate that there is an element of randomness in these omissions. The second conclusion is that the omissions are not, entirely random, since affiliations are always or nearly always omitted for some authors (categories 5 and 6 above). The pattern of omissions cannot be explained with certainty, but a reasonable hypothesis is that the mili- tary affiliations of some of the scientists are. conceal- ed by design. This explanation is not necessarily in- validated by occasional omissions of affiliations of nonmilitary scientists if it is assumed that the success of such a concealment policy would require the introduc- tion of an element of randomness into the pattern. Nei- ther is this hypothesis inconsistent with the fact that all expedition scientists are given an affiliation in the information report, since the latter document is not distributed to the scientific community where questions might be raised about misleading biographical information. A surprising disproportion of the authors 4ho pub- lished without an affiliation are known to be physicians. The average occurrence of affiliation omissions for nonmedical authors is 13 percent (121 of 897 articles) compared to 87 percent (27 of 31 articles) for authors of medical articles. Affiliations have been given for only two of the 11 physicians who have published in the Bulletin. This unusual treatment of physicians by the Bulletin stimulated further biographic checks of the 11 physicians mentioned above and of a sample who have not published their Antarctic work. Of the nine who published in the Bulletin without affiliation, evidence was found that four c:ere members of the Military Medical Academy, imeni S.M. Kirov. in Leningrad. For example. R.K. Kaluzhenko, a physician at Vostok in 1966, published five articles in various medical journals from 1955 to 1964 in which he was described as a lieutenant in the medical service and a faculty member at the Military Medical Academy. Three other Soviet Antarctic physicians who have never published in the Bulletin have been similarly identified with the Military Medical Academy before or during their Antarctic tours. Six of these seven military physicians - S-E-r=m�a4L Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 had been listed in the information report as AANII employees. The seventh worked on the Fifth SAE, which preceded the issuance of information reports. Of the nonmedical scientists listed in the Bulle- tin without affiliation, only two authors could-defi- nitely be shown to have concealed military affiliations. The two are Georgiy Lazarev. mentioned earlier, who was a geodesist on the Second and Sixth SAE's. and S.S. Chikovskiy. a hydrographer on the Tenth and Thirteenth ME's. It is interesting to note that Lazarev is one of only two persons who have published as many as five articles in the Bulletin without a stated affiliation. Be was identified in four other articles as an employee of Moscow State University and in one as affiliated with an institute under the Academy of Sciences. The information report on the Sixth SAE did not provide affiliations of scientists. Chikovskiy published three articles in the Bulletin without giving his affiliation and one stating that he was a member of AANII. On his second Antarctic visit he admitted to an American that he had been a career military hydrographer but was a university student at the time he left on the expedition. According to this testimony he would have been a Navy hydrographer during his tour on the Tenth SAE. The information report on the Thirteenth SAE stated that Chikovskiy worked for AANII. Chikovskiy and Ye. I. Ignatov coauthored a Bulle- tin article that did not provide the affiliation of either scientist but instead stated that they were mem- bers of the Tenth SAE. It may be significant that neither of these men appears in the information report on the Tenth SAE. These are the only known occasions when a scientist was excluded from both the regular and supplemental information reports on an SAE. Of the Soviet Antarctic military personnel detected in this exercise, three were among the 16 authors in category 6 above, three among the 11 authors in category 5, none among !he 71 authors in categories 2, 3 and 4, and one among the 237 persons in category 1. In addi- tion, evidence was found that at least 20 military per- sonnel were among the Soviet Antarctic personnel who have never published in the Bulletin. Except for the three physicians mentioned on page 27, the latter group all participated in the early SAE s that were Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 SAC- conducted before the Antarctic Treaty and before infor- mation reports were issued. Bost of these military scientists participated in hydrographic or cciintinental mapping surveys. � A similar analysis of the serial publication Works of the Soviet Antarctic Expedition, published by UNIT, revealed that it follows a policy similar to that of the Bulletin of providing affiliations for only select- ed m-lief5Wiri-a the expeditions. As noted on Page 5, this series of reports contains lists of the personnel on each of the SAE's. Affiliations are not always given, however, and there appears to be a trend toward reducing the amount of personnel information in later volumes. For the continental portions of expeditiOns the AAN11 reports have included apparently complete per- sonnel lists, but they have omitted affiliations of the members of all except one expedition. Even Chikovskiy and Ignatov were included in Volume 49's personnel list on the Tenth SAE after having been omitted from the information report on that 'expedition. Affiliations of the continental scientists were given only in Volume 1, which provided this information for all but two of the 29 scientists on the First SAE. The two whose affiliations were not given were members of the geological prospecting detachment. For the marine parts of SAE's 1 through Ii the volumes have also consistently included lists of sci- entific personnel, and in contrast to descriptions of the continental party they have normally prcvided the affiliations of scientists. Wherever affiliations were not given the scientists were described as mem- bers of:the SALE. Tabulated below are the numbers of scientists listed in the AANII reports on SAE's 1 through 11. together with the numbers for whom affil- iations are included. Soviet Antarctic Expedition 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 � 9 10 11 Scientists listed 48 67 93 21 9 8 10 15 12 11 22 Affiliations shown 0 55 57 21 9 8 10 11 10 0 0 - 29 - - -E-T Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 A systematic plan seems to be the basis for omitting affiliations in the AANII volumes as well as the Bulletins. For example, the report on the first marine expedition gives no affiliations, thus concealing the fact, that the entire 10-man hydro- graphic detachment was composed of personnel from the Navy Bydrographic Directorate. To compound the conceal -' meat, five of the 10 Navy h dro ra hers are omitted entirely from the roster The practice. followed in four of the AAN11 reports, of omitting the affiliations of only selected scientists is apparently designed to conceal sensitive identities while at the same time providing an image of releasing detailed information. All individuals without affil- iations are probably not military personnel, but all military personnel are apparently included in the part of the list that omits affiliations. Only one military I individual, a hydrographer, Is known to have participated in these four marine expeditions, and he is among those with no affiliation named. Scientists whose &ffiliations were omitted generally were involved in work of specific interest to the Soviet military, mostly in mapping and related sciences. For example, the scientists on the Eighth and Ninth SAE's for whom affiliations were not provided were all hydrographers, comprising the entire hydrographic detachment of each expedition. The official information reports claimed that these scientists were all from the Main Administration of the Northern Sea Route, a civilian agency. On the marine portion of the Third SAE. eight of the 36 scientists for whom affiliations were not given were in the 11-man hydrographic detachment and 16 were among. the 19 members of the geodetic and aerial photography ; detachments. The entire four-man meteorological rocket i detachment was also listed without affiliations. The reason for the latter omission is suggested by an intel- ligence report that indicates that this group comprised. personnel from a missile plant of the Ministry of Defense. Of the 12 scientists listed without affiliations in the AANII volume on the marine portion of the Second SAE. half were members of. the 10-man geological detachment, Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 1 � � � while the rest were dispersed among the other 57 members of the expedition. The geological group's activities included echo sounding and seismic surveys that are stand- ard scientific activities but have military application. Four books by A.V. Nudeliman constitute the only other systematic source of information on Soviet Antarctic Expeditions. They are: Soviet Antarctic Expeditions, 1955-1959 (published in 1959), Soviet Antarctic Expedi- tions. 1958-1960 (published in 1960), Soviet Antarctic Expeditions. 1959-1961 (published in 19621, and Soviet Antarctic Expeditions. 1961-1963 (published in 1965). These reports summarize the operations and list the perso,mel on the first seven expeditions and part of the eighth. The personnel lists differ from those in the reports described earlier in that individual affil- iations are never provided and the lists ostensibly include all expedition members and their occupations. The only known exception to the completeness of the lists is the omission of names of five hydrographers on the First SAE The unique value of the Nudel'man books is that they identify nonscientist expedition members who vould.otherwise be unknown. These books also are gen- erally more current than comparable volumes of the Works of the Soviet Antarctic Expedition. Unfortu- nately, publication of the series may have been dis- continued since 1965. - 31 - E-T Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677 Approved for Release: 2019/08/23 C06805677