THE UNDERSTANDINGS ON THE BOMBING HALT

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
06788877
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RIFPUB
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U
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8
Document Creation Date: 
March 8, 2023
Document Release Date: 
February 13, 2019
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Case Number: 
F-2019-00301
Publication Date: 
December 2, 1970
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Approved for Release: 2019/02/12 C06788877 SECRET SPOKE NODIS PARIS MEETINGS DOUBLE PLUS '2 Demober 1970 MEMORANDUM SUBJECT: The Understandings on the bombin9 Balt s.tarranf. 1. During the summer and autumn of 1968, US and North Vietnamese negotiators in Paris worked out a series of unwritten, but fairly well defined understandings" about what we expected to happen if the US stopped the bombing of North Vietnam. The US specified that a bombing cessation could not be maintained unless Communist forces refrained from certain actions in the area of the DMZ and against major cities. The North Vietnamese and Soviets indicated that they understood what the US had said in this regard. 2. The understandings also included explicit agreement that representatives of the Republic of Vietnam and of the Communists' Liberation Front' would participate in post-bombing talks. Finally, the understandings included a mutual commitment to begin post-bombing talks as soon as possible. The North Vietnamese were certainly aware that we in- tended to conduct aerial reconnaissance over North Vietnam after the bombing stopped, and they raised no objection until after it actually was stopped. The subject was never corred in any detail, how- ever. We have no record of any explicit discussion of what might happen if the North Vietnamese fired on reconnaissance flights or if the, US retaliated for such action. -SECIRET-SPOIEN-NOB-1&. PARIS MEETINGS DOUBLE PLUS Approved for Release: 2019/02/12 C06788877 Approved for Release: 2019/02/12 C06788877 . SECRET SPOKE NODIS PARIS MEETINCS DOUBLE PLUS The Military "Facts of Life 3. In the plenary sessions and in 12 secret meetings with the North Vietnamese between June and October 1968, the US indicated that under certain "circumstances" it was prepared to stop the bombing and other actions "involving the use of force" against North Vietnam. The specific "circumstances' and the ways in which we presented them to the North Vietnamese changed during this period. Eventually, in an attempt to get around Hanoi's rejection of "conditions" or "reciprocity, a formula was worked out during Ambassador Vance's consultations in Washington in early October. The formula became the basic statement of the US posi- tion and it was delivered to North Vietnamese politburo member Le Duc Tho and Xuan Thuy at a secret. meeting with Harriman and Vance on 11 October 1968. The North Vietnamese asked about conditions and reciprocity and the US replied as follows: In responding to your question, it is very important there be no mis- understanding between us. It is very important to understand that we are not talking about reciprocity or conditions but simply a fact that after cessation of all bombardment the President's ability to maintain that situation would be affected by certain elemental coneidera- tions. "We do not look on them as a condi- tion for stopping the bombing but as a description of the situation which would permit serious negotiations and thus the cessation to continue. You will under- stand, therefore, that the circumstances we have diecuesed in our various private meetings about military activity in and around the DMZ are essential to the main- tenance of that situation. And, of course, you know from our various discussions that indiscriminate attacks launched against major cities would create a situation -2- SECRET SPOKE NODIS PARIS MEET/NGS DOUBLE PLUS Approved for Release: 2019/02/12 C06788877 Approved for Release: 2019/02/12 C06788877 SECRET SPOKE NODIS PARIS MEETINGS DOUBLE PLUS which would not permit serioue talks and thus the maintenanoes of a cessation.' 4. The US had specified clearly at earlier meetings what was expected of Communist forees regarding the DMZ and attacks on cities: --The DMZ: The US position was that there would be no firir1,4 of artillery, rockets, or mortars trom across and within the DMZ; there would be no movement of troops from across and within the DMZ' and there would be no massing or movement of troops near the DMZ in a manner threatenine to the other side. --Attacks an Cities: tion was that there wain criminate attacks against Major cities were defined as being Saigon, Da Nang, The Posi- 0 no ineis- major'oitilik. at leadi once and Rue. S. The basic US position was repeated to, the North Vietnamese in forceful, explicit terms on several Occasions. During -a secret neetino on 16 October, Xuazi Thuy noted that Le Duc TM was on his way hack to North Vietnam and that he would report to Hanoi. Thuy noted, that Tho 'fully understood" the content of previous US-DRV meet- ings. e added that. the North Vietnamese in Hanoi also understood the US position, but that with Le Due -The present they would understand even bettor. 6. The Soviets were given our position several times and they assured us repeatedly that Hanoi Understood it. AMbassador.Debrynin, for example, told Mr. Rostov on 25 October that he was sure Hanoi understood the 'faCts of life- to which the US referred because they. had been made clear 'many, many times.' 7. For about throe months after the bombing halt, Communist forces generally played by the "rules' we had laid down regarding the DMZ and the cities. There was some minor military activity in the DMZ, -3- SECRET SPOKE'NODIS PARIS MEETINGS DOUBLE PLUS-. Approved for Release: 2019/02/12 C06788877_ Approved for Release: 2019/02/12 C06788877 SECRET SPOKE NODIS PARIS MEETMS nouBLE PLUS of course, and dozens of 'incidents, but no major Communist units moved across the line into �4::outh Vietnam for more than two months after the bombing stopped. Moreover, some large units were moved far north of their normal positions just above the DMZ. With regard to cities, the Comunists rocketed Saigon on 31 October, the eve of the bombing halt, but not again until 23 February 1969 when the enemy launched a so-called post-Pet offensive in South Vietnam. :Cue was hit once by a light shelling in early February. 8. The 'rules were, in effect, scrapped by the Communists when they launched their post-Tat offensive in February 1969. Regimental-sized units moved into the area north of the DMZ and finally into South Vietnam itself. There were repeated shellings across and from within the DMZ, and all three major cities were shelled indiscriminately. There has not been �a consistent pattern to Com- munist military activity since the spring of 1969. Major cities are shelled from tine to time, and Communist forces continue to move across the DMZ, even though their present low-profile tactics do not include extensive use of the zone as in the past. Thus, the extent to which the Communists now feel constrained by the military terms of the understanding is unclear. Other Aspects of the Understandings 9. There was explicit (but unwritten) agree- ment, not just an 'understanding,' on two non- military matters--who would participate in post- bombing talks and the need for a prompt meeting of all the participants after the bombing stopped. The US had always insisted that the Saigon gov- ernment would have to take part in any negotiations involving the political future of South Vietnam. The North Vietnamese were equally insistent that only the National Liberation Front, and not Hanoi, could speak on matters concerning South Vietnam. 10. 8y September 1968, much of the converse-. tion in Paris was concentrating on the question of GVN participation. We had made, it clear that we were prepared to atop the bombing on the -4- SECRET SPOKE HODIS PARIS MEETINGS DOUBLE PLUS Approved for Release: 2019/02/12 C06788877 Approved for Release: 2019/02/12 C06788877 SECRET SPOKE NODIS PARIS MEETINGS DOUBLE PLUS assumption that the Communists 'would know what to do regarding the DMZ and attacks on major cities. But we insisted that the bonbing could not actually stop until aanoi explicity agreed to the participation of the GVN in post-bombing talks. 11. The Communists initially stonewalled on this issue. The ice was finally broken on 12 October when the Soviets informed the US delegation they had reason to believe' that if the bombing stopped, Hanoi would agree to GVN participation in talks on a political settlement in Vietnam. The North Vietnamese confirmen this at the next private meeting on 15 October by saying explicitly several times they "agreed that if the bombing stops there will be serious talks including representatives of the Saigon adminis- tration." 12. In a government statement after the bombing halt, North Vietnam hedged this commitment by noting that it would carry on discussions with the US with a view to finding a political solution to the Vietnam problen.' Regarding the GVN, how- ever, the statement said only that the DRV would "participate in a conference- involving the 'Saigon administration.:' Moreover, soon after the bombing actually stopped, the Comnunists began calling for a "peace cabinet" in Saigon. This call gradually evolved into the present Communist position of refusing to do business with the Saigon government until changes are made in its top leader- ship. Hanoi now privately insists that all matters, political as well as military, should be discussed bilaterally by US and North Vietnamese negotiators. 13. The Communists may never have been ready to carry out the part of the understandings calling for 'serioua'. discussions involving the GVU. We cannot be positive on this point, however, since the prompt post-bombing talks for which the. VS delegation had been pressing. were not held because the Saigon government refused to send its. repre- sentatives to Paris. The North Vietnamese were -5- SECRET SPOKE News 1, � 1MT r� � 1111.4WILM !,..r r� .1P11. TV Approved for Release: 2019/02/12 C06788877 Approved for Release: 2019/02/12 C06788877 ' SECRET SPOKE NODIS PARIS MEETINGS DOUBLE PLUS clearly dismayed when we were unable to bring along what they regarded as our 'puppets," espe- cially when they had rushed their Liberation Front people to Paris only three days after the bombing stopped. One can. speculate that Saigon's balking and the ensuing weeks of haggling over the shape of the table had a marked impact .on Hanoi's attitude. The: Communists mieht have been ready for negotiations in the autumn of 1968 because, with the Johnson Administration on the way out and with Saigon shaken and out of tune with US policy, they calculated that our side was an easy mark. When it became clear that allied concessions were not going to come easily, the Communists stiffened their terms and shunned "serious talks" with OW representatives. The Matter of Reconnaissance 14. The North Vietnamese had always colleted theiri demand for a bambing halt in language that included "all other acts of war," which they pub- licly insisted covered reconnaissance flights. The US net this problem in July 1968 when Vance first used. the formula that we were prepared to stop the bombing and all other actions "involving the use of force 4 against North Vietnam. This precise language was stressed because it was intended to allow for reconnaissance, but we did not make the point explicit or raise the possibility that North Vietnam might fire on such flights. There was no discussion of such 'details' until after the bombing stopPed. In effect, both sides finessed the reconnaissance issue. 15. Nonetheless, the. North Vietnamese indi- cated more than once that they knew the meaning of our formulation. During a meeting on 21 October; when the negotiators were trying to devise language for a statement announcing a bombing halt, the North Vietnamese agreed to describe, the cessation as an end to all acts involving the use of force against -North Vietnam.' The US delegation inter- preted this to mean that Hanoi Was not going to use the issue of reconnaissance as an excuse to break off the talks. /n the actual North Vietnamese -6- SECRET SPOKE MOTS PARIS MEETINGS DOUBLE PLUS Approved for Release: 2019/02/12 C06788877 Approved for Release: 2019/02/12 C06788877 StCRET SPOKE NOD/S PARIS MEETINGS DOUBLE PLUS statement on the bombing halt on 2 November, Hanoi acknowledged that the US had stopped the bombing, but it noted that the US had yet to -give up for good all encroachments on the sovereignty and security" of worth Vietnam. Thus, while the North Vietnamese never raised any specific objections to our formulation, neither did they agree to accept reconnaissance flights passively. 16. In the autumn of 1968, before the bombing halt, the US concern about reconnaissance was focused on the issue of whether Hanoi would use the 'continuation of such flights as an excuse to stall or even break off the talks. The record since 1 November 1968 indicates that the North Vietna- mese did not intend to use reconnaissance as a reason for disengaging from negotiations. Very soon after the bombing stopped, however, Hanoi began citing reconnaissance flights to counter US charges that the Communists were violating the terms of the understandings. 17. This first happened on 11 November 1968 when Vance met with Ha Van Lau to protest Communist shellings from the DMZ. Lau sloughed off the DMZ matter and complained for the first time about , reconnaissance activity. lie used the argument that the US commitment to stop all -acts of force" included reconnaissance flights and he insisted that North Vietnam would take preventive measures. Vance vigorously asserted the flights would con- tinue. Lau eventually dropped the subject by saying he disagreed with the US view and urged the US to stop such flights. 18. As far as we can tall, US measures to protect reconnaissance flights did not come up until the US broached the subject with the Soviets both in Paris and Washington on 13 November. Soviet diplomats were told that our planes would defend themselves if the firing against them continued. In Washington, Ambassador Dobrynin responded that it was his 'personal impression that firing on reconnaissance flights had not been discussed earlier and that we were making an ex post facto demand on North Vietnam. -7- SECRET SPOKE NODIS PARIS MEETINGS DOUBLE PLUS Approved for Release: 2019/02/12 C06788877 Approved for Release: 2019/02/12 C06788877 - SECRET SPORE. NOT= PARIS MEETINGS DOUBLE PLUS � 19. Following the first shcotdown of a US reconnaissance aircraft,- Vance told Lau on 24 November that such an action is wholly unacceptable to the US. Our preference," said Vancec. 'would be for North Vietnam to comply 'with a clear under- standing of oUr.point of view and to leave our reconnaissance aircraft alone.'. Lau responded by saying that "he was now instructed to reject - completely the position of the US Government in regard to reconnaissance. flights over the terri- tory of the DRV. Despite subsequent shootdowns, .torrents of charges and countercharges, and the passage of two years, Hanoi has stuck to this. position. -3� SECRET SPOKE NODIS PARIS MEETINGS DOUBLE PLUS Approved for Release: 2019/02/12 C06788877