VIET CONG CLAIMS IN LONG AN PROVINCE THAT PEACE AND A COALITION GOVERNMENT WILL FOLLOW THE LUNAR NEW YEAR HOLIDAY. - 1967/12/11
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06752133
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
Intelligence Information Cable
� PRIORITY
IN
PAGE 1 OF
3.5(c)
PACES
STATE/INR DIA NMCC/MC SECOEF JCS ARMY NAVY AIR) CIA/NMCC NIC NSA OCR
DD/1 EXO USIA ONE ORR
This material contains Information affecting the National Defense of the United States within the meaning of the Espionage Laws. Title 18, 13.8.0.
Secs. 793 and 784. the transmission or revelation of which in any simmer to an unauthorized person is prohibited by law.
$OO AID
DCS COS
NO FOREIGN DISStIvi
THIS IS AN INFORMATION REPORT. OT FINALLY EVALUATED INTELLIGENCE.
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SOURCE
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SOLI h
DIST 11 DECEMBER 1967 3.5(c)
VIET CONG CLAIMS IN LONG AN PROVINCE THAT
PEACE AND A COALITION GOVERNMENT WILL FOLLOW
THE LUNAR NEW YEAR HOLIDAY3
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
SUMMARY: VIET CONG (VC) CADRES IN LONG AN PROVINCE ARE
S-E- -E-T NO FOREIGN DISSEM
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TELLING THEIR TROOPS AND SYMPATHTZERS THAT ALL VC OFFENSIVE
OPERATIONS IN LONG AN WILL STOP AFTER TEl (LUNAR NEW YEAR)
AND THAT PEACE WILL BE ACHIEVED THROUGH A COALITON GOVERN-
MENT IN WHICH THE NATIONAL FRONT FOR THE LIBERATION OF
SOUTH VIETNAM WILL HAVE A VICTORIOUS PLACE. THESE VC
PROMISES HAVE BEEN RECEIVED SO ENTHUSIASTICALLY BY VC
TROOPS AND VILLAGERS THAT THE CHIEU HOI (OPEN ARMS)
PROGRAM IN LONG AN HAS BEEN ALMOST NULLIFIED; VC FAILURE
TO LIVE !IP TO THE EXPECTATIONS THEY HAVE CREATED HOWEVER,
WOULD RESULT IN LARGE-SCALE DEFECTIONS. END SUMMARY.
I. SINCE EARLY NOVEMBER 1967 VIET CONG (VC) CADRES
AND UNIT COMMANDERS IN LONG AN PROVINCE HAVE BEEN TELLING
THEIR SUBORDINATES, SYMPATHIZERS, AND ELDERS IN VC-CONTROLLED
VILLAGES THAT ALL VC OFFENSIVE OPERATIONS IN LONG AN WILL
STOP AFTER THE TET (LUNAR NEW YEAR) HOLIDAYS. THE CADRES
ARE SAYING THAT A VICTORIOUS PLACE FOR THE NATIONAL FRONT
FOR THE LIBERATI.k1 OF SOUTH VIETNAM (NFLSV) WILL BE
ACHIEVED DURING THE AFTER-TET PEACE THROUGH THE FORMATION
OF A COALITION GOVERNMENT IN WHICH THE NFLSV WILL FULLY
PARTICIPATE. THIS THEME HAS BEEN DISSEMINATED IN VC TROOP
S-E-C- N.9-5:1RE4614-14
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S-E- -E-T NO � DISSEM
IN
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UNIT DISCUSSIONS, AND VC MILITARY. COMMANDERS AND SENIOR
DISTRICT OFFICIALS HAVE ER IEFED VC VILLAGE ELDERS AND
NOTABLES ON IT IN AN EFFORT TO GAIN THEIR SUPPORT AND,
THROUGH THEM POPULAR SUPPORT FOR THE VC PROGRAM.
2. SEVERAL VILLAGE ELDERS HAVE STATED THAT SOME VC
DISTRICT AND COMPANY CADRES IN VC BEN THU DISTRICT (GOVERN�
MENT OF VIETNAM (GVN) BEN LUC AND: THUA THUA DISTRICTS)
VIEWED THE COALITION GOVERNMENT PLAN AS APPLYING ONLY TO
III AND IV CORPS, WHICH WOULD BE THE PRESERVE OF THE NFLSV
FIGHTING WOULD CONTINUE, THEY BELIEVED, IN I AND II CORPS,
WHICH WOULD REMAIN UNDER THE CONTROL OF HANOI.
3. LONG AN VC CADRES ARE ASSURING THEIR TROOPS AND
VILLAGE OFFICIALS THA THEY WILL HAVE POSITIONS�OF HONOR
AND RESPONSIBILITY IN THE NEW COALITION GOVERNMENT. THIS
HAS ALMOST NULLIFIED .FOR THE TIME BEING THE GVN CHIEU
HOI (OPEN ARMS) PROGRAM IN LONG AN o (FIELD COMMEN1 : R ALLIER
FIGURES IN LONG AN DR6PPED FROM 59 IN OCTOBER TO 39 IN
NOVEMBER o ) WAVERING H iGHER �:-EVEL VC CADRES NOW DO NOT
WANT TO LOSE THE CHANCE TO REAP THEIR REWARDS FOR LONG
SER9fr WITH THE VC AND LOW�R ANK ING VC WILL NOT CHIEU HOI
�R�E�T ISSEM
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3.5(c)
WHEN BY WAITING UNTIL AFTER TET :THEY ARE PROMISED BOTH
PEACE AND HONOR.
4. THIS PROMISE OF AN AFTER -TET PEACE HAS BEEN
RECEIVED SO ENTHUSIASTICALLY BY VC TROOPS AND VILLAGERS
IN LONG AN THAT' FAILURE TO IMPLEMENT IT WOULD CREATE CHAOS
AMONG VC SOLDIERS AND SUPPORTERS. WHILE HARD-CORE VC
WOULD UNDOUBTEDLY 'ACCEPT WHATEVER REASON THE VC GAVE FOR
NOT IMPLEMENTING THE PLAN, MANY VC CADRES, SOLDIERS AND
VILLAGERS WOULD BE SO DISENCHANTED WITH THE VC THAT MASS
DEFECTIONS AND A SHARP INCREASE IN REFUGEES FROM VC-
CONTROLLED AREAS WOULD RESULT.
5.
COMMNENT: A NUMBER OF VC DOCUMENTS CAPTURED 3.3(h)(2)
THROUGHOUT SOUTH VIETNAM SINCE EARLY NOVEMBER HAVE RE-
FERRED TO PROSPECTS FOR A COALITION GOVERNMENT AND TO
THE PRESENT VC WINTER-SPRING CAMPAIGN AS THE "DECISIVE",
"CULMINATING" OR "HISTORIC" PHASE OF THE "REVOLUTION".
A SECRET TRAINING DOCUMENT CAPTURED ON 3 NOVEMBER WHICH
WAS PROBABLY ISSUED BY A VC LOCAL FORCE BATTALION IN
LONG AN CONTAINS THE MOST EXPLICIT DOCUMENTARY REFERENCE
TO A TIME FRAME FOR PEACE IN ITS STATEMENT THAT "THE smuts 1967-68 WILL
CONCLUDE THE REVOLUTION IN SOUTH VIETNAM)
6. SSEM: STATE USMACV USAID DIR/JUSPAO (MR. ZORTHIAN ONLY)
CINCPAC PACFLT ARPAC PACAF
E-T IGN DISSEM
REPORT CLASS: S-E-
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