EL SALVADOR: PROSPECTS FOR NEGOTIATIONS

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
06749630
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
4
Document Creation Date: 
December 28, 2022
Document Release Date: 
August 9, 2018
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
F-2018-00722
Publication Date: 
December 4, 1981
File: 
Body: 
Approved for Release: 2018/06/08 C06749630 ( crirr:11 I ni,Ilivyth, National Intelligence Daily Friday 4 December 1981 Co NW 81-281JX 4 December 19bl Copy 253 Approved for Release: 2018/06/08 C06749630 Approved for Release: 2018/06/08 C06749630 Warning Notice This Document Not To Be Reproduced Intelligence Sources and Methods Involved (WN) National Security Unauthorized Disclosure Information Subject to Criminal Sanctions Approved for Release: 2018/06/08 C06749630 Approved for Release: 2018/06/08 C06749630 Contents El Salvador: Prospects for Negotiations 4 4 December 1981 (b)(3) NR Record NR Record (b)(3) (b)(3) Approved for Release: 2018/06/08 C06749630 Approved for Release: 2018/06/08 C06749630 EL SALVADOR: Prospects for Negotiations he guerrilas' asscrtions that thej are LLij to negotiat.e LK:thout 2:reconaions are aimed at underminina the junta's election stratea an at sti-en:ithening Eeftist unit?. Moderates in the leftist alliance oppose the pro- tracted war strategy of guerrilla hardliners and believe that attempts to boycott the elections or to disrupt them through violence could backfire. They want to break the military impasse by negotiating a power-sharing arrange- ment with the government but are hamstrung by the more radical elements. Leaders of the largest guerrilla group will not accept any compromise with the government. To maintain insurgent unity, however, they are publicl iving lip- service to the call for negotiations. Both moderates and hardliners expect the junta to reject negotiations. By pushing talks they hope to sow discord within the junta and plan to increase accusations of government intransigence in their continuing efforts to damage the credibility of the election process. Senior military officers believe that the armed forces are at least holding their own against the insur- gents and refuse to allow the left to achieve through talks what it cannot win on the battlefield. Some civil- ian leaders, on the other hand, believe that negotiations would split the insurgents but are unwilling to challenge the military by pressing. their views. --TDP�Se�T-41-- 4 4 December 1981 Approved for Release: 2018/06/08 C06749630