EL SALVADOR: PROSPECTS FOR NEGOTIATIONS
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Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
06749630
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RIPPUB
Original Classification:
U
Document Page Count:
4
Document Creation Date:
December 28, 2022
Document Release Date:
August 9, 2018
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
F-2018-00722
Publication Date:
December 4, 1981
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Approved for Release: 2018/06/08 C06749630
( crirr:11
I ni,Ilivyth,
National Intelligence Daily
Friday
4 December 1981
Co NW 81-281JX
4 December 19bl
Copy
253
Approved for Release: 2018/06/08 C06749630
Approved for Release: 2018/06/08 C06749630
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National Security Unauthorized Disclosure
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Approved for Release: 2018/06/08 C06749630
Approved for Release: 2018/06/08 C06749630
Contents
El Salvador: Prospects for Negotiations 4
4 December 1981
(b)(3)
NR Record
NR Record
(b)(3)
(b)(3)
Approved for Release: 2018/06/08 C06749630
Approved for Release: 2018/06/08 C06749630
EL SALVADOR: Prospects for Negotiations
he guerrilas' asscrtions that thej are LLij to negotiat.e
LK:thout 2:reconaions are aimed at underminina the junta's election
stratea an at sti-en:ithening Eeftist unit?.
Moderates in the leftist alliance oppose the pro-
tracted war strategy of guerrilla hardliners and believe
that attempts to boycott the elections or to disrupt them
through violence could backfire. They want to break the
military impasse by negotiating a power-sharing arrange-
ment with the government but are hamstrung by the more
radical elements.
Leaders of the largest guerrilla group will not
accept any compromise with the government. To maintain
insurgent unity, however, they are publicl iving lip-
service to the call for negotiations.
Both moderates and hardliners expect the junta to
reject negotiations. By pushing talks they hope to sow
discord within the junta and plan to increase accusations
of government intransigence in their continuing efforts
to damage the credibility of the election process.
Senior military officers believe that the armed
forces are at least holding their own against the insur-
gents and refuse to allow the left to achieve through
talks what it cannot win on the battlefield. Some civil-
ian leaders, on the other hand, believe that negotiations
would split the insurgents but are unwilling to challenge
the military by pressing. their views.
--TDP�Se�T-41--
4
4 December 1981
Approved for Release: 2018/06/08 C06749630