LATIN AMERICA BRIEF OCPAS LA BRIEF 93/134 FOR 10 JUNE 1993

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: FOIA Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 06684325
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 4
• Document Creation Date: December 28, 2022
• Document Release Date: October 16, 2017
• Case Number: F-2017-01567
• Publication Date: June 10, 1993

Approved for Release: 2017/09/27 C06684325
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--SECREL_
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--SECRET�
AFTAC PATRICK AFB/IN; DEPT OF STATE FOR SECSTATE AID; DIA FO
CINCEUR FOR POLAD; USCINCSO QHTS PANAMA FOR POLAD; AIR UNIVERSITY
FOR STATE REP AND NAVY WAR COLLEGE FOR STATE DEFT REP;
TREASURY DEPT ATTN MRS BECK DADS; COMUSARMY FT MEADE FOR SPECIAL
RESEARCH DET; COMDT COASTGUARD FOR POLAD; HQ TAC FOR TACOPS/INOI;
HQS DLA FOR CIS; BERGSTROM AFB TEX FOR 67 TRW/IN; NPIC FOR PB
CABLES; CINCUSAFE FOR IN1OCN XPNN; MAC INTEL CENTER SCOTT AFB;
CDRUSAITAC WASHDC FOR GIPD; HQ AFSOC HURLBURT FLD FISIN11; CDR
USASOC FT BRAGG NO/AQINII; COMNAVSPECWARCOM CORONADO CA//N2//;
CDR4THPSYOP GP Fr BRAGG NC//ASOF P00/I; 24 COMP WING HOWARD AFB DOI;
26AD LUKE AFB ARIV/INEZ; 92BMW FAIRCHILD AFB WA/IN; 12 TIS
BERGSTROM AFB FOR IN!; INS ATTN COINT; 9TH AFB SHAW SC//IN/I;
CENTCOM MACD1LL AFB FU/J2//; FAA//ATTN ACS-400; NE AD SECTOR
GRIFFISS AFB PASS TO IN; CG II MEF//G2//FOR SECOND SRI GROUP; HQ
AFSPACECOM/IN; USTRANS INTELCEN SCOTT AFB/4 COMFAIR ICEFLAVIK
IC//N2//; HQ AFSPACECOM PETERSON AFB CO/INT'ELJINO/INA/INU;
COMLANTAREA COGARD NEW YORK NY//Al//; HQ DA PASS TO TRAMO; RUEBAHA
COMNAVBASE GUANTANAMO BAY CU//02.
FROM: DDI/O/CPAS
BODY
SUBJECT: LATIN AMERICA BRIEF OCPAS LA BRIEF 93/134 FOR 10 JUNE
1993.
CONTENTS
I. HAITI: HAGGLING OVER NEW GOVERNMENT
2. COLOMBIA: PRESSURE ON ESCOBAR INCREASING
3. IN BRIEF
I. HAITI: HAGGLING OVER NEW GOVERNMENT
THE DEBATE OVER HOW TO FORM A NEW GOVERNMENT IS INTENSIFYING,
ALTHOUGH THE MILITARY WILL CONTINUE TO CALL THE SHOTS.
ONE GROUP OF LEGISLATORS IS PROPOSING
SUPREME COURT CHIEF JONASSAINT AS INTERIM PRESIDENT, A PLAN ARMY
CHIEF CEDRAS WOULD SUPPORT IN EXCHANGE FOR A GENERAL AMNESTY FOR THE
MILITARY AND A VOICE EN SELECTING AN INTERIM PRIME MINISTER. THE
PROPOSAL ALSO WOULD INCLUDE LEGISLATIVE RECOGNITION OF OUSTED
PRESIDENT ARISTIDE AND THE FORMATION OF A NATIONAL COUNCIL TO BEGIN
INSTITUTIONAL REFORMS AND TO SET A DATE FOR ARISTIDE'S RETURN TO
HAITI; A NEW PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION WOULD BE HELD, HOWEVER, IF THE
COUNCIL WERE UNABLE TO AGREE ON SUCH A DATE OR IF ARIS'TIDE REFUSED
TO COOPERATE.
LUMIVIhN 1: CEDRAS AND THE HIGH COMMAND RECOGNIZE THAT THE
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LEGISLATURE MUST MUST TAKE THE LEAD IN FORMING A NEW GOVERNMENT IF THEY
HOPE TO PORTRAY IT AS LEGITIMATE. NEVERTHELESS. THEY REMAIN STRONGLY
OPPOSED.TO ARIS'TIDE'S RETURN AND WILL INSIST ON A NEW GOVERNMENT
THEY CAN CONTROL. CEDRAS'S SUPPORT FOR THE PLAN ALMOST CERTAINLY IS
BASED ON THE ASSUMPTION THAT ARISTIDE WILL REFUSE TO COOPERATE AND
THAT A NEW PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION WOULD ULTIMATELY BE HELD. CEDRAS
AND OTHERS IN THE MILITARY AND LEGISLATURE PROBABLY HOPE THE
INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY WOULD ACCEPT A NEW ELECTION AS A MEANS OF
RESOLVING THE CRISIS WITHOUT ARISTIDE.
2. COLOMBIA: PRESSURE ON ESCOBAR INCREASING
ATTACKS ON FAMILY MEMBERS AND CLOSE ASSOCIATES OF FUGITIVE DRUG
LORD PABLO ESCOBAR HAVE INCREASED IN THE PAST MONTH.
THREE OF ESCOBAR'S CLOSE FRIENDS AND HIS BROTHER-IN-LAW
HAVE BEEN MURDERED RECENTLY, AND PRESS REPORTS SAY THE KINGPIN'S
NEPHEW WAS KIDNAPPED AND RELEASED UNHARMED LAST MONTH.
THE ATTACKS WERE THE WORK OF LOS PEPES. AN ANTI-ESCOBAR
PARAMILITARY GROUP THAT CLAIMED IT WAS DISBANDING IN APRIL. THE
POLICE THWARTED AN ASSASSINATION ATTEMPT ON A JAILED CONFIDANT OF
ESCOBAR'S, ACCORDING TO PRESS REPORTS, AND THREE OF ESCOBAR'S TOP
LAWYERS RESIGNED LAST WEEK IN FEAR FOR THEIR LIVES. ESCOBAR'S NEPHEW
AND HIS FAMILY HAVE FLED TO CHILE, AND THE
POLICE CLAIM THE DRUG LORD HAS SMUGGLED HIS IMMEDIATE FAMILY OUT OF
THE COUNTRY, POSSIBLY TO EUROPE, ACCORDING TO PRESS REPORTS.
COMMENT: ESCOBAR'S SITUATION IS BECOMING MORE DESPERATE.
ALTHOUGH HE UNDOUBTEDLY WILL ATTEMPT VIOLENT PUBLIC RETALIATION, HIS
TERRORIST NETWORK IS DIMINISHED, AND HE MAY BE FORCED TO SURRENDER
TO GET GOVERNMENT PROTECTION OF HIS FAMILY, OR, LESS LIKELY, HE MAY;
FLEE THE COUNTRY.
3. IN BRIEF
AMERICAS
--PANAMANIAN COURT MONDAY GAVE EX-PRESIDENT SOLIS PALMA, THREE
PARAMILITARY LEADERS FOUR-YEAR JAIL TERMS FOR NORIEGA-ERA ABUSES . .
. FIRST MAJOR CONVICTIONS SINCE DICTATOR OUSTED . . . GIVES ENDARA'S
BELEAGUERED GOVERNMENT DEMOCRATIC ACHIEVEMENT.
DRVW 10 JUNE 2013.
BT
ADMIN
#2153
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