NATIONAL INTELIGENCE DAILY SATURDAY 25 SEPTEMBER 1982 - 1982/09/25

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Argentina Declassification Project - The "Dirty War" (1976-83)
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 06628646
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 22
• Document Creation Date: April 3, 2019
• Document Release Date: April 12, 2019
• Publication Date: September 25, 1982

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Director of
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Intelligence
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National Intelligence Daily
Saturday
25 September 1982
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CPAS NID 82-2251X
25 September 1,982
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Contents
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Argentina: Reconstituted Junta 8
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ARGENTINA: Reconstituted Junta
The reconstitution reconstitution of the j..rua this week is unlikely to make
Argentine oolicy more coherent and ma weaken President Bignone's
position.
Comment: The return of the Navy and Air Force
commanders to the junta ended the rupture that followed
the Army's selection in July of General Bignone as Presi-
dent. The recent shakeup in the Navy and Air Force that
led to new commanders for the two services helped pave
the way for the junta's reunification.
The reconstitution of the junta probably will enable
the military to limit Bignone's freedom of action. The
Navy and Air Force fought his selection, and strongly
nationalistic elemenLa in eaoh eel:vice are likely to
oppose him on trying to take IMF-mandated austerity
measures and on other economic and political issues.
Meanwhile, inflation�running at an annual rate of 600
percent for the last two months--is causing labor unrest
that plotters could exploit.
Army Commander Nicolaides hopes to dump Bignone and
take o...er thn presidency himself.
Nicolaides' supporters may be attempting
to make the regime appear unstable in order to justify
Bignone's removal.
Nicolaides may be constrained from moving against
Bignone in the near term because his position in the
Army is not yet secure. He or other plotters are likely
to prefer to wait until the outcome of promotion and
retirement cycles next month before completing their
plans. They probably calculate that the almost inevi-
table further deterioration in economic conditions and
rising social discontent would gradually increase Bignone's
vulnerability and the possibility of serious coup plotting.
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--TerSEET�.et
25 September 1982
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