[SANITIZED]ARGENTINA: REGIME UNDER PRESSURE - 1982/11/10

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Argentina Declassification Project - The "Dirty War" (1976-83)
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 06628033
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: April 3, 2019
• Document Release Date: April 12, 2019
• Publication Date: November 10, 1982

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LATIN 'AMERICA BRIEF CPAS LAB 217 FOR 9 NOV,
FR0m: ODI/O/CWAS
CONTENTS8
1. ARGENTINAS REGIME UNDER PRESSURE.
11, ARGENTINA1 REGIME UNDER PRESSURE
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AS TAE DEMOCRATIC TRANSITION UNFOLDS. PRESIDENT SIGNONE IS
CAUGHT IN A SQUEEZE BETWEEN INCREAEINGLY AGGRESSIVE CIVILIAN GROUPS
AND A MILITARY INSTITUTION CONCERNED THAT /T WILL BE CALLED TO
ACCOUNT. 3.5(c)
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LENGED A GOVERNMENT BAN BY STAGING A LARGE DEMONSTRATION
TO DEMAND AN ACCOUNTING OF PERSONS VA0 DISAPPEARED IN
THE MID..1970S CAMPAIGN AGAINST ALLEGED SUBVERSIVES.
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THESE DEMANDS HAVE BEEN STRENGTHENED BY THE RECENT DIP'
COVERT OF UNMARKED MASS GRAVES IN BUENOS AIRES THAT
CONTAIN THE BODIES OF AT LEAST SOME DISSIDENTS WHOM THE
GOVERNMENT CLAIMS WERE KILLED IN CLASHES WITH THE POLICE
DURING TME PERIOD.
THE PRESS ALSO HAS EXPOSED FINANCIAL CORRUPTION
TOUCHING MANY TOP MILITARY LEADERS. IN ADDITION* LABOR
GROUPS...ANTICIPATING NEW ECONOMIC POLICIES FOLLOWING
RECENT IMF NEGOTIATIONS-.HAVE THREATENED TO STRIKE LATER
THIS MONTH IF. SROWTH.ORIENTED PROGRAMS ARE ABANDONED.
THE JUNTA OF MILITARY SERVICE CHIEFS NOW IS WIDELY
BELIEVED TO BE EXERCISING TIGHTER CONTROL OVER BIGNONE.
IT HAS RESPONDED TO THE MEDIA ATTACKS BY CLOSING THREE
PERIODICALS.
//ARMY COMMANDER NICOLAIDES, WHO USED RECENT COMMAND
CHANGES TO SOLIDIFY HIS SUPPORT* IS IN A BETTER POSITION
TO PROTECT MILITARY INTERESTS AND. IF NECESSARY* DICTATE
TO BIGNONE.
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SOME OFFICERS ARE
CONSIDERING A MOVE EARLY NEXT YEAR THAT WOULD COMBINE
LIMITED CON7RESSIONAL ELECTIONS WITH THE REMOVAL OF THE
PRESIDENT./
COMMENTS //THE SERIES OF SCANDALS AND DEMANDS 4A5
UNDERMINED BIGNONE'S EFFORTS TO WIN CIVILIIAN SUPPORT. AT
THE SAME TIME, TME MILITARY CONTINUES TO BACK HIM FOR
LACK OF. AN ATTRACTIVE ALTERNATIVE.// 3.5(c)
//BIGNONE STILL APPgARS TO HAVE SOME TIME. BUT ME WILL
HAVE TO REASSERT HIMSELF AND BEGIN TO RECONCILE THE
INCREASINGLY ANTAGONISTIC CIVILIAN AND MILITARY INTERESTS.
IF BIGNONE FAILS. COHERENT POLICYMAKING KILL BECOME
IMPOSSIBLE* AZZ_RE7HER GROUP WOULD HAVE MUCH FURTHER
USE FOR HIM./ 3.5(c)
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