CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1958/11/08

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 06232634
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 20
• Document Creation Date: January 27, 2020
• Document Release Date: January 30, 2020
• Publication Date: November 8, 1958

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8 November 1958
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CENTRAL
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BULLETIN
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8 NOVEMBER 1958 e
'r
L THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Soviet mission due in Iraq to sign
arms gement.
IL ASIA-AFRICA
Iraq- Qasim arrests leaders of pro-
UAR party.
The Arab-Israeli situation.
Military units in southeast Turk7
alerted.
Jordan- King may have one member
of royal family remain in country.
Sudan - Political tensions increasing.
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. . .
Tribal unrest and political maneu-
vering threaten Moroccan stability.
� Thailand- Strained relationS in -coup,
group may lead to Sarit's losing con-
trol.
III. THE WEST
De Gaulle:faced with reluctance of
respected Moslems to file for -30
November elections.
Finland- USSR's delay in starting
trade talks may bring cabinet re-
organization.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
8 November 1958
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
USSR-Iraq: A Soviet military mission is due in Iraq
about 10 November to sign an arms agreement with the
Iraqi Government. The agreement was negotiated by an
Iraqi mission which was in Moscow last month, UAR ef-
forts to act as intermediary having been ignored. The
UAR military attache in Baghdad learned from the Iraqis
that the terms of the arms agreement are of the same
liberal nature as those of Soviet-UAR arms deals.
(Page 1)
II. ASIA-AFRICA
*Iraq: Prime Minister Qasim on 7 November rounded up
leaders of the pro-UAR Baath party and closed the party news-
paper, even though the Baath had taken no action against Qasim
following the arrest of its spokesman, former Deputy Premier
Arif. The regime was supported by large street demonstra-
tions organized by Communists and other anti-UAR elements.
A source of the US Embassy in Baghdad claims "sweeping
changes" in the government will occur this week-end. Nasir,
meanwhile, is reported to have been "astonished" by the news
of Arif's arrest, and to be gloomy over the situation in Iraq.
Arab-Israeli situation: Approximately a battalion of Is-
raeli reserves were mobilized on the night of 5 November,
and a small truck convoy was seen leaving an ordnance depot
the same evening. While this activity could be normal train-
ing operations, it could also be a selective precautionary mo-
bilization in view of Arab-Israeli tensions.
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Eskisehir
B sir � �
TURKEY
8 NOVEMBER 1958
Mites
299
70914 811073
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iyarbakir
aziantep
USSR
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(115
The United Arab Republic now has two of its submarines,
two mine sweepers, and 12 torpedo boats south of the Suez
Canal. This build-up of naval units south of Suez would be
necessary if a blockade of the Gulf of Aqaba were intended
or if hostilities forced closure of the Canal. Most of the ves-
sels completed their transit of the canal on 6 November.
(Page 3)
Turkey: Turkish military units at Diyarbakir, in south-
eastern Turkey, have been alerted and their leaves canceled.
This alert has not been confirmed by other sources, but
Ankara previously has used the alerting and movement of
troops along the Syrian border to apply pressure on the UAFt.
Diyarbakir, however, is located in the Kurdish region of
Turkey and such action could be a precautionary move against
Kurdish nationalist agitation. (See
map on opposite page)
. Jordan: King Husayn is consiaermg tne aavisacauty 01
having the Queen Mother return to Jordan shortly after his
scheduled departure on vacation on 10 November so that at
least one member of the royal family will be in the country.
Should the queen return, however, her presence would not
necessarily be any obstacle to subversive action by pro-UAR
elements. Husayn has been alerted by the Turkish Government
to a report of a coup attempt to be made a few days after he
leaves. While there is no confirmation for this particular re-
port, Jordanian emigres in the UAR and dissident elements
in Jordan almost certainly see the King's absence as an oTor-
tunity for possible action against the government.
Page 5)
Sudan: Political tensions are increasing in anticipation
of the opening of a new session of Parliament on 17 Novem-
ber. Members of the pro-Western government are still con- �
sidering extralegal action to enable them to curb domestic
8 Nov 58
DAILY BRIEF ii
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opposition and UAR-inspired subversion. Unless such a
move is made before Parliament convenes, the government
faces the prospect of strong attacks on its acceptance of
American economic and British military assistance.
(Page 7)
Morocco: The governing Istiqlal party is playing up
the theme of foreign meddling behind localized Berber un-
rest in the Rif region of northern Morocco as a tactic in its
continuing campaign to wrest the country's military and secu-
rity forces from the direct control of the King. Energetic
measures taken by the government seem to have alleviated
at least momentarily the danger of a Berber uprising. The
tribal unrest and a struggle within the party for control of
the labor movement, however, pose . continuing threats to
Morocco's internal stability. (Page 8)
Thailand: Strained relations among members of the
military coup group may lead to a loss of control by Marshal
Sarit. The American Embassy in Bangkok concludes that un-
less Sarit can reverse the present trend, a move against him
is likely, and it could come with little or no warning.
III. THE WEST
France-Algeria: De Gaulle's plans for negotiating with
elected Algerian representatives for an early political set-
tlement are threatened by the general reluctance of Moslems
commanding prestige among their co-religionists to run in
the 30 November French parliamentary election. They appar-
ently fear both army intervention in favor of "pro-integration"
lists and FLN reprisals for participating in "a French elec-
tion." De Gaulle is said to be so concerned that he is plan-
ning some "spectacular gesture" before the 9 November fil-
ing deadline. (Page 9)
8 Nov 58 DAILY BRIEF
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Finland: The delay of the USSR in starting annual trade
talks is causing increasing concern among Finnish leaders.
Some non-Communist elements, especially those belonging to
the radical wing of the Agrarian party and reportedly includ-
ing President Kekkonen, are seeking to bring about a reor-
ganization of the cabinet in an effort to allay Moscow's sus-
picions of its allegedly "rightist" orientation.
(Page 10)
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I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
SovietAraqi Arms Deal
The UAR military attache in Baghdad informed Cairo
on 6 November that the Iraqi mission which had gone to Mos-
cow early last month to negotiate an arms agreement had
returned and that a Soviet mission was scheduled to arrive
at Basra on 10 November to conclude the agreement.
Mention of Basra suggests that facilities at this Persian
Gulf port may be inspected by the Soviet delegation to de-
termine the feasibility of shipping the arms directly to Iraq
by sea instead of off loading them at Latakia for transit over-
land through Syria.
The UAR military attache in Baghdad learned from the
Iraqis that the terms of the arms agreement are similar to
those of previous Soviet-UAR arms deals, which provided
for substantial discounts and extended payments. The Soviet
Union probably will provide the Iraqi Air Force, whose chief
was a member of the Iraqi delegation to Moscow, with jet
fighters and possibly jet light bombers. Moscow probably
will also supply the medium tanks the Iraqi Army earliet
expressed an interest in receiving, artillery�particularly
antiaircraft guns, and other land armaments.
The Soviet Union has indicated its displeasure to the
UAR arms-purchasing mission in Moscow over earlier UAR
offers of bloc arms to Iraq and over Caircy16 attempts to be
the middleman in Iraqi arms negotiations with the Soviet
Union. The use of an all-sea route for delivering Soviet
materiel to Iraq would tend to eliminate UAR influence in this
transaction. Furthermore, direct deliveries of bloc arms
to Iraq would tend to strengthen the hand of Iraqi Communists
and pro-Communist elements in their contest with pro-UAR
forces for influence within Iraq.
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IL ASIA-AFRICA
Iraq Arresting Pro-UAR Elements
The Iraqi regime is rounding up pro-UAR elements.
Those arrested reportedly include the commandant of the
� military college, the directors general of police and secu-
rity, and the head of military intelligence, all supporters
of former Deputy Prime Minister Arif who had been chief
spokesman for the Baath party. The Baath newspaper in
Baghdad was closed on 7 November and its five editors�all
party leaders--were arrested.
The Baath had hoped that if it did not oppose Prime Min-
ister Qasim over Arirs arrest it would be left alone to build
up strength for a showdown with the Communists who, together
with other anti-UAR elements, have been organizing demon-
strations of "popular" support for Qasim.
While the Communists seem to have played the largest
role in stimulating a campaign of vilification against Arif,
other anti-UAR elements led by National Democratic party
(NDP) leader Kamil Chadirchi and Minister of Finance Muham-
mad Hadid also participate. The NDP wishes to work toward
taking Syria out of the union with Egypt,
Nasir is reported to have been "astonished" by the news
of Aril's arrest and to have "predicted" that Iraq would go
Communist within two weeks unless there was some moderat-
ing influence. However, he denied any intention of interfering
in Iraq. Meanwhile, UAR representatives in Baghdad appear
to be increasingly disturbed over the turn of events.
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Arab-Israeli Situation
Arab-Israeli tensions remain high on the eve of King
Husayn's departure from Jordan. Approximately a battalion
of Israeli reserves was mobilized on the night of 5 Novem-
ber, and a convoy of 30 trucks was observed leaving an ord-
nance depot on the same evening. These activities are not
abnormal for this time of year, however, and a detailed
reconnaissance of northern Israel by the American military
attach�n 5 November revealed only a normal pattern of
training operations. Nevertheless, a selective precaution-
ary mobilization may be undertaken in view of current ten-
sions and recent border incidents.
UAR concern over the situation does not appear sub-
stantially diminished, despite some reports that alert meas-
ures have been relaxed.
'many changes might
take place in the next 15 days."
joint military planning between the two
countries has been going forward
a possible meeting in Baghdad for
joint planning purposes on 8 November.
The Iraqis, for their part, are concerned over Turkish
activity.
Turkish units at Diyarbakir, in
southeastern Turkey, had been alerted and their leaves can-
celed. Ankara has previously used such activity as a form
of pressure on the UAR. Diyarbakir, however, is located
in the Kurdish region of Turkey and such action could be a
precautionary move against Kurdish nationalist agitation.
(See map opposite p. ii)
The Turks may become further embroiled with the UAR
and, in consequence, with the Arab-Israeli problem; as a re-
sult of the seizure and interrogation of a Turkish plain-clothes
policeman by officials of the UAR Embassy in Ankara. Pub-
licity for this incident could be used by the Menderes govern-
ment to counter criticism of a future aggressive attitude
toward the UAR. TOP SECRET
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The Israelis have long sought to bring Turkey into the
Arab-Israeli picture, and apparently are seeking to develop
closer ties with Turkey in military and intelligence matters.
The former deputy chief of staff of the Israeli Army, Brig-
adier Zvi Tsur, is believed to have been in Turkey recently
and may still be there on aniundisclosed Mission.
The naval movements which the UAR initiated last week
are continuing, and the Egyptian Navy now has two of its sub-
marines, two mine sweepers, and twelve or thirteen torpedo
boats south of the Suez Canal. Most of the vessels completed
their transit of the canal on 6 November, and should be in a
position either to defend the Gulf of Suez against Israeli naval
action in case the canal is blocked or to attempt to blockade
the Gulf of Aqaba.
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Developments in Jordan
King Husayn is considering the advisability of having
his mother return to Jordan about 16 November, shortly
after his departure for a vacation in Europe, apparently in
response to widespread concern that the absence of all
members of the royal family demonstrated their fear of re-
maining in Jordan. While Husayn's decision suggests that
he does intend to return, the presence of Queen Zayn in
Amman would -mot be an obstacle tokntiregithe action-by
pro-UAR elements.
The Regency Council whin will function durin the
King's absence from Jordan apparently will not,
include West Jordanian nationalist D .
Khalidi. King Husayn is to suspect that Khalil
is ambitious to become premier and is working with op-
position political groups. The King now apparently desires
that the issue of council membership be removed from
politics, and favors including only Senate President Said
Mufti and Jordan!s: two senior judges.
The Turkish Government has advised King Husayn
that it has learned of plans for a pro-UAR coup attempt
against his government 7a. few days after he leaves the
country on 10 November.
Premier Rifai, Chief of Staff Majalli, and Royal Chamberlkin
Talhuni are marked for assassination. While there is no
confirmation for this particular report, Jordanian emigrds
in the UAR and dissident elements in Jordan probably see the
King's scheduled absence as an opportunity for possible UAR-
supported action against the government.
terrorists and other antiregime personnel are
again infiltrating Jordan from Syria.
there is
considerable evklence that funds and arms and ammunition
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froin national guard stocks are being distributed to
Bedouin tribesmen, and that some officers and noncom-
missioned officers are engaged in unspecified training
duties among the Bedouins. It is likely that this activity
is being conducted by the King as a precaution against
possible disloyalty in certain army units. Armed Bedouin
tribesmen were brought into the vicinity of Amman to
support the King during his successful suppression of an _
ultranationalist coup attempt in April 1957.
While the Bedouins have been the principal factor in
the King's control over the army,
tiwv now are snlit over the auestion4of support
ore regime.
usayn that
the Saudi Arabians are distributing money to the influential
Bani Sakhir tribe, to draw the tribe away from sup-
port of the regime. Loss of this support would virtually seal
the fate of the monarchy and of Premier Rifai.
On 4 November King Husayn denied recent reports that
re-establishment of diplomatic relations with the UAR was im-
minent and that Jordan was planning to accept a military mis-
sion from the UAR. The King agreed, however, that normal
relations with the UAR would be resumed eventually.
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Political Tensions Growing in the Sudan
Prime Minister Khalil, facing the prospect of intense
parliamentary opposition to his acceptance of American and
British aid, may soon feel compelled to take the extralegal
action he has long threatened to ensure the continuance of
his government. Khalil intends to install a new cabinet in-
cluding some army officers and "loyal" politicians, with
himself remaining as Ipri�.le minister.
The government's position on the political, economic,
and propaganda front is considered critical, and opposition
forces apparently intend to make an all-out effort to unseat
the present coalition in the parliamentary session scheduled
to begin on 17 November. The American ambassador in
Khartoum feels that the government can no longer afford to
compete with the opposition, apparently well supplied with
UAR funds, in buying parliamentary votes.
Khalil's plan
could not be carried out until a week or more after Parliament
convenes, which would give the army time to prepare itself to
assist the government move. Numerous armed members of the
Ansar sect, supporters of Ithalil's party and its religious
sponsor, Sayyid Abd al-Rahman al-Mandi, are said to be
gathering in the neighborhood of the capital. The possibility
of sudden action by the government appears to be an open
secret in Khartoum, with antigovernemint elPments stro gly
suspecting the government's intpntions
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Moroccan Party Continues to Strive for Control of
Military Forces
The governing Istiqlal party is playing up the theme
of foreign meddling behind localized Berber unrest in the
Rif region of northern Morocco as a lactic in its continu-
ing campaign to wrest the country's army and security
forces from the -direct control of King Mohamed V.
The King is resisting these efforts to curtail his power and
has in fact encouraged some of his close followers to
create a party in opposition to the Istiqlal. The Istiqlal has
implied that these followers received foreign assistance.
Discontent in the Rif lacks political coherence and is
local in origin, stemming partly from economic distress and
partly from traditional Riffian distrust of outsiders. Antagon-
ism toward Istiqlal appointees sent to govern the Rif was
aggravated by the arrest early last month of Berber leaders
who had had some measure of success in aligning support
in outlying areas for an organization opposirig Istiqlal and
supporting the King. Units of the Royal Moroccan Army now
have been deployed in the area and the government has re-
placed the provincial governor--an Istiqlal member�with a
native Riffi army officer. These energetic measures seem
to have alleviated, at least momentarily, the danger of a
tribal uprising.
Mounting opposition in other rural areas and a struggle
between Istiqlal left- and right-wing factions for control of
the labor movement�which erupted on 4 November in a
strike of dockers at the port of Casablanca--pose continuing
threats to the tenuous alliance of the King and the party.
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III. THE WEST
Electoral Situation in Algeria May Jeopardize De Gaulle's
Hopes for-Sblutibn-
French Premier de Gaulle is reported so disturbed over
the lack of "desirable" Algerian Moslem and European candi-
dates for the National Assembly elections that he is planning
further action, possibly a "spectacular gesture," to.remedy
the situation before the 9 November filing deadline. Despite
De Gaulle's instructions to the French Army in Algeria to
guarantee free elections, potential Moslem and liberal Euro-
pean candidates have been reluctant to present themselves on
platforms diverging from the army's known preference for in-
tegration of Algeria with France. Only a handful of Moslem
and liberal European candidates have filed for the 70 National
Assembly seats which will be up for election in Algeria and
the SaharanDepartmexits on 28-30 November.
The liberal ex-mayor of Algiers, Jacques Chevallier, has
privately charged the French military with rigging the elec-
tions to discourage candidates it dislikes, and a high French
civil official in Algiers in effect admits that the army generals
acting as prefects are discouraging, if not actually prohibiting,
candidacies theyrdb not favor.
De Gaulle has promised to negotiate the future status of
Algeria with the Algerian deputies, of whom he has specified
at least two thirds must be Moslems. Should true represent-
atives of the Moslem masses not be elected, the premier
might be unable to achieve his hope of negotiating a meaning-
ful settlement without the politically dangerous necessity of
recognizing the Algerian Liberation Front as spokesman for
Algeria.
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Cabinet Realignment Possible in Finland
The Soviet Union's delay in starting annual trade talks
is causing Finnish leaders increasing concern. The second
date swgested by the Finns, 27 October, was ignored by the
USSR. The direct economic effects of continued delay will
not be felt until the existing trade agreement lapses at the
end of December. Left-wing elements in the Agrarian party,
reportedly supported by President Kekkonen, are seeking to
bring about a reorganization of the Fagerholm cabinet in or-
der to allay. Moscow's suspicions of its allegedly "rightist"
orientation.
The reluctance of the Social Democrats and Conserva-
tives to accept a reorganization involving the sacrifice of some
of their cabinet posts might force the Agrarians to form a
completely new government, possibly including the Communist-
front Finnish People's Democratic League(SKDL).
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. 1 I L,J' La � I � A L-i
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Special Adviser to the President
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of the Interior
The Secretary of the Interior
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
. The Director
United States Information Agency
The Director
CONFIDENT-ML
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