CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/10/08

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 05973636
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: October 8, 1952

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SEC INFORMATION
8 October 1952
Copy No.
57
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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DOCUMENT NO 48
NO CHANGE IN CLASS. X-
O DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: eSt
Office of Current Intelligence ye4,
NEXT DATE.
AUTH: H 70-2
DATE: REVIEWER:
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SECUBifY INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
SOVIET UNION
1. Dairen-based aircraft apparently destined for Soviet Union (page 3).
2. Possible development of TV transmitter for Soviet aircraft
(page 3).
3. French official sees hardening of Soviet attitude toward US (page 4).
FAR EAST
4, Heavy enemy action in Korea not seen as prelude to offensive
(page 4).
SOUTHEAST' ASIA
5. Burma interested in acquiring US petroleum (page 5).
6. Cabinet crisis threatens in Indonesia (page 5).
WESTERN EUROPE
7. Trieste Communist Party approved for membership in Coininform
(page 6).
8. Comment on Schuman-Adenauer negotiations on the Saar (page 7).
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SOVIET UNION
1. Dairen-based aircraft apparently destined for Soviet Union:
Some of the Soviet aircraft scheduled
to fly from Dairen to Tunhua, Manchuria,
on 6 October were apparently destined
to fly on to the Soviet Union on 7 October,
/the movement on 7
October of groups of TU-2's, IL-10's, and transports from Dairen
and Mukden to Vozdvlzhenka in the Southern Maritime Province,
some via Tunhua.
Comment: The withdrawal of a large
number of conventional ground attack and light bomber aircraft
to the Soviet Union could be preparatory to the deployment of
additional jets to the Dairen area.
2. Possible development of TV transmitter for Soviet aircraft:
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This is the first indication that the USS.R
may possess television transmitters for use in aircraft Possible
military applications of significance are in aerial reconnaissance,
flight testing, and terminal homing of drone aircraft or guided missiles.
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3. French official sees hardening of Soviet attitude toward US:
The Kremlin's top priority objective
for some time will be to divide the
Western allies, particularly to separate
the United States from the others,
according to a high French Foreign Ministry official. He believes
this policy was manifested by Stalin's article in BOLSHEVIK, the
jettisoning of the militants Marty and Tilion, and the adoption of a
more "bland" Communist line in France. The official considers
Ambassador Kennan a victim of the new Soviet effort, and points
out that the Russians have recently increased their friendly
gestures toward the French and British in Moscow.
Comment: Stalin's article indicates that
the USSR envisages a prolonged period of coexistence contingent
upon the dissolution of the aggressive Western alliance and isolation
of the United State g as principal aggressor.
FAR EAST
4. Heavy enemy action in Korea not seen as prelude to offensive:
The Far East Command believes that
the 6 October coordinated Communist
attack in western and central Korea is
not preliminary to a general offensive,
FECOM warns, however, that limited-objective/attacks will
probably increase in size and number until colder weather sets
in or until the UN Command assumes the offensive.
The primary objective of the attacks, as
interpreted by FECOM, is the seizure of key terrain features
and areas still in question at the cease-fire talks. Another
- objective may be to keep UN forces off balance.
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SOUTHEAST ASIA
5. Burma interested in acquiring US petroleum:
Comment: The Burmah Oil Conipany, a
subsidiary of Anglo-Iranian,owns most of the oil installations in
Burma. Negotiations between the company and the Burmese Govern-
ment for the joint development of petroleum resources are at an
impasse because of Burma's constitutional provision that at least 60
percent of the capital for any enterprise affecting the nation's resources
must be owned by Burmese citizens.
6. Cabinet crisis threatens in Indonesia:
The Indonesian Government is threatened
with an imminent cabinet crisis,
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Demands by elements of the two largest
political parties that certain officials in the Defense Ministry and
the army be purged are likely to result in the resignation of the
Minister of Defense, and possibly in the fall of the cabinet.
President Sukarno has not revealed his
position, but is believed to be displeased with the present government.
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Comment: The government has made
little or no progress in dealing with widespread dissidence, and
the impending crisis is more the result of political rivalries than
of a genuine concern over the country's security.
Public and parliamentary criticism of the
Defense Ministry is apparently Communist-inspired and purposely
directed at undermining the position of the strongly anti-Communist
Minister of Defense.
WESTERN EUROPE
7. Trieste Communist Party approved for membership in Cominform:
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Vittorio Vidali, leader of the Communist 3.3(h)(2)
Party in Trieste, has reportedly announced
that his party has been approved for member-
ship in the Cominform and Chat it would receive
directives from Cominform headquarters and
not through the Italian Communist Party as in the put. Vidali also
announced that a complete reorganization of the party would begin on
1 November in order to replace present leaders, who have become.
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passive.
Comment:
Vidali's party is suffering from weak internal discipline and severe
financial troubles. Freeing the party from Italian Communist control
may be intended to give it added prestige.
The Trieste Communist Party would be the
first party to be added to the Cominform since its establishment in
1947.
TC:413 SrE IC4T
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8. Comment on Schuman-Adenauer negotiations on the Saar
The unresolved issues between Chancellor
Adenauer and French Minister Schuman over the Saar question
center on the permanenc y of the settlement, France's economic ties
with the "aaar, and Political freedom 'within the territory.
Adenauer claims to have made his
maximum offer, which he saps is supported by the government
coalition and the opposition Social Democrats, when he proposed
placing the territory under a European body, as well as local licen-
sing of the pro - German parties and replacing the French-Saar
conventions with new economic arrangements. The settlement
would be provisional for five years.
Schuman agrees to Europeanization, but
opposes licensing the pro-German parties and wants the French-Saar
economic ties to be severed gradually as European integration
progresses. He also insists that any steps taken now be permanent.
If the two positions are not reconciled by
10 October, the final date for parties to register for the Saar
elections, the Saar Government will probably reject the applications
of the pro-German parties.. In that event, according to Adenauer,
"all will be lost."
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