CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/10/07

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 05973635
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: October 7, 1952

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SEC INFORMATION
7 October 1952
Copy No. 57
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO,
NO CHANGE IN CLA .
0 DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: T
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTH: I-1 70-2
Office of Current Intelligence DATE,
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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REVIEWER:
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SECUTY INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
FAR EAST
1. Soviet aircraft penetrates deep into Japanese territory (page 3).
2. Soviet bombers scheduled to move to Manchuria (page 3).
SOUTH ASIA
3. Independent home guard reportedly formed in Indian Kashmir
(page 4).
4.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
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5. France is considering alternate solution to Tunisian question
(page 5).
EASTERN EUROPE
6. Yugoslav trade with Soviet bloc (nave 5).
7.
WESTERN EUROPE
8. Schuman's vulnerability on Tunisia stressed (page 7).
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FAR EAST
1. Soviet aircraft penetrates deep into Japanese territory:
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two aircraft, 3.3(h)(2)
presumably Soviet, on 1 October overflew
northeastern Hokkaido, one penetrating to
a depth of 55 miles. This aircraft flew
southward as far as Kushiro in the deepest
overflight of Japanese territory yet noted. The other plane reached
the vicinity of the radar site at Nemuro in a possible test of US
tracking capabilities.
Comment: These overflights, together
with those of 20 and 24 September, suggest initiation of a Soviet
air reconnaissance program in the Hokkaido area.
3.3(h)(2)
2. Soviet bombers scheduled to move to Manchuria:
Comment: This is the first evidence of
the deployment of Russian-manned tactical aircraft other than
fighters to this area, which is suitable for operations against
UN targets in Korea, in particular naval units off the east coast.
The airfield at Tunkia may have been
made available for the use of these aircraft by the transfer of a
regiment of the 9th Chinese Air Division from this airfield,
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SOUTH ASIA
3. Independent home guard reportedly formed in Indian Kashmir:
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/at least one home guard battalion
was formed in Indian-held Kashmir, between
May and August. The new guard is com-
posed entirely of Kashmiri Hindus. It
Is said to be distinct from the Kashmir militia and the state police,
and is not controlled by the Indian army.
Guard units operate independently along the
cease-fire line between Indian-held and Pakistani-controlled Kashmir.
The guard apparently has intelligence contacts in Pakistani territory.
Comment: Since the Kashmir militia is
now controlled by the Indian army, the organization of a home guard
would appear to be an unpublicized attempt by Sheikh Abdullah, who
favors the independence of Kashmir, to develop an indigenous armed
force completely independent of Indian influence. 3.3(h)(2)
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5. France is considering alternate solution to Tunisian question: 3.3(h)(2)
Presicient Auriot and Prime minister
Pinay are considering asking the Tunisian
Government to present its case to the
High Council of the French Union on condition that if an agreement
is reached, Tunisia will request the Arab-Asian group to withdraw
the case from the UN agenda.
The official added that a previous plan of
Auriol's to settle the question was blocked by Foreign Minister
Schuman on the advice of the Minister of State for Foreign Affairs
and Senator Colonna of Tunisia.
Comments: Settlement in the High Council
would be unlikely because French colonists in Tunisia will continue
to exert pressure on Paris to make no concessions. It is difficult
to envisage a Tunisian delegation which would be acceptable both
to the colonists and to the nationalists.
EASTERN EUROPE
6. Yugoslav trade with Soviet bloc:
pyrite was being shipped on Yugoslav
nu e barges o ermany, where it was to be transshipped by
rail to Poland and Czechoslovakia. West German authorities,
however, were refusing to supply the necessary freight cars.
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7.
Comment:
a Yugoslav state-controlled firm
nas been selling lead to a Western intermediary for resale to
Czechoslovakia, and that another Yugoslav firm purchased a
considerable quantity of brown coal briquets from the Satellite
area which was resold in West Germany at a large profit. In
the latter case, the Yugoslays paid for the
coal with West purchaed with dollars in
Switzerland.
In addition to these specific instances
of Yugoslav-Satellite trade there have been several reports
during 1952 that Yugoslav trade representatives in Western
Europe were willing to sell lead, pyrite, and other minerals to
Soviet blocpjrchase rs through Western intermediaries, and
an expansion of such trade. Available
evidence indicates that the Yugoslav firms involved are aware
of the ultimate purchasers' identities, and that they are negotiating
these sale's in spite of contrary instructions by the Belgrade
government.
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WESTERN EUROPE
8. Schuman's vulnerability on Tunisia stressed:
Henri Teitgen, the Popular Republican
leader in the French National Assembly,
warns that unless Foreign Minister
Schuman can demonstrate that the United
States is solidly behind France in the UN on the Tunisian question,
he will probably be forced out of office. Teitgen, who anticipates
a foreign policy debate soon after the Assembly reconvenes on 7
October, states that without Schuman the French Government could
probably not carry out his European integration policies.
Comment: In any parliamentary showdown
on Sauman's Tunisian policy, his critics would probably be
joined by opponents of European integration who are unwilling to
tip their hand on that issue, and by deputies who prefer an oblique
attack on Premier Pinay's economic policies.
3.3(h)(2)
Deputy Foreign Minister Maurice Schumann
told Ambassador Austin in New York last week that Foreign Minister
Schuman would probably have serious difficulties on the Tunisian
question both at the cabinet meeting on 7 October and later before
the National Assembly.
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