CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/10/05

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 05973634
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: October 5, 1952

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C TOP S ET C
SEC
INFORMATION
5 October 1952
Copy No.
57
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
II DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: IS S C
Office of Current Intelligence briti77-41REW743%ATE: -Lg"-----
DATEi.faik4aVEVIEWER: 3.5(c).
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SEC INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
FAR EAST
1. Limited objective operations by Communists in Korea to
continue (page 4).
2. Communists increase activity on Hainan Island (page 4).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
3. Burmese request for Communist aid confirmed (page 5).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Prime Minister Nehru urges settlement of Iranian oil issue
(page 6),
5. New Lebanese President declares himself strongly pro-West
(page 6).
6. Egyptian officers take cooperative line on Sudan question (page 7).
7. Egyptian military regime determined to destroy Wafd (page 8).
EASTERN EUROPE
Anti-Western campaign in Yugoslavia apparently in preparation
(page 8).
WESTERN EUROPE
9. Further reports on West German Socialist intention to compromise
with West (page 9).
10. French cabinet approval for UN discussion of Tunisia seen in
doubt (page 10).
11.
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FAR EAST
Limited objective operations by Communists in-Korea to continue:
Present Communist limited objective
attacks along the whole front are to
continue indefinitely
November.
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With increased air support promised by the USSR for mid-October,
the Communists would be better able to protect their supply /Ines.
If the supply situation becomes critical because of UN air action
before the promised air support becomes available, it is alleged
that the "negotiators at Panmunjom are prepared to take steps toward
a cease-fire agreement."
Comment: In the past few weeks, enemy
ground action has increased to an extent which would demand a
larger volume of supplies.
2. Communists increase activity on Hainan Island:
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Comment: The recent unprecedented
air transport activity to, and from Haikou and movement of an
army headquarters to that city in September also suggest that
the Communists fear an invasion of Hainan.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
3. Burmese request for Communist aid confirmed:
notes were sent to Peiping and Moscow
officially requesting economic aid
for Burma last July, a few days after
is intention of seeking such assistance.
Comment
'the Burmese no
only requested aid, but were advised by Peiping to dispatch a
mission to discuss the matter. On 30 August a small mission
headed by the Minister of Land Nationalization left Rangoon
for an extended tour of China and Russia, ostensibly to study
land reform.
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The Burmese ex_planation of Nuts request
for Communist assistance was that he anticipated a rejection which
would be embarrassing to the Chinese and-Russians and would
permit him to meet local Communist criticism that his government
has not been neutral in accepting aid only from the Anglo-Americans.
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TCD SECRET
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Prime Minister Nehru urges settlement of Iranian oil issue:
Indian Prime Minister Nehru told the
merican Ambassador on 1 October that
e "earnestly hoped" that the United
tates would continue to impress Britain
with the need for settling the Iranian oil dispute. Nehru hoped
that a way could be found for transferring the 49,000,000 pounds
desired by Mossadeq.
He stated that the Indian Ambassador
in Tehran had been in close contact with Mossadeq in recent
weeks and expressed concern for the sewity of the area, in
view of the Soviet pressures.
Comment: Nehru's suggestions reflect
the continuing Indian support for Asian countries against Western
"imperialism." The approval of Middle Eastern states generally
has helped to keep Mossadeq obdurate.
5. New Lebanese President declares himself strongly pro-West:
President Camille Chamoun has told
the American Charge that there are
no problems existing between the
United States and Lebanon which cannot
be settled now. In any war with the USSR, Lebanon would be
wholly with the West and would make its facilities available re-
gardless of formal agreements.
Chamoun promised that Lebanese
taxation of Point Four materials would cease and urged that
American arms be made available immediately, promising to
pay cash. Lebanon wishes to have one tough and heavily armed
division for protection.
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Comment: There is no reason to question
the honesty and intent of Chamoun. To remain in power, however,
he will have to cope with the tough and experienced supporters of
former President Khouri, as well as with strong independent elements.
6. Egyptian officers take cooperative line on Sudan question:
gyptian army officers assigned to the
udan problem told British Embassy
fficials on 29 September that they
elieved Egyptian policy is now directed
toward assuring independence for the Sudan before determining
its eventual relations with Egypt.
The Egyptians believed that the Sudanese
elections scheduled for November should be postponed for at least
a month, while Egypt persuades all Sudanese Parties to participate.
The officers indicated they approve a British proposal for an
international commission to supervise the elections.
Prime Minister Nagib subsequently told
British Ambassador Stevenson that the Egyptian officers were
expressing only their personal views, and that he would have to
consult them, representatives of Sudanese parties currently in
Cairo, and his Cabinet advisers before answering the British
proposals.
Comment: Whatever Nagib's decision
may be, these are the most favorable indications to date of Egypt's
readiness to reverse its past policy and cooperate with Britain
on the Sudan.
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7. Egyptian military regime determined to destroy Wald:
General Nagib is determined to des r
the Wafd Part
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Nagib reportedly intends to
demand "purge committee" action against top Wafdist officials,
including Nahas, the party's leader, and former Minister of Foreign
Affairs Salaheddin.
Wafd Party
members plan to disperse to the provinces in order to publicize
the Wafdist cause ad to make it difficult for the army to take
action against individual party members.
the Wafd will not attempt to test the government's stand until after
8 October, the deadline date when all political groups must agree
to the cabinet regulations.
Comment:
Egypt's military government remains determined to dissolve
the Wafd if the party executive maintains its defiant attitude.
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EASTERN EUROPE
8. Anti-Western campaign in Yugoslavia apparently in preparation:
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the editor of the large government-controlled
newspaper Politika has been dismissed,
together with the paper's foreign affairs writer
and one other journalist. Ambassador Allen notes that while the
editor has not been openly pro-Western, he has broadened the paper's
news coverage.
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In addition, the Yugoslav Communist
Party newspaper Borba carried an article on 1 October attacking
those who strive to reimpose bourgeois democratic forms "in an
attempt to destroy Socialist consciousness."
Comment: On 30 September the foreign
affairs writer, now reporTed c..---l'ir�rnissed, informed a US Embassy
officer that he expected a strong anti-Western propaganda campaign
in the near future in support of internal policies. American officials
in Belgrade have previously reported their belief that the campaign
might include complaints against American information activities
in Yugoslavia.
WESTERN EUROPE
9. Further reports on West German Socialist intention to compromise
with West:
Erich
011enhauer, the new party leader, is
trying o open the door for a compromise with the Western Powers
and for his party's participation in the Bonn government after next
year's election. Though 011enhauer promised to cpntinue the
policies of Kurt Schumacher, he is reported to have rejected
conference attempts to fight "Americanism, "and to have side-
tracked demands for large-scale public opposition to EDC and the
contractual agreements.
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The present report does not describe the
compromise 011enhauer has in mind except to indicate that it
would involve some revision of the Bonn and Paris treaties. In
the past the Social Democrats have criticized the contractual
agreement for denying Germany full equality of status, and have
objected that the EDC does not include Great Britain and the
Scandinavian countries.
10. French cabinet approval for UN discussion of Tunisia seen in doubt:
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French Foreign Minister Schuman fears
that cabinet approval for incrusion of the
Tunisian question in the UN General
Assembly agenda may be prejudiced if
there is public discussion of the American position favoring
General Aspembly consideration of this issue.
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Schuman had understood that the United
States would not tell other UN delegations of its position and expressed
his concern when he learned that the chief Pakistani delegate had
been so informed.
Comment: French refusal to approve the
General Assembly discussion of the Tunisian issue would mean
considerable diplomatic embarrassment for the United States. Schuman
previously anticipated that at its 7 October meeting the cabinet would
decide not to oppose placing the question on the agenda.
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