CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/10/03

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 05973632
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: October 3, 1952

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3 October_1952
Copy No.
57
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
Office of Current Intelligence
pocumENTNo.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS. Ar
C:I DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: IS S
NEXT REVIEW DATE.
AUTH: HA 70-2
DATE &SALO REVIEWER 3.5(c)
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
1.
2.
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EASTERN EUROPE
3. Plan to assassinate Tito while in England reported (page 4).
WESTERN EUROPE
4. Unusual number of MIG-15 crates observed at Austrian
airfield (page 4).
5. Policy differences seen developing among Western powers
on Austrian treaty (page 5).
6. New nationalistic bloc in French National Assembly reported
(page 6).
LATIN AMERICA
7. Argentine student strike may be exploited by army (page 6).
8. New disturbances break out in Venezuela (page 7).
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EASTERN EUROPE
3. Plan to assassinate Tito while in England reported:
A Soviet-inspired attempt to assassinate 3.3(h)(2)
Marshal Tito allegedly will be made by
a Croat group during his "forthcomine-visit
to England.
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Comment: This report has no confirmation.
There is no doubt, however, that Croatian exiles are f9remost
among the many who would be involved in an assassination attempt.
Tito accepted the British invitation eagerly, but British Foreign
Secretary Eden has announced that the visit will not take place
until after the coronation of Queen Elizabeth next June.
WESTERN EUROPE
4. Unusual number of MIG-15 crates observed at Austrian airfield:
On 24 September, 40 MIG-15's were
observed in various stages of assembly
at Wiener Neustadt airfield south of
Vienna in the Soviet Zone of Austria.
In addition possibly as many as 100 NIIG-15 shipping crates
were noted dispersed about the field.
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Comment: The presence of this unusually
large number of aircraft and crates could indicate that additional
units are in the process of being activated.
This concentration of equipment may
also indicate that Wiener Neustadt airfield is being used as a
center for the collection and dispersal of Soviet aircraft in
Austria. \
5. Policy differences seen developing among Western powers on
Austrian treaty:
The American Ambassador in Vienna
reports that Foreign Minister Gruber,
the French, and to a lesser extent the
British representative, are prepared
o cce � e o ra treaty for Austria on the assumption that
the United States will "shoulder the financial burden."
While all participants agree that the
abbreviated treaty has "pushed the Russians toward acceptance
of the longer draft," Foreign Minister Gruber and the French
are anxious for a conference in which the Russians could state
their terms.
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Comment: Under the terms of the
original draft treaty, the Russians would relinquish claims to German
assets in eastern Austria in return for Austrian payment of
$150,000,000. The British and French Governments insisted
at the time the abbreviated draft was introduced that it should
not preclude a return to the old draft. The Austrian Foreign
Ministry also appears to be in process of amending its earlier
views that concessions previously made to the Soviet Union
are no longer acceptable.
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6. New nationalistic bloc in French National Assembly reported:
The American Consul in Strasbourg
reports that Gilbert Grandval, the
French Ambassador to the Saar, is
believed to have ambitions of displacing
DT Gaulle in a future organization of members of the wartime
resistance. Grandval reportedly has strong connections in
De Gaulle's Rally of the French People and is associated with
Popular Republican Georges Bidault and Socialist Robert Lacoste
in leading a new bloc which now controls 140 deputies in the
National Assembly.
The strategy of this bloc reportedly is
to promote a multipartisan movement against Premier Pinay
in two or three months.
Comment: Although no other reports
of such a bloc have been received, the information is consistent
with the known aspirations of many centrist and leftist deputies
reacting against the return to power of many of France's prewar
statesmen. These deputies can be expected to make a strong
bid this fall to overthrow Pinay, by exploiting the opposttion to
EDC as well as the government's price and budgetary policies.
LATIN AMERICA
7. Argentine student strike may be exploited by army:
A strike of 1200 Buenos Aires engineer- 3.3(h)(2)
ing students which began on 30 September
reportedly is spreading to other university
schools in the cities of Buenos Aires, Eva
Peron, Cordoba, and Rosario.
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Some observers think that if the unrest
should spread, the army, which is closely observing student moves,
may use the student strikes as a springboard for a "now-or-never
jump."
Comment: Peron's reported reneging on
a promise to reestablish the prestige of the armed forces has
increased the Volume of rumors concerning a possible revolt, but
no concrete plans or leaders have been reported. The government
is maintaining strict security measures.
8. New disturbances break out in Venezuela:
disorders which broke out
at an army barracks in Maturin, near
the eastern oilfields, on 1 October were
smo ere apparently by federal police. 3.3(h)(2)
On the same date some workers at a
nearby oilfield failed to report for work, but no connection is
known to egist between this and the military uprising. There is
some fear of a general strike, although conditions at other eastern
oilfields are normal.
Comment: Further outbreaks can be
expected between now and the 30 November constituent elections.
Embassy interviews last week with prominent officials and
private citizens suggest that junior military officers and aroused
civilians, rather than the outlawed Democratic Action Party alone,
may now be attempting to force changes in government policy or
in the government itself.
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