CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/09/27

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 05973627
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: September 27, 1952

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SEC INFORMATION
27 September 1952
Copy No,
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
Office of Current Intelligen
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
SOUTHEAST ASIA
1. Indonesian Moslems plan attack in West Java (page 3).
SOUTH ASIA
2. Sheikh Abdullah makes new proposals for settqng the Kashmir
dispute (page 3).
3.
4.
5.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
tsritisn military mission to begin discussipaswit, Israel
in October (page 5).
Libya may delay action on treaty with France (page 5).
WESTERN EUROPE
6. De Gasperi pessimistic over outcome of Italian elections
(page 6).
LATIN AMERICA
7. Cuban opposition plots to overthrow Batista (page 6).
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SOUTHEAST ASIA.
1. Indonesian Moslems plan attack in West Java:
a regimental commander of the Darul
Islam, the fanatic Moslem group, has
ordered a "determined attack" on all
army and mobile brigade units in the Bogor regency of West
Java on 29 September.
Comment: Bogor is less than 40 miles
south of Djakarta. Nearly all of West Java, which is the least
secure area in Indonesia, is subject to raids by dissident groups.
The government claims to have thwarted
Darul Islam plans for a revolt on 17 August and is presumed to
be on the alert for other possible attacks. A large-scale campaign
against the group is planned in December, and additional troops
have been brought into West Java in preparation for the operation.
SOUTH ASIA
2. Sheikh Abdullah makes new proposals for settling the Kashmir
dispute:
During a conversation with Ambassador
Bowles on 21 September, Sheikh Abdultah,
the Indian-sponsored Premier of Kashmir,
suggested that his state should be made
semi-autonomous for a ten-year period under a United Nations
guarantee, with "free access" to both Pakistan and India. He added
that he would welcome direct discussions between his government
and that of Azad Kashmir, which is Pakistani-,controllell, in the hope
of developing some formula which could be advanced to India and
Pakistan.
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Abdullah protested his complete loyalty
to India, but stated that he felt the time had come to consider
every reasonable suggestion for solving the Kashmir issue.
Comment: Abdullah has never before
made such specific recommendations for settling the Kashmir
dispute, though he has previously raised the subject of autonomy
and has made overtures to the Azad Kashmiris. His remarks
suggest that he is planning some new move which might seriously
embarrass the Indian Government.
In their present mood of frustration,
both the Pakistani Government and the Azad Kashmiris might
consider some such proposal.
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British military mission to begin discussions with Israel in October:
A three-member British military mission 3.3(h)(2)
will start conversations in Israel on 6
October, according to a British diplomat
in Washington. He stated that the talks
wouseal w Israel's role in the event of war, the development
of Israeli transportation and communications, the storage of oil, 3.3(h)(2)
and the provision of equipment and training.
Comment: Several times in the past year
the Israeli Prime Minister and Foreign Minister have informed
London of Israel's desire for closer ties with Great Britain. The
Israelis apparently believe that such an arrangement might strengthen
their position in relation to any Arab threat and might even prove
of economic benefit.
5. Libya may delay action on treaty with France:
Libyan Prime Minister Muntasser has
told the French Charge in Tripoli that
there is little hope of early action on
the treaty of alliance between Libya
and France. The Premier added bluntly that his country dislikes
French policy in North Africa and expects to consider the American
and British treaties first.
The French Charge believes that Libya
hopes to gain maximum benefits in its foreign agreements by
delaying action and by playing the Western powers against each
other.
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Comment: Libya has repeatedly stalled
in negotiating treaties granting special privileges to the United
States, Great Britain and France. Muntasser recently suggested
that the United States should double its previously agreecLrompensation
payment to assure early ratification of the treaty by Libya. Great
Britain is currently encountering difficulty on the question of the
duration of its treaty.
WESTERN EUROPE
6. De Gasperi pessimistic over outcome of Italian elections:
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The West German Foreign Ministry,
reporting on the Adenauer-De Gasperi
meeting at Bonn, states that the Italian
Premier expressed pessimism regarding
his party's chances in the 1953 elections. He pointed out that
Italy's social problems were far from solved, and "greater difficulties
may yet arise."
Comment: This is the first time that
De Gasperi has been known to express outright pessimism concerning
next spring's elections.
LATIN AMERICA
7. Cuban opposition plots to overthrow Batista:
An attempt to overthrow President
Batista of Cuba will reportedly be made
within the next few days. Leaders of the
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plot are said to be supporters of
ex-President Prio, members of the
large opposition Orthodox Party, and
elements of the a.rmed forces.
In view of this and other reports, the
US Embassy in Havana considers an armed uprising In the near
future possible.
Comment: Opposition to Batista has
been increasing during the past few months. Batista is probably
aware of the current plot, however, and able to thwart it.
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