CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/09/14
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
05973616
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
U
Document Page Count:
8
Document Creation Date:
June 6, 2019
Document Release Date:
June 27, 2019
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
Publication Date:
September 14, 1952
File:
Attachment | Size |
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15655771].pdf | 248.26 KB |
Body:
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SECURIT NFORMATION
14 September 1952
3.5(c;
Copy No.57
3.5(c)
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
3.5(c)
DOCUMENT NO.
'NO CHANGE IN CLASS. ;fir
U DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
Office of Current Intelligencemmi: HR 70-2 3.5(c)
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DATE:MaitAREVIEWER:
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
3.5(c)
TOP SECRET
SEC NFORMATION
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3.5(c)
SUMMARY
GENERAL
1. Kennan believes Sino-Soviet talks involve real bargaining (page 3).
2. USSR reportedly offers to buy Bolivian minerals (page 3).
SOVIET UNION
3. Large Soviet convoy moving along Northern Sea Route (page 4).
FAR EAST
4. Comment on militant Soviet line for Peiping "peace" conference
(page 4).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
5. Burmese mission to US will try to avoid commitments in seeking
arms (page 5).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
6. Greek Government requests inclusion in MEDO discussion (page 5).
7. Mossadeq and his opposition in deadlock (page 6),
8. Disaffection reported among elements of the Egyptian army (page 6).
9. General strike in Lebanon reportedly called for 15 September
(page 7),
10. South African official sees possible withdrawal from UN (page 7).
WESTERN EUROPE
11. Comment on the dissolution of the West German Socialist Reich
Party (page 8).
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GENERAL
1. Kennan believes Sino-Soviet talks involve real bargaining:
Ambassador Kennan believes that a tour
by the Chinese delegation to points of
interest in the USSR indicates that Lino-
Soviet negotiations have reached a point
where instructions from Peiping have become necessary. Kennan
considers that the length of the talks shows that they are not
"pro-forma" in character, but that real bargaining is taking place.
Comment: Communist cadres in China
are being led to believe that increased Soviet aid will result from
the talks.
2. USSR reportedly offers to buy Bolivian minerals:
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
Comment: Bolivia has no significant trade
with the USSR, and despite its critical financial situation, it prob-
ably will not quickly be attracted by this small offer. Not only can
Bolivia find other markets for these minerals, but it would hardly
wish to disqualify itself for US financial assistance.
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SOVIET UNION
3. Large Soviet convoy moving along Northern Sea Route:
A convoy of approximately 20 Soviet
vessels is proceeding along the eastern
stretch of the Northern Sea Route
toward Provideniya on the tip of the
Chukhotsk Peninsula,
By 9 September the convoy
had passed between Cape Billings and Wrangel Island.
Comment: This is the largest convo
ever noted in the Northern Sea Route, which tends to confir
that the 1952 volume of shipping over
this route will exceed all previous years. Current weather reports
support a message of 2 September indicating that the entire route
is open.
FAR EAST
4. Comment on militant Soviet line for Peiping "peace" conference:
The Chairman of the Soviet Peace Committee
has stated that the "peace" conference to open in Peiping in late
September will be of special importance since it will "intensify the
struggle for national independence and territorial sovereignty." His
statement, which appeared in the Peiping press of 12 September, pro-
vides the first reliable Soviet hint on how the conference will deal
with the wars in Indochina and Malaya.
The conference is committed to call for a
"peaceful settlement" of current conflicts in Southeast Asia. This
militant Soviet line suggests that the conference will not propose truce
negotiations on the Korean pattern in Indochina and Malaya but will
merely repeat demands for withdrawal of foreign troops.
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Comment: This personal opinion of an
astute official probably reflects current sentiment in the govern-
ment, which has frequently stated that it will not tolerate UN
interference in a domestic matter. Relations between South Africa
and the UN have already been aggravated by the discussion of the
Indian minority question and the status of South-West Africa,
WESTERN EUROPE
11. Comment on the dissolution of the West German Socialist Reich
Party:
The recent voluntary dissolution of the
neo-Nazi Socialist Reich Party (SRP) removes a threat to the con-
servative right-wing parties of Chancellor Adenauer's federal
coalition. In consequence the right wing will probably emerge from
the forthcoming federal elections with no material loss of strength.
The German Party, most conservative in
the coalition, may however swing even farther right in an effort to
capture support of the followers of the dissolved party. If this is
successful, extremists may wrest party control from the moderates.
The decision of the SRP was made in
anticipation of a Constitutional Court decision which would almost
certainly have banned the party. The government was confident that
"unequivocal evidence of SRP collaboration with the Soviet Union"
would have brought about the legal extinction of the party.
If the party attempts to go underground as its
former leader Fritz Doris allegedly plans, its subversive effective-
ness will be negligible.
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